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Transforming the global food systems: Challenges and opportunities

  1. Transforming the global food systems: challenges and opportunities Jimmy Smith, Director General International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) ACIAR-CGIAR discussions Canberra 30 November 2018
  2. A food systems transformation agenda Food and nutrition security Livelihoods and economic growth Human health Environmental health CGIAR global challenges ACIAR goals
  3. Food and Nutritional Security
  4. Nutritional divides among 7.5 billion people today hungry people stunted children insufficient nutrients overweight/obese balanced diets Healthcare for obesity economic cost: $2 trillion 11% of GNP lost annually in Africa and Asia from poor nutrition Only just over one third well fed and nourished Meat consumption average 2018 OECD = 69 kg/capita Africa = 10 kg/capita
  5. Protein supply (g/capita/day) from animal foods 2013 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Africa N.America S.America Asia Europe Australia Meat Eggs Milk Fish Recommended daily protein
  6. Animal-source foods are critical for both physical and cognitive growth • Globally, 151 million young children are stunted • Milk, meat and eggs provide key nutrients (vitamins A, B12, choline, iron, zinc) in highly bioavailable forms for humans • Eggs and animal milk—among ‘nature’s first foods’—are especially critical for addressing nutrient deficiencies in undernourished people • New evidence from Ecuador shows that eating just one egg a day can reduce stunting (by 47%) among in 6–9 month-old babies • There is growing evidence that it is impossible for babies to achieve adequate nutrition in the first 1000 days of life without access to animal-source foods Animal-source foods are critical for human health, especially for new mothers and young children
  7. Livestock research to transform food and nutritional security • Increasing the productivity of livestock in low-income countries—e.g., through better feeds, breeds and health—to greatly augment food supplies. • Improving nutrition as well as food for poor people through livestock-derived foods. • Promoting ‘nutrition-sensitive livestock interventions’ to increase the availability, affordability, access and use of animal-source foods. • A new ILRI study recommends improving access to milk, meat and eggs for new mothers and children in their first 1000 days of life.
  8. Integrating crop and livestock for improved food security and livelihoods in rural Zimbabwe (AUS$ 4.4M; 2012–2017) Better integration of crop and livestock production; improved market functioning benefitted 170,000 farmers through: - increased agricultural production - improved food security - increased incomes - enhanced resilience of vulnerable communities
  9. Livelihoods and Economic Growth
  10. Livestock build global, national and household economies • The global livestock sector on average makes up 40% of agricultural gross domestic product (GDP); and 15–80% in developing countries • Most livestock products in developing countries are sold ‘informally’ and locally, with their production, processing and sale creating many jobs all along the value chain • Of the over half a billion small holder mixed crop- livestock farmers in the world, two-thirds are rural women o Farms less than 20ha supply about 70% of the livestock and cereal products in developing countries
  11. Various sources: BMGF, FAO, ILRI Smallholders still dominate livestock production in many countries Region (definition of ‘smallholder’) % production by smallholder livestock farms Beef Chicken meat Sheep/goat meat Milk Pork Eggs East Africa 60-90 (≤ 6 milking animals) Bangladesh (< 3ha land) 65 77 78 65 96 77 India (< 2ha land) 75 92 92 69 most 71 Vietnam (small scale) 90 65 80 70 Philippines (backyard) 85 41 99 44 64 25
  12. Demand for livestock commodities in developing economies is growing fast – and will be met—the question is how Scenario #1 Meeting livestock demand by importing livestock products Scenario #2 Meeting livestock demand by importing livestock industrial production know-how Scenario #3 Meeting livestock demand by transforming smallholder livestock systems Scenario #4 Meeting livestock demand by new sources of protein and nutrients ‘alt’ foods
  13. Livestock research to transform livelihoods and promote economic growth • Evidence to guide livestock investment and related policy decisions in and for developing countries. Launched in 2016, the Ethiopia Livestock Master Plan: o Has been the basis for a new World Bank loan of USD170 million, USD75 million in donor-funded projects and USD200 million in private sector investments o Higher productivity and income levels resulting from these investment interventions are projected to lift more than 2.3 million of Ethiopia’s 11 million livestock keeping households out of poverty • Integrated strategies to improve the performance of smallholder livestock value chains. • Gender-equitable livestock options for better lives of women and men alike. o 25 dairy enterprises in India’s Uttarakhand benefit >5,000 women farmers, increasing their milk supplies by 300%. o Women in 4 African countries have access to superior chicken breeds developed by ILRI. o New: gender objective in SafePORK – to reduce the barriers and improve opportunities for women to benefit from safe pork o Small research on understanding gender issues around vaccine use in Vietnam
  14. Human Health
  15. Big challenges at the intersection of human and animal health Food borne diseases (many associated with animal-source foods) each year: • 600 million people are sickened • 420,000 people, mostly children die • US95M economic loss for low- and middle-income countries Zoonoses: • 13 zoonoses sicken 2.4 billion people, kill 2.2 million people and affect more than 1 in 7 livestock each year Pandemic risk: • ‘Spanish flu’ of the early 20th century, caused 50 to 100 million deaths • Not ‘if’ but ‘when’ Anti-Microbial Resistance: • 10 million deaths a year by 2050? • The role of livestock?
  16. • Reducing disease risks and improving food safety in smallholder pig value chains in Vietnam AUS$2M 2012 to 2017: • Over 100 students trained, > 10 peer reviewed papers; high level policy engagement • Safe Pork-Market Based Approaches to Improving the Safety of Pork in Vietnam AUS$2M, 2017 to 2022: • New tools; private sector partnership • Innovations to reduce contamination • Behavior ‘nudges’ • Australian volunteer recruited • Other ACIAR and German-funded projects on food safety in Vietnam: • Workshops, capacity development, networking: 50 participants from 8 countries in South-, SE Asia and East Africa • New work on gender; and on parasitic diseases Food safety: focus on SE Asia
  17. Big opportunities exist to reduce the threat of pandemic disease events via livestock interventions • Better animal disease surveillance, ‘One-Health’ and ‘herd health’ could save billions of dollars by stopping disease outbreaks in animals rather than people • It’s estimated that a global investment of USD25 billion over 10 years in One Health work would generate benefits worth at least USD125 billion
  18. Big opportunities exist for livestock-health to address antimicrobial resistance (AMR) By following a 3R approach to rational drug use: o Reduce overuse of antimicrobials via policy, regulatory and market incentives o Replace antimicrobials with livestock vaccines and disease-resistant livestock breeds wherever possible o Refine practices in animal husbandry and biosecurity By ensuring essential partnerships and investments o Collaboration among both countries and the health, livestock and environment sectors o WHO-OIE-FAO Global Action Plan on AMR o An annual investment of USD9 billion will generate USD10–27 trillion in global benefits (2017– 2050)
  19. Livestock research to transform human health • Improving herd health & livestock productivity. o1.8M African cattle have been protected against lethal East Coast fever by an ILRI-supported vaccine, which is greatly raising milk yields and disposable incomes. • Improving food safety in the informal markets of developing countries. oTraining of milk processors and sellers in India’s Assam state has made dairy products much safer for one million people. • Tools to help disease control agents stop zoonotic diseases and their human pandemics. oA decision-support tool for Rift Valley fever protects 50 million people in East Africa from infection.
  20. Environmental health
  21. Livestock and environment: mixed messages
  22. Intensity of current greenhouse gas emissions generated in livestock production (Herrero et al., 2014)
  23. Production of the greenhouse gas methane falls as animal productivity rises
  24. Meeting the rising livestock demand through improved livestock production and efficiency • Create productivity-efficiency win-wins  The US reduced its carbon footprint per unit of milk by 63% over 60 years by improving cow productivity  South Asia’s dairy sector has similar potential to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions—by 38% • Obtain accurate livestock greenhouse gas emission figures  Support developing-country-led solutions to climate change as specified in their nationally appropriate mitigation actions • Make more use of ‘new science’  Develop ‘low carbon’ cows, e.g. by modifying their rumen • Support livestock’s essential role in a robust bio-economy  Make optimal and balanced use of biomass
  25. Competition for land and grains? Maybe not! Inedible by humans 86% Could be eaten by humans 14% 6 billion tonnes dry feed Feed production 10% Grassland that could be converted for crops 14% Pastures/rangelands - not suitable for crops 27% Crop agriculture 49% 5 billion ha global agricultural area Latest for 1 kg boneless meat: 2.8kg human-edible food for ruminants 3.2kg human-edible food for monogastrics
  26. Livestock research to transform environmental health • Enhancing people’s adaptation to climate change in ways that also mitigate climate change. o Research on livestock greenhouse gas emissions in Kenya is helping developing-world governments to refine their climate change mitigation strategies. • Research to generate ways for people and communities to use livestock assets to build their resilience to shocks. o Index-based livestock insurance in Kenya and Ethiopia is helping pastoralists better cope with drought.  The Kenya Livestock Insurance Program (KLIP), an index-based livestock insurance program developed from ILRI research, paid out USD7 million during the recent drought to 33,400 pastoralist households, improving their food security and helping them protect their assets.
  27. Developing capacity to undertake research  Fellowships  Internships  Training courses  Institutional development  Alumni-led communities of practice In a typical year at ILRI: • 70 research fellows • 150 graduate (MSc., PhD) fellows • 50 interns • 1200 short course trainees • >50 journal papers by fellows
  28. A food systems transformation agenda Food and nutrition security Livelihoods and economic growth Human health Environmental health CGIAR global challenges ACIAR goals
  29. This presentation is licensed for use under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence. better lives through livestock ilri.org ILRI thanks all donors and organizations who globally supported its work through their contributions to the CGIAR system
  30. CGIAR research program on Livestock Strong, consistent support from ACIAR: AUS$1.3M/year (2017 and 2018) • New work on anti-microbial resistance: • ‘AMUSE-Livestock’: a tool to harmonize data collection on farmers´ rationales for antimicrobial use in livestock production systems in low and middle-income countries, piloted in Ethiopia, Uganda and Vietnam • Improved access to livestock health services in Kenya: • New partnership model between County Governments and private agrovets during vaccination campaigns. • Governments provided vaccines while private sector offered additional services including deworming, tick control and information • Sector plans: Ethiopia Livestock Master Plan • Index-Based Livestock Insurance –mitigating risk for the vulnerable
  31. BecA-ILRI hub (up to 2015, AUS$11M) • Thermostable PPR vaccine • Improved testing for aflatoxin in maize in Kenya • New composite flours from amaranth • Epidemiology and improved disease surveillance for African Swine Fever • African Biosciences Challenge Fund (2010 – 2016): – 220 scientists (40% women) worked on own projects – 585 students and early career scientists from NARS trained From design to delivery….multi-disciplinary….participatory
  32. Enhancing the Competitiveness of Beef Cattle Smallholders in Botswana (AUS$1.9M, 2012 – 2015) in Botswana This ACIAR-funded project found great scope for enhancing smallholder livestock competitiveness in Botswana through better: • Market-oriented policies • Disease control and government-supported private animal health services in rural areas • Control of FMD for increased livestock marketing in southern Africa • Meat quality for the lucrative EU market • Access to arable land for fodder production
  33. Food safety in Ethiopia, Tanzania, Uganda, Vietnam This ACIAR-funded research finds: • Animal-source foods (ASFs) are valued highly by poor people in these countries. • The riskiest ASFs are also the most nutritious. • Taboos and beliefs influence food choices by and for pregnant women and infants. • The urban poor have high concerns about food safety and low trust in food systems and official quality assurance programs. • Choices in food consumption are increasingly driven by media stories and food scares. • Enhancing traditional food processing is an overlooked opportunity for providing better nutrition, health, income and gender equity for poor people.
  34. Controlling (zoonotic) livestock diseases stops their transmission to humans
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