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Ahmed Nour
Prediction to lower cost to Serve
20 June 20191
Index
2 20 June 2019
• Intro
• Strategy for prediction.
• How to Predict.
• Results of predictive models.
3
Profile
16 years of overall experience across variety of markets, led deployment of experience strategies in
the gulf region with heavy exposure to the overall EMEA region.
Certified Lean/Six Sigma Master BlackBelt.
Digital strategist certified by Google (squared online), understands how to build cutting edge digital
strategies and bridge them to the physical world to ensure maximum return.
Winner of more than 20 CX awards including, Best CX Brand, best CX Transformation Program and
Best Customer Service Strategy to mention a few.
Ahmed Nour
20 June 2019
Is it useful to predict?
20 June 20194
20 June 20195
“ Predictive Analytics is the process of learning from historical data in order to
make predictions about the future.”
Insight
Maturity of analysis
FuturePast
“Sense & Respond” “Predict & Act”
Hindsight
Insight
Foresight
Reporting
What Happened?
Analysis
Why it happened?
Predictive
What could happen?
perspective
What should we do?
Strategy of prediction
7
Four steps to formulate your strategy
Service Demand Contact Strategy Customer Preference Customer Management
“Who is going to contact you
and why?”
• Predict which customers are
in demand for service and the
root cause for their issue(s).
“Which customers should we
act on and which should we
“sleep”?”
• Predict which customers
need to be proactively
contacted to deflect/ avoid
issue.
“What are the
right time and right channel to
engage with customers?”
• Predict the right time and
channel(s) to engage with
customers for both inbound
and outbound contacts
“What should we do
to best serve our customers?”
• Predict the right service
action in response to
customer demand
Step 1: Who & Why Step 2: Act or Sleep Step 3: Right Channel / Time Step 4: Right Action
20 June 20197
20 June 20198
Proactive Reactive
Proactive actions aiming to reduce
frequency of contact (FOC)
Maximize efficiency when receiving inbound
contacts and optimize experience
All customer interactions would be more effective if
we could know upfront which customers are affected
by an issue and why
20 June 20199
1
20 June 201910
20 June 201911
2
20 June 2019
How to Predict
14
20 June 2019
14
15
20 June 2019
15
16
20 June 2019
16
17
Precision Recall Accuracy
1 2 3
20 June 2019
17
No silver bullet, iterative approach to test what works.
20 June 201918
20 June 201919
Pilots, POC’s & consultancy approach actually work.
Know Construct
Show Sustain
Results of Predictive models
21
Next Best Action
doesn’t mean
offering fries with
every order, or…
Network & Usage
Customer
Interactions
Handset &
Tenure
We take
everything
we know about
and
Only offer
what is relevant
NBA
20 June 2019
21
22
Target TNPS with NBATNPS without NBA
+71%+53%
Made 20 million
USD from
previously
unmonetized
channels
20 June 2019
22
23
Unexpected Extras
Operation
People
1 second improvement in AHT
SLA improved by 2 points
Abandonment Rate improved by 1 point
Employee engagement improved by
8 points
20 June 2019
23
24
92 96 97 105 116 120 151 163 181 197 211
275
364
364
405
560
507
560
616
6.6 6.8 6.6 6.7 7.1
6.9 7.8 8.6
9.5
10.6
10.2
9.9
9.9 11.0 11.4
10.5 14.4
15.4 18.6
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
85
185
285
385
485
585
Sept'16
Oct'16
Nov'16
Dec'16
Jan'17
Feb'17
M
ar'17
Apr'17
M
ay'17
June'17
Jul'17
Aug'17
Sep'17
Oct'17
Nov'17
Dec'17
Jan'18
Feb'18
M
ar'18
Thousands
Unique Customer and Freq of Visit
Unique customer Frequency of Visit
Prediction on it’s own is not really useful unless you know what
to do with predicted data!
Contact by Design … Complexity & predictability
25 20 June 2019
High Value Medium Value Mass
50%
Chat&AppIVR&USSD
10%
20%
10%
10%
10%
20%
20%
40%
* 100% outbound * 20% outbound
10%
10%
10%
40%
15%
10%
5%
Mass
Market
What was also made possible by prediction is drastically
lowering cost to serve by using a RFT commercial model.
26 20 June 2019
27 20 June 2019
Not Scary Multipurpose Useless on its own
Prediction is…
Thank you

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Ahmed Nour Predicts Lower Costs Through Analytics

  • 1. Ahmed Nour Prediction to lower cost to Serve 20 June 20191
  • 2. Index 2 20 June 2019 • Intro • Strategy for prediction. • How to Predict. • Results of predictive models.
  • 3. 3 Profile 16 years of overall experience across variety of markets, led deployment of experience strategies in the gulf region with heavy exposure to the overall EMEA region. Certified Lean/Six Sigma Master BlackBelt. Digital strategist certified by Google (squared online), understands how to build cutting edge digital strategies and bridge them to the physical world to ensure maximum return. Winner of more than 20 CX awards including, Best CX Brand, best CX Transformation Program and Best Customer Service Strategy to mention a few. Ahmed Nour 20 June 2019
  • 4. Is it useful to predict? 20 June 20194
  • 5. 20 June 20195 “ Predictive Analytics is the process of learning from historical data in order to make predictions about the future.” Insight Maturity of analysis FuturePast “Sense & Respond” “Predict & Act” Hindsight Insight Foresight Reporting What Happened? Analysis Why it happened? Predictive What could happen? perspective What should we do?
  • 7. 7 Four steps to formulate your strategy Service Demand Contact Strategy Customer Preference Customer Management “Who is going to contact you and why?” • Predict which customers are in demand for service and the root cause for their issue(s). “Which customers should we act on and which should we “sleep”?” • Predict which customers need to be proactively contacted to deflect/ avoid issue. “What are the right time and right channel to engage with customers?” • Predict the right time and channel(s) to engage with customers for both inbound and outbound contacts “What should we do to best serve our customers?” • Predict the right service action in response to customer demand Step 1: Who & Why Step 2: Act or Sleep Step 3: Right Channel / Time Step 4: Right Action 20 June 20197
  • 8. 20 June 20198 Proactive Reactive Proactive actions aiming to reduce frequency of contact (FOC) Maximize efficiency when receiving inbound contacts and optimize experience All customer interactions would be more effective if we could know upfront which customers are affected by an issue and why
  • 17. 17 Precision Recall Accuracy 1 2 3 20 June 2019 17
  • 18. No silver bullet, iterative approach to test what works. 20 June 201918
  • 19. 20 June 201919 Pilots, POC’s & consultancy approach actually work. Know Construct Show Sustain
  • 21. 21 Next Best Action doesn’t mean offering fries with every order, or… Network & Usage Customer Interactions Handset & Tenure We take everything we know about and Only offer what is relevant NBA 20 June 2019 21
  • 22. 22 Target TNPS with NBATNPS without NBA +71%+53% Made 20 million USD from previously unmonetized channels 20 June 2019 22
  • 23. 23 Unexpected Extras Operation People 1 second improvement in AHT SLA improved by 2 points Abandonment Rate improved by 1 point Employee engagement improved by 8 points 20 June 2019 23
  • 24. 24 92 96 97 105 116 120 151 163 181 197 211 275 364 364 405 560 507 560 616 6.6 6.8 6.6 6.7 7.1 6.9 7.8 8.6 9.5 10.6 10.2 9.9 9.9 11.0 11.4 10.5 14.4 15.4 18.6 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 85 185 285 385 485 585 Sept'16 Oct'16 Nov'16 Dec'16 Jan'17 Feb'17 M ar'17 Apr'17 M ay'17 June'17 Jul'17 Aug'17 Sep'17 Oct'17 Nov'17 Dec'17 Jan'18 Feb'18 M ar'18 Thousands Unique Customer and Freq of Visit Unique customer Frequency of Visit Prediction on it’s own is not really useful unless you know what to do with predicted data!
  • 25. Contact by Design … Complexity & predictability 25 20 June 2019 High Value Medium Value Mass 50% Chat&AppIVR&USSD 10% 20% 10% 10% 10% 20% 20% 40% * 100% outbound * 20% outbound 10% 10% 10% 40% 15% 10% 5% Mass Market
  • 26. What was also made possible by prediction is drastically lowering cost to serve by using a RFT commercial model. 26 20 June 2019
  • 27. 27 20 June 2019 Not Scary Multipurpose Useless on its own Prediction is…