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Your Startup,
Your Business Plan
Byron Shen, PhD MBA
(A Technologist, Entrepreneur & Writer in Combination)
Back in the 1480s,
Christopher Columbus had a ā€œStartupā€ Plan
ā€œThe Travels of Marco Poloā€ -
Columbus's copy with his
handwritten notes
ā€¢ The Opportunity:
ā€¢ Spices in the Indies, Silk from Cathay
ā€¢ The Changing (Business) Environment and the Problem:
ā€¢ Under the Pax Mongolica over Asia, Europeans had
access to the Indies/Cathay via a land passage
ā€¢ Marco Polo and the Silk Road
ā€¢ But with the fall of Constantinople to the Ottomans
in 1453, the land route to Asia became unavailable
to the Europeans
ā€¢ Christopher Columbusā€™ audacious Plan
ā€¢ In the 1480s, the Columbus brothers proposed to
find a western sea passage (by sailing west across the
Atlantic) to reach Cathay and the Indies(Image credit: Wikipedia)
Columbusā€™ Hypotheses & Assumptions
Toscanelliā€™s map of the Atlantic Ocean
(superimposed on a modern map)
ā€¢ ā€œThe Earth is not flatā€
ā€¢ Known at least since the time of Aristotle
ā€¢ 3rd century BC - Eratosthenes correctly
computed the circumference of the Earth
ā€¢ 9th century - Alfraganus, a Persian and a
famous astronomer estimated a degree of
latitude (or longitude) is 56ā…” miles
ā€¢ Map of the Atlantic Ocean by Toscanelli
(1397 ā€“ 1482)
ā€¢ But Columbus used the shorter Roman mile
instead of the Arabic mile in calculations
ā€¢ He estimated the Earth is 30,200 km in
circumference (actually 40,000 km)
(Image credit: Wikipedia)
The Risks & Challenges
ā€¢ Columbus estimated the distance from the Canary Islands
(Spanish) to Japan to be about 3,700 km. The true figure is about
20,000 km.
ā€¢ No ship in the 15th century could have carried enough food and
fresh water for such a long voyage
ā€¢ And the dangers involved in navigating through the uncharted
ocean would have been formidable
ā€¢ Most European navigators reasonably concluded that a westward
voyage from Europe to Asia was unfeasible
ā€¢ And Challenges in securing ā€œfundingā€
Trying to Find an ā€œInvestorā€
ā€¢ In 1485, Columbus presented his plans to King John II of Portugal
ā€¢ In 1486, Columbus presented his plans to Queen Isabella of Spain
ā€¢ In both cases, the Expert Opinion is: Columbus had grossly underestimated the distance to Asia; Idea impractical
ā€¢ In 1488, Columbus again appealed to the court of Portugal
ā€¢ But the Competition! Portuguese explorers developed the southeast passage, or Cape Route to Asia around
Africa. In 1488 Bartolomeu Dias reached the Cape of Good Hope.
ā€¢ ā€¦ he also appealed to Genoa and Venice, the court of Henry VII of Englandā€¦. With no success
ā€¢ But in 1489, Spain gave him some seed money (some annual allowance & free stuff)
ā€¢ He finally succeeded in 1492 with a Term Sheet with the Spanish crown:
ā€¢ The rank of Admiral of the Ocean Sea; Viceroy and Governor of all the new lands he could claim for Spain
ā€¢ He had the right to nominate 3 persons, and the sovereigns would choose one, for any office in the new lands
ā€¢ Be entitled to 10% of all the revenues from the new lands in perpetuity. Additionally, he would also have the option of
buying 1/8 interest in any commercial venture with the new lands and receive 1/8 of the profits.
ļ¼ˆimage credit: www.mapofeurope.com)
From Europe to Asia by seaļ¼š
ā€¢ A westward sea passageļ¼Ÿ
ā€¢ Or a Southeast sea passageļ¼Ÿ
(Image credit: Wikipedia)
and the Rest is Historyā€¦
ā€¢ Columbus left Spain in August 1492 with 3 ships (Santa Maria, etc.)
ā€¢ Using celestial navigation and trade winds
ā€¢ Landed in the Americas on 12 October - Bahamas, Cuba and Haiti.
ā€¢ Arrived back in Spain early 1493
ā€¢ Brought a number of captive natives with him - the wrong ā€œIndiansā€!
ā€¢ Word of Columbusā€™ discovery of ā€œthe New Worldā€ soon spread throughout Europe
ā€¢ But Columbus did not fare too well personally
ā€¢ Columbus was arrested in 1500 and dismissed from his posts.
ā€¢ He & his sons had a lengthy litigation against the Castilian crown.
ā€¢ The family had some success in the litigation, but further disputes continued until 1790
Unique Challenges
Facing Startups
- Most of the time, you are running on an
obstacle course and racing against time
A Daunting Obstacle Course for Startups
ā€¢ You have a great idea OR is it a fantastical wrong idea?
ā€¢ You start with some big hypotheses and many assumptions
ā€¢ Are they just wishful thinking? How do you validate/invalidate them?
ā€¢ Having to use second hand or anecdotal information
ā€¢ Lots of hypes (and Smoke and Mirrors) out there
ā€¢ And lots of uncertainties
ā€¢ How to persuade investors to pick your project among the competition
ā€¢ Once you start, you are racing against time
ā€¢ And you probably need to recalibrate and pivot often
Ready, Aim, and Go
ā€¦but a minute miscalculation
can lead you a thousand
miles astray
ā€œå·®ä¹‹ęƫ厘ļ¼Œč°¬ä»„千里ā€
(Image credit: captaingino.com)
Traditional Business Plans - Key Sections
ā€¢ Executive Summary
ā€¢ Company Overview
ā€¢ Mission/Vision/Value Statement
ā€¢ Goal and Objectives
ā€¢ Business Environment
ā€¢ Market/Market trends/Drivers
ā€¢ Market segmentation ā†’ Target market/customer
ā€¢ Competition
ā€¢ Business Description & Strategy
ā€¢ Business/product (Portfolio analysis)
ā€¢ Competitive advantage (SWOT analysis etc.)
ā€¢ Growth strategy
ā€¢ Critical Success Factors
ā€¢ Financial review/projection/budget
ā€¢ Action plan
Traditional Business Plans
ā€¢ Established or mature business
ā€¢ Dynamic but probably relatively stable environment
ā€¢ Competition
ā€¢ Government/regulation policy change
ā€¢ With exceptions, of course
ā€¢ Historical data/trend available
ā€¢ Less unknowns or uncertainties
ā€¢ But once in a while, there can be seismic disruption in an
established industry
ā€¢ Cellphone industry: Apple vs Nokia, Motorola, & BlackBerry
Business Plans (or Pitch Deck)
for Startups
ā€¢ The problem you are solving
ā€¢ The size of the opportunity
ā€¢ The Competition
ā€¢ Your approach and your competitive advantage
ā€¢ Your team (strength, experience, core competencies)
ā€¢ Current status (IP, early data, prototype, etc.)
ā€¢ Milestones/timeline/roadmap
ā€¢ High level financials (sales forecast, budgeting, etc.)
ā€¢ Urinary Tract Infections (UTIs)
ā€¢ 2nd most common type of infection in the body (NIH)
ā€¢ High prevalence/recurrence rate esp. for women, elderly,
and diabetics
ā€¢ $3.5 billion in healthcare costs in the U.S. (2005)
ā€¢ Critical & Unmet Clinical Need in UTI
ā€¢ Very high false rate in current UTI diagnosis
ā€¢ Lack of a point-of-care Antibiotic Susceptibility Test
ā€¢ Leading to a rapid increase of antibiotic resistance due to
significant misuse/empirical use of antibiotics
ā€¢ Velox has developed a point-of-care technology and
prototype for rapid UTI Screening and a phenotypic
Antibiotic Susceptibility Test
Velox Example
- Problem/Solution Statement
Article link
Velox Pitch Deck/Business Plan
ā€¢ 14 key slides including the Title Slide
ā€¢ Narrative structure
ā€¢ Company ā€“ Unmet Need ā€“ Solution ā€“ (Supporting) Data ā€“
Competition ā€“ Market Opportunity ā€“ (R&D) Pipeline ā€“ Team -
(Milestones/)Roadmap
ā€¢ Appendix (a few detailed data slides)
ā€¢ Navigation tabs/ribbon at the bottom of each slide
ā€¢ A quick glance shows where you are in the pitch deck
ā€¢ Easy navigation back and forth
ā€¢ (You can try out the navigation tabs on the Velox slides; but they are not linked to
the correct slides in this PPT.)
Velox Pitch Deck
- As sample slides only
- (Navigation tabs are not linked to the
correct slides in this PPT)
Rapid Solutions
for Critical Problems in
Clinical Diagnostics
Company Info
Velox Core Technology/Value Proposition
ā€¢ 3D rapid detection platform:
ā€¢ Culture-free pathogen detection
ā€¢ Digital droplet molecular detection
ā€¢ Ability to achieve exceptional sensitivity
and rapid speed in combination
Introduction of
cancer liquid biopsy
in R&D pipeline
Point-of-care, rapid UTI Screening
and Antibiotic Susceptibility Test
clinical validation
Velox lab
set up in Irvine, CA$5M NIH R01 grant
bloodstream infection/sepsis
Core technology
developed at UC Irvine
Contact: info@veloxbio.com
www.veloxbio.com
(Other Slides Redactedā€¦)
Questions?
(and thank you!)

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Business Plans for Startups_Byron Shen

  • 1. Your Startup, Your Business Plan Byron Shen, PhD MBA (A Technologist, Entrepreneur & Writer in Combination)
  • 2. Back in the 1480s, Christopher Columbus had a ā€œStartupā€ Plan ā€œThe Travels of Marco Poloā€ - Columbus's copy with his handwritten notes ā€¢ The Opportunity: ā€¢ Spices in the Indies, Silk from Cathay ā€¢ The Changing (Business) Environment and the Problem: ā€¢ Under the Pax Mongolica over Asia, Europeans had access to the Indies/Cathay via a land passage ā€¢ Marco Polo and the Silk Road ā€¢ But with the fall of Constantinople to the Ottomans in 1453, the land route to Asia became unavailable to the Europeans ā€¢ Christopher Columbusā€™ audacious Plan ā€¢ In the 1480s, the Columbus brothers proposed to find a western sea passage (by sailing west across the Atlantic) to reach Cathay and the Indies(Image credit: Wikipedia)
  • 3. Columbusā€™ Hypotheses & Assumptions Toscanelliā€™s map of the Atlantic Ocean (superimposed on a modern map) ā€¢ ā€œThe Earth is not flatā€ ā€¢ Known at least since the time of Aristotle ā€¢ 3rd century BC - Eratosthenes correctly computed the circumference of the Earth ā€¢ 9th century - Alfraganus, a Persian and a famous astronomer estimated a degree of latitude (or longitude) is 56ā…” miles ā€¢ Map of the Atlantic Ocean by Toscanelli (1397 ā€“ 1482) ā€¢ But Columbus used the shorter Roman mile instead of the Arabic mile in calculations ā€¢ He estimated the Earth is 30,200 km in circumference (actually 40,000 km) (Image credit: Wikipedia)
  • 4. The Risks & Challenges ā€¢ Columbus estimated the distance from the Canary Islands (Spanish) to Japan to be about 3,700 km. The true figure is about 20,000 km. ā€¢ No ship in the 15th century could have carried enough food and fresh water for such a long voyage ā€¢ And the dangers involved in navigating through the uncharted ocean would have been formidable ā€¢ Most European navigators reasonably concluded that a westward voyage from Europe to Asia was unfeasible ā€¢ And Challenges in securing ā€œfundingā€
  • 5. Trying to Find an ā€œInvestorā€ ā€¢ In 1485, Columbus presented his plans to King John II of Portugal ā€¢ In 1486, Columbus presented his plans to Queen Isabella of Spain ā€¢ In both cases, the Expert Opinion is: Columbus had grossly underestimated the distance to Asia; Idea impractical ā€¢ In 1488, Columbus again appealed to the court of Portugal ā€¢ But the Competition! Portuguese explorers developed the southeast passage, or Cape Route to Asia around Africa. In 1488 Bartolomeu Dias reached the Cape of Good Hope. ā€¢ ā€¦ he also appealed to Genoa and Venice, the court of Henry VII of Englandā€¦. With no success ā€¢ But in 1489, Spain gave him some seed money (some annual allowance & free stuff) ā€¢ He finally succeeded in 1492 with a Term Sheet with the Spanish crown: ā€¢ The rank of Admiral of the Ocean Sea; Viceroy and Governor of all the new lands he could claim for Spain ā€¢ He had the right to nominate 3 persons, and the sovereigns would choose one, for any office in the new lands ā€¢ Be entitled to 10% of all the revenues from the new lands in perpetuity. Additionally, he would also have the option of buying 1/8 interest in any commercial venture with the new lands and receive 1/8 of the profits.
  • 6. ļ¼ˆimage credit: www.mapofeurope.com) From Europe to Asia by seaļ¼š ā€¢ A westward sea passageļ¼Ÿ ā€¢ Or a Southeast sea passageļ¼Ÿ
  • 8. and the Rest is Historyā€¦ ā€¢ Columbus left Spain in August 1492 with 3 ships (Santa Maria, etc.) ā€¢ Using celestial navigation and trade winds ā€¢ Landed in the Americas on 12 October - Bahamas, Cuba and Haiti. ā€¢ Arrived back in Spain early 1493 ā€¢ Brought a number of captive natives with him - the wrong ā€œIndiansā€! ā€¢ Word of Columbusā€™ discovery of ā€œthe New Worldā€ soon spread throughout Europe ā€¢ But Columbus did not fare too well personally ā€¢ Columbus was arrested in 1500 and dismissed from his posts. ā€¢ He & his sons had a lengthy litigation against the Castilian crown. ā€¢ The family had some success in the litigation, but further disputes continued until 1790
  • 9. Unique Challenges Facing Startups - Most of the time, you are running on an obstacle course and racing against time
  • 10. A Daunting Obstacle Course for Startups ā€¢ You have a great idea OR is it a fantastical wrong idea? ā€¢ You start with some big hypotheses and many assumptions ā€¢ Are they just wishful thinking? How do you validate/invalidate them? ā€¢ Having to use second hand or anecdotal information ā€¢ Lots of hypes (and Smoke and Mirrors) out there ā€¢ And lots of uncertainties ā€¢ How to persuade investors to pick your project among the competition ā€¢ Once you start, you are racing against time ā€¢ And you probably need to recalibrate and pivot often
  • 11. Ready, Aim, and Go ā€¦but a minute miscalculation can lead you a thousand miles astray ā€œå·®ä¹‹ęƫ厘ļ¼Œč°¬ä»„千里ā€ (Image credit: captaingino.com)
  • 12. Traditional Business Plans - Key Sections ā€¢ Executive Summary ā€¢ Company Overview ā€¢ Mission/Vision/Value Statement ā€¢ Goal and Objectives ā€¢ Business Environment ā€¢ Market/Market trends/Drivers ā€¢ Market segmentation ā†’ Target market/customer ā€¢ Competition ā€¢ Business Description & Strategy ā€¢ Business/product (Portfolio analysis) ā€¢ Competitive advantage (SWOT analysis etc.) ā€¢ Growth strategy ā€¢ Critical Success Factors ā€¢ Financial review/projection/budget ā€¢ Action plan
  • 13. Traditional Business Plans ā€¢ Established or mature business ā€¢ Dynamic but probably relatively stable environment ā€¢ Competition ā€¢ Government/regulation policy change ā€¢ With exceptions, of course ā€¢ Historical data/trend available ā€¢ Less unknowns or uncertainties ā€¢ But once in a while, there can be seismic disruption in an established industry ā€¢ Cellphone industry: Apple vs Nokia, Motorola, & BlackBerry
  • 14. Business Plans (or Pitch Deck) for Startups ā€¢ The problem you are solving ā€¢ The size of the opportunity ā€¢ The Competition ā€¢ Your approach and your competitive advantage ā€¢ Your team (strength, experience, core competencies) ā€¢ Current status (IP, early data, prototype, etc.) ā€¢ Milestones/timeline/roadmap ā€¢ High level financials (sales forecast, budgeting, etc.)
  • 15. ā€¢ Urinary Tract Infections (UTIs) ā€¢ 2nd most common type of infection in the body (NIH) ā€¢ High prevalence/recurrence rate esp. for women, elderly, and diabetics ā€¢ $3.5 billion in healthcare costs in the U.S. (2005) ā€¢ Critical & Unmet Clinical Need in UTI ā€¢ Very high false rate in current UTI diagnosis ā€¢ Lack of a point-of-care Antibiotic Susceptibility Test ā€¢ Leading to a rapid increase of antibiotic resistance due to significant misuse/empirical use of antibiotics ā€¢ Velox has developed a point-of-care technology and prototype for rapid UTI Screening and a phenotypic Antibiotic Susceptibility Test Velox Example - Problem/Solution Statement Article link
  • 16. Velox Pitch Deck/Business Plan ā€¢ 14 key slides including the Title Slide ā€¢ Narrative structure ā€¢ Company ā€“ Unmet Need ā€“ Solution ā€“ (Supporting) Data ā€“ Competition ā€“ Market Opportunity ā€“ (R&D) Pipeline ā€“ Team - (Milestones/)Roadmap ā€¢ Appendix (a few detailed data slides) ā€¢ Navigation tabs/ribbon at the bottom of each slide ā€¢ A quick glance shows where you are in the pitch deck ā€¢ Easy navigation back and forth ā€¢ (You can try out the navigation tabs on the Velox slides; but they are not linked to the correct slides in this PPT.)
  • 17. Velox Pitch Deck - As sample slides only - (Navigation tabs are not linked to the correct slides in this PPT)
  • 18. Rapid Solutions for Critical Problems in Clinical Diagnostics
  • 19. Company Info Velox Core Technology/Value Proposition ā€¢ 3D rapid detection platform: ā€¢ Culture-free pathogen detection ā€¢ Digital droplet molecular detection ā€¢ Ability to achieve exceptional sensitivity and rapid speed in combination Introduction of cancer liquid biopsy in R&D pipeline Point-of-care, rapid UTI Screening and Antibiotic Susceptibility Test clinical validation Velox lab set up in Irvine, CA$5M NIH R01 grant bloodstream infection/sepsis Core technology developed at UC Irvine Contact: info@veloxbio.com www.veloxbio.com