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Taking the Long View: ICT Trends & Developments
 

Taking the Long View: ICT Trends & Developments

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Presentation to the foreign and exchange students at the Tallinn Technical University about the technological development in the world and technology trends as seen in 2011

Presentation to the foreign and exchange students at the Tallinn Technical University about the technological development in the world and technology trends as seen in 2011

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  • More than 300 IT professionals working at the campus of Tallinn University of Technology. Half of them are foreigners. Top business R&D performer in Estonia (10% of total BERD). Social mission: actively contributing to the popularisation of science subjects at schools, developing new curriculas and R&D networks with universities (STAK). After selling Skype to eBay its 4 Estonian co-founders created VC company Ambient Sound Investment (ASI) investing into crazy technology based ideas (acting more like business angels). World no 1 in long distance calls (before AT&T)
  • Free access to the Internet is like constitutional right for Estonians.
  • Lot of functions: sign your contracts or vote in elections or make on-line payments or buy bus ticket.
  • Online casino developer. Israeli VC started, Las Vegas background. Development in Tartu and Tallinn and India. Management in Israeli. Management desisions not made in Estonia. 300 IT specialists in Est, mainly Java programming and design. 70% annual growth, incl Asia. Licence contracts with online casinos is the business model.
  • Kaasakiskuvad visioonid ei sünni juhuse läbi ega ka riigiametnike poolt kuulutatuna.
  • Kasutuselevõtt + oma lahendustesse integreerimine
  • New technologies tend to follow different trajectories of hype, hope, and despair as they are discovered by different groups of people and finally adopted (or ignored) by consumers. Gartner actually goes ahead and charts this hype cycle for different technologies. Its latest hype cycle for 2008, shown above, is making the rounds. (It was released in July, but is just now reaching the upward trajectory in its own cycle). According to Gartner’s view of the world, the visibility of new technologies peaks early as initial excitement gains steam. This phase is followed by a “trough of disillusionment” in which inflated expectations hit reality. But as technologies prove themselves, their visibility begins to grow again at a more measured pace. Of course, not all technologies go through these phases. Some just drop of the face of the Earth never to be heard from again; some wander around for years and don’t hit their hype cycle until later in life, and some build visibility at a steadier pace. But it is still a useful visual metaphor, especially for high-profile technologies that do exhibit these traits. So where are we in the hype cycle exactly? Some technologies still moving towards the “peak of inflated expectations” include cloud computing, microblogging, and 3-D printing. Public Virtual Worlds, RFID, Web 2.0, and Wikis are troughing. And emerging into the “slope of enlightenment” are Tablet PCs (oh, yeah) and location-aware applications (thank you, iPhone).
  • Kondratievi lained e tsüklid; oma töös kasutab ka TTÜs õpetav Venezueela professor Carlotta Perez
  • IKT sektor umbes 1/3 maailma erasektori T&A investeeringutest; bio-farmaatsiatööstus 1/5 ja autotööstus 1/5 Valdav enamus tehnoloogiaid, mis 10 aasta pärast mainstream , täna mingil kujul juba olemas.
  • Glitch Drops Google Stock Price $200 in Four Minutes, Wiping Out $62 Billion [Oops] from Gizmodo, The Gadget Blog by matt buchanan At probably like the worst time ever for your stock to plummet harder than a meteor on a collision course with Bruce Willis, a glitch knocked $200 off of Google's stock price—that's half—in the span of four minutes as the markets were closing today. $62 billion. Erased. In four minutes. The glitch has been fixed, bringing it back to the correct price of $407, but some trades actually did go through at the bargain basement price. While they'll be repealed, it shows you that it's so crazy out there even computers are going nuts right now. The   May 6, 2010 Flash Crash was a   United States   stock market crash   on May 6, 2010 in which the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged about 1000 points — or about nine percent — only to recover those losses within minutes.   Temporarily, $1 trillion in market value disappeared.
  • Glitch Drops Google Stock Price $200 in Four Minutes, Wiping Out $62 Billion [Oops] from Gizmodo, The Gadget Blog by matt buchanan At probably like the worst time ever for your stock to plummet harder than a meteor on a collision course with Bruce Willis, a glitch knocked $200 off of Google's stock price—that's half—in the span of four minutes as the markets were closing today. $62 billion. Erased. In four minutes. The glitch has been fixed, bringing it back to the correct price of $407, but some trades actually did go through at the bargain basement price. While they'll be repealed, it shows you that it's so crazy out there even computers are going nuts right now. The   May 6, 2010 Flash Crash was a   United States   stock market crash   on May 6, 2010 in which the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged about 1000 points — or about nine percent — only to recover those losses within minutes.   Temporarily, $1 trillion in market value disappeared.
  • Born global, asutatud 1998 Perpetual beta Google +85 eri teenust Google began as a research project in 1996, Google.com domain went online in 1997 30 million pages indexed in 1998, 1 billion pages indexed in 2000, 8 billion pages indexed in in 2004, 1 Trillion pages indexed in in 2008 It currently runs over 1 million computer servers in data centers around the world Google search handles over 1 billion searches per day, 7.2 billion daily page views, 87.8 billion monthly worldwide searches conducted on Google sites Google’s global search market share is 85% Revenue in 2000 was $19 million, loss of $14 million; In 2009 Google’s revenue was nearly $23 billion, profit was $6.5 billion 97% is the percentage of revenue from advertising Over 19,000 employees, 37% are research staff, 37% are sales staff 45% of Google’s products are currently in Beta The Google Driverless car named the ‘Stanley’ won the DARPA Grand challenge and the $2 million in prize money from the US Department of Defense in 2005

Taking the Long View: ICT Trends & Developments Taking the Long View: ICT Trends & Developments Presentation Transcript