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2012
 Crystal Ball
   Gazing:
Meta-Trends
      &
The Future of
  Learning
Introduction




                Director Graduate Program
                Instructional Technology Management
                La Salle University
                1900 W. Olney Ave.
                Philadelphia, PA 19141
                215-500-3166
                baggio@lasalle.edu




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What exactly is e-Learning any?

    Elearning
    E-learning
    elearning
    e-Learning
    e-learning                 Learning   is Learning
    Online learning
    Web-based learning
    Distance learning
    Technology based learning
    Ubiquitous learning
    M-learning
    B-learning
    What is this stuff anyway?


© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
Meta Analysis of Meta Analyses

     Some Major e-Learning Reports
       The Horizon Reports 2006 to 2012
     Online Nation
     Class Differences Sloan C 2011
     Learner Use of Online Educational Resources for Learning
        (LUOERL)




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?




     A Meta-Analysis of e-Learning Reports
     We also still have a long way to go!




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


         Features of e-Learning
         Research to practice…where
         is the breakdown?




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?




           MIT
           Harvard
           Stanford
           Rice
           U Michigan…….U2?




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?



        All reports
        agree:

        That a paradigm
        shift in the way
        education is viewed &
        delivered has occurred.

        What is perceived as
        learning has
        undergone radical
        change.




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?




     “While there is a growing recognition of & attention to distance learning
     in higher education, its growing inclusion in academia significantly
     changes the educational environment & experience…”

© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?

         The Horizon Reports 2006 -2012
         The New Media Consortium & EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative




                                                                   What do they
                                                                   have in common?




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


       Trends…that keep showing up
       Social
       Mobile & personal
       Individualized
       Collaboration




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


          Technologies that just keep showing up
           Social computing
           Personal broadcasting
           Educational gaming
           Augmented reality
           Context-aware environments & devices
           Tablets & More Phones




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?




                                                   1 for
                                                   every 2
                                                   people on
                                                   the planet
                                                   2006


                                                   7 for
                                                   every
                                                   person
                                                   on the
                                                   planet by
                                                   2009

© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


        Major Trends that just keep showing up…
        Higher education is changing rapidly
        Increasing globalization
        Collective intelligence
        User Created Content
        Social Networking
        Mobile Phones
        Virtual Worlds
        New Scholarship & Forms of
        Publication
        Massively Multiplayer
        Educational Gaming


© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?



       Mobile Broadband




       5 of the 6 billion people on Earth do not have access to computing
       technology.

       In Africa, mobile phone subscribers jumped from 10 million to 400
       million between 2004 and 2009.
© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?



          Collective Intelligence: Mashups
           A mashup is an application that combines data from more than one source into a
           single integrated tool. (API Application Programming Interface)



           Examples:
           youMashTube

           Digg

           Flickrvision

           Google Maps

           Radioclouds


© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


         Social Operating Systems
          Organization of the network around people rather than content.
          Implicit connections & clues we leave everywhere as we go
          about our daily lives…use them to organize our work and our
          thinking




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


          More Technologies to Watch

           Mobiles

           Cloud Computing

           Geo-Everything

           The Personal Web

           Semantic-Aware Applications

           Smart Objects




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?

         Cloud Computing




         Large scale data farms

         Large clusters of networked servers

         Power & storage cheap

© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?




                                                   Geo-Everything
                                                   Physical
                                                   Coordinates
                                                   Geo-tagging
                                                   Tracking




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


         The Personal Web
         Reorganize online content

         iGoogle

         AIM Dashboard

         Customize environment




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?

         Web 3.0 Semantic-Aware Applications




                                                   Gather content

                                                   Extract meaning

                                                   Shape meaning




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?



           Smart Objects

             Internet of things

             Recognize physical location

             Connect with other objects

             Sensors

             Identifiers

             Applications



© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What is the impact?



         Online Nation: How Many Learners Are Online?
         More…& more & more…..everyday…..




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


        The Horizon Report 2010: 4 Major Trends
          • Rethink what education is & how it is delivered, emphasis on
            mentoring & preparation for the workforce & world.
            Credentialing is changing.

          • Expectations have changed. People expect to work, learn & study
            anywhere & time. Informal learning.

          • Cloud based technologies and decentralized IT.

          • Work of students is collaborative by nature.




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


          2010 Technologies to Watch

           Mobiles

           Open Content

           Electronic Books

           Augmented Reality

           Gesture Based Computing

           Visual Data Analysis




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


        The Horizon Report 2011: 4 Major Trends
          • Abundance of resources & relationships easily accessible make
            traditional educator roles challenging…how can we best serve?

          • People expect to work, learn & study anywhere & time. When
            they can’t they are frustrated.

          • World of work is increasingly global & collaborative gives rise to
            reflection on how student projects are structured.

          • Technologies are increasingly cloud based, and IT
            decentralized.




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


          2011 Technologies to Watch
          Electronic Books

          Mobiles

          Augmented Reality

          Game Based Learning

          Gesture Based Computing

          Learning Analytics                http://cain.blogspot.com/2012/03/tapping-power-of-analytics.html




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?

        The Horizon Report 2012: 6 Major Trends
        • People expect to work, learn & study anywhere & time. When
          they can’t they are frustrated.

        • Technologies are increasingly cloud based, & IT decentralized.

        • World of work is increasingly collaborative driving changes in
          student projects.

        • Abundance of resources on the internet is forcing us to
          reexamine our role as educators.

        • Education paradigms are shifting to include online, hybrid &
          collaborative.

        • New emphasis on challenged-based & active learning

© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?


          2012 Technologies to Watch
           Mobile apps

           Tablet computing

           Game-based learning

           Learning analytics

           Gesture-based learning

           The Internet of Things                  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sfEbMV295Kk




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
Mobile Computing

           Japan’s Fukuoka University

           North Carolina State library

           University of Utah human anatomy

           San Francisco art museum tours




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
Augmented Reality




http://www.hoppala-agency.com/


© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
Game Based Learning
            Frequency 1550

            Explore!

            Alien Contact!

            Environmental Detectives

            Charles River City




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
Gesture Based Computing


        Medical applications

        CMU snow ball fight

        Sign Language




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
Learning Analytics




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
2012
 Crystal Ball
   Gazing:
Meta-Trends
      &
The Future of
  Learning
What do we really know?




          Government think tank….Dr. Traci Sitzman




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
ADL Co-Lab Network - U.S   .
                      • ADL Co-Laboratory Hub
                        Alexandria, Virginia


             • Academic ADL Co-Lab
               Madison, Wisconsin




            • Workforce ADL Co-
              Lab Memphis, Tennessee



             • Joint ADL Co-Lab
              Orlando, Florida
ADL Global Partnerships


            Canada                             United Kingdom                               In negotiation
       ADL Partnership Lab                    ADL Partnership Lab
             (Ottawa - DND)                       (Telford, England)                     Korea
                                                                                   ADL Partnership Lab
                                                                                             (MOCIE)




                                           NATO/
                                             PfP
                                          (26 + 20)


                                                                                                Taiwan
          Latin America
                                                                                                    Singapore
        ADL Partership Lab
   ILCE – (13 Latin American countries)

                                                                  Australia
DEST   Department of Education,                              ADL Partnership Lab
       Science and Training                                            (DEST)
ILCE   Instituto Latinoamericano
       de la Comunicación Educativa               KOR    Ministry of Commerce, Industry, & Energy
                                                  TWN    Ministry of Economic Affairs
NATO NATO Training Group
                                                  SGP    Singapore Armed Forces
 PfP Partnership for Peace/ADL                    THAI   Ministry of Science and Technology
     Working Group
What do we really know?


Are we providing access to the highest quality education & training,
tailored to individual needs, delivered cost effectively, anywhere and
anytime?



                               Web-based
                                Learning
                          Home               Field


                  Online                        Distributed
                  Gaming                        Simulation

                      School                      In
                                                Transit


                      Embedded               Content
                                  Office
                       Training            Repositories
What are the trends effecting learning?


         7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends




                                   7 Trends
                                     2012
                                      To
                                     2017


© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends


         1. Open Source Everything Open Educational Resources (OER)




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends

         1. What we call learning is dramatically changing.




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends

     •      Learner participation, Web 3.0 tools, grassroots video or
            virtual communities…. Active authentic connection is
            extremely important.




                                              =
© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends

        1. Our boundaries are going away….blended everything.




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends

        1. Mobile everything




        4g
        2011

© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends


     1. Augmented Mobile Reality




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends

     1. Visual Analytics




            http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5i3xbitEVfs




© Bobbe G Baggio 2012
What are the trends effecting learning?



          Thanks for joining me….




                                                   2013?



© Bobbe G Baggio 2012

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Trends in e-Learning: A Meta-Analysis of Reports from 2006-2012

  • 1. 2012 Crystal Ball Gazing: Meta-Trends & The Future of Learning
  • 2. Introduction Director Graduate Program Instructional Technology Management La Salle University 1900 W. Olney Ave. Philadelphia, PA 19141 215-500-3166 baggio@lasalle.edu © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 3. What exactly is e-Learning any? Elearning E-learning elearning e-Learning e-learning Learning is Learning Online learning Web-based learning Distance learning Technology based learning Ubiquitous learning M-learning B-learning What is this stuff anyway? © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 4. Meta Analysis of Meta Analyses Some Major e-Learning Reports  The Horizon Reports 2006 to 2012  Online Nation  Class Differences Sloan C 2011  Learner Use of Online Educational Resources for Learning (LUOERL) © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 5. What are the trends effecting learning? A Meta-Analysis of e-Learning Reports We also still have a long way to go! © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 6. What are the trends effecting learning? Features of e-Learning Research to practice…where is the breakdown? © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 7. What are the trends effecting learning? MIT Harvard Stanford Rice U Michigan…….U2? © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 8. What are the trends effecting learning? All reports agree: That a paradigm shift in the way education is viewed & delivered has occurred. What is perceived as learning has undergone radical change. © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 9. What are the trends effecting learning? “While there is a growing recognition of & attention to distance learning in higher education, its growing inclusion in academia significantly changes the educational environment & experience…” © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 10. What are the trends effecting learning? The Horizon Reports 2006 -2012 The New Media Consortium & EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative What do they have in common? © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 11. What are the trends effecting learning? Trends…that keep showing up Social Mobile & personal Individualized Collaboration © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 12. What are the trends effecting learning? Technologies that just keep showing up Social computing Personal broadcasting Educational gaming Augmented reality Context-aware environments & devices Tablets & More Phones © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 13. What are the trends effecting learning? 1 for every 2 people on the planet 2006 7 for every person on the planet by 2009 © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 14. What are the trends effecting learning? Major Trends that just keep showing up… Higher education is changing rapidly Increasing globalization Collective intelligence User Created Content Social Networking Mobile Phones Virtual Worlds New Scholarship & Forms of Publication Massively Multiplayer Educational Gaming © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 15. What are the trends effecting learning? Mobile Broadband 5 of the 6 billion people on Earth do not have access to computing technology. In Africa, mobile phone subscribers jumped from 10 million to 400 million between 2004 and 2009. © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 16. What are the trends effecting learning? Collective Intelligence: Mashups A mashup is an application that combines data from more than one source into a single integrated tool. (API Application Programming Interface) Examples: youMashTube Digg Flickrvision Google Maps Radioclouds © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 17. What are the trends effecting learning? Social Operating Systems Organization of the network around people rather than content. Implicit connections & clues we leave everywhere as we go about our daily lives…use them to organize our work and our thinking © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 18. What are the trends effecting learning? More Technologies to Watch Mobiles Cloud Computing Geo-Everything The Personal Web Semantic-Aware Applications Smart Objects © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 19. What are the trends effecting learning? Cloud Computing Large scale data farms Large clusters of networked servers Power & storage cheap © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 20. What are the trends effecting learning? Geo-Everything Physical Coordinates Geo-tagging Tracking © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 21. What are the trends effecting learning? The Personal Web Reorganize online content iGoogle AIM Dashboard Customize environment © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 22. What are the trends effecting learning? Web 3.0 Semantic-Aware Applications Gather content Extract meaning Shape meaning © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 23. What are the trends effecting learning? Smart Objects Internet of things Recognize physical location Connect with other objects Sensors Identifiers Applications © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 24. What is the impact? Online Nation: How Many Learners Are Online? More…& more & more…..everyday….. © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 25. What are the trends effecting learning? The Horizon Report 2010: 4 Major Trends • Rethink what education is & how it is delivered, emphasis on mentoring & preparation for the workforce & world. Credentialing is changing. • Expectations have changed. People expect to work, learn & study anywhere & time. Informal learning. • Cloud based technologies and decentralized IT. • Work of students is collaborative by nature. © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 26. What are the trends effecting learning? 2010 Technologies to Watch Mobiles Open Content Electronic Books Augmented Reality Gesture Based Computing Visual Data Analysis © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 27. What are the trends effecting learning? The Horizon Report 2011: 4 Major Trends • Abundance of resources & relationships easily accessible make traditional educator roles challenging…how can we best serve? • People expect to work, learn & study anywhere & time. When they can’t they are frustrated. • World of work is increasingly global & collaborative gives rise to reflection on how student projects are structured. • Technologies are increasingly cloud based, and IT decentralized. © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 28. What are the trends effecting learning? 2011 Technologies to Watch Electronic Books Mobiles Augmented Reality Game Based Learning Gesture Based Computing Learning Analytics http://cain.blogspot.com/2012/03/tapping-power-of-analytics.html © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 29. What are the trends effecting learning? The Horizon Report 2012: 6 Major Trends • People expect to work, learn & study anywhere & time. When they can’t they are frustrated. • Technologies are increasingly cloud based, & IT decentralized. • World of work is increasingly collaborative driving changes in student projects. • Abundance of resources on the internet is forcing us to reexamine our role as educators. • Education paradigms are shifting to include online, hybrid & collaborative. • New emphasis on challenged-based & active learning © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 30. What are the trends effecting learning? 2012 Technologies to Watch Mobile apps Tablet computing Game-based learning Learning analytics Gesture-based learning The Internet of Things http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sfEbMV295Kk © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 31. Mobile Computing Japan’s Fukuoka University North Carolina State library University of Utah human anatomy San Francisco art museum tours © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 33. Game Based Learning Frequency 1550 Explore! Alien Contact! Environmental Detectives Charles River City © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 34. Gesture Based Computing Medical applications CMU snow ball fight Sign Language © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 36. 2012 Crystal Ball Gazing: Meta-Trends & The Future of Learning
  • 37. What do we really know? Government think tank….Dr. Traci Sitzman © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 38. ADL Co-Lab Network - U.S . • ADL Co-Laboratory Hub Alexandria, Virginia • Academic ADL Co-Lab Madison, Wisconsin • Workforce ADL Co- Lab Memphis, Tennessee • Joint ADL Co-Lab Orlando, Florida
  • 39. ADL Global Partnerships Canada United Kingdom In negotiation ADL Partnership Lab ADL Partnership Lab (Ottawa - DND) (Telford, England) Korea ADL Partnership Lab (MOCIE) NATO/ PfP (26 + 20) Taiwan Latin America Singapore ADL Partership Lab ILCE – (13 Latin American countries) Australia DEST Department of Education, ADL Partnership Lab Science and Training (DEST) ILCE Instituto Latinoamericano de la Comunicación Educativa KOR Ministry of Commerce, Industry, & Energy TWN Ministry of Economic Affairs NATO NATO Training Group SGP Singapore Armed Forces PfP Partnership for Peace/ADL THAI Ministry of Science and Technology Working Group
  • 40. What do we really know? Are we providing access to the highest quality education & training, tailored to individual needs, delivered cost effectively, anywhere and anytime? Web-based Learning Home Field Online Distributed Gaming Simulation School In Transit Embedded Content Office Training Repositories
  • 41. What are the trends effecting learning? 7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends 7 Trends 2012 To 2017 © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 42. 7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends 1. Open Source Everything Open Educational Resources (OER) © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 43. 7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends 1. What we call learning is dramatically changing. © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 44. 7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends • Learner participation, Web 3.0 tools, grassroots video or virtual communities…. Active authentic connection is extremely important. = © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 45. 7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends 1. Our boundaries are going away….blended everything. © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 46. 7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends 1. Mobile everything 4g 2011 © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 47. 7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends 1. Augmented Mobile Reality © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 48. 7 Meta-Trends of Meta-Trends 1. Visual Analytics http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5i3xbitEVfs © Bobbe G Baggio 2012
  • 49. What are the trends effecting learning? Thanks for joining me…. 2013? © Bobbe G Baggio 2012

Editor's Notes

  1. The mission of ADL is to provide access to high quality education and training that is tailored to individual needs and delivered cost effectively any time and any where. We are sponsored by the Office of the Secretary of Defense to assist DoD in putting course content online The goal of training evaluation is to determine whether we are meeting the objective. How can we ensure this vision is being met for every training course? If the vision is not being met, we need to develop a plan for improving the training courses.