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Ukrainians’ interest and expectations of the elections results in the USA
1. Ukrainians’ interest and expectations
of the elections results in the USA
November 2016
Photo: Global Look Press
2. o Audience: residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older
o The sample is representative by age, sex, region, and settlement type
o Total sample: 1200 respondents (express interview)
o Personal formalized interview (face-to-face)
o The margin of error does not exceed 3%
o Period of the survey 18-20 November 2016
Methodology
Distribution of regions:
RATING Group | Ukrainians’ interest and expectations of the elections results in the USA | November 2016 2
3. RESUME
• According to the results of the Sociological group
"Rating" research, 55% of the polled Ukrainians
followed the elections of the President of the United
States of America. Elections caused greater interest in
the West of the country (67%), less interest – in the East
(48%).
• Men, people of middle and senior age, people with
higher level of education and profits used to follow the
elections more often. The least interest to the elections
in the USA was shown by the Opposition block and
Radical party supporters.
• 39% of the polled Ukrainians sympathized Hillary
Clinton, every tenth – Donald Trump, 42% – did not
sympathize a single candidate. Among those who
followed the elections the Ukrainians’ preferences were
distributed as follows: 62% sympathized Clinton, 15% –
Trump.
• People with higher level of education and profits, more
often in cities, mostly in the West and Center of Ukraine
expressed sympathy for Clinton; meanwhile, in the East
and South, no sympathy was shown for any of the
candidates.
• The level of support for Clinton was relatively higher
among women, Trump – higher among men. Although,
in general, the majority of respondents of both genders
usually was inclined toward the Democrats’ candidate.
• Among the electorate of Ukrainian parties, Clinton was
more often supported by the electors of BPP Solidarnist,
Civic position, Svoboda, Hvylya (M.Saakashvili),
Batkivshchyna, and Samopomich. At the same time, the
supporters of the Opposition block were more likely to
give their sympathy to Trump.
• The relative majority (42%) does not expect any
changes in the relations between Ukraine and the
USA after the victory of Donald Trump in the elections of
the President of the United States of America. At the
same time, one-fourth thinks that relations will change
for worse. The Center and South of Ukraine expect the
worsening more than others. Only 7% of the polled
Ukrainians believe that relations are going to improve.
RATING Group | Ukrainians’ interest and expectations of the elections results in the USA | November 2016 3
5. RATING Group | Ukrainians’ interest and expectations of the elections results in the USA | November 2016 5
55%
43%
2%
Yes
No
Difficult to answer
Did you follow the elections of the President of the United States of America?
6. 48
51
52
67
55
50
47
45
31
43
East
Center
South
West
UKRAINE
Yes Difficult to answer No
6
Electoral preferences
Regions
Did you follow the elections of the President of the United States of America?
52
52
60
65
65
66
68
70
71
44
45
39
35
33
33
27
26
27
Opposition block
Radical party
Batkivshchyna
Svoboda
For life
Samopomich
Hvylya
Civic position
BPP Solidarnist
RATING Group | Ukrainians’ interest and expectations of the elections results in the USA | November 2016
7. 48
53
60
56
57
49
62
49
44
38
42
41
48
36
18-29
30-39
40-49
50-59
60+
Females
Males
Yes Difficult to answer No
7
Settlement type. Education. Income
Sex. Age
Did you follow the elections of the President of the United States of America?
51
52
57
63
37
43
59
63
53
56
46
46
41
36
58
55
40
35
46
41
Very poor
Poor
Low income
High income
Primary, non-complete
secondary
General secondary
Vocational secondary
Higher, non-complete higher
Village
City
RATING Group | Ukrainians’ interest and expectations of the elections results in the USA | November 2016
9. 39
62
9
1542
20
11
3
all respondents (N=1200) followed the elections (N=658)
Difficult to answer
No one
Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
Who of the two main candidates in the elections of the President of the United States of America
did you sympathize more?
9RATING Group | Ukrainians’ interest and expectations of the elections results in the USA | November 2016
10. 24
30
43
50
39
54
50
37
32
42
9
8
13
12
11
13
12
7
6
9
East
South
Center
West
UKRAINE
Hillary Clinton
No one
Difficult to answer
Donald Trump
10
Who of the two main candidates in the elections of the President of the United States of America
did you sympathize more?
21
35
38
49
50
54
54
56
58
44
40
39
30
31
32
33
30
31
6
4
19
15
14
3
6
11
6
29
21
5
6
4
11
7
3
5
Opposition block
For life
Radical party
Samopomich
Batkivshchyna
Hvylya
Svoboda
Civic position
BPP Solidarnist
RATING Group | Ukrainians’ interest and expectations of the elections results in the USA | November 2016
Electoral preferences
Regions
11. 36
38
44
35
40
37
40
46
43
37
43
39
42
41
12
10
9
11
12
9
12
6
9
10
11
9
11
7
18-29
30-39
40-49
50-59
60+
Males
Females
Hillary Clinton
No one
Difficult to answer
Donald Trump
11
Who of the two main candidates in the elections of the President of the United States of America
did you sympathize more?
29
35
42
47
21
31
39
47
36
40
52
48
37
29
53
51
38
36
43
41
9
10
11
13
18
12
12
8
13
10
10
8
10
11
8
6
11
10
8
9
Very poor
Poor
Low income
High income
Primary, non-complete
secondary
General secondary
Vocational secondary
Higher, non-complete higher
Village
City
RATING Group | Ukrainians’ interest and expectations of the elections results in the USA | November 2016
Settlement type. Education. Income
Sex. Age
13. 7 11
42 35
27
21
24
33
all respondents (N=1200) followed the elections (N=658)
Worsen
Difficult to answer
Stay the same
Improve
How do you expect the relations between Ukraine and the USA to change after the victory of
Donald Trump in the elections of the President of the United States of America?
13RATING Group | Ukrainians’ interest and expectations of the elections results in the USA | November 2016
14. 4
7
8
10
7
41
45
42
39
42
26
24
27
37
27
29
25
23
13
24
Center
South
West
East
UKRAINE
Improve
Stay the same
Difficult to answer
Worsen
14
How do you expect the relations between Ukraine and the USA to change after the victory of
Donald Trump in the elections of the President of the United States of America?
4
5
5
6
7
8
11
14
19
40
39
37
39
41
57
44
42
39
27
28
30
27
27
14
21
17
26
29
29
27
29
24
22
24
27
15
Batkivshchyna
Samopomich
Civic position
Radical party
BPP Solidarnist
Hvylya
Svoboda
Opposition block
For life
RATING Group | Ukrainians’ interest and expectations of the elections results in the USA | November 2016
Electoral preferences
Regions