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Why food safety matters for development:
agri-food system perspective
Delia Grace, ILRI and CRP A4NH
Better Targeting Food Safety Investments in Low and Middle Income Countries
Brussels, 24 May 2017
2
Foodborne disease matters for development
 High health burden mainly borne mainly by LMICs
 High concern of consumers and policymakers
 High costs of disease and disease control
 High risk of un-intended consequences of conventional
approaches to improving food safety in informal markets
 High potential benefits from leveraging demand for safe food
Sustainable development goals
5
FBD- a new priority
burden comparable HIV/AIDs, malaria, TB
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
20,000,000
Asia Africa Other
developing
Developed
Other toxins
Aflatoxins
Helminths
Microbial
Havelaar et al.,
2015
Growing concern about food safety
• Many/most reported concern
over food safety (40-97%)
• Willing to pay 5-10% premium
for food safety
• Buy 20-40% less during animal
health scares
• Younger, wealthier, town-
residing, supermarket-shoppers
willing to pay more for safety
Jabbar et al., 2010
Population Growth in Developing and Industrialized
Countries: 1750 - 2050
FBD trends: ag-food system transformation
9
Characteristics
No effective health and
safety regulations;
Many actors;
Pay no tax;
Traditional processing
& retail practices;
Poor infrastructure;
Little support from
public sector or NGO.
Cheap;
Fresh;
Local breeds;
Taste;
Trust vendors;
Credit.
INFORMAL
MARKETS
More than 80% of perishables bought
from informal markets
GlobalGAP Kenya
Private standard
Most important
source of foreign
income
11
QGAP Thailand
• Public standard
• Uptake low
• Safety no better
12
Hazards are high but risks vary
Fail standards: bacteria
 100% milk in Assam, India
 98% of raw meat in Ibadan,
Nigeria
 94% of pork in Nagaland, India
 77% farmed fish in Egypt
Fail standards: chemical
 92% milk in Addis Ababa
 46% milk in Kenya
Diarrhoea in last 2 weeks
• 0.02% consumers in Canada
• 0.02% raw milk buyers in
Kenya
• 23% consumers in Nagaland
• 43% Nigerian butchers
Hazards are high, but risks are variable
Perceptions are a poor guide to safety
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
Coliforms Total
bacteria
SamplesComplyingwithStandards%
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
Coliforms Total
bacteria
Fat Added water SNF
Pasteurised
Raw
Economic costs: cost of FBD and market access
 Cost of illness: USA over $15 billion annually (Hoffmann
2015); Australia $0.5 -$2 billion per year (Abelson P 2006).
– Vietnam: hospitalisaton for FBD $6 million a year (Hoang, 2015)
– Nigeria: $3.6 billion (Grace, 2012)
 Food safety standards often exclude small firms and
farms from export markets and emerging domestic
markets
– Kenya and Uganda saw major declines (60% and 40%) in small
farmers participating in export of fruit and vegetables to Europe under
Un-intended consequences 1:
nutrition and health
Wet market
milk
Supermarket
milk
Most common
price /litre
56 cents One dollar
Infants
consume daily
67% 65%
Boil milk 99% 79%
• When markets
differentiate by
quality,
substandard food
is targeted to the
poor
17
Milk (cow)
Production: men (x Nairobi)
Processing: women
Marketing: women (x
Abidjan)
Consumed: both
Poultry
Production: women
Processing: women
Marketing: women
Consumed: both
Milk (goat)
Production: men (w milk)
Processing: women
Marketing: women
Consumed: both
Beef/goat
Production: men (w assist)
Processing: men
Marketing: men
(butcher,pub)
Consumed: both
Pigs
Production: women
Processing: men
Marketing: men
Consumed: both
Fish, crabs
Fishing: men
Processing: women
Marketing: women)
Consumed: both
Un-intended consequences 2:
Food safety & livelihoods
18
Participatory approaches more promising?
 Attitudes
Scalable and sustainable?
 Methodological: prioritisation, risk based approaches, HACCP
 Appropriate Technology: milk cans, boilers
 Novel Technology: Aflasafe
 Programmatic: street traders, T&C
 Zoonoses: control in reservoir hosts
 Policies: enabling environment
Take home messages
 FBD is important for health and development
 Most is due to microbes & worms in fresh foods sold in wet
markets
 In LMIC the wet market constitutes most of the private
sector
 Hazards in wet markets are always high but risks are
sometimes low and perception is a poor guide
 Regulations necessary but not sufficient
 Provide, control & command doesn’t work but solutions
based on working with the informal sector more promising
Acknowledgements
 The research featured in this presentation was funded by GIZ, IDRC,
DFID, WB, ACIAR, MFA, CRP A4NH among other donors.
21

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Presentation by Delia Grace, Food Safety Workshop 24 May 2017

  • 1. 1 Why food safety matters for development: agri-food system perspective Delia Grace, ILRI and CRP A4NH Better Targeting Food Safety Investments in Low and Middle Income Countries Brussels, 24 May 2017
  • 2. 2
  • 3. Foodborne disease matters for development  High health burden mainly borne mainly by LMICs  High concern of consumers and policymakers  High costs of disease and disease control  High risk of un-intended consequences of conventional approaches to improving food safety in informal markets  High potential benefits from leveraging demand for safe food
  • 5. 5 FBD- a new priority burden comparable HIV/AIDs, malaria, TB 0 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000 12,000,000 14,000,000 16,000,000 18,000,000 20,000,000 Asia Africa Other developing Developed Other toxins Aflatoxins Helminths Microbial Havelaar et al., 2015
  • 6. Growing concern about food safety • Many/most reported concern over food safety (40-97%) • Willing to pay 5-10% premium for food safety • Buy 20-40% less during animal health scares • Younger, wealthier, town- residing, supermarket-shoppers willing to pay more for safety Jabbar et al., 2010
  • 7. Population Growth in Developing and Industrialized Countries: 1750 - 2050
  • 8. FBD trends: ag-food system transformation
  • 9. 9
  • 10. Characteristics No effective health and safety regulations; Many actors; Pay no tax; Traditional processing & retail practices; Poor infrastructure; Little support from public sector or NGO. Cheap; Fresh; Local breeds; Taste; Trust vendors; Credit. INFORMAL MARKETS More than 80% of perishables bought from informal markets
  • 11. GlobalGAP Kenya Private standard Most important source of foreign income 11 QGAP Thailand • Public standard • Uptake low • Safety no better
  • 12. 12
  • 13. Hazards are high but risks vary Fail standards: bacteria  100% milk in Assam, India  98% of raw meat in Ibadan, Nigeria  94% of pork in Nagaland, India  77% farmed fish in Egypt Fail standards: chemical  92% milk in Addis Ababa  46% milk in Kenya Diarrhoea in last 2 weeks • 0.02% consumers in Canada • 0.02% raw milk buyers in Kenya • 23% consumers in Nagaland • 43% Nigerian butchers Hazards are high, but risks are variable
  • 14. Perceptions are a poor guide to safety 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0 Coliforms Total bacteria SamplesComplyingwithStandards% 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 Coliforms Total bacteria Fat Added water SNF Pasteurised Raw
  • 15. Economic costs: cost of FBD and market access  Cost of illness: USA over $15 billion annually (Hoffmann 2015); Australia $0.5 -$2 billion per year (Abelson P 2006). – Vietnam: hospitalisaton for FBD $6 million a year (Hoang, 2015) – Nigeria: $3.6 billion (Grace, 2012)  Food safety standards often exclude small firms and farms from export markets and emerging domestic markets – Kenya and Uganda saw major declines (60% and 40%) in small farmers participating in export of fruit and vegetables to Europe under
  • 16. Un-intended consequences 1: nutrition and health Wet market milk Supermarket milk Most common price /litre 56 cents One dollar Infants consume daily 67% 65% Boil milk 99% 79% • When markets differentiate by quality, substandard food is targeted to the poor
  • 17. 17 Milk (cow) Production: men (x Nairobi) Processing: women Marketing: women (x Abidjan) Consumed: both Poultry Production: women Processing: women Marketing: women Consumed: both Milk (goat) Production: men (w milk) Processing: women Marketing: women Consumed: both Beef/goat Production: men (w assist) Processing: men Marketing: men (butcher,pub) Consumed: both Pigs Production: women Processing: men Marketing: men Consumed: both Fish, crabs Fishing: men Processing: women Marketing: women) Consumed: both Un-intended consequences 2: Food safety & livelihoods
  • 18. 18 Participatory approaches more promising?  Attitudes
  • 19. Scalable and sustainable?  Methodological: prioritisation, risk based approaches, HACCP  Appropriate Technology: milk cans, boilers  Novel Technology: Aflasafe  Programmatic: street traders, T&C  Zoonoses: control in reservoir hosts  Policies: enabling environment
  • 20. Take home messages  FBD is important for health and development  Most is due to microbes & worms in fresh foods sold in wet markets  In LMIC the wet market constitutes most of the private sector  Hazards in wet markets are always high but risks are sometimes low and perception is a poor guide  Regulations necessary but not sufficient  Provide, control & command doesn’t work but solutions based on working with the informal sector more promising
  • 21. Acknowledgements  The research featured in this presentation was funded by GIZ, IDRC, DFID, WB, ACIAR, MFA, CRP A4NH among other donors. 21