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A Global Reach with a Local Perspective




                                                     2011
                                                     Rocket City
                                                     Gov Con
                                                     Conference
                                                     September 22, 2011




                                                                  www.decosimo.com


Business Valuation and Government
Contractors
BRENT MCDADE – BRENTMCDADE@DECOSIMO.COM
Decosimo Advisory Services
 Business Valuation
 Litigation Support
 Transaction Advisory
What We Will Cover Today
   What is value?
   Approaches to value
   Levels of value
   Valuing Government Contractors
What is Value?
Why is value important?
   Taxes
   Financial statement reporting
   Divorces
   Shareholder disagreements



 Because value is what it’s all about.
What is Value?
A Funny Thing Happened on My Way to A
Nobel Prize
A Funny Thing Happened on My Way to A
Nobel Prize
The Three Approaches
 Income
 Market
 Asset
The Income Approach




     “Prediction is difficult, especially about the future.”
                           --Niels Bohr
The Market Approach
 Compare to comparable investments
    Price to Earnings Ratio
    Total Capital to Revenue Ratio
    Total Capital to EBITDA
    Etc.
 Rely (theoretically) on the valuation arithmetic
  performed by others
The Market Approach




     But do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly
     escalated asset values, which then become subject to
           unexpected and prolonged contractions…”
                      - Allan Greenspan
The Asset Approach
   Also known as the cost approach
   How much is our stuff worth?
   How much do we owe our creditors?
   The difference is the value of our equity.
   Problem: How do we value certain types of stuff?
The Asset Approach




     “I cannot change the fact that my paintings do not sell. But
     the time will come when people will recognize that they are
     worth more than the value of the paints used in the picture.”
                        -- Vincent Van Gogh
Levels of Value
What is Value?
Simplified
Building Value for Government Contractors

 Value of your business hinges on three components:
    Expected Cash Flows
    Anticipated Growth
    Perceived Risk
Increasing expected cash flows
 Cash flow = cash in – cash out
 Good managers typically focus here
Increasing anticipated growth
 Function of lots of things
 Better managers focus here, too
Driving down perceived risk
 Only the best managers think about this
Build up of Discount Rate
Risk Free Rate of Return                4.1%

Equity Rate of Return (Risk Premium)    6.0%

Small Cap Companies                     2% to
                                         6.4%
Subtotal                               12.1% to
                                        16.5%
Company specific risk                    ????

Discount Rate                           ____
Minimizing Perceived Risk of Future Cash
Flows
 Reduce customer concentration risk
    Expand product/service offering
    Increase number of government contracts
    Increase the diversity of contracts (Primes and
     branches of government or military)
 Reduce supplier concentration risk
    Increase number of suppliers
    Where develop in-house resources with high retention
     rates
Minimizing Perceived Risk of Future Cash
Flows
 Reduce management risk
    Establish an independent management team
           Executes daily operations and maintains the
            supplier/customer relationships
      Establish track records of multiple team members
       and organizational systems
         Expertise
         Securing contracts
         Executing contracts

 Unique facilities or intellectual property
 Diversity outside of government contracts
CONNECT WITH ME

                                    Brent McDade, ASA, CBA
                                    423.266.5212
                                    brentmcdade@decosimo.com

                                    On LinkedIn:
                                    www.linkedin.com/in/brentmcdade




  The contents and opinions contained in this article are for informational purposes only. The information is
  not intended to be a substitute for professional accounting counsel. Always seek the advice of your
  accountant or other financial planner with any questions you may have regarding your financial goals or
  specific situations.

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Business Valuation and Government Contractors

  • 1. A Global Reach with a Local Perspective 2011 Rocket City Gov Con Conference September 22, 2011 www.decosimo.com Business Valuation and Government Contractors BRENT MCDADE – BRENTMCDADE@DECOSIMO.COM
  • 2. Decosimo Advisory Services  Business Valuation  Litigation Support  Transaction Advisory
  • 3. What We Will Cover Today  What is value?  Approaches to value  Levels of value  Valuing Government Contractors
  • 5. Why is value important?  Taxes  Financial statement reporting  Divorces  Shareholder disagreements  Because value is what it’s all about.
  • 7. A Funny Thing Happened on My Way to A Nobel Prize
  • 8. A Funny Thing Happened on My Way to A Nobel Prize
  • 9. The Three Approaches  Income  Market  Asset
  • 10. The Income Approach “Prediction is difficult, especially about the future.” --Niels Bohr
  • 11. The Market Approach  Compare to comparable investments  Price to Earnings Ratio  Total Capital to Revenue Ratio  Total Capital to EBITDA  Etc.  Rely (theoretically) on the valuation arithmetic performed by others
  • 12. The Market Approach But do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions…” - Allan Greenspan
  • 13. The Asset Approach  Also known as the cost approach  How much is our stuff worth?  How much do we owe our creditors?  The difference is the value of our equity.  Problem: How do we value certain types of stuff?
  • 14. The Asset Approach “I cannot change the fact that my paintings do not sell. But the time will come when people will recognize that they are worth more than the value of the paints used in the picture.” -- Vincent Van Gogh
  • 18. Building Value for Government Contractors  Value of your business hinges on three components:  Expected Cash Flows  Anticipated Growth  Perceived Risk
  • 19. Increasing expected cash flows  Cash flow = cash in – cash out  Good managers typically focus here
  • 20. Increasing anticipated growth  Function of lots of things  Better managers focus here, too
  • 21. Driving down perceived risk  Only the best managers think about this
  • 22. Build up of Discount Rate Risk Free Rate of Return 4.1% Equity Rate of Return (Risk Premium) 6.0% Small Cap Companies 2% to 6.4% Subtotal 12.1% to 16.5% Company specific risk ???? Discount Rate ____
  • 23. Minimizing Perceived Risk of Future Cash Flows  Reduce customer concentration risk  Expand product/service offering  Increase number of government contracts  Increase the diversity of contracts (Primes and branches of government or military)  Reduce supplier concentration risk  Increase number of suppliers  Where develop in-house resources with high retention rates
  • 24. Minimizing Perceived Risk of Future Cash Flows  Reduce management risk  Establish an independent management team  Executes daily operations and maintains the supplier/customer relationships  Establish track records of multiple team members and organizational systems  Expertise  Securing contracts  Executing contracts  Unique facilities or intellectual property  Diversity outside of government contracts
  • 25. CONNECT WITH ME Brent McDade, ASA, CBA 423.266.5212 brentmcdade@decosimo.com On LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/brentmcdade The contents and opinions contained in this article are for informational purposes only. The information is not intended to be a substitute for professional accounting counsel. Always seek the advice of your accountant or other financial planner with any questions you may have regarding your financial goals or specific situations.