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INTERNATIONAL ASPECTS OF
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
PRESENTATION
BY
DABI DAVID GBIAUNDO, KAKULE,
USMAN
OUR AGENDA
1. Terminology
2. Foreign Exchange Markets & Exchange Rates
3. Purchasing Power Parity
4. Exchange Rates & Interest Rates
5. Exchange Rate Risk
6. Political Risk
1. LEARNING THE LINGO
• ADR
• Cross-Rate
• Euro bound
• Eurocurrency
• Foreign Bonds
• Gilts
• Libor
• swaps
2. FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS
The worlds largest financial market participants:
1. Importers & Exporters
2. Portfolio Managers
3. Foreign Exchange Brokers
4. Traders
5. Speculators
EXCHANGE RATES
• The price of one country’s currency expressed
in terms of another country’s currency
All trading of currencies is in the form of US
dollars
Exchange rates are constantly changing
TYPES OF TRANSACTIONS
*Spot Trade: an agreement to exchange
currency on spot, or for the exchange rate today.
*Forward Trade: an agreement to exchange
currency at some time in the future.
3. PURCHASING POWER PARITY
*Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
• Adjustment of exchange of exchange rates
*2 Types of PPP:
• Absolute PPP
• Relative PPP
ABSOLUTE PURCHASING POWER
PARITY
• Commodity costs the same
• $1 buys same thing anywhere
 Pfc=So*Pus
 3 things must hold true
 No transaction costs
 No barriers to trading
 Items must compare
McPRICING
• The Big Mac Index: The Economist
• Over/Under valued
 Not priced equally
• Absolute PPP Example
 stock on NYSE & Other countries
RELATIVE PURCHASING POWER PARITY
• Determine change in exchange rates over time
through inflation rates
• E(S1)=So[1+(hfc-hus)]
E(S1)-expected rate
So-current rate
Hfc-foreign country inflation rate
Hus-US inflation rate
• Appreciation VS Depreciation
4. EXCHANGE RATES & INTEREST RATES
• Covered Interest Arbitrage
• Arbitrage: the simultaneous purchase and sale
of the same securities , commodities, or
foreign exchange in different markets to profit
from unequal prices
• Covered refers to the fact that we are covered
in the event of a change in exchange rates
because we lock in on the forward exchange
rate today.
COVERED INTEREST ARBITRAGE
• Ft=Forward exchange rate for the settlement
at time t
• Rus=US nominal risk-free interest rate
• Rfc=Foreign country nominal risk-free interest
rate
• So=spot exchange rate
FINDING THE RETURN ON US
INVESTMENT
• Suppose we start with $1 and invest it in a US
investment with a 10% risk-free interest
rate(RUS=0.10)
• $ Value in 1 period=$1(1+RUS)
=$1(1+0.10)
=$(1.10)
• $ value in period=$1.10
• This means that in one period (one year), your original
investment of $1 will now be worth $1.10.
• The return on this investment is 10%.
TO FIND THE RETURN ON A FOREIGN
INVESTMENT
• Suppose we start with $1 and invest it a Uganda
investment with a 5% risk-free interest rate (RS=0.05)
• Convert the $1 into UShs. By multiplying it by the spot
exchange rate (So=2.0);
 $1(So)
 $1(2.0)=2.0 Ushs
• Invest our 2.0 Ushs at an interest rate of 5%
 Ugshs value in one year=Ushs3.5(1+RS)
 UShs2.0(1+0.05)
 Ushs2.0(1.05)
• UShs value in one year=Ushs2.10
TO FIND THE RETURN ON A FOREIGN
INVESTMENT
• Then , we have to convert our Ushs 2.10 back
into US currency at the previously agreed
upon forward exchange rate of Ushs1.90
$ value in one year=ushs2.10/1.90
$ value in one year=$1.1053%
• Return on this investment=10.53%, >10%
return on this US investment, meaning
arbitrage opportunity
TO FIND THE RETURN ON A FOREIGN
INVESTMENT
• You can sum up all of this into one big
formula;
 $ value in one year=$1xSox(1+Rs)/F1
 $ value in one year=$1x2.00x(1.05/1.9)
• $ value in year=$1.1053
• Parity: the equivalence in in the currency of
another country
INTEREST RATE PARITY
• Interest Rate Parity: states that the interest
rate differential between two countries is
equal to the % difference between the
forward exchange rate
• To prevent arbitrage, return on US investment
and foreign investment must equal
 (1+Rus)=Sox(1+Rfc)/F1
INTEREST RATE PARITY
IRF FORMULA Ft=Sox(1+(Rfc-Rus)}
• IRP tells us that any difference in interest rates
between two countries for a period is offset by
the change in the relative value of the currencies,
thereby eliminating any arbitrage possibilities.
• F1 indicates what the forward rate must be in
order to prevent covered interest arbitrage; i.e.,
return for US investment & foreign investment
equal
5. EXCHANGE RATE RISK
*Three types of exchange rate risk
1. Short-run exposure
2. Long-run exposure
3. Translation exposure
SHORT RUN EXPOSURE
• Day-to-fluctuations create risk
• Different currencies create greater risk
• Ways to reduce short-exposure
LONG-RUN EXPOSURE
• The value of foreign operations can fluctuate
• Matching foreign currency inflows and
outflows
• Borrowing in a foreign country
• Automotive industry example
TRANSLATION EXPOSURE
• A firm must “translate” everything into
dollars
• 2 issues may arise from foreign operations
1. Determining the appropriate exchange rate
2. How gains and looses should be
determined
• Impact on an international company’s
reported EPS
6. POLITICAL RISK
*Political RISK-risk related to changes in value
that arises because of political action
*Firms in riskier countries:
• May lend to higher returns on investment
• Critical operations interrupted
• Contracts abrogated
• Outright confiscation
NATURE OF THE BUSINESS
*Business not valuable in the hands of a
different owners are likely to be confiscated
*Examples:
• Specialized Manufacturing components-Low
Risk
• Natural Resource Developments-High Risk
HEDGING POLITICAL RISK
*Example: Use of local financing, perhaps from
government of thee foreign country
• Can refuse to pay debt if unfavorable political
activities
QUESTIONS?..............

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Financial management presentation

  • 1. INTERNATIONAL ASPECTS OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT PRESENTATION BY DABI DAVID GBIAUNDO, KAKULE, USMAN
  • 2. OUR AGENDA 1. Terminology 2. Foreign Exchange Markets & Exchange Rates 3. Purchasing Power Parity 4. Exchange Rates & Interest Rates 5. Exchange Rate Risk 6. Political Risk
  • 3. 1. LEARNING THE LINGO • ADR • Cross-Rate • Euro bound • Eurocurrency • Foreign Bonds • Gilts • Libor • swaps
  • 4. 2. FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS The worlds largest financial market participants: 1. Importers & Exporters 2. Portfolio Managers 3. Foreign Exchange Brokers 4. Traders 5. Speculators
  • 5. EXCHANGE RATES • The price of one country’s currency expressed in terms of another country’s currency All trading of currencies is in the form of US dollars Exchange rates are constantly changing
  • 6. TYPES OF TRANSACTIONS *Spot Trade: an agreement to exchange currency on spot, or for the exchange rate today. *Forward Trade: an agreement to exchange currency at some time in the future.
  • 7. 3. PURCHASING POWER PARITY *Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) • Adjustment of exchange of exchange rates *2 Types of PPP: • Absolute PPP • Relative PPP
  • 8. ABSOLUTE PURCHASING POWER PARITY • Commodity costs the same • $1 buys same thing anywhere  Pfc=So*Pus  3 things must hold true  No transaction costs  No barriers to trading  Items must compare
  • 9. McPRICING • The Big Mac Index: The Economist • Over/Under valued  Not priced equally • Absolute PPP Example  stock on NYSE & Other countries
  • 10. RELATIVE PURCHASING POWER PARITY • Determine change in exchange rates over time through inflation rates • E(S1)=So[1+(hfc-hus)] E(S1)-expected rate So-current rate Hfc-foreign country inflation rate Hus-US inflation rate • Appreciation VS Depreciation
  • 11. 4. EXCHANGE RATES & INTEREST RATES • Covered Interest Arbitrage • Arbitrage: the simultaneous purchase and sale of the same securities , commodities, or foreign exchange in different markets to profit from unequal prices • Covered refers to the fact that we are covered in the event of a change in exchange rates because we lock in on the forward exchange rate today.
  • 12. COVERED INTEREST ARBITRAGE • Ft=Forward exchange rate for the settlement at time t • Rus=US nominal risk-free interest rate • Rfc=Foreign country nominal risk-free interest rate • So=spot exchange rate
  • 13. FINDING THE RETURN ON US INVESTMENT • Suppose we start with $1 and invest it in a US investment with a 10% risk-free interest rate(RUS=0.10) • $ Value in 1 period=$1(1+RUS) =$1(1+0.10) =$(1.10) • $ value in period=$1.10 • This means that in one period (one year), your original investment of $1 will now be worth $1.10. • The return on this investment is 10%.
  • 14. TO FIND THE RETURN ON A FOREIGN INVESTMENT • Suppose we start with $1 and invest it a Uganda investment with a 5% risk-free interest rate (RS=0.05) • Convert the $1 into UShs. By multiplying it by the spot exchange rate (So=2.0);  $1(So)  $1(2.0)=2.0 Ushs • Invest our 2.0 Ushs at an interest rate of 5%  Ugshs value in one year=Ushs3.5(1+RS)  UShs2.0(1+0.05)  Ushs2.0(1.05) • UShs value in one year=Ushs2.10
  • 15. TO FIND THE RETURN ON A FOREIGN INVESTMENT • Then , we have to convert our Ushs 2.10 back into US currency at the previously agreed upon forward exchange rate of Ushs1.90 $ value in one year=ushs2.10/1.90 $ value in one year=$1.1053% • Return on this investment=10.53%, >10% return on this US investment, meaning arbitrage opportunity
  • 16. TO FIND THE RETURN ON A FOREIGN INVESTMENT • You can sum up all of this into one big formula;  $ value in one year=$1xSox(1+Rs)/F1  $ value in one year=$1x2.00x(1.05/1.9) • $ value in year=$1.1053 • Parity: the equivalence in in the currency of another country
  • 17. INTEREST RATE PARITY • Interest Rate Parity: states that the interest rate differential between two countries is equal to the % difference between the forward exchange rate • To prevent arbitrage, return on US investment and foreign investment must equal  (1+Rus)=Sox(1+Rfc)/F1
  • 18. INTEREST RATE PARITY IRF FORMULA Ft=Sox(1+(Rfc-Rus)} • IRP tells us that any difference in interest rates between two countries for a period is offset by the change in the relative value of the currencies, thereby eliminating any arbitrage possibilities. • F1 indicates what the forward rate must be in order to prevent covered interest arbitrage; i.e., return for US investment & foreign investment equal
  • 19. 5. EXCHANGE RATE RISK *Three types of exchange rate risk 1. Short-run exposure 2. Long-run exposure 3. Translation exposure
  • 20. SHORT RUN EXPOSURE • Day-to-fluctuations create risk • Different currencies create greater risk • Ways to reduce short-exposure
  • 21. LONG-RUN EXPOSURE • The value of foreign operations can fluctuate • Matching foreign currency inflows and outflows • Borrowing in a foreign country • Automotive industry example
  • 22. TRANSLATION EXPOSURE • A firm must “translate” everything into dollars • 2 issues may arise from foreign operations 1. Determining the appropriate exchange rate 2. How gains and looses should be determined • Impact on an international company’s reported EPS
  • 23. 6. POLITICAL RISK *Political RISK-risk related to changes in value that arises because of political action *Firms in riskier countries: • May lend to higher returns on investment • Critical operations interrupted • Contracts abrogated • Outright confiscation
  • 24. NATURE OF THE BUSINESS *Business not valuable in the hands of a different owners are likely to be confiscated *Examples: • Specialized Manufacturing components-Low Risk • Natural Resource Developments-High Risk
  • 25. HEDGING POLITICAL RISK *Example: Use of local financing, perhaps from government of thee foreign country • Can refuse to pay debt if unfavorable political activities