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A conversation about the local impacts of international trade
deals, climate policy & the global financial crisis.




A local Maori perspective
Mr. Chris Karamea Insley
Monday 22nd April, 2013
Gisborne
Maori lands on the East
Coast
•     Among the highest concentration
      of Maori lands in the country here
      on the coast;
•     Enduring ties to our
      turangawaewae. Unlike other
      temporary players and
      international forestry players we
      have seen come and go from the
      region stripping value out of local
      assets, we will never leave our
      lands (and the region);
•     Government policies (asset sales
      programs of the late 1980’s) that
      ravaged our coast communities
      and whanau;
•     1.2 million hectares of Maori lands
      that are under-performing or
      under-utilized.

    “Ko te whenua te waiu mo nga uri i
            whakatipuranga”

[The land will sustain our future generations]
20 Year Wealth Projections
                          Ngati Porou Wealth Creation

Todays $millions
$800
                                                                      $681

$600                                                           $570
                                                $475
                                        $442
$400               $336   $336


$200


   $0
                      2010                   2021                 2031
                                 Do nothng     Best practice          BERL projections
20 Year Job Projections
                                       New Ngati Porou Jobs

No. Ngati Porou jobs
     6,000                                                                       5,607
                                                                         4,970
                                                          4,732
                                                 4,493
     4,500             4,038   4,038


     3,000



     1,500



         0
                           2010                       2021                   2031

                                         Do nothing      Best practice           BERL projections
20 Year Salary Projections
                               Raising Ngati Porou salaries
 Todays $ per Ngati Porou
    person employed

$140,000
                                                                             $121,534
                                                                      $114,600
$105,000                                        $98,446$100,342
                       $83,279 $83,279

 $70,000


 $35,000


        $0
                            2010                    2021                   2031
                                         Do nothing   Best practice           BERL projections
NZ$ to US$




                                                                                 0.1000

                                                                        0.0000
                                                                                          0.2000
                                                                                                   0.3000
                                                                                                            0.4000
                                                                                                                     0.5000
                                                                                                                              0.6000
                                                                                                                                       0.7000
                                                                                                                                                0.8000
                                                             Jan 1999                                                                                      0.9000
                                                             May 1999
                                                             Sep 1999
                                                             Jan 2000
                                                             May 2000
                                                             Sep 2000
                                                             Jan 2001
                                                             May 2001
                                                             Sep 2001
                                                             Jan 2002




Source: Reserve Bank NZ, August 2011
                                                             May 2002
                                                             Sep 2002
                                                             Jan 2003
                                                             May 2003
                                                             Sep 2003




                                       Series1
                                                             Jan 2004
                                                             May 2004
                                                             Sep 2004
                                                             Jan 2005
                                                             May 2005
                                                             Sep 2005
                                                             Jan 2006
                                       Long run trend-line   May 2006
                                                             Sep 2006
                                                             Jan 2007
                                                             May 2007
                                                             Sep 2007
                                                             Jan 2008
                                                             May 2008
                                                             Sep 2008
                                                             Jan 2009
                                                             May 2009
                                                             Sep 2009
                                                             Jan 2010
                                                             May 2010
                                                             Sep 2010
                                                             Jan 2011
                                                             May 2011
                                                                                                                                                                    Very-high and climbing Exchange Rate
                                                                                                                                                  0.8455
The constant decline in commodity
               prices




Source: CORIOLIS Research, November 2005
Land-based Aquaculture Project
•   Diminishing wild-stock fisheries
•   Growing international demand for fresh fish
•   100 percent Iwi owned
•   Current two year study
     – International connections
     – Leading New Zealand researchers involved
• Some government support (MPI)
• Project goals
     –   Review of all existing research
     –   Design best practice framework
     –   Model project management approaches
     –   Practical replication models with other Iwi
• Study complete in 2015
Manuka Honey Project
• Unique variety of Manuka (in the world)
• Growing international demand medicinal
  products
• 100 percent Iwi owned
• Current two year study
    – International connections
    – Leading New Zealand researchers involved
• Some government support (MPI)
• Project goals
    –   Review of all existing research
    –   Design best practice framework
    –   Model project management approaches
    –   Practical replication models with other Iwi
• Study complete in 2015
Renewable Energy Project
•   A flag-ship project (not just for Maori);
•   Owned by the Marae;
•   Engineering partners;
     –   International;
     –   Auckland University;
     –   Auckland Institute of Technology;
     –   Canterbury University.
•   Leading investor and commercialization partners
•   Project goals
     –   Energy security and a new revenue stream for hapu
     –   New and real jobs
     –   Model project management approaches
     –   Practical replication models
•   Business-case at the end of August, 2013
20 Year Sustainable Development
                  Plans
Tsunami GIS modeling (an example)   Sustainable:
                                    •   Economic development;
                                    •   Social development;
                                    •   Environmental development;
                                    •   Cultural development;
                                    •   Led by the community;
                                    •   No support from central
                                        government;
                                    •   Complete end of
                                        August, 2013
Pampus Spraying (2009)
Pampus Spraying (2009)
Pampus Spraying (2010)
Pampus Spraying (2011)
Pampus Spraying (2012)
Planting Pohutukawa on our beaches
Protected Cultivation (Greenhouse)
• Another flag-ship project;
• 100 percent Maori owned;
• Leading Dutch technology
   – Wageningen Institute (Netherlands)
   – University of Auckland
   – Plant & Food NZ
• Project goals
   –   Food security
   –   Sustainably grown
   –   International trade
   –   Large scale Maori development
   –   Branded as Sustainable and Maori
• Business-case at the end of August, 2012
Climate change and Iwi Nationally
• Iwi interests consistently represented to
  successive governments
• Engagement direct with Ministers
• Agreed 2013 priorities
    – Collapse of NZU price
    – Transition to low carbon economy (clean-
      tech)
    – Recognition of indigenous forests
    – International negotiations and domestic
      regulations
    – Science and Innovation funding
    – Support for Maori communities (power
      bills, home insulation etc..)
• Related Energy and Water policy
Policy lessons from our tipuna (Ngata)
• Targeted investment policy with
  long-term investment players
  (including Government as an
  investor);
• Targeted international trade
  policy particular to our interests
  here on the coast;
• Targeted science and technology
  policy defined by us (not the
  researcher)
• Targeted policy that balances
  economic, social, environment
  and cultural values

      “No one-size fits all policy”

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Gisborne and the global economy

  • 1. A conversation about the local impacts of international trade deals, climate policy & the global financial crisis. A local Maori perspective Mr. Chris Karamea Insley Monday 22nd April, 2013 Gisborne
  • 2. Maori lands on the East Coast • Among the highest concentration of Maori lands in the country here on the coast; • Enduring ties to our turangawaewae. Unlike other temporary players and international forestry players we have seen come and go from the region stripping value out of local assets, we will never leave our lands (and the region); • Government policies (asset sales programs of the late 1980’s) that ravaged our coast communities and whanau; • 1.2 million hectares of Maori lands that are under-performing or under-utilized. “Ko te whenua te waiu mo nga uri i whakatipuranga” [The land will sustain our future generations]
  • 3.
  • 4. 20 Year Wealth Projections Ngati Porou Wealth Creation Todays $millions $800 $681 $600 $570 $475 $442 $400 $336 $336 $200 $0 2010 2021 2031 Do nothng Best practice BERL projections
  • 5. 20 Year Job Projections New Ngati Porou Jobs No. Ngati Porou jobs 6,000 5,607 4,970 4,732 4,493 4,500 4,038 4,038 3,000 1,500 0 2010 2021 2031 Do nothing Best practice BERL projections
  • 6. 20 Year Salary Projections Raising Ngati Porou salaries Todays $ per Ngati Porou person employed $140,000 $121,534 $114,600 $105,000 $98,446$100,342 $83,279 $83,279 $70,000 $35,000 $0 2010 2021 2031 Do nothing Best practice BERL projections
  • 7. NZ$ to US$ 0.1000 0.0000 0.2000 0.3000 0.4000 0.5000 0.6000 0.7000 0.8000 Jan 1999 0.9000 May 1999 Sep 1999 Jan 2000 May 2000 Sep 2000 Jan 2001 May 2001 Sep 2001 Jan 2002 Source: Reserve Bank NZ, August 2011 May 2002 Sep 2002 Jan 2003 May 2003 Sep 2003 Series1 Jan 2004 May 2004 Sep 2004 Jan 2005 May 2005 Sep 2005 Jan 2006 Long run trend-line May 2006 Sep 2006 Jan 2007 May 2007 Sep 2007 Jan 2008 May 2008 Sep 2008 Jan 2009 May 2009 Sep 2009 Jan 2010 May 2010 Sep 2010 Jan 2011 May 2011 Very-high and climbing Exchange Rate 0.8455
  • 8. The constant decline in commodity prices Source: CORIOLIS Research, November 2005
  • 9. Land-based Aquaculture Project • Diminishing wild-stock fisheries • Growing international demand for fresh fish • 100 percent Iwi owned • Current two year study – International connections – Leading New Zealand researchers involved • Some government support (MPI) • Project goals – Review of all existing research – Design best practice framework – Model project management approaches – Practical replication models with other Iwi • Study complete in 2015
  • 10. Manuka Honey Project • Unique variety of Manuka (in the world) • Growing international demand medicinal products • 100 percent Iwi owned • Current two year study – International connections – Leading New Zealand researchers involved • Some government support (MPI) • Project goals – Review of all existing research – Design best practice framework – Model project management approaches – Practical replication models with other Iwi • Study complete in 2015
  • 11. Renewable Energy Project • A flag-ship project (not just for Maori); • Owned by the Marae; • Engineering partners; – International; – Auckland University; – Auckland Institute of Technology; – Canterbury University. • Leading investor and commercialization partners • Project goals – Energy security and a new revenue stream for hapu – New and real jobs – Model project management approaches – Practical replication models • Business-case at the end of August, 2013
  • 12. 20 Year Sustainable Development Plans Tsunami GIS modeling (an example) Sustainable: • Economic development; • Social development; • Environmental development; • Cultural development; • Led by the community; • No support from central government; • Complete end of August, 2013
  • 13.
  • 19. Planting Pohutukawa on our beaches
  • 20. Protected Cultivation (Greenhouse) • Another flag-ship project; • 100 percent Maori owned; • Leading Dutch technology – Wageningen Institute (Netherlands) – University of Auckland – Plant & Food NZ • Project goals – Food security – Sustainably grown – International trade – Large scale Maori development – Branded as Sustainable and Maori • Business-case at the end of August, 2012
  • 21. Climate change and Iwi Nationally • Iwi interests consistently represented to successive governments • Engagement direct with Ministers • Agreed 2013 priorities – Collapse of NZU price – Transition to low carbon economy (clean- tech) – Recognition of indigenous forests – International negotiations and domestic regulations – Science and Innovation funding – Support for Maori communities (power bills, home insulation etc..) • Related Energy and Water policy
  • 22. Policy lessons from our tipuna (Ngata) • Targeted investment policy with long-term investment players (including Government as an investor); • Targeted international trade policy particular to our interests here on the coast; • Targeted science and technology policy defined by us (not the researcher) • Targeted policy that balances economic, social, environment and cultural values “No one-size fits all policy”

Editor's Notes

  1. Brief profilesMr.Chris Karamea Insley and Kennedy Graham in A conversation about the local impacts of international trade deals, climate policy & the global financial crisis.Chris Karamera Insley is a Harvard Business School graduate with qualifications in business research, strategy and international finance. He is on the Board of SCION, the Crown Research Institute for forestry, and Te Kotahi Research Institute at Waikato University. Chris is an advisor on climate change policy to iwi authorities, the New Zealand Government and the United Nations. Chris has extensive international market networks and broad industry knowledge in forestry, fishing, farming, renewable energy, Māori development and sustainable development.Kennedy Graham is a Green Party MP Ken has previously worked for NGOs in New York, the United Nations in Europe and the Middle East, and as a NZ diplomat in Asia, Europe and North America. He was involved in negotiating the South Pacific Nuclear-Free Zone, defending the policy before the UN in Geneva and New York. Ken holds a B.Com from Auckland University, a BA Hons in Political Science from Victoria; an M.A. from the Fletcher School of Law & Diplomacy, Boston (Fulbright); and a Ph.D. in Political Science from Victoria University. He was also a Fellow at Cambridge University, studying in the Global Security Programme. Ken has authored and edited five bookson issues of climate change, sustainability and nuclear weapons from a global perspective.
  2. 20 Year Independent ModellingCurrent asset utilization is not optimal nor comparable to non-MaoriMarkets have shifted, very high exchange rate;Governance and management;Access to capital; andTechnology have changed.Two 20 year scenariosDo nothing; versusLift asset productivity (technology, governance and management)
  3. Key conclusionGanesh Nana pointed clearly to the fundamental role of new technology to raise the productivity of our assets, create new high value products away from the basic commodities of the past and target these into new and high value growth markets of the world. The economic cost to Ngati Porou of not doing this according to Nana is in excess of $100 million.
  4. What does this all mean?Foreign exchange rates are high and will stay high (certainly according to John Key). Commodity prices will fluctuate creating small mini booms, but it is undeniable that they have fallen. The historic business model is broken!We need a new business model/strategyNew global marketsHigh value global marketsHigh growth global marketsAndNew high value products