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TRACKING DOMESTIC
CLIMATE FINANCE
FLOWS IN DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES
Lessons and Challenges
In collaboration with
Introduction
Study Objectives:
•To understand the status of information on climate finance (particularly for
adaptation) in recipient countries.
•Provide evidence to support the UNFCCC’s work on MRV of support
•Provide countries with recommendations for strengthening their data on
climate finance flows and building their MRV on climate finance
Methodology
■ Desk Review and Key informant interviews
■ Case study selection- Colombia, Guatemala, Kenya, Nepal, Philippines and Zambia, based on:
■ Country Selection (at least 3 of these conditions)
– Countries with National Adaptation Plans (NAPs),
– (intended) Nationally Determined Contributions (i)NDCs,
– Countries that have conducted CPEIR studies,
– Participation in the NAP-Ag Programme,
– Maintaining a regional balance, as well as
– Progress in climate finance agenda.
Context
Country Region Population GDP/pp CRI HDI / Rank Territory (km2)
Colombia South America 47,220,85 6,056.1 47 0.727 / 95 1,138,910
Guatemala Central America 15,189,958 3,903.5 9 0.640 / 125 108,889
Kenya Eastern Africa 46,790,758 1,376.7 85 0.555 / 146 580,367
Nepal Southern Asia 29,033,914 743.3 24 0.558 / 144 147,181
Philippines
South Eastern
Asia
102,624,209 2,904.2 5 0.682 / 116 300,000
Zambia Southern Africa 15,510,711 1,304.9 143 0.579 / 139 752,618
Sources: Elaborated by authors based on:
Population and territory: CIA World Factbook (2017) (https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/co.html)
GDP: World Bank (2017) (http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?view=map)
CRI: Global Climate Risk Index (CRI) 2017 (Kreft el al 2016)
HDI: Human Development Index (HDI) - UNDP (2016 with data of 2015) (http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/rankings.pdf)
Status of reporting schemes in selected countries
Reporting tool Colombia Guatemala Kenya Nepal Philippines Zambia
National communications
1 2001 2001 2002 2004 2000 2004
2 2010 2016 2015 2016 2014 2014
3 2017 UD UD UD UD UD
Biennial Update Reports
1 2015 NA NA NA NA NA
Technical
revision
2016 NA NA NA NA NA
Content guidance:
NA –Not applicable because countries have not presented the instruments.
UD- Under Development.
Source:
Elaborated by the authors, based in UNFCCC portals related to National Communications and BURs.
Reference to climate finance (general)
Colombia Guatemala Kenya Nepal Philippines Zambia
First National
Communication
No No
Yes
(costs of specific
projects)
No
Yes
(costs identified for
mitigation options)
No
Second National
Communication
Yes
(costs identified for
mitigation options)
Yes
(no figures)
Yes
(no figures)
Yes (figures)
Yes
(costs identified for
mitigation options)
Yes
(costs identified for
mitigation options)
Third National
Communication
Yes
(finance allocated)*
NA NA NA NA NA
BUR
Yes
(finance received
from international
mechanisms)
NA NA NA NA NA
NAPs
Yes
(no figures)
NA
Yes
(figures)
NA NA NA
NAPA NA NA NA
Yes
(figures)
NA Yes (figures)
NDC
Yes
(no figures)
Yes
(no figures)
Yes
(no figures)
Yes
(no figures)
Yes
(mitigation measures
conditioned to
finance)
Yes
(for mitigation and
adaptation)
Content guidance:
N: There are no references to climate finance at all
Yes: There are references to climate finance
NA: No Applicable because countries have not presented the instruments.
No figures: Refers to the fact that countries mention the topic but they do not include the specific amount.
* According to current draft
Country
Estimations Colombia Guatemala Kenya Nepal Philippines Zambia
Losses due to
climate
change/climate
variability
Less 0,49% GDP per year
due economic losses
projected by 2011-2100.
Around 1.26 mill USD
(DNP, 2014)**
La Niña cost 0.38% of GDP
in losses and 2% in
damaged in 2010-2011
(DNP, 2016)
USD 1.85 billion
(1998-2010) (Gobierno de
Guatemala, 2015)
3% of GDP by 2030 (SEI,
2009)
USD 12.1 billion lost due
the drought in the period
2008-2011 (OECD, 2011)
2% to 3% of GDP [USD
62.4 billion (2013 est)] by
2050 (IDS-Nepal, PAC and
GCAP, 2014)
USD 1.576 billion (2003 –
2008) (RECCS, 2010)
USD 4,3-5,4 billion
(10-20 years) (Government
of Zambia, 2016)
Climate finance
needs
To 2030, it is needed
0.87% of GDP, or 15.8
billions of pesos (around
5,450 Mill USD) to achieve
the mitigation goal (20%)
(DNP, 2017).
NI
Climate Change Action
Plan will cost USD 2.75
billion per year
(IIED, 2014)
Total climate actions will
cost USD 500 millions per
year for 2012 onwards
(Adaptation costs by 2030
1 to 2 billions per year)
(SEI, 2009)
USD2.4 billion by 2050
(IDS-Nepal, PAC and
GCAP, 2014)
NAPA: USD 350 million
(Government of Nepal,
2010)
USD 265 – 565 billion/year
(mitigation) (CCC, 2011)
USD 75 – 100 billion/year
(adaptation) (CCC, 2011)
USD 50 billion
(Government of Zambia,
2015)
Public
expenditures of
climate finance
USD 480 million per
year (UNDP-CPEIR,
2016)*
USD 381 m
(2013-2014),
Fundación Solar,
FEDES, GFLAC
USD 87,980 per
year (2014-2017)
UNDP*
USD 3.2 billion (IIED,
2014 includes public
and private
information)
NI
USD 3.5 billion
(2016)
USD 221 million –
USD 377 million
(2013-2015)
Expenditures of
adaptation
finance
Approx. USD 196,80 per
year (41% of the total
expenditure)
(UNDP-CPEIR, 2016)*
USD 255 million (2013-
2014), Fundación Solar,
FEDES, GFLAC
USD 59,790 per year
(2014-2017), UNDP*
48% out of the USD 3.2
billion go to adaptation
(IIED, 2014 includes public
and private information)
NI USD 3,1 billion (2016)
USD 15.5 million to over
USD 100 million (2010-
2012)
Overview of climate finance information in selected countries
Initiatives to support the work of developing
countries
Title Example of relevant information
Climate Public Expenditure and Institutional Review (CPEIR) Methodological guidebook 2015
Latin American and Caribbean Group on Climate Finance
(GFLAC)
Country reports on climate finance: analysis of national
budget and international support received.
Complementary
tool
Colombia Guatemala Kenya Nepal Philippines Zambia
CPEIRs Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes conducted by
the World Bank
No
GFLAC Argentina Peru Chile Ecuador Bolivia Honduras Nicaragua Guatemala Colombia
Transparency framework
Transparency
framework
APA
Art 9-13
NDCs
SCF
MRV-BA
SBSTA
Modalities for
accounting
UNFCCC
NC, BURs
National
processes
Key Findings: Lessons and Challenges
■ National Level
– Limited or weak institutional arrangements and internal
capacities to track climate finance
– Lack of definition on climate finance
– Lack of unified and systematized information on climate finance
– Limited access to information on present and future climate risks
to quantify climate finance needs.
– Lack of data on effectiveness of the use of climate finance
– Misunderstandings about the scope of adaptation finance
Key Findings: Lessons and Challenges
■ National Level
– Information systems to track domestic expenditure and international
cooperation vary in quality, desegregation and transparency
– All countries lagging in reporting (Nat Comms and BURs)
– lack of technical and financial resources needed to prepare the reports
– Reporting formats still unclear
– Reporting tools don’t always include adaptation finance
Key Recommendations (national level)
■ Establish Institutional frameworks to address the wider climate change
information barriers
■ Adapt and develop nationally owned and harmonized guidance to measure and
classify climate finance
■ Develop an Integrated approach for planning and budgeting
■ Establish climate change (adaptation and mitigation) code in the budget
■ Develop climate finance frameworks and financing strategies
■ Establish clear institutional arrangements for monitoring and tracking means of
implementation
■ Develop tailored capacity building support and incentives to retain staff with good
technical capacity
Key Recommendations (international
level)
■ Develop clear guidelines for reporting on climate finance (MRV of support) for countries to use
■ Provide countries with implementation support (capacity development)
■ Continue to improve transparency of donors’ information
■ Continue to address the balance between mitigation and adaptation finance
■ SBSTA:
– Develop modalities for accounting climate finance (bottom up approach)
■ Standing Committee on Finance:
– Coordinate the implementation of the modalities of accountability for climate finance in the
reporting processes (NC, BURs, NDCs)
– Design of a global MRV of Support (finance, technology and capacity building)
– Design of climate finance reporting formats to support the activities of developing countries
(CTF)
Conclusion
■ Strong implications for:
■ Assessment of climate finance needs
■ Biennial Assessment of climate finance flows (BA3 2018)
■ Transparency initiative under the Paris agreement
■ Climate Finance Readiness support in country

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NAP-Ag Webinar - Tracking Domestic Climate Finance Flows - Lessons and Challenges

  • 1. TRACKING DOMESTIC CLIMATE FINANCE FLOWS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES Lessons and Challenges In collaboration with
  • 2. Introduction Study Objectives: •To understand the status of information on climate finance (particularly for adaptation) in recipient countries. •Provide evidence to support the UNFCCC’s work on MRV of support •Provide countries with recommendations for strengthening their data on climate finance flows and building their MRV on climate finance
  • 3. Methodology ■ Desk Review and Key informant interviews ■ Case study selection- Colombia, Guatemala, Kenya, Nepal, Philippines and Zambia, based on: ■ Country Selection (at least 3 of these conditions) – Countries with National Adaptation Plans (NAPs), – (intended) Nationally Determined Contributions (i)NDCs, – Countries that have conducted CPEIR studies, – Participation in the NAP-Ag Programme, – Maintaining a regional balance, as well as – Progress in climate finance agenda.
  • 4. Context Country Region Population GDP/pp CRI HDI / Rank Territory (km2) Colombia South America 47,220,85 6,056.1 47 0.727 / 95 1,138,910 Guatemala Central America 15,189,958 3,903.5 9 0.640 / 125 108,889 Kenya Eastern Africa 46,790,758 1,376.7 85 0.555 / 146 580,367 Nepal Southern Asia 29,033,914 743.3 24 0.558 / 144 147,181 Philippines South Eastern Asia 102,624,209 2,904.2 5 0.682 / 116 300,000 Zambia Southern Africa 15,510,711 1,304.9 143 0.579 / 139 752,618 Sources: Elaborated by authors based on: Population and territory: CIA World Factbook (2017) (https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/co.html) GDP: World Bank (2017) (http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?view=map) CRI: Global Climate Risk Index (CRI) 2017 (Kreft el al 2016) HDI: Human Development Index (HDI) - UNDP (2016 with data of 2015) (http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/rankings.pdf)
  • 5. Status of reporting schemes in selected countries Reporting tool Colombia Guatemala Kenya Nepal Philippines Zambia National communications 1 2001 2001 2002 2004 2000 2004 2 2010 2016 2015 2016 2014 2014 3 2017 UD UD UD UD UD Biennial Update Reports 1 2015 NA NA NA NA NA Technical revision 2016 NA NA NA NA NA Content guidance: NA –Not applicable because countries have not presented the instruments. UD- Under Development. Source: Elaborated by the authors, based in UNFCCC portals related to National Communications and BURs.
  • 6. Reference to climate finance (general) Colombia Guatemala Kenya Nepal Philippines Zambia First National Communication No No Yes (costs of specific projects) No Yes (costs identified for mitigation options) No Second National Communication Yes (costs identified for mitigation options) Yes (no figures) Yes (no figures) Yes (figures) Yes (costs identified for mitigation options) Yes (costs identified for mitigation options) Third National Communication Yes (finance allocated)* NA NA NA NA NA BUR Yes (finance received from international mechanisms) NA NA NA NA NA NAPs Yes (no figures) NA Yes (figures) NA NA NA NAPA NA NA NA Yes (figures) NA Yes (figures) NDC Yes (no figures) Yes (no figures) Yes (no figures) Yes (no figures) Yes (mitigation measures conditioned to finance) Yes (for mitigation and adaptation) Content guidance: N: There are no references to climate finance at all Yes: There are references to climate finance NA: No Applicable because countries have not presented the instruments. No figures: Refers to the fact that countries mention the topic but they do not include the specific amount. * According to current draft
  • 7. Country Estimations Colombia Guatemala Kenya Nepal Philippines Zambia Losses due to climate change/climate variability Less 0,49% GDP per year due economic losses projected by 2011-2100. Around 1.26 mill USD (DNP, 2014)** La Niña cost 0.38% of GDP in losses and 2% in damaged in 2010-2011 (DNP, 2016) USD 1.85 billion (1998-2010) (Gobierno de Guatemala, 2015) 3% of GDP by 2030 (SEI, 2009) USD 12.1 billion lost due the drought in the period 2008-2011 (OECD, 2011) 2% to 3% of GDP [USD 62.4 billion (2013 est)] by 2050 (IDS-Nepal, PAC and GCAP, 2014) USD 1.576 billion (2003 – 2008) (RECCS, 2010) USD 4,3-5,4 billion (10-20 years) (Government of Zambia, 2016) Climate finance needs To 2030, it is needed 0.87% of GDP, or 15.8 billions of pesos (around 5,450 Mill USD) to achieve the mitigation goal (20%) (DNP, 2017). NI Climate Change Action Plan will cost USD 2.75 billion per year (IIED, 2014) Total climate actions will cost USD 500 millions per year for 2012 onwards (Adaptation costs by 2030 1 to 2 billions per year) (SEI, 2009) USD2.4 billion by 2050 (IDS-Nepal, PAC and GCAP, 2014) NAPA: USD 350 million (Government of Nepal, 2010) USD 265 – 565 billion/year (mitigation) (CCC, 2011) USD 75 – 100 billion/year (adaptation) (CCC, 2011) USD 50 billion (Government of Zambia, 2015) Public expenditures of climate finance USD 480 million per year (UNDP-CPEIR, 2016)* USD 381 m (2013-2014), Fundación Solar, FEDES, GFLAC USD 87,980 per year (2014-2017) UNDP* USD 3.2 billion (IIED, 2014 includes public and private information) NI USD 3.5 billion (2016) USD 221 million – USD 377 million (2013-2015) Expenditures of adaptation finance Approx. USD 196,80 per year (41% of the total expenditure) (UNDP-CPEIR, 2016)* USD 255 million (2013- 2014), Fundación Solar, FEDES, GFLAC USD 59,790 per year (2014-2017), UNDP* 48% out of the USD 3.2 billion go to adaptation (IIED, 2014 includes public and private information) NI USD 3,1 billion (2016) USD 15.5 million to over USD 100 million (2010- 2012) Overview of climate finance information in selected countries
  • 8. Initiatives to support the work of developing countries Title Example of relevant information Climate Public Expenditure and Institutional Review (CPEIR) Methodological guidebook 2015 Latin American and Caribbean Group on Climate Finance (GFLAC) Country reports on climate finance: analysis of national budget and international support received. Complementary tool Colombia Guatemala Kenya Nepal Philippines Zambia CPEIRs Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes conducted by the World Bank No GFLAC Argentina Peru Chile Ecuador Bolivia Honduras Nicaragua Guatemala Colombia
  • 10. Key Findings: Lessons and Challenges ■ National Level – Limited or weak institutional arrangements and internal capacities to track climate finance – Lack of definition on climate finance – Lack of unified and systematized information on climate finance – Limited access to information on present and future climate risks to quantify climate finance needs. – Lack of data on effectiveness of the use of climate finance – Misunderstandings about the scope of adaptation finance
  • 11. Key Findings: Lessons and Challenges ■ National Level – Information systems to track domestic expenditure and international cooperation vary in quality, desegregation and transparency – All countries lagging in reporting (Nat Comms and BURs) – lack of technical and financial resources needed to prepare the reports – Reporting formats still unclear – Reporting tools don’t always include adaptation finance
  • 12. Key Recommendations (national level) ■ Establish Institutional frameworks to address the wider climate change information barriers ■ Adapt and develop nationally owned and harmonized guidance to measure and classify climate finance ■ Develop an Integrated approach for planning and budgeting ■ Establish climate change (adaptation and mitigation) code in the budget ■ Develop climate finance frameworks and financing strategies ■ Establish clear institutional arrangements for monitoring and tracking means of implementation ■ Develop tailored capacity building support and incentives to retain staff with good technical capacity
  • 13. Key Recommendations (international level) ■ Develop clear guidelines for reporting on climate finance (MRV of support) for countries to use ■ Provide countries with implementation support (capacity development) ■ Continue to improve transparency of donors’ information ■ Continue to address the balance between mitigation and adaptation finance ■ SBSTA: – Develop modalities for accounting climate finance (bottom up approach) ■ Standing Committee on Finance: – Coordinate the implementation of the modalities of accountability for climate finance in the reporting processes (NC, BURs, NDCs) – Design of a global MRV of Support (finance, technology and capacity building) – Design of climate finance reporting formats to support the activities of developing countries (CTF)
  • 14. Conclusion ■ Strong implications for: ■ Assessment of climate finance needs ■ Biennial Assessment of climate finance flows (BA3 2018) ■ Transparency initiative under the Paris agreement ■ Climate Finance Readiness support in country

Editor's Notes

  1. 75% of the world’s poor & food insecure people rely directly on agriculture & natural resources for their living. The Integrating Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) programme is a multiyear initiative funded by Germany’s Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building and Nuclear Safety (BMUB) through its International Climate Initiative (IKI). It supports partners under a country-driven process to identify and integrate climate adaptation measures for agricultural sectors into relevant national planning and budgeting processes. The programme initially targets eight countries: Kenya, Nepal, Philippines, Thailand, Uganda, Uruguay, Vietnam and Zambia. However, it plans to expand to other countries in the Pacific, Asia, Africa as well as Latin America and the Caribbean. The new programme builds on existing FAO and UNDP country activities, by assisting them to develop tailored responses to their needs. For instance: In Nepal, there is a need to increase conservation of drought-resistant crop varieties by adopting water-conserving farming practices and promoting crop diversification. The consequences of last year's earthquakes highlight the importance of reducing risks for farmers due to climate and disasters. In Uganda, UNDP is helping set up a much-needed early-warning system for climate risks. The program will link to FAO projects that include educating farmers in the use of drought-tolerant seeds, plants and trees, as well as expand eucalyptus plantations for charcoal. FAO and UNDP will also expand their efforts in the Philippines to map vulnerability to food insecurity due to climate change, and explore ways to scale up risk-transfer mechanisms for farming communities. In Uruguay, efforts to restore degraded pasture lands and at-risk coastal ecosystems will be central to the new programme.
  2. International guidance on - Guidance about the sectors and activities that count as climate finance. Guidance about the type of instruments that should be counted as climate finance:. Guidance in the type of climate finance flows counted. Guidance about the type of receptor. Guidance applicable to private sector