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WATER SUPPLY for SE AUSTRALIA

          TASMANIAN WATER DIVERSION



            PIPELINE OPTIONS & COSTS




Author: Geoff Croker BE (Civil)
Date:   July 2012
MELBOURNE DEMAND, SUPPLY & FUTURE DEMAND

   Demand 1997 - 2012
          Without water restrictions:          460 GL/year
          With L3 water restrictions:          360 GL/year


   Projected Demand by Melbourne Water 2013-2018
          Without water restrictions:          370 GL/year
          Waterways & Drainage              2,000 GL/year*
          Recycling*                             50 GL/year
          No requirement for Desalination, N-S Pipe from Retailers


   Supply Inflow
          Thomson & Yarra rivers:           300 to 800 GL/year


Geoff Croker                      Water Supply for SE Australia       2
July 2012
WONTHAGGI DESALINATION PLANT                          2013 – 2018 Water Plan

  Fixed costs are 60% of Melbourne Water’s total annual operating
   expenditure or $610M/year for no water delivered;

  Operating the plant at 150GL is an additional $110M/year;

  Cost of Wonthaggi Desalinated Water (No CPI) $4,800/ML;

  Melbourne household water bills rose 36% in the April-June 2012
   quarter just to cover the capital cost of the Wonthaggi Desalination
   plant.




Geoff Croker                 Water Supply for SE Australia                 3
July 2012
Why use Tasmanian Water?

       Tasmania uses less than 1,000GL/year;

       Its measured run-off to the sea is greater than 45,000GL/year;

       Two rivers regulated by Hydro Tasmania, the Forth & Pieman have
        5,300GLs/year run-off to sea on average for the last 80 years;

       More regulated rivers are available eg Tamar outflow is 2,500GLs/year;

       1,500GL/year could be sold to Victoria & South Australia;

       Water can be traded with the Murray River users;

       No pumping is required by Melbourne Water for water diverted from the
        Yarra and Thomson catchments via a 30km tunnel to Big River.

Geoff Croker                      Water Supply for SE Australia              4
July 2012
DESALINATION PLANT to MELBOURNE WATER GRID




Geoff Croker        Water Supply for SE Australia   5
July 2012
Forth River, Tasmania to Wonthaggi Desalination Inlet

    Flow:         350-500GL per year from Tasmania’s run-off to Melbourne;

    Water trade: Upper Yarra & Thomson Reservoirs are connected to Eildon;

    Low risk:     no new dams required, known technology, Melbourne dams
                   held full at all times;

    Low cost:     long term water agreement; Tasmanian royalty;

    Timeline:     estimated completion of first pipe within 3 years;

    Expandable: capacity up to 1,500GL/yr and connection to Geelong;

    Build:        local manufacture & IP and 25+ year design life.



Geoff Croker                      Water Supply for SE Australia           6
July 2012
Forth River Catchment                                                                    Melbourne




                    Lake Gairdner                                                      Seven Diversions to
Lake Rowallan
                                                                                       Melbourne’s Water grid
                                         Pipe from Forth Weir
                                            to Fabric Pipe      Fabric Pipe to Wonthaggi
  Lake Parangana                                                                                         Cardinia
                                                                 Desalination Plant Inlet
                                                                                                         Reservoir
          Lake Cethana
             Lake Barrington                              Bass Strait
                          Lake Paloona                                                  Kilcunda Beach




                                               300km Water flow direction




                                    NW Tasmania River Diversion to Melbourne


     Geoff Croker                                  Water Supply for SE Australia                                     7
     July 2012
Melbourne Catchments                                                        Eildon Reservoir



                Existing
                30kmTunnel
                                            Big River



                                                            Valve
 Thomson                                                            Big River
 Reservoir
                    Upper Yarra     New 30km
                    Reservoir       Tunnel




                                                                                    Eildon
                                     Water flow direction




                             Upper Yarra to Eildon Connection
                                     300 - 800 GL/year

Geoff Croker                        Water Supply for SE Australia                            8
July 2012
DESIGN PROCESS

Bass Strait and the SE Australian continental shelf is well explored by
the oil & gas, electricity and telco industries.

Pipelines, power & communication cables already exist.

Climate & catchment information is known for over 100 years.


Existing information includes:
•    Geophysical & Geotechnical surveys
•    Environmental studies
•    Wave and current measurements & simulation models
•    Shipping & port requirements
•    Biological fouling assessment & measurement for marine pipes
•    Seismic studies



Geoff Croker                   Water Supply for SE Australia          9
July 2012
PIPE MATERIAL SELECTION

Tensile Yield Stress MPa;
Pressure determines pipe wall thickness;
This determines the cost of material and installation methodology.

                                                                 MPa
   High Density Polyethylene (HDPE)                               30
   High Tensile Nylon                                             45
   Structural Carbon Steel                                       250
   Stainless Steel                                               520
   High Strength Structural Steel                                690
   Glass Reinforced Plastic (GRP, 70% E-Glass)                   800
   Carbon Nanotube Composite                                   1,200
   Aramid eg Kevlar or Twaron                                  3,600
   Graphene                                                  130,000



                              Water Supply for SE Australia             10
TURKEY TO CYPRUS PIPELINE using High Density Polyethylene
by INTEC Engineering BV




Geoff Croker              Water Supply for SE Australia   11
July 2012
TURKEY TO CYPRUS PIPELINE
by INTEC Engineering BV




Geoff Croker              Water Supply for SE Australia   12
July 2012
Nylon Water Bags
Towed at 3 knots across the ocean surface.
Diameters from 11 to 34 metres, Used across the world for 25 years.




Geoff Croker                   Water Supply for SE Australia          13
July 2012
Bag to Fabric Pipeline – Shows water proof zipper joints




Geoff Croker              Water Supply for SE Australia    14
July 2012
Fabric Pipeline – Floating At surface




Geoff Croker               Water Supply for SE Australia   15
July 2012
Fabric Pipeline – Suspended from sea floor & Submerged




Geoff Croker            Water Supply for SE Australia    16
July 2012
Fabric Pipeline – Located on Flat Land




Geoff Croker              Water Supply for SE Australia   17
July 2012
High Tensile Nylon Fabric Pipe

    Delivery in 50 metre length modules.

    UV Coating included.

    6 metre Diameter Weighs 1.7kg per Square metre or 1,600 kgs module.

    Marine Life Material Warranty 25 years

    Module Joints:
           - Waterproof zipper that allows rapid interconnections in the field;

           - Stiff internal mandrel with external rod clamps for connecting a fabric
             section to a rigid portion or pumping infrastructure;

           - Field ultrasonic welding, specialized on-site equipment.




Geoff Croker                        Water Supply for SE Australia                 18
July 2012
HYDRO TASMANIA - Water & Electricity

 Hydro Tasmania 30 June 2011:

 •   914 Employees

 •   Mainland revenue               $ 245Million
 •   Net revenue                    $ 813M
 •   Cash from Operations           $ 161M (52M to Tas Govt)
 •   Total equity                   $ 2.0 B
 •   Net debt                       $ 964M

 •   Total installed capacity 2.4 TW
 •   Total electricity generated 9.3 TWh
 •   Goal to sell 15 TWh in FY2014, 5 TWh to mainland
 •   27 Hydro Power Stations
 •   Supply Fee $7.58 per ML from lowest Hydro Tasmania Dam



Geoff Croker                  Water Supply for SE Australia    19
July 2012
PIPELINE FROM FORTH RIVER TO WONTHAGGI INLET

 300 km Undersea pipeline to supply Melbourne’s Water Grid:

     Fabric suspended from cable with Rigid ends              $1B
     Take or Pay Flow Rate                                    350GL/year

     Average Royalty to Tasmania over 25 years                $ 15/ML
     7.25% Interest + 3% CPI over 25 years ($111M/yr)         $ 317/ML
     Average Maintenance Cost over 25 years                   $ 77/ML

     Average Charge/ML                                        $ 409/ML
     Cost of Wonthaggi Desalinated Water 2013 – 2018 (No CPI) $4,800/ML


 Note:
     Diversion pipe to Torquay/Geelong is $708/ML Take or Pay for 80 GL/Year.
     Tunnel from Upper Yarra Reservoir to Big River not included.



Geoff Croker                   Water Supply for SE Australia            20
July 2012
USING GRAVITY
Water weighs 1 kg/litre or 1,000 kg/ cubic metre.
Because it is “heavy” and a liquid, it will always flow to a lower point. Not always.

Separated liquids of lower density (river water) “float” in sea water.

How fast will river water flow in a 6 metre pipe?
Engineers use equations to describe a flows energy so they can design pipes.

Using the Colebrook-White formula (1937), over a distance of 1,300 km and 10 metre
head, the flow will be 250 GL/year or half the volume of Sydney harbour.

The Colebrook-White formula makes two assumptions about energy losses:
   - the only head acting is 10m
   - the flow caused by friction is turbulent.

For large diameters and low velocities the pipe wall friction has little influence on flow
type. Fresh water floats in sea water so it’s accelerated upwards by gravity.

Using Hagen’s lamina flow equation (1839) the flow is 7,600 GL/year.

Using an Ocean Current Model means the 6 metre pipe may flow at 900-1,800GL/year.

Geoff Croker                         Water Supply for SE Australia                           21
July 2012
Pieman River Catchment                                                                        Whyalla


                                                       Ocean Diversions to Eyre
                                                       & Yorke Peninsula,
                                                       Adelaide, Victor Harbour &
Lake Plimsoll                                          Kangaroo Island
                                          Pipe from Lake Pieman
                                               to Fabric Pipe                                             Roxby Downs
                                                                               Fabric Pipe to Whyalla      100m AHD
  Lake Murchison
                                                                                      Inlet Pipe
    Lake Mackintosh
                Lake Roseberry                            Southern Ocean
                            Lake Pieman                                                  Whyalla Pumps
                            97m AHD
                                                                                                          Diversions to Other
                                                                                                          Miners & Towns

                                                1,300km Water flow direction                        Flinders Ranges Dam or
                                                                                                    Aquifer Injection




                                   NW Tasmania River Diversion to Whyalla


     Geoff Croker                                   Water Supply for SE Australia                                     22
     July 2012
PIPELINE FROM PIEMAN RIVER TO WHYALLA

 1,300 km Undersea pipeline to Supply SA Towns and Miners:

 •    Fabric suspended from cable with rigid ends                       $1B
 •    Take or Pay Flow Rate                                             200GL/year

 •    Average Royalty to Tasmania over 25 years                         $ 15/ML
 •    7.25% Interest + 3% CPI over 25 years ($111M/yr)                  $ 555/ML
 •    Average Maintenance Cost over 25 years                            $ 77/ML

      Total Average Charge/ML                                           $ 647/ML

 Note:
      Diversions to other locations may require pumps & pipe and are not included.




Geoff Croker                        Water Supply for SE Australia                    23
July 2012
Pieman River Catchment                                                                        Port Fairy




                                                                                          Diversions to Hamilton
Lake Plimsoll
                                                                                          Irrigation District
                                          Pipe from Lake Pieman
                                                                                                            Rocklands
                                               to Fabric Pipe     Fabric Pipe to Port Fairy                  Reservoir
  Lake Murchison                                                         Inlet Pipe                         195m AHD
    Lake Mackintosh
                Lake Roseberry                            Southern Ocean
                            Lake Pieman                                                   Belfast Lough
                            97m AHD                                                       Pumps
                                                                                                      Diversions to Wimmera
                                                                                                      Irrigation District & MDB

                                                 450km Water flow direction




                                  NW Tasmania River Diversion to Port Fairy


     Geoff Croker                                   Water Supply for SE Australia                                        24
     July 2012
PIPELINE FROM PIEMAN RIVER TO PORT FAIRY
 TO ROCKLANDS RESERVOIR

 450 km Undersea pipeline with High Tensile Fabric to Supply Agriculture:

 •    Fabric suspended from cable with rigid ends                    $800M
 •    Take or Pay Flow Rate                                          800GL/year

 •    Average Royalty to Tasmania over 25 years                      $ 15/ML
 •    7.25% Interest + 3% CPI over 25 years ($89M/yr)                $111/ML
      Total Average Charge/ML                                        $ 126/ML

 or

 •    Average Royalty to Tasmania over 25 years                      $ 15/ML
 •    3.25% 10 yr Gov Bond Rate over 25 years ($54M/yr)              $ 67/ML
      Average Charge using Gov Bond Rate                             $ 82/ML


 Note:
      Diversion to Rocklands Reservoir will require pumps & pipe and is not included.


Geoff Croker                         Water Supply for SE Australia                      25
July 2012
CONCLUSIONS

  Desalination is unlikely to ever supply fresh water at agricultural
   prices, with acceptable energy use or long term salt & boron levels;

  It costs less for SA and Victoria to use gravity, to flow fresh water
   from existing regulated rivers in Tasmania’s North West to the
   mainland, than operate existing large RO desalination plants;

  River water can be piped & traded across major oceans creating or
   maintaining industry & food for billions of people;

  There is no need to build desalination plants as diverting water from
   the main pipeline is less expensive; and

  River catchments will be kept pristine if owners of the catchment are
   paid to keep them clean.


Geoff Croker                  Water Supply for SE Australia                26
July 2012
Marine Steel Pipe Laying Ship




Geoff Croker             Water Supply for SE Australia   27
July 2012
Marine Steel Pipeline Preparation




Geoff Croker              Water Supply for SE Australia   28
July 2012
Marine Steel Pipe Laying




Geoff Croker               Water Supply for SE Australia   29
July 2012
High Density Polyethylene Pipe Installation




Geoff Croker              Water Supply for SE Australia   30
July 2012
High Density Polyethylene Pipe Installation




Geoff Croker              Water Supply for SE Australia   31
July 2012
Demonstration of Fabric Pipeline Technology in SA


 •   In order to properly evaluate the potential flow and
     Australian operating conditions for a fabric pipeline
     it will be necessary to manufacture a short length of
     pipe that matches the requirements of an existing
     marine water pipe and diverts the flow of the
     existing marine pipe into the fabric pipe and back
     again.

 •   One such 14km steel pipeline currently delivers
     9550 ML/year since 1967 across Spencer Gulf from
     north of Port Germein to north of Whyalla.

 •   It was recently “pigged” by SA Water and found to
     be in pristine condition after many years of
     operation.

 •   A temporary diversion of the existing steel pipe flow
     would cost under $5M with the flow operation study
     conducted over a three month period.

 •   The pipe would be removed at the end of the flow
     study and a report submitted within 90 days after
     evaluating all the gathered data and comparing it
     with design models.




Geoff Croker                                    Water Supply for SE Australia   32
July 2012

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Tasmanian water diversion july 2012

  • 1. WATER SUPPLY for SE AUSTRALIA TASMANIAN WATER DIVERSION PIPELINE OPTIONS & COSTS Author: Geoff Croker BE (Civil) Date: July 2012
  • 2. MELBOURNE DEMAND, SUPPLY & FUTURE DEMAND Demand 1997 - 2012  Without water restrictions: 460 GL/year  With L3 water restrictions: 360 GL/year Projected Demand by Melbourne Water 2013-2018  Without water restrictions: 370 GL/year  Waterways & Drainage 2,000 GL/year*  Recycling* 50 GL/year  No requirement for Desalination, N-S Pipe from Retailers Supply Inflow  Thomson & Yarra rivers: 300 to 800 GL/year Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 2 July 2012
  • 3. WONTHAGGI DESALINATION PLANT 2013 – 2018 Water Plan  Fixed costs are 60% of Melbourne Water’s total annual operating expenditure or $610M/year for no water delivered;  Operating the plant at 150GL is an additional $110M/year;  Cost of Wonthaggi Desalinated Water (No CPI) $4,800/ML;  Melbourne household water bills rose 36% in the April-June 2012 quarter just to cover the capital cost of the Wonthaggi Desalination plant. Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 3 July 2012
  • 4. Why use Tasmanian Water?  Tasmania uses less than 1,000GL/year;  Its measured run-off to the sea is greater than 45,000GL/year;  Two rivers regulated by Hydro Tasmania, the Forth & Pieman have 5,300GLs/year run-off to sea on average for the last 80 years;  More regulated rivers are available eg Tamar outflow is 2,500GLs/year;  1,500GL/year could be sold to Victoria & South Australia;  Water can be traded with the Murray River users;  No pumping is required by Melbourne Water for water diverted from the Yarra and Thomson catchments via a 30km tunnel to Big River. Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 4 July 2012
  • 5. DESALINATION PLANT to MELBOURNE WATER GRID Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 5 July 2012
  • 6. Forth River, Tasmania to Wonthaggi Desalination Inlet  Flow: 350-500GL per year from Tasmania’s run-off to Melbourne;  Water trade: Upper Yarra & Thomson Reservoirs are connected to Eildon;  Low risk: no new dams required, known technology, Melbourne dams held full at all times;  Low cost: long term water agreement; Tasmanian royalty;  Timeline: estimated completion of first pipe within 3 years;  Expandable: capacity up to 1,500GL/yr and connection to Geelong;  Build: local manufacture & IP and 25+ year design life. Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 6 July 2012
  • 7. Forth River Catchment Melbourne Lake Gairdner Seven Diversions to Lake Rowallan Melbourne’s Water grid Pipe from Forth Weir to Fabric Pipe Fabric Pipe to Wonthaggi Lake Parangana Cardinia Desalination Plant Inlet Reservoir Lake Cethana Lake Barrington Bass Strait Lake Paloona Kilcunda Beach 300km Water flow direction NW Tasmania River Diversion to Melbourne Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 7 July 2012
  • 8. Melbourne Catchments Eildon Reservoir Existing 30kmTunnel Big River Valve Thomson Big River Reservoir Upper Yarra New 30km Reservoir Tunnel Eildon Water flow direction Upper Yarra to Eildon Connection 300 - 800 GL/year Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 8 July 2012
  • 9. DESIGN PROCESS Bass Strait and the SE Australian continental shelf is well explored by the oil & gas, electricity and telco industries. Pipelines, power & communication cables already exist. Climate & catchment information is known for over 100 years. Existing information includes: • Geophysical & Geotechnical surveys • Environmental studies • Wave and current measurements & simulation models • Shipping & port requirements • Biological fouling assessment & measurement for marine pipes • Seismic studies Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 9 July 2012
  • 10. PIPE MATERIAL SELECTION Tensile Yield Stress MPa; Pressure determines pipe wall thickness; This determines the cost of material and installation methodology. MPa  High Density Polyethylene (HDPE) 30  High Tensile Nylon 45  Structural Carbon Steel 250  Stainless Steel 520  High Strength Structural Steel 690  Glass Reinforced Plastic (GRP, 70% E-Glass) 800  Carbon Nanotube Composite 1,200  Aramid eg Kevlar or Twaron 3,600  Graphene 130,000 Water Supply for SE Australia 10
  • 11. TURKEY TO CYPRUS PIPELINE using High Density Polyethylene by INTEC Engineering BV Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 11 July 2012
  • 12. TURKEY TO CYPRUS PIPELINE by INTEC Engineering BV Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 12 July 2012
  • 13. Nylon Water Bags Towed at 3 knots across the ocean surface. Diameters from 11 to 34 metres, Used across the world for 25 years. Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 13 July 2012
  • 14. Bag to Fabric Pipeline – Shows water proof zipper joints Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 14 July 2012
  • 15. Fabric Pipeline – Floating At surface Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 15 July 2012
  • 16. Fabric Pipeline – Suspended from sea floor & Submerged Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 16 July 2012
  • 17. Fabric Pipeline – Located on Flat Land Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 17 July 2012
  • 18. High Tensile Nylon Fabric Pipe Delivery in 50 metre length modules. UV Coating included. 6 metre Diameter Weighs 1.7kg per Square metre or 1,600 kgs module. Marine Life Material Warranty 25 years Module Joints: - Waterproof zipper that allows rapid interconnections in the field; - Stiff internal mandrel with external rod clamps for connecting a fabric section to a rigid portion or pumping infrastructure; - Field ultrasonic welding, specialized on-site equipment. Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 18 July 2012
  • 19. HYDRO TASMANIA - Water & Electricity Hydro Tasmania 30 June 2011: • 914 Employees • Mainland revenue $ 245Million • Net revenue $ 813M • Cash from Operations $ 161M (52M to Tas Govt) • Total equity $ 2.0 B • Net debt $ 964M • Total installed capacity 2.4 TW • Total electricity generated 9.3 TWh • Goal to sell 15 TWh in FY2014, 5 TWh to mainland • 27 Hydro Power Stations • Supply Fee $7.58 per ML from lowest Hydro Tasmania Dam Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 19 July 2012
  • 20. PIPELINE FROM FORTH RIVER TO WONTHAGGI INLET 300 km Undersea pipeline to supply Melbourne’s Water Grid:  Fabric suspended from cable with Rigid ends $1B  Take or Pay Flow Rate 350GL/year  Average Royalty to Tasmania over 25 years $ 15/ML  7.25% Interest + 3% CPI over 25 years ($111M/yr) $ 317/ML  Average Maintenance Cost over 25 years $ 77/ML  Average Charge/ML $ 409/ML  Cost of Wonthaggi Desalinated Water 2013 – 2018 (No CPI) $4,800/ML Note: Diversion pipe to Torquay/Geelong is $708/ML Take or Pay for 80 GL/Year. Tunnel from Upper Yarra Reservoir to Big River not included. Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 20 July 2012
  • 21. USING GRAVITY Water weighs 1 kg/litre or 1,000 kg/ cubic metre. Because it is “heavy” and a liquid, it will always flow to a lower point. Not always. Separated liquids of lower density (river water) “float” in sea water. How fast will river water flow in a 6 metre pipe? Engineers use equations to describe a flows energy so they can design pipes. Using the Colebrook-White formula (1937), over a distance of 1,300 km and 10 metre head, the flow will be 250 GL/year or half the volume of Sydney harbour. The Colebrook-White formula makes two assumptions about energy losses: - the only head acting is 10m - the flow caused by friction is turbulent. For large diameters and low velocities the pipe wall friction has little influence on flow type. Fresh water floats in sea water so it’s accelerated upwards by gravity. Using Hagen’s lamina flow equation (1839) the flow is 7,600 GL/year. Using an Ocean Current Model means the 6 metre pipe may flow at 900-1,800GL/year. Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 21 July 2012
  • 22. Pieman River Catchment Whyalla Ocean Diversions to Eyre & Yorke Peninsula, Adelaide, Victor Harbour & Lake Plimsoll Kangaroo Island Pipe from Lake Pieman to Fabric Pipe Roxby Downs Fabric Pipe to Whyalla 100m AHD Lake Murchison Inlet Pipe Lake Mackintosh Lake Roseberry Southern Ocean Lake Pieman Whyalla Pumps 97m AHD Diversions to Other Miners & Towns 1,300km Water flow direction Flinders Ranges Dam or Aquifer Injection NW Tasmania River Diversion to Whyalla Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 22 July 2012
  • 23. PIPELINE FROM PIEMAN RIVER TO WHYALLA 1,300 km Undersea pipeline to Supply SA Towns and Miners: • Fabric suspended from cable with rigid ends $1B • Take or Pay Flow Rate 200GL/year • Average Royalty to Tasmania over 25 years $ 15/ML • 7.25% Interest + 3% CPI over 25 years ($111M/yr) $ 555/ML • Average Maintenance Cost over 25 years $ 77/ML Total Average Charge/ML $ 647/ML Note: Diversions to other locations may require pumps & pipe and are not included. Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 23 July 2012
  • 24. Pieman River Catchment Port Fairy Diversions to Hamilton Lake Plimsoll Irrigation District Pipe from Lake Pieman Rocklands to Fabric Pipe Fabric Pipe to Port Fairy Reservoir Lake Murchison Inlet Pipe 195m AHD Lake Mackintosh Lake Roseberry Southern Ocean Lake Pieman Belfast Lough 97m AHD Pumps Diversions to Wimmera Irrigation District & MDB 450km Water flow direction NW Tasmania River Diversion to Port Fairy Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 24 July 2012
  • 25. PIPELINE FROM PIEMAN RIVER TO PORT FAIRY TO ROCKLANDS RESERVOIR 450 km Undersea pipeline with High Tensile Fabric to Supply Agriculture: • Fabric suspended from cable with rigid ends $800M • Take or Pay Flow Rate 800GL/year • Average Royalty to Tasmania over 25 years $ 15/ML • 7.25% Interest + 3% CPI over 25 years ($89M/yr) $111/ML Total Average Charge/ML $ 126/ML or • Average Royalty to Tasmania over 25 years $ 15/ML • 3.25% 10 yr Gov Bond Rate over 25 years ($54M/yr) $ 67/ML Average Charge using Gov Bond Rate $ 82/ML Note: Diversion to Rocklands Reservoir will require pumps & pipe and is not included. Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 25 July 2012
  • 26. CONCLUSIONS  Desalination is unlikely to ever supply fresh water at agricultural prices, with acceptable energy use or long term salt & boron levels;  It costs less for SA and Victoria to use gravity, to flow fresh water from existing regulated rivers in Tasmania’s North West to the mainland, than operate existing large RO desalination plants;  River water can be piped & traded across major oceans creating or maintaining industry & food for billions of people;  There is no need to build desalination plants as diverting water from the main pipeline is less expensive; and  River catchments will be kept pristine if owners of the catchment are paid to keep them clean. Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 26 July 2012
  • 27. Marine Steel Pipe Laying Ship Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 27 July 2012
  • 28. Marine Steel Pipeline Preparation Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 28 July 2012
  • 29. Marine Steel Pipe Laying Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 29 July 2012
  • 30. High Density Polyethylene Pipe Installation Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 30 July 2012
  • 31. High Density Polyethylene Pipe Installation Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 31 July 2012
  • 32. Demonstration of Fabric Pipeline Technology in SA • In order to properly evaluate the potential flow and Australian operating conditions for a fabric pipeline it will be necessary to manufacture a short length of pipe that matches the requirements of an existing marine water pipe and diverts the flow of the existing marine pipe into the fabric pipe and back again. • One such 14km steel pipeline currently delivers 9550 ML/year since 1967 across Spencer Gulf from north of Port Germein to north of Whyalla. • It was recently “pigged” by SA Water and found to be in pristine condition after many years of operation. • A temporary diversion of the existing steel pipe flow would cost under $5M with the flow operation study conducted over a three month period. • The pipe would be removed at the end of the flow study and a report submitted within 90 days after evaluating all the gathered data and comparing it with design models. Geoff Croker Water Supply for SE Australia 32 July 2012