Practical techniques for predicting the future (msft)

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Jesse Schell

Jesse Schell gives some practical tips for making predictions about the future.

Technology

Practical Techniques for
Predicting the Future
Jesse Schell
@jesseschell

Pattern1
Foundational Technology
Makes the Biggest Changes

Private
Venues
Hearth Workbench Reading
Nook

Public / Private
Venues
Gaming Table
Playground
Anywhere

Anywhere
Gaming Table
Playground
Hearth
Workbench
Reading Nook
Theater
Arena
Museum
Private
Venues
Public
Venues

2011
Palmer
Luckey
(age 20)
1968
Ivan
Sutherland
1884
Nipkow
Disk
1927
Philo
Farnsworth
(age 20)
TV
VR
43 Years Later
43 Years Later

Foundational Technology
Makes the Biggest Changes
The Hype Curve
Disruption
Technology Mostly Diverges
History Keeps Repeating
5
4
3
1
2
Send your predictions to me!
Jesse@SchellGames.com
Thanks!
Find slides at:
JesseSchell.com

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