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The Innovator’s Prescription: How Disruptive Innovation Can Transform Health Care Clayton Christensen Harvard Business School [email_address] 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen
Disruptive Innovations create asymmetric competition  06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Performance Time Sustaining innovations Incumbents nearly always win  60% on $500,000 45% on $250,000 Entrants nearly always win Non-consumers or Non-consuming occasions Different measure Of Performance Time Disruptive Innovations:  Competing against non-consumption 40%  on $2,000 20% Pace of Technological Progress
Disruption in business models has been the dominant historical mechanism for making things more affordable and accessible, and for generating corporate and economic growth  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is a business model, and how is it built? 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen THE VALUE PROPOSITION: A product that helps customers do more effectively, conveniently & affordably a job they’ve been trying to do PROCESSES : Ways of working together to address recurrent tasks in a consistent way: training, development, manufacturing, budgeting, planning, etc. PROFIT FORMULA : Assets & fixed cost structure, and the margins & velocity required to cover them RESOURCES: People, technology, products, facilities, equipment, brands, and cash that are required to deliver this value proposition to the targeted customers
© 2007 Innosight LLC    Pocket radios Portable  TVs Hearing Aids Tabletop Radios, Floor-standing TVs Expensive failure always results when  Disruption is framed in technological  rather than business model terms. Non-consumers or Non-consuming occasions Different measure Of Performance Time Performance Time Path taken by vacuum tube manufacturers
06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Centralization followed by decentralization: Computing
06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Centralization followed by decentralization is common Long-distance telecommunication Higher education Music recording & distribution Movies / video Retailing Steelmaking
06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen The pursuit of profit and differentiation in head-on competition amongst similar business models generally adds cost.  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen The pursuit of profit and differentiation in head-on competition amongst similar business models adds functionality and (generally) cost. Disruptive decentralization is the mechanism that reduces cost.
06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen The decentralization that follows centralization is only beginning in healthcare Surgical  suites High-speed multi-channel testers Imaging: MRI,  CT, PET Scanners
3. New Value Network 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Three Enablers of Disruption Non-consumers or Non-consuming occasions Different measure Of Performance Time 1. Simplifying Technology 2. Business model Innovation Performance Time
Disruption is facilitated when historically valuable (and expensive) expertise becomes commoditized 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Experimentation & problem-solving Rules-Based Probabilistic Pattern  Recognition
Molecular diagnostics, imaging technology, and data analysis are the technological enablers of disruption in health care. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Intuitive Medicine Precision Medicine Empirical Medicine Imaging & molecular diagnostics
The Traditional General Hospital Is Not a Viable Business Model 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Value Proposition: Don’t know what’s wrong? We can address any problem you bring Resources Processes Profit formula
06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Polishing Dept. Turning machines Hobbing department Tapping equipment Boring machines Stamping machines De-burring machines Annealing furnace Shipping Department Cut-off saws Office area Storage Path taken by product A A starts here Path taken by product B B starts here
06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Lebanon Maysville Fremont Tiffin Saginaw Sandusky Pontiac Essex Lima 160 100 20 40 80 320 10 1.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 3.0 Plant Scale (sales in $millions) Overhead Burden Rate Economies of scale and countervailing costs of product-line complexity 1 product family 2 product families 4 product families 8 product families 16 product families Economies of Scale: Burden rate drops 15% for each doubling Cost of Complexity: Burden rate increases 27% for each doubling of product families (2) (2) (5) (6) (10) (10) (20) (4) (4)
Fee for service Fee for outcome Fee for Membership, fee for use Hospitals are expensive conflations of  three types of business models ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Solution Shops ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Value-adding process businesses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Facilitated Networks
Disruption of the hospital business model 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Disjointed VAP Clinic Disjointed Solution Shop Today Coherent Solution Shop Hypo-thesis Treat-ment Coherent Value-Adding Process Clinics: Orthopedic, hernia, eye, etc. Stage 1 Primary care physicians disrupt solution shops Stage 2 Physicians’ assistants disrupt physicians
Breaking the trade-off ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen
Sources & magnitude of cost differences: Specialty vs. General Hospitals  06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 9.0 2.7 75 1 $7,000 $2,300 $6030 $1600 $670 $600 $300 $100 General Hospital Shouldice Hospital (hernia repair) Cost of materials & supplies Cost of direct labor Overhead burden Total cost for equivalent length of stay #  service families offered Overhead burden rate
Disruptive business model innovation in physicians’ practices 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Value Proposition: The solution to any problem starts here Resources Processes Profit formula Value Proposition: Fast, convenient resolution of rules-based acute disorders  Resources Processes Profit formula
The law of conservation of attractive profits © 2007 Innosight LLC    Commoditization thru standardization, over-shooting De-Commoditization: services & products that make use of the product more effective De-Commoditization: sub-systems that drive the performance of the modular product
Who can pull this off? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen
Who can pull this off where there are no IFFPs?? 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Employer integration into primary care High-D insurance & HSAs Regulation permitting financial incentives for  health
Business models for chronic care 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Diagnosis Adherence Complications Type II Diabetes Schizophrenia  Epilepsy  Parkinson’s disease Asthma Some cancers Ulcerative colitis Chronic Back pain Alzheimer’s Disease Intuitive : Requires coherent solution shop Rules-Based:  Individual doctor can diagnose and prescribe evidence-based therapy Type I diabetes Hypothyroidism  Cystic Fibrosis Hypertension  Congestive heart failure  Hyperlipidemia Osteoporosis Celiac disease
Business models for adherence in chronic care Type I Diabetes Addictions Type II Diabetes Asthma Congestive heart failure Obesity Hypertension Osteoporosis Cancer HIV Myopia Crohn’s disease Chronic back pain Ulcerative colitis Infertility Degree to which behavior change is required Minimal Extensive Motivation to  adhere to therapy Strong: quickly feel consequences Weak: Complications are deferred
Business models for ongoing care Type I Diabetes Addictions Type II Diabetes Asthma Congestive heart failure Obesity Hypertension Osteoporosis Cancer HIV Myopia Crohn’s disease Chronic back pain Ulcerative colitis Infertility Doctor’s office User Networks Employer- Managed Care Degree to which behavior change is required Minimal Extensive Motivation to  adhere to therapy Strong: quickly feel consequences Weak: Complications are deferred
06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Electronic Medical Records, not an Individual, Must Coordinate Care
The driver of profitability in your industry is what must be measured on the vertical axis 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen % of tons Steel Quality 1980 1975 1985 1990 Rebar Angle iron; bars & rods Structural Steel Sheet steel Quality of integrated mills’ steel ,[object Object],[object Object],7% 4% Quality of minimill-produced steel 12% 8% 18% 22% 25–30% 55%
06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Complexity of  diagnosis & treatment Time Disruption among healthcare institutions General Hospitals Lower Doctors’ Offices Cost  of  venue Outpatient Clinics Patients’ homes
06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Complexity of  diagnosis & treatment Time Disruption among healthcare providers Specialist Physicians Patients & families Cost of provider Nurse Practitioners & physicians’ assistants Lower General Physicians
06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Centralization followed by decentralization: Long distance communication

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Clayton Christensen Innovative Prescription

  • 1. The Innovator’s Prescription: How Disruptive Innovation Can Transform Health Care Clayton Christensen Harvard Business School [email_address] 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen
  • 2. Disruptive Innovations create asymmetric competition 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Performance Time Sustaining innovations Incumbents nearly always win 60% on $500,000 45% on $250,000 Entrants nearly always win Non-consumers or Non-consuming occasions Different measure Of Performance Time Disruptive Innovations: Competing against non-consumption 40% on $2,000 20% Pace of Technological Progress
  • 3.
  • 4. What is a business model, and how is it built? 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen THE VALUE PROPOSITION: A product that helps customers do more effectively, conveniently & affordably a job they’ve been trying to do PROCESSES : Ways of working together to address recurrent tasks in a consistent way: training, development, manufacturing, budgeting, planning, etc. PROFIT FORMULA : Assets & fixed cost structure, and the margins & velocity required to cover them RESOURCES: People, technology, products, facilities, equipment, brands, and cash that are required to deliver this value proposition to the targeted customers
  • 5. © 2007 Innosight LLC Pocket radios Portable TVs Hearing Aids Tabletop Radios, Floor-standing TVs Expensive failure always results when Disruption is framed in technological rather than business model terms. Non-consumers or Non-consuming occasions Different measure Of Performance Time Performance Time Path taken by vacuum tube manufacturers
  • 6. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Centralization followed by decentralization: Computing
  • 7. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Centralization followed by decentralization is common Long-distance telecommunication Higher education Music recording & distribution Movies / video Retailing Steelmaking
  • 8.
  • 9. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen The pursuit of profit and differentiation in head-on competition amongst similar business models adds functionality and (generally) cost. Disruptive decentralization is the mechanism that reduces cost.
  • 10. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen The decentralization that follows centralization is only beginning in healthcare Surgical suites High-speed multi-channel testers Imaging: MRI, CT, PET Scanners
  • 11. 3. New Value Network 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Three Enablers of Disruption Non-consumers or Non-consuming occasions Different measure Of Performance Time 1. Simplifying Technology 2. Business model Innovation Performance Time
  • 12. Disruption is facilitated when historically valuable (and expensive) expertise becomes commoditized 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Experimentation & problem-solving Rules-Based Probabilistic Pattern Recognition
  • 13. Molecular diagnostics, imaging technology, and data analysis are the technological enablers of disruption in health care. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Intuitive Medicine Precision Medicine Empirical Medicine Imaging & molecular diagnostics
  • 14. The Traditional General Hospital Is Not a Viable Business Model 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Value Proposition: Don’t know what’s wrong? We can address any problem you bring Resources Processes Profit formula
  • 15. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Polishing Dept. Turning machines Hobbing department Tapping equipment Boring machines Stamping machines De-burring machines Annealing furnace Shipping Department Cut-off saws Office area Storage Path taken by product A A starts here Path taken by product B B starts here
  • 16. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Lebanon Maysville Fremont Tiffin Saginaw Sandusky Pontiac Essex Lima 160 100 20 40 80 320 10 1.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 3.0 Plant Scale (sales in $millions) Overhead Burden Rate Economies of scale and countervailing costs of product-line complexity 1 product family 2 product families 4 product families 8 product families 16 product families Economies of Scale: Burden rate drops 15% for each doubling Cost of Complexity: Burden rate increases 27% for each doubling of product families (2) (2) (5) (6) (10) (10) (20) (4) (4)
  • 17.
  • 18. Disruption of the hospital business model 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Disjointed VAP Clinic Disjointed Solution Shop Today Coherent Solution Shop Hypo-thesis Treat-ment Coherent Value-Adding Process Clinics: Orthopedic, hernia, eye, etc. Stage 1 Primary care physicians disrupt solution shops Stage 2 Physicians’ assistants disrupt physicians
  • 19.
  • 20. Sources & magnitude of cost differences: Specialty vs. General Hospitals 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 9.0 2.7 75 1 $7,000 $2,300 $6030 $1600 $670 $600 $300 $100 General Hospital Shouldice Hospital (hernia repair) Cost of materials & supplies Cost of direct labor Overhead burden Total cost for equivalent length of stay # service families offered Overhead burden rate
  • 21. Disruptive business model innovation in physicians’ practices 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Value Proposition: The solution to any problem starts here Resources Processes Profit formula Value Proposition: Fast, convenient resolution of rules-based acute disorders Resources Processes Profit formula
  • 22. The law of conservation of attractive profits © 2007 Innosight LLC Commoditization thru standardization, over-shooting De-Commoditization: services & products that make use of the product more effective De-Commoditization: sub-systems that drive the performance of the modular product
  • 23.
  • 24. Who can pull this off where there are no IFFPs?? 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Employer integration into primary care High-D insurance & HSAs Regulation permitting financial incentives for health
  • 25. Business models for chronic care 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Diagnosis Adherence Complications Type II Diabetes Schizophrenia Epilepsy Parkinson’s disease Asthma Some cancers Ulcerative colitis Chronic Back pain Alzheimer’s Disease Intuitive : Requires coherent solution shop Rules-Based: Individual doctor can diagnose and prescribe evidence-based therapy Type I diabetes Hypothyroidism Cystic Fibrosis Hypertension Congestive heart failure Hyperlipidemia Osteoporosis Celiac disease
  • 26. Business models for adherence in chronic care Type I Diabetes Addictions Type II Diabetes Asthma Congestive heart failure Obesity Hypertension Osteoporosis Cancer HIV Myopia Crohn’s disease Chronic back pain Ulcerative colitis Infertility Degree to which behavior change is required Minimal Extensive Motivation to adhere to therapy Strong: quickly feel consequences Weak: Complications are deferred
  • 27. Business models for ongoing care Type I Diabetes Addictions Type II Diabetes Asthma Congestive heart failure Obesity Hypertension Osteoporosis Cancer HIV Myopia Crohn’s disease Chronic back pain Ulcerative colitis Infertility Doctor’s office User Networks Employer- Managed Care Degree to which behavior change is required Minimal Extensive Motivation to adhere to therapy Strong: quickly feel consequences Weak: Complications are deferred
  • 28. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Electronic Medical Records, not an Individual, Must Coordinate Care
  • 29.
  • 30. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Complexity of diagnosis & treatment Time Disruption among healthcare institutions General Hospitals Lower Doctors’ Offices Cost of venue Outpatient Clinics Patients’ homes
  • 31. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Complexity of diagnosis & treatment Time Disruption among healthcare providers Specialist Physicians Patients & families Cost of provider Nurse Practitioners & physicians’ assistants Lower General Physicians
  • 32. 06/09/09 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen Centralization followed by decentralization: Long distance communication