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1. Technical Analysis
A beginner application to current market situation

2. Agenda
A Pendahuluan
B Aplikasi TA
C Ringkasan
๏ Grafik
๏ Price Action
๏ Line
๏ Indikator
๏ Fibonacci

3. A. Perkenalan TA
3
1. Dapatkah Anda mengenali tanda hujan
sebelum turun?
2. Kapan musim hujan akan tiba? Dan berapa
lama akan bertahan?
3

4. 4
Analisa Teknikal
– Studi pergerakan
pasar untuk
mengenali tren
dan peluang profit

5. 5
3
Asumsi
Dasar
1. Pasar mencerminkan
segalanya
2. Harga bergerak dalam
tren
3. Sejarah selalu
berulang

6. Manfaat
Analisa
Teknikal
• Identifikasi tren dan kualitasnya
• Identifikasi spesifik level entry dan exit
“Membantu penyusunan sistem trading”
11/3/2014 6

7. Fundamental vs
Technical
• Jim Rogers: “I haven’t met a rich
technician. Excluding, of course,
technicians who sell their services
and make a lot of money”.
• Marty Schwartz: “Absolutely. I
always laugh at people who say,
“I’ve never met a rich technician”.
I love it! Its such an arrogant,
nonsensical response. I used
fundamental for nine years and got
rich as technician”.
11/3/2014 7

8. A – Selesai
Q & A…
Perbedaan dengan analisa fundamental?

9. 9
B – Aplikasi TA
B1. Price
– Charts
– Price Action
B2. Tools
– Line
– Indicators
– Fibonacci
Current Market Situation

10. H
10
B1. Price - Charts
Line Chart Bar Chart Candlestick Charts
O
H
L
C O
H
L
C
C
O
H
L
O
C
L
Upper Shadow
Real Body
Lower Shadow

11. 11
Price – Euro Trend
HH
HL
HH
HL
HH
HH
HL
LL
LH
LH
LL
LL
LH
LL
LH
HH
LL
LL

12. 12
Price – Euro Trend
Peak
Trough
P
T
P
P
T
T
P
T
P
T
P
T
P
T
P
T

13. 13
Price – Gold Trend
Peak
Trough
P
T
P
T
P
T
P
T
P
P
T
P

14. 14
Price – Oil Trend

15. 15
Price Pattern

16. 16
Price - Pattern
Apa saja “pattern”
yang ada?

17. 17
B1 – Selesai
Q & A…
Membaca grafik?

18. 18
B2. Tools TA
– Line
– Indicators
– Fibonacci

19. 19
Euro – Trend Line
HH
HL
HH
HL
HH
HH
HL
LL
LH
LH
LL
LL
LH
LL
LH
HH
LL
LL

20. 20
Gold – Trend Line
H
HL
HH
HH
HL
HL
HH
HL
HL
HH
HH
LL

21. 21
Relative Strength Index
Overbought-sold, pattern, failure? – di(con)vergence

22. 22
Prediction comes from this simple question,
Where will the price move?
Correction Area
1st Target’s Area

23. Fibonacci Ratio Use to predict the market movement
Especially in Elliott Wave Analysis
Trend naik atau turun, koreksi dan target pergerakan selanjutnya?
1. Fibonacci Correction/ Retracement untuk koreksi?
2. Fibonacci Expansion/ Projection untuk reli/ target?

24. Fibonacci
Number & Ratio
1. Number : 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, dst..
1. Ratio : 38.2, 50, 61.8, 1, 1.618

25. Fibo – Correction
Correction Area
F

26. Fibo – Expansion/ Projection
Correction Area
1st Target’s Area
F
2nd Target’s Area

27. C – Summary
Q & A…

28. 28
Thank You
Ugien Priyambodo SE
0811 359 0066
ugien@mifx.com
Marketing Communication
Monex Surabaya