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Team Members:
Peeyush Sahu
Abhishek Anand
Himanshu Varshney
Mukul Saigal
Vijay Kumar
Chitra Raghani
Chandni Bhatia
Myanmar|Socio-Political 1
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Myanmar is at a pivotal moment. The government has ushered in a series of political and economic
reforms after decades of authoritarianism, a revived peace process is under way to address on-going ethnic
conflicts and communal violence, and the foundations of an open market economy are being laid after
years of isolation.
Myanmar (Burma) remains under military rule, although the government held its first elections in 20
years on 7 November 2010. The election process fell far short of representing a genuine transition to
democracy, however. The military regime rejected the international community’s call for more inclusiveness
in the elections and instead restricted political participation by means of a set of manipulations. As in the
2008 constitutional referendum, the regime used large numbers of advanced votes, which were collected by
force in front of the authorities, to tip the result in favor of the pro-military Union Solidarity and
Development Party (USDP). As a result, the USDP won almost 80% of the seats up for election. Together with
the 25% of seats reserved for the military, the military dominates the parliament, which is likely to serve as a
rubber stamp for executive decisions. The first parliamentary session was convened on 31 January 2011, and
the former prime minister, retired General Thein Sein, was elected as president. Thein Seinnominated just
four civilians for cabinet positions, with retired senior military officers nominated for the remainder.
The main opposition party, the National League for Democracy (NLD) led by Aung San SuuKyi,
boycotted the elections, citing the lack of genuine democracy and unfair electoral laws. The party
registration law stated that any party which has members who have served prison terms cannot register.
This provision specifically targeted the NLD, as many of its leaders, including Aung San Suu Kyi, have been
sentenced to imprisonment (or house arrest, in the case of AungSan Suu Kyi). The opposition party split over
the issue, with a breakaway faction, the National Democratic Force (NDF), deciding to participate in the
elections. After the elections, the NLD was deregistered, since the party registration law also stated that any
party which did not run in the elections would cease to exist. The regime has responded harshly to the calls
of Aung San Suu Kyi, who was freed from house arrest one week after the elections, to convene a conference
to discuss minority rights and for the continued need for Western sanctions. This has increased concerns
about her personal safety. Meanwhile, around 2,000 political prisoners remain in jail. Tensions between
armed ethnic groups in the border regions have continued to rise due to the regime’s pressure on ethnic
groups that have agreed to a ceasefire to come under its control as border guard forces.
Myanmar|Socio-Political 2
The regime has made little progress in the transformation to a genuine market economy. Although
the regime launched a large-scale privatization project in 2009 – 2010, most of the enterprises involved were
handed secretly to military conglomerates and cronies, who will continue to monopolize the economy under
the new government. Thus, even after this privatization, much of the economy remains in the hands of the
military’s conglomerates or the cronies of the senior generals.
In this report, we assessed the socio-political & economic potential that Myanmar offers and explores
how the nation can seize today’s window of opportunity to vault itself into a new era of growth and
development. To undertake this study, we have had to make more than typical estimations given issues with
reliability of data on Myanmar. These estimations should be a starting point for those looking to better
understand Myanmar’s potential.
Myanmar|Socio-Political 3
OVERVIEW
Official name
Pyihtaungsu Thamada Myanmar Naingngandaw (Republic of the Union of
Myanmar)
Form of government
Constitutional republic1 with two legislative houses (House of Nationalities; House
of Representatives)
Head of state and
government
President: Thein Sein, assisted by Vice Presidents: Sai Mouk Kham and Nyan Tun
Capital Nay Pyi Taw (Naypyidaw)
Official language Myanmar (Burmese)
Official religion none
Monetary unit Myanmar kyat (K) MMK
Population 51,419,420 (est. 2014)
Myanmar|Socio-Political 4
Overview:
Myanmar is rich in natural resources; although it is a poor country economically. It is suffering from
rural poverty, with 26% of the population living below the poverty line. Poor government planning,
inefficient economic policies, minimal foreign investment, a trade deficit and internal unrest contribute to
Myanmar’s sluggish growth rate. Although it has emerged as a natural gas exporter, Myanmar has witnessed
deterioration in its economic condition due to the fact that the nation is victim to the highest levels of
corruption in the world (revealed by Transparency International in its 2007 Corruption Perceptions Index).
The nation’s ample natural resources are largely exploited by its military leaders and their associates.
The following serious macroeconomic imbalances are also to be blamed:
 Fiscal deficits
 Distorted interest rate regime
 Rising inflation
 Multiple official exchange rates (that lead to overvaluation of the Burmese kyat)
 Unreliable statistics
 Failure settles national accounts for the determination of a realistic GDP figure
 Poor investment climate
Myanmar is currently in a triple transition – from an authoritarian military system to democratic
governance, from a centrally directed economy to a market-oriented economy, and from 60 years of conflict
to peace in its border areas. These transitions have the potential to create opportunity and shared prosperity
for the people of Myanmar and for the country to resume its place as one of the most dynamic economies in
Asia.
As the largest country in mainland Southeast Asia, Myanmar has one of the lowest population densities
in the region, with fertile lands, significant untapped agricultural potential, and a rich endowment of natural
resources. Its geographic location at the intersection of China and India, two of the world’s most dynamic
economies, makes it well positioned to resume its traditional role as a regional trading hub and a key
supplier of minerals, natural gas, and agricultural produce.
Since 2011, the government has embarked on an ambitious economic, political and governance reform
program. It has begun a series of reforms to remove economic distortions, such as floating the currency, new
fiscal regulations to rationalize personal income tax and reduce consumption tax, liberalizing the
Myanmar|Socio-Political 5
telecommunications sector, reforms aimed at developing the private sector and stimulating direct foreign
investments, a review of the financial sector, promotion of access to finance, and creating an environment
conducive to job creation.
These reforms are paying off. Myanmar’s economy is estimated to have grown by 8.3% in FY2013/14,
driven mainly by construction, manufacturing, and services. Recovery in agriculture is estimated to have
contributed to the growth. The economy is projected to expand further by 8.5% in FY2014/15, led by gas
production and investment. The outlook for Myanmar remains positive, although this remains dependent on
sustained reforms in several policy areas.
In FY2013/14, the country’s GDP was estimated at $56.8 billion. Based on the preliminary population
figure of 51.4 million from the national census conducted in March/April 2014, the country’s per capita GDP
is around $1,105, one of the lowest in East Asia and the Pacific. Analysis of the last nationwide Integrated
Household Living Conditions Assessment (IHLCA) conducted in 2009/10 found that 26% of the population is
living below the poverty line, though further detailed analysis by the World Bank – taking into account
nonfood items in the consumption basket and spatial price differentials – brings poverty estimates as high as
37.5 percent.
Once the top exporter of rice in the world, Myanmar’s rice exports now account for a negligible share of
the world market. Myanmar’s exports of natural resources such as gas and gems are becoming increasingly
significant.
Most social indicators are very low. For example, 32% of children under five suffer from malnutrition.
Limited access to and the poor state of infrastructure are major impediments to providing basic health and
education services and for economic development. Almost half the roads are not passable during the
monsoon season.
Telecommunications and internet access are also very limited. About 73% of the population lacks access
to electricity. The consumption of electricity– 20 times less than the global average— is one of the lowest in
the world. Existing power infrastructure meets only about half of the current demand, resulting in frequent
blackouts and the rationing of the electricity supply. Access to drinking water is also limited in many areas.
Myanmar|Socio-Political 6
Demographic Status:
Myanmar suffered extensive damage in World War II, and some sectors of its economy have not yet
fully recovered. About 70% of the population works in agriculture and forestry, and rice accounts for about
half of the agricultural output. Other important crops are pulses, sesame, peanuts, and sugarcane. Myanmar
also produces illegal opium in the northeast (bordering China, Laos, and Thailand), part of the "Golden
Triangle"; heroin produced in the country's laboratories contributes to the black-market trade. Myanmar's
forests, which are government-owned, are the source of teak and other hardwoods. Fishing is also
important.
The country is rich in minerals. Petroleum is found east of the Ayeyarwady in the Dry Zone. Tin and
tungsten are mined in E Myanmar; the Mawchi mines in Kayah State are also rich in tungsten. In Shan State,
northwest of Lashio, are the Bawdwin mines, the source of lead, silver, and zinc. Coal, copper, natural gas,
and iron deposits have also been found in Myanmar. Gems (notably rubies and sapphires) are found near
Mogok. Since the 13th cent., Myanmar has exported jade from the Hunkawng valley in the north to China.
Aside from food processing, other manufacturing industries include wood and wood products,
construction materials, pharmaceuticals, fertilizer, natural gas, and textiles and clothing. Exports include gas,
wood products, pulses, fish, rice, clothing, jade, and gemstones. The chief imports are fabric, petroleum
products, fertilizer, plastics, machinery, transportation equipment, construction materials, crude oil, food
products, and edible oil. The country's chief trade partners are Thailand, China, Singapore, and India.
The majority of Myanmar’s population is rural, with the density of settlement in each region related
to agricultural production, particularly of rice. Thus, the most populous regions are the Irrawaddy delta and
the dry zone, and the highest densities are found in the upper delta, between Yangon and Hinthada
(Henzada). Settlement in the Sittang delta, the sedimented hinterland of Sittwe, and the regions of both
sides of the lower Chindwin River is moderately dense. The Rakhine region (except the Sittwe area), the west
bank of the Irrawaddy at the base of the Rakhine Mountains, Tenasserim, and the less accessible parts of the
western and northern mountains and the Shan Plateau are sparsely inhabited.
The population of Myanmar remains fairly youthful, with roughly one-fourth of the people under age
15. However, the proportion of young people has been decreasing steadily since the late 20th century, as the
birth rate has dropped from notably above to significantly below the world average. Life expectancy, on the
contrary, has been on the rise, with most men and women living into their 60s.
Myanmar|Socio-Political 7
Languages:
Many indigenous languages—as distinct from mere dialects—are spoken in Myanmar. The official
language is Burmese, spoken by the people of the plains and, as a second language, by most people of the
hills. During the colonial period, English became the official language, but Burmese continued as the primary
language in all other settings. Both English and Burmese were compulsory subjects in schools and colleges.
Burmese, Chinese, and Hindi were the languages of commerce. After independence English ceased to be the
official language, and after the military coup of 1962 it lost its importance in schools and colleges; an
elementary knowledge of English, however, is still required, and its instruction is again being encouraged.
The local languages of Myanmar belong to three language families. Burmese and most of the other
languages belong to the Tibeto-Burman subfamily of Sino-Tibetan languages. The Shan language belongs to
the Tai family. Languages spoken by the Mon of southern Myanmar and by the Wa and Palaung of the Shan
Plateau are members of the Mon-Khmer subfamily of Austroasiatic languages.
Speakers of Burmese and Mon historically have lived in the plains, while speakers of a unique dialect
of Burmese (that perhaps retains some archaic features of pronunciation) have occupied the Rakhine and
Tenasserim coastal plains. The hills were inhabited by those speaking Shan, Kachin, Chin, and numerous
other languages. In the plains the ancient division between northern and southern Myanmar (Upper Burma
and Lower Burma, respectively) was based not only on geographic differences but also on a linguistic one.
The Mon (now a small minority) lived in southern Myanmar, while the majority Burman population
lived in the northern dry zone. Until colonial times only Burmese, Mon, Shan, and the languages of the
ancient Pyu kingdom of northern Myanmar were written. Writing systems for the languages of the Karen,
Kachin, and Chin peoples were developed later.
Religion:
Although Myanmar has no official religion, some three-fourths of the population follows Theravada
Buddhism. The vast majority of Burmans and Shan are Buddhist. There is, however, a significant Protestant
Christian minority, concentrated primarily among the Karen, Kachin, and Chin communities. Many of the
other hill peoples practice local religions, and even those who adhere to world religions typically incorporate
local elements to some degree. Muslims, mostly Burman, and Hindus are among the smallest religious
minorities.
Myanmar|Socio-Political 8
Settlement patterns:
Myanmar is a land of villages. Except for a few large cities—notably Yangon, Mandalay, and
Mawlamyine (Moulmein)—the towns essentially are large villages. Although the hill peoples generally
practice shifting agriculture (called taungya in Burmese), most have settled in upland villages at some
distance from the fields. On the Shan Plateau and in the neighbouring river valleys, the fields adjoin the
villages. Older villages are circular in shape, but along the banks of the delta streams and along railways the
villages are rectangular. Houses are built of timber and bamboo, the roofs being thatched or tiled. In the
past, houses typically were built on piles, the original purpose being protection from wild animals or floods.
The style persists in many villages, especially those on the hills, and farm animals are kept under the houses
at night. In small towns the piles have been replaced by a supporting brick structure with concrete flooring,
with the upper story still being made of timber. Houses entirely of brick were few in number before the mid-
20th century, but later many sprang up in Yangon, Mandalay, and larger towns on the rubble of buildings
destroyed during World War II. Life in villages is in some respects communal because of custom, the
influence of Buddhism, and the redistributive and reciprocal nature of agrarian society.
Administrative framework
Myanmar’s first constitution came into force on Jan. 4, 1974, the 26th anniversary of the country’s
independence, and was suspended following a military coup on Sept. 18, 1988. The country was
subsequently ruled by a military junta, known first as the State Law and Order Restoration Council (SLORC)
and, between 1997 and 2011, as the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC).
Under the 1974 constitution, supreme power rested with the unicameral People’s Assembly (Pyithu
Hluttaw), a 485-member popularly elected body that exercised legislative, executive, and judicial authority.
The Council of State, which consisted of 29 members (one representative elected from each of the country’s
14 states and divisions, 14 members elected by the People’s Assembly as a whole, and the prime minister as
an ex officio member), elected its own secretary and its own chairman, who was ex officio president of the
country. The secretary and the president were also, respectively, the secretary-general and the chairman of
the Burma Socialist Programme Party (BSPP), which, under military leadership, was the only official political
party from 1964 to 1988. Civil servants, members of the armed forces, workers, and peasants belonged to
the BSPP, and senior military officials and civil servants were included in the party’s hierarchy.
After the military took control of the government in 1988, it established the SLORC as the new ruling
body, and all state organs, including the People’s Assembly and the Council of State, was abolished and their
Myanmar|Socio-Political 9
duties assumed by the SLORC. The law designating the BSPP as the only political party also was abolished,
and new parties were encouraged to register for general elections to a new legislative assembly. More than
90 parties participated in the elections, which were held in May 1990; of these the most important were the
dominant BSPP, which had changed its name to the National Unity Party (NUP), and the main opposition
party, the National League for Democracy (NLD).
The NLD won some four-fifths of the seats in the new assembly. However, after the NLD’s victory the
SLORC announced that the elections were not actually for a legislative assembly but for a constituent
assembly charged with drafting a new constitution; furthermore, the SLORC did not permit the assembly to
meet. Instead, in 1993 the SLORC convened a National Convention of handpicked participants—rather than
the elected assembly of 1990—to formulate a new constitution. This constituent assembly met
intermittently in 1993–96 and then again from 2004 until early in 2008, when it finally passed a completed
draft constitution. The constitution was put to a popular referendum in May and was approved, but the
document did not to go into effect until Jan. 31, 2011, following elections for a new parliament that were
held in November 2010.Under the 2008 constitution, legislative authority is vested in a bicameral Assembly
of the Union (Pyidaungsu Hluttaw) consisting of a 224-seat House of Nationalities (Amyotha Hluttaw) and a
440-seat House of Representatives (Pyithu Hluttaw).Three-fourths of the members of each chamber are
directly elected, and the remaining one-fourth are appointed by the military; all members serve five-year
terms.
Executive authority, per the constitution, rests with the president, who is elected to a five-year term
by members of the House of Representatives and heads an 11-member National Defense and Security
Council (cabinet). However, it is thought that the military retained some level of influence on the
government behind the scenes after Jan. 31, 2011.
Nature of Government:
Myanmar is divided administratively into seven states largely on the basis of ethnicity—Chin, Kachin,
Kayin (Karen), Kayah, Mon, Rakhine (Arakan), and Shan—and seven more truly administrative divisions of
Myanmar proper—Ayeyarwady (Irrawaddy), Magway (Magwe), Mandalay, Bago (Pegu), Sagaing, Taninthary
(Tenasserim), and Yangon. These states and divisions are subdivided further into townships, urban wards,
and village tracts.
Until 1988, at each level of local government there was a People’s Council that followed the pattern
of the People’s Assembly. Every local government council also had an Executive Committee, and all but the
Myanmar|Socio-Political 10
village or ward councils had a Committee of Inspectors. Local and national elections were held
simultaneously. In 1988 the SLORC dissolved these bodies and assumed control of local administration,
establishing in their place military-dominated Law and Order Restoration Councils.
The military has the majority stakeholder position in all of the major industrial corporations of the
country (from oil production and consumer goods to transportation and tourism). Burma rates as a corrupt
nation on the Corruption Perceptions Index with a rank of 157th out of 177 countries worldwide and a rating
of 2.1 out of 10 (10 being least corrupt and 0 being highly corrupt) as of 2012
Justice:
The highest court under the 1974 constitution was the Council of People’s Justices, members of
which were drawn from the People’s Assembly. Every local government council had a Judges’ Committee,
which sat as the local court, exercising criminal and civil jurisdiction. These courts were abolished along with
other government bodies following the coup of 1988, and a nonindependent Supreme Court was established
as the central judicial authority, with justices appointed by the SLORC. Since that time, the judiciary has
remained bound to the executive branch of government. The 2008 constitution has provisions for the
creation of a Constitutional Tribunal of the Union to adjudicate constitutional cases.
Security:
Myanmar’s armed forces, which consist of an army, a navy, and an air force, have expanded rapidly—
nearly quadrupling in size—since the mid-20th century. The army is by far the largest and best-equipped of
the three branches, and for a number of years it has borne the chief responsibility for combating armed
insurgency within the country. Volunteers for the armed forces are recruited from throughout the country,
and military service is a prime means of improving socioeconomic status; the military maintains an extensive
education, health, and procurement system for its members and their dependents. The police force,
although armed and equipped and often used as a branch of the army in emergencies, remains essentially
civilian in character and regional in organization.
Health and welfare:
With the majority of the population living in rural areas with unreliable infrastructure and
transportation, rural health care has remained both a challenge and a priority for the Myanmar government.
A lack of adequate sanitation, although improving, and an underutilized health care system have contributed
to relatively high rates of gastrointestinal diseases, tuberculosis, and malaria. The rate of HIV infection rose
Myanmar|Socio-Political 11
to epidemic proportions between the early 1990s and the beginning of the 21st century. However, the pace
of infection has been slowing, owing largely to an aggressive government-sponsored public awareness
campaign and the promotion of the use of condoms. The BSPP government gave special attention to workers
and peasants and to the hill peoples and, in spite of a shortage of imported building materials, succeeded
somewhat in stabilizing the housing problem that had afflicted the country.
Education & Literacy:
Myanmar has a long tradition of educational achievement, and about nine-tenths of the population is
literate. Five years of primary education, beginning at age five, are compulsory; in some remote rural areas,
however, formal schooling may not be available. Secondary education consists of a four-year cycle followed
by a two-year cycle. Tertiary institutions include a number of public universities and colleges as well as public
and private technical institutes and vocational schools. The University of Yangon (1920) and the University of
Mandalay (1925; until 1958 a branch of the University of Yangon) are the oldest and best-known institutions
of higher education.
Educational programs have suffered under the military regimes. Since the coups of 1962 and 1988,
universities have been closed for extended periods—sometimes years at a time—to prevent student
disturbances. As a result, the higher education of most students has been interrupted and prolonged over
many years, and there is an immense backlog of secondary-school graduates waiting to enroll at universities.
The official education system has been supplemented by a large number of privately operated tutoring
programs designed to make up for public-school deficiencies.
The literacy rate of Burma, according the UNESCO Institute of Statistics (2005) stands at 89.7%
(males: 93.7%, females: 86.2%), although there is dispute over the accuracy of the provided literacy rates.
The annual budget allocated to education by the government is low; only about 1.2% is spent per year on
education.
Myanmar|Socio-Political 12
CONCLUSION
Genuine political solution needed:
Analysts say the plight of Myanmar's ethnic minorities will not be resolved until there is a genuine
political solution, and their rights are recognized. The first thing that needs to be done is to allow ethnic
people to be educated in their own languages.
A new constitution pushed through in 2008 guarantees a substantial number of seats for the military
government and its allies in national and local parliaments, while marginalizing other political groups, rights
organizations say. And the 2010 national elections - the first to be held for 20 years - are not expected by
observers such as the International Crisis Group to be free or fair. The polls are unlikely to help the process
of assimilation or integration of Burma's ethnic minorities, experts say.
"Burma's ethnic nationalities will find it difficult to achieve lasting peace and security without a
settlement that guarantees their social and political rights," said Ashley South, a historian of the Mon and an
ethnic specialist. "Socio-political transition in Burma is likely to be a drawn-out process, rather than a one-off
event."
The Myanmar military government completed the final step of the roadmap to “disciplined democracy” by
officially transferring power to the new civilian government led by retired military leader Thein Sein, the
country’s new president. However, top military leader General Than Shwe has tried to maintain the status
quo by controlling President Thein Sein from behind, through acts such as appointing serving ministers and
retired senior military commanders to the national- and regional/state-level cabinets. Nevertheless, unless
the new government begins at least a gradual program of political and economic liberalization, the situation
in the country and its relationships with the international community is unlikely to improve.
As a first step, the government should come up with a plan to gradually release all political prisoners
over the course of a year, while allowing opposition members both inside and outside of the parliament to
speak freely. Along with the international community, all opposition parties in Myanmar, including the NLD
and those with parliamentary representation, have prioritized the release of political prisoners as an
important confidence-building measure that could pave the way for national reconciliation between the
government and the opposition. In response, the opposition parties should be prepared to ask the
international community to reduce sanctions and increase humanitarian assistance incrementally. Sweeping
sanctions such as the U.S. import ban should be rescinded first, while targeted sanctions should be
Myanmar|Socio-Political 13
maintained until the negotiation process between the government and the opposition has taken irreversibly
positive steps.
To reduce ethnic tensions, the new government should immediately reengage with ethnic groups
who have signed ceasefire agreements, and should prepare to announce a nationwide ceasefire in three
months in preparation for gradually providing enhanced ethnic rights and some degree of autonomy. The
government should allow members of ethnic parties to serve in their local administrations, and should
prepare a plan to gradually integrate members of ethnic armed groups into society. The government should
also consider the armed ethnic groups’ concerns in its plan for integrating these groups into the national
military. For example, the civil departments of the various ethnic armies should be integrated first.
With regard to economic policies, the government should develop an anti-poverty campaign, liberalize trade
in reality, and move gradually toward a single foreign-exchange rate. Most revenues from gas exports should
be used for the anti-poverty campaign, prioritizing the agricultural sector, local industries and businesses,
health care, and education. The government’s agricultural bank should extend much more credit to farmers,
and farmers should be allowed to use their farms as collateral for further loans from private banks. Rice
prices and the rice trade should not be controlled by the government. The budget allocations for education
and health should be significantly increased, so that they are comparable to those of many other ASEAN
countries.
To improve local industries and businesses, the government should provide a regular supply of
electricity, improve the quality of physical infrastructure and telecommunications services, and reduce the
bureaucratic barriers associated with registering a new company. In the course of liberalizing trade, import
and export taxes should be significantly reduced, as should permit requirements
Myanmar|Socio-Political 14
Myanmar Key Indicators|Source: www.tradingeconomics.com as on Oct 2014
Markets Last Previous Average Unit Reference Frequency
Currency 1029.00 1005.00 939.44 2014-11-14 Daily
GDP 53.14 51.44 21.43 USD Billion 2012-12-31 Yearly
GDP Annual Growth Rate 6.50 6.70 8.99 Percent 2013-12-31 Yearly
GDP per capita 824.19 741.67 331.76 USD 2011-12-31 Yearly
GDP per capita PPP 1324.61 1254.53 828.24 USD 2011-12-31 Yearly
Labour Last Previous Average Unit Reference Frequency
Unemployment Rate 4.02 4.00 4.04 Percent 2013-12-31 Yearly
Population 53.26 52.80 38.58 Million 2013-12-31 Yearly
Inflation Rate 5.22 5.96 5.12 Percent 2014-07-15 Monthly
Interest Rate 10.00 10.00 10.12 Percent 2014-10-31 Daily
Trade Last Previous Average Unit Reference Frequency
Balance of Trade -406.50 -406.80 -72.71 USD Million 2014-07-15 Monthly
Exports 959.30 891.60 819.09 USD Million 2014-07-15 Monthly
Imports 1365.80 1298.40 887.08 USD Million 2014-07-15 Monthly
Current Account -1128.00 923.90 231.29 USD Million 2012-12-31 Yearly
Current Account to GDP -4.80 -4.40 -2.04 Percent 2013-12-31 Yearly
Foreign Direct Investment 247.39 176.34 276.17 USD Million 2014-07-15 Monthly
Tourist Arrivals 195446.00 175636.00 187788.40 2014-07-15 Monthly
Crude Oil Production 20.00 20.00 15.95 BBL/D/1K 2014-07-15 Monthly
Government Budget -4.90 -3.85 -3.82 Percent of GDP 2013-12-31 Yearly
Government Debt to GDP 42.66 47.27 77.81 Percent 2013-12-31 Yearly
Credit Rating 15.00 Monthly
Taxes Last Previous Average Unit Reference Frequency
Personal Income Tax Rate 20.00 20.00 20.00 percent 2014-01-01 Yearly
Sales Tax Rate 30.00 30.00 Percent 2014-01-01 Yearly
Myanmar|Socio-Political 15
Fact Sheet
Currency Kyat (MMK)
GDP $112.972 billion (PPP) (2013 est.)
GDP growth 6.5% (2013 est.)
GDP per capita $1,739.843 (PPP) (2013 est.)
GDP by sector Agriculture: 43%, industry: 20.5%, services: 36.6% (2011 est.)
Inflation (CPI) 8.9% (2011 est.)
Population below
poverty
26% (2012)
Labor force by
occupation
Agriculture: 70%, Industry: 7%, Services: 23% (2001)
Unemployment 37% (2012)
Main industries
Agricultural processing, wood and wood products, copper, tin, tungsten, iron, cement,
construction materials, pharmaceuticals, fertilizer, petroleum and natural gas,
garments, jade and gems
Exports
$9.543 billion (2011 est.)
note: official export figures are grossly underestimated due to the value of timber,
gems, narcotics, rice, and other products smuggled to Thailand, China, and Bangladesh
(2011)
Export goods natural gas, wood products, pulses, beans, fish, rice, clothing, jade and gems
Main export
partners
Thailand 40.5%,India 14.7%,China 14.2%,Japan 7.4% (2012 est.)
Imports $5.498 billion (2011 est.)
Import goods
fabric, petroleum products, plastics, fertilizer, machinery, transport equipment, cement,
construction materials, crude oil; food products, edible
Main import
partners
China 37.0%,Thailand 20.2%,Singapore 8.7%,South
Korea 8.7%,Japan 8.2%,Malaysia 4.6% (2012 est.)
Public debt $11 billion (2012)
Revenues $2.016 billion
Expenses $4.272 billion (2011 est.)
Economic aid Recipient: $127 million (2001 est.)
Foreign reserves $8 billion (as of January 2013)

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Myanmar Socio Political Report

  • 1. Team Members: Peeyush Sahu Abhishek Anand Himanshu Varshney Mukul Saigal Vijay Kumar Chitra Raghani Chandni Bhatia
  • 2. Myanmar|Socio-Political 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Myanmar is at a pivotal moment. The government has ushered in a series of political and economic reforms after decades of authoritarianism, a revived peace process is under way to address on-going ethnic conflicts and communal violence, and the foundations of an open market economy are being laid after years of isolation. Myanmar (Burma) remains under military rule, although the government held its first elections in 20 years on 7 November 2010. The election process fell far short of representing a genuine transition to democracy, however. The military regime rejected the international community’s call for more inclusiveness in the elections and instead restricted political participation by means of a set of manipulations. As in the 2008 constitutional referendum, the regime used large numbers of advanced votes, which were collected by force in front of the authorities, to tip the result in favor of the pro-military Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP). As a result, the USDP won almost 80% of the seats up for election. Together with the 25% of seats reserved for the military, the military dominates the parliament, which is likely to serve as a rubber stamp for executive decisions. The first parliamentary session was convened on 31 January 2011, and the former prime minister, retired General Thein Sein, was elected as president. Thein Seinnominated just four civilians for cabinet positions, with retired senior military officers nominated for the remainder. The main opposition party, the National League for Democracy (NLD) led by Aung San SuuKyi, boycotted the elections, citing the lack of genuine democracy and unfair electoral laws. The party registration law stated that any party which has members who have served prison terms cannot register. This provision specifically targeted the NLD, as many of its leaders, including Aung San Suu Kyi, have been sentenced to imprisonment (or house arrest, in the case of AungSan Suu Kyi). The opposition party split over the issue, with a breakaway faction, the National Democratic Force (NDF), deciding to participate in the elections. After the elections, the NLD was deregistered, since the party registration law also stated that any party which did not run in the elections would cease to exist. The regime has responded harshly to the calls of Aung San Suu Kyi, who was freed from house arrest one week after the elections, to convene a conference to discuss minority rights and for the continued need for Western sanctions. This has increased concerns about her personal safety. Meanwhile, around 2,000 political prisoners remain in jail. Tensions between armed ethnic groups in the border regions have continued to rise due to the regime’s pressure on ethnic groups that have agreed to a ceasefire to come under its control as border guard forces.
  • 3. Myanmar|Socio-Political 2 The regime has made little progress in the transformation to a genuine market economy. Although the regime launched a large-scale privatization project in 2009 – 2010, most of the enterprises involved were handed secretly to military conglomerates and cronies, who will continue to monopolize the economy under the new government. Thus, even after this privatization, much of the economy remains in the hands of the military’s conglomerates or the cronies of the senior generals. In this report, we assessed the socio-political & economic potential that Myanmar offers and explores how the nation can seize today’s window of opportunity to vault itself into a new era of growth and development. To undertake this study, we have had to make more than typical estimations given issues with reliability of data on Myanmar. These estimations should be a starting point for those looking to better understand Myanmar’s potential.
  • 4. Myanmar|Socio-Political 3 OVERVIEW Official name Pyihtaungsu Thamada Myanmar Naingngandaw (Republic of the Union of Myanmar) Form of government Constitutional republic1 with two legislative houses (House of Nationalities; House of Representatives) Head of state and government President: Thein Sein, assisted by Vice Presidents: Sai Mouk Kham and Nyan Tun Capital Nay Pyi Taw (Naypyidaw) Official language Myanmar (Burmese) Official religion none Monetary unit Myanmar kyat (K) MMK Population 51,419,420 (est. 2014)
  • 5. Myanmar|Socio-Political 4 Overview: Myanmar is rich in natural resources; although it is a poor country economically. It is suffering from rural poverty, with 26% of the population living below the poverty line. Poor government planning, inefficient economic policies, minimal foreign investment, a trade deficit and internal unrest contribute to Myanmar’s sluggish growth rate. Although it has emerged as a natural gas exporter, Myanmar has witnessed deterioration in its economic condition due to the fact that the nation is victim to the highest levels of corruption in the world (revealed by Transparency International in its 2007 Corruption Perceptions Index). The nation’s ample natural resources are largely exploited by its military leaders and their associates. The following serious macroeconomic imbalances are also to be blamed:  Fiscal deficits  Distorted interest rate regime  Rising inflation  Multiple official exchange rates (that lead to overvaluation of the Burmese kyat)  Unreliable statistics  Failure settles national accounts for the determination of a realistic GDP figure  Poor investment climate Myanmar is currently in a triple transition – from an authoritarian military system to democratic governance, from a centrally directed economy to a market-oriented economy, and from 60 years of conflict to peace in its border areas. These transitions have the potential to create opportunity and shared prosperity for the people of Myanmar and for the country to resume its place as one of the most dynamic economies in Asia. As the largest country in mainland Southeast Asia, Myanmar has one of the lowest population densities in the region, with fertile lands, significant untapped agricultural potential, and a rich endowment of natural resources. Its geographic location at the intersection of China and India, two of the world’s most dynamic economies, makes it well positioned to resume its traditional role as a regional trading hub and a key supplier of minerals, natural gas, and agricultural produce. Since 2011, the government has embarked on an ambitious economic, political and governance reform program. It has begun a series of reforms to remove economic distortions, such as floating the currency, new fiscal regulations to rationalize personal income tax and reduce consumption tax, liberalizing the
  • 6. Myanmar|Socio-Political 5 telecommunications sector, reforms aimed at developing the private sector and stimulating direct foreign investments, a review of the financial sector, promotion of access to finance, and creating an environment conducive to job creation. These reforms are paying off. Myanmar’s economy is estimated to have grown by 8.3% in FY2013/14, driven mainly by construction, manufacturing, and services. Recovery in agriculture is estimated to have contributed to the growth. The economy is projected to expand further by 8.5% in FY2014/15, led by gas production and investment. The outlook for Myanmar remains positive, although this remains dependent on sustained reforms in several policy areas. In FY2013/14, the country’s GDP was estimated at $56.8 billion. Based on the preliminary population figure of 51.4 million from the national census conducted in March/April 2014, the country’s per capita GDP is around $1,105, one of the lowest in East Asia and the Pacific. Analysis of the last nationwide Integrated Household Living Conditions Assessment (IHLCA) conducted in 2009/10 found that 26% of the population is living below the poverty line, though further detailed analysis by the World Bank – taking into account nonfood items in the consumption basket and spatial price differentials – brings poverty estimates as high as 37.5 percent. Once the top exporter of rice in the world, Myanmar’s rice exports now account for a negligible share of the world market. Myanmar’s exports of natural resources such as gas and gems are becoming increasingly significant. Most social indicators are very low. For example, 32% of children under five suffer from malnutrition. Limited access to and the poor state of infrastructure are major impediments to providing basic health and education services and for economic development. Almost half the roads are not passable during the monsoon season. Telecommunications and internet access are also very limited. About 73% of the population lacks access to electricity. The consumption of electricity– 20 times less than the global average— is one of the lowest in the world. Existing power infrastructure meets only about half of the current demand, resulting in frequent blackouts and the rationing of the electricity supply. Access to drinking water is also limited in many areas.
  • 7. Myanmar|Socio-Political 6 Demographic Status: Myanmar suffered extensive damage in World War II, and some sectors of its economy have not yet fully recovered. About 70% of the population works in agriculture and forestry, and rice accounts for about half of the agricultural output. Other important crops are pulses, sesame, peanuts, and sugarcane. Myanmar also produces illegal opium in the northeast (bordering China, Laos, and Thailand), part of the "Golden Triangle"; heroin produced in the country's laboratories contributes to the black-market trade. Myanmar's forests, which are government-owned, are the source of teak and other hardwoods. Fishing is also important. The country is rich in minerals. Petroleum is found east of the Ayeyarwady in the Dry Zone. Tin and tungsten are mined in E Myanmar; the Mawchi mines in Kayah State are also rich in tungsten. In Shan State, northwest of Lashio, are the Bawdwin mines, the source of lead, silver, and zinc. Coal, copper, natural gas, and iron deposits have also been found in Myanmar. Gems (notably rubies and sapphires) are found near Mogok. Since the 13th cent., Myanmar has exported jade from the Hunkawng valley in the north to China. Aside from food processing, other manufacturing industries include wood and wood products, construction materials, pharmaceuticals, fertilizer, natural gas, and textiles and clothing. Exports include gas, wood products, pulses, fish, rice, clothing, jade, and gemstones. The chief imports are fabric, petroleum products, fertilizer, plastics, machinery, transportation equipment, construction materials, crude oil, food products, and edible oil. The country's chief trade partners are Thailand, China, Singapore, and India. The majority of Myanmar’s population is rural, with the density of settlement in each region related to agricultural production, particularly of rice. Thus, the most populous regions are the Irrawaddy delta and the dry zone, and the highest densities are found in the upper delta, between Yangon and Hinthada (Henzada). Settlement in the Sittang delta, the sedimented hinterland of Sittwe, and the regions of both sides of the lower Chindwin River is moderately dense. The Rakhine region (except the Sittwe area), the west bank of the Irrawaddy at the base of the Rakhine Mountains, Tenasserim, and the less accessible parts of the western and northern mountains and the Shan Plateau are sparsely inhabited. The population of Myanmar remains fairly youthful, with roughly one-fourth of the people under age 15. However, the proportion of young people has been decreasing steadily since the late 20th century, as the birth rate has dropped from notably above to significantly below the world average. Life expectancy, on the contrary, has been on the rise, with most men and women living into their 60s.
  • 8. Myanmar|Socio-Political 7 Languages: Many indigenous languages—as distinct from mere dialects—are spoken in Myanmar. The official language is Burmese, spoken by the people of the plains and, as a second language, by most people of the hills. During the colonial period, English became the official language, but Burmese continued as the primary language in all other settings. Both English and Burmese were compulsory subjects in schools and colleges. Burmese, Chinese, and Hindi were the languages of commerce. After independence English ceased to be the official language, and after the military coup of 1962 it lost its importance in schools and colleges; an elementary knowledge of English, however, is still required, and its instruction is again being encouraged. The local languages of Myanmar belong to three language families. Burmese and most of the other languages belong to the Tibeto-Burman subfamily of Sino-Tibetan languages. The Shan language belongs to the Tai family. Languages spoken by the Mon of southern Myanmar and by the Wa and Palaung of the Shan Plateau are members of the Mon-Khmer subfamily of Austroasiatic languages. Speakers of Burmese and Mon historically have lived in the plains, while speakers of a unique dialect of Burmese (that perhaps retains some archaic features of pronunciation) have occupied the Rakhine and Tenasserim coastal plains. The hills were inhabited by those speaking Shan, Kachin, Chin, and numerous other languages. In the plains the ancient division between northern and southern Myanmar (Upper Burma and Lower Burma, respectively) was based not only on geographic differences but also on a linguistic one. The Mon (now a small minority) lived in southern Myanmar, while the majority Burman population lived in the northern dry zone. Until colonial times only Burmese, Mon, Shan, and the languages of the ancient Pyu kingdom of northern Myanmar were written. Writing systems for the languages of the Karen, Kachin, and Chin peoples were developed later. Religion: Although Myanmar has no official religion, some three-fourths of the population follows Theravada Buddhism. The vast majority of Burmans and Shan are Buddhist. There is, however, a significant Protestant Christian minority, concentrated primarily among the Karen, Kachin, and Chin communities. Many of the other hill peoples practice local religions, and even those who adhere to world religions typically incorporate local elements to some degree. Muslims, mostly Burman, and Hindus are among the smallest religious minorities.
  • 9. Myanmar|Socio-Political 8 Settlement patterns: Myanmar is a land of villages. Except for a few large cities—notably Yangon, Mandalay, and Mawlamyine (Moulmein)—the towns essentially are large villages. Although the hill peoples generally practice shifting agriculture (called taungya in Burmese), most have settled in upland villages at some distance from the fields. On the Shan Plateau and in the neighbouring river valleys, the fields adjoin the villages. Older villages are circular in shape, but along the banks of the delta streams and along railways the villages are rectangular. Houses are built of timber and bamboo, the roofs being thatched or tiled. In the past, houses typically were built on piles, the original purpose being protection from wild animals or floods. The style persists in many villages, especially those on the hills, and farm animals are kept under the houses at night. In small towns the piles have been replaced by a supporting brick structure with concrete flooring, with the upper story still being made of timber. Houses entirely of brick were few in number before the mid- 20th century, but later many sprang up in Yangon, Mandalay, and larger towns on the rubble of buildings destroyed during World War II. Life in villages is in some respects communal because of custom, the influence of Buddhism, and the redistributive and reciprocal nature of agrarian society. Administrative framework Myanmar’s first constitution came into force on Jan. 4, 1974, the 26th anniversary of the country’s independence, and was suspended following a military coup on Sept. 18, 1988. The country was subsequently ruled by a military junta, known first as the State Law and Order Restoration Council (SLORC) and, between 1997 and 2011, as the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC). Under the 1974 constitution, supreme power rested with the unicameral People’s Assembly (Pyithu Hluttaw), a 485-member popularly elected body that exercised legislative, executive, and judicial authority. The Council of State, which consisted of 29 members (one representative elected from each of the country’s 14 states and divisions, 14 members elected by the People’s Assembly as a whole, and the prime minister as an ex officio member), elected its own secretary and its own chairman, who was ex officio president of the country. The secretary and the president were also, respectively, the secretary-general and the chairman of the Burma Socialist Programme Party (BSPP), which, under military leadership, was the only official political party from 1964 to 1988. Civil servants, members of the armed forces, workers, and peasants belonged to the BSPP, and senior military officials and civil servants were included in the party’s hierarchy. After the military took control of the government in 1988, it established the SLORC as the new ruling body, and all state organs, including the People’s Assembly and the Council of State, was abolished and their
  • 10. Myanmar|Socio-Political 9 duties assumed by the SLORC. The law designating the BSPP as the only political party also was abolished, and new parties were encouraged to register for general elections to a new legislative assembly. More than 90 parties participated in the elections, which were held in May 1990; of these the most important were the dominant BSPP, which had changed its name to the National Unity Party (NUP), and the main opposition party, the National League for Democracy (NLD). The NLD won some four-fifths of the seats in the new assembly. However, after the NLD’s victory the SLORC announced that the elections were not actually for a legislative assembly but for a constituent assembly charged with drafting a new constitution; furthermore, the SLORC did not permit the assembly to meet. Instead, in 1993 the SLORC convened a National Convention of handpicked participants—rather than the elected assembly of 1990—to formulate a new constitution. This constituent assembly met intermittently in 1993–96 and then again from 2004 until early in 2008, when it finally passed a completed draft constitution. The constitution was put to a popular referendum in May and was approved, but the document did not to go into effect until Jan. 31, 2011, following elections for a new parliament that were held in November 2010.Under the 2008 constitution, legislative authority is vested in a bicameral Assembly of the Union (Pyidaungsu Hluttaw) consisting of a 224-seat House of Nationalities (Amyotha Hluttaw) and a 440-seat House of Representatives (Pyithu Hluttaw).Three-fourths of the members of each chamber are directly elected, and the remaining one-fourth are appointed by the military; all members serve five-year terms. Executive authority, per the constitution, rests with the president, who is elected to a five-year term by members of the House of Representatives and heads an 11-member National Defense and Security Council (cabinet). However, it is thought that the military retained some level of influence on the government behind the scenes after Jan. 31, 2011. Nature of Government: Myanmar is divided administratively into seven states largely on the basis of ethnicity—Chin, Kachin, Kayin (Karen), Kayah, Mon, Rakhine (Arakan), and Shan—and seven more truly administrative divisions of Myanmar proper—Ayeyarwady (Irrawaddy), Magway (Magwe), Mandalay, Bago (Pegu), Sagaing, Taninthary (Tenasserim), and Yangon. These states and divisions are subdivided further into townships, urban wards, and village tracts. Until 1988, at each level of local government there was a People’s Council that followed the pattern of the People’s Assembly. Every local government council also had an Executive Committee, and all but the
  • 11. Myanmar|Socio-Political 10 village or ward councils had a Committee of Inspectors. Local and national elections were held simultaneously. In 1988 the SLORC dissolved these bodies and assumed control of local administration, establishing in their place military-dominated Law and Order Restoration Councils. The military has the majority stakeholder position in all of the major industrial corporations of the country (from oil production and consumer goods to transportation and tourism). Burma rates as a corrupt nation on the Corruption Perceptions Index with a rank of 157th out of 177 countries worldwide and a rating of 2.1 out of 10 (10 being least corrupt and 0 being highly corrupt) as of 2012 Justice: The highest court under the 1974 constitution was the Council of People’s Justices, members of which were drawn from the People’s Assembly. Every local government council had a Judges’ Committee, which sat as the local court, exercising criminal and civil jurisdiction. These courts were abolished along with other government bodies following the coup of 1988, and a nonindependent Supreme Court was established as the central judicial authority, with justices appointed by the SLORC. Since that time, the judiciary has remained bound to the executive branch of government. The 2008 constitution has provisions for the creation of a Constitutional Tribunal of the Union to adjudicate constitutional cases. Security: Myanmar’s armed forces, which consist of an army, a navy, and an air force, have expanded rapidly— nearly quadrupling in size—since the mid-20th century. The army is by far the largest and best-equipped of the three branches, and for a number of years it has borne the chief responsibility for combating armed insurgency within the country. Volunteers for the armed forces are recruited from throughout the country, and military service is a prime means of improving socioeconomic status; the military maintains an extensive education, health, and procurement system for its members and their dependents. The police force, although armed and equipped and often used as a branch of the army in emergencies, remains essentially civilian in character and regional in organization. Health and welfare: With the majority of the population living in rural areas with unreliable infrastructure and transportation, rural health care has remained both a challenge and a priority for the Myanmar government. A lack of adequate sanitation, although improving, and an underutilized health care system have contributed to relatively high rates of gastrointestinal diseases, tuberculosis, and malaria. The rate of HIV infection rose
  • 12. Myanmar|Socio-Political 11 to epidemic proportions between the early 1990s and the beginning of the 21st century. However, the pace of infection has been slowing, owing largely to an aggressive government-sponsored public awareness campaign and the promotion of the use of condoms. The BSPP government gave special attention to workers and peasants and to the hill peoples and, in spite of a shortage of imported building materials, succeeded somewhat in stabilizing the housing problem that had afflicted the country. Education & Literacy: Myanmar has a long tradition of educational achievement, and about nine-tenths of the population is literate. Five years of primary education, beginning at age five, are compulsory; in some remote rural areas, however, formal schooling may not be available. Secondary education consists of a four-year cycle followed by a two-year cycle. Tertiary institutions include a number of public universities and colleges as well as public and private technical institutes and vocational schools. The University of Yangon (1920) and the University of Mandalay (1925; until 1958 a branch of the University of Yangon) are the oldest and best-known institutions of higher education. Educational programs have suffered under the military regimes. Since the coups of 1962 and 1988, universities have been closed for extended periods—sometimes years at a time—to prevent student disturbances. As a result, the higher education of most students has been interrupted and prolonged over many years, and there is an immense backlog of secondary-school graduates waiting to enroll at universities. The official education system has been supplemented by a large number of privately operated tutoring programs designed to make up for public-school deficiencies. The literacy rate of Burma, according the UNESCO Institute of Statistics (2005) stands at 89.7% (males: 93.7%, females: 86.2%), although there is dispute over the accuracy of the provided literacy rates. The annual budget allocated to education by the government is low; only about 1.2% is spent per year on education.
  • 13. Myanmar|Socio-Political 12 CONCLUSION Genuine political solution needed: Analysts say the plight of Myanmar's ethnic minorities will not be resolved until there is a genuine political solution, and their rights are recognized. The first thing that needs to be done is to allow ethnic people to be educated in their own languages. A new constitution pushed through in 2008 guarantees a substantial number of seats for the military government and its allies in national and local parliaments, while marginalizing other political groups, rights organizations say. And the 2010 national elections - the first to be held for 20 years - are not expected by observers such as the International Crisis Group to be free or fair. The polls are unlikely to help the process of assimilation or integration of Burma's ethnic minorities, experts say. "Burma's ethnic nationalities will find it difficult to achieve lasting peace and security without a settlement that guarantees their social and political rights," said Ashley South, a historian of the Mon and an ethnic specialist. "Socio-political transition in Burma is likely to be a drawn-out process, rather than a one-off event." The Myanmar military government completed the final step of the roadmap to “disciplined democracy” by officially transferring power to the new civilian government led by retired military leader Thein Sein, the country’s new president. However, top military leader General Than Shwe has tried to maintain the status quo by controlling President Thein Sein from behind, through acts such as appointing serving ministers and retired senior military commanders to the national- and regional/state-level cabinets. Nevertheless, unless the new government begins at least a gradual program of political and economic liberalization, the situation in the country and its relationships with the international community is unlikely to improve. As a first step, the government should come up with a plan to gradually release all political prisoners over the course of a year, while allowing opposition members both inside and outside of the parliament to speak freely. Along with the international community, all opposition parties in Myanmar, including the NLD and those with parliamentary representation, have prioritized the release of political prisoners as an important confidence-building measure that could pave the way for national reconciliation between the government and the opposition. In response, the opposition parties should be prepared to ask the international community to reduce sanctions and increase humanitarian assistance incrementally. Sweeping sanctions such as the U.S. import ban should be rescinded first, while targeted sanctions should be
  • 14. Myanmar|Socio-Political 13 maintained until the negotiation process between the government and the opposition has taken irreversibly positive steps. To reduce ethnic tensions, the new government should immediately reengage with ethnic groups who have signed ceasefire agreements, and should prepare to announce a nationwide ceasefire in three months in preparation for gradually providing enhanced ethnic rights and some degree of autonomy. The government should allow members of ethnic parties to serve in their local administrations, and should prepare a plan to gradually integrate members of ethnic armed groups into society. The government should also consider the armed ethnic groups’ concerns in its plan for integrating these groups into the national military. For example, the civil departments of the various ethnic armies should be integrated first. With regard to economic policies, the government should develop an anti-poverty campaign, liberalize trade in reality, and move gradually toward a single foreign-exchange rate. Most revenues from gas exports should be used for the anti-poverty campaign, prioritizing the agricultural sector, local industries and businesses, health care, and education. The government’s agricultural bank should extend much more credit to farmers, and farmers should be allowed to use their farms as collateral for further loans from private banks. Rice prices and the rice trade should not be controlled by the government. The budget allocations for education and health should be significantly increased, so that they are comparable to those of many other ASEAN countries. To improve local industries and businesses, the government should provide a regular supply of electricity, improve the quality of physical infrastructure and telecommunications services, and reduce the bureaucratic barriers associated with registering a new company. In the course of liberalizing trade, import and export taxes should be significantly reduced, as should permit requirements
  • 15. Myanmar|Socio-Political 14 Myanmar Key Indicators|Source: www.tradingeconomics.com as on Oct 2014 Markets Last Previous Average Unit Reference Frequency Currency 1029.00 1005.00 939.44 2014-11-14 Daily GDP 53.14 51.44 21.43 USD Billion 2012-12-31 Yearly GDP Annual Growth Rate 6.50 6.70 8.99 Percent 2013-12-31 Yearly GDP per capita 824.19 741.67 331.76 USD 2011-12-31 Yearly GDP per capita PPP 1324.61 1254.53 828.24 USD 2011-12-31 Yearly Labour Last Previous Average Unit Reference Frequency Unemployment Rate 4.02 4.00 4.04 Percent 2013-12-31 Yearly Population 53.26 52.80 38.58 Million 2013-12-31 Yearly Inflation Rate 5.22 5.96 5.12 Percent 2014-07-15 Monthly Interest Rate 10.00 10.00 10.12 Percent 2014-10-31 Daily Trade Last Previous Average Unit Reference Frequency Balance of Trade -406.50 -406.80 -72.71 USD Million 2014-07-15 Monthly Exports 959.30 891.60 819.09 USD Million 2014-07-15 Monthly Imports 1365.80 1298.40 887.08 USD Million 2014-07-15 Monthly Current Account -1128.00 923.90 231.29 USD Million 2012-12-31 Yearly Current Account to GDP -4.80 -4.40 -2.04 Percent 2013-12-31 Yearly Foreign Direct Investment 247.39 176.34 276.17 USD Million 2014-07-15 Monthly Tourist Arrivals 195446.00 175636.00 187788.40 2014-07-15 Monthly Crude Oil Production 20.00 20.00 15.95 BBL/D/1K 2014-07-15 Monthly Government Budget -4.90 -3.85 -3.82 Percent of GDP 2013-12-31 Yearly Government Debt to GDP 42.66 47.27 77.81 Percent 2013-12-31 Yearly Credit Rating 15.00 Monthly Taxes Last Previous Average Unit Reference Frequency Personal Income Tax Rate 20.00 20.00 20.00 percent 2014-01-01 Yearly Sales Tax Rate 30.00 30.00 Percent 2014-01-01 Yearly
  • 16. Myanmar|Socio-Political 15 Fact Sheet Currency Kyat (MMK) GDP $112.972 billion (PPP) (2013 est.) GDP growth 6.5% (2013 est.) GDP per capita $1,739.843 (PPP) (2013 est.) GDP by sector Agriculture: 43%, industry: 20.5%, services: 36.6% (2011 est.) Inflation (CPI) 8.9% (2011 est.) Population below poverty 26% (2012) Labor force by occupation Agriculture: 70%, Industry: 7%, Services: 23% (2001) Unemployment 37% (2012) Main industries Agricultural processing, wood and wood products, copper, tin, tungsten, iron, cement, construction materials, pharmaceuticals, fertilizer, petroleum and natural gas, garments, jade and gems Exports $9.543 billion (2011 est.) note: official export figures are grossly underestimated due to the value of timber, gems, narcotics, rice, and other products smuggled to Thailand, China, and Bangladesh (2011) Export goods natural gas, wood products, pulses, beans, fish, rice, clothing, jade and gems Main export partners Thailand 40.5%,India 14.7%,China 14.2%,Japan 7.4% (2012 est.) Imports $5.498 billion (2011 est.) Import goods fabric, petroleum products, plastics, fertilizer, machinery, transport equipment, cement, construction materials, crude oil; food products, edible Main import partners China 37.0%,Thailand 20.2%,Singapore 8.7%,South Korea 8.7%,Japan 8.2%,Malaysia 4.6% (2012 est.) Public debt $11 billion (2012) Revenues $2.016 billion Expenses $4.272 billion (2011 est.) Economic aid Recipient: $127 million (2001 est.) Foreign reserves $8 billion (as of January 2013)