Understand global supply & demand dynamics for ethane, naphtha, propane and butane. Comparing the competitiveness of NGL feedstocks and derivatives to capitalize the export market potential in the US, Asia, Europe and other global markets

1. THEONLYEVENTFOCUSSINGONTHEGLOBALMARKETING
OPPORTUNTIESFORUSFEEDSTOCKANDDERIVATIVESEXPORTS
www.ngl-supply-demand-dynamics.com
Register By Friday
October 30, 2014
• Multi-Well Pad Facilities
• Gathering Facilities
• Production Facilities
• Condensate Stabilization
• Water Treatment & Disposal
• Pressurized Tanks
• Gas Processing
• Vapour Recovery
Led By US And Global NGLs Producers, Petrochemical
Companies, Midstream Companies And Plastics And
Resins Producers including key Insights and Debate on:
• EVALUATE THE RISING COMPETITIVENESS OF NAPHTHA OVER ETHANE: How Is
The Drop In Crude Prices Affecting Global Ethane Supply Demand Dynamics?
• QUANTIFY US NGL FEEDSTOCKS DEMAND IN CHINA, EUROPE AND MEXICO: Hearing
Updates On Cracking Capacity From Leading Petrochemical Companies From
These Countries
• DEFINE THE BUSINESS CASE FOR FLEXIBLE CRACKERS: Assess The ROI For Flexible
Cracking Units In Volatile Oil Gas Price Markets
• IDENTIFY THE MOST COMPETITIVE NGL FEEDSTOCK: Comparing Cracking And
Logistical Costs For Ethane, Naphtha, Propane And Butane
• DETERMINE GLOBAL MARKET OPPORTUNITIES FOR US DERIVATIVES: Measure The
Business Potential For Polyethylene And Polypropylene In China And Europe Based
On Local Demand Projections From Plastics And Resins Producers
23 - 24 February 2016 | Houston, TX
Organized By:
SAVE UP TO 20% WITH GROUP DISCOUNTS
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William Jeffrey Gilliam
CEO
Badlands NGL’s
Steve Woodward
VP
Antero Resources
Hardi Schuck
Director Supply Chain
Braskem
Manav Lahoti
Director of Olefins
Dow Chemical
Stephen Hanan
SVP, NGL Business Development
BP
Mathew Curry
Directory Business Development
Range Resources
Mathew George
Chief Manager Petrochemical Exports
Indian Oil
Understand Global Supply Demand Dynamics
For Ethane, Naphtha, Propane And Butane
Comparing The Competitiveness Of NGL
Feedstocks And Derivatives
To Capitalize The Export Market Potential In
The US, Asia, Europe And Other Global Markets
Preview Of 20+ Leading Industry Speakers Including:

2. www.ngl-supply-demand-dynamics.com (1) 800 721 3915 info@american-business-conferences.com
An excellent opportunity to network with other industry professionals.
I enjoy hearing about the challenges and successes that other operators have
experienced.
I think it’s important to never think that you have it all figured out. There’s
always room for improvement and sharing learnings at a summit like this is an
ideal way to get better
Facilities Engineering Manager
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation
THE US SHALE BOOM HAS PRODUCED ABSOLUTELY HUGE
QUANTITIES OF NGLS. SEVERAL US DOMESTIC CRACKER PROJECTS
ARE STILL IN THE PLANNING AND EXECUTION PHASE AND ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE ONLINE UNTIL 2020. THIS HAS CREATED
INCREDIBLE LEVELS OF OVERSUPPLY AND ETHANE IS CURRENTLY
WORTH MORE AS NATURAL GAS THAN AS LIQUID ETHANE.
As the price of crude has dramatically decreased, ethane has lost its
competitive advantage over naphtha. This should be bad news for ethane
producers and production should slow; according to the EIA (US Energy
Information Association) ethane production for the past four months has
average an all time high. Demand for ethane as a feedstock for the petrochem
industry will rise considerably as new ethane cracking capacity comes
online, through 2017-2020. Supply levels still dictate that export is being very
strongly considered and the new markets explored.
Following on from last years’ Ethane to Ethylene markets Conference, this
new initiative led by NGL producers and petrochemical companies will explore
the NGL global and domestic markets. Namely the new global and national
supply and demand dynamics focusing specifically on the promising Asia,
European and Latin America Markets. Apart from global demand on NGL
feedstocks such as naphtha, ethane, propane and butane, the congress will
also evaluate the cost vs. benefits of using flexible crackers in the context of
unstable commodity prices.
Day One will focus on analyzing US domestic production forecasts and global
demand and cracking capacity for ethane, naphtha, propane and butane to
draw conclusions on feedstock competitiveness and key global markets for
US ethane, naphtha and LPG exports.
Day Two will analyze the contrasting competitiveness from a logistical
standpoint between ethane and naphtha, PDH developments in China and
global export market opportunities for US derivatives.
Venue Information:
SAVE UP TO 20% WITH GROUP DISCOUNTS
CALL FOR RATES: (1) 800 721 3915
COMPETITIVE AND COMPARATIVE FEEDSTOCK ANALYSIS:
The only event that breaks down the global demand for
each individual feedstock as a competitive comparison in
price, production capacity and logistical cost for exports.
GLOBAL FEEDSTOCK DEMAND INSIGHT:
The only place to get direct insight knowledge from
European, Asian and Latin American petrochemical
companies about their current feedstock and
derivative capacity to strategically analyze where
which feedstock and derivatives producers and
petrochemical companies should invest their
money in.
LOGISTICAL CHALLENGE CONUNDRUM
This year’s event will also cover in-detail the
operational logistical; challenges of distributing and
transporting naphtha, ethane, butane and propane to
global markets such as China and India.
REGULATIONS AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES:
One of the few conferences to additionally underline
direct US regulations and challenges that effect the
feedstock cost of production and exports to foreign
markets.
REAL LIFE CASE CRACKER CASE STUDIES
Featuring perspectives of petrochemical companies
that have vital project information for the cracking
capacity of Ethane that will help overcome the issue
of ethane rejection.
FEEDSTOCK DERIVATIVES LONG TERM STRATEGY
Every session contains information that can be
directly used to make competitive strategic feedstock
decisions on future exports that are cost effective
and profitable, ensuring that you leave with a much
broader understanding of global market opportunities
for selected feedstock.
REASONS TO ATTEND

3. ESTABLISHING THE BUSINESS CASE FOR US ETHANE, NAPHTHA, PROPANE AND BUTANE
EXPORTS TO CHINA, EUROPE AND LATIN AMERICA
Day 1
Tuesday December 9, 2015
DayOnewillanalyzeUSdomesticproductionforecastsandglobal
demandandcrackingcapacityforethane,naphtha,propaneand
butanetodrawconclusionsonfeedstockcompetitivenessandkey
globalmarketsforUSethane,naphthaandLPGexports
8.30 Chair’s Opening Remarks
ChairedBy:SteveWoodward,VicePresident,Antero
Resources
KEYNOTE PANEL: PERSPECTIVES FROM US NGL
PRODUCERS
8.40 Evaluating Domestic Production Forecasts And
Break-evens For Ethane, Naphtha, Propane And Butane
To Estimate Future US Supply And Competitiveness
• Feedstock Competitiveness: Comparing production costs for
ethane, naphtha, propane and butane
• Long-Term Outlook: Understanding how the impact of crude
oil has impacted domestic ethane, naphtha, propane and
butane production to predict which of these feedstocks will
be more profitable to produce in the next 5-10 years
• Correlating production to prices variations: Accurately
predicting profitable feedstock production volumes relative
to crude and gas pricing scenarios
• Exploring cost stability for various feedstock to develop
future strategic pricing decisions and establish benchmark
for identifying feedstock buyers and sellers
ModeratedBy:SteveWoodward,VicePresident,Antero
Resources
WaltTeter,BoardDirector,AmericanEthane
DaveCannelongo,ChiefOilNGLMarketingManager,
AnteroResources
US ETHANE VS. NAPHTHA SUPPLY DYNAMICS IN THE
NEW COMMODITY PRICE ENVIRONMENT
HIGHLIGHTING THE IMPACT OF DECLINE IN CRUDE OIL
ON DOMESTIC ETHANE AND Naptha PRODUCTION IN THE
NEXT 5-10 YEARS TO ASSESS WHETHER INTERNAL US
CRACKING CAPACITY CAN MEET EXTERNAL DEMAND
US ETHANE SUPPLY PROVISIONS
9.20 An NGL Producer’s Total Production Forecast For
2016-2020 To Determine How Ethane Production Will Be
Impacted By The Rising Competitiveness Of Naphtha
• Scrutinizing ethane production costs to understand whether
it is still a competitive feedstock in the wake of the decline
in crude prices
• Assessing the investment that should be spent on ethane
infrastructure at cost savings in order to fully optimize
ethane production
• Analyzing drilling patterns in light of falling crude prices to
determine the extent to which it will affect ethane production
• Estimating expected variations in ethane supply to reassess
and align procurement strategies
WaltTeter,BoardDirector,AmericanEthane
9.50 Question Answer Session
10.00 Morning Refreshments in Exhibition Showcase Area
US ETHANE LPG SUPPLY DIRECTION
10.30 A US NGL Producer’s Production Forecast On
The Economics of Recovering Ethane And Exporting
LPG’s From The Utica and Marcellus Basin
• Forecasting the production curves for the US LPG’S through
2020 and beyond.
• Examining ethane recovery economics in the largest and
lowest cost ethane production basin in the US
• Assessing LPG export economics for Appalachian producers
out of the US Atlantic and Gulf Coasts to identify future
production trends
• Forecasting the negative impact current commodity trends
will have on ethane production to streamline capital
expenditure for the next 5-10 years
DaveCannelongo,ChiefOilNGLMarketingManager,
AnteroResources
11.00 Question Answer Session
US NAPHTHA SUPPLY DYNAMICS
11.10 A US Refiner’s Estimation On Its Domestic Naphtha
Production And Break-evens In The Next 5-10 Years
Relative To Probable Crude Pricing Scenarios
• Measuring how falling crude prices impact naphtha supply
trends to estimate naphtha production forecasts for the next
five years
• Examining how cost reductions achieved from new naphtha
cracking and drilling technologies for Crude, affect naphtha
production rates
• Investigating the extent to which economically viable Crude
will affect the availability and prices of naphtha feedstocks in
the next 5-10 years
• Assessing different crude pricing scenarios to estimate the
extent to which variations in crude prices impact naphtha
production
• Evaluating production forecasts for naphtha feedstocks to
strategise capital deployment decisions for the next 5-10
years
MatthewCurry,DirectorofBusinessDevelopment,Range
Resources
11.40 Question Answer Session
DOMESTIC DEMAND FOR ETHANE VS. NAPHTHA
QUANTIFYING DOMESTIC CRACKING CAPACITY FOR
ETHANE AND NAPHTHA TO DETERMINE THE VOLUME OF
US NGL FEEDSTOCK SURPLUS AVAILABLE FOR EXPORTS
US ETHANE REJECTION
11.50 Quantifying Domestic Cracking Capacity And
Current Rejection Rates For Ethane To Demonstrate
Whether Production Surpluses Can Meet External
Demand: An American Petrochemical Company’s View
• Examining best practices for Modularization to determine
how this execution strategy can be implemented to optimize
time and cost in your project
• Evaluating Engineering considerations to understand
main components, procurement, assembling and pre-
commissioning of modules
• Analyzing size and weight constraints of Transporting
modules to determine solutions for Logistics, Setting and
Government Regulations
12.20 Question Answer Session
12.30 Lunch In The Exhibition Showcase Area
US REGULATIONS FOR FEEDSTOCK PRODUCTION
DISTRIBUTION
1.30 An Business Advocacy Perspective On federal
Regulations That Have A Direct Impact On Feedstock
Exports To Foreign Markets and Production Costs
• Exploring how the new and upcoming federal regulatory
actions impact operational costs of cracking plants for
feedstock and derivatives.
• Highlighting the potential costs of direct and indirect
regulation of CO2 and potential relief to calculate future
monetary investment.
• Understanding whether the direct regulation of methane
emissions will impact the production and export of feedstock
to global markets for future pricing decisions
• Distinguishing how the new ozone NAAQS standard
constrains the expansion and new build opportunities of
cracker plants and feedstock production.
ChrisGuith,SeniorVicePresident,USChamberofCommerce
2.00 Question Answer Session
ASIA DEMAND FOR ETHANE AND NAPHTHA
EXPLORING CHINA AND INDIA CRACKING CAPACITY AND
PROCESSSING COSTS TO REVIEW POTENTIAL MARKET
OPPORTUNITIES FOR US EXPORTS
CHINESE ETHANE AND NAPHTHA CRACKING CAPACITY
2.10 A Leading Chinese Petrochemical Firm Provides
Clarity On Available Cracking Capacity To Establish The
Business Case For US Ethane Naphtha Exports
• Breaking down the infrastructural, permitting and logistical
requirements to build new ethane crackers to predict the
viability for US exports.
• Analyzing skilled labor availability for the projects and its
potential to escalate costs to mitigate project investment
risk.
• Evaluating current Chinese cracking capacity to forecast
whether there will be a demand growth rate for ethane and
naphtha.
• Quantifying China’s sluggish economic growth to foresee
recovery timeframes and impact on US Ethane exports
• Clarifying the extent to which China’s economic slowdown is
impacting ethane investments to predict the scope of future
infrastructure plans
• How competitive is naphtha for a Chinese petrochemical
cracker? Calculating a more accurate demand absorption
rate
YuanboTang,HeadofLPGTrading,Cargill
2.40 Question Answer Session
INDIAN ETHANE AND NAPHTHA CRACKING
2.50 Naphtha And Ethane Cracking Capacity And Costs:
Leading Indian Petrochemical Company’s Conclusions On
Expansion Plans In The Context Of Feedstock Constraints
• Naphtha – Current Feedstock of Choice in South Asia – Is
there enough available?
• Discussing how low naphtha prices need to be before India
makes an active strategic decision to invest in naphtha over
other feedstocks
• Clarifying project investment and crackers expansion to
better understand India’s demand profile for naphtha and
ethane
• Breaking down India’s demand for each feedstock to
visualize how naphtha demand compares to the demand of
other feedstocks
• Assessing India’s demand profile for building blocks (C2/C3)
to visualize how feedstock demand scenarios play out over
the next decade.
• Evaluating Indian cracking capacity and expansions on the
horizon – Will they be enough to meet downstream growth
in polyolefin?
MathewGeorge,ChiefManagerPetrochemExports,IndianOil
3.20 Question Answer Session
3.30 Afternoon Refreshments In Exhibition Showcase Area
US-TO-EUROPE: ETHANE AND NAPHTHA
EVALUATING DOMESTIC PRODUCTION RATES AND
CRACKING CAPACITY IN EUROPE TO DEFINE THE
BUSINESS CASE FOR US EXPORTS
US-TO-EUROPE ETHANE AND NAPHTHA EXPORT
MARKETS
4.00 Is Europe A Viable Market For US Ethane Or Naphtha
Exports? A European Petrochemical Company’s View On
Cracking Capacity, European And Middle Eastern Ethane
Naphtha Production And Prices
• Examining ethane cracking capacity in Europe to establish
if European Ethane crackers are currently operating at full
capacity
• Assessing current demand for US ethane in Europe to
understand whether it is economically viable to export
ethane
• Classifying natural gas pricing assumptions for European
and Middle Eastern ethane production to identify variations
in ethane prices locally
• Clarifying if scheduled import plans for US ethane will go
ahead in the wake of the crude price decrease
• Forecasting ethane production in Europe and the Middle
East to understand the extent to which European ethane
demand is covered and identify opportunities for US
suppliers
• How dependent is Europe’s naphtha Production on price?
Identifying the extent to which European naphtha demand
relies on low prices
• Correlating current and future European and Middle Eastern
naphtha capacities with current and future naphtha cracker
capacity to identify market opportunities for US naphtha
exporters
• Weighing up the costs behind different naphtha supply
options to determine if it would be economical for European
petrochemicals to import US naphtha
4.30 Question Answer Session
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4. ESTABLISHING THE BUSINESS CASE FOR US ETHANE, NAPHTHA, PROPANE AND BUTANE
EXPORTS TO CHINA, EUROPE AND LATIN AMERICA
Day 1
Tuesday December 9, 2015
LPG AND NAPHTHA DEMAND DYNAMICS:
CHINA AND BRAZIL
EXPLORING PDH CAPACITY AND LOCAL LPG DOMESTIC
PRODUCTION FOR CHINA AND BRAZIL TO DEFINE
COMMERCIAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR US PROPANE AND
BUTANE EXPORTS
US-TO-CHINA PROPANE EXPORT OPPORTUNITIES
4.40 Examining Ongoing Trade Flows For US-To-China
Propane Exports, Current PDH Capacity, Domestic
Propane Production And Pricing To Estimate Chinese
Demand For US Propane
• Quantifying PDH consumption rates for a Chinese
Petrochemical to determine whether China can absorb US
propane surpluses
• Understanding how a Chinese refinery’s restructuring
for alternative feedstock outputs is impacting propane
production
• Will this increase demand for external propane in the
country?
• Comparing the competitiveness of US-to-China propane
exports with alternative external propane sources including
the Middle East
• Assessing whether the investment in PDH units in China will
generate a positive effect on her demand for US propane
• Clarifying how decline in commodity prices will impact
PDH investment in China and resultant impact US propane
demand
5.10 Question Answer Session
BRAZIL: MARKET OPPORTUNITIES FOR US NAPHTHA
PROPANE EXPORTS
5.20 Can Latin America Absorb The US Naphtha stock? A
Brazilian Petrochemical Company’s Case Study On Local
Naphtha Production Forecasts, Capacity And Seasonal
Demand Variables
• Determining economic drivers for US-to-Brazil naphtha
propane exports through an robust assessment of
development and logistics for Naphtha in Brazil
• Quantifying a Brazilian Petrochemical Company’s production
capacity to produce a better understanding of current
naphtha propane demand
• Detailing naphtha plant expansion plans to gain clarity on
growth expectations for Brazil’s naphtha demand
• Evaluating local naphtha Propane production forecasts in
Brazil to determine how much of Brazil’s naphtha demand is
being covered by local production
• Examining seasonal variations in naphtha propane
demand for heating in Brazil
HardiSchuck,DirectorSupplyChain,BraskemBrazil
5.50 Question Answer Session
GLOBAL BUTANE DEMAND OUTLOOK PANEL
6.00 What Are The Global Market Opportunities For US
Butane Exports? Leading Chinese, Mexican And European
Petrochemical Firms Share Conclusions On Local Butane
Cracking Capacity And Competitiveness
• Scrutinizing how low butane heating value needs to get to
compete in the global markets
• Discussing if global butane demand can justify clearing US
facilities to export butane versus propane
• Exploring the viability of exporting butane from the US to
global markets as butane supply point gets further away and
assess if further investment is needed
• Identifying what global regions rank as top butadiene
demand markets and where the new supply plants currently
radiate from to pinpoint the high value opportunities for US
butane exports
ModeratedBy:SteveWoodward,VicePresident,Antero
Resources
6.30 Question Answer Session
GLOBAL NGL FEEDSTOCK SUPPLY DYNAMICS
PROACTIVE CONCLUSION SHARING ON THE LEARNING
TAKEAWAYS FROM DAY ONE
GLOBAL NGL SUPPLY AND DEMAND DYNAMICS:
DISCUSSION ROUNDTABLE
6.40 Distilling The Lessons Learnt Throughout The Day
On Ethane, Naphtha And LPG Supply And Demand
Dynamics To Proactively Share Conclusions On The Global
Competitiveness Of These US Feedstocks
• Gathering conclusions on production economics for ethane,
naphtha and NGL to understand which feedstock is more
economical to produce and how these differentials impact
feedstock export prices
• Quantifying how much of these feedstocks are being
absorbed by US domestic demand and clarify how much
feedstock surplus is currently available for exports
• Comparing cracking capacity levels in China and Europe
to understand which territory holds the highest market
potential for US feedstock exports
• Determining how sensitive ethane, naphtha and LPG
feedstocks are to variations in crude and gas prices, to
assess risks derived from future crude and gas price
instability
7.00 Chair’s Closing Remarks
7.10-8.10 Networking Drinks Reception In Exhibition
Showcase Area
www.ngl-supply-demand-dynamics.com (1) 800 721 3915 info@american-business-conferences.com
It is the first time facilities
professionals in the energy sector will get to
network and knowledge-share. It will help
them to evaluate their current operations/
projects, as they learn about existing
operations
Lead Facilities Engineer, Eagle Ford Operations
Carrizo Oil Gas
KEYNOTE CASE STUDY: ETHANE VS. NAPHTHA:
PROCESSING COSTS PANEL
8.40 Comparing Processing Economics Of Ethane
Vs. Naphtha To Ascertain Which Feedstock Is More
Competitive To Produce And Distribute
• Weighing ethane processing costs against naphtha
processing costs to understand which feedstock is more
economical to crack
• Comparing savings in production costs for ethane over the
cost savings for naphtha exports to determine which is the
most price competitive feedstock
• Weighing energy quality for ethane against usage
opportunities for naphtha to leverage the most competitive
feedstock for global market opportunities
ModeratedBy:SteveWoodward,VicePresident,Antero
Resources
WilliamGilliam,CEO,Badlands
MathewGeorge,ChiefManagerPetrochemExports,IndianOil
9.10 Question Answer Session
ETHANE VS. Naptha: CRACKING ECONOMICS
EXPLORING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN PROCESSING
ECONOMICS, LOGISTICAL COSTS AND CRACKER
DEVELOPMENT CAPITAL DEPLOYMENTS FOR ETHANE
AND Naptha TO ESTABLISH WHICH IS MORE COMPETITIVE
FEEDSTOCK FLEXIBILITY
9.20 Implementing Flexible-Cracking Units: Weighing
The Increased Costs Of Flexible Crackers Against The
Benefit Of Being Protected From Future Variations In
Prices In A Volatile Market
• Certifying the competitive advantage of higher investment in
a flexible cracking unit vs. the cost savings in a mono-slate
feedstock cracker to establish the business case for flexible
cracking units
• Comparing the different by-product yields that can develop
from a flexible feedstock cracker in comparison to a single
slate feedstock cracker to drive future pricing decisions
• Contrasting the long-term benefits of a multi-slate
feedstock cracker in an unpredictable market vs. the return
of investment for single slate feedstock crackers in stable
commodity pricing scenarios
• Evaluating the extent to which flexible cracking units can
protect petrochemical companies from variations in crude
and gas prices
10.00 Morning Refreshments In Exhibition Showcase Area
US ETHANE CRACKER PROJECT UPDATES
10.30 Presenting An Update On Ethane Crackers
Development In The US To Understand How Increasing
Competitiveness Of Naphtha Is Affecting Petrochemical
Companies’ Feedstock Strategies
• Reviewing case studies where major companies have
cancelled or postponed cracking projects to refurbish
ethane units to:
• Quantify impact of delays
• Clarify when they will come online
• Exploring the impact planned export facilities will have on
ethane export availability to determine ROI for these projects
• Gaining insight into US petrochemical companies that are
still investing in new ethane crackers to get clarity on their
feedstock strategies
• Identify storage and infrastructure costs for ethane cracking
projects to make strategic decisions on whether further
investment is viable and cost-effective
JasonHamman,EconomicDevelopmentConsultant,Monroe
PortAuthority
11.00 Question Answer Session
A US ETHANE PROJECT CASE STUDY
11.10 Presenting An Update On Badlands Ethane
Cracker Development In The US To Understand
How The Overabundance Supply of Ethane can be
Overcome
Day 2
Wednesday December 10, 2014
FEEDSTOCK CRACKING AND LOGISTICS ECONOMICS FOR ETHANE, NAPHTA, PROPANE AND
BUTANE AND GLOBAL DEMAND OUTLOOK FOR ETHYLENE AND PROPYLENE DERIVATIVES
Continued overleaf

5. • Exploring the production capacity in the new North Dakota
Ethane plant to evaluate the ethane heating density’s it can
accommodate for.
• Discussing Badland’s predictions on the length of time it will
take for this new development to be able to offer a solution
for the significant domestic investment made into ethane
supply.
• Dissecting the engineering and technology used for this
new development to help US producers to make long term
financial decisions
• Reviewing the site selection possibilities for this new
development in order for US producer location clarity.
• Identify storage and infrastructure costs for this project
to help make strategic decisions on whether further
investment is viable and cost-effective
• Pinpointing whether ethane derivatives emerging from the
cracker will be predominantly distributed domestically or
globally
WilliamGilliam,CEO,Badlands
11.40 Question Answer Session
GLOBAL DERIVATIVES EXPORT OPPORTUNITIES
EXPLORING THE POLYETHYLENE AND POLYPROPYLENE
DEMAND IN ASIA AND EUROPE TO GAUGE THE SCOPE
OF POTENTIAL MARKET OPPORTUNTIES FOR US
DERIVATIVES EXPORTS
POLY PROPELEYNE POLYETHYLENE SUPPLY TO ASIA
11.50 Is There Enough US Polyethylene And
Polypropylene Capacity And Demand To Justify US
Exports? Case Study From A US Leading Petrochemical
Company
• Evaluating the current ethylene and propylene supply and
demand in the US to determine global market opportunities
in Asia
• Laying out timings for cracker and PDH projects to
determine the extent to which capacity will be met
• Quantifying the current Asian merchant market globally and
domestically for ethylene and propylene to determine how
much excess capacity it can absorb.
• Evaluating the long-term business case for ethylene
and propylene arbitrage to determine whether further
investment is needed or not.
ManavLahoti,DirectorofOlefins,DowChemical
12.20 Question Answer Session
12.30 Lunch In Exhibition Showcase Area
US Derivatives Exports In China And Europe
Key Learning Takeaways On Market Opportunities For US
Derivatives In China And Europe: Collective Conclusions From
The Day
US DERIVATIVES GLOBAL MARKETS: DISCUSSION
ROUNDTABLE
1.30 Assessing Demand For Derivatives In China And
Europe: Sharing Conclusions On The Potential And
Economics For US Polyethylene And Polypropylene
Exports
• Reviewing regional production figures for polyethylene and
polypropylene to determine optimal market destinations
• Examining local polyethylene and polypropylene prices
in China and Europe to ascertain whether US plastics
producers can compete with them
• Comparing material properties of polyethylene vs.
polypropylene to gauge its suitability for different industries
and draw decisions on which markets to target for exports
• Calculating the feedstock price point at which production of
polypropylene becomes more profitable than polyethylene to
inform derivative selection for exports
ModeratedBy:SteveWoodward,VicePresident,Antero
Resources
ETHANE VS. NAPHTHA: LOGISTICAL COSTS COMPARISON
ANALYSING THE LOGISTICAL COSTS INCLUDING EXPORT
TERMINALS AND SHIPPING TO EUROPE AND CHINA
FOR ETHANE VS. NAPHTHA TO DETERMINE IMPACT ON
IMPORT PRICING
ETHANE EXPORTS: LOGISTICAL COSTS
1.50 Breaking Down The Logistics Costs For Ethane
Exports Including Export Terminals And Shipping To
India To Determine Economic Viability And Impact On
Import Prices
• Shipping of ethane – new horizons! Understanding issues at
Hand, Costs and new Ship Orders to predict future pricing
decisions
• Reviewing pipeline network within India to understand
where imported ethane can be used in order to increase
market industry knowledge
• Learning shipping prices for ethane and number of ships
required for transportation to calculate total transportation
costs to markets like India
• Exploring new ways to cut shipping costs for ethane
including buying round journeys vs. single journeys to
reduce ethane transportation costs
• Establishing the time it takes to load and unload ethane at
US export terminals and Indian ports to break down daily
logistical rates
• Reviewing existing and planned shipping terminals that are
available for ethane within the US and India
MathewGeorge,ChiefManagerPetrochemExports,IndianOil
2.20 Question Answer Session
NAPHTHA TRANSPORTATION COSTS
2.30 Quantifying Total Logistics Costs For US
Naphtha Exports To China And Europe To Establish
Attractiveness Compared To Ethane Transport
• Reviewing financial barriers in China and Europe for
importing naphtha including tariff costs to gauge the
profitability of exporting naphtha to these markets
• Decipher what the environmental restrictions are in China
and Europe for importing naphtha and understand how
these impact logistical costs
• Comparing shipping vs. rail for US naphtha exports to
determine which transportation option is most economical
• Highlighting specific transportation restrictions on crude
rail cars in the US to prevent any extra costs derived from
regulatory non-compliance
3.00 Question Answer Session
LPG EXPORT LOGISTICS ECONOMICS
BREAKING DOWN THE COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH MOVING
US PROPANE AND BUTANE TO CHINA AND EUROPE TO
QUANTIFY IMPACT ON PRICES
LPG EXPORT LOGISTICS
3.10 Understanding The Costs Derived From Export
Terminals, Shipping To China And Europe And
Receiving Propane And Butane To Determine How
These Impact Import Prices
• Exploring the tariff costs associated with shipping propane
and butane to China and Europe
• Clarifying terminal capacity and capability for LPG exports
in China and Europe to ascertain the feasibility of exporting
US LPGs
• Detailing US regulations for receiving propane and butane
to minimize the risk in excess cost for US LPGs shipping
returns
StephenHanan,SeniorVicePresidentNGLBusiness
Development,BP
3.40 Question Answer Session
3.50 Afternoon Refreshments In Exhibition Showcase Area
PDH DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA
DISCUSSSING LOCAL REGULATION, EXPANSION PLANS,
COMPLETION DATES AND CRACKING CAPACITY FOR
US-TO-CHINA LPGs TO DEFINE THE BUSINESS CASE FOR
LPG EXPORTS
PDH PROJECT UPDATES IN CHINA
4.20 Hearing From A Leading Chinese Petrochemical
Firm On PDH Expansion Plans, Completion Dates And
Future Cracking Capacity
• Re-evaluating the propane Dehydro cracking capacity in
PDH units within China to clarify the outlook for US-to-
China LPGs
• Understand how many new PDH plants in China have come
online and if they are operating at full capacity to assess
impact on demand
• Evaluating new PDH plants under construction to predict
whether or not they can cover excess propane supplies from
the US
• Reviewing heating demand for PDH units in China to make
business decisions on whether further investment is needed
to make China a more globally competitive market for LPGs
YuanboTang,HeadofLPGTrading,Cargill
4.50 Question Answer Session
Processing And Transportation Costs For NGL Feedstocks
Proactive Conclusion Sharing On Key Learning Takeaways
As Regards NGL Feedstock Competitiveness: Cracking And
Transportation Costs, Us Ethane Crackers And Chinese PDH
Development
NGL LOGISTICS ECONOMICS COMPARISON: DISCUSSION
ROUNDTABLE
5.00 Distilling The Lessons Learnt Throughout The Day
On Ethane, Naphtha, Propane And Butane Cracking
And Logistics Costs To Collectively Draw Conclusions
On Which Feedstock Is Cheaper To Export And Crack
• Comparing cracking economics for ethane vs. naphtha vs.
propane vs. Butane to gain clarity on which feedstock is
cheaper to crack
• Weighing the costs of moving ethane against the costs
of moving naphtha to clarify which feedstock is more
economical from a logistical standpoint
• Reviewing updates on ethane cracking developments in
the US to predict internal demand and draw investment
decisions
• Assessing transportation costs for US LPG exports to China
and Europe to bring clarity on how these impact final import
prices in each territory
5.20 Chair’s Closing Remarks
ModeratedBy:SteveWoodward,VicePresident,Antero
Resources
Day 2
Wednesday December 10, 2014
FEEDSTOCK CRACKING AND LOGISTICS ECONOMICS FOR ETHANE, NAPHTA, PROPANE AND
BUTANE AND GLOBAL DEMAND OUTLOOK FOR ETHYLENE AND PROPYLENE DERIVATIVES
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