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CarSharing	
  Association	
  2015	
  Annual	
  Meeting	
  
Susan	
  A.	
  Shaheen,	
  Ph.D.	
  
Adjunct	
  Professor	
  and	
  Co-­‐Director,	
  Transportation	
  Sustainability	
  Research	
  Center	
  
University	
  of	
  California,	
  Berkeley	
  
September	
  23,	
  2015	
  
§  Worldwide	
  growth	
  trends	
  
§  Insurance	
  study	
  highlights	
  
§  EV	
  carsharing	
  study	
  findings	
  
§  Summary	
  
2006	
   2008	
   2010	
   2012	
   2014	
  
Members	
   346,610	
   670,822	
   1,163,405	
   1,788,027	
   4,842,616	
  
Vehicles	
   11,501	
   19,403	
   31,967	
   43,554	
   104,125	
  
0	
  
20,000	
  
40,000	
  
60,000	
  
80,000	
  
100,000	
  
120,000	
  
0	
  
1,000,000	
  
2,000,000	
  
3,000,000	
  
4,000,000	
  
5,000,000	
  
6,000,000	
  
Vehicles	
  
Members	
  
Shaheen	
  and	
  Cohen,	
  2015	
   ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
Shaheen	
  and	
  Cohen,	
  2015	
   ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
Asia	
   Europe	
   North	
  America	
   South	
  America	
   Oceania	
   Global	
  
Round-­‐trip	
   926,280	
   1,834,418	
   1,179,930	
   0	
   50,000	
   3,990,628	
  
One-­‐way	
   29,600	
   372,466	
   445,722	
   3,500	
   700	
   851,988	
  
0	
  
500,000	
  
1,000,000	
  
1,500,000	
  
2,000,000	
  
2,500,000	
  
3,000,000	
  
3,500,000	
  
4,000,000	
  
4,500,000	
  
5,000,000	
  
Shaheen	
  and	
  Cohen,	
  2015	
   ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
Asia	
   Europe	
   North	
  America	
   South	
  America	
   Oceania	
   Global	
  
Round-­‐trip	
   20,199	
   39,904	
   18,267	
   0	
   1,500	
   79,859	
  
One-­‐way	
   145	
   18,043	
   5,943	
   100	
   24	
   24,266	
  
0	
  
20,000	
  
40,000	
  
60,000	
  
80,000	
  
100,000	
  
120,000	
  
Shaheen	
  and	
  Cohen,	
  2015	
   ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
2006-­‐08	
   2008-­‐10	
   2010-­‐12	
   2012-­‐14	
  
Members	
   39%	
   32%	
   24%	
   64%	
  
Vehicles	
   30%	
   28%	
   17%	
   55%	
  
0%	
  
10%	
  
20%	
  
30%	
  
40%	
  
50%	
  
60%	
  
70%	
  
Growth	
  Rate	
  
2006	
   2008	
   2010	
   2012	
   2014	
  
Members	
   117,656	
   318,898	
   516,100	
   908,584	
   1,625,652	
  
Vehicles	
   3,337	
   7,505	
   10,420	
   15,795	
   24,210	
  
0	
  
5,000	
  
10,000	
  
15,000	
  
20,000	
  
25,000	
  
30,000	
  
0	
  
200,000	
  
400,000	
  
600,000	
  
800,000	
  
1,000,000	
  
1,200,000	
  
1,400,000	
  
1,600,000	
  
1,800,000	
  
Vehicles	
  
Members	
  
Shaheen	
  and	
  Cohen,	
  2015	
   ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
South	
  American	
  Longitudinal	
  Trends	
  
2010	
   2012	
   2014	
  
Members	
   110	
   1,500	
   3,500	
  
Vehicles	
   13	
   60	
   100	
  
0	
  
20	
  
40	
  
60	
  
80	
  
100	
  
120	
  
0	
  
500	
  
1,000	
  
1,500	
  
2,000	
  
2,500	
  
3,000	
  
3,500	
  
4,000	
  
Vehicles	
  
Members	
  
Shaheen	
  and	
  Cohen,	
  2015	
   ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
2006	
   2008	
   2010	
   2012	
   2014	
  
Members	
   212,124	
   334,168	
   552,868	
   691,943	
   2,206,884	
  
Vehicles	
   7,491	
   10,833	
   16,779	
   20,464	
   57,947	
  
0	
  
10,000	
  
20,000	
  
30,000	
  
40,000	
  
50,000	
  
60,000	
  
70,000	
  
0	
  
500,000	
  
1,000,000	
  
1,500,000	
  
2,000,000	
  
2,500,000	
  
Vehicles	
  
Members	
  
Shaheen	
  and	
  Cohen,	
  2015	
   ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
Asian	
  Longitudinal	
  Trends	
  
2006	
   2008	
   2010	
   2012	
   2014	
  
Members	
   15,700	
   12,546	
   81,817	
   160,500	
   955,880	
  
Vehicles	
   608	
   810	
   4,315	
   6,155	
   20,344	
  
0	
  
5,000	
  
10,000	
  
15,000	
  
20,000	
  
25,000	
  
0	
  
200,000	
  
400,000	
  
600,000	
  
800,000	
  
1,000,000	
  
1,200,000	
  
Vehicles	
  
Members	
  
Shaheen	
  and	
  Cohen,	
  2015	
   ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
Oceania	
  Longitudinal	
  Trends	
  
2006	
   2008	
   2010	
   2012	
   2014	
  
Members	
   1,130	
   5,210	
   12,750	
   25,500	
   50,700	
  
Vehicles	
   65	
   255	
   440	
   1,080	
   1,524	
  
0	
  
200	
  
400	
  
600	
  
800	
  
1,000	
  
1,200	
  
1,400	
  
1,600	
  
1,800	
  
0	
  
10,000	
  
20,000	
  
30,000	
  
40,000	
  
50,000	
  
60,000	
  
Vehicles	
  
Members	
  
Shaheen	
  and	
  Cohen,	
  2015	
   ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
¡  Analyzed	
  28	
  operator-­‐years	
  of	
  trips	
  and	
  claims	
  
data	
  for	
  334	
  vehicles	
  
¡  Six	
  U.S.	
  carsharing	
  operators,	
  with	
  data	
  
spanning	
  a	
  time	
  range	
  of	
  2008	
  to	
  2015	
  
¡  Total	
  of	
  328,726	
  valid	
  trips	
  
¡  125	
  valid	
  insurance	
  claims	
  occurred	
  during	
  this	
  
period	
  
¡  Focus	
  on	
  estimating	
  crash	
  risk,	
  measured	
  on	
  a	
  
per	
  mile	
  and	
  per	
  insured	
  vehicle-­‐year	
  basis	
  
¡  Deductible	
  was	
  US$1000,	
  for	
  policies	
  in	
  which	
  
the	
  deductible	
  was	
  higher	
  we	
  calculated	
  it	
  as	
  if	
  it	
  
was	
  US$1000	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
¡  During	
  2012-­‐2014,	
  number	
  of	
  claims	
  and	
  
costs	
  generally	
  increased	
  
¡  Average	
  distance	
  traveled	
  11,	
  185	
  miles/year;	
  
similar	
  to	
  national	
  average	
  (11,244	
  miles)	
  
¡  Average	
  trip	
  distance	
  24.95	
  miles	
  (40.15	
  km)	
  
¡  Average	
  duration	
  of	
  reservation	
  =	
  3.72	
  hours	
  	
  
¡  Average	
  crash	
  claim	
  =	
  17.05/100	
  insured	
  
vehicle	
  years	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
Overall
2008-2015
Data Availability (Operator-Years) 5 5 5 28
Active Vehicles 137 192 209 334
Trips 62,563 68,703 78,456 328,726
Average Trip Distance (Miles) 24.93 24.46 23.5 24.95
Average Trip Distance (Km ) 40.12 39.36 37.82 40.15
Average Trip Duration (Hrs) 3.65 3.67 3.55 3.72
Proportion of Female Trips 0.5 0.49 0.5 0.5
Average Age of Drivers
When Trips Occurred
Proportion: Ages 18-25 0.26 0.25 0.28 0.27
Proportion: Ages 66+ 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02
Total Claims 23 22 32 125
Summary of Crash Data
Year 2012 2013 2014
Summary of Trips Data
35.43 35.64 34.88 35.2
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
¡  50%	
  female	
  drivers	
  
¡  27%	
  young	
  adults	
  18-­‐25	
  
¡  2%	
  drivers	
  at	
  or	
  about	
  age	
  66	
  
¡  Average	
  age	
  of	
  drivers	
  =	
  35.2	
  
¡  Average	
  cost	
  per	
  claim	
  =	
  US$4,630	
  and	
  
median	
  US$2,189	
  
¡  Average	
  insurance	
  claim	
  cost/mile	
  =	
  US$.0.7	
  
¡  Average	
  insurance	
  claim	
  cost/trip	
  =	
  US$1.76	
  	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
¡  Heightened	
  risk	
  for	
  drivers	
  above	
  age	
  65	
  
¡  18-­‐25	
  aged	
  drivers	
  had	
  moderately	
  higher	
  risk	
  
compared	
  to	
  other	
  adults	
  
¡  Mid-­‐age	
  adults	
  (30-­‐65	
  age)	
  had	
  lowest	
  risk	
  
(similar	
  to	
  national	
  average)	
  	
  
¡  Average	
  claims	
  cost	
  per	
  insured-­‐vehicle	
  year	
  
of	
  US$789	
  for	
  carsharing	
  
¡  Risk	
  could	
  be	
  higher	
  or	
  lower	
  due	
  to	
  local	
  
circumstances	
  and	
  unobserved	
  factors	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
¡  Adopted	
  in	
  1990	
  
¡  In	
  2001,	
  CARB	
  allowed	
  for	
  additional	
  
incentives	
  for	
  placing	
  EVs	
  in	
  “transportation	
  
systems”	
  
§  Carsharing	
  
§  Station	
  car	
  fleets	
  
¡  “Transportation	
  systems”	
  incentive	
  program	
  
set	
  to	
  sunset	
  in	
  2018	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
Shaheen	
  et	
  al.,	
  2002	
  	
  
Carsharing	
  programs	
  featuring	
  
PHVs/EVs	
  provide	
  access	
  to	
  
those	
  who	
  would	
  otherwise	
  
not	
  have	
  access	
  to	
  such	
  
vehicles	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
•  Control: Active carsharing users (active in
last 18 months) but had not used PHVs/
EVs through their carsharing provider
•  Experiment: Active carsharing users
who had used PHVs/EVs within the 6
months
Experiment	
  Survey
Launched Nov	
  7,	
  2014
Closed Feb	
  15,	
  2015
Avg.	
  Completion	
  Time 15	
  minutes
Total	
  Completions 1,920
Completion	
  Rate 74%
Participating	
  Programs car2go,	
  Zipcar,	
  
DriveNow,	
  
eGo
Cities	
  Surveyed Portland,	
  San	
  Diego,	
  
Austin,	
  New	
  York	
  City,	
  
Boston,	
  San	
  Francisco	
  
Bay	
  Area,	
  Boulder
Control	
  Survey
Launched Dec	
  4,	
  2014
Closed Feb	
  18,	
  2015
Avg.	
  Completion	
  Time 14	
  minutes
Total	
  Completions 1,742
Completion	
  Rate 77%
Participating	
  Programs car2go,	
  Zipcar
Cities	
  Surveyed Portland,	
  Austin,	
  New	
  
York	
  City,	
  
Boston
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
Carsharing	
  appears	
  to	
  be	
  exposing	
  more	
  
women,	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  younger	
  individuals,	
  to	
  
PHVs/EVs	
  relative	
  to	
  the	
  traditional	
  
demographic	
  profile	
  of	
  PHV/EV	
  owners	
  
	
  
PHV/EV	
   carsharing	
   users	
   also	
   appear	
   willing	
  
to	
   play	
   an	
   influencer	
   role	
   among	
   their	
   social	
  
circles	
  in	
  spreading	
  the	
  use	
  of	
  these	
  vehicles	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
Respondent	
  Category	
   CCSE	
  2013	
  Survey	
   TSRC	
  2014-­‐2015	
  Survey	
  
Ages	
  65	
  and	
  over	
   12%	
   <1%	
  
Ages	
  55	
  –	
  64	
   25%	
   6%	
  
Ages	
  45	
  –	
  54	
   34%	
   12%	
  
Ages	
  35	
  –	
  44	
   23%	
   26%	
  
Ages	
  25	
  –	
  34	
   6%	
   50%	
  
Ages	
  18	
  –	
  24	
   <1%	
   4%	
  
Males	
   79%	
   59%	
  
Females	
   21%	
   41%	
  
Comparison	
  of	
  Demographics	
  Between	
  California	
  PHV	
  Owners	
  and	
  	
  
PHV/EV	
  Carsharing	
  Users	
  (CCSE,	
  2014)	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
36%	
  
56%	
  
10%	
  
19%	
  
13%	
  
18%	
  
25%	
  
43%	
  
62%	
  
10%	
  
17%	
  
13%	
  
16%	
  
9%	
  
0%	
   10%	
   20%	
   30%	
   40%	
   50%	
   60%	
   70%	
  
Driven	
  a	
  Hybrid-­‐Electric	
  Vehicle	
  
Been	
  a	
  passenger	
  in	
  a	
  Hybrid-­‐Electric	
  Vehicle	
  
Driven	
  a	
  Plug-­‐in	
  Hybrid	
  Vehicle	
  
Been	
  a	
  passenger	
  in	
  a	
  Plug-­‐in	
  Hybrid	
  Vehicle	
  
Driven	
  an	
  All-­‐Electric	
  Vehicle	
  
Been	
  a	
  passenger	
  in	
  an	
  All-­‐Electric	
  Vehicle	
  
Not	
  been	
  exposed	
  to	
  any	
  All-­‐Electric	
  or	
  Plug-­‐in	
  Hybrid	
  Vehicles	
  outside	
  of	
  
carsharing	
  
Outside	
  of	
  Carsharing,	
  I	
  Have…	
  	
  
Control,	
  N	
  =	
  1740	
  
Experiment,	
  N	
  =	
  1921	
  
10%	
  
11%	
  
1%	
  
7%	
  
1%	
  
1%	
  
27%	
  
33%	
  
10%	
  
0%	
   5%	
   10%	
   15%	
   20%	
   25%	
   30%	
   35%	
  
I	
  do	
  not	
  know	
  what	
  they	
  look	
  like	
  
I	
  do	
  not	
  live	
  near	
  where	
  these	
  cars	
  are	
  located	
  
I	
  do	
  not	
  work	
  near	
  where	
  these	
  cars	
  are	
  located	
  
I	
  do	
  not	
  live	
  or	
  work	
  near	
  where	
  these	
  cars	
  are	
  located	
  
I	
  do	
  not	
  like	
  Plug-­‐in	
  Hybrid	
  Vehicles	
  and	
  will	
  not	
  use	
  them	
  
I	
  would	
  like	
  to	
  use	
  them,	
  but	
  they	
  are	
  too	
  expensive	
  to	
  use	
  
I	
  would	
  like	
  to	
  use	
  them,	
  but	
  they	
  are	
  oRen	
  not	
  available	
  
There	
  are	
  no	
  Plug-­‐in	
  Hybrid	
  Vehicles	
  in	
  my	
  fleet	
  that	
  I	
  am	
  aware	
  of	
  
Other	
  
What	
  Is	
  The	
  Main	
  Reason	
  You	
  Have	
  Not	
  Used	
  A	
  Plug-­‐In	
  Hybrid	
  Electric	
  Vehicle	
  Through	
  Carsharing?	
  
Control,	
  N	
  =	
  1355	
  
11%	
  
16%	
  
1%	
  
12%	
  
0%	
  
1%	
  
4%	
  
1%	
  
1%	
  
38%	
  
14%	
  
0%	
   5%	
   10%	
   15%	
   20%	
   25%	
   30%	
   35%	
   40%	
   45%	
  
I	
  do	
  not	
  know	
  what	
  they	
  look	
  like	
  
Do	
  not	
  live	
  near	
  these	
  cars	
  
Do	
  not	
  work	
  near	
  these	
  cars	
  
I	
  do	
  not	
  live	
  or	
  work	
  near	
  these	
  cars	
  
I	
  do	
  not	
  like	
  electric	
  vehicles	
  
BaVery	
  range	
  is	
  insufficient	
  for	
  my	
  needs	
  
I	
  am	
  unfamiliar	
  with	
  the	
  charging	
  process	
  
Charge	
  points	
  are	
  difficult	
  to	
  access	
  
Would	
  like	
  to	
  use	
  them,	
  but	
  they	
  are	
  too	
  expensive	
  
Would	
  like	
  to	
  use	
  them,	
  but	
  they	
  are	
  not	
  available	
  
Other	
  
What	
  Is	
  The	
  Main	
  Reason	
  You	
  Have	
  Not	
  Used	
  An	
  Electric	
  Vehicle	
  Through	
  Carsharing?	
  
Control,	
  N	
  =	
  1127	
  
Reasons	
  for	
  Not	
  Using	
  a	
  Plug-­‐In	
  Hybrid	
  (PHV)	
  or	
  Electric	
  Vehicle	
  (EV)	
  
11%	
  
30%	
  
41%	
  
2%	
   1%	
   2%	
  
12%	
  
0%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
45%	
  
Much	
  greater	
   Greater	
   About	
  the	
  same	
   Less	
   Much	
  less	
   Changed,	
  but	
  not	
  
due	
  to	
  
carsharing	
  
Never	
  wanted	
  to	
  
own	
  
I	
  have	
  had	
  no	
  
exposure	
  
through	
  
carsharing	
  
As	
  A	
  Result	
  of	
  My	
  Exposure	
  to	
  Plug-­‐In	
  Hybrid	
  Electric	
  Vehicles	
  Through	
  Carsharing,	
  My	
  desire	
  To	
  
Own	
  One	
  Is	
  Now...	
  
Experiment,	
  N	
  =	
  655	
  
13%	
  
29%	
  
36%	
  
3%	
   2%	
   3%	
  
10%	
  
4%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
Much	
  greater	
   Greater	
   About	
  the	
  same	
   Less	
   Much	
  less	
   Changed,	
  but	
  not	
  
due	
  to	
  carsharing	
  
Never	
  wanted	
  to	
  
own	
  
I	
  have	
  had	
  no	
  
exposure	
  
through	
  
carsharing	
  
As	
  A	
  Result	
  of	
  My	
  Exposure	
  to	
  All-­‐Electric	
  Vehicles	
  Through	
  Carsharing,	
  My	
  Desire	
  To	
  Own	
  One	
  
Is	
  Now...	
  
Experiment,	
  N	
  =	
  1900	
  
36%	
  
44%	
  
18%	
  
2%	
   1%	
  
25%	
  
34%	
  
38%	
  
1%	
   1%	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
45%	
  
50%	
  
Strongly	
  Agree	
   Agree	
   Neutral	
   Disagree	
   Strongly	
  Disagree	
  
I	
  Would	
  Recommend	
  Others	
  Try	
  Driving	
  A	
  Plug-­‐In	
  Hybrid	
  Electric	
  Vehicle	
  or	
  All-­‐Electric	
  Vehicle	
  
Experiment,	
  N	
  =	
  1894	
  
Control,	
  N	
  =	
  1716	
  
22%	
  
34%	
  
39%	
  
4%	
   2%	
  
18%	
  
29%	
  
48%	
  
3%	
   2%	
  
0%	
  
10%	
  
20%	
  
30%	
  
40%	
  
50%	
  
60%	
  
Strongly	
  Agree	
   Agree	
   Neutral	
   Disagree	
   Strongly	
  Disagree	
  
I	
  Would	
  Recommend	
  Others	
  Buy	
  a	
  Plug-­‐In	
  Hybrid	
  Electric	
  Vehicle	
  or	
  All-­‐Electric	
  Vehicle	
  
Experiment,	
  N	
  =	
  1893	
  
Control,	
  N	
  =	
  1719	
  
¡  Data	
  suggest	
  carsharing	
  programs	
  with	
  PHVs	
  and	
  EVs	
  
play	
  a	
  role	
  in	
  promoting	
  greater	
  adoption	
  of	
  these	
  
technologies	
  	
  
¡  91%	
  of	
  control	
  group	
  exposed	
  to	
  ZEVs	
  outside	
  of	
  
carsharing,	
  but	
  greater	
  impact	
  on	
  perceptions	
  toward	
  
PHV/EVs	
  in	
  experimental	
  group	
  	
  
§  Demonstrates	
  use	
  of	
  these	
  vehicles	
  through	
  carsharing	
  has	
  had	
  
a	
  distinct	
  impact	
  
§  Positive	
  disposition	
  impacted	
  by	
  frequency	
  of	
  use	
  (more	
  than	
  
1	
  /month)	
  
¡  On	
  a	
  longer-­‐term	
  basis,	
  carsharing	
  programs	
  with	
  ZEVs	
  
could	
  act	
  as	
  gateways	
  to	
  improving	
  market	
  penetration	
  of	
  
PHVs	
  and	
  EVs	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
§  Worldwide	
  Growth	
  Trends	
  
§  Insurance	
  Study	
  Highlights	
  
§  EV	
  Carsharing	
  Study	
  Highlights	
  
	
  
 http://tsrc.berkeley.edu/node/956	
  
A	
  Global	
  Summit	
  Investigating	
  Sustainable	
  
Futures,	
  November	
  11-­‐13,	
  2015,	
  Cambridge,	
  MA	
  
Early	
  Bird	
  (Registration	
  before	
  September	
  30,	
  
2015):	
  $375	
  
http://www.disrupting-­‐mobility.org/#welcome-­‐	
  
 
§  Apaar	
  Bansal,	
  Adam	
  Cohen,	
  Matt	
  
Christensen,	
  and	
  Elliot	
  Martin,	
  
TSRC,	
  UC	
  Berkeley	
  
§  Special	
  thanks	
  to	
  Assurant,	
  
Metavera,	
  Guy	
  Fraker,	
  Alan	
  
Woodland,	
  Tony	
  Simopoulos,	
  Paul	
  
Dyck,	
  car2go,	
  DriveNow,	
  eGo	
  
CarShare,	
  Zipcar,	
  Nissan,	
  Toyota,	
  
the	
  California	
  Air	
  Resources	
  
Board,	
  worldwide	
  shared	
  mobility	
  
operators,	
  experts,	
  and	
  the	
  
CarSharing	
  Association	
  for	
  
making	
  this	
  research	
  possible	
  	
  
©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
www.tsrc.berkeley.edu	
  
Twitter:	
  SusanShaheen1	
  
LinkedIn:	
  Susan	
  Shaheen	
  

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Worldwide Carsharing Trends and Research Highlights

  • 1. CarSharing  Association  2015  Annual  Meeting   Susan  A.  Shaheen,  Ph.D.   Adjunct  Professor  and  Co-­‐Director,  Transportation  Sustainability  Research  Center   University  of  California,  Berkeley   September  23,  2015  
  • 2. §  Worldwide  growth  trends   §  Insurance  study  highlights   §  EV  carsharing  study  findings   §  Summary  
  • 3.
  • 4. 2006   2008   2010   2012   2014   Members   346,610   670,822   1,163,405   1,788,027   4,842,616   Vehicles   11,501   19,403   31,967   43,554   104,125   0   20,000   40,000   60,000   80,000   100,000   120,000   0   1,000,000   2,000,000   3,000,000   4,000,000   5,000,000   6,000,000   Vehicles   Members   Shaheen  and  Cohen,  2015   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 5. Shaheen  and  Cohen,  2015   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015   Asia   Europe   North  America   South  America   Oceania   Global   Round-­‐trip   926,280   1,834,418   1,179,930   0   50,000   3,990,628   One-­‐way   29,600   372,466   445,722   3,500   700   851,988   0   500,000   1,000,000   1,500,000   2,000,000   2,500,000   3,000,000   3,500,000   4,000,000   4,500,000   5,000,000  
  • 6. Shaheen  and  Cohen,  2015   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015   Asia   Europe   North  America   South  America   Oceania   Global   Round-­‐trip   20,199   39,904   18,267   0   1,500   79,859   One-­‐way   145   18,043   5,943   100   24   24,266   0   20,000   40,000   60,000   80,000   100,000   120,000  
  • 7. Shaheen  and  Cohen,  2015   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015   2006-­‐08   2008-­‐10   2010-­‐12   2012-­‐14   Members   39%   32%   24%   64%   Vehicles   30%   28%   17%   55%   0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%   70%   Growth  Rate  
  • 8. 2006   2008   2010   2012   2014   Members   117,656   318,898   516,100   908,584   1,625,652   Vehicles   3,337   7,505   10,420   15,795   24,210   0   5,000   10,000   15,000   20,000   25,000   30,000   0   200,000   400,000   600,000   800,000   1,000,000   1,200,000   1,400,000   1,600,000   1,800,000   Vehicles   Members   Shaheen  and  Cohen,  2015   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 9. South  American  Longitudinal  Trends   2010   2012   2014   Members   110   1,500   3,500   Vehicles   13   60   100   0   20   40   60   80   100   120   0   500   1,000   1,500   2,000   2,500   3,000   3,500   4,000   Vehicles   Members   Shaheen  and  Cohen,  2015   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 10. 2006   2008   2010   2012   2014   Members   212,124   334,168   552,868   691,943   2,206,884   Vehicles   7,491   10,833   16,779   20,464   57,947   0   10,000   20,000   30,000   40,000   50,000   60,000   70,000   0   500,000   1,000,000   1,500,000   2,000,000   2,500,000   Vehicles   Members   Shaheen  and  Cohen,  2015   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 11. Asian  Longitudinal  Trends   2006   2008   2010   2012   2014   Members   15,700   12,546   81,817   160,500   955,880   Vehicles   608   810   4,315   6,155   20,344   0   5,000   10,000   15,000   20,000   25,000   0   200,000   400,000   600,000   800,000   1,000,000   1,200,000   Vehicles   Members   Shaheen  and  Cohen,  2015   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 12. Oceania  Longitudinal  Trends   2006   2008   2010   2012   2014   Members   1,130   5,210   12,750   25,500   50,700   Vehicles   65   255   440   1,080   1,524   0   200   400   600   800   1,000   1,200   1,400   1,600   1,800   0   10,000   20,000   30,000   40,000   50,000   60,000   Vehicles   Members   Shaheen  and  Cohen,  2015   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 13.
  • 14. ¡  Analyzed  28  operator-­‐years  of  trips  and  claims   data  for  334  vehicles   ¡  Six  U.S.  carsharing  operators,  with  data   spanning  a  time  range  of  2008  to  2015   ¡  Total  of  328,726  valid  trips   ¡  125  valid  insurance  claims  occurred  during  this   period   ¡  Focus  on  estimating  crash  risk,  measured  on  a   per  mile  and  per  insured  vehicle-­‐year  basis   ¡  Deductible  was  US$1000,  for  policies  in  which   the  deductible  was  higher  we  calculated  it  as  if  it   was  US$1000   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 15. ¡  During  2012-­‐2014,  number  of  claims  and   costs  generally  increased   ¡  Average  distance  traveled  11,  185  miles/year;   similar  to  national  average  (11,244  miles)   ¡  Average  trip  distance  24.95  miles  (40.15  km)   ¡  Average  duration  of  reservation  =  3.72  hours     ¡  Average  crash  claim  =  17.05/100  insured   vehicle  years   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 16. Overall 2008-2015 Data Availability (Operator-Years) 5 5 5 28 Active Vehicles 137 192 209 334 Trips 62,563 68,703 78,456 328,726 Average Trip Distance (Miles) 24.93 24.46 23.5 24.95 Average Trip Distance (Km ) 40.12 39.36 37.82 40.15 Average Trip Duration (Hrs) 3.65 3.67 3.55 3.72 Proportion of Female Trips 0.5 0.49 0.5 0.5 Average Age of Drivers When Trips Occurred Proportion: Ages 18-25 0.26 0.25 0.28 0.27 Proportion: Ages 66+ 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 Total Claims 23 22 32 125 Summary of Crash Data Year 2012 2013 2014 Summary of Trips Data 35.43 35.64 34.88 35.2 ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 17. ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 18. ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 19. ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 20. ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 21. ¡  50%  female  drivers   ¡  27%  young  adults  18-­‐25   ¡  2%  drivers  at  or  about  age  66   ¡  Average  age  of  drivers  =  35.2   ¡  Average  cost  per  claim  =  US$4,630  and   median  US$2,189   ¡  Average  insurance  claim  cost/mile  =  US$.0.7   ¡  Average  insurance  claim  cost/trip  =  US$1.76     ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 22. ¡  Heightened  risk  for  drivers  above  age  65   ¡  18-­‐25  aged  drivers  had  moderately  higher  risk   compared  to  other  adults   ¡  Mid-­‐age  adults  (30-­‐65  age)  had  lowest  risk   (similar  to  national  average)     ¡  Average  claims  cost  per  insured-­‐vehicle  year   of  US$789  for  carsharing   ¡  Risk  could  be  higher  or  lower  due  to  local   circumstances  and  unobserved  factors   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 23.
  • 24. ¡  Adopted  in  1990   ¡  In  2001,  CARB  allowed  for  additional   incentives  for  placing  EVs  in  “transportation   systems”   §  Carsharing   §  Station  car  fleets   ¡  “Transportation  systems”  incentive  program   set  to  sunset  in  2018   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015   Shaheen  et  al.,  2002    
  • 25. Carsharing  programs  featuring   PHVs/EVs  provide  access  to   those  who  would  otherwise   not  have  access  to  such   vehicles   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 26. •  Control: Active carsharing users (active in last 18 months) but had not used PHVs/ EVs through their carsharing provider •  Experiment: Active carsharing users who had used PHVs/EVs within the 6 months Experiment  Survey Launched Nov  7,  2014 Closed Feb  15,  2015 Avg.  Completion  Time 15  minutes Total  Completions 1,920 Completion  Rate 74% Participating  Programs car2go,  Zipcar,   DriveNow,   eGo Cities  Surveyed Portland,  San  Diego,   Austin,  New  York  City,   Boston,  San  Francisco   Bay  Area,  Boulder Control  Survey Launched Dec  4,  2014 Closed Feb  18,  2015 Avg.  Completion  Time 14  minutes Total  Completions 1,742 Completion  Rate 77% Participating  Programs car2go,  Zipcar Cities  Surveyed Portland,  Austin,  New   York  City,   Boston ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 27.
  • 28. Carsharing  appears  to  be  exposing  more   women,  as  well  as  younger  individuals,  to   PHVs/EVs  relative  to  the  traditional   demographic  profile  of  PHV/EV  owners     PHV/EV   carsharing   users   also   appear   willing   to   play   an   influencer   role   among   their   social   circles  in  spreading  the  use  of  these  vehicles   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 29. Respondent  Category   CCSE  2013  Survey   TSRC  2014-­‐2015  Survey   Ages  65  and  over   12%   <1%   Ages  55  –  64   25%   6%   Ages  45  –  54   34%   12%   Ages  35  –  44   23%   26%   Ages  25  –  34   6%   50%   Ages  18  –  24   <1%   4%   Males   79%   59%   Females   21%   41%   Comparison  of  Demographics  Between  California  PHV  Owners  and     PHV/EV  Carsharing  Users  (CCSE,  2014)   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 30. 36%   56%   10%   19%   13%   18%   25%   43%   62%   10%   17%   13%   16%   9%   0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%   70%   Driven  a  Hybrid-­‐Electric  Vehicle   Been  a  passenger  in  a  Hybrid-­‐Electric  Vehicle   Driven  a  Plug-­‐in  Hybrid  Vehicle   Been  a  passenger  in  a  Plug-­‐in  Hybrid  Vehicle   Driven  an  All-­‐Electric  Vehicle   Been  a  passenger  in  an  All-­‐Electric  Vehicle   Not  been  exposed  to  any  All-­‐Electric  or  Plug-­‐in  Hybrid  Vehicles  outside  of   carsharing   Outside  of  Carsharing,  I  Have…     Control,  N  =  1740   Experiment,  N  =  1921  
  • 31. 10%   11%   1%   7%   1%   1%   27%   33%   10%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   I  do  not  know  what  they  look  like   I  do  not  live  near  where  these  cars  are  located   I  do  not  work  near  where  these  cars  are  located   I  do  not  live  or  work  near  where  these  cars  are  located   I  do  not  like  Plug-­‐in  Hybrid  Vehicles  and  will  not  use  them   I  would  like  to  use  them,  but  they  are  too  expensive  to  use   I  would  like  to  use  them,  but  they  are  oRen  not  available   There  are  no  Plug-­‐in  Hybrid  Vehicles  in  my  fleet  that  I  am  aware  of   Other   What  Is  The  Main  Reason  You  Have  Not  Used  A  Plug-­‐In  Hybrid  Electric  Vehicle  Through  Carsharing?   Control,  N  =  1355   11%   16%   1%   12%   0%   1%   4%   1%   1%   38%   14%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   45%   I  do  not  know  what  they  look  like   Do  not  live  near  these  cars   Do  not  work  near  these  cars   I  do  not  live  or  work  near  these  cars   I  do  not  like  electric  vehicles   BaVery  range  is  insufficient  for  my  needs   I  am  unfamiliar  with  the  charging  process   Charge  points  are  difficult  to  access   Would  like  to  use  them,  but  they  are  too  expensive   Would  like  to  use  them,  but  they  are  not  available   Other   What  Is  The  Main  Reason  You  Have  Not  Used  An  Electric  Vehicle  Through  Carsharing?   Control,  N  =  1127   Reasons  for  Not  Using  a  Plug-­‐In  Hybrid  (PHV)  or  Electric  Vehicle  (EV)  
  • 32. 11%   30%   41%   2%   1%   2%   12%   0%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   45%   Much  greater   Greater   About  the  same   Less   Much  less   Changed,  but  not   due  to   carsharing   Never  wanted  to   own   I  have  had  no   exposure   through   carsharing   As  A  Result  of  My  Exposure  to  Plug-­‐In  Hybrid  Electric  Vehicles  Through  Carsharing,  My  desire  To   Own  One  Is  Now...   Experiment,  N  =  655   13%   29%   36%   3%   2%   3%   10%   4%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   Much  greater   Greater   About  the  same   Less   Much  less   Changed,  but  not   due  to  carsharing   Never  wanted  to   own   I  have  had  no   exposure   through   carsharing   As  A  Result  of  My  Exposure  to  All-­‐Electric  Vehicles  Through  Carsharing,  My  Desire  To  Own  One   Is  Now...   Experiment,  N  =  1900  
  • 33. 36%   44%   18%   2%   1%   25%   34%   38%   1%   1%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   45%   50%   Strongly  Agree   Agree   Neutral   Disagree   Strongly  Disagree   I  Would  Recommend  Others  Try  Driving  A  Plug-­‐In  Hybrid  Electric  Vehicle  or  All-­‐Electric  Vehicle   Experiment,  N  =  1894   Control,  N  =  1716   22%   34%   39%   4%   2%   18%   29%   48%   3%   2%   0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%   Strongly  Agree   Agree   Neutral   Disagree   Strongly  Disagree   I  Would  Recommend  Others  Buy  a  Plug-­‐In  Hybrid  Electric  Vehicle  or  All-­‐Electric  Vehicle   Experiment,  N  =  1893   Control,  N  =  1719  
  • 34. ¡  Data  suggest  carsharing  programs  with  PHVs  and  EVs   play  a  role  in  promoting  greater  adoption  of  these   technologies     ¡  91%  of  control  group  exposed  to  ZEVs  outside  of   carsharing,  but  greater  impact  on  perceptions  toward   PHV/EVs  in  experimental  group     §  Demonstrates  use  of  these  vehicles  through  carsharing  has  had   a  distinct  impact   §  Positive  disposition  impacted  by  frequency  of  use  (more  than   1  /month)   ¡  On  a  longer-­‐term  basis,  carsharing  programs  with  ZEVs   could  act  as  gateways  to  improving  market  penetration  of   PHVs  and  EVs   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 35. §  Worldwide  Growth  Trends   §  Insurance  Study  Highlights   §  EV  Carsharing  Study  Highlights    
  • 37. A  Global  Summit  Investigating  Sustainable   Futures,  November  11-­‐13,  2015,  Cambridge,  MA   Early  Bird  (Registration  before  September  30,   2015):  $375   http://www.disrupting-­‐mobility.org/#welcome-­‐  
  • 38.   §  Apaar  Bansal,  Adam  Cohen,  Matt   Christensen,  and  Elliot  Martin,   TSRC,  UC  Berkeley   §  Special  thanks  to  Assurant,   Metavera,  Guy  Fraker,  Alan   Woodland,  Tony  Simopoulos,  Paul   Dyck,  car2go,  DriveNow,  eGo   CarShare,  Zipcar,  Nissan,  Toyota,   the  California  Air  Resources   Board,  worldwide  shared  mobility   operators,  experts,  and  the   CarSharing  Association  for   making  this  research  possible     ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015   www.tsrc.berkeley.edu   Twitter:  SusanShaheen1   LinkedIn:  Susan  Shaheen