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Congressional Budget Office
Western Economic Association International
93rd Annual Conference
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
June 29, 2018
Edward G. Keating
Deputy Assistant Director, National Security Division
The Depot-Level Maintenance
of DoD’s Combat Aircraft:
Insights for the F-35
1
CBO
All dollar amounts are expressed in fiscal year 2017 dollars.
 The 2016 F-35 Selected Acquisition Report calls for DoD’s eventual
acquisition of 2,470 aircraft:
‒ 1,768 F-35As by the Air Force
‒ 366 F-35Bs by the Marine Corps
‒ 269 F-35Cs by the Navy and 67 F-35Cs by the Marine Corps
 $64 billion in research, development, test, and evaluation (RDT&E),
1994–2022
 $281 billion in procurement, 2006–2044
 $669 billion in life-cycle operating and support costs—including
depot-level maintenance costs, 2011–2070
The F-35: DoD’s Most Costly Aircraft Program
2
CBO
 The Air Force’s F-15 has had calendar-based programmed depot
maintenance.
– F-15s return to a depot at regular six-year intervals.
 The Air Force’s F-16 and A-10 have had modification-based depot
maintenance.
– F-16s and A-10s return to a depot when modifications are required.
– Modification intervals have varied between two and six years.
 The Navy’s F/A-18 has had calendar-based planned maintenance
intervals.
– Like F-15s, F/A-18s visit depots at regular intervals—every four
years for carrier-based F/A-18s and every six years for
shore-based F/A-18s.
Other DoD Fighter/Attack Aircraft Experiences
Offer Lessons for F-35 Depot-Level Maintenance
3
CBO
Intervals between F-16s’ depot visits have varied widely; by contrast, the majority
of F-15s have returned to depots after 61 to 72 months of operation.
Intervals Between Depot Visits for Air Force
F-15s and F-16s, 1990 to 2017
Percentage of Intervals
4
CBO
It has been most common for F-16s to spend two to three months in a depot visit,
whereas F-15s’ depot visits have typically been five to six months long.
Durations of Completed Depot Visits for
Air Force F-15s and F-16s, 1990 to 2017
Percentage of Intervals
5
CBO
The longer F-16s have been away from depots, the lengthier their ensuing depot
visits have been.
The Relationship Between F-16s’ Depot Visit
Intervals and Depot Visit Durations, 1990 to 2017
Average Duration of Completed Depot Visits (Months)
6
CBO
The availability of aircraft in all four fleets has declined, but that decline has been
most acute for F/A-18C/Ds in recent years.
Annual Operator-Possessed and Mission-Capable
Rate for Selected Combat Aircraft, 1990 to 2017
Percentage of Aircraft Available
7
CBO
F/A-18C/Ds had the most flying hours per individual aircraft in the 1990s and
early 2000s, but their annual flying hours have declined precipitously.
Annual Flying Hours per Individual Aircraft for
Selected Combat Aircraft, 1990 to 2017
Number of Hours
8
CBO
In the 1990s, F/A-18C/Ds spent less time undergoing depot-level maintenance
per flying hour than the other selected aircraft.
Annual Depot-Coded Hours per Flying Hour for
Selected Combat Aircraft, 1990 to 2000
Number of Hours
9
CBO
F/A-18C/Ds and F-15C/Ds had the largest increases in depot-coded hours per
flying hour since 2010.
Annual Depot-Coded Hours per Flying Hour for
Selected Combat Aircraft, 1990 to 2017
Number of Hours
10
CBO
 What approach to scheduling depot-level maintenance should the F-35
program follow?
 How frequent and intensive should the F-35’s depot-level maintenance
be?
‒ Should different variants be handled differently?
 Who will participate in the F-35’s depot-level maintenance, and how?
Upcoming Decisions About the F-35’s
Depot‐Level Maintenance
11
CBO
 The choice between modification-based and calendar-based
maintenance may be less important than the level of effort invested in
depot-level maintenance.
 Depot-level maintenance entails a trade-off between short-term costs
and long-term benefits.
 History suggests that DoD will want to operate the F-35 past its
stipulated 30-year life limit, but successfully doing so may require more
and better depot-level maintenance than F/A-18C/Ds have received.
Insights From This Research
12
CBO
 For more information, see Congressional Budget Office, The Depot-
Level Maintenance of DoD’s Combat Aircraft: Insights for the F-35
(February 2018), www.cbo.gov/publication/53543.
Further Information

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The Depot-Level Maintenance of DoD’s Combat Aircraft: Insights for the F-35

  • 1. Congressional Budget Office Western Economic Association International 93rd Annual Conference Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada June 29, 2018 Edward G. Keating Deputy Assistant Director, National Security Division The Depot-Level Maintenance of DoD’s Combat Aircraft: Insights for the F-35
  • 2. 1 CBO All dollar amounts are expressed in fiscal year 2017 dollars.  The 2016 F-35 Selected Acquisition Report calls for DoD’s eventual acquisition of 2,470 aircraft: ‒ 1,768 F-35As by the Air Force ‒ 366 F-35Bs by the Marine Corps ‒ 269 F-35Cs by the Navy and 67 F-35Cs by the Marine Corps  $64 billion in research, development, test, and evaluation (RDT&E), 1994–2022  $281 billion in procurement, 2006–2044  $669 billion in life-cycle operating and support costs—including depot-level maintenance costs, 2011–2070 The F-35: DoD’s Most Costly Aircraft Program
  • 3. 2 CBO  The Air Force’s F-15 has had calendar-based programmed depot maintenance. – F-15s return to a depot at regular six-year intervals.  The Air Force’s F-16 and A-10 have had modification-based depot maintenance. – F-16s and A-10s return to a depot when modifications are required. – Modification intervals have varied between two and six years.  The Navy’s F/A-18 has had calendar-based planned maintenance intervals. – Like F-15s, F/A-18s visit depots at regular intervals—every four years for carrier-based F/A-18s and every six years for shore-based F/A-18s. Other DoD Fighter/Attack Aircraft Experiences Offer Lessons for F-35 Depot-Level Maintenance
  • 4. 3 CBO Intervals between F-16s’ depot visits have varied widely; by contrast, the majority of F-15s have returned to depots after 61 to 72 months of operation. Intervals Between Depot Visits for Air Force F-15s and F-16s, 1990 to 2017 Percentage of Intervals
  • 5. 4 CBO It has been most common for F-16s to spend two to three months in a depot visit, whereas F-15s’ depot visits have typically been five to six months long. Durations of Completed Depot Visits for Air Force F-15s and F-16s, 1990 to 2017 Percentage of Intervals
  • 6. 5 CBO The longer F-16s have been away from depots, the lengthier their ensuing depot visits have been. The Relationship Between F-16s’ Depot Visit Intervals and Depot Visit Durations, 1990 to 2017 Average Duration of Completed Depot Visits (Months)
  • 7. 6 CBO The availability of aircraft in all four fleets has declined, but that decline has been most acute for F/A-18C/Ds in recent years. Annual Operator-Possessed and Mission-Capable Rate for Selected Combat Aircraft, 1990 to 2017 Percentage of Aircraft Available
  • 8. 7 CBO F/A-18C/Ds had the most flying hours per individual aircraft in the 1990s and early 2000s, but their annual flying hours have declined precipitously. Annual Flying Hours per Individual Aircraft for Selected Combat Aircraft, 1990 to 2017 Number of Hours
  • 9. 8 CBO In the 1990s, F/A-18C/Ds spent less time undergoing depot-level maintenance per flying hour than the other selected aircraft. Annual Depot-Coded Hours per Flying Hour for Selected Combat Aircraft, 1990 to 2000 Number of Hours
  • 10. 9 CBO F/A-18C/Ds and F-15C/Ds had the largest increases in depot-coded hours per flying hour since 2010. Annual Depot-Coded Hours per Flying Hour for Selected Combat Aircraft, 1990 to 2017 Number of Hours
  • 11. 10 CBO  What approach to scheduling depot-level maintenance should the F-35 program follow?  How frequent and intensive should the F-35’s depot-level maintenance be? ‒ Should different variants be handled differently?  Who will participate in the F-35’s depot-level maintenance, and how? Upcoming Decisions About the F-35’s Depot‐Level Maintenance
  • 12. 11 CBO  The choice between modification-based and calendar-based maintenance may be less important than the level of effort invested in depot-level maintenance.  Depot-level maintenance entails a trade-off between short-term costs and long-term benefits.  History suggests that DoD will want to operate the F-35 past its stipulated 30-year life limit, but successfully doing so may require more and better depot-level maintenance than F/A-18C/Ds have received. Insights From This Research
  • 13. 12 CBO  For more information, see Congressional Budget Office, The Depot- Level Maintenance of DoD’s Combat Aircraft: Insights for the F-35 (February 2018), www.cbo.gov/publication/53543. Further Information