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© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Kevin Wheeler | May 2015
Future Trends in the Workplace


 -Riding the Waves of Change
Retreat 2015 The Netherlands
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
2
“Know what’s weird? Day by day,
nothing seems to change, but
pretty soon … everything’s
different.” 

 
 
 
 
– Calvin from Calvin and Hobbes (by Bill Watterson)
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
3
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Community: Tribes & Teams
4
Increasingly communication is across &
between online networks of like-minded
people as well as face-to-face.
Collaboration & cooperation are
how goals are achieved.
Feedback, learning are generative,
collective, peer-driven.
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Global, Virtual Workforce Emerges
5
GUIDING
PRINCIPLE: Skills
not geography are
king.
Wide sharing
of data,
ideas
Opening Virtual Borders
Rise of
Collaborative
Work
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
  Approach a project/assignment in quickly formed teams.
  Focus on people with skills and capabilities that
differentiate.
  Reward learning/fast adaptation and fast “unlearning”
  Scan data/market for trends and adapt quickly.
  Build, test, rebuild……
SWAT Work Teams
6
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
7Source: http://www.social-hire.com/social-recruiting-advice/3758/how-twitter-use-twitter-to-recruit
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
AUTOMATION OF WORK
8
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Capital is
Substituting for
Labor
-McKinsey Global Institute.
9
Source: http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/employment_and_growth/the_world_at_work
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
The Employment “Bathtub”
10
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
INNOVATION
IMPERATIVE
11
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Talent Disruption
Internet
Social
Mobile
Cloud
Big Data - Analytics
Technology Foundation
Emerging Innovations
Internet of Things
Robotics
Disruptive Scenarios
Sense & Respond Systems
Algorithms Automate Everything Talent
Robo-Talent Managers
Seamless Emplolyee/Candidate Conversation
HERE BE DRAGONS
Predictive Analytics
12
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
9 Critical Capabilities of Knowledge
Workers
Source: Oscar Berg
http://www.oscarberg.net/2015/04/introducing-digital-collaboration-canvas.html
13
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Another Possible Capability Set
14
Sense making
Social Intelligence
Novel & Adaptive Thinking
Cross Cultural Competence
Computational Thinking
New Media Literacy
Transdisciplinary Thinking
Design Mindset
Cognitive Load Management
Virtual Collaboration
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
DESIGN WITH DATA
15
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
17
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
18
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
19
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
NETWORK
CAPITAL
20
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
21
Effective knowledge networks require
leadership from everyone – an aggressively
intelligent and engaged workforce, learning
with each other. Positional leadership, by the
authority of some hierarchy, is giving way to
reputational leadership, as determined by the
myriad feedback loops of the network
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Social Influence – Network Capital
22
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
© 2010,
Future of
Talent
Institute
23
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Network Capital Enables
24
CANDIDATE
ATTRACTION
CANDIDATE
ENGAGEMENT
HIGHER
QUALITY
CANDIDATE
PERSONALIZED
MARKETING
BETTER
SERVICE
LOWER
COST
TRUST &
RELATIONSHIP
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Elements of Influence
25
CENTRALITY
Links,
Traffic,
Views
RELEVANCE
#Retweets,
Likes
RESONANCE
Activity
Level
REACH
How many,
How far
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
  Shift from amount of knowledge to how fast you can learn.
  People come to geographic centers (e.g. Silicon Valley)
because it is there they learn the fastest by interchanges
with other people face-to-face.
  Libraries may take on new roles as “knowledge exchange
centers.” They become the physical, intellectual knowledge
sharing place people go to be part of panels and
discussion groups, to learn from each other and from the
materials available, have conversations, and even make
things.
26
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
27
NEW ORG
STRUCTURES
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Cynefin Model – Dave Snowden
cognitive-edge.com/
28
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
 Lean, Flat, Simple, Asset-Light
 Ecosystems Thinking
 Relationship Based
 Open, Agile, Collaborative
 Sense and Respond Systems
 Adaptive, Experimental
 Focus on creativity, design
Emerging Organizational Structures
29
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Tenure at the Top
30
The topple rate, - a measure of how rapidly
companies lose their leadership position, - has
increased by almost 40 percent since 1965. The
tenure of companies on the S&P 500 was 61
years in 1958; it’s now 18 years. If these trends
continue, 75 percent of the S&P 500 companies
will have changed over the next 15 years.
Dealing with disruptive change is very tough, -
and getting even tougher in our fast changing
digital economy. 
Source: Irving Wladawsky-Berger: http://blog.irvingwb.com/blog/2015/05/
embracing-disruptive-change-why-is-it-so-difficult.html#more
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Changes in mindset, economics, & technology
Make possible flatter, leaner structures 
Increases in automation & analytics
Which augment brain power
And an agile, largely contingent workforce
Organizations
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
32
And a rise in contingent employment
With growth of entrepreneurial mindset
Value increasingly placed on creative arts,
design, psychology & areas where computers struggle
to add value.
Changes in attitudes, Internet, lifestyle
Lead to new work arrangements & styles
Increased complexity & rise in computer power
Individuals
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Emerging Org Types
33
REI
Co-op
SEMCO
Democracy
BURLINGTON
CO-HOUSING
Sociocracy
ZAPPOS
Holocracy
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
COLLABORATION &
COMMUNITY
34
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
-Social Interaction
-Value in relationship
-Informal
-Multi-Directional

communication
21st Century
Common Communication Methods
-Face-to-Face formal
-Interview
-Mail/Email
-Meetings
Common Communication Methods
-Face-to-Face informal
-Interview
-Social Media
-On-line communities
Institutions Core
Networks & Communities Core
35
-Transactional
-Low relationship
-Formal
-One-way communication
20th Century
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
New Approach by
Zappos
No Job Postings!
NOJobpostings
36
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Two-Thirds of Work is Done Outside of
Organizational Workspace
37
Corporate Office
35%
Co-Working/Cafe
35%
At Home
35%
Growth is here
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Embrace Yourselves for the Worker of
2020 and Beyond
•  Half of workforce will be Gen Ys who are now in their mid to
late 30s. 
•  Many have never had a “normal” job or have had one briefly.
Valued by network with strong social network scores
and peer endorsements. 
•  May work part-time, some-time, anywhere.
•  Cycle between projects & longer term contracts. 
•  Find work via skills marketplaces, peer networks,
collaboration, social media.
•  Expect to be guided by process and goals, not a manager. 
38
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
Typical Worker 2020-2024
•  Self-learning dominates.
•  Measure of success is peer respect, goal achievement
(performance), and flexibility.
•  Recruiting them is about finding them the right projects/
people to work with.
•  Learn & find work via mobile devices and wearable tools.

39
© 2015, Future of Talent Institute
www.futureoftalent.org
Kevin Wheeler
Founder & Chairman
kwheeler@futureoftalent.org

Follow me on Twitter: @kwheeler
40
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Kevin wheeler

  • 1. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Kevin Wheeler | May 2015 Future Trends in the Workplace
 -Riding the Waves of Change Retreat 2015 The Netherlands
  • 2. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute 2 “Know what’s weird? Day by day, nothing seems to change, but pretty soon … everything’s different.” – Calvin from Calvin and Hobbes (by Bill Watterson)
  • 3. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute 3
  • 4. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Community: Tribes & Teams 4 Increasingly communication is across & between online networks of like-minded people as well as face-to-face. Collaboration & cooperation are how goals are achieved. Feedback, learning are generative, collective, peer-driven.
  • 5. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Global, Virtual Workforce Emerges 5 GUIDING PRINCIPLE: Skills not geography are king. Wide sharing of data, ideas Opening Virtual Borders Rise of Collaborative Work
  • 6. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute   Approach a project/assignment in quickly formed teams.   Focus on people with skills and capabilities that differentiate.   Reward learning/fast adaptation and fast “unlearning”   Scan data/market for trends and adapt quickly.   Build, test, rebuild…… SWAT Work Teams 6
  • 7. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute 7Source: http://www.social-hire.com/social-recruiting-advice/3758/how-twitter-use-twitter-to-recruit
  • 8. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute AUTOMATION OF WORK 8
  • 9. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Capital is Substituting for Labor -McKinsey Global Institute. 9 Source: http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/employment_and_growth/the_world_at_work
  • 10. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute The Employment “Bathtub” 10
  • 11. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute INNOVATION IMPERATIVE 11
  • 12. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Talent Disruption Internet Social Mobile Cloud Big Data - Analytics Technology Foundation Emerging Innovations Internet of Things Robotics Disruptive Scenarios Sense & Respond Systems Algorithms Automate Everything Talent Robo-Talent Managers Seamless Emplolyee/Candidate Conversation HERE BE DRAGONS Predictive Analytics 12
  • 13. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute 9 Critical Capabilities of Knowledge Workers Source: Oscar Berg http://www.oscarberg.net/2015/04/introducing-digital-collaboration-canvas.html 13
  • 14. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Another Possible Capability Set 14 Sense making Social Intelligence Novel & Adaptive Thinking Cross Cultural Competence Computational Thinking New Media Literacy Transdisciplinary Thinking Design Mindset Cognitive Load Management Virtual Collaboration
  • 15. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute DESIGN WITH DATA 15
  • 16. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute
  • 17. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute 17
  • 18. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute 18
  • 19. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute 19
  • 20. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute NETWORK CAPITAL 20
  • 21. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute 21 Effective knowledge networks require leadership from everyone – an aggressively intelligent and engaged workforce, learning with each other. Positional leadership, by the authority of some hierarchy, is giving way to reputational leadership, as determined by the myriad feedback loops of the network
  • 22. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Social Influence – Network Capital 22
  • 23. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute © 2010, Future of Talent Institute 23
  • 24. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Network Capital Enables 24 CANDIDATE ATTRACTION CANDIDATE ENGAGEMENT HIGHER QUALITY CANDIDATE PERSONALIZED MARKETING BETTER SERVICE LOWER COST TRUST & RELATIONSHIP
  • 25. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Elements of Influence 25 CENTRALITY Links, Traffic, Views RELEVANCE #Retweets, Likes RESONANCE Activity Level REACH How many, How far
  • 26. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute   Shift from amount of knowledge to how fast you can learn.   People come to geographic centers (e.g. Silicon Valley) because it is there they learn the fastest by interchanges with other people face-to-face.   Libraries may take on new roles as “knowledge exchange centers.” They become the physical, intellectual knowledge sharing place people go to be part of panels and discussion groups, to learn from each other and from the materials available, have conversations, and even make things. 26
  • 27. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute 27 NEW ORG STRUCTURES
  • 28. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Cynefin Model – Dave Snowden cognitive-edge.com/ 28
  • 29. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute  Lean, Flat, Simple, Asset-Light  Ecosystems Thinking  Relationship Based  Open, Agile, Collaborative  Sense and Respond Systems  Adaptive, Experimental  Focus on creativity, design Emerging Organizational Structures 29
  • 30. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Tenure at the Top 30 The topple rate, - a measure of how rapidly companies lose their leadership position, - has increased by almost 40 percent since 1965. The tenure of companies on the S&P 500 was 61 years in 1958; it’s now 18 years. If these trends continue, 75 percent of the S&P 500 companies will have changed over the next 15 years. Dealing with disruptive change is very tough, - and getting even tougher in our fast changing digital economy. Source: Irving Wladawsky-Berger: http://blog.irvingwb.com/blog/2015/05/ embracing-disruptive-change-why-is-it-so-difficult.html#more
  • 31. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Changes in mindset, economics, & technology Make possible flatter, leaner structures Increases in automation & analytics Which augment brain power And an agile, largely contingent workforce Organizations
  • 32. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute 32 And a rise in contingent employment With growth of entrepreneurial mindset Value increasingly placed on creative arts, design, psychology & areas where computers struggle to add value. Changes in attitudes, Internet, lifestyle Lead to new work arrangements & styles Increased complexity & rise in computer power Individuals
  • 33. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Emerging Org Types 33 REI Co-op SEMCO Democracy BURLINGTON CO-HOUSING Sociocracy ZAPPOS Holocracy
  • 34. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute COLLABORATION & COMMUNITY 34
  • 35. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute -Social Interaction -Value in relationship -Informal -Multi-Directional
 communication 21st Century Common Communication Methods -Face-to-Face formal -Interview -Mail/Email -Meetings Common Communication Methods -Face-to-Face informal -Interview -Social Media -On-line communities Institutions Core Networks & Communities Core 35 -Transactional -Low relationship -Formal -One-way communication 20th Century
  • 36. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute New Approach by Zappos No Job Postings! NOJobpostings 36
  • 37. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Two-Thirds of Work is Done Outside of Organizational Workspace 37 Corporate Office 35% Co-Working/Cafe 35% At Home 35% Growth is here
  • 38. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Embrace Yourselves for the Worker of 2020 and Beyond •  Half of workforce will be Gen Ys who are now in their mid to late 30s. •  Many have never had a “normal” job or have had one briefly. Valued by network with strong social network scores and peer endorsements. •  May work part-time, some-time, anywhere. •  Cycle between projects & longer term contracts. •  Find work via skills marketplaces, peer networks, collaboration, social media. •  Expect to be guided by process and goals, not a manager. 38
  • 39. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute Typical Worker 2020-2024 •  Self-learning dominates. •  Measure of success is peer respect, goal achievement (performance), and flexibility. •  Recruiting them is about finding them the right projects/ people to work with. •  Learn & find work via mobile devices and wearable tools. 39
  • 40. © 2015, Future of Talent Institute www.futureoftalent.org Kevin Wheeler Founder & Chairman kwheeler@futureoftalent.org Follow me on Twitter: @kwheeler 40 For additional information of become a member (free):