Portfolio Investment Project (20%)
Fin 404 Investments
Due Date: Week 7
Prof. Ho
Spring II, 2015
Objectives:
· Become familiar with the Wall Street Journal and the Internet financial pages.
· Learn how to select mutual funds, bonds, and stocks.
· Understand tracking and calculating the performance of mutual funds, bonds, stocks and the stock market indexes over the holding period.
· Observe the effects of diversification and assess the risk of investing.
· Achieve early financially independence.
Implementation:
This project is a group effort. You should have 3 students in a group. The initial funding for your account is $100,000. You will construct three portfolios as follows:
Portfolio 1: Four Mutual Funds ($10,000 each) $40,000
Portfolio 2: Corporate AA or AAA rated bonds $10,000
Portfolio 3: Five Individual Stocks $50,000
Total: $100,000
Portfolio 1: You should include a stock fund, a bond fund, an international stock fund,
and a money market fund in your mutual fund portfolio.
Portfolio 2: You should invest only in high graded corporate bonds. Do not choose high
yield (junk) bonds.
Portfolio 3: There is no requirement for equal dollar amount investment or number of
shares in your stock portfolio.
Go to yahoo.com, click finance, and click my portfolio to create your own portfolios. You can also use Excel Spread Sheets to track stock prices daily and performance of each portfolio weekly.
Purposes:
· Investing in mutual funds will allow you to compare the volatility and performance of your own portfolios to a professionally managed selection of securities.
· The purchase of corporate bonds will show the effects of interest rates.
· The purchase of individual stocks will help you understand the risk and reward of investing in the stock market, and the portfolio development will help you understand the benefits of diversification.
Assumptions
· The price of each stock is determined at the close of each trading day as reported in the Wall Street Journal.
· Fractional shares may be purchased.
· Taxes do not apply.
· Individual stocks may be bought and sold during holding period.
· There are no transaction costs.
Requirements
· The time horizon of your investment project is from _________to ___________
(cover at least 4 weeks)
· Track the price per share of individual stocks and determine the value of your portfolio each Friday (end of closing day).
· Liquidate all three portfolios at the end of Week Four.
· Calculate annual holding period return and annual holding period yield (see textbook/PPT slides for formulae)
Written Analysis
See next page (Table of Contents) for the required sections of your paper. You can include more sections if you like. Please go to www.apa.org for paper format.
First Page: Include the title, team members, and Mercer University.
Second page: Table of Content.
1. Portfolio Investment Project (20%)
Fin 404 Investments
Due Date: Week 7
Prof. Ho
Spring II, 2015
Objectives:
· Become familiar with the Wall Street Journal and the Internet
financial pages.
· Learn how to select mutual funds, bonds, and stocks.
· Understand tracking and calculating the performance of
mutual funds, bonds, stocks and the stock market indexes over
the holding period.
· Observe the effects of diversification and assess the risk of
investing.
· Achieve early financially independence.
Implementation:
This project is a group effort. You should have 3 students in a
group. The initial funding for your account is $100,000. You
will construct three portfolios as follows:
Portfolio 1: Four Mutual Funds ($10,000 each)
$40,000
Portfolio 2: Corporate AA or AAA rated bonds
$10,000
Portfolio 3: Five Individual Stocks $50,000
Total: $100,000
Portfolio 1: You should include a stock fund, a bond fund, an
international stock fund,
and a money market fund in your mutual fund portfolio.
Portfolio 2: You should invest only in high graded corporate
2. bonds. Do not choose high
yield (junk) bonds.
Portfolio 3: There is no requirement for equal dollar amount
investment or number of
shares in your stock portfolio.
Go to yahoo.com, click finance, and click my portfolio to create
your own portfolios. You can also use Excel Spread Sheets to
track stock prices daily and performance of each portfolio
weekly.
Purposes:
· Investing in mutual funds will allow you to compare the
volatility and performance of your own portfolios to a
professionally managed selection of securities.
· The purchase of corporate bonds will show the effects of
interest rates.
· The purchase of individual stocks will help you understand the
risk and reward of investing in the stock market, and the
portfolio development will help you understand the benefits of
diversification.
Assumptions
· The price of each stock is determined at the close of each
trading day as reported in the Wall Street Journal.
· Fractional shares may be purchased.
· Taxes do not apply.
3. · Individual stocks may be bought and sold during holding
period.
· There are no transaction costs.
Requirements
· The time horizon of your investment project is from
_________to ___________
(cover at least 4 weeks)
· Track the price per share of individual stocks and determine
the value of your portfolio each Friday (end of closing day).
· Liquidate all three portfolios at the end of Week Four.
· Calculate annual holding period return and annual holding
period yield (see textbook/PPT slides for
formulae)
Written Analysis
See next page (Table of Contents) for the required sections
of your paper. You can include more sections if you like.
Please go to www.apa.org for paper format.
First Page: Include the title, team members, and Mercer
University.
Second page: Table of Contents.
References: Have at least 5 references.
Appendixes: Place data sheets, graphs, and tables at the end of
4. your paper.
Table of Contents
· Executive Summary
II. Statement of Purpose
III. Estimate of the Economic Factors Which Form the
Environment for the Selection
Of Your Portfolios.
VI. Methods of Your Investment Selections
· Comment briefly on each mutual fund, each bond and each
stock in your portfolios. At a minimum, your comments should
include:
` 1. Mutual Funds
Types of funds, returns, types of risk and
outlook, etc.
2. Bonds
Types of bonds, returns, risk, and ratings, etc.
3. Stocks
Types of stocks, returns, dividends, earnings, P/E, risk, and
5. outlook
· Consideration of diversification and discussion of
correlations.
C. Apply investment models. (see chapters 7 and 8)
C. Other factors, if any.
· Weekly performance of your mutual fund portfolio relative to
the bench marks.
· Briefly discuss the volatility and performance
· Draw graphs to support your narrative analysis.
VI. Weekly performance of your bond portfolio relative to the
bond market.
· Briefly discuss the volatility and performance.
· Draw graphs to support your narrative analysis.
VII. Weekly performance of each of your five single stock
investment relative to the
stock market.
· Briefly discuss the volatility and performance.
· Draw graphs to support your narrative analysis.
VIII. Lessons learned for “next time”.
References (At least 5 sources)
Appendixes (data sheets, graphs, and tables, etc.)
FIN404
Portfolio Investment Project
6. Prof. Ho
Spring II, 2015
Team # _______
StudentEmail Phone Number
1.
_____________________________________________________
________________
2.___________________________________________________
____________________
3.___________________________________________________
____________________
Please submit this page no later than week
2.
Sheet1Portfolio 3: Five Individual StocksStock name:1-NIKE
inc(NKE)Current price:99.5510-Yrstotal returnsHistory
(03/31/2015)2005200620072008200920102011201220132014N
KE-3.1315.631.7-
19.1531.5530.9814.338.6454.0923.54Footwear & Accessories-
3.0820.421.46-30.0538.8842.2210.169.750.5318.53S&P 500 TR
USD4.9115.795.49-3726.4610-yrs dividend historyEx/Eff
DateTypeCash AmountDeclaration DateRecord DatePayment
Date2/26/15Cash0.282/12/153/2/154/6/1512/11/14Cash0.2811/2
0/1412/15/141/5/158/28/14Cash0.248/11/149/2/1410/6/145/29/1
12. Coverage————Growth2005-062006-062007-062008-062009-
062010-062011-062012-062013-062014-06Latest QtrRevenue
%Year over Year8.0211.2915.4518.19-
3.286.9311.945.45.611.547.963-Year
Average11.9411.2211.5414.949.696.9258.057.67.48—5-Year
Average11.6311.8512.513.429.679.459.577.65.28.24—10-Year
Average20.9517.7116.2315.3511.4610.5310.7110.029.238.95—
Operating Income %Year over Year61.1813.1212.4621.42-
9.4718.3412.71-19.8722.983.72-2.423-Year
Average6.937.6127.0415.67.329.166.492.243.560.73—5-Year
Average5.717.049.2411.2217.6510.610.523.283.546.39—10-
Year Average21.7318.2613.712.487.328.138.776.217.3111.88—
Net Income %Year over Year50.022.8211.6425.71-
17.628.7723.4-26.6628.770.97—3-Year
Average16.118.0319.86134.9610.089.45.235.23-1.57—5-Year
Average5.411.3912.4312.0912.278.8912.943.844.348.67—10-
Year
Average23.7719.0915.0814.696.477.1312.168.058.1410.45—
EPS %Year over Year49.337.1418.3331.69-13.3729.6328.1-
25.65291.94-8.973-Year
Average16.689.2623.7118.6310.5213.9312.897.287.1-0.75—5-
Year
Average5.6712.715.0315.2416.6513.417.527.096.6510.18—10-
Year Average22.6818.815.7616.18Cash flowCash Flow
Ratios2005-062006-062007-062008-062009-062010-062011-
062012-062013-062014-06Operating Cash Flow Growth %
YOY13.53-13.2623.5521.44-11.9126.4512.1317.16-
8.8311.79Free Cash Flow Growth % YOY16.84-
18.7921.118.66-13.6338.8111.5119-16.188.83Cap Ex as a % of
Sales2.043.564.435.275.343.163.373.135.476.32Free Cash
Flow/Sales
%39.6928.9630.3830.527.2435.3635.2339.7731.5730.8Free
Cash Flow/Net Income1.291.021.11.04Financial healthBalance
Sheet Items (in %)2005-062006-062007-062008-062009-
062010-062011-062012-062013-062014-06Latest QtrCash &
Short-Term
16. 2.3511.0814.972.959.9413.033-Year
Average15.2418.1235.6333.2131.18.16.987.649.559.18—5-Year
Average1314.5225.8526.8926.421.1119.5710.047.77.14—10-
Year
Average14.342319.6119.0718.4916.9817.0217.6816.916.37—
Operating Income %Year over Year38.8320.996.3226.146.48-
4.242.6814.1911.199.485.073-Year
Average18.7492.6148.8144.1338.158.751.543.939.2411.6—5-
Year
Average8.8325.9431.7877.6534.6525.0120.998.565.866.45—10-
Year
Average26.423.3422.2620.5818.9516.6423.4419.6137.1319.72
—Net Income %Year over Year33.2911.7792.6421.8115.06-
7.280.9912.0218.441.13—3-Year
Average19.5617.3442.1137.9139.259.132.521.6110.2510.3—5-
Year
Average10.4227.0729.7730.5432.122.8520.388.017.414.67—10-
Year Average—
33.6352.9223.2719.2616.4723.6818.3918.4117.59—EPS %Year
over Year31.8210.342013.5416.97-
2.353.2117.923.435.8810.483-Year
Average18.3415.8120.414.5616.819.055.645.9214.5215.5—5-
Year Average9.6526.1917.0216.1818.3111.429.949.5511.49.2—
10-Year Average—27.3649.2516.1Cash flowCash Flow
Ratios2005-122006-122007-122008-122009-122010-122011-
122012-122013-122014-12Operating Cash Flow Growth %
YOY—808——223—————Free Cash Flow Growth %
YOY——————————Cap Ex as a % of
Sales4.044.042.372.492.582.081.751.651.571.53Free Cash
Flow/Sales %0.32-0.061.872.021.512.883.723.7734.31Free Cash
Flow/Net Income0.1-0.020.540.55Financial healthBalance Sheet
Items (in %)2005-122006-122007-122008-122009-122010-
122011-122012-122013-122014-12Latest QtrCash & Short-
Term
Investments3.362.581.982.221.772.32.22.095.843.393.39Accou
nts
20. Year
Average8.8325.9431.7877.6534.6525.0120.998.565.866.45—10-
Year
Average26.423.3422.2620.5818.9516.6423.4419.6137.1319.72
—Net Income %Year over Year33.2911.7792.6421.8115.06-
7.280.9912.0218.441.13—3-Year
Average19.5617.3442.1137.9139.259.132.521.6110.2510.3—5-
Year
Average10.4227.0729.7730.5432.122.8520.388.017.414.67—10-
Year Average—
33.6352.9223.2719.2616.4723.6818.3918.4117.59—EPS %Year
over Year31.8210.342013.5416.97-
2.353.2117.923.435.8810.483-Year
Average18.3415.8120.414.5616.819.055.645.9214.5215.5—5-
Year Average9.6526.1917.0216.1818.3111.429.949.5511.49.2—
10-Year Average—27.3649.2516.1Cash flowCash Flow
Ratios2005-122006-122007-122008-122009-122010-122011-
122012-122013-122014-12Operating Cash Flow Growth %
YOY—808——223—————Free Cash Flow Growth %
YOY——————————Cap Ex as a % of
Sales4.044.042.372.492.582.081.751.651.571.53Free Cash
Flow/Sales %0.32-0.061.872.021.512.883.723.7734.31Free Cash
Flow/Net Income0.1-0.020.540.55Financial healthBalance Sheet
Items (in %)2005-122006-122007-122008-122009-122010-
122011-122012-122013-122014-12Latest QtrCash & Short-
Term
Investments3.362.581.982.221.772.32.22.095.843.393.39Accou
nts
Receivable12.0411.568.378.838.857.929.379.8212.213.0513.05I
nventory37.4234.5614.6315.0116.7817.215.5616.3215.4416.071
6.07Other Current
Assets2.091.820.871.041.051.051.681.881.922.492.49Total
Current
Assets54.9150.5225.8627.1128.4528.4828.8130.1235.4134.9934
.99Net
PP&E25.8625.9310.713.3312.8513.3913.1213.112.0411.9111.91
26. ash Conversion
Cycle55.8629.8226.2335.4541.9953.2551.4249.0353.4953.17Re
ceivables
Turnover5.415.425.25.095.345.715.845.835.465.61Inventory
Turnover22.9827.8731.1834.922624.3329.2926.2922.120.6Fixe
d Assets
Turnover0.810.990.90.840.640.570.730.790.750.75Asset
Turnover0.520.650.650.63Betas. 1.08P/E ratios. 10.15PEG
ratios. 49.9S&P 500 index returnsHistory
(03/31/2015)2005200620072008200920102011201220132014S
&P 500 TR USD4.9115.795.49-
3726.4615.062.111632.3913.69S&P 500 P/E. 18.6Risk free
rates1.89%SHARE107.64
Sheet1portfolio #2corporate bond name : Exxon Mobilcurrent
price : $84.30coupon
rates2.7091.8191.3050.9211.9122.3973.5673.1760.2810.3910.63
40.3140.15Maturity
dates3/6/253/15/193/6/183/15/173/6/203/6/223/6/453/15/243/15
/173/15/193/6/223/1/1810/12/54YTM2.651.521.150.761.752.28
3.352.43Current Yields3.27%Bond RatingAAA
Sheet2Portfolio # 2Corporate bond name:Johnson &
JohnsonCurrent Price$99.64Coupon
Rates04.755.955.552.155.154.3753.3750.3315.55.851.1251.654.
52.951.8754.54.953.550.72.454.856.953.3756.730Maturity
Dates7/28/2011/6/198/15/378/15/175/15/167/15/1812/5/3312/5/
2311/28/1611/6/247/15/3811/21/1712/5/189/1/409/1/2012/5/191
2/5/435/15/335/15/2111/28/1612/5/215/15/419/1/2912/5/2311/1
5/237/28/20YTM---0.293.470.930.521.273.222.4---
3.823.461.071.273.381.741.663.423.521.860.542.113.543.11---
2.5539.86Current Yields2.81%Bond RatingAAA
Sheet3
Sheet1Portfolio # 1Fidelity® Mega Cap Stock Fundcurrent fund
price$16.3910 yrs total
returnHistory (03/31/2015)200520062007200820092010201120
27. 1220132014FGRTX7.4812.8411.05-
39.4128.6114.412.3419.4233.2311.66S&P 500 TR
USD4.9115.795.49-3726.4615.062.111632.3913.6910 yrs
Annual report Net Expense
RatioHistory (03/31/2015)2005200620072008200920102011201
2201320140.810.820.810.740.780.790.780.750.70.68mpt
statistic 10 yrs measureR-SquaredBetaAlphaTreynor
RatioCurrency3/31/15vs. Standard IndexFGRTXS&P 500 TR
USD97.331.040.076.58Volatility Measure (10yrs
measure)StandardReturnSharpe RatioSortino RatioBear
MarketDeviationPercentile
Rank3/31/15FGRTX15.638.30.50.72—S&P 500 TR
USD14.768.010.50.71
Sheet2nameGuideStone Funds ExtendedDuration Bond Fund
Investor Class"current fund price$18.5610 yrs total
returnHistory (03/31/2015)200520062007200820092010201120
1220132014YTDGEDZX5.544.498.36-
8.2924.9712.0613.1415.06-5.2917.392.62Barclays US Agg
Bond TR USD2.434.336.975.245.936.547.844.21-2.025.9710
yrs Annual report Net Expense
RatioHistory (03/31/2015)2005200620072008200920102011201
220132014YTDGEDZX5.544.498.36-
8.2924.9712.0613.1415.06-5.2917.392.62Barclays US Agg
Bond TR USD2.434.336.975.245.936.547.844.21-2.025.97mpt
statistic 10 yrs measureIndexR-SquaredBetaAlphaTreynor
RatioGEDZXBarclays US Agg Bond TR USD68.492.46-
1.142.91Volatility Measure (10yrs
measure)StandardReturnSharpe RatioSortino RatioBear
MarketDeviationPercentile Rank9.88.610.741.15
Sheet3nameDodge & Cox International Stock current fund
price$44.0010 yrs total
returnHistory (03/31/2015)200520062007200820092010201120
1220132014DODFX16.7528.0111.71-46.6947.4613.69-
15.9721.0326.310.08MSCI ACWI Ex USA NR
USD16.6226.6516.65-45.5341.4511.15-13.7116.8315.29-3.8710
yrs annual report Net Expense
28. RatioHistory (03/31/2015)2005200620072008200920102011201
2201320140.70.660.650.640.650.650.640.640.640.64MPT
statistic 10 yrs measure10-Year TrailingIndexR-
SquaredBetaAlphaTreynor RatioDODFXMSCI ACWI Ex USA
NR USD95.751.071.395.2Volatility Measure10-Year
TrailingStandardSharpe RatioSortino
RatioDeviationDODFX20.50.360.52MSCI ACWI Ex USA NR
USD18.810.30.42
Sheet4nameFidelity® Government MMktcurrent fund
price$1.0010 yrs total
returnHistory (03/31/2015)200520062007200820092010201120
1220132014YTDSPAXX2.874.734.882.310.320.010.010.010.01
0.010USTREAS T-Bill Auction Ave 3
Mon3.345.064.771.510.160.140.060.090.060.0310 yrs Annual
Report Net Expense
RatioHistory (03/31/2015)2005200620072008200920102011201
2201320140.420.420.420.410.440.350.260.160.190.11MPT
Statistics 10 yrs measure10-Year TrailingIndexR-
SquaredBetaAlphaTreynor RatioSPAXXUSTREAS T-Bill
Auction Ave 3 MonVolatility Measures (10 yrs)10-Year
TrailingStandardSharpe RatioSortino
RatioDeviationSPAXX0.560.10.19USTREAS T-Bill Auction
Ave 3 Mon0.57
FIN 404
Project Raw Data Due Week 4
Ho, 2015
Please collect the following raw data for your investment
project.
Portfolio #1: Four Mutual Funds
· Fund Names
· Current Fund Prices
· 10-year total returns for each fund
· 10-year Annual Report Net Expense Ratios for each fund.
29. MPT statistics (Choose the 10-year measure) for each of your
four funds.
· R-Squared
· Beta
· Alpha
· Treynor
Volatility Measures (Choose the 10-year measure) for each of
your four funds.
· Standard Deviation
· Sharpe Ratio
· Sortino Ratio
Portfolio #2:Corporate Bonds
· Corporate Bond Names
· Current Prices
· Coupon Rates
· Maturity Dates
· YTM
· Current Yields
· Bond Ratings
Portfolio #3: Five Individual Stocks
· Stock Names (Ticker Symbols)
· Current Stock Prices
· 10-year total returns for each of your five stocks.
· 10-year dividend history for each of your five stock
Other Key Ratios for each of your five stocks:
· Profitability
· Growth
· Cash Flow
· Financial Health
· Efficiency Ratios
· Betas
· P/E ratios
· PEG ratios
30. Market and Other Data (10-year history)
· S&P500 Index returns
· S&P500 P/E
· Risk Free Rates (Treasurys)