Practical Techniques for Predicting the Future

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Jesse Schell

How to predict the future -- given at TFNW 2015

Technology

Practical Techniques for
Predicting the Future
Jesse Schell
@jesseschell
TFNW 2015

Pattern1
Foundational Technology
Makes the Biggest Changes

2011
Palmer
Luckey
(age 20)
1968
Ivan
Sutherland
1884
Nipkow
Disk
1927
Philo
Farnsworth
(age 20)
TV
VR
43 Years Later
43 Years Later

Foundational Technology
Makes the Biggest Changes
The Hype Curve
Disruption
Technology Mostly Diverges
History Keeps Repeating5
4
3
1
2
Send your predictions to me!
Jesse@SchellGames.com
Thanks!
Find slides at:
JesseSchell.com

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