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Renewable Energy is
a Strategic Option for KSA
Eng. Hamed A. Al Saggaf
IPP & RE Sector Executive Director
Saudi Electricity Company
1
Renewable
Energy is a
Strategic
Option for
KSA
Demand Challenges
RE is a Strategic Option
SEC Initiatives
Content
2
KSA Initiatives of RE
RE Challenges
21,7
23,6 23,9
26,3 27,8
29,9 31,2
35,0
38,0
41,2
45,7
48,4
51,9
53,9
56,5
62,3
59,0
62,5
66,3
70,3
74,5
79,0
83,7
88,7
94,0
99,7
105,7
112,0
115,7
119,0
122,6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
GW
Demand Challenges
3
RE is a strategic option
Production and consumption of oil in Saudi Arabia
Million
Barrel/Day
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
10.5
10.9
10.7
10.3 10.7
9.7
10.1
11.1
11.6
11.5
2013
~12
11.5
3.1
2045
Oil Consumption
Oil Production
~16
Production Year
Current technical production limits
Oil consumption Available for Export
4
RE is a strategic option
Generating Types – Subsidized Fuel Price Generating Types – Market Fuel Price
85 92
108
314
706
354
275
340
1062
174
69 74 91
171
392
213
158
232
751
119
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
SCGT
CCGT
Steam
PV
CSP
Wind
Geo-Thermal
Nuclear
PV
Storage
ISCC
379
312
655
314
706
354
275
340
1062
379
261
218
354
171
392
213
158
232
751
253
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
SCGT
CCGT
Steam
PV
CSP
Wind
Geo-Thermal
Nuclear
PV
Storage
ISCC
SAR/MWh
SAR/MWh
The average of levelized electricity cost
5
RE is a strategic option
Comparison of Fuel Prices
6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Diesel ($/bbl) Crude oil ($/bbl) Heavy Oil ($/bbl) Gas ($/MMBTU)
$/Barrel
PV Breakeven SEC new Price International
34,3 35,2
41,0
46,7
54,4
56,6 57,8
62,3 61,4
53,7
42,4
36,6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
SEC Contribution during peak load
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Monthly average for solar energy
25 stations in KSA for solar radiation monitoring
Watt
hour/m
2
/day
RE VS Annual peak load
7
Load GW
RE is a strategic option
• Wind speed at high potential areas
8.5 m second/year
• Expected generation 400 – 700 kWh/m2
• KSA Wind energy potentials 100–175 TWh/year
Solar Radiation
• Average sunrise 8.4 to 9.2 hour/day
• KSA receives highest rate of solar radiations
2080 to 2450 kWh/m2/year
• Solar PV potentials 732-953 TWh/year
Wind Speed (m/second)
KSA Resources of RE
8
RE is a strategic option
Waad Al Shamal
Al Guryat
Al Aqaba Al Jouf
Rafha
Hurimla
Mahd Al Dhahab
Umloj
Farasan Najran
Sharora
Duba
Layla Al Aflag
Joba
Madinah
Al Laith
Selected sites for SEC renewable energy initiatives
9
SEC Initiatives
KSA has the natural
resources of sun and
wind
High cost of diesel
consumption
high cost of diesel fuel
transportation to
remote areas
High cost of
generation in
selected areas
Drivers for SEC initiatives
SEC Initiatives
10
11
SEC Vision for RE:
Explore RE Resources in the
Kingdom to save liquid fuel, reduce
emissions, protect environment and
improve public health.
Current status on RE (SEC):
Initiated Projects
Capacity
(MW)
Expected
Operation
Al Jouf IPP PV 80
End by 2017
Rafha IPP PV 20
Umluj IPP Wind 50
Operational Projects Capacity (KW)
Farasan Solar PV
Project
500
2 Rooftop on 2
Schools
60
Ongoing Projects: Capacity (MW)
Duba CSP 50
Wa’ad Al-Shamal CSP 50
Solar PV Layla Aflaj 10 – 50
Huraymila Wind 2.7
SEC Initiatives
12
Subsidy on Fuel
RE Impacts on
Grid Stability
Technological
Aspects
Harsh Climate Operational Practices
& Reserve
Management
RE Challenges
KSA Initiatives of RE
Adding 3.45 GW of RE
to National Energy Mix
Adding 9.5 GW of RE
to National Energy Mix
Sector Structure and Commercial Model:
Best Practices Based on our benchmarks
Strong Policy Making
Ministry of energy to control the Integrated Resource Planning process and
support its implementation
Integrated
conventional and RE
procurement
IPP procurement for both conventional and Renewable Energy to exist within
one entity – Principal Buyer
De-Risking Private
Sector Investments
Remove private sector hurdles by providing land, conducting geotechnical,
environmental and interconnection studies. SLA’s will need to be signed
between concerned stakeholders
Clarity of
procurement process
A procurement model with well-defined evaluation and qualification criteria,
transparent and eliminate conflict of interest.
Cost-recovery
assurances
Ensure cost recovery for IPP investors through an independent body.
Governance
All key principles are adhered (e.g. transparent, competitiveness, and no conflict
of interest, etc.), the Boards/IPP office representation need to be ‘Neutral’
Timaa (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,292 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 1,217 MW
RANIA (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,234 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 89 MW
MADINAH Taibah (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,234 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 263 MW
TAIF (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,321 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 100 MW
TABUK (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,237 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load; 975 MW
5th
8th
13th
14th
15th
AL BAHA (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,237 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 52.5 MW
NAJRAN (Area I)
Average GHI: 2,438 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 483 MW
SHARURAH (Area I)
Average GHI: 2,424 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 126 MW
AFIF (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,292 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: MW
1st 2nd
7th
12th
SHAQRA (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,245 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 2.5 MW
RIYADH R. Station (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,256 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 10,819 MW
AL-DAWADMI (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,285 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: MW
LAYLA Aflaaj (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,336 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 110 MW
WADI ADDASIR (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,336 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 316 MW
RIYADH KA Care City (Area II)
Average GHI: 2,307 kWh/m2/year
Peak Load: 10,819 MW
3rd
4th
6th
10th
9th
11th
15 High Annual GHI Potential Cities (kWh/m2/year)
Note:
1.Area I (High) ;≥ 2,400 kWh/m2/year
2.Area II (Medium); ≥ 2,200 to 2,399 kWh/m2/year
15 High Wind Potential Areas of Saudi Arabia
Aqaba
Area I: 500 km2
Wind Speed; 9.5–12 m/s
Esti. Potential; 2,000 MW
Alkhuraybah
Area II: 200 km2
Wind Speed; 7.8 – 8.7 m/s
Esti. Potential; 800 MW
Alshadakh
Area II : 225 km2
Wind Speed; 7.8– 8.3 m/s
Esti. Potential; 850 MW
Bani Amr
Area II : 100 km2
Wind Speed; 7.9 – 8.3 m/s
Esti. Potential; 400 MW
Near Abshakeyr
Area II: 325 km2
Wind Speed; 7.6– 8.1 m/s
Esti. Potential; 1,300 MW
Halaba Aseer
Area II : 150 km2
Wind Speed; 7.8 – 8.2 m/s
Esti. Potential; 600 MW
Near Sharmaa
Area II: 400 km2
Wind Speed; 8 – 9 m/s
Esti. Potential; 1,600 MW
1
2
3
4 5 6 7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Bil Haris
Area II : 100 km2
Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.1 m/s
Esti. Potential; 400 MW
Alkaleba Baha
Area II : 150 km2
Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.3 m/s
Esti. Potential; 600 MW
Shaib Al Arar
Area II: 100 km2
Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.5 m/s
Esti. Potential; 400 MW
Al Baha
Area II : 70 km2
Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.1 m/s
Esti. Potential; 250 MW
Near Sehat
Area II : 100 km2
Wind Speed; 7.9 – 8.2 m/s
Esti. Potential; 400 MW
Near Bni Saad
Area II : 200 km2
Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.2 m/s
Esti. Potential; 800 MW
Near Shigry
Area II : 100 km2
Wind Speed; 7.8– 8.1 m/s
Esti. Potential; 400 MW
Al Bad’
Area II : 50 km2
Wind Speed; 7.7– 8.3 m/s
Esti. Potential; 200 MW

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7. Session 2_Eng. Hamed Al Saggaf_Saudi Electricity Company.pdf

  • 1. Renewable Energy is a Strategic Option for KSA Eng. Hamed A. Al Saggaf IPP & RE Sector Executive Director Saudi Electricity Company 1
  • 2. Renewable Energy is a Strategic Option for KSA Demand Challenges RE is a Strategic Option SEC Initiatives Content 2 KSA Initiatives of RE RE Challenges
  • 3. 21,7 23,6 23,9 26,3 27,8 29,9 31,2 35,0 38,0 41,2 45,7 48,4 51,9 53,9 56,5 62,3 59,0 62,5 66,3 70,3 74,5 79,0 83,7 88,7 94,0 99,7 105,7 112,0 115,7 119,0 122,6 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 GW Demand Challenges 3
  • 4. RE is a strategic option Production and consumption of oil in Saudi Arabia Million Barrel/Day 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 10.5 10.9 10.7 10.3 10.7 9.7 10.1 11.1 11.6 11.5 2013 ~12 11.5 3.1 2045 Oil Consumption Oil Production ~16 Production Year Current technical production limits Oil consumption Available for Export 4
  • 5. RE is a strategic option Generating Types – Subsidized Fuel Price Generating Types – Market Fuel Price 85 92 108 314 706 354 275 340 1062 174 69 74 91 171 392 213 158 232 751 119 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 SCGT CCGT Steam PV CSP Wind Geo-Thermal Nuclear PV Storage ISCC 379 312 655 314 706 354 275 340 1062 379 261 218 354 171 392 213 158 232 751 253 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 SCGT CCGT Steam PV CSP Wind Geo-Thermal Nuclear PV Storage ISCC SAR/MWh SAR/MWh The average of levelized electricity cost 5
  • 6. RE is a strategic option Comparison of Fuel Prices 6 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Diesel ($/bbl) Crude oil ($/bbl) Heavy Oil ($/bbl) Gas ($/MMBTU) $/Barrel PV Breakeven SEC new Price International
  • 7. 34,3 35,2 41,0 46,7 54,4 56,6 57,8 62,3 61,4 53,7 42,4 36,6 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 SEC Contribution during peak load 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Monthly average for solar energy 25 stations in KSA for solar radiation monitoring Watt hour/m 2 /day RE VS Annual peak load 7 Load GW RE is a strategic option
  • 8. • Wind speed at high potential areas 8.5 m second/year • Expected generation 400 – 700 kWh/m2 • KSA Wind energy potentials 100–175 TWh/year Solar Radiation • Average sunrise 8.4 to 9.2 hour/day • KSA receives highest rate of solar radiations 2080 to 2450 kWh/m2/year • Solar PV potentials 732-953 TWh/year Wind Speed (m/second) KSA Resources of RE 8 RE is a strategic option
  • 9. Waad Al Shamal Al Guryat Al Aqaba Al Jouf Rafha Hurimla Mahd Al Dhahab Umloj Farasan Najran Sharora Duba Layla Al Aflag Joba Madinah Al Laith Selected sites for SEC renewable energy initiatives 9 SEC Initiatives
  • 10. KSA has the natural resources of sun and wind High cost of diesel consumption high cost of diesel fuel transportation to remote areas High cost of generation in selected areas Drivers for SEC initiatives SEC Initiatives 10
  • 11. 11 SEC Vision for RE: Explore RE Resources in the Kingdom to save liquid fuel, reduce emissions, protect environment and improve public health. Current status on RE (SEC): Initiated Projects Capacity (MW) Expected Operation Al Jouf IPP PV 80 End by 2017 Rafha IPP PV 20 Umluj IPP Wind 50 Operational Projects Capacity (KW) Farasan Solar PV Project 500 2 Rooftop on 2 Schools 60 Ongoing Projects: Capacity (MW) Duba CSP 50 Wa’ad Al-Shamal CSP 50 Solar PV Layla Aflaj 10 – 50 Huraymila Wind 2.7 SEC Initiatives
  • 12. 12 Subsidy on Fuel RE Impacts on Grid Stability Technological Aspects Harsh Climate Operational Practices & Reserve Management RE Challenges
  • 13. KSA Initiatives of RE Adding 3.45 GW of RE to National Energy Mix Adding 9.5 GW of RE to National Energy Mix
  • 14. Sector Structure and Commercial Model: Best Practices Based on our benchmarks Strong Policy Making Ministry of energy to control the Integrated Resource Planning process and support its implementation Integrated conventional and RE procurement IPP procurement for both conventional and Renewable Energy to exist within one entity – Principal Buyer De-Risking Private Sector Investments Remove private sector hurdles by providing land, conducting geotechnical, environmental and interconnection studies. SLA’s will need to be signed between concerned stakeholders Clarity of procurement process A procurement model with well-defined evaluation and qualification criteria, transparent and eliminate conflict of interest. Cost-recovery assurances Ensure cost recovery for IPP investors through an independent body. Governance All key principles are adhered (e.g. transparent, competitiveness, and no conflict of interest, etc.), the Boards/IPP office representation need to be ‘Neutral’
  • 15.
  • 16. Timaa (Area II) Average GHI: 2,292 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 1,217 MW RANIA (Area II) Average GHI: 2,234 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 89 MW MADINAH Taibah (Area II) Average GHI: 2,234 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 263 MW TAIF (Area II) Average GHI: 2,321 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 100 MW TABUK (Area II) Average GHI: 2,237 kWh/m2/year Peak Load; 975 MW 5th 8th 13th 14th 15th AL BAHA (Area II) Average GHI: 2,237 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 52.5 MW NAJRAN (Area I) Average GHI: 2,438 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 483 MW SHARURAH (Area I) Average GHI: 2,424 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 126 MW AFIF (Area II) Average GHI: 2,292 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: MW 1st 2nd 7th 12th SHAQRA (Area II) Average GHI: 2,245 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 2.5 MW RIYADH R. Station (Area II) Average GHI: 2,256 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 10,819 MW AL-DAWADMI (Area II) Average GHI: 2,285 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: MW LAYLA Aflaaj (Area II) Average GHI: 2,336 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 110 MW WADI ADDASIR (Area II) Average GHI: 2,336 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 316 MW RIYADH KA Care City (Area II) Average GHI: 2,307 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 10,819 MW 3rd 4th 6th 10th 9th 11th 15 High Annual GHI Potential Cities (kWh/m2/year) Note: 1.Area I (High) ;≥ 2,400 kWh/m2/year 2.Area II (Medium); ≥ 2,200 to 2,399 kWh/m2/year
  • 17. 15 High Wind Potential Areas of Saudi Arabia Aqaba Area I: 500 km2 Wind Speed; 9.5–12 m/s Esti. Potential; 2,000 MW Alkhuraybah Area II: 200 km2 Wind Speed; 7.8 – 8.7 m/s Esti. Potential; 800 MW Alshadakh Area II : 225 km2 Wind Speed; 7.8– 8.3 m/s Esti. Potential; 850 MW Bani Amr Area II : 100 km2 Wind Speed; 7.9 – 8.3 m/s Esti. Potential; 400 MW Near Abshakeyr Area II: 325 km2 Wind Speed; 7.6– 8.1 m/s Esti. Potential; 1,300 MW Halaba Aseer Area II : 150 km2 Wind Speed; 7.8 – 8.2 m/s Esti. Potential; 600 MW Near Sharmaa Area II: 400 km2 Wind Speed; 8 – 9 m/s Esti. Potential; 1,600 MW 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Bil Haris Area II : 100 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.1 m/s Esti. Potential; 400 MW Alkaleba Baha Area II : 150 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.3 m/s Esti. Potential; 600 MW Shaib Al Arar Area II: 100 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.5 m/s Esti. Potential; 400 MW Al Baha Area II : 70 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.1 m/s Esti. Potential; 250 MW Near Sehat Area II : 100 km2 Wind Speed; 7.9 – 8.2 m/s Esti. Potential; 400 MW Near Bni Saad Area II : 200 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.2 m/s Esti. Potential; 800 MW Near Shigry Area II : 100 km2 Wind Speed; 7.8– 8.1 m/s Esti. Potential; 400 MW Al Bad’ Area II : 50 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7– 8.3 m/s Esti. Potential; 200 MW