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Brussels, Belgium, 15 February 2013




Reflections on the impact of the financial
      and economic crisis on health and
 health systems in the European Region

                                       Zsuzsanna Jakab
                         WHO Regional Director for Europe

                   Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                   Brussels, 15 February 2013
The health effects of financial and
economic crisis (evidence)


Main health system policy responses



Messages for policy-makers



Issues for discussion



                             Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                             Brussels, 15 February 2013
Evidence: significantly higher risk of ill health

                                          • Strong correlation with increased suicide, alcohol
                                            poisoning, liver cirrhosis, ulcer, mental disorders**
                                          • Increase of suicide incidence: 17% in Greece and
                                            Latvia, 13% in Ireland***
                                          • Associated with a doubling of the risk of illness
                                            and 60% less likelihood of recovery from disease*
                                          • Anticipation of job less as a result of early
                                            indicators of crisis also having a negative effect***

                                          • NEVERTHELESS, we also know that active labour
                                            market policies and effective social safety nets
                                            can mitigate most of these adverse
                                            effects, according to evidence from Sweden and
                                            Finland during their financial crisis in the early
                                            1990s)


         Sources: * Kaplan, G. (2012). Social Science &
         Medicine, 74: 643–646.
         ** Suhrcke M, Stuckler D (2012). Social Science &       Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
         Medicine, 74:647–653.
         ***Stuckler D. et al. (2011). Lancet, 378:124–125.                                      Brussels, 15 February 2013
         **** Stuckler D. et al. (2009) . Lancet, 374:315–323.
The health effects of financial and
economic crisis


Main health system policy responses



Messages for policy-makers



Issues for discussion



                             Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                             Brussels, 15 February 2013
Policy responses up to end 2010
                    LOWER INPUT PRICES
                  to cut costs, particularly in
                 spending on hospital services
                   and pharmaceuticals, by
                 negotiating lower prices and
                switching to generic medicines



                  Health personnel SALARIES
                reduced, frozen or reduced rate
                 of increase; some across-the-
                  board cuts, others targeted



                Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                Brussels, 15 February 2013
Policy responses up to end 2010
    Very few countries made           Many countries lowered the
changes to the statutory benefits   depth of coverage by instituting
   package and the breadth of         or increasing PATIENT USER
  population coverage; in some            CHARGES for certain
cases benefits were expanded for    services, increasing the financial
       low-income groups.                burden on households.



A number of countries increased          WHO/Europe and the
     taxes on alcohol and/or           European Observatory on
 cigarettes, and there have also      Health Systems and Policies
 been moves to increases taxes       are updating this survey with
on unhealthy foods/soft drinks.      evidence for 2011 and 2013.


                                    Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                                    Brussels, 15 February 2013
Reduced levels of health spending
                    • On average, health spending per capita across
 Overall, most        European Union (EU) Member States fell by 0.6% in real
                      terms between 2009 and 2010. This followed an
countries have        average annual increase in health spending per capita
                      of 4.6% in real terms between 2000 and 2009.
  seen health       • Despite this, in many countries (such as Ireland), the
 spending fall        health sector managed to maintain if not increase its
                      share of government spending.



  The broader       • Some countries could maintain spending through the
                      use of accumulated reserves, or through deficit
                      financing (that is, countercyclical)
fiscal picture is
                    • Other countries had less room for manoeuvre
  important –         fiscally, and had to absorb significant cuts in spending.
                      The hardest hit are entering their fifth year of budget
   and varied         reductions in real terms.


                                  Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                                  Brussels, 15 February 2013
The health effects of financial and
economic crisis


Main health system policy responses



Messages for health policy-makers



Issues for discussion



                             Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                             Brussels, 15 February 2013
Continual focus on improving efficiency

                           Eliminate ineffective and
                            inappropriate services


                      Improve rational use of medicines

                    Allocate more to public health, primary
                     and outpatient specialist care at the
                            expense of hospital care

                      Invest in infrastructure that is less
                        costly to run – “invest to save”

                           Cut the volume of least
                           cost-effective services
Challenges of a prolonged crisis
QUICK RESPONSE required. In most
systems there is low-hanging fruit, which
can absorb savings relatively easily.



     Nevertheless, patient user charges have
     been widely used; impact needs careful
     monitoring given increased health needs


          STRUCTURAL CHANGES may be required
          to absorb further savings without
          damaging front-line services. But such
          changes take time to deliver.

                                  Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                                  Brussels, 15 February 2013
Health systems are important in mitigating
         the effects of the crisis

      Further deep cuts in health
                                         Boosting employment is a high
      sector spending in coming
                                         policy priority within the EU at
    years may force further review
                                                     present
           of staffing levels


                     Within the EU, the health sector
                     accounts for about 10% of gross
                  domestic product (GDP): more than
                  financial services or the retail sector.
                     This has significant employment
                                  impact.

                                        Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                                        Brussels, 15 February 2013
Increasing
                                       diabetes


      Reforms required                                             Increasing cancer
          to service
       delivery models




                               NAVIGATE THE
                                CRISIS WHILe
                             KEEPING AN EYE ON
                             THE LONGER-TERM                                 Increasing chronic
                                                                                 obstructive
Technological                 CHALLENGES FOR                                     pulmonary
  advances
                              HEALTH SYSTEMS                                       disease




                   Ageing, dementia                           Increasing
                    and growing co-                         cardiovascular
                      morbidities                              diseases




                                                   Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                                                         Brussels, 15 February 2013
Prepared for a crisis?

                    • Health insurance fund obliged to
    ESTONIA:          accumulate reserves that provide a buffer
      smart           when payroll tax income drops
investments, rest
                    • Funds then released to ease pressure on
  ructuring and       the health system during the current crisis
 accumulation of
 reserves before    • Similar institutional
    the crisis        arrangements, however, are NOT in place
                      to protect the budget for public health




                                Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                                Brussels, 15 February 2013
WHO high-level technical meeting

“Health systems in
  times of global    • WHO, working closely with the
                       Observatory, generating evidence of impact on
 economic crisis:      health systems, health and policy responses
 an update of the
  situation in the   • Bringing together health and fiscal policy-makers
                       from across the European Region, along with
 WHO/European          multilateral organizations
      Region”
                     • Recommendations to be tabled at 2013 session
17–18, April, 2013     of the WHO Regional Committee for Europe
  Oslo, Norway


                                 Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                                 Brussels, 15 February 2013
Ensuring fiscal decisions consider health
effects


Main health system policy responses



Messages for policy-makers



Issues for discussion



                             Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                             Brussels, 15 February 2013
Issues for discussion
1. What are the policy lessons from navigating health systems
   through the current prolonged period of fiscal tightening?
   What have been our main policy responses, and how might
   we have been better prepared?

2. To what extent have we, as health ministries, and more
   broadly as governments, managed to avoid the negative
   effects of the crisis on health?
3. How is the dialogue between health and finance ministries
   changing? What lessons might we take from this for the
   future and what information do we need for this dialogue?


                                 Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems
                                                                 Brussels, 15 February 2013

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Reflections on the impact of the financial and economic crisis on health and health systems in the European Region

  • 1. Brussels, Belgium, 15 February 2013 Reflections on the impact of the financial and economic crisis on health and health systems in the European Region Zsuzsanna Jakab WHO Regional Director for Europe Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 2. The health effects of financial and economic crisis (evidence) Main health system policy responses Messages for policy-makers Issues for discussion Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 3. Evidence: significantly higher risk of ill health • Strong correlation with increased suicide, alcohol poisoning, liver cirrhosis, ulcer, mental disorders** • Increase of suicide incidence: 17% in Greece and Latvia, 13% in Ireland*** • Associated with a doubling of the risk of illness and 60% less likelihood of recovery from disease* • Anticipation of job less as a result of early indicators of crisis also having a negative effect*** • NEVERTHELESS, we also know that active labour market policies and effective social safety nets can mitigate most of these adverse effects, according to evidence from Sweden and Finland during their financial crisis in the early 1990s) Sources: * Kaplan, G. (2012). Social Science & Medicine, 74: 643–646. ** Suhrcke M, Stuckler D (2012). Social Science & Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Medicine, 74:647–653. ***Stuckler D. et al. (2011). Lancet, 378:124–125. Brussels, 15 February 2013 **** Stuckler D. et al. (2009) . Lancet, 374:315–323.
  • 4. The health effects of financial and economic crisis Main health system policy responses Messages for policy-makers Issues for discussion Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 5. Policy responses up to end 2010 LOWER INPUT PRICES to cut costs, particularly in spending on hospital services and pharmaceuticals, by negotiating lower prices and switching to generic medicines Health personnel SALARIES reduced, frozen or reduced rate of increase; some across-the- board cuts, others targeted Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 6. Policy responses up to end 2010 Very few countries made Many countries lowered the changes to the statutory benefits depth of coverage by instituting package and the breadth of or increasing PATIENT USER population coverage; in some CHARGES for certain cases benefits were expanded for services, increasing the financial low-income groups. burden on households. A number of countries increased WHO/Europe and the taxes on alcohol and/or European Observatory on cigarettes, and there have also Health Systems and Policies been moves to increases taxes are updating this survey with on unhealthy foods/soft drinks. evidence for 2011 and 2013. Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 7. Reduced levels of health spending • On average, health spending per capita across Overall, most European Union (EU) Member States fell by 0.6% in real terms between 2009 and 2010. This followed an countries have average annual increase in health spending per capita of 4.6% in real terms between 2000 and 2009. seen health • Despite this, in many countries (such as Ireland), the spending fall health sector managed to maintain if not increase its share of government spending. The broader • Some countries could maintain spending through the use of accumulated reserves, or through deficit financing (that is, countercyclical) fiscal picture is • Other countries had less room for manoeuvre important – fiscally, and had to absorb significant cuts in spending. The hardest hit are entering their fifth year of budget and varied reductions in real terms. Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 8. The health effects of financial and economic crisis Main health system policy responses Messages for health policy-makers Issues for discussion Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 9. Continual focus on improving efficiency Eliminate ineffective and inappropriate services Improve rational use of medicines Allocate more to public health, primary and outpatient specialist care at the expense of hospital care Invest in infrastructure that is less costly to run – “invest to save” Cut the volume of least cost-effective services
  • 10. Challenges of a prolonged crisis QUICK RESPONSE required. In most systems there is low-hanging fruit, which can absorb savings relatively easily. Nevertheless, patient user charges have been widely used; impact needs careful monitoring given increased health needs STRUCTURAL CHANGES may be required to absorb further savings without damaging front-line services. But such changes take time to deliver. Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 11. Health systems are important in mitigating the effects of the crisis Further deep cuts in health Boosting employment is a high sector spending in coming policy priority within the EU at years may force further review present of staffing levels Within the EU, the health sector accounts for about 10% of gross domestic product (GDP): more than financial services or the retail sector. This has significant employment impact. Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 12. Increasing diabetes Reforms required Increasing cancer to service delivery models NAVIGATE THE CRISIS WHILe KEEPING AN EYE ON THE LONGER-TERM Increasing chronic obstructive Technological CHALLENGES FOR pulmonary advances HEALTH SYSTEMS disease Ageing, dementia Increasing and growing co- cardiovascular morbidities diseases Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 13. Prepared for a crisis? • Health insurance fund obliged to ESTONIA: accumulate reserves that provide a buffer smart when payroll tax income drops investments, rest • Funds then released to ease pressure on ructuring and the health system during the current crisis accumulation of reserves before • Similar institutional the crisis arrangements, however, are NOT in place to protect the budget for public health Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 14. WHO high-level technical meeting “Health systems in times of global • WHO, working closely with the Observatory, generating evidence of impact on economic crisis: health systems, health and policy responses an update of the situation in the • Bringing together health and fiscal policy-makers from across the European Region, along with WHO/European multilateral organizations Region” • Recommendations to be tabled at 2013 session 17–18, April, 2013 of the WHO Regional Committee for Europe Oslo, Norway Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 15. Ensuring fiscal decisions consider health effects Main health system policy responses Messages for policy-makers Issues for discussion Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013
  • 16. Issues for discussion 1. What are the policy lessons from navigating health systems through the current prolonged period of fiscal tightening? What have been our main policy responses, and how might we have been better prepared? 2. To what extent have we, as health ministries, and more broadly as governments, managed to avoid the negative effects of the crisis on health? 3. How is the dialogue between health and finance ministries changing? What lessons might we take from this for the future and what information do we need for this dialogue? Impact of economic crisis on health and health systems Brussels, 15 February 2013

Editor's Notes

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