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Ed Morrison
Director
Purdue Agile
Strategy Lab
October 19,2018
JUMPING THE
CURVE IN
WORKFORCE
Our Current
Situation
| 3
Symptoms of a
Broken System
All around us, we see symptoms of broken education and
workforce development systems. Skill shortages are
touching every industry.
Consider these headlines taken from the news during the week of
October 1.
• Local manufacturers grapple with tariffs, workforce shortages
• Can industry bridge the government cyber skills gap?
• Skills shortages a major cyber security risk
• Recruiting and retaining top talent remains biggest HR
challenge
• More staff training is vital
Why do we see such widespread skill shortages? More important,
what can be done about this challenge? This presentation
addresses these questions.
| 4
The Transformation
Underway in Our
Economy
For over 30 years, our economy has been experiencing a
profound transformation from an industrial age to a
knowledge age.
This transformation is accelerating. It has profound implications for
the way in which work is organized, how are companies and
organizations can be managed, and how effective government
policy can be designed.
The nature of this shift can best be explained by using S Curves.
Time
Prosperity
Wealth driven by hierarchical
business models
Wealth driven by network
business models
Industrial Capitalism
Network Capitalism
We are here
| 5
Our Failure toAdapt
Quickly
Our industrial-era systems are remarkably stable. But the
command-and-control mindset that drives these
hierarchical systems is resistant to learning and
adaptation.
Hierarchies continue to dominate the way most organizations are
designed and managed.
While they strive for predictable results, they do not adapt well the
significant changes in the environment.
As a consequence, our public, private and nonprofit institutions
have not adapted well to the deep changes underlying the
transformation of our economy.
| 6
The Challenge:
Jumping the Curve
The Result:
Innovation
We hear a lot about agility today.
But what does this really mean?
With S Curves, agility means the ability
to link and leverage an organization’s
assets to define new opportunities. As
people link and leverage relentlessly,
new opportunities to innovate emerge.
| 7
Industrial Thinking
About Education
and Workforce
In the Industrial era our dominant mental model of
education and workforce was very simple. Inaccurate, to
be sure. But convenient and simple.
The reality of career paths — past, present and emerging — is far
more complex. To make adjustments, we need a far clearer view
of the system of education and workforce development.
We will not be able to “jump the curve” until we have a more
accurate picture of the education, workforce development and
career pathways in our economy.
K through
12
4 Years of
College
Career
Seeing Our
Situation More
Accurately
| 9
Getting a Handle on
Drop-Outs
A first major adjustment: Understanding the extent of
our high school drop-outs.
For many years, governments at all levels failed to provide
accurate data on the extent of our drop-out problem. Most
communities know more about where their solid waste ends up
than where their 9th graders end up.
Dropping out of high school is financially the most
consequential decision an individual can make in a lifetime. Yet,
we have many adolescents making this decision without any
adult supervision.
K through 12
4 Years of
College
Dropout
Cycle
Dropouts
Career
| 10
Next Up: Weak Skills
A second major adjustment:
Understanding the extent go how
many young people graduate from
high school with weak skills.
Globalization has massively increased the
volume of people capable of performing low
skill, low pay jobs. With weak skills and no
post secondary education plan, high school
students are only qualified to get entry level,
low skill jobs. This path leads to the working
poor.
K through 12
4 Years of
College
Dropout
Cycle
Dropouts
Entry
level
Working
poor
No career plan
Weak skills
Career
| 11
The Dependency
Cycle Trap
K through 12
4 Years of
College
Dependency
Cycle
Dropouts
Career
Entry
level
Working
poor
No career plan
Weak skills
A third major adjustment:
Understanding how difficult we have
made the move out of the dependency
cycle.
Once inside the dependency cycle, we have
provided weak, confusing, and wasteful
pathways out.
| 12
Post-Secondary
Education is
Essential
K through 12 Career
2 Years of
College
Certifications
4 Years of
College
A fourth major adjustment: Understanding the importance
and variety of post-secondary education.
In today’s knowledge economy, students need a post secondary
education. There are a wide variety of options, But many
communities ignore this important message.
| 13
The High Value of
Pre-School
Early childhood education is a remarkably valuable
investment. It makes sense: from 0 to 3 years old, a child’s
brain is developing rapidly.
One of the highest value investments we can make in education
comes in early childhood As former Kentucky Governor Martha
Layne Collins emphasized as she pushed Southern states to adopt
pre-school: “Workforce development begins with a pregnant
mother.”
K through 12 Career
2 Years of
College
Certifications
4 Years of
College
Early
Childhood
Education
| 14
Weak Pathways for
the Working Poor
Another major adjustment:
Understanding how difficult
we have made the move
out of the working poor
cycle.
The working poor face major
challenges as well. While post
secondary education is a path
to career jobs, we do not make
it easy for working poor to
continue their education.
K through 12
Dependency
Cycle
Dropouts
Career
Entry
level
Working
poor
No career plan
Weak skills
2 Years of
College
Certifications
4 Years of
College
No easy way for the
working poor to escape
| 15
Losing a Career Job
Means Getting New
Skills
Many people who lose their career jobs do not have the
skills they need to get another career job.
We do not have productive pathways to get people back into the
workforce once they have lost their jobs. The current workforce
development system is cumbersome and complex.
K through 12
Dependency
Cycle
Career
Entry
level
Working
poor
$10.00
per hour
2 Years of
College
Certifications
4 Years of
College
Lost
job
Pre-K
Source: Ed Morrison. Distributed through a Creative Commons 3.0 Attribution License
| 16
WeAre Not Producing
Enough People with
Career Skills
K through 12
Dependency
Cycle
Career
Entry
level
Working
poor
$10.00
per hour
2 Years of
College
Certifications
4 Years of
College
Lost
job
Pre-K
Source: Ed Morrison. Distributed through a Creative Commons 3.0 Attribution License
Each regional economy is different, but here are some
rules of thumb.
Most regional economies have between 70% and 80% of their
jobs above the line of $10 per hour. Yet, for decades, we have
been producing anywhere from 30% to 60% of people with weak
skills.The result: widespread skill shortages.
| 17
This Situation is No
One’s Fault
K through 12
Dependency
Cycle
Career
Entry
level
Working
poor
$10.00
per hour
2 Years of
College
Certifications
4 Years of
College
Lost
job
Pre-K
Source: Ed Morrison. Distributed through a Creative Commons 3.0 Attribution License
We are attempting to address Network Challenges with
Hierarchical Mindsets.
Every time we get into arguments about who is at fault in this
situation, we are missing an essential point. We need to imagine
new systems, new approaches to education and workforce. We
need to design “what’s next”.
| 18
Designing What’s
Next
Ages
0-4
Primary/Elementary/Middle School
3-5 6-8
K-2
Tech Prep
College Prep
High School College/University
4 Year College/University
Community
College
Work
Pre School
Reading by the end of
Grade 2
Career Pathways
Civic Education
Entrepreneurship Education
Science and Math Education
Drop out prevention
Continuous teacher development
Source: Ed Morrison, Copyright 2018 distributed through a Creative Commons 3.0 Attribution ShareAlike license.
Visit strategicdoing.net and facebook.com/stratdoing.
Schools need outside
collaborations to
provide high quality
services to students
and teachers
Here’s an example of what a new system might start to
look like: A system that is more open, flexible, agile, and
responsive to both learners and employers.
Collaborative
Leadership and
Agile Strategy
| 20
Strategy is Different
in Networks
To design and guide new education nd
workforce networks, we need a new
approach to strategy. Traditional strategic
planning was designed for hierarchical,
command and control organizations.
Since 2005, Purdue has been incubating a new
strategy discipline specifically designed for open,
loosely connected networks, Called Strategic
Doing, it enables participants to form
collaborations quickly and move them toward
measurable outcomes.
It does this by teaching the skills of how to form
collaborations by designing and guiding the
conversations that lead to these collaborations.
Rooted in open software development, Strategic
Doing relies on a set of simple rules to guide the
process.
Strategic Planning Strategic Doing
| 21
Why Strategic
Doing?
Source: Ed Morrison, Purdue Agile Strategy Lab
Simple
Complex
Complex
Where are
we going?
How will we get there?
Strategic
Planning
Agile Strategy
Strategic Doing Cycle
Ten Rules of Strategic Doing
Effective strategy answers two questions: Where are we
going? How will we get there?.
With increasing uncertainty and complexity, we need to define our
strategies repeatedly. To do that, Strategic Doing provides a
simple framework to guide these strategic conversations.
| 22
Open Innovation,
Platforms and
Ecosystems
To address our education and workforce challenges, we
need a new approach to accelerate innovation. Three
concepts define the opportunity: open innovation,
platforms, and ecosystems.
• Open innovation means engaging multiple organizations in a
disciplined process to design something new and valuable.
• To form these collaborations, we need new platforms —
places where people come together regularly to design what’s
next.
• As new collaborations form, new ecosystems emerge. Within
these ecosystems, innovation accelerates.
Organization A Organization B
Organization C
The Purdue approach to open innovation relies on
platforms.The strategic conversations on the
platform are artfully designed to test hypotheses and
build trust. The conversations take place within 2 to
3 hour workshops.
Strategic Doing is “the most clear and
concise open innovation process I’ve
seen.”
Mark Scotland
CEO
4.0 Analytics
Some Proof
Points
| 24
Creating New
Workforce
Partnerships
0
7,500
15,000
22,500
30,000
Began Training Completed Training Degrees/Certificates
Goal Result
2.7 X
2.9 X
2.7 X
Purdue participated in a federal program to transform the
regional workforce system in North Central Indiana.
• Purdue received 8% of the money awarded nationally ad
produced 40% of the national results.
• Using Strategic Doing, Purdue exceeded its own ambitions
goals by a factor of 3X.
| 25
Example: Project
Lead the Way
As part of the project, Purdue accelerated the formation
of Project Lead the Way high schools.
• PLTW is a a nationally recognized pre-engineering program.
• Indiana now has the highest concentration of these school s in
the country.
• After this success, PLTW moved its headquarters to
Indianapolis.
| 26
Example: National
STEM Guitar Project
Another example of Strategic Doing: Mark French, a
professor in Purdue’s School of Engineering Technology,
proposed an idea for an innovative summer camp.
• Mark proposed to introduce high school students to STEM
skills by having them make their own electric guitar.
• From this small beginning with 15 students, Mark’s idea
caught fire.
• The National Science Foundation now spoors these camps all
over the country.
| 27
Transforming
Engineering
Education
2.2
7.7
Top Quartile
Bottom Quartile
The Purdue Agile Lab introduced Strategic Doing to 50
university teams. Each team focused on transforming
undergraduate engineering education.
• These 50 teams launched over .500 collaborations.
• 37 university teams subsequently participated in a research
project.
• The highest performing teams followed the Strategic Doing
discipline most closely.
• High performing teams followed about 8 of the rules;
• The lowest performing teams followed only 2 of the rules.
•
| 28
Scaling the
Recovery in
Puerto Rico
Two people…
…organized a
team of 6
faculty to travel
to Puerto
Rico…
…to teach 40 people
the skills of Strategic Doing
over 2.5 days
Then in 6 hours
10 graduates…
…guided 60 civic leaders to
design 7 complex
collaborations, each with a
strategic action plan.
1 Month 1 Week
Because we can teach this new discipline, we can scale
it quickly. Here’s an example from our work on the
recovery in Puerto Rico.
Agile Policy
| 30
Agile Policy To design what’s next, we
need new approaches to
education and workforce
development policy that are
more adaptive and
experimental.
Designing these new policies
does not need to sacrifice
accountability. Indeed, by
leveraging transparency, policy-
making can be more open and
responsive.
Phase 1 Grant
t-0 t-1 t-2
Investment
Level
t-0
t-1
t-2
Starting of Data Capture and Evaluation Protocols, Investment internal to Government
Phase 1 Exploratory Grant: Test Ecosystem Model Assumptions; Prepare investment case
Phase 2 Launch Grant: Requires co-investment
Data Capture, Evaluation and Research
Phase 2 Grant
Phase 3 Grant
t-3
Pilot Phase
Launch Phase
Sustainaibility Phase
Phase 3 Data and Evaluation Grant: Data capture grant on-going
t-3
Government Investment
Other Investment, grants, revenues
Source: Ed Morrison, Purdue Agile Strategy Lab
Learn More
| 32
Contact Information The next step is up to you. If this approach to innovation
looks potentially valuable to your organization, contact us
to discuss designing a pilot project.
Organizations interested in new ways to think about education and
work force development Ed Morrison, Director, Purdue Agile
Strategy Lab (edmorrison@purdue.edu).
The Purdue Agile Strategy Lab is a component of the School for
Engineering Technology within the Purdue Polytechnic Institute.
The Lab web site is: www.agilestrategylab.org
Ed Morrison
Director, Purdue Agile Strategy Lab
edmorrison@purdue.edu

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  • 1. i Ed Morrison Director Purdue Agile Strategy Lab October 19,2018 JUMPING THE CURVE IN WORKFORCE
  • 3. | 3 Symptoms of a Broken System All around us, we see symptoms of broken education and workforce development systems. Skill shortages are touching every industry. Consider these headlines taken from the news during the week of October 1. • Local manufacturers grapple with tariffs, workforce shortages • Can industry bridge the government cyber skills gap? • Skills shortages a major cyber security risk • Recruiting and retaining top talent remains biggest HR challenge • More staff training is vital Why do we see such widespread skill shortages? More important, what can be done about this challenge? This presentation addresses these questions.
  • 4. | 4 The Transformation Underway in Our Economy For over 30 years, our economy has been experiencing a profound transformation from an industrial age to a knowledge age. This transformation is accelerating. It has profound implications for the way in which work is organized, how are companies and organizations can be managed, and how effective government policy can be designed. The nature of this shift can best be explained by using S Curves. Time Prosperity Wealth driven by hierarchical business models Wealth driven by network business models Industrial Capitalism Network Capitalism We are here
  • 5. | 5 Our Failure toAdapt Quickly Our industrial-era systems are remarkably stable. But the command-and-control mindset that drives these hierarchical systems is resistant to learning and adaptation. Hierarchies continue to dominate the way most organizations are designed and managed. While they strive for predictable results, they do not adapt well the significant changes in the environment. As a consequence, our public, private and nonprofit institutions have not adapted well to the deep changes underlying the transformation of our economy.
  • 6. | 6 The Challenge: Jumping the Curve The Result: Innovation We hear a lot about agility today. But what does this really mean? With S Curves, agility means the ability to link and leverage an organization’s assets to define new opportunities. As people link and leverage relentlessly, new opportunities to innovate emerge.
  • 7. | 7 Industrial Thinking About Education and Workforce In the Industrial era our dominant mental model of education and workforce was very simple. Inaccurate, to be sure. But convenient and simple. The reality of career paths — past, present and emerging — is far more complex. To make adjustments, we need a far clearer view of the system of education and workforce development. We will not be able to “jump the curve” until we have a more accurate picture of the education, workforce development and career pathways in our economy. K through 12 4 Years of College Career
  • 9. | 9 Getting a Handle on Drop-Outs A first major adjustment: Understanding the extent of our high school drop-outs. For many years, governments at all levels failed to provide accurate data on the extent of our drop-out problem. Most communities know more about where their solid waste ends up than where their 9th graders end up. Dropping out of high school is financially the most consequential decision an individual can make in a lifetime. Yet, we have many adolescents making this decision without any adult supervision. K through 12 4 Years of College Dropout Cycle Dropouts Career
  • 10. | 10 Next Up: Weak Skills A second major adjustment: Understanding the extent go how many young people graduate from high school with weak skills. Globalization has massively increased the volume of people capable of performing low skill, low pay jobs. With weak skills and no post secondary education plan, high school students are only qualified to get entry level, low skill jobs. This path leads to the working poor. K through 12 4 Years of College Dropout Cycle Dropouts Entry level Working poor No career plan Weak skills Career
  • 11. | 11 The Dependency Cycle Trap K through 12 4 Years of College Dependency Cycle Dropouts Career Entry level Working poor No career plan Weak skills A third major adjustment: Understanding how difficult we have made the move out of the dependency cycle. Once inside the dependency cycle, we have provided weak, confusing, and wasteful pathways out.
  • 12. | 12 Post-Secondary Education is Essential K through 12 Career 2 Years of College Certifications 4 Years of College A fourth major adjustment: Understanding the importance and variety of post-secondary education. In today’s knowledge economy, students need a post secondary education. There are a wide variety of options, But many communities ignore this important message.
  • 13. | 13 The High Value of Pre-School Early childhood education is a remarkably valuable investment. It makes sense: from 0 to 3 years old, a child’s brain is developing rapidly. One of the highest value investments we can make in education comes in early childhood As former Kentucky Governor Martha Layne Collins emphasized as she pushed Southern states to adopt pre-school: “Workforce development begins with a pregnant mother.” K through 12 Career 2 Years of College Certifications 4 Years of College Early Childhood Education
  • 14. | 14 Weak Pathways for the Working Poor Another major adjustment: Understanding how difficult we have made the move out of the working poor cycle. The working poor face major challenges as well. While post secondary education is a path to career jobs, we do not make it easy for working poor to continue their education. K through 12 Dependency Cycle Dropouts Career Entry level Working poor No career plan Weak skills 2 Years of College Certifications 4 Years of College No easy way for the working poor to escape
  • 15. | 15 Losing a Career Job Means Getting New Skills Many people who lose their career jobs do not have the skills they need to get another career job. We do not have productive pathways to get people back into the workforce once they have lost their jobs. The current workforce development system is cumbersome and complex. K through 12 Dependency Cycle Career Entry level Working poor $10.00 per hour 2 Years of College Certifications 4 Years of College Lost job Pre-K Source: Ed Morrison. Distributed through a Creative Commons 3.0 Attribution License
  • 16. | 16 WeAre Not Producing Enough People with Career Skills K through 12 Dependency Cycle Career Entry level Working poor $10.00 per hour 2 Years of College Certifications 4 Years of College Lost job Pre-K Source: Ed Morrison. Distributed through a Creative Commons 3.0 Attribution License Each regional economy is different, but here are some rules of thumb. Most regional economies have between 70% and 80% of their jobs above the line of $10 per hour. Yet, for decades, we have been producing anywhere from 30% to 60% of people with weak skills.The result: widespread skill shortages.
  • 17. | 17 This Situation is No One’s Fault K through 12 Dependency Cycle Career Entry level Working poor $10.00 per hour 2 Years of College Certifications 4 Years of College Lost job Pre-K Source: Ed Morrison. Distributed through a Creative Commons 3.0 Attribution License We are attempting to address Network Challenges with Hierarchical Mindsets. Every time we get into arguments about who is at fault in this situation, we are missing an essential point. We need to imagine new systems, new approaches to education and workforce. We need to design “what’s next”.
  • 18. | 18 Designing What’s Next Ages 0-4 Primary/Elementary/Middle School 3-5 6-8 K-2 Tech Prep College Prep High School College/University 4 Year College/University Community College Work Pre School Reading by the end of Grade 2 Career Pathways Civic Education Entrepreneurship Education Science and Math Education Drop out prevention Continuous teacher development Source: Ed Morrison, Copyright 2018 distributed through a Creative Commons 3.0 Attribution ShareAlike license. Visit strategicdoing.net and facebook.com/stratdoing. Schools need outside collaborations to provide high quality services to students and teachers Here’s an example of what a new system might start to look like: A system that is more open, flexible, agile, and responsive to both learners and employers.
  • 20. | 20 Strategy is Different in Networks To design and guide new education nd workforce networks, we need a new approach to strategy. Traditional strategic planning was designed for hierarchical, command and control organizations. Since 2005, Purdue has been incubating a new strategy discipline specifically designed for open, loosely connected networks, Called Strategic Doing, it enables participants to form collaborations quickly and move them toward measurable outcomes. It does this by teaching the skills of how to form collaborations by designing and guiding the conversations that lead to these collaborations. Rooted in open software development, Strategic Doing relies on a set of simple rules to guide the process. Strategic Planning Strategic Doing
  • 21. | 21 Why Strategic Doing? Source: Ed Morrison, Purdue Agile Strategy Lab Simple Complex Complex Where are we going? How will we get there? Strategic Planning Agile Strategy Strategic Doing Cycle Ten Rules of Strategic Doing Effective strategy answers two questions: Where are we going? How will we get there?. With increasing uncertainty and complexity, we need to define our strategies repeatedly. To do that, Strategic Doing provides a simple framework to guide these strategic conversations.
  • 22. | 22 Open Innovation, Platforms and Ecosystems To address our education and workforce challenges, we need a new approach to accelerate innovation. Three concepts define the opportunity: open innovation, platforms, and ecosystems. • Open innovation means engaging multiple organizations in a disciplined process to design something new and valuable. • To form these collaborations, we need new platforms — places where people come together regularly to design what’s next. • As new collaborations form, new ecosystems emerge. Within these ecosystems, innovation accelerates. Organization A Organization B Organization C The Purdue approach to open innovation relies on platforms.The strategic conversations on the platform are artfully designed to test hypotheses and build trust. The conversations take place within 2 to 3 hour workshops. Strategic Doing is “the most clear and concise open innovation process I’ve seen.” Mark Scotland CEO 4.0 Analytics
  • 24. | 24 Creating New Workforce Partnerships 0 7,500 15,000 22,500 30,000 Began Training Completed Training Degrees/Certificates Goal Result 2.7 X 2.9 X 2.7 X Purdue participated in a federal program to transform the regional workforce system in North Central Indiana. • Purdue received 8% of the money awarded nationally ad produced 40% of the national results. • Using Strategic Doing, Purdue exceeded its own ambitions goals by a factor of 3X.
  • 25. | 25 Example: Project Lead the Way As part of the project, Purdue accelerated the formation of Project Lead the Way high schools. • PLTW is a a nationally recognized pre-engineering program. • Indiana now has the highest concentration of these school s in the country. • After this success, PLTW moved its headquarters to Indianapolis.
  • 26. | 26 Example: National STEM Guitar Project Another example of Strategic Doing: Mark French, a professor in Purdue’s School of Engineering Technology, proposed an idea for an innovative summer camp. • Mark proposed to introduce high school students to STEM skills by having them make their own electric guitar. • From this small beginning with 15 students, Mark’s idea caught fire. • The National Science Foundation now spoors these camps all over the country.
  • 27. | 27 Transforming Engineering Education 2.2 7.7 Top Quartile Bottom Quartile The Purdue Agile Lab introduced Strategic Doing to 50 university teams. Each team focused on transforming undergraduate engineering education. • These 50 teams launched over .500 collaborations. • 37 university teams subsequently participated in a research project. • The highest performing teams followed the Strategic Doing discipline most closely. • High performing teams followed about 8 of the rules; • The lowest performing teams followed only 2 of the rules. •
  • 28. | 28 Scaling the Recovery in Puerto Rico Two people… …organized a team of 6 faculty to travel to Puerto Rico… …to teach 40 people the skills of Strategic Doing over 2.5 days Then in 6 hours 10 graduates… …guided 60 civic leaders to design 7 complex collaborations, each with a strategic action plan. 1 Month 1 Week Because we can teach this new discipline, we can scale it quickly. Here’s an example from our work on the recovery in Puerto Rico.
  • 30. | 30 Agile Policy To design what’s next, we need new approaches to education and workforce development policy that are more adaptive and experimental. Designing these new policies does not need to sacrifice accountability. Indeed, by leveraging transparency, policy- making can be more open and responsive. Phase 1 Grant t-0 t-1 t-2 Investment Level t-0 t-1 t-2 Starting of Data Capture and Evaluation Protocols, Investment internal to Government Phase 1 Exploratory Grant: Test Ecosystem Model Assumptions; Prepare investment case Phase 2 Launch Grant: Requires co-investment Data Capture, Evaluation and Research Phase 2 Grant Phase 3 Grant t-3 Pilot Phase Launch Phase Sustainaibility Phase Phase 3 Data and Evaluation Grant: Data capture grant on-going t-3 Government Investment Other Investment, grants, revenues Source: Ed Morrison, Purdue Agile Strategy Lab
  • 32. | 32 Contact Information The next step is up to you. If this approach to innovation looks potentially valuable to your organization, contact us to discuss designing a pilot project. Organizations interested in new ways to think about education and work force development Ed Morrison, Director, Purdue Agile Strategy Lab (edmorrison@purdue.edu). The Purdue Agile Strategy Lab is a component of the School for Engineering Technology within the Purdue Polytechnic Institute. The Lab web site is: www.agilestrategylab.org Ed Morrison Director, Purdue Agile Strategy Lab edmorrison@purdue.edu