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2. GBP/USD 1.6027
GBP/EUR 1.1865
EUR/USD 1.3500
GBPAUD 1.7119
GBP/CAD 1.6521
GBP/CHF 1.4591
GBP/CZK 30.729
GBP/DKK 8.846
GBP/HKD 12.4235
GBP/INR 99.50
GBP/JPY 157.957
GBP/NOK 9.6542
GBP/NZD 1.9491
GBP/PLN 5.0044
GBP/SEK 10.31
GBP/SGD 2.0108
GBP/THB 50.09
GBP/TRY 3.21786
GBP/ZAR 15.85
GBP/CNY 9.7964
Forex: New Zealand Dollar Sinks As Trade
Data Weighs On RBNZ Outlook
Forex: EURJPY Faces The Deepest Reversal
But NZDJPY More Active
USD Rebound at Risk as Durable Goods to Fall
for Second Month
Trading the News: U.S. Durable Goods Orders
Demands for U.S. Durable Goods are expected to contract
another 0.2% in August and the slowdown in private sector
consumption may drag on the dollar as it limits the Fed’s
scope to taper the asset-purchase program at the October
29-30 meeting.
What’s Expected:
Time of release: 09/25/201312:30 GMT, 8:30 EDT
Primary Pair Impact:EURUSD
Expected: -0.2%
Previous: -7.3%
DailyFX Forecast: -1.0% to 1.0%
Why Is This Event Important:
With the ongoing discussion at the Fed to scale back on
quantitative easing, data highlighting a slower recovery may
prompt the central bank to further delay the exit strategy,
and the committee may present a greater argument to carry
its highly accommodative policy stance into 2014 should the
fundamental developments coming out of the U.S. dampen
the outlook for growth and inflation.
TRADING TIPS
BUY EURUSD ABOVE 1.3540 TGT
1.3560/1.3580 SL 1.3510
SELL USDJPY BELOW 98.30 TGT
98.10/97.90 SL 98.60
BUY GBPUSD ABOVE 1.6080 TGT
1.6100/1.6120 SL 1.6050
HEADLINES
7. HOURLY USD INDEX CHART
ANALYSIS
USD INDEX LOOKS DOWNWARD
TREND: BEARISH
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
MACD =>.0001(BEARISH SIGNAL)
RSI =>3(BEARISH SIGNAL)
8. Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes
Mon
Sep 23
01:45
CNY HSBC/Markit
Flash Mfg PMI (SEP)
Medium 51.2 50.9 50.1
07:00
EUR French
Purchasing Manager
Index Manufacturing
(SEP P)
Low 49.5 50.1 49.7
07:00
EUR French
Purchasing Manager
Index Services (SEP P)
Low 50.7 49.6 48.9
07:00
CHF Money Supply M3
(YoY) (AUG)
Low 10.4% 10.8%
07:00
CHF KOF Institute
September Economic
Forecast
Medium
07:30
EUR German
Purchasing Manager
Index Manufacturing
(SEP A)
Medium 51.3 52.2 51.8
07:30
EUR German
Purchasing Manager
Index Services (SEP A)
Medium 54.4 53.0 52.8
08:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Purchasing Manager
Index Manufacturing
(SEP A)
Medium 51.1 51.7 51.4
08:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Purchasing Manager
Index Services (SEP A)
Medium 52.1 51.0 50.7
08:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Purchasing Manager
Index Composite (SEP
A)
Medium 52.1 51.8 51.5
12:30
USD Chicago Fed Nat
Activity Index (AUG)
Medium 0.14 -0.05 -0.43
12:58
USD Markit US PMI
Preliminary (SEP)
Medium 54.0
13:20
USD Fed's Lockhart to
Speak in New York
Low
13:30
USD Fed's Dudley to
Speak to Fordham Wall
Street Council
Low
17:30
USD Fed's Fisher
Speaks in Texas
Low
21:00
USD EIA Gasoline and
Diesel Fuel Update
Low
Tue
Sep 24
05:00
JPY Supermarket Sales
(YoY) (AUG)
Low -0.5%
08:00
EUR German IFO -
Business Climate (SEP)
Medium 108.0 107.5
08:00
EUR German IFO -
Current Assessment
(SEP)
Medium 112.6 112.0
08:00
EUR German IFO -
Expectations (SEP)
Medium 104.0 103.3
08:30
GBP BBA Loans for
House Purchase (AUG)
Medium 38000 37200
ECONOMIC CALLENDER
9. 12:30
CAD Retail Sales
(MoM) (JUL)
Medium 0.5% -0.6%
12:30
CAD Retail Sales Less
Autos (MoM) (JUL)
Low 0.6% -0.8%
13:00
USD S&P/CS 20 City
s.a. (MoM) (JUL)
Low 0.8% 0.9%
13:00
USD S&P/Case-Shiller
Composite-20 (YoY)
(JUL)
Low 12.5% 12.1%
13:00
USD S&P/Case-Shiller
Home Price Index (JUL)
Low 159.54
13:00
USD House Price Index
(MoM) (JUL)
Medium 0.9% 0.7%
13:30
USD Fed's Pianalto
Speaks on Payment
Systems in Chicago
Low
14:00
USD Richmond Fed
Manufacturing Index
(SEP)
Low 14
14:00
USD Consumer
Confidence (SEP)
High 80.3 81.5
17:00
USD Fed's George
Delivers Introductory
Remarks in Chicago
Low
22:45
NZD Trade Balance
(New Zealand dollars)
(AUG)
Medium -700M -774M
22:45
NZD Exports (New
Zealand dollars) (AUG)
Low 3.54B 3.85B
22:45
NZD Imports (New
Zealand dollars) (AUG)
Low 4.30B 4.62B
22:45
NZD Balance (YTD)
(New Zealand dollars)
(AUG)
Medium -1550M -1688M
23:50
JPY Corporate Service
Price (YoY) (AUG)
Low 0.5% 0.4%
Wed
Sep 25
EUR German Import
Price Index (MoM)
(AUG)
Low 0.1% 0.3%
EUR German Import
Price Index (YoY)
(AUG)
Low -3.7% -2.6%
01:00
AUD DEWR Skilled
Vacancies (MoM)
(AUG)
Low 0.7%
05:00
JPY Small Business
Confidence (SEP)
Medium 49.7
06:00
CHF UBS Consumption
Indicator (AUG)
Medium 1.41
06:00
EUR German GfK
Consumer Confidence
Survey (OCT)
Medium 7 6.9
06:00
JPY Machine Tool
Orders (YoY) (AUG F)
Medium -1.8%
10:00
GBP CBI Reported
Sales (SEP)
Low 24 27
11:00
USD MBA Mortgage
Applications (SEP 20)
Medium 11.2%
10. 12:30
USD Durable Goods
Orders (AUG)
High -0.1% -7.3%
12:30
USD Durables Ex
Transportation (AUG)
Medium 1.1% -0.6%
12:30
USD Cap Goods
Orders Nondef Ex Air
(AUG)
Low 1.2% -3.3%
12:30
USD Cap Goods Ship
Nondef Ex Air (AUG)
Low -1.5%
14:00
USD New Home Sales
(AUG)
Low 425K 394K
14:00
USD New Home Sales
(MoM) (AUG)
Medium 7.9% -13.4%
14:30
USD DOE U.S. Crude
Oil Inventories (SEP
20)
Low -4368K
14:30
USD DOE Cushing OK
Crude Inventory (SEP
20)
Low -861K
14:30
USD DOE U.S.
Gasoline Inventories
(SEP 20)
Low -1627K
14:30
USD DOE U.S.
Distillate Inventory
(SEP 20)
Low -1079K
16:00
USD Household
Change in Net Worth
(2Q)
Low $3003B
Thu
Sep 26
01:30
AUD Job vacancies
(SEP)
Low -7.3%
08:00
EUR Euro-Zone M3 s.a.
(YoY) (AUG)
Low 2.2% 2.2%
08:00
EUR Euro-Zone M3 s.a.
(3M) (AUG)
Low 2.3% 2.5%
08:30
GBP Current Account
(Pounds) (2Q)
Low -10.0B -14.5B
08:30
GBP Gross Domestic
Product (QoQ) (2Q F)
Medium 0.7% 0.7%
08:30
GBP Gross Domestic
Product (YoY) (2Q F)
High 1.5% 1.5%
08:30
GBP Total Business
Investment (QoQ) (2Q
F)
Low 0.9% 0.9%
08:30
GBP Total Business
Investment (YoY) (2Q
F)
Low -3.5% -3.5%
12:30
USD Initial Jobless
Claims (SEP 20)
Medium 309K
12:30
USD Continuing Claims
(SEP 13)
Low 2787K
12:30
USD Gross Domestic
Product (Annualized)
(2Q T)
Medium 2.7% 2.5%
12:30
USD Personal
Consumption (2Q T)
Medium 1.8% 1.8%
12:30
USD Gross Domestic
Product Price Index (2Q
T)
Medium 0.8% 0.8%
11. 12:30
USD Core Personal
Consumption
Expenditure (QoQ) (2Q
T)
Medium 0.8%
14:00
USD Pending Home
Sales (MoM) (AUG)
Low -1.0% -1.3%
14:00
USD Pending Home
Sales (YoY) (AUG)
Medium 8.6%
14:30
USD EIA Natural Gas
Storage Change (SEP
20)
Low 46
15:00
USD Kansas City Fed
Manf. Activity (SEP)
Low 8
16:15
USD Fed's
Kocherlakota Speaks in
Minnesota
Low
22:15
EUR ECB's Coeure
Speaks in New York
Low
23:05
GBP GfK Consumer
Confidence Survey
(SEP)
Medium -11 -13
23:30
JPY National Consumer
Price Index (YoY)
(AUG)
High 0.8% 0.7%
23:30
JPY National Consumer
Price Index Ex-Fresh
Food (YoY) (AUG)
High 0.7% 0.7%
23:30
JPY National Consumer
Price Index Ex Food,
Energy (YoY) (AUG)
High -0.1% -0.1%
23:30
JPY Tokyo Consumer
Price Index (YoY)
(SEP)
Low 0.5% 0.5%
23:30
JPY Tokyo Consumer
Price Index Ex-Fresh
Food (YoY) (SEP)
Low 0.3% 0.4%
23:30
JPY Tokyo Consumer
Price Index Ex Food,
Energy (YoY) (SEP)
Low -0.3% -0.4%
23:50
JPY Japan Buying
Foreign Bonds (Yen)
(SEP 20)
Medium ¥921.6B
23:50
JPY Japan Buying
Foreign Stocks (Yen)
(SEP 20)
Medium -¥50.2B
23:50
JPY Foreign Buying
Japan Bonds (Yen)
(SEP 20)
Low ¥112.8B
23:50
JPY Foreign Buying
Japan Stocks (Yen)
(SEP 20)
Low ¥153.5B
Fri
Sep 27
01:15
USD Fed's George
Speaks on Economy in
Denver
Low
01:30
CNY Industrial Profits
YTD (YoY) (AUG)
Medium 11.1%
01:45
CNY MNI September
Business Sentiment
Indicator
Low
06:45
EUR French Gross
Domestic Product
(QoQ) (2Q F)
Low 0.5% 0.5%
06:45
EUR French Gross
Domestic Product
(YoY) (2Q F)
Low 0.3% 0.3%
07:00
CHF KOF Swiss
Leading Indicator (SEP)
Medium 1.36
12. 08:30
GBP Lloyds Business
Barometer (JUL)
Low 0.5% 0.0%
08:30
GBP Index of Services
(3Mo3M) (JUL)
Low 0.6% 0.6%
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Business Climate
Indicator (SEP)
Low -0.09 -0.21
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Economic Confidence
(SEP)
Medium 95.9 95.2
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Industrial Confidence
(SEP)
Medium -7 -7.9
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Consumer Confidence
(SEP F)
Medium
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Services Confidence
(SEP)
Medium -5 -5.3
09:45
USD Fed's Evans
Speaks on Economy
and Monetary Policy in
Oslo
Low
12:00
EUR German
Consumer Price Index
(MoM) (SEP P)
Medium 0.0% 0.0%
12:00
EUR German
Consumer Price Index
(YoY) (SEP P)
High 1.5% 1.5%
12:00
EUR German
Consumer Price Index -
EU Harmonised (MoM)
(SEP P)
Medium 0.1% 0.0%
12:00
EUR German
Consumer Price Index -
EU Harmonised (YoY)
(SEP P)
High 1.6% 1.6%
12:30
CAD Average Weekly
Earnings (YoY) (JUL)
Low 2.6%
12:30
USD Fed's Rosengren
to Give Opening
Remarks at Conference
in NY
Low
12:30
USD Personal Income
(AUG)
Medium 0.4% 0.1%
12:30
USD Personal
Spending (AUG)
Medium 0.3% 0.1%
12:30
USD Personal
Consumption
Expenditure Deflator
(MoM) (AUG)
Low 0.1% 0.1%
12:30
USD Personal
Consumption
Expenditure Deflator
(YoY) (AUG)
Low 1.2% 1.4%
12:30
USD Personal
Consumption
Expenditure Core
(MoM) (AUG)
Low 0.1% 0.1%
12:30
USD Personal
Consumption
Expenditure Core (YoY)
(AUG)
Medium 1.2% 1.2%
13:55
USD U. of Michigan
Confidence (SEP F)
Medium 78.0 76.8
14:15
USD Fed's Evans
Discusses Economy on
Panel in Oslo
Low
13. 18:00
USD Fed's Dudley to
Speak on the Economy
in Syracuse, NY
Low
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