1. There are currently 78,959 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in China, with most cases and deaths occurring in Hubei province. New cases are increasing outside of China. 2. The number of new daily cases outside of China surpassed the number of new cases inside China for the first time on February 26th. 3. The top countries outside of China in terms of cumulative cases are South Korea, Italy, Iran, and Japan. Many countries are seeing increasing case numbers and outbreaks.

1. Dr Guillaume Zagury
A/ « CHINA DASHBOARD »
Cumulated cases: 78,959 ( +749) Observation case: 40,011 ( -5,341) Potential cases: 2,308 ( -183)
"Serious" cases: 7,952 ( -800) Cumulative deaths: 2,791 ( +71) Healed: 36,157 ( + 6,019)
-Hubei: the majority of cumulative cases (82%), new cases (94%) and deaths (96%) - iconography 4
-O2H:Very few cases
Trends :
B/ CHINA / O2C (OUT OF CHINA): FROM EAST TO WEST?
1/ CASE (prevalence): 43.7k -China: 40 (93% of cases including Wuhan 32.3k) - cf graph 1
-O2C: 3.7k (7%)
-In other words: 10 times more cases in Wuhan than in O2C and 100 times more than in France.
-Always caution, and do not let your guard down: reliability of data, viral mutation, recovery following massive CNY returns.
2/ INCIDENCE (new cases): -Remember the key date of 26/2 (2 days ago), or for the first time, there are more new out of China/China
cases.
-This 2nd "scissor effect" is confirmed: yesterday 875 new cases (graph 2): >. O2C: 546 (66%) / China: 329 (34%)
Note: yesterday, more new cases in Korea (505) than in China!
3/ TREND: " SCISSORS EFFECT”
-Remember that the epidemic took about a good month to get out of Hubei, and go all over China (on the occasion of the CNY): graph 3
28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)
Cities :
-Beijing : 157 cases including 10 new cases yesterday,: "Cluster" - collective dormitory with a housekeeper contaminating employees - test - isolation -
surveillance
-Shanghai: 58 cases

2. Dr Guillaume Zagury
A/ "CHINA DASHBOARD"
Cas cumulés : 78,959 (hier +749) Cas observation : 40,011 (hier -5,341) Cas potentiels : 2,308 (hier -183)
Cas « graves »: 7,952 (hier -800) Décès cumulés : 2,791 (hier +71) Guéris : 36,157 (hier + 6,019)
« Trends » : Iconographie dans l’après-midi /Hubei : la majorité des cas cumulés (82%), des nouveaux cas (94%) et des décès (96 % ) - iconographie 4
/O2H :Très peu de cas
Les points importants de ce jour (J32 après les mesures de
Santé publique pour la CoroV Flu )
28 Février 2020
1/ CAS (prévalence): 43.7 k
-China : 40 (93% des cas dont Wuhan 32.3k) - cf iconographie 1
-O2C : 3.7 k (7%)
-En d’autres termes : +/- 10 fois plus de cas existants a Wuhan, que dans O2C et 100 fois plus qu’en France.
-Toujours prudence, et ne pas baisser la garde : fiabilité des datas, mutation virale, reprise suite à retours massifs CNY.
2/ INCIDENCE (nouveaux cas) : Rappelions la date clé du 26/2 (il y a 2 jours), ou pour la première fois, il y a plus de nouveaux cas Out of China/ China.
-Ce 2 eme “effet ciseau” se confirme : hier 875 nouveaux cas (iconographie 2) :
>. O2C : 546 (66%)
>>China : 329 (34%)
>>>Noter : hier, plus de nouveaux cas en Corée (505) qu’en Chine !
3/ TREND : EFFET “CISEAU”
-Rappelons que l’épidémie a mis environ un bon mois pour sortir du Hubei, et aller partout en Chine (à l’occasion du CNY) : iconographie 3
B/ CHINA / O2C (OUT OF CHINA) : DE L’EST À L’OUEST ?
Pekin:157 cas dont 10 nouveaux cas hier: “Cluster”=dortoir collectif avec une femme de ménage contaminant les employés=> test - isolement -
surveillance
Shanghai: 58 cas

3. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

4. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

5. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

6. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

7. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

8. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

9. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

10. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

11. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

12. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

13. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

14. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

15. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

16. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

17. Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)
Dr Guillaume Zagury 28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

18. Dr Guillaume Zagury
C/ DYNAMIC WORLD:40 COUNTRY - 6 CONTINENTS IN ÉBULLITION
1 PREVALENCE: "Top 5": China (40k) -Korea (1.7k) -Italy (0.6k) - Iran (0.2k) - Japan (0.2k).
-I will monitor the doubling time / country (initially: 4 days, a month ago in China).
2/ INCIDENCE: "Top 5": Korea (505)-China (319)- Italy (156) - Iran (105) - Japan (35)
(cf iconography 2 - 5: soon to be updated)
-Of course, Iran, with a geopolitical risk of major instability in the Middle East.We will address this case tomorrow.
3/ EU (geographic :-)): Top 5 - Italy - Germany - France - Spain - UK
-Countries with a disability/ China, because no single initial geographical focus (cf Hubei), but different households in parallel (ex Italy: 2-3 regions.
-Italy with 520 cases including 156 new ones yesterday (up/40%!). France, further.
4/LONDON: Great anxiety among some who stock up "just in case."
5/ CALIFORNIA: 1st case of untraceable origin (travel, patient contact) and search for "patient 0" which would therefore be little or no
symptomatic)...
6/ BRAZIL (note that the Sao Polo Stock Exchange lost 5% yesterday): interesting case to see the evolution of the virus at the time of tropical
winter)
28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

19. Dr Guillaume Zagury
1 PRÉVALENCE : « Top 5» : Chine (40k) -Corée (1.7k) -Italie (0.6k) - Iran (0.2k) - Japon (0.2k).
-Je vais monitorer le temps de doublement / pays (initiallement : 4 jours, il y a un mois en Chine).
2/ INCIDENCE : « Top 5 » : Corée (505)-China (319)- Italie (156) - Iran (105) - Japon (35)
( cf iconographie 2 & 5 : bientôt updater)
-Bien sur, l’Iran, avec un risque géopolitique d’instabilité majeur au Moyen Orient.Nous aborderons ce cas demain.
3/ EU (géographique :-)) : Top 5 - Italie - Allemagne - France - Espagne - UK
-Les pays presentent un handicap / Chine, car pas de foyer géographique initial unique (cf Hubei), mais différents foyers en parallèles (ex
Italie : 2-3 régions.
-Italie avec 520 cas dont 156 nouveaux hier (+/- 40% !). France, plus loin.
4/LONDRES : grande anxiété chez certains qui font des provisions « au cas où ».
5/ CALIFORNIE : 1 er cas d’origine non tracé (voyage, contact patient) et recherche du « patient 0 » qui serait donc peu ou pas
symptomatique)...
6/ BRÉSIL (notons que la Bourse de Sao Polo a perdu 5% hier) : cas intéressant pour voir l’évolution du virus au moment de l’hiver
tropical)
C/ DYNAMIQUE MONDE :40 PAYS & 6 CONTINENTS EN ÉBULLITION
Les points importants de ce jour (J32 après les mesures de
Santé publique pour la CoroV Flu )
28 Février 2020

20. Dr Guillaume Zagury
D/ FRANCE: VIRUS, CIRCULATE OR NOT?
1/ Double cases yesterday: 18 to 38 cases recorded (20 more)
-1st French death yesterday at the Pity (2nd in France)
2/ 3 different outbreaks: department of Oise (partially recovered contamination chain and search for "case 0"), department of Haute
Savoie, Tourist group.
3/Not yet epidemic but outbreaks:
but 2 unexplained cases and therefore looking for the patient 0 (only common point - Creil) little or no symptomatic
4/ Ministry health department dedicated number 0800 130,000 with 90 staffs...., and already saturated (45k calls on the 1st day)!
5/Each department has its own reference centre (Swab diagnosis with organic result in 8 hours)
6/ Preparing the authorities with 6 Million masks and control of 20 M (anticipation on diagnostic tests ?...)
28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)

21. Dr Guillaume Zagury
D/ FRANCE : VIRUS, CIRCULE OU PAS ?
1/ Doublement des cas, hier : de 18 à 38 cas recensés (20 de plus)
-1 er mort Français hier à la Pitié(2 eme en France)
2/ 3 différents foyers : Oise (chaîne de contamination partiellement retrouvée et recherche du « cas 0 »),Haute Savoie, Groupe de touristes.
3/Pas encore épidémie mais foyers :
mais 2 cas inexpliqués et donc recherche du patient 0(seul point commun = Creil) peu ou pas symptomatique
4/ Numéro tel dédié du Ministère Santé 0800 130 000 avec 90 staffs...., et déjà saturé (45 k appels le 1 er jour) !
5/Chaque département a son centre de référence ( Swab diagnostic avec résultat bio en 8 heures)
6/ Préparation des autorités avec 6 Millions de masques et commande de 20 M (anticipation sur les tests diagnostics ?...)
Les points importants de ce jour (J32 après les mesures de
Santé publique pour la CoroV Flu )
28 Février 2020

22. Dr Guillaume Zagury
As always, patience - prevention ( »MHS": Mask - Hand - Sick)See you tomorrow, with 6 short reasons to be serene and confident
Dr Guillaume ZAGURY
Public Health Specialist - Innovations
E/ GEOPATHOLOGY - SPORTS:
1/ FOOTBALL : Let's imagine 1 case after OL Juve.... Moreover, the Juve-Inter match (as well as 4 others) of this WE, will be played
behind closed doors.
2/ J.O TOKYO: 700 cases (including Diamond Princess) with 7 deaths; Olympic Games not questioned and should be held from 24/7 to
15/8. Remember that the Olympics have been postponed only 3 times in 110 years (1918-40-44), and that the postponement is very
unlikely (the main NBC sponsor, has its full programs in October).
3/ F1 Grand Prix F1 Shanghai: postponed
4/ TENNIS: Romania-China Davis Cup - cancellation and Romania in.
5/ CYCLING : cancellation of the last 2 stages (2 positive Italian riders).
28 February 2020The important points "live 24/7 from Shanghai" for the Covid-19 (i.e. 32 days
after the start of individual and collective public health measures)
F/ "From YIN to YANG: Diplomacy", Hubert's experience tomorrow (according to current events).

23. Dr Guillaume Zagury
Par suite, patience & prévention (“3 M”: Masque Main Malade)A demain ( avec 6 courtes raisons d’être serein et confiant)
Dr Guillaume ZAGURY
Spécialiste en Santé Publique & Innovations
E/ GEOPATHOLOGIE & SPORTS
1/ FOOT : Imaginons 1 cas après OL Juve....d’ailleurs le match Juve-Inter (ainsi que 4 autres) de ce WE, sera joué à huis clos.
2/ J.O TOKYO : 700 cas (incluant Diamond Princess) avec 7 décès ; JO non remis en cause et devrait bien se tenir du 24/7 au 15/8. Rappelons
que les JO n’ont été remis que 3 fois en 110 ans (1918-40-44), et que le report est très peu probable (la chaîne NBC principale sponsor, a ses
programmes complets en Octobre).
3/ F1 Grand Prix F1 Shanghai : reporté
4/ TENNIS : Roumanie-Chine Davis Cup - annulation et Roumanie in.
5/ CYCLISME : annulation des 2 dernières étapes (2 coureurs Italiens positifs).
Les points importants de ce jour (J32 après les mesures de
Santé publique pour la CoroV Flu )
28 Février 2020
F/ « Du YIN au YANG : Diplomatie », le vécu d’Hubert a priori demain (selon actualité).