33 AI PhDs were surveyed about the AI that they believe to be most pressing in the next 100 years. A report by Emerj AI Research

1. TECHEMERGENCE CONSENSUS:
100-YEAR ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE RISK
The data from this consensus was collected between October and December of 2015

2. In this TechEmergence Consensus, we contacted a
total of 33 artificial intelligence researchers (all
except one hold a PhD) and asked them about the
AI risks that they believe to be the most pressing in
the next 100 years.
This slidedeck displays the major trends of
responses as well as some of the most poignant
quotes from the recognized experts we spoke with.

3. Access to the complete data set and all quotes
and answers from all the researchers that we
connected with for our 20 year and 100 year AI
Risk Consensus as well as our AI Conciousness
Consensus is available for free download as a
spreadsheet or Google Sheet in the link below:
>> CLICK HERE

4. 0 2 4 6 8 10
© TechEmergence Risk Consensus October-December 2015
MOST LIKELY AI RISK IN THE NEXT 100 YEARS
27.27%
21.21%
15.15%
12.12%
9.09%
9.09%
3%
TECHNOLOGY MISMANAGEMENT
AUTOMATION/ECONOMY
NONE GIVEN
SUPERINTELLIGENCE
KILLER ROBOTS
TECHNOLOGICAL TYRANY
MERGER OF MAN AND MACHINE
NO. OF RESPONSES
RESPONSETYPE&OVERALLPERCENTAGE

5. We’ve selected one or two quotes from each of
the major response categories including
“automation and technology mismanagement.”
Beneath each quote is a link (if available) of our
complete interview with this guest on the
TechEmergence Podcast.
* These consensus answers were recorded seperately from our podcasts interviews, but most podcasts are focused on
related topics around the implications and applications of artificial intelligence.

6. TECHNOLOGY MISMANAGEMENT
I think the biggest risk is that in the rush to create new
technologies we lose touch with aspects of our humanity that are
precious to us.
- Dr. Steve Omohundro
PhD in Mathematical Physics | Author, Scientist, Physicist, Entrepreneur
>> CLICK HERE
Listen to or read our full interview with Dr. Steve Omohundro at techemergence.com:

7. TECHNOLOGY MISMANAGEMENT
Applying immature research results in practical situations. Again, it
can happen in many domains.
- Dr. Pei Wang
PhD Computer Science, Indiana University | Associate Professor of Computer Science
at Temple University
>> CLICK HERE
Listen to or read our full interview with Dr. Pei Wang at techemergence.com:

8. AUTOMATION/ECONOMY
Brain emulation based AI will become feasible and then cheap
enough to completely change and take over the world economy.
Many bad things can happen during and as a result of such a
distributive transition.
- Dr. Robin D Hanson
PhD in Social Sciences, CalTech | Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University
Chief Scientist at Consensus Point | Author

9. AUTOMATION/ECONOMY
Unrest and upheaval because of changes in professional and, as a
consequence, social needs and structures
- Dr. Pieter Mosterman
PhD, Vanderbilt University | Senior Research Scientist at MathWorks in Natick, Massachusetts
Adjunct Professor at School of Computer Science, McGill University
>> CLICK HERE
Listen to or read our full interview with Dr. Dr. Pieter Mosterman at techemergence.com:

10. NONE GIVEN
It is hard to believe that AI will be an actual risk. Any advance
technology have their own risks, for example the flight control of
the space shuttle can fail and generate an accident. However, the
technology used to control the space shuttle itself it is not
dangerous.
- Dr. Eduardo Torres Jara
Assistant Professor of Robotic Engineering at Worschester Polytechnic Institute
>> CLICK HERE
Read our full interview with Dr. Eduardo Torres Jara at techemergence.com:

11. NONE GIVEN
I am inclined to think that over this time-period legislative frame-
works and our general understanding will have made damaging AI
less likely.
- Dr. Sean Holden
PhD in Engineering, Corpus Christi | Senior Lecturer in Machine Learning a
Cambridge University

12. SUPERINTELLIGENCE
Replacement of humans by ‘thinking’ machines in our
ecological niche as the dominant intelligence on earth
- Dr. Lyle Ungar
Professor of Computer and Information Science, Bioengineering Science, Genomics and
Computational Biology, Operations and Information Management, and Psychology at the
University of Pennsylvania
>> CLICK HERE
Listen to or read our full interview with Dr. Lyle Ungar at techemergence.com:

13. TECHNOLOGICAL TYRANY
Oppression aided by AI under the guise of “enforcing laws”
where laws are written by corrupt and self-serving legislators.
- Dr. Andras Kornai
PhD in Linguistics, Stanford | Professor at the Budapest Institute of Technology | Senior Scientific Advisor
at Computer and Automation Research Institute of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences
>> CLICK HERE
Listen to or read our full interview with Dr. Andras Kornia at techemergence.com:

14. TECHNOLOGICAL TYRANY
Exploitation of “intelligent” systems to benefit a powerful, wealthy elite
— namely to the detriment of not only the huddled masses, but also
the grander destiny of humanity’s future potential
- Dr. Keith Wiley
PhD Computer Science, University of New Mexico | Research Scientist at Department of Astronomy
University of Washington
>> CLICK HERE
Listen to or read our full interview with Dr. Noel Sharkey at techemergence.com:

15. KILLER ROBOTS
Weaponization of advanced narrow-AI by narrow-minded human
actors.
- Dr. Ben Goertzel
PhD in Mathematics | Chief Scientist of Hanson Robotics
>> CLICK HERE
Listen to or read our full interview with Dr. Ben Goertzelat techemergence.com:

16. MERGER OF MAN & MACHINE
Hybrid human-machines
- Dr. Eyal Amir
CEO & Chief Data Scientist at Parknav Technologies
>> CLICK HERE
Listen to or read our full interview with Dr. Ben Goertzelat techemergence.com:

17. If you’ve enjoyed this presentation and you’d like
to see the full set of 33 AI researcher responses
from our 20 year and 100 year AI Risk Consensus,
as well as our AI Conciousness Consensus, the
entire dataset is made freely availble in a simple
spreadsheet accessible via the form below:
>> CLICK HERE

18. Thanks for viewing our presentation. If you’d like
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research trends and insights in the field of
artificial intelligence, be sure to stay connected on
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