A talk from the Main Stage at AWE USA 2019 - the World's #1 XR Conference & Expo in Santa Clara, California May 29-31, 2019.
Charlie Fink (XR Consultant, Forbes): Convergence
This is a historic moment. We are on the cusp of a new generation of mobile computing. Latency-free 5G broadband networks, Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Augmented Reality (AR) technologies will converge in the next five years to change the world as we know it. Our devices will change dramatically and change us in ways no one can fully predict. Convergence tells the story of Augmented Reality, a new technology that’s seeping into every smartphone and every workplace. But the smartphone is just the beginning. We will soon wonder how we put up with its miserable form for so long. In this presentation of key ideas from his new book, author and Forbes columnist Charlie Fink will discuss how the convergence will lead to head-worn, interoperable AR/VR glasses and, ultimately, to wearable, invisible, computing. The book uses a kind of AR called "marker AR," to allow readers to use their smartphone to bring pages to life in surprising and entertaining ways to illustrate how the world, and everyone it, will be painted with data. More than a book about technology, this is about an evolutionary change in humankind.
Powerful Google developer tools for immediate impact! (2023-24 C)
Charlie Fink (XR Consultant, Forbes): Convergence
1. AWE May 29th, 2019
Charlie Fink
XR Consultant,
Columnist,
& Author à
@CharlieFink
2.
3.
4. CONVERGENCE
How The World Will Be Painted With Data
Conceived, Produced & Edited by Charlie Fink
Foreword by Jay Samit Author of Disrupt You!
App Developed by Happy Giant AR
Written by Charlie Fink and Nikki Baird, Mark Billinghurst, Mike Boland,
David Daniels, Chandra Devam, Ray Di Carlo, Rob Crasco, Scott Edgar, Michael Eichenseer,
Tom Emrich, Cathy Hackl, Loren Hammonds, Tony Hodgson, Yao Huang, Ori Inbar,
Amy LaMeyer, Stephanie Llamas, Jacob Loewenstein, Dave Lorenzini, Anne McKinnon,
Pattie Maes, Matt Meisnieks, Anjney Midha, Erik Murphy-Chutorian, Lewis Packwood,
Tony Parisi, Joe Parlier, Amy Peck, M. Pell, Ted Schilowitz, Robert Scoble, Alan Smithson,
Sam Steinberger, Neal Stimler, Tony Vitillo, Shane Wall, Sean White, Kevin Williams,
Samantha Wolfe, and Zenka
Book Design by Birte Reimer
5. CONVERGENCE
con·ver·gence | kən-ˈvər-jən(t)s
1: the act of converging and especially moving toward union or uniformity the convergence of the three rivers
especially: coordinated movement of the two eyes so that the image of a single point is formed on
corresponding retinal areas
2: the state or property of being convergent
3: independent development of similar characters (as of bodily structure of unrelated organisms or cultural
traits) often associated with similarity of habits or environment
4: the merging of distinct technologies, industries, or devices into a
unified whole… offers a variety of services related to the convergence of
the Internet and mobile phones.
Source: Miriam Webster Dictionary
6. First Industrial Revolution
The Modern Age
(Age of Science)
The Digital Age The Fourth Wave
Steam Engine
à Factory, Transportation
Electricity
àTelephone, Appliances,
Radio, Television
Combustion Engine
à Cars, Airplanes
PC, Internet, Mobile
à Apple, Microsoft,
Google, Facebook,
Amazon
AR Cloud, Mirrorworld,
Magicverse
à ???
The history of CONVERGENCE
7. Key Components of Next Tech Convergence
AR Hardware
AR Cloud
Spatial Sound
3D Web
5G Networks
Sensors
Edge Computing
ArtificialIntelligence
8. Zero Latency Cloud Computing
The End of the App (WebXR)
The End of the Newsfeed (Contextual, Spatial)
Dramatic Changes in Form (HW & UX)
Text becomes dimensional
Platform Innovation
A World Painted With Data
9. Mirrorworld
The HTML of spatial computing
The world will be painted with selfies
Pictures of food, Pets, Ads
Filters
Apps where and when you need them
Layers and the Magicverse
A World Painted With Data
11. Superior form factor
Something we’re already doing
Less intrusive and interruptive
Growing app ecosystem
Voice controlled OS
Can be enhanced with sensors
Invisible, Wearable,
Ubiquitous Computing
Mobile First
14. Limited utility, app ecosystem
No successful proxy
Value proposition
Prescription compatibility
Cost, Device management
Field of View, Ease of Use
Operating system, Peripherals
Consumer Headwear Headwind
15. Ready Player One
Social Network
Smartphone (second screen)
Internet Access
Mixed reality
Entertainment Zones
VR is better with AR in it
17. Cameras Are Your Eyes – True MR
VR Devices will be our first AR HMDs
18. Augmentation vs. Distraction
Just in time – Where and when you need it
SLAM, persistence, anchoring (registration)
Mirrorworld
Computer vision
Facial recognition (privacy?)
AR Cloud Silos
Notification layers and Filters
How will we integrate Digital with Physical
19. 2.7 TRILLION dollars invested by 2020 (McKinsey)
Last mile issues, repeaters, boosters
High speed = high cost
Mobile upgrade cycle = 3+ years
5G Zones
The 5G Hype Train
21. Key Points
à Verizon’s rebrand of 4G as “5G E” is “unhelpful.”
à New 5G phones bloated by two modems
à No improvement until Snapdragon X55 in late 2020
So it begins…
22. (or What Are Your Plans For the Next Four Years?)
Enterprise
Education
Healthcare
LBVR
First adopters
Useful (but preliminary) devices
Waiting for the CONVERGENCE
24. 1. 5G and AI are headed for a “trough of disillusion”
2. Every XR device on the market is an interim device
3. Enterprise XR is where the money is at
4. The smart phone camera will be our eyes. We won’t believe
them either.
• Universal Visual Browser
• AR is seeping into the apps we use every day
• Mobile AR is a dastardly form factor
5. For now, sound may be more important than optics
Conclusion
25. It’s going to be epic.
It’s going to be a mess.
We’re going to party like it’s 1999.
Most startups will fail.
Some big players will stumble.
A lot of people are going to get rich.
Predictions
26. At the entrance of the Expo - 6pm Thursday.
While They Last
Book Signing Tomorrow!
27. Thank You!
Download the book FREE!
Use code AWE
(Compliments of Unity)
at
ConvergenceAR.com
@charliefink