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Ideas about forest machinery



               Fedor Grabar,
               expert of forest resources




                Helsinki, June 2012
Is Russia a place to cut more woods?


                                     removals, M3
                 M3/ha
                3,5
                  3
                                                  Sweden
                2,5        Finland
                                                                 USA
                  2
                1,5
                  1                     Canada
                0,5                   Russia
                  0
                      75      95            115      135   155         175

                             stock, M3/ha
What are the reasons to have domestic
machinery?


                         Distribution of machines

  100%


  80%


  60%
                                                     -cost of logging (2011)

  40%

             FT                    CTL
  20%


   0%
     1991г                                   2011г

                  domestic         foreign
Buying new machines or increasing the
efficiency of the old ones?

                                                      Distribution of time


   Key indicators (final cuttings)         Season&we
                                              ather        Other, 6%
                                            downtime,
                                            vacations,
                                              17%
Machines age           years         5,7                                     Works, 54%
Tree volume              m3      0,18
                                             Service,
Productivity          M3/hour        9,9     spairs,
                                            waiting for
                                           spareparts,
                                              23%
Will new volumes come out of
thinnings?

                Distribution of cuttings




           5%
  Russia
                                    95%

                                           thinnings
                                           final cuttings

                    35%
 Finland
                            65%
Is there a chance for competition
with oil&gas?


                         In direction toward European gas
 Cost of residues          prices for Russian customers

                              2010            50%
                              2011            60%

               Finland        2012            70%

               Russia         2013            90%
                              2014            100%
Are the excavators going East?

    Cost of forest roads construction (per km)

                          >40%


                                    fact
                                    modern technology
       Rep. of   Vologda and
       Karelia   Arkhangelsk
                   regions
What are the ways for market
developing?

   State order – great order

   Service, service, service

   Creating market – creating contractors

   Web / crowdsourcing / TVshows&games

   Making forest machines everyday life machines
Are there opportunities for win-win
cooperation in forest sector?

   Wood supplies and
    swaps

   Logistics and
    infrastructure

   Labor forces,
    entrepreneurship

   Technologies, data,
    knowledge
Thank you for attention

 Contact:
 grabarfedor@gmail.com

 Thanks for help:
 - Oleg Shubin, expert of forest industry,
   oleg.shubin@mail.ru
 - Elena Anufrieva, independent analyst,
   anufrieva.elena@ro.ru

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Forest_machines_helsinki_201206

  • 1. Ideas about forest machinery Fedor Grabar, expert of forest resources Helsinki, June 2012
  • 2. Is Russia a place to cut more woods? removals, M3 M3/ha 3,5 3 Sweden 2,5 Finland USA 2 1,5 1 Canada 0,5 Russia 0 75 95 115 135 155 175 stock, M3/ha
  • 3. What are the reasons to have domestic machinery? Distribution of machines 100% 80% 60% -cost of logging (2011) 40% FT CTL 20% 0% 1991г 2011г domestic foreign
  • 4. Buying new machines or increasing the efficiency of the old ones? Distribution of time Key indicators (final cuttings) Season&we ather Other, 6% downtime, vacations, 17% Machines age years 5,7 Works, 54% Tree volume m3 0,18 Service, Productivity M3/hour 9,9 spairs, waiting for spareparts, 23%
  • 5. Will new volumes come out of thinnings? Distribution of cuttings 5% Russia 95% thinnings final cuttings 35% Finland 65%
  • 6. Is there a chance for competition with oil&gas? In direction toward European gas Cost of residues prices for Russian customers 2010 50% 2011 60% Finland 2012 70% Russia 2013 90% 2014 100%
  • 7. Are the excavators going East? Cost of forest roads construction (per km) >40% fact modern technology Rep. of Vologda and Karelia Arkhangelsk regions
  • 8. What are the ways for market developing?  State order – great order  Service, service, service  Creating market – creating contractors  Web / crowdsourcing / TVshows&games  Making forest machines everyday life machines
  • 9. Are there opportunities for win-win cooperation in forest sector?  Wood supplies and swaps  Logistics and infrastructure  Labor forces, entrepreneurship  Technologies, data, knowledge
  • 10. Thank you for attention Contact: grabarfedor@gmail.com Thanks for help: - Oleg Shubin, expert of forest industry, oleg.shubin@mail.ru - Elena Anufrieva, independent analyst, anufrieva.elena@ro.ru