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Make 
the difference! 
Global Trends in Open, Distance and e-Learning 
Curitiba, 08 October 2014 
Gard Titlestad, Secretary General 
International Council For Open and Distance Education
Education: 
Power to transform 
2 Skills transform lives and drive economies 
literacy skills (scoring at PIAAC Level 4/5 compared with those scoring at Level 1 or below) 
3,0 
2,5 
2,0 
1,5 
1,0 
Increased likelihood of positive outcomes for adults with higher 
Being Employed High wages Good to 
excellent health 
Participation in 
volunteer 
activities 
High levels of 
political efficacy 
High levels of 
trust 
Odds ratio 
Andreas Schleicher, OECD, Wellington, 28 March 2014
Education 
Average years of education 
Years of education West-Europe The world Africa south of Sahara 
This is our 
Challenge 
Source: Aftenposten/OECD. How Was Life? 
Shows long-term progress in key areas of well-being
Not possible without open and 
distance eduction.
http://stemarts.http://www.millennium-project.org/index.html com/lanl/explore-the-world
The BIG picture 
• The growth in higher education is massive
2030 2044 
400 
320 
2007 - 2030 
Mill. students 
EU/OECD projections 
the need for HE 
by 2030: 410 mill. 
This is our 
Challenge
Not possible without open and 
distance eduction.
The future 
hot spots 
- 
- 
Credit: A. Raftery / UW 
World population stabilization unlikely this century. 
Science, 18 September 2014
Not only volume 
• The changes in higher education is dramatic
Opening up the 
road to knowledge
Opening up?
Automation 
Robots Sensors 
2020 – 80% connected 
Internet of things Open Research 
Cost OER 
eScience 
Open 
knowledge 
Globalisation 
Societal needs 
Technology 
Flexibility 
Students needs 
and 
expectations 
Trends, within 
the framwork of globalisation 
and internationalisation 
HE needs – 1 U a week 
Enabling economic growth 
Demographics 
Access 
Open Access 
eInfrastructures 
Open Data 
Open Innovation 
US quadruppling 
Southern Europe…. 
Developing economies 
Employability 
ICT Habitus 
Lifelong 
Open 
knowledge
Disruptions?
In 50 years there will be only 10 
institutions in the world delivering 
higher education and Udacity has a 
shot at being one of them. 
http://www.wired.com/2012/03/ff_aiclass/3/ 
Illustration: Adam Simpson
President IBM
• ”LORD knows there’s a lot of bad news in the world today to 
get you down, but there is one big thing happening that 
leaves me incredibly hopeful about the future, and that is the 
budding revolution in global online higher education. Nothing 
has more potential to lift more people out of poverty — by 
providing them an affordable education to get a job or 
improve in the job they have. Nothing has more potential to 
unlock a billion more brains to solve the world’s biggest 
problems.” 
Thomas Friedman, 
columnist and author
8 Things You Should Know 
About MOOCs 
By Jonah Newman and Soo Oh, June 13, 2014 (Harvard and MIT data) 
http://chronicle.com/article/8-Things-You-Should-Know-About/146901/ 
• 1. The overwhelming majority of MOOC students are male 
• 2. MOOCs attract students who already have college 
degrees 
• 3. The median age of MOOC participants is 24 
• 4. One-third of MOOC participants are from North America 
• 5. Nearly half of registrants never engage with any of the 
content 
• 6. Europeans view the most course content 
• 7. Students with a doctorate viewed more course material 
• 8. Serial students are the most engaged
Think tank 20 October 2013, Open 
Universitty of China, Beijing, China 
Mind to MOOCs 
Overview, reflections and brainstorming in whitening water 
To be reported to the ICDE Standing Conference of Presidents meeting and 
Policy Forum
Excerpts from ICDE Mind to MOOCs report 
A few of the issues and recommendations 
Equity. 
• Consider this initiative as an opportunity to rethink our role as universities and take 
up MOOCs. . 
• Integrate open MOOCs in our respective institutions 
• National, regional and transnational cooperation is a great opportunity in developing 
MOOC and MOOC-alike concepts. 
Diversity. 
• Undertake contextualized strategies when implementing MOOCs 
• Be aware of cultural and language aspects → anglo-centric core, colonialism 
• OER and OCW as the basis for MOOC will ease contextual, cultural and language 
adaptation 
Innovation and Quality. 
• Improve and innovate on pedagogical aspects: methodologies, content formats, 
assessment. 
• Provide learning analytics as a tool for improving the courses. Connect the learning 
process and research for new knowledge and improvements. 
• Promote research about MOOCs. 
• Keep moving towards quality. Beyond quantity of MOOCs and users, the focus on 
quality is essential for sustainability.
The Open University Catalunia 
Innovate from within, 
put faculty in the lead 
2014 2011 
The Innovative University: What College 
Presidents Think About Change in American 
Higher Education, Chronicle
Trends
The BIG Picture 
• Open, Online and Distance Education is steadily 
increasing all over the world 
India Sweden 
Russia 
South America 
The US 
Africa 
Australia 
China
The BIG picture 
• Online, Distance (ODL) and on Campus Learning 
are converging => Blended 
ODL Blended 
Campus 
• And as a result – an even more diverse higher 
education landscape……
From Elite to Universal 
Participation 
Elite 
0-15% 
Mass 
16-50% 
Universal 
Over 50% 
Functions of higher 
education 
Shaping mind and character of 
ruling class; preparation for 
elite roles 
Transmission of skills; 
preparation for broader 
range of technical elite roles 
Adaptation of "whole 
population" to rapid social 
and technological change 
Curriculum and 
forms of 
instruction 
Highly structured in terms of 
academic conceptions of 
knowledge 
Modular, flexible and semi-structured 
sequence of 
courses 
Boundaries and sequences 
break down; distinctions 
between learning and life 
break down 
Institutional 
characteristics 
Homogeneous with high and 
common standards; small 
residential communities; clear 
and impermeable boundaries 
Comprehensive with more 
diverse standards; "cities of 
intellect" – mixed residential 
& commuting; boundaries 
fuzzy and permeable. 
Great diversity with no 
common model; aggregates 
of people enrolled 
but...many rarely on campus; 
boundaries weak or non-existent. 
Research and 
knowledge transfer 
Pursuit of understanding of 
fundamental principles 
focused on "pure disciplines" 
and arising from curiosity, 
with no (direct or immediate) 
commercial benefits. 
Pursuit of understanding of 
principles in order to solve 
practical problems of the 
modern world, rather than 
to acquire knowledge for 
knowledge’s sake. 
Research is democratised, 
co-produced with and 
responsive to wider society, 
with an emphasis on impact 
and benefit. 
(Hazelkorn, 2011 – Adapted from Brennan, 2004 and Trow, 1973, 1974, 2006; Gibbons et al, 1994)
Kavli Science Forum: "Higher Education in the 
21st Century - The Technological Revolution in 
Open Education: The Death of a Traditional 
System or the Next Wave of Democracy?" 
http://www.kavliprize.org/events-and-features/2014-kavli-prize-science-forum
The BIG picture 
• Three streams work in parallel: 
– Online becomes mature – and Internet/mobile: 
freedom from distance, mobile broadband: 
freedom from location 
– New methodologies, content and pedagogy – new 
opportunities for student supportive teaching 
– New knowledge about the brain and learning, new 
knowledge in neurosciences
BIG 
The Governments move…..
IOMS (IT Operations 
Management system) 
“Cloud-based” technology support model 
ISMS (Information security 
management system)	
 
Software & Education resource Services 
( Open, shared, quality and massive education resources 
…… 
and e-learning software ( 
Platform Services 
( Portal, CAS, Teaching, Managing, Support service, Research, etc.( 
Infrastructure Services 
( IDC, Computing and storage pools, high-speed network ( 
… 
… 
… 
… 
Mobile Internet 
Satellite Network 
VPN Internet 
Cloud 
Networks 
Terminals 
OUC Pad	
 Cloud Desktop	
 Cloud TV	
 Cloud Phone	
 Cloud Classroom	
 
Ref. Yang Zhijian, president Open University of China, ICDE world Conference, Tianjin, China 
October 2013
“Promote open educational resources, to help 
teachers and students everywhere.” 
http://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2014/09/24/celebrating-open-government-around-globe
The Small 
Governments move…..
• The Norwegian MOOC 
Commission was 
appointed by Royal 
Decree on 21 June 2013. 
• Final report, green paper, 
June 2014. 
• Now on broad 
consultation 
• A white paper on 
structures and financial 
regulations foreseen in 
2015. 
http://www.regjeringen.no/mobil/nb/dep/kd/dok/nouer/2014/NOU-2014-51.html?id=766892
The Regions move….. 
http://www.faberface.com/
The European Commission's 
Opening up Education 
initiative in a nutshell 
”The main goal of this initiative is to stimulate 
ways of learning and teaching through ICT and 
digital content, mainly through the development 
and availability of OER.” 
http://www.openeducationeuropa.eu/en/initiative
OER and Open and 
Distance Learning can 
increase the impact of 
investments in knowledge 
OER & 
ODL 
Open Access – open science 
Research based OER 
Research based teaching 
High quality education 
Research based education 
Resource based education 
Open education 
Innovation in education – open innovation 
Innovate the learning system – flip the classroom 
Knowledge supply for innovation
2012 Paris OER Declaration 
1. Foster awareness and use of OER 
2. Facilitate enabling environments for use of Information and 
Communications Technologies (ICT) 
3. Reinforce the development of strategies and policies on OER 
4. Promote the understanding and use of open licensing frameworks 
5. Support capacity building for the sustainable development of 
quality learning materials 
6. Foster strategic alliances for OER 
7. Encourage the development and adaptation of 
OER in a variety of languages/cultural contexts 
8. Encourage research on OER 
9. Facilitate finding, retrieving and sharing of OER 
10.Encourage the open licensing of educational 
materials produced with public funds
THE STATE OF HIGHER EDUCATION: 
Selected key findings and rec. 
• Findings 
• The public and individuals benefit 
from higher education, HE, in 
financial and non financial ways. 
– HE generates positive returns to the 
public in general, as well as to the 
people who obtain degrees. 
• HE without a degree does not boost 
earnings. 
– Although there are some benefits to 
HEparticipation, even if no degree is 
earned, drop-outs do not usually enjoy 
the same financial returns that degree 
holders can expect.
Better integration of education 
and vaulue chains needed 
http://www.africaneconomicoutlook.org/en/
The BIG picture 
• We are in the beginning (of the beginning) – 
example: mobile technology
We are in the beginning of the 
beginning 
State of Broadband Report 2013 www.broadbandcommission.org
Image: O3b Networks 
Google's Project Loon uses big networked 
air balloons to fill internet black holes 
Google to launch 180 satellites in 
$1bn plan to cover the unwired 
Several initiatives for covering 
the unwired underway
African Undersea 
Cables 
Picture updated 
May 2014 
We are in the 
beginning of the 
beginning 
http://manypossibilities.net/african-undersea-cables/
The mill that grinds on 
the bottom of the ocean 
Hege Røyert, NTB Scanpix 
Navngivelse-Ikke kommersiell-Del på samme vilkår Creative Commons lisens 
NDLA
The BIGchange?
The Future of Employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation? 
About 47 per cent of total US employment is at risk. 
http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/publications/view/1314 
Computerization Threatens One Third of Finnish 
Employment 
http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/rifbriefs/22.htm 
37% of Danish jobs classified with high 
probability for being phased out 
http://www.kraka.org/artikler/computere_og_udskiftning_af_jobfunktioner 
Vartannat jobb automatiseras inom 20 år 
http://www.stratresearch.se/Documents/Folder.pdf 
Technology and jobs; Coming to an office near you 
http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21594298-effect-todays-technology-tomorrows-jobs-will-be-immenseand-no-country-ready 
The future of jobs; The onrushing wave 
http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21594264-previous-technological-innovation-has-always-delivered-more-long-run-employment-not-less
Automation 
Robots Sensors 
2020 – 80% connected 
Internet of things Open Research 
Cost OER 
eScience 
Open 
knowledge 
Globalisation 
Societal needs 
Technology 
Flexibility 
Students needs 
and 
expectations 
Trends, within 
the framwork of globalisation 
and internationalisation 
HE needs – 1 U a week 
Enabling economic growth 
Demographics 
Access 
Open Access 
eInfrastructures 
Open Data 
Open Innovation 
US quadruppling 
Southern Europe…. 
Developing economies 
Employability 
ICT Habitus 
Lifelong
The way ahead
Innovate from within to enhance 
learning through technologies 
Leadership for change 
–put faculty in lead
From distance learning to open education: a 
changing landscape 
Alan Tait 
Professor of Distance Education and 
Development 
The Open University UK 
From distance learning to open education 58
Decide Holistic Policies for open, 
distance, online, flexible eLearning 
Set a new 
governmental agenda 
for education
MOOC in an international perspective: 
New global agenda for innovation 
in higher education 
• 1) Governments contribute to a comprehensive framework that promotes open 
online education in line with UNESCO 's values and helps to establish incentives 
for education in dialogue with key stakeholders in the field, primarily higher 
education institutions, where the specific goals must be set. A clear policy for 
OER based on the UNESCO declaration must be part of this framework. 
• 2) Leadership in transition to more open and distance higher education must be 
supported, facilitated and expertise built. 
• 3) Incentives and support for teachers retraining, upskilling and improvement 
of working conditions for more open and online education. 
• 4) Framework and methodologies to put the learner in the centre. 
• 5) Cooperation across institutional boundaries and possibly borders, on content 
and platforms for more open and distance education, including MOOC. 
• 6) Interoperability between different solutions. 
• 7) Common global outlook, statistics and understanding of fundamental 
concepts. 
• 8) Specific goals and plans for research and innovation firmly rooted in the 
stakeholder institutions and communities.
Regulate online 
education? 
Under the UK's Locomotive Act 1865, anyone driving a car in town had to be led by a 
man who walked in front of the car, carrying a red flag -- to prevent 'fatal accidents'
A horse pulling the car? 
Lectures on campus 
driving ecucation?
Round table discussion, State Duma of the 
Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation 
“On-line and e-learning, open educational resources, MOOCs, smart-education 
and other e-technologies and e-resources: Legislative and 
regulatory support for their development and application in national 
educational systems. Russian and foreign experience” 
Moscow, 24 September 2014 
Gard Titlestad, Secretary General 
International Council For Open and Distance Education
Two policy forum planned, 
Future directions for ODL: 
20 November 2014: Open Education 
Key issues in policy for governments 
and senior management in higher education 
Interventions, from 
UNESCO, ICDE and 
stakeholders from 
organisations, public and 
private sector 
High Level Policy Forum 17 October 2015: 
Open Education: Key issues and policy 
advices for governments and senior 
management in higher education
Partnership and collaboration 
To make a 
difference through 
open education!
an old African proverb 
"If you want to go quickly, go alone. If 
you want to go far, go together."
Obrigada 
Thank you 
titlestad@icde.org 
www.icde.org

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Make the difference

  • 1. Make the difference! Global Trends in Open, Distance and e-Learning Curitiba, 08 October 2014 Gard Titlestad, Secretary General International Council For Open and Distance Education
  • 2. Education: Power to transform 2 Skills transform lives and drive economies literacy skills (scoring at PIAAC Level 4/5 compared with those scoring at Level 1 or below) 3,0 2,5 2,0 1,5 1,0 Increased likelihood of positive outcomes for adults with higher Being Employed High wages Good to excellent health Participation in volunteer activities High levels of political efficacy High levels of trust Odds ratio Andreas Schleicher, OECD, Wellington, 28 March 2014
  • 3. Education Average years of education Years of education West-Europe The world Africa south of Sahara This is our Challenge Source: Aftenposten/OECD. How Was Life? Shows long-term progress in key areas of well-being
  • 4. Not possible without open and distance eduction.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 9. The BIG picture • The growth in higher education is massive
  • 10. 2030 2044 400 320 2007 - 2030 Mill. students EU/OECD projections the need for HE by 2030: 410 mill. This is our Challenge
  • 11. Not possible without open and distance eduction.
  • 12. The future hot spots - - Credit: A. Raftery / UW World population stabilization unlikely this century. Science, 18 September 2014
  • 13. Not only volume • The changes in higher education is dramatic
  • 14. Opening up the road to knowledge
  • 16. Automation Robots Sensors 2020 – 80% connected Internet of things Open Research Cost OER eScience Open knowledge Globalisation Societal needs Technology Flexibility Students needs and expectations Trends, within the framwork of globalisation and internationalisation HE needs – 1 U a week Enabling economic growth Demographics Access Open Access eInfrastructures Open Data Open Innovation US quadruppling Southern Europe…. Developing economies Employability ICT Habitus Lifelong Open knowledge
  • 18. In 50 years there will be only 10 institutions in the world delivering higher education and Udacity has a shot at being one of them. http://www.wired.com/2012/03/ff_aiclass/3/ Illustration: Adam Simpson
  • 20. • ”LORD knows there’s a lot of bad news in the world today to get you down, but there is one big thing happening that leaves me incredibly hopeful about the future, and that is the budding revolution in global online higher education. Nothing has more potential to lift more people out of poverty — by providing them an affordable education to get a job or improve in the job they have. Nothing has more potential to unlock a billion more brains to solve the world’s biggest problems.” Thomas Friedman, columnist and author
  • 21. 8 Things You Should Know About MOOCs By Jonah Newman and Soo Oh, June 13, 2014 (Harvard and MIT data) http://chronicle.com/article/8-Things-You-Should-Know-About/146901/ • 1. The overwhelming majority of MOOC students are male • 2. MOOCs attract students who already have college degrees • 3. The median age of MOOC participants is 24 • 4. One-third of MOOC participants are from North America • 5. Nearly half of registrants never engage with any of the content • 6. Europeans view the most course content • 7. Students with a doctorate viewed more course material • 8. Serial students are the most engaged
  • 22. Think tank 20 October 2013, Open Universitty of China, Beijing, China Mind to MOOCs Overview, reflections and brainstorming in whitening water To be reported to the ICDE Standing Conference of Presidents meeting and Policy Forum
  • 23. Excerpts from ICDE Mind to MOOCs report A few of the issues and recommendations Equity. • Consider this initiative as an opportunity to rethink our role as universities and take up MOOCs. . • Integrate open MOOCs in our respective institutions • National, regional and transnational cooperation is a great opportunity in developing MOOC and MOOC-alike concepts. Diversity. • Undertake contextualized strategies when implementing MOOCs • Be aware of cultural and language aspects → anglo-centric core, colonialism • OER and OCW as the basis for MOOC will ease contextual, cultural and language adaptation Innovation and Quality. • Improve and innovate on pedagogical aspects: methodologies, content formats, assessment. • Provide learning analytics as a tool for improving the courses. Connect the learning process and research for new knowledge and improvements. • Promote research about MOOCs. • Keep moving towards quality. Beyond quantity of MOOCs and users, the focus on quality is essential for sustainability.
  • 24. The Open University Catalunia Innovate from within, put faculty in the lead 2014 2011 The Innovative University: What College Presidents Think About Change in American Higher Education, Chronicle
  • 26. The BIG Picture • Open, Online and Distance Education is steadily increasing all over the world India Sweden Russia South America The US Africa Australia China
  • 27. The BIG picture • Online, Distance (ODL) and on Campus Learning are converging => Blended ODL Blended Campus • And as a result – an even more diverse higher education landscape……
  • 28. From Elite to Universal Participation Elite 0-15% Mass 16-50% Universal Over 50% Functions of higher education Shaping mind and character of ruling class; preparation for elite roles Transmission of skills; preparation for broader range of technical elite roles Adaptation of "whole population" to rapid social and technological change Curriculum and forms of instruction Highly structured in terms of academic conceptions of knowledge Modular, flexible and semi-structured sequence of courses Boundaries and sequences break down; distinctions between learning and life break down Institutional characteristics Homogeneous with high and common standards; small residential communities; clear and impermeable boundaries Comprehensive with more diverse standards; "cities of intellect" – mixed residential & commuting; boundaries fuzzy and permeable. Great diversity with no common model; aggregates of people enrolled but...many rarely on campus; boundaries weak or non-existent. Research and knowledge transfer Pursuit of understanding of fundamental principles focused on "pure disciplines" and arising from curiosity, with no (direct or immediate) commercial benefits. Pursuit of understanding of principles in order to solve practical problems of the modern world, rather than to acquire knowledge for knowledge’s sake. Research is democratised, co-produced with and responsive to wider society, with an emphasis on impact and benefit. (Hazelkorn, 2011 – Adapted from Brennan, 2004 and Trow, 1973, 1974, 2006; Gibbons et al, 1994)
  • 29. Kavli Science Forum: "Higher Education in the 21st Century - The Technological Revolution in Open Education: The Death of a Traditional System or the Next Wave of Democracy?" http://www.kavliprize.org/events-and-features/2014-kavli-prize-science-forum
  • 30. The BIG picture • Three streams work in parallel: – Online becomes mature – and Internet/mobile: freedom from distance, mobile broadband: freedom from location – New methodologies, content and pedagogy – new opportunities for student supportive teaching – New knowledge about the brain and learning, new knowledge in neurosciences
  • 31. BIG The Governments move…..
  • 32. IOMS (IT Operations Management system) “Cloud-based” technology support model ISMS (Information security management system) Software & Education resource Services ( Open, shared, quality and massive education resources …… and e-learning software ( Platform Services ( Portal, CAS, Teaching, Managing, Support service, Research, etc.( Infrastructure Services ( IDC, Computing and storage pools, high-speed network ( … … … … Mobile Internet Satellite Network VPN Internet Cloud Networks Terminals OUC Pad Cloud Desktop Cloud TV Cloud Phone Cloud Classroom Ref. Yang Zhijian, president Open University of China, ICDE world Conference, Tianjin, China October 2013
  • 33. “Promote open educational resources, to help teachers and students everywhere.” http://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2014/09/24/celebrating-open-government-around-globe
  • 35. • The Norwegian MOOC Commission was appointed by Royal Decree on 21 June 2013. • Final report, green paper, June 2014. • Now on broad consultation • A white paper on structures and financial regulations foreseen in 2015. http://www.regjeringen.no/mobil/nb/dep/kd/dok/nouer/2014/NOU-2014-51.html?id=766892
  • 36. The Regions move….. http://www.faberface.com/
  • 37. The European Commission's Opening up Education initiative in a nutshell ”The main goal of this initiative is to stimulate ways of learning and teaching through ICT and digital content, mainly through the development and availability of OER.” http://www.openeducationeuropa.eu/en/initiative
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. OER and Open and Distance Learning can increase the impact of investments in knowledge OER & ODL Open Access – open science Research based OER Research based teaching High quality education Research based education Resource based education Open education Innovation in education – open innovation Innovate the learning system – flip the classroom Knowledge supply for innovation
  • 41. 2012 Paris OER Declaration 1. Foster awareness and use of OER 2. Facilitate enabling environments for use of Information and Communications Technologies (ICT) 3. Reinforce the development of strategies and policies on OER 4. Promote the understanding and use of open licensing frameworks 5. Support capacity building for the sustainable development of quality learning materials 6. Foster strategic alliances for OER 7. Encourage the development and adaptation of OER in a variety of languages/cultural contexts 8. Encourage research on OER 9. Facilitate finding, retrieving and sharing of OER 10.Encourage the open licensing of educational materials produced with public funds
  • 42.
  • 43. THE STATE OF HIGHER EDUCATION: Selected key findings and rec. • Findings • The public and individuals benefit from higher education, HE, in financial and non financial ways. – HE generates positive returns to the public in general, as well as to the people who obtain degrees. • HE without a degree does not boost earnings. – Although there are some benefits to HEparticipation, even if no degree is earned, drop-outs do not usually enjoy the same financial returns that degree holders can expect.
  • 44. Better integration of education and vaulue chains needed http://www.africaneconomicoutlook.org/en/
  • 45.
  • 46. The BIG picture • We are in the beginning (of the beginning) – example: mobile technology
  • 47. We are in the beginning of the beginning State of Broadband Report 2013 www.broadbandcommission.org
  • 48. Image: O3b Networks Google's Project Loon uses big networked air balloons to fill internet black holes Google to launch 180 satellites in $1bn plan to cover the unwired Several initiatives for covering the unwired underway
  • 49. African Undersea Cables Picture updated May 2014 We are in the beginning of the beginning http://manypossibilities.net/african-undersea-cables/
  • 50.
  • 51. The mill that grinds on the bottom of the ocean Hege Røyert, NTB Scanpix Navngivelse-Ikke kommersiell-Del på samme vilkår Creative Commons lisens NDLA
  • 53. The Future of Employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation? About 47 per cent of total US employment is at risk. http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/publications/view/1314 Computerization Threatens One Third of Finnish Employment http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/rifbriefs/22.htm 37% of Danish jobs classified with high probability for being phased out http://www.kraka.org/artikler/computere_og_udskiftning_af_jobfunktioner Vartannat jobb automatiseras inom 20 år http://www.stratresearch.se/Documents/Folder.pdf Technology and jobs; Coming to an office near you http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21594298-effect-todays-technology-tomorrows-jobs-will-be-immenseand-no-country-ready The future of jobs; The onrushing wave http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21594264-previous-technological-innovation-has-always-delivered-more-long-run-employment-not-less
  • 54. Automation Robots Sensors 2020 – 80% connected Internet of things Open Research Cost OER eScience Open knowledge Globalisation Societal needs Technology Flexibility Students needs and expectations Trends, within the framwork of globalisation and internationalisation HE needs – 1 U a week Enabling economic growth Demographics Access Open Access eInfrastructures Open Data Open Innovation US quadruppling Southern Europe…. Developing economies Employability ICT Habitus Lifelong
  • 55.
  • 57. Innovate from within to enhance learning through technologies Leadership for change –put faculty in lead
  • 58. From distance learning to open education: a changing landscape Alan Tait Professor of Distance Education and Development The Open University UK From distance learning to open education 58
  • 59. Decide Holistic Policies for open, distance, online, flexible eLearning Set a new governmental agenda for education
  • 60. MOOC in an international perspective: New global agenda for innovation in higher education • 1) Governments contribute to a comprehensive framework that promotes open online education in line with UNESCO 's values and helps to establish incentives for education in dialogue with key stakeholders in the field, primarily higher education institutions, where the specific goals must be set. A clear policy for OER based on the UNESCO declaration must be part of this framework. • 2) Leadership in transition to more open and distance higher education must be supported, facilitated and expertise built. • 3) Incentives and support for teachers retraining, upskilling and improvement of working conditions for more open and online education. • 4) Framework and methodologies to put the learner in the centre. • 5) Cooperation across institutional boundaries and possibly borders, on content and platforms for more open and distance education, including MOOC. • 6) Interoperability between different solutions. • 7) Common global outlook, statistics and understanding of fundamental concepts. • 8) Specific goals and plans for research and innovation firmly rooted in the stakeholder institutions and communities.
  • 61. Regulate online education? Under the UK's Locomotive Act 1865, anyone driving a car in town had to be led by a man who walked in front of the car, carrying a red flag -- to prevent 'fatal accidents'
  • 62. A horse pulling the car? Lectures on campus driving ecucation?
  • 63. Round table discussion, State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation “On-line and e-learning, open educational resources, MOOCs, smart-education and other e-technologies and e-resources: Legislative and regulatory support for their development and application in national educational systems. Russian and foreign experience” Moscow, 24 September 2014 Gard Titlestad, Secretary General International Council For Open and Distance Education
  • 64.
  • 65. Two policy forum planned, Future directions for ODL: 20 November 2014: Open Education Key issues in policy for governments and senior management in higher education Interventions, from UNESCO, ICDE and stakeholders from organisations, public and private sector High Level Policy Forum 17 October 2015: Open Education: Key issues and policy advices for governments and senior management in higher education
  • 66. Partnership and collaboration To make a difference through open education!
  • 67.
  • 68. an old African proverb "If you want to go quickly, go alone. If you want to go far, go together."
  • 69. Obrigada Thank you titlestad@icde.org www.icde.org