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Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the
Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines.
1
Basic Statistical Reporting for
Articles Published in Biomedical Journals:
The “Statistical Analyses and Methods
in the Published Literature” or
The SAMPL Guidelines”
Thomas A. Lang
a
and Douglas G. Altman
b
a
Principal, Tom Lang Communications and Training
International
b
Director, Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Oxford University
Have they reflected that the sciences founded on observation
can only be promoted by
statistics? . . . If medicine had not neglected this instrument,
this means
of progress, it would possess a greater number of positive
truths, and
stand less liable to the accusation of being a science of unfixed
principles, vague and conjectural.
Jean-Etienne Dominique Esquirol, an early French psychiatrist,
quoted in The Lancet, 1838 [1]
Introduction
The first major study of the quality of statistical
reporting in the biomedical literature was published
in 1966 [2]. Since then, dozens of similar studies
have been published, every one of which has found
that large proportions of articles contain errors in the
application, analysis, interpretation, or reporting of
statistics or in the design or conduct of research. (See,
for example, references 3 through 19.) Further, large
proportions of these errors are serious enough to call
the authors’ conclusions into question [5,18,19]. The
problem is made worse by the fact that most of these
studies are of the world’s leading peer-reviewed
general medical and specialty journals.
Although errors have been found in more complex
statistical procedures [20,21,22], paradoxically, many
Lang T, Altman D. Basic statistical reporting for
articles published in clinical medical journals: the
SAMPL Guidelines. In: Smart P, Maisonneuve H,
Polderman A (eds). Science Editors' Handbook,
European Association of Science Editors, 2013. This
document may be reprinted without charge but must
include the original citation.
errors are in basic, not advanced, statistical methods
[23]. Perhaps advanced methods are suggested by
consulting statisticians, who then competently
perform the analyses, but it is also true that authors
are far more likely to use only elementary statistical
methods, if they use any at all [23-26]. Still, articles
with even major errors continue to pass editorial and
peer review and to be published in leading journals.
The truth is that the problem of poor statistical
reporting is long-standing, widespread, potentially
serious, concerns mostly basic statistics, and yet is
largely unsuspected by most readers of the
biomedical literature [27].
More than 30 years ago, O’Fallon and colleagues
recommended that “Standards governing the content
and format of statistical aspects should be developed
to guide authors in the preparation of manuscripts”
[28]. Despite the fact that this call has since been
echoed by several others (17,18,29-32), most journals
have still not included in their Instructions for
Authors more than a paragraph or two about
reporting statistical methods [33]. However, given
that many statistical errors concern basic statistics, a
Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the
Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines.
2
comprehensive—and comprehensible—set of
reporting guidelines might improve how statistical
analyses are documented.
In light of the above, we present here a set of
statistical reporting guidelines suitable for medical
journals to include in their Instructions for Authors.
These guidelines tell authors, journal editors, and
reviewers how to report basic statistical methods and
results. Although these guidelines are limited to the
most common statistical analyses, they are
nevertheless sufficient to prevent most of the
reporting deficiencies routinely found in scientific
articles; they may also help to prevent some reporting
errors by focusing attention on key points in the
analyses.
Unlike many of other guidelines, the SAMPL
guidelines were not developed by a formal
consensus-building process, but they do draw
considerably from published guidelines [27,34-37].
In addition, a comprehensive review of the literature
on statistical reporting errors reveals near universal
agreement on how to report the most common
methods [27].
Statistical analyses are closely related to the design
and activities of the research itself. However, our
guidelines do not address the issues related to the
design and conduct of research. Instead, we refer
readers to the EQUATOR Network website
(www.equator-network.org) where guidelines for
reporting specific research designs can be found. (For
example, see the CONSORT [38], TREND [39],
STROBE [40]) These guidelines for reporting
methodologies all include items on reporting
statistics, but the guidelines presented here are more
specific and complement, not duplicate, those in the
methodology guidelines.
We welcome feedback and anticipate the need to
update this guidance in due course.
Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the
Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines.
3
Reporting Basic Statistical Analyses and Methods
in the Published Literature:
The SAMPL Guidelines for Biomedical Journals
Guiding Principles for Reporting Statistical Methods and
Results
Our first guiding principle for statistical reporting
comes from The International Committee of Medical
Journal Editors, whose Uniform Requirements for
Manuscripts Submitted to Biomedical Journals
include the following excellent statement about
reporting statistical analyses:
“Describe statistical methods with enough detail
to enable a knowledgeable reader with access to
the original data to verify the reported results.
[Emphasis added.] When possible, quantify
findings and present them with appropriate
indicators of measurement error or uncertainty
(such as confidence intervals). Avoid relying solely
on statistical hypothesis testing, such as P values,
which fail to convey important information about
effect size. References for the design of the study
and statistical methods should be to standard works
when possible (with pages stated). Define
statistical terms, abbreviations, and most symbols.
Specify the computer software used” [33,41].
Our second guiding principle for statistical reporting
is to provide enough detail that the results can be
incorporated into other analyses. In general, this
principle requires reporting the descriptive statistics
from which other statistics are derived, such as the
numerators and denominators of percentages,
especially in risk, odds, and hazards ratios. Likewise,
P values are not sufficient for re-analysis. Needed
instead are descriptive statistics for the variables
being compared, including sample size of the groups
involved, the estimate (or “effect size”) associated
with the P value, and a measure of precision for the
estimate, usually a 95% confidence interval.
General Principles for Reporting Statistical Methods
Preliminary analyses
• Identify any statistical procedures used to modify
raw data before analysis. Examples include
mathematically transforming continuous
measurements to make distributions closer to the
normal distribution, creating ratios or other derived
variables, and collapsing continuous data into
categorical data or combining categories.
Primary analyses
• Describe the purpose of the analysis.
• Identify the variables used in the analysis and
summarize each with descriptive statistics.
• When possible, identify the smallest difference
considered to be clinically important.
• Describe fully the main methods for analyzing the
primary objectives of the study.
• Make clear which method was used for each
analysis, rather than just listing in one place all the
statistical methods used.
• Verify that that data conformed to the assumptions
of the test used to analyze them. In particular,
specify that 1) skewed data were analyzed with
non-parametric tests, 2) paired data were analyzed
with paired tests, and 3) the underlying relationship
analyzed with linear regression models was linear.
• Indicate whether and how any allowance or
adjustments were made for multiple comparisons
Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the
Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines.
4
(performing multiple hypothesis tests on the same
data).
• If relevant, report how any outlying data were
treated in the analysis.
• Say whether tests were one- or two-tailed and
justify the use of one-tailed tests.
• Report the alpha level (e.g., 0.05) that defines
statistical significance.
• Name the statistical package or program used in the
analysis.
Supplementary analyses
• Describe methods used for any ancillary analyses,
such as sensitivity analyses, imputation of missing
values, or testing of assumptions underlying
methods of analysis.
• Identify post-hoc analyses, including unplanned
subgroup analyses, as exploratory.
General Principles for Reporting Statistical Results
Reporting numbers and descriptive statistics
• Report numbers—especially measurements—with
an appropriate degree of precision. For ease of
comprehension and simplicity, round to a
reasonable extent. For example, mean age can
often be rounded to the nearest year without
compromising either the clinical or the statistical
analysis. If the smallest meaningful difference on a
scale is 5 points, scores can be reported as whole
numbers; decimals are not necessary.
• Report total sample and group sizes for each
analysis.
• Report numerators and denominators for all
percentages.
• Summarize data that are approximately normally
distributed with means and standard deviations
(SD). Use the form: mean (SD), not mean ± SD.
• Summarize data that are not normally distributed
with medians and interpercentile ranges, ranges, or
both. Report the upper and lower boundaries of
interpercentile ranges and the minimum and
maximum values of ranges, not just the size of the
range.
• Do NOT use the standard error of the mean (SE) to
indicate the variability of a data set. Use standard
deviations, inter-percentile ranges, or ranges
instead. (The SE is an inferential statistic—it is
about a 68% confidence interval—not a descriptive
statistic.)
• Display data in tables or figures. Tables present
exact values, and figures provide an overall
assessment of the data.[42,43]
Reporting risk, rates, and ratios
• Identify the type of rate (e.g., incidence rates;
survival rates), ratio (e.g., odds ratios; hazards
ratios), or risk (e.g., absolute risks; relative risk
differences), being reported.
• Identify the quantities represented in the numerator
and denominator (e.g., the number of men with
prostate cancer divided by the number of men in
whom prostate cancer can occur).
• Identify the time period over with each rate applies.
• Identify any unit of population (that is, the unit
multiplier: e.g., x 100; x 10,000) associated with
the rate.
• Consider reporting a measure of precision (a
confidence interval) for estimated risks, rates, and
ratios.
Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the
Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines.
5
Reporting hypothesis tests
• State the hypothesis being tested.
• Identify the variables in the analysis and summarize
the data for each variable with the appropriate
descriptive statistics.
• If possible, identify the minimum difference
considered to be clinically important.
• For equivalence and non-inferiority studies, report
the largest difference between groups that will still
be accepted as indicating biological equivalence
(the equivalence margin).
• Identify the name of the test used in the analysis.
Report whether the test was one- or two-tailed
(justify the use of one-tailed tests) and for paired or
independent samples.
• Confirm that the assumptions of the test were met
by the data.
• Report the alpha level (e.g., 0.05) that defines
statistical significance.
• At least for primary outcomes, such as differences
or agreement between groups, diagnostic
sensitivity, and slopes of regression lines, report a
measure of precision, such as the 95% confidence
interval.
• Do NOT use the standard error of the mean (SE) to
indicate the precision of an estimate. The SE is
essentially a 68% confidence coefficient: use the
95% confidence coefficient instead.
• Although not preferred to confidence intervals, if
desired, P values should be reported as equalities
when possible and to one or two decimal places
(e.g., P = 0.03 or 0.22 not as inequalities: e.g., P <
0.05). Do NOT report “NS”; give the actual P
value. The smallest P value that need be reported is
P <0.001, save in studies of genetic associations.
• Report whether and how any adjustments were
made for multiple statistical comparisons.
• Name the statistical software package used in the
analysis.
Reporting association analyses
• Describe the association of interest.
• Identify the variables used and summarize each
with descriptive statistics.
• Identify the test of association used.
• Indicate whether the test was one- or two-tailed.
Justify the use of one-tailed tests.
• For tests of association (e.g., a chi-square test),
report the P value of the test (because association
is defined as a statistically significant result).
• For measures of association (i.e., the phi
coefficient), report the value of the coefficient and
a confidence interval. Do not describe the
association as low, moderate, or high unless the
ranges for these categories have been defined.
Even then, consider the wisdom of using these
categories given their biological implications or
realities.
• For primary comparisons, consider including the
full contingency table for the analysis.
• Name the statistical package or program used in the
analysis.
Reporting correlation analyses
• Describe the purpose of the analysis.
• Summarize each variable with the appropriate
descriptive statistics.
• Identify the correlation coefficient used in the
analysis (e.g., Pearson, Spearman).
• Confirm that the assumptions of the analysis were
met.
Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the
Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines.
6
• Report the alpha level (e.g., 0.05) that indicates
whether the correlation coefficient is statistically
significant.
• Report the value of the correlation coefficient. Do
not describe correlation as low, moderate, or high
unless the ranges for these categories have been
defined. Even then, consider the wisdom of using
these categories given their biological implications
or realities.
• For primary comparisons, report the (95%)
confidence interval for the correlation coefficient,
whether or not it is statistically significant.
• For primary comparisons, consider reporting the
results as a scatter plot. The sample size, correlation
coefficient (with its confidence interval), and P
value can be included in the data field.
• Name the statistical package or program used in the
analysis.
Reporting regression analyses
• Describe the purpose of the analysis.
• Identify the variables used in the analysis and
summarize each with descriptive statistics.
• Confirm that the assumptions of the analysis were
met. For example, in linear regression indicate
whether an analysis of residuals confirmed the
assumptions of linearity.
• If relevant, report how any outlying values were
treated in the analysis.
• Report how any missing data were treated in the
analyses.
• For either simple or multiple (multivariable)
regression analyses, report the regression equation.
• For multiple regression analyses: 1) report the alpha
level used in the univariate analysis; 2) report
whether the variables were assessed for a)
colinearity and b) interaction; and 3) describe the
variable selection process by which the final model
was developed (e.g., forward-stepwise; best
subset).
• Report the regression coefficients (beta weights) of
each explanatory variable and the associated
confidence intervals and P values, preferably in a
table.
• Provide a measure of the model's "goodness-of-fit"
to the data (the coefficient of determination, r
2
, for
simple regression and the coefficient of multiple
determination, R
2
, for multiple regression).
• Specify whether and how the model was validated.
• For primary comparisons analyzed with simple
linear regression analysis, consider reporting the
results graphically, in a scatter plot showing the
regression line and its confidence bounds. Do not
extend the regression line (or the interpretation of
the analysis) beyond the minimum and maximum
values of the data.
• Name the statistical package or program used in the
analysis.
Reporting analyses of variance (ANOVA) or of covariance
(ANCOVA)
• Describe the purpose of the analysis.
• Identify the variables used in the analysis and
summarize each with descriptive statistics.
• Confirm that the assumptions of the analysis were
met. For example, indicate whether an analysis of
residuals confirmed the assumptions of linearity.
• If relevant, report how any outlying data were
treated in the analysis.
• Report how any missing data were treated in the
analyses.
• Specify whether the explanatory variables were
tested for interaction, and if so how these
interactions were treated.
• If appropriate, in a table, report the P value for each
explanatory variable, the test statistics and, where
applicable, the degrees of freedom for the analysis.
Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the
Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines.
7
• Provide an assessment of the goodness-of-fit of the
model to the data, such as R
2
.
• Specify whether and how the model was validated.
• Name the statistical package or program used in the
analysis.
Reporting survival (time-to-event) analyses
• Describe the purpose of the analysis.
• Identify the dates or events that mark the beginning
and the end of the time period analyzed.
• Specify the circumstances under which data were
censored.
• Specify the statistical methods used to estimate the
survival rate.
• Confirm that the assumptions of survival analysis
were met.
• For each group, give the estimated survival
probability at appropriate follow-up times, with
confidence intervals, and the number of
participants at risk for death at each time. It is often
more helpful to plot the cumulative probability of
not surviving, especially when events are not
common.
• Reporting median survival times, with confidence
intervals, is often useful to allow the results to be
compared with those of other studies.
• Consider presenting the full results in a graph (e.g.,
a Kaplan-Meier plot) or table.
• Specify the statistical methods used to compare two
or more survival curves.
• When comparing two or more survival curves with
hypothesis tests, report the P value of the
comparison
• Report the regression model used to assess the
associations between the explanatory variables and
survival or time-to-event.
• Report a measure of risk (e.g., a hazard ratio) for
each explanatory variable, with a confidence
interval.
Reporting Bayesian analyses
• Specify the pre-trial probabilities (“priors”).
• Explain how the priors were selected.
• Describe the statistical model used.
• Describe the techniques used in the analysis.
• Identify the statistical software program used in the
analysis.
• Summarize the posterior distribution with a measure
of central tendency and a credibility interval
• Assess the sensitivity of the analysis to different
priors.
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13. Bakker M, Wicherts JM. The (mis)reporting of
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19. Yancy JM. Ten rules for reading clinical research
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20. Burton A, Altman DG. Missing covariate data within
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Pharmacy Literature. Ann Pharmacother. 2004;
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Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the
Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines.
9
Reviewer's quick guide to common statistical errors in scientific
papers
Design errors
Sample size for human subjects
Many studies are too small to detect
even large effects (Table 1).
Table 1: Guide to sample size
Expected
difference
(p1-p2)
Total sample
size required*
5% 1450-3200
10% 440-820
20% 140-210
30% 80-100
40% 50-60
* 5% significance level, 80% power. Smaller numbers
may be justified for rare outcomes (p1 <.1)
Look for:
• Clinical trials should always report
sample size calculations
• Authors with 'negative' results (i.e.
found no difference) should not
report equivalence unless
sufficiently powered -"absence of
evidence is not evidence of
absence"
Bias
Randomisation is the best way of
avoiding bias but it is not always possible
or appropriate.
Some biases affecting observational
studies:
Treatment-by-indication bias: different
treatments are given to different groups
of patients because of differences in their
clinical condition.
Historical controls: will tend to
exaggerate treatment effect as recent
patients benefit from improvements in
health care over time and special
attention as a study participant. Recent
patients are also likely to be more
restrictively selected.
Retrospective data collection: availability
and recording of events and patient
characteristics may be related to the
groups being compared.
Ecological fallacy: an association
observed between variables on an
aggregate level does not necessarily
represent the association that exists at
the individual level.
Some biases affecting observational
studies and clinical trials:
Selection bias: low response rate or high
refusal rate – were patients that
participated different to those that did
not?
Informative dropout – was follow-up
curtailed for reasons connected to the
primary outcome? If so, imbalance in
dropout rates between the groups being
compared will introduce bias.
Bias in clinical trials:
No-one should know what the next
random allocation is going to be as this
may affect whether or when the patient is
entered into the trial. Using date of birth,
hospital number, or simply
alternating between treatments
is therefore inappropriate.
Central randomisation is ideal.
Unblinded assessment of
outcomes may be influenced by
knowledge of the treatment
group.
Look for:
• Appreciation and
measures taken to reduce
bias through study design
• Selection of patients,
collection of data, definition
and assessment of
outcome and, for clinical
trials, method of
randomisation should be
clearly described
• Number and reasons for
withdrawal should be
reported by treatment
group
• Appropriate analytic
methods such as multiple
regression should be used
to adjust for differences
between groups in
observational studies
• Authors should discuss
likely biases and potential
impact on their results
Method comparison studies
If different methods are
evaluated by different observers
then the method differences are
confounded with observer
differences. The study must be
repeated with each observer
using all methods.
Analysis errors
Failure to use a test for trend on
ordered categories (e.g. age-
group).
Dichotomizing continuous
variables in the analysis
(acceptable for descriptive
purposes).
Using methods for independent
samples on paired or repeated
measures data. An example is
using both arms or legs of the
same patient as if they were two
independent observations.
Using parametric methods (e.g.
t-test, ANOVA or linear
regression) when the outcome
or residuals have not been
verified as normally distributed.
Over using hypothesis tests (P-
values) in preference to
confidence intervals.
One-tailed tests are very rarely
appropriate.
Failing to analyse clinical trials
by intention-to-treat.
Obscure statistical tests should be
justified and referenced.
Comparing P-values between subgroups
instead of carrying out tests of interaction
is incorrect. Some may wrongly conclude
from these results that:
P>0.05
P<0.05Subgroup A
Subgroup B
1
Treatment effect with 95% CI
the subgroup affects response to
treatment, based on comparing P-values.
A test of interaction would show no
evidence of any effect of the grouping on
response.
Correlating time series: any two variables
that consistently rise, fall or remain
constant over time will be correlated.
'Detrended' series should be compared
instead.
Method comparison studies
Correlation ≠ agreement
Perfect agreement
Perfect correlation
M
e
th
o
d
B
Method A
Higher correlation can be induced by
including patients with extreme
measurements. Limits of agreement
should be calculated according to
method of Bland and Altman. Adequate
agreement between methods is a clinical
not a statistical judgement.
Multiple testing
Conclusions should only be drawn from
appropriate analyses of a small number
of clear, pre-defined hypotheses. Results
from post-hoc subgroup or risk-factor
analyses should be treated as
speculative. If many such tests have
been carried out adjustment for multiple
testing should be considered.
Comparing groups at multiple time points
should be avoided – a summary statistics
approach or more complex statistical
methods should be used instead.
Further reading:
CONSORT: http://www.consort-statement.org
Greenhalgh T. How to read a paper: Statistics for the
non-statistician. I: Different types of data need different
statistical tests. BMJ 1997;315:364-366
Bland JM, Altman DG. Statistical methods for
assessing agreement between two methods of clinical
measurement. Lancet 1986;1:307-310. Available online
at http://www-users.york.ac.uk/~mb55/meas/ba.htm
BMJ Statistics Notes: http://www-
users.york.ac.uk/~mb55/pubs/pbstnote.htm
Produced by Tony Brady
Sealed Envelope Ltd
http://www.sealedenvelope.com

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  • 1. Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines. 1 Basic Statistical Reporting for Articles Published in Biomedical Journals: The “Statistical Analyses and Methods in the Published Literature” or The SAMPL Guidelines” Thomas A. Lang a and Douglas G. Altman b a Principal, Tom Lang Communications and Training International b Director, Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Oxford University
  • 2. Have they reflected that the sciences founded on observation can only be promoted by statistics? . . . If medicine had not neglected this instrument, this means of progress, it would possess a greater number of positive truths, and stand less liable to the accusation of being a science of unfixed principles, vague and conjectural. Jean-Etienne Dominique Esquirol, an early French psychiatrist, quoted in The Lancet, 1838 [1] Introduction The first major study of the quality of statistical reporting in the biomedical literature was published in 1966 [2]. Since then, dozens of similar studies have been published, every one of which has found that large proportions of articles contain errors in the application, analysis, interpretation, or reporting of statistics or in the design or conduct of research. (See,
  • 3. for example, references 3 through 19.) Further, large proportions of these errors are serious enough to call the authors’ conclusions into question [5,18,19]. The problem is made worse by the fact that most of these studies are of the world’s leading peer-reviewed general medical and specialty journals. Although errors have been found in more complex statistical procedures [20,21,22], paradoxically, many Lang T, Altman D. Basic statistical reporting for articles published in clinical medical journals: the SAMPL Guidelines. In: Smart P, Maisonneuve H, Polderman A (eds). Science Editors' Handbook, European Association of Science Editors, 2013. This document may be reprinted without charge but must include the original citation. errors are in basic, not advanced, statistical methods [23]. Perhaps advanced methods are suggested by
  • 4. consulting statisticians, who then competently perform the analyses, but it is also true that authors are far more likely to use only elementary statistical methods, if they use any at all [23-26]. Still, articles with even major errors continue to pass editorial and peer review and to be published in leading journals. The truth is that the problem of poor statistical reporting is long-standing, widespread, potentially serious, concerns mostly basic statistics, and yet is largely unsuspected by most readers of the biomedical literature [27]. More than 30 years ago, O’Fallon and colleagues recommended that “Standards governing the content and format of statistical aspects should be developed to guide authors in the preparation of manuscripts” [28]. Despite the fact that this call has since been echoed by several others (17,18,29-32), most journals
  • 5. have still not included in their Instructions for Authors more than a paragraph or two about reporting statistical methods [33]. However, given that many statistical errors concern basic statistics, a Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines. 2 comprehensive—and comprehensible—set of reporting guidelines might improve how statistical analyses are documented. In light of the above, we present here a set of statistical reporting guidelines suitable for medical journals to include in their Instructions for Authors. These guidelines tell authors, journal editors, and reviewers how to report basic statistical methods and results. Although these guidelines are limited to the most common statistical analyses, they are
  • 6. nevertheless sufficient to prevent most of the reporting deficiencies routinely found in scientific articles; they may also help to prevent some reporting errors by focusing attention on key points in the analyses. Unlike many of other guidelines, the SAMPL guidelines were not developed by a formal consensus-building process, but they do draw considerably from published guidelines [27,34-37]. In addition, a comprehensive review of the literature on statistical reporting errors reveals near universal agreement on how to report the most common methods [27]. Statistical analyses are closely related to the design and activities of the research itself. However, our guidelines do not address the issues related to the design and conduct of research. Instead, we refer
  • 7. readers to the EQUATOR Network website (www.equator-network.org) where guidelines for reporting specific research designs can be found. (For example, see the CONSORT [38], TREND [39], STROBE [40]) These guidelines for reporting methodologies all include items on reporting statistics, but the guidelines presented here are more specific and complement, not duplicate, those in the methodology guidelines. We welcome feedback and anticipate the need to update this guidance in due course. Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines. 3 Reporting Basic Statistical Analyses and Methods in the Published Literature: The SAMPL Guidelines for Biomedical Journals
  • 8. Guiding Principles for Reporting Statistical Methods and Results Our first guiding principle for statistical reporting comes from The International Committee of Medical Journal Editors, whose Uniform Requirements for Manuscripts Submitted to Biomedical Journals include the following excellent statement about reporting statistical analyses: “Describe statistical methods with enough detail to enable a knowledgeable reader with access to the original data to verify the reported results. [Emphasis added.] When possible, quantify findings and present them with appropriate indicators of measurement error or uncertainty (such as confidence intervals). Avoid relying solely on statistical hypothesis testing, such as P values, which fail to convey important information about
  • 9. effect size. References for the design of the study and statistical methods should be to standard works when possible (with pages stated). Define statistical terms, abbreviations, and most symbols. Specify the computer software used” [33,41]. Our second guiding principle for statistical reporting is to provide enough detail that the results can be incorporated into other analyses. In general, this principle requires reporting the descriptive statistics from which other statistics are derived, such as the numerators and denominators of percentages, especially in risk, odds, and hazards ratios. Likewise, P values are not sufficient for re-analysis. Needed instead are descriptive statistics for the variables being compared, including sample size of the groups involved, the estimate (or “effect size”) associated with the P value, and a measure of precision for the estimate, usually a 95% confidence interval.
  • 10. General Principles for Reporting Statistical Methods Preliminary analyses • Identify any statistical procedures used to modify raw data before analysis. Examples include mathematically transforming continuous measurements to make distributions closer to the normal distribution, creating ratios or other derived variables, and collapsing continuous data into categorical data or combining categories. Primary analyses • Describe the purpose of the analysis. • Identify the variables used in the analysis and summarize each with descriptive statistics. • When possible, identify the smallest difference considered to be clinically important.
  • 11. • Describe fully the main methods for analyzing the primary objectives of the study. • Make clear which method was used for each analysis, rather than just listing in one place all the statistical methods used. • Verify that that data conformed to the assumptions of the test used to analyze them. In particular, specify that 1) skewed data were analyzed with non-parametric tests, 2) paired data were analyzed with paired tests, and 3) the underlying relationship analyzed with linear regression models was linear. • Indicate whether and how any allowance or adjustments were made for multiple comparisons Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines. 4
  • 12. (performing multiple hypothesis tests on the same data). • If relevant, report how any outlying data were treated in the analysis. • Say whether tests were one- or two-tailed and justify the use of one-tailed tests. • Report the alpha level (e.g., 0.05) that defines statistical significance. • Name the statistical package or program used in the analysis. Supplementary analyses • Describe methods used for any ancillary analyses, such as sensitivity analyses, imputation of missing values, or testing of assumptions underlying methods of analysis. • Identify post-hoc analyses, including unplanned subgroup analyses, as exploratory.
  • 13. General Principles for Reporting Statistical Results Reporting numbers and descriptive statistics • Report numbers—especially measurements—with an appropriate degree of precision. For ease of comprehension and simplicity, round to a reasonable extent. For example, mean age can often be rounded to the nearest year without compromising either the clinical or the statistical analysis. If the smallest meaningful difference on a scale is 5 points, scores can be reported as whole numbers; decimals are not necessary. • Report total sample and group sizes for each analysis. • Report numerators and denominators for all percentages. • Summarize data that are approximately normally
  • 14. distributed with means and standard deviations (SD). Use the form: mean (SD), not mean ± SD. • Summarize data that are not normally distributed with medians and interpercentile ranges, ranges, or both. Report the upper and lower boundaries of interpercentile ranges and the minimum and maximum values of ranges, not just the size of the range. • Do NOT use the standard error of the mean (SE) to indicate the variability of a data set. Use standard deviations, inter-percentile ranges, or ranges instead. (The SE is an inferential statistic—it is about a 68% confidence interval—not a descriptive statistic.) • Display data in tables or figures. Tables present exact values, and figures provide an overall assessment of the data.[42,43]
  • 15. Reporting risk, rates, and ratios • Identify the type of rate (e.g., incidence rates; survival rates), ratio (e.g., odds ratios; hazards ratios), or risk (e.g., absolute risks; relative risk differences), being reported. • Identify the quantities represented in the numerator and denominator (e.g., the number of men with prostate cancer divided by the number of men in whom prostate cancer can occur). • Identify the time period over with each rate applies. • Identify any unit of population (that is, the unit multiplier: e.g., x 100; x 10,000) associated with the rate. • Consider reporting a measure of precision (a confidence interval) for estimated risks, rates, and ratios.
  • 16. Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines. 5 Reporting hypothesis tests • State the hypothesis being tested. • Identify the variables in the analysis and summarize the data for each variable with the appropriate descriptive statistics. • If possible, identify the minimum difference considered to be clinically important. • For equivalence and non-inferiority studies, report the largest difference between groups that will still be accepted as indicating biological equivalence (the equivalence margin).
  • 17. • Identify the name of the test used in the analysis. Report whether the test was one- or two-tailed (justify the use of one-tailed tests) and for paired or independent samples. • Confirm that the assumptions of the test were met by the data. • Report the alpha level (e.g., 0.05) that defines statistical significance. • At least for primary outcomes, such as differences or agreement between groups, diagnostic sensitivity, and slopes of regression lines, report a measure of precision, such as the 95% confidence interval. • Do NOT use the standard error of the mean (SE) to indicate the precision of an estimate. The SE is essentially a 68% confidence coefficient: use the
  • 18. 95% confidence coefficient instead. • Although not preferred to confidence intervals, if desired, P values should be reported as equalities when possible and to one or two decimal places (e.g., P = 0.03 or 0.22 not as inequalities: e.g., P < 0.05). Do NOT report “NS”; give the actual P value. The smallest P value that need be reported is P <0.001, save in studies of genetic associations. • Report whether and how any adjustments were made for multiple statistical comparisons. • Name the statistical software package used in the analysis. Reporting association analyses • Describe the association of interest. • Identify the variables used and summarize each
  • 19. with descriptive statistics. • Identify the test of association used. • Indicate whether the test was one- or two-tailed. Justify the use of one-tailed tests. • For tests of association (e.g., a chi-square test), report the P value of the test (because association is defined as a statistically significant result). • For measures of association (i.e., the phi coefficient), report the value of the coefficient and a confidence interval. Do not describe the association as low, moderate, or high unless the ranges for these categories have been defined. Even then, consider the wisdom of using these categories given their biological implications or realities. • For primary comparisons, consider including the
  • 20. full contingency table for the analysis. • Name the statistical package or program used in the analysis. Reporting correlation analyses • Describe the purpose of the analysis. • Summarize each variable with the appropriate descriptive statistics. • Identify the correlation coefficient used in the analysis (e.g., Pearson, Spearman). • Confirm that the assumptions of the analysis were met. Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines. 6
  • 21. • Report the alpha level (e.g., 0.05) that indicates whether the correlation coefficient is statistically significant. • Report the value of the correlation coefficient. Do not describe correlation as low, moderate, or high unless the ranges for these categories have been defined. Even then, consider the wisdom of using these categories given their biological implications or realities. • For primary comparisons, report the (95%) confidence interval for the correlation coefficient, whether or not it is statistically significant. • For primary comparisons, consider reporting the results as a scatter plot. The sample size, correlation coefficient (with its confidence interval), and P value can be included in the data field.
  • 22. • Name the statistical package or program used in the analysis. Reporting regression analyses • Describe the purpose of the analysis. • Identify the variables used in the analysis and summarize each with descriptive statistics. • Confirm that the assumptions of the analysis were met. For example, in linear regression indicate whether an analysis of residuals confirmed the assumptions of linearity. • If relevant, report how any outlying values were treated in the analysis. • Report how any missing data were treated in the analyses. • For either simple or multiple (multivariable)
  • 23. regression analyses, report the regression equation. • For multiple regression analyses: 1) report the alpha level used in the univariate analysis; 2) report whether the variables were assessed for a) colinearity and b) interaction; and 3) describe the variable selection process by which the final model was developed (e.g., forward-stepwise; best subset). • Report the regression coefficients (beta weights) of each explanatory variable and the associated confidence intervals and P values, preferably in a table. • Provide a measure of the model's "goodness-of-fit" to the data (the coefficient of determination, r 2 , for simple regression and the coefficient of multiple determination, R
  • 24. 2 , for multiple regression). • Specify whether and how the model was validated. • For primary comparisons analyzed with simple linear regression analysis, consider reporting the results graphically, in a scatter plot showing the regression line and its confidence bounds. Do not extend the regression line (or the interpretation of the analysis) beyond the minimum and maximum values of the data. • Name the statistical package or program used in the analysis. Reporting analyses of variance (ANOVA) or of covariance (ANCOVA) • Describe the purpose of the analysis. • Identify the variables used in the analysis and
  • 25. summarize each with descriptive statistics. • Confirm that the assumptions of the analysis were met. For example, indicate whether an analysis of residuals confirmed the assumptions of linearity. • If relevant, report how any outlying data were treated in the analysis. • Report how any missing data were treated in the analyses. • Specify whether the explanatory variables were tested for interaction, and if so how these interactions were treated. • If appropriate, in a table, report the P value for each explanatory variable, the test statistics and, where applicable, the degrees of freedom for the analysis.
  • 26. Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines. 7 • Provide an assessment of the goodness-of-fit of the model to the data, such as R 2 . • Specify whether and how the model was validated. • Name the statistical package or program used in the analysis. Reporting survival (time-to-event) analyses • Describe the purpose of the analysis. • Identify the dates or events that mark the beginning and the end of the time period analyzed. • Specify the circumstances under which data were censored. • Specify the statistical methods used to estimate the
  • 27. survival rate. • Confirm that the assumptions of survival analysis were met. • For each group, give the estimated survival probability at appropriate follow-up times, with confidence intervals, and the number of participants at risk for death at each time. It is often more helpful to plot the cumulative probability of not surviving, especially when events are not common. • Reporting median survival times, with confidence intervals, is often useful to allow the results to be compared with those of other studies. • Consider presenting the full results in a graph (e.g., a Kaplan-Meier plot) or table.
  • 28. • Specify the statistical methods used to compare two or more survival curves. • When comparing two or more survival curves with hypothesis tests, report the P value of the comparison • Report the regression model used to assess the associations between the explanatory variables and survival or time-to-event. • Report a measure of risk (e.g., a hazard ratio) for each explanatory variable, with a confidence interval. Reporting Bayesian analyses • Specify the pre-trial probabilities (“priors”). • Explain how the priors were selected. • Describe the statistical model used.
  • 29. • Describe the techniques used in the analysis. • Identify the statistical software program used in the analysis. • Summarize the posterior distribution with a measure of central tendency and a credibility interval • Assess the sensitivity of the analysis to different priors. References 1. Esquirol JED. Cited in: Pearl R. Introduction to Medical Biometry and Statistics. Philadelphia: WB Saunders, 1941. 2. Schor S, Karten I. Statistical evaluation of medical journal manuscripts. JAMA. 1966;195:1123-8. 3. Nagele P. Misuse of standard error of the mean (SEM) when reporting variability of a sample. A critical evaluation of four anaesthesia journals. Brit J Anaesth.
  • 30. 2003; 90: 514-6. 4. Neville JA, Lang W, Fleischer AB Jr. Errors in the Archives of Dermatology and the Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology from January through December 2003. Arch Dermatol. 2006; 142: 737-40. 5. Glantz SA. Biostatistics: how to detect, correct and prevent errors in the medical literature. Circulation. 1980;61:1-7. 6. Lionel ND, Herxheimer A. Assessing reports of therapeutic trials. BMJ. 1970;3:637- 40. Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines. 8 7. Altman DG. Statistics in medical journals: developments in the 1980s. Stat Med. 1991;10:1897-913. 8. White S J. Statistical errors in papers in the British Journal of Psychiatry. Br J Psychiatr. 1979;135:336-42.
  • 31. 9. Gore SM, Jones IG, Rytter EC. Misuse of statistical methods: critical assessment of articles in BMJ from January to March 1976. BMJ. 1977;1:85-7. 10. Scales CD Jr, Norris RD, Peterson BL, et al. Clinical research and statistical methods in the urology literature. J Urol. 2005;174:1374-19. 11. Kurichi JE, Sonnad SS. Statistical methods in the surgical literature. J Am Col Surg. 2006;202:476-84. 12. Gardner MJ, Altman DG, Jones DR, Machin D. Is the statistical assessment of papers submitted to the British Medical Journal effective? BMJ. 1983;286:1485-8. 13. Bakker M, Wicherts JM. The (mis)reporting of statistical results in psychology journals. Behav Res. 2011;43:666-78. 14. Avram MJ, Shanks CA, Dykes MH, et al. Statistical methods in anesthesia articles: an evaluation of two American journals during two six-month periods. Anesth Analg. 1985;64:607-11.
  • 32. 15. Godfrey K. Comparing the means of several groups. N Engl J Med.1985;313:1450-6. 16. A survey of three medical journals. N Engl J Med. 1987;317:426-32. 17. Pocock SJ, Hughes MD, Lee RJ. Statistical problems in the reporting of clinical trials. A survey of three medical journals. N Engl J Med. 1987 Aug 13;317(7):426-32. 18. Murray GD. Statistical aspects of research methodology. Br J Surg. 1991;78:777-81. 19. Yancy JM. Ten rules for reading clinical research reports [Editorial]. Am J Surg. 1990;159:553-9. 20. Burton A, Altman DG. Missing covariate data within cancer prognostic studies: a review of current reporting and proposed guidelines. Br J Cancer 2004;91:4-8. 21. Mackinnon A. The use and reporting of multiple imputation in medical research – a review. J Intern Med 2010;268:586-93.
  • 33. 22. Schwarzer G, Vach W, Schumacher M. On the misuses of artificial neural networks for prognostic and diagnostic classification in oncology. Stat Med 2000;19:541-61. 23 George SL. Statistics in medical journals: a survey of current policies and proposals for editors. Med Pediatr Oncol. 1985;13:109-12. 24. Emerson JD, Colditz GA. The statistical content of published medical research: some implications for biomedical education. Med Educ. 1985:19(3);248-255. DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2923.1985.tb01315.x 25. Golden J, Zhu W, Sayre JW. A review of the statistical analysis used in papers published in Clinical Radiology and British Journal of Radiology. Clin Radiol. 1996;51(1):47- 50. 26. Lee CM, Soin HK, Einarson TR. Statistics in the Pharmacy Literature. Ann Pharmacother. 2004; 38(9):1412-1418. DOI 10.1345/aph.1D493
  • 34. 27. Lang T, Secic M. How to Report Statistics in Medicine: Annotated Guidelines for Authors, Editors, and Reviewers, Second edition. Philadelphia: American College of Physicians, 2006. 28. O’Fallon JR, Duby SD, Salsburg DS, et al. Should there be statistical guidelines for medical research papers? Biometrics, 1978;34:687-95. 29. Shott S. Statistics in veterinary research. J Am Vet Med Assoc. 1985;187:138-41. 30. Hayden GF. Biostatistical trends in Pediatrics: implications for the future. Pediatrics. 1983;72:84-7. 31. Altman DG, Bland JM. Improving doctors’ understanding of statistics. J R Statist Soc A. 1991;154:223-67. 32. Altman DG, Gore SM, Gardner MJ, Pocock SJ. Statistical guidelines for contributors to medical journals. BMJ. 1983; 286:1489-93. 33. Bailar JC 3 rd
  • 35. , Mosteller F. Guidelines for statistical reporting in articles for medical journals. Amplifications and explanations. Ann Intern Med. 1988 108(2):266-73. 34. Bond GR, Mintz J, McHugo GJ. Statistical guidelines for the Archives of PM&R. Arch Phys Med Rehabil 1995;76:784-7. 35. Wilkinson L and the Task Force on Statistical Inference. Statistical methods in psychology journals. Guidelines and explanations. Am Psychologist 1999;54:594-604. 36. Curran-Everett D, Benos DJ; American Physiological Society. Guidelines for reporting statistics in journals published by the American Physiological Society. Am J Physiol Endocrinol Metab 2004;287:E189-91. (plus other journals) 37. Curran-Everett D, Benos DJ. Guidelines for reporting statistics in journals published by the American
  • 36. Physiological Society: the sequel. Adv Physiol Educ 2007;31:295-8. 38. Moher D, Schulz K, Altman DG, for the CONSORT Group. CONSORT statement: revised recommendations for improving the quality of reports of parallel-group randomized trials. Ann Intern Med. 2001;134:657-62. 39. Des Jarlais DC, Lyles C, Crepaz N, Trend Group. Improving the reporting quality of nonrandomized evaluations of behavioral and public health interventions: the TREND statement. Am J Public Health. 2004; 94(3):361-6. PMID: 14998794 40. von Elm E, Altman DG, Egger M, Pocock SJ, Gotzsche PC, Vandenbroucke JP. The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) Statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies. Ann Intern Med. 2007; 147(8):573-577. PMID: 17938396
  • 37. 41. International Committee of Medical Journal Editors. Uniform requirements for manuscripts submitted to biomedical journals: writing and editing for biomedical publication, 2011. www.icmje.org. Accessed December 12, 2012. 42. Schriger DL, Arora S, Altman DG. The content of medical journal instructions for authors. Ann Emerg Med 2006;48:743-749, 749.e1-4. 43. Lang T. How to Write, Publish, and Present in the Health Sciences: A Guide for Clinicians and Laboratory Researchers. Philadelphia: American College of Physicians, 2010. Lang T, Altman D. Statistical Analyses and Methods in the Published Literature: the SAMPL Guidelines. 9
  • 38. Reviewer's quick guide to common statistical errors in scientific papers Design errors Sample size for human subjects Many studies are too small to detect even large effects (Table 1). Table 1: Guide to sample size Expected difference (p1-p2) Total sample size required* 5% 1450-3200 10% 440-820 20% 140-210 30% 80-100 40% 50-60 * 5% significance level, 80% power. Smaller numbers may be justified for rare outcomes (p1 <.1) Look for: • Clinical trials should always report sample size calculations • Authors with 'negative' results (i.e. found no difference) should not report equivalence unless sufficiently powered -"absence of evidence is not evidence of absence"
  • 39. Bias Randomisation is the best way of avoiding bias but it is not always possible or appropriate. Some biases affecting observational studies: Treatment-by-indication bias: different treatments are given to different groups of patients because of differences in their clinical condition. Historical controls: will tend to exaggerate treatment effect as recent patients benefit from improvements in health care over time and special attention as a study participant. Recent patients are also likely to be more restrictively selected. Retrospective data collection: availability and recording of events and patient characteristics may be related to the groups being compared. Ecological fallacy: an association observed between variables on an aggregate level does not necessarily represent the association that exists at the individual level. Some biases affecting observational studies and clinical trials: Selection bias: low response rate or high refusal rate – were patients that participated different to those that did
  • 40. not? Informative dropout – was follow-up curtailed for reasons connected to the primary outcome? If so, imbalance in dropout rates between the groups being compared will introduce bias. Bias in clinical trials: No-one should know what the next random allocation is going to be as this may affect whether or when the patient is entered into the trial. Using date of birth, hospital number, or simply alternating between treatments is therefore inappropriate. Central randomisation is ideal. Unblinded assessment of outcomes may be influenced by knowledge of the treatment group. Look for: • Appreciation and measures taken to reduce bias through study design • Selection of patients, collection of data, definition and assessment of outcome and, for clinical trials, method of randomisation should be
  • 41. clearly described • Number and reasons for withdrawal should be reported by treatment group • Appropriate analytic methods such as multiple regression should be used to adjust for differences between groups in observational studies • Authors should discuss likely biases and potential impact on their results Method comparison studies If different methods are evaluated by different observers then the method differences are confounded with observer differences. The study must be repeated with each observer using all methods. Analysis errors Failure to use a test for trend on ordered categories (e.g. age- group). Dichotomizing continuous variables in the analysis (acceptable for descriptive
  • 42. purposes). Using methods for independent samples on paired or repeated measures data. An example is using both arms or legs of the same patient as if they were two independent observations. Using parametric methods (e.g. t-test, ANOVA or linear regression) when the outcome or residuals have not been verified as normally distributed. Over using hypothesis tests (P- values) in preference to confidence intervals. One-tailed tests are very rarely appropriate. Failing to analyse clinical trials by intention-to-treat. Obscure statistical tests should be justified and referenced. Comparing P-values between subgroups instead of carrying out tests of interaction is incorrect. Some may wrongly conclude from these results that: P>0.05
  • 43. P<0.05Subgroup A Subgroup B 1 Treatment effect with 95% CI the subgroup affects response to treatment, based on comparing P-values. A test of interaction would show no evidence of any effect of the grouping on response. Correlating time series: any two variables that consistently rise, fall or remain constant over time will be correlated. 'Detrended' series should be compared instead. Method comparison studies Correlation ≠ agreement Perfect agreement Perfect correlation M e th o d B Method A
  • 44. Higher correlation can be induced by including patients with extreme measurements. Limits of agreement should be calculated according to method of Bland and Altman. Adequate agreement between methods is a clinical not a statistical judgement. Multiple testing Conclusions should only be drawn from appropriate analyses of a small number of clear, pre-defined hypotheses. Results from post-hoc subgroup or risk-factor analyses should be treated as speculative. If many such tests have been carried out adjustment for multiple testing should be considered. Comparing groups at multiple time points should be avoided – a summary statistics approach or more complex statistical methods should be used instead. Further reading: CONSORT: http://www.consort-statement.org Greenhalgh T. How to read a paper: Statistics for the non-statistician. I: Different types of data need different statistical tests. BMJ 1997;315:364-366 Bland JM, Altman DG. Statistical methods for assessing agreement between two methods of clinical measurement. Lancet 1986;1:307-310. Available online at http://www-users.york.ac.uk/~mb55/meas/ba.htm BMJ Statistics Notes: http://www- users.york.ac.uk/~mb55/pubs/pbstnote.htm
  • 45. Produced by Tony Brady Sealed Envelope Ltd http://www.sealedenvelope.com