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Nadia Scialabba - Methods and metrics
1. The True Cost of American Food, San Francisco, USA, 16 April 2016
SUSTAINABILITY METHODS AND METRICS
NADIA EL-HAGE SCIALABBA
Senior Natural Resources Officer, FAO Climate and Environment Division
2. COMMENTS ON THE EBBRAT MODEL
(Ecosystem-based business risk analysis tool)
๏ Taking ecosystem services as the focus for determining reliance on all natural
resources (including atmosphere, land, water and biodiversity) is brilliant for
environmental assessment โ but social wellbeing aspects may be understated
๏ EBBRAT assesses qualitatively and quantitatively but also monetize risks and
opportunities: this allows identifying individual hotspots, trade-offs and
synergies and different performances could be aggregated into a single index โ
but it is unclear how the results would be displayed to ease decision-making
๏ Performance evaluation of enterprises is subjective, as short-term perceived
impacts are chosen over longer-term and objective assessments โ the problem is
not the self-reporting process but the absence of a template (or check list) to
follow, with clear criteria for variations
๏ Qualitative assessments address conflicts between sustainability pillars while
trade-offs are mainly observed within single dimension, namely environmental
3. COMMENTS ON THE EBBRAT MODEL (2)
(Ecosystem-based business risk analysis tool)
๏ The overall approach to monetizing ecosystem service categories is sound:
๏ Provisioning services: direct market value
๏ Regulating services: replacement costs (and production function?)
๏ Supporting services: avoided costs
๏ Cultural services: benefit transfer (but employment to be further stressed)
๏ However:
๏ Are there templates for farm questionnaires with default indicators?
๏ Use of โavailableโ biophysical data may be insufficient
๏ Indicators could be improved by including more comparable variables,
such as: crop erosion potential (for soil replacement costs); water scarcity
(for consumptive use); renewable energy ratio (for energy budget)
๏ Monetary units could be debatable (e.g. Carbon price)
4. VALUATION APPROACHES
Direct market value Replacement costs Hedonic pricing (WTP)
& Production function & Damage cost avoided & Travel Costs (recreational areas)
5. Monetary valuation based on market data is defensible, but monetization remains an
inaccurate proxy for societal values:
Carbon price may be lower than true economic value: market price of carbon
depends on trade carbon emissions, which depend on volatile markets (from $45/t a
few years ago to $5/t today); Carbon taxes and fines, defined by governments, reflect
political reality (EU/ETS Euro 100/t) but not damage costs; Social Cost of Carbon
has a wide range of variation ($ 8-112/t) depending on coverage and key parameters
choice (i.e. discount rate, time-horizon, risk aversion and climate sensitivity)
Soil erosion rate values have a large cost spectrum (varying by a factor of 2 to 50)
for both on-site damage (e.g. yield losses, drop in land value) and off-site (e.g.
flooding, sedimentation, health)
Biodiversity (of species and ecosystems) is most difficult to monetize as:
biodiversity is not always marketed nor has observable prices, while presenting
double counting challenges with Carbon, land and water valuations
MONETIZATION CHALLENGES
6. MONETIZATION CHALLENGES (2)
Water use cost do not reflect contribution to water scarcity ($ 2.02 to 18.8/m3):
most direct use (irrigation) water costs are already reflected in producer prices; no
agreement on accounting for extraction or consumption volumes; infrastructure and
provisioning costs often not included in consumptive use. Water quality is relatively
easy to value through clean-up expenditures for pesticides removal (30% in USA)
and nitrates from drinking water, as well as mitigation of eutrophication (N and P)
Other challenges of market valuation:
๏ market prices may be distorted by policy failures (e.g. water price)
๏ replacement costs may under-estimate the bundle of all ecosystem services
๏ damage costs avoided can be complex, as values involve annual average damages
associated with different return periods (e.g. 5, 30, 50, 100 years)
๏ benefit transfer to ecosystem services is difficult to apply (recreation indirect use)
๏ the quality of an asset refers to a given point in time: pristine biomes?
Most valuation techniques involve selecting a range of parameters and giving them a
value through scoring and weighting, based on data and expert judgement
8. Source: Natural Capital Coalition Food and Beverage Sector Guide: Materiality Matrix for the value chain of barley used to produce beer
NATURAL CAPITAL PROTOCOL
๏ The Natural Capital Coalition (~ 200 members) is currently developing a
standardized framework that outlines why, what and how businesses can identify
their impacts and dependencies on natural capital
๏ The Natural Capital Protocol has two sector guides, one of which is for food and
beverages , developed by an IUCN-led consortium to which FAO participates
๏ The Draft Food & Beverage Sector Guide was piloted and publicly commented
till end of February 2016; the final text is to be launched on 13 July 2016
๏ The Protocol (so far) consists of 10 steps including: scoping; measuring and
valuing; and applying and embedding results in businessโ strategies and operations
NCP helps connecting different non-financial work streams in business (e.g.
energy, water, waste) in a coherent way, as well as providing guidance on
qualitative, quantitative and monetary valuation of impacts and/or dependencies for
particular business contexts and applications (but no rule of best practice)
9. Interaction with natural capital visualized through the materiality matrix of the
NCP Food & Beverage Sector Guide
Source: Natural Capital Coalition Food and Beverage Sector Guide: Materiality Matrix for the value chain of barley used to produce beer
NATURAL CAPITAL PROTOCOL METRICS
10. OPERATIONAL NATURAL CAPITAL INTENSITY OF CROP COMMODITIES (USD OF IMPACTS PER TONNE OF PRODUCTION)
Natural Capital Impacts in Agriculture: Supporting Better Business Decision-Making
(2014) evaluated the environmental cost of global agriculture to $3 trillion/year
FAO MATERIALITY STUDY
11.
12. SETTING SPATIAL BOUNDARIES
Spatial boundaries -
beyond direct operational
impacts - will determine
the enterprise
performanceโ outcome
Time horizon: SAFA
focuses on present
performance , while
seeking continuous
progress. Thus, the first
SAFA determines the
baseline for future
(annual) assessments
14. SUSTAINABILITY PILLAR: GOVERNANCE
๏ Enterprises collect, analyze and report to stakeholders economic, social and
environmental impacts (triple bottom line reporting) and the accounting process
makes transparent both subsidies received and direct and indirect costs externalized
๏ Enterprises do not account for impacts and performance using any FCA regime, or
have significant costs on the environment and community which are externalized
from accounting systems
15. SUSTAINABILITY PILLAR: ENVIRONMENT
SAFAโs environmental pillar takes a semi-quantitative MCA
approach and a quantitative LCA approach to benchmark (avoided)
harm or restoration of natural resources
16. SUSTAINABILITY PILLAR: ECONOMIC
Theme Goal: Any contamination of produce with potentially harmful substances is
avoided, and nutritional quality and traceability of all produce are clearly stated
17. SUSTAINABILITY PILLAR: SOCIAL
๏ The enterprise takes measures to avoid polluting or contaminating the local
community and contributes to the health of the local community
๏ The enterprise pollutes water, air and soils with toxic materials and expands
without consideration for other area residents and their needs
23. BENCHMARKING SAI Platform FSA 2.0
SAI/FSA being
practice-based, it
takes a more
direct and
specific focus on
farmersโ issues -
while SAFAโs
scope is broader
and more
performance-
oriented
24. DISAGGREGATED RATING OF A THEME
Themesโ
performance is
calculated by
scoring,
weighting
(including โno
goโ values)
indicators. SAFA
does not
aggregate its 21
Themes - and all
sustainability
themes are given
the same weight
25. LESSONS AND CHALLENGES AHEAD
๏ Like most valuation techniques, SAFA scores and weights qualitative and
quantitative indicators, based on (primary and secondary) data and expert judgement
๏ SAFA sustainability polygone displays trade-offs and opportunities along 21
Themes that cannot be further aggregated. Monetization of impacts offers a
common denominator for the aggregation of environmental, social and economic
performance (thus, comparability) โ IF rigorous and agreed metrics are developed
๏ The 1000s applicationโs of SAFA in different contexts world over indicate that:
๏ Full-Cost Accounting usually performs poorly, especially at farm level
๏ Synergies exist between the Governance pillar and all other sustainability pillars
๏ Trade-offs between the Economic and Social pillars are substantial (e.g. Profitability
vs Public Health)
๏ Major trade-offs are often seen between the Environment and Economic pillars
๏ The largest trade-offs occur within the Environmental Integrity pillar (e.g. GHG vs
Animal Welfare), even larger than the trade-offs with other pillars); often,
performance is limited to one theme and all goalsโ achievement show high variability