The Future Danube Model is a multi-hazard and risk model suite for the Danube region which has been developed in the OASIS project. The model comprises modules for estimating potential perils from heavy precipitation, heatwaves, floods, droughts, and damage risk considering hydro-climatic extremes under current and climate change conditions.
1. Impact beyond insurances in the Danube Basin
October 29th, 2019
Brussels Meeting
Maja Turk Sekulic, Jelena Radonic
Boglárka Lakatos
Levente Huszti
Michel Wortmann
2. 2
A Presentation by OASIS | Horizon2020 Insurance
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• Novi Sad Case Study
• Climate-proofing infrastructural investment
• EU Climate Change Impact assessment
• Association of Climate Friendly Municipalities
• International Commission for the Protection of the Danube River (ICPDR)
• EU Water Framework Directive
• EU Flood Directive
• Sava Commission
• Cost-Benefit Analysis workshop by TUD, Budapest
• Results publish on WWF Water Risk Filter (https://waterriskfilter.panda.org/)
• Results provided to EU InterReg Danube project (http://www.interreg-danube.eu)
Overview
3. 3
A Presentation by OASIS | Horizon2020 Insurance
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Public interaction with the model results
4. 4
A Presentation by OASIS | Horizon2020 Insurance
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Objectives All activities are focused on the new Wastewater Treatment Plant, that is
planned to be constructed in Novi Sad (initiated in 2021)
In order to provide added-value for the decision-making processes, in terms of
effectiveness, optimized technological opportunities and minimized risks
As Expected impact 3 of the Project, in fact: supporting better-informed decision-making of end-users and stakeholders
5. 5
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Highlights To improve climate change resilience of the WWTP
To facilitate overall hygienic conditions in Novi Sad, as well as the environment
To safeguard the potable water resources and the quality of the environment
in the areas located downstream and under the influence of the Danube River
6. 6
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Outline 1. Selection of WWTP location
2. Selection of wastewater treatment options
3. Improving the design and construction of WWTP, retentions, pipelines and
pumping stations
4. Human health, safety and security
7. 7
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Selection of WWTP location
• 12 potential locations (radius of 5 km from Pumping
Station GC2) were identified as possible construction
sites for the WWTP
• According to Pre-feasibility Study, the most appropriate
locations - Rokov Potok and Kaćki Put
• The least cost option – WWTP at location of Rokov Potok
for 400,000 PE
8. 8
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Selection of wastewater treatment options
Option 1
Construction of a WWTP with primary and secondary treatment
facilities
Option 2
Construction of a WWTP with primary, secondary and tertiary
treatment facilities
Option 3
Construction of a WWTP with primary and secondary treatment
facilities and upgrading of the treatment plant at the second
phase adding tertiary treatment facilities
The marginal Financial Net Present Value: EUR 8.8 million
9. 9
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Adopted
Based on ToR of PFS, PFS & H2020_Insurance support
Pre-feasibility Study Novi Sad Wastewater Treatment Plant:
POSITIVE REVIEW OF THE
REVIEW COMMITTEE OF THE PROVINCE OF VOJVODINA
OBTAINED IN JAN 2019.
10. 10
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Adopted
Based on ToR of PFS, PFS & H2020_Insurance support
• One WWTP
• Location – Rokov Potok
• 400,000 PE
Proof that upgrade of WWTP up to 500,000 PE is
possible at the same location, in case of
population growth in future is required
11. 11
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Adopted
Based on ToR of PFS, PFS & H2020_Insurance support
• Treatment Level –primary and secondary
treatment facilities and upgrading of the
treatment plant at the second phase
adding tertiary treatment facilities
• Process options – conventional activated
sludge (CAS) and biological nutrient
removal (BNR) processes
12. 12
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• Providing protection against health risks from residual pathogens
• Ensuring the uninterrupted access to safe, healthy and sufficient drinking water for the
population of Novi Sad and suburbs
• Ensuring human right to live and develop in healthy environment as well as balanced economy
growth and protection of the environment in the Province of Vojvodina
Human health, safety and security
13. 13
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• Pre-feasibility Study for the WWTP in Novi Sad - positive review from The Committee of the Province of
Vojvodina (January, 2019)
• Conceptual Design for the WWTP Novi Sad – adopted
• Feasibility study (FS) design will be started in a few weeks
• Development of CC Risk Assessment Study for the FS of the WWTP in Novi Sad - approved
The chosen WWTP location is optimal
from almost all considerations, but in
terms of pluvial flood risk it is not the
best option.
Our results strongly suggested that
some sort of flood defence (climate
adaptation) should be included into the
design to counteract the risk of flash
floods - significant added value of using
the FDM
14. 14
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Subject of the analysis:
• Planned WWTP of Novi Sad
• Following the modelling process by
PIK Potsdam/DTU
• And the Feasibility study by FTN
Climate Impact Assessment of a waste water treatment plant
15. 15
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The analysis consists 7 steps embedded into the project life cycle:
1. Sensitivity analysis (SA)
2. Evaluation of exposure (EE)
3. Vulnerability analysis (VA)
4. Risk assessment (RA)
5. Identification of adaptation options (IAO)
6. Appraisal of adaptation options (AAO)
Structure of the analysis
16. 16
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Climate Friendly Municipalities
17. 17
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1. 3200 municipality in Hungary
2. Online questionnaire sent
3. Recruitment of city managers and urban planners for CBA training –
Cost Benefit Analyse of sustainable urban flood prevention
4. MABISZ 13-14 November 2019 Platform meetings
Climate Friendly Municipality