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Silk Road
Anurak ATTHASIT, Ph.D.
1
a Mind Map Collection | Bangkok December 2014
The presentation has made for general information and does not comprise comment or any
recommendation of any kind. Readers should consider their own circumstances and rely on their own
enquiries in relation to matters contained in this handout.
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
Introduction Chinese Investment Set a New Milestone 2
http://www.airportsinternational.com/
Toulouse
airport aims to
increase traffic
from 7.5 million
passengers in
2013 to 18
million by 2030.
Toulouse-Blagnac airport, the fourth-largest in France,
is used by Airbus as the headquartered including test
& assemble facilities.
A 49.9% stake in
Toulouse-Blagnac
Airport equiv. €308m
($381m) plans to be
sold to a Chinese
consortium, Symbiose
consortium, which
comprises Chinese
state-owned group
Shandong Hi-Speed
Group and Hong
Kong-based
investment firm
Friedmann Pacific
Asset Management.
Image
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
China's Investment as of the first half of 2014 3
www.heritage.org/research/projects/china-global-investment-tracker-interactive-map
 Chinese Outbound Direct
Investment (ODI) has
been increasing since the
mid-2000s to reach nearly
USD 65 billion in
investment flow over the
twelve months of 2011.
 The trend of Chinese
companies investing in
Europe has become more
prominent in the public
sphere.
 China has been the
largest contributor to
global GDP growth since
2006.
| European Union Chamber of Commerce in China, January 2013
Chart
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
China Inbound & Outbound
Investment
4
 From 2005 to 2011, there
were 1,867 outbound
Greenfield investments
versus 603 M&A deals.
 Turnover will be USD 120
billion by 2015, with an
annual growth rate of 6%
 550,000 Chinese nationals
will go to work overseas
during 2012, with the total
number being over one
million by the end of 2015.
| European Union Chamber of Commerce in China, January 2013
| The Central People’s Government of the People’s Republic of
China, 15th May 2012, MOFCOM identifies the major tasks and
priorities for foreign investment during the 12th Five Year Plan
(2011-2015)
20,000
120,000
80,000
1979 1991 2003 2011
There are considerable
differences between
official data sources
for FDI/ODI data. In this
section UNCTAD, the
National Bureau of
Statistics of China, and
EUROSTAT are all used
where most
appropriate with
unofficial sources
utilized where
necessary.
FDI
ODI
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
GDP Projection of Chinese and USA 5
 In 2014 China reached
$17.6 trillion or 16.48
percent of the world’s
purchasing-power-
adjusted GDP, while the
US made slightly less,
16.28 percent or $17.4
trillion, the FT reported
citing IMF data.
 In 2015 the gap
between China and the
US will increase: Chinese
GDP PPP will amount to
$19.23 trillion against
$18.286 trillion in the US.
| IMF -- International Monetary Fund
| rt.com/business/194264-china-surpass-us-gdp/ | October 08,
2014
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2000 20142007 2019
CHINA
USA
($, trillions)
Projections for Chinese and U.S. GDP on a Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Basis : 2000-2014 and
Projections through 2019
IMF
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
Beware of the Trap! 6
 “Apart from the obviousness
of this there’s also that other
thing that we might want to
consider - for what
determines how well people
live is economic output per
capita. That total economy
divided by the number of
people who get to consume
the output”
 “North of $50,000 a year in
the US, only just over $5,000 a
year in China, that is after
adjusting for price
differences, and China
would need another three
generations of breakneck
growth to close that gap”
| Tim Worstall, www.forbes.com, July 2014World Bank, GDP per capita, PPP (current international $)Chart
($)
a Mind Map Collection
Major Challenges to Who Leads
the World
THE WORLD POPULATION IN 2030 IS EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 8 BILLION.
THINGS WILL START GETTING REALLY WORRYING IN VERY NEAR FUTURE.
7
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
The Perfect Storm Scenario for 2030 8
 It is predicted that by
2030 the world will
need to produce
around 50 per cent
more food and energy,
together with 30 per
cent more fresh water,
whilst mitigating and
adapting to climate
change. This threatens
to create a ‘perfect
storm’ of global events.
| John Beddington, England’s chief scientific advisor
www.theguardian.com/science/2
009/mar/18/perfect-storm-john-
beddington-energy-food-climate
Impact of climate on food in
Asia and Oceania. Sources: Met
office, FAO
“There's not
going to be a
complete
collapse, but
things will start
getting really
worrying if we
don't tackle
these problems”
| John Beddington
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
Main Challenges to Energy, Food,
and Water
9
 7.8-9.0 billion in 2030,
representing a 10-31%
growth over current
figures - 7billion in 2011
| Bill Pyke, Hilbre Consulting Limited, Heswall, Wirral, UK,
March 2012
 Global growth will likely
increase the demand
for food, water, and
energy by 35, 40, and
50 percent respectively
by 2030.
| Manish Bapna, World Resources Institue, January 31,
2013
Alex Tribou/ Bloomberg Visual DataUnited Nations World Urbanization Prospects
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
Climbing the Energy Ladder 10
 Population and income
remain the key drivers of
energy demand.
 The economic
development of non-
OECD countries creates
an appetite for energy
that can only be met by
expanding all fuels. For
many developing
countries the imperative
remains securing
affordable energy to
underpin economic
development.
| BP 2012, Energy Outlook 2030
Data shown 1970-2005IMF, BP
50 % Energy for electricity generation grows by 50 percent from 2010 to
2040, driven by electricity demand in the other three sectors
Exxonmobil, The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040
a Mind Map Collection
Will the New Leader is ever Lead
the World?
DO WE NEED TO COMPARE AND UNDERSTAND WHICH ASPECTS THE MOST
IMPORTANT TO REDUCE THE GAP OF DIFFERENCES AND TO DEVELOP OF
OTHER NATIONS?
11
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
Business Climate Indicators 12
 Empirical studies show,
better governance
creates the conditions
for faster growth,
higher investment and
faster poverty
reduction.
| Alfred Romann in Hong Kong ( China Daily) |
www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2013-
10/28/content_17062384.htm
The World Bank ranks China in the second bottom quartile for
three dimensions of governance: regulatory quality, rule of law,
control of corruption. On another World Bank gauge – ease of
doing business, which attempts to measure ‘regulation and red
tape relevant to a domestic small to medium-size firm’ – China
ranks 91 out of 185 countries, slightly above Vietnam
http://www.efic.com/country/countryprofiles/Pages/China.aspxWorld Bank
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
Upward Challenge 13
 China has succeeded since
between 1995 and 2004 the
number of Chinese
researchers increased 77%.
 In 2006 China ranked
second worldwide with
926,000 researchers, second
only to the United States,
which had 1.3 million
researchers.
 China’s research and
development intensity ratio
(normalizes its research and
development expenditures
to its GDP size) was 1.1% in
2001, more than double the
amount in 1995.
Lili Wang,
UNU‐MERIT Working Paper Series
, ISSN 1871-9872
Sustaining the effort
to increase research
and development
expenditures are
government entity-
sponsored projects.
| Comparing with the European Union’s 2001 ratio of 1.9%.
When normalized, China still lags behind Japan’s ratio of 3.1%
and the United States’ ratio of 2.7%.
| David Orozco, Northwestern Journal of Technology and
Intellectual Property, Volume 5, Issue 3, Summer 2007
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
Discussion 14
The presentation has made for general information and does not comprise comment or any
recommendation of any kind. Readers should consider their own circumstances and rely on their own
enquiries in relation to matters contained in this handout.
With limited time, the necessary national
and international policies to promote
agriculture, health and other aspects
are required to be put in place and
should be improved to match the
demands and solve the provision of
global crisis respecting both
sustainability and prosperity to people
and the planet.
A migrant construction laborer works on a residential
building in Shanghai, China
Aly Song/Reuters/File
a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT
THANK YOU
15
The presentation has made for general information and does not comprise comment or any
recommendation of any kind. Readers should consider their own circumstances and rely on their own
enquiries in relation to matters contained in this handout.

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Silk Road

  • 1. Silk Road Anurak ATTHASIT, Ph.D. 1 a Mind Map Collection | Bangkok December 2014 The presentation has made for general information and does not comprise comment or any recommendation of any kind. Readers should consider their own circumstances and rely on their own enquiries in relation to matters contained in this handout.
  • 2. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT Introduction Chinese Investment Set a New Milestone 2 http://www.airportsinternational.com/ Toulouse airport aims to increase traffic from 7.5 million passengers in 2013 to 18 million by 2030. Toulouse-Blagnac airport, the fourth-largest in France, is used by Airbus as the headquartered including test & assemble facilities. A 49.9% stake in Toulouse-Blagnac Airport equiv. €308m ($381m) plans to be sold to a Chinese consortium, Symbiose consortium, which comprises Chinese state-owned group Shandong Hi-Speed Group and Hong Kong-based investment firm Friedmann Pacific Asset Management. Image
  • 3. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT China's Investment as of the first half of 2014 3 www.heritage.org/research/projects/china-global-investment-tracker-interactive-map  Chinese Outbound Direct Investment (ODI) has been increasing since the mid-2000s to reach nearly USD 65 billion in investment flow over the twelve months of 2011.  The trend of Chinese companies investing in Europe has become more prominent in the public sphere.  China has been the largest contributor to global GDP growth since 2006. | European Union Chamber of Commerce in China, January 2013 Chart
  • 4. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT China Inbound & Outbound Investment 4  From 2005 to 2011, there were 1,867 outbound Greenfield investments versus 603 M&A deals.  Turnover will be USD 120 billion by 2015, with an annual growth rate of 6%  550,000 Chinese nationals will go to work overseas during 2012, with the total number being over one million by the end of 2015. | European Union Chamber of Commerce in China, January 2013 | The Central People’s Government of the People’s Republic of China, 15th May 2012, MOFCOM identifies the major tasks and priorities for foreign investment during the 12th Five Year Plan (2011-2015) 20,000 120,000 80,000 1979 1991 2003 2011 There are considerable differences between official data sources for FDI/ODI data. In this section UNCTAD, the National Bureau of Statistics of China, and EUROSTAT are all used where most appropriate with unofficial sources utilized where necessary. FDI ODI
  • 5. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT GDP Projection of Chinese and USA 5  In 2014 China reached $17.6 trillion or 16.48 percent of the world’s purchasing-power- adjusted GDP, while the US made slightly less, 16.28 percent or $17.4 trillion, the FT reported citing IMF data.  In 2015 the gap between China and the US will increase: Chinese GDP PPP will amount to $19.23 trillion against $18.286 trillion in the US. | IMF -- International Monetary Fund | rt.com/business/194264-china-surpass-us-gdp/ | October 08, 2014 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2000 20142007 2019 CHINA USA ($, trillions) Projections for Chinese and U.S. GDP on a Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Basis : 2000-2014 and Projections through 2019 IMF
  • 6. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT Beware of the Trap! 6  “Apart from the obviousness of this there’s also that other thing that we might want to consider - for what determines how well people live is economic output per capita. That total economy divided by the number of people who get to consume the output”  “North of $50,000 a year in the US, only just over $5,000 a year in China, that is after adjusting for price differences, and China would need another three generations of breakneck growth to close that gap” | Tim Worstall, www.forbes.com, July 2014World Bank, GDP per capita, PPP (current international $)Chart ($)
  • 7. a Mind Map Collection Major Challenges to Who Leads the World THE WORLD POPULATION IN 2030 IS EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 8 BILLION. THINGS WILL START GETTING REALLY WORRYING IN VERY NEAR FUTURE. 7
  • 8. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT The Perfect Storm Scenario for 2030 8  It is predicted that by 2030 the world will need to produce around 50 per cent more food and energy, together with 30 per cent more fresh water, whilst mitigating and adapting to climate change. This threatens to create a ‘perfect storm’ of global events. | John Beddington, England’s chief scientific advisor www.theguardian.com/science/2 009/mar/18/perfect-storm-john- beddington-energy-food-climate Impact of climate on food in Asia and Oceania. Sources: Met office, FAO “There's not going to be a complete collapse, but things will start getting really worrying if we don't tackle these problems” | John Beddington
  • 9. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT Main Challenges to Energy, Food, and Water 9  7.8-9.0 billion in 2030, representing a 10-31% growth over current figures - 7billion in 2011 | Bill Pyke, Hilbre Consulting Limited, Heswall, Wirral, UK, March 2012  Global growth will likely increase the demand for food, water, and energy by 35, 40, and 50 percent respectively by 2030. | Manish Bapna, World Resources Institue, January 31, 2013 Alex Tribou/ Bloomberg Visual DataUnited Nations World Urbanization Prospects
  • 10. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT Climbing the Energy Ladder 10  Population and income remain the key drivers of energy demand.  The economic development of non- OECD countries creates an appetite for energy that can only be met by expanding all fuels. For many developing countries the imperative remains securing affordable energy to underpin economic development. | BP 2012, Energy Outlook 2030 Data shown 1970-2005IMF, BP 50 % Energy for electricity generation grows by 50 percent from 2010 to 2040, driven by electricity demand in the other three sectors Exxonmobil, The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040
  • 11. a Mind Map Collection Will the New Leader is ever Lead the World? DO WE NEED TO COMPARE AND UNDERSTAND WHICH ASPECTS THE MOST IMPORTANT TO REDUCE THE GAP OF DIFFERENCES AND TO DEVELOP OF OTHER NATIONS? 11
  • 12. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT Business Climate Indicators 12  Empirical studies show, better governance creates the conditions for faster growth, higher investment and faster poverty reduction. | Alfred Romann in Hong Kong ( China Daily) | www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2013- 10/28/content_17062384.htm The World Bank ranks China in the second bottom quartile for three dimensions of governance: regulatory quality, rule of law, control of corruption. On another World Bank gauge – ease of doing business, which attempts to measure ‘regulation and red tape relevant to a domestic small to medium-size firm’ – China ranks 91 out of 185 countries, slightly above Vietnam http://www.efic.com/country/countryprofiles/Pages/China.aspxWorld Bank
  • 13. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT Upward Challenge 13  China has succeeded since between 1995 and 2004 the number of Chinese researchers increased 77%.  In 2006 China ranked second worldwide with 926,000 researchers, second only to the United States, which had 1.3 million researchers.  China’s research and development intensity ratio (normalizes its research and development expenditures to its GDP size) was 1.1% in 2001, more than double the amount in 1995. Lili Wang, UNU‐MERIT Working Paper Series , ISSN 1871-9872 Sustaining the effort to increase research and development expenditures are government entity- sponsored projects. | Comparing with the European Union’s 2001 ratio of 1.9%. When normalized, China still lags behind Japan’s ratio of 3.1% and the United States’ ratio of 2.7%. | David Orozco, Northwestern Journal of Technology and Intellectual Property, Volume 5, Issue 3, Summer 2007
  • 14. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT Discussion 14 The presentation has made for general information and does not comprise comment or any recommendation of any kind. Readers should consider their own circumstances and rely on their own enquiries in relation to matters contained in this handout. With limited time, the necessary national and international policies to promote agriculture, health and other aspects are required to be put in place and should be improved to match the demands and solve the provision of global crisis respecting both sustainability and prosperity to people and the planet. A migrant construction laborer works on a residential building in Shanghai, China Aly Song/Reuters/File
  • 15. a Mind Map CollectionA. ATTHASIT THANK YOU 15 The presentation has made for general information and does not comprise comment or any recommendation of any kind. Readers should consider their own circumstances and rely on their own enquiries in relation to matters contained in this handout.