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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                 INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Thursday, March 22, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Mar 20       Mar 21    Change (%)   • Indian markets posted their second straight rise
 Sensex              17,316.18    17,601.71      1.65%       yesterday, their best single-day percentage rise in
 CNX Nifty            5,274.85     5,364.95      1.71%       nearly two weeks, led by export-focused software
                                                             companies and financials on renewed growth hopes.
 BSE Mid-cap          6,335.90     6,459.33      1.95%
                                                             Firm European markets, gain in US index futures and
 BSE IT               5,986.40     6,084.90      1.65%
                                                             recent strong buying by foreign funds of Indian stocks
 BSE Banks           11,836.77    12,126.16      2.44%       also aided sentiment. A favourable liquidity backdrop
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       fuelled by foreign fund flows ahead of fourth quarter
                                                             earnings is expected to overcome fiscal and political
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             concerns which have been a drag on local stocks in
 20-Mar                 2,121         1,926        196
                                                             recent past. All sectoral indices closed on positive note
 19-Mar                 2,378         2,192        186       with capital goods, real estate, bank and power stocks
 Total Mar             37,474        29,660       7815       were major gainers. Technology companies Tata
 2012 YTD             170,531      126,419       44113       Consultancy Services and Infosys, which draw more
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      than 50% of revenue from the United States, gained
                                                             3.6% and 1.3% respectively, after a weaker rupee
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       pushed buying in the sector. Software services firm
 19-Mar                   600          690          -89      Tech Mahindra rose 5.6% after its board approved
 16-Mar                   567          885         -318      merging Mahindra Satyam with itself. Mahindra
 Total Mar              6,365         7,359        -993      Satyam also ended up 4.7%. Cement stocks extended
 2012 YTD              31,725        36,746       -5020      recent gains on reports cement firms have hiked
                                                             prices by `7 to `10 per bag of 50 kilogram, effective
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 17 March 2012, after the finance minister announced
                                      NSE          BSE       rationalization of excise duty on packaged cement.
 Trading Volume (Cr)                77.34         31.24      GVK Power & Infrastructure jumped 4.2% after its
 Turnover (`Cr)                    13,199         3,302      Australia unit's chief executive said that the company
                                                             was looking to sell its stakes in the Alpha coal project
 Advances                           1,043         1,758
                                                             and related port and rail assets in Australia to help
 Declines                             419         1,136
                                                             fund the $10bn cost of the projects.
 Unchanged                             86          130
                                                           • Market breadth was positive at ~1.55x as investors
 Total                              1,548         3,024
                                                             bought large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs
Global Markets                                               bought equity of `6.22bn while domestic institutions
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     sold equity of `2.94sbn in cash segment.
 DJIA                            13,124.62      -0.35%     • Asian markets opened sharply positive but traded mix,
 NASDAQ                           3,075.32       0.04%       as China's weak HSBC PMI data pulled down the
 Nikkei *                        10,126.71       0.40%       Chinese shares while Japan's surprise trade surplus
 Hang Seng *                     20,811.68      -0.22%
                                                             helped Japanese shares.

* as of 8.25AM IST                                         • We expect a cautious opening for the Indian markets,
                                                             following the mixed cues from the Asian markets.
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot
                                                             However, rising oil prices and the news that India is
                                    Latest     Previous
                                                             pushing its refiners to cut imports from Iran may
                                    Quote         Close
                                                             dampen sentiments.
 Indian Rupee per $                  50.62        50.66
 Indian Rupee per €                  66.95        66.94    Economic and Corporate Developments
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)            106.58        107.27    • India will get a $240mn soft loan from the Asian
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,648.00     1,650.00      Development Bank (ADB) for development of
 Silver ($/oz)                       32.08        32.20      infrastructure projects in different states through
                                                             public-private partnership (PPP).

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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                              INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                              Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                            • Reliance Power (R-Power) has got a stay from the
                    Previous    Current    Change          Delhi High Court against a notice for penalty of
 Company Name
                    Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)          `400Cr by the procurers of power from its
 TTK Prestige       2780.75    3188.25      14.65          Krishnapatnam ultra mega power project (UMPP) in
 HDIL                 93.90      101.95      8.57          Andhra Pradesh.
 JUBL FOOD          1039.55    1122.80       8.01        • MMTC is expecting more than 30% growth in gold
 Godrej Inds         236.20      254.20      7.62          retail sales during this fiscal.
 Indiabulls Fin      225.15      242.00      7.48
                                                         • Coal India may divert fuel supply from PSUs, that
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                              have not commissioned their end-use plants, to
                                                           power plants in case of any shortfall in fulfiling
                    Previous    Current    Change
 Company Name                                              commitment under the supply agreements from its
                    Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)
 TTK Prestige       2780.75     3188.25     14.65          own production.
 Century Tex         312.90      346.75     10.82        • Engineering major Larsen & Toubro (L&T) is likely to
 MRF                9692.05    10579.05       9.15         have dropped its plan to come up with a 1600 mega
 HDIL                 93.90      101.95       8.57         watt power plant in West Bengal due to land hurdles.
 BGR Energy          326.45      353.30       8.22       • A panel of secretaries today referred the issue of
                                                           residual government stake sale in Balco and
TOP LOSERS                                                 Hindustan Zinc to Vedanta Group to an empowered
(BSE A-Group)                                              group of ministers (EGoM), which will meet soon to
                                                           take a decision.
                    Previous    Current    Change
 Company Name
                    Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)        • The Unitech Group has agreed in principle to sell its
 Engineers India     271.05     266.85       -1.55         stake in Uninor to joint venture partner Telenor at a
 Muthoot Fin         164.15     162.30       -1.13         fair value. The proposal was made before the
 Hindalco Inds       138.65     137.25       -1.01         Company Law Board (CLB) by Unitech lawyers on
 Pipavav Defence      81.25       80.45      -0.98         Monday in a closed-door meeting, according to
 Oracle Fin         2613.15    2587.90       -0.97         people close to the development.

(BSE Mid-Cap)                                            US markets
                                                         U.S. stocks closed mostly lower Wednesday with energy
                    Previous    Current    Change
 Company Name                                            shares hit by Baker Hughes Inc.’s weak forecast and
                    Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)
 MVL                  13.35       12.40      -7.12       Hewlett-Packard Co.’s restructuring plans pulled down
 Amtek India         106.20      103.20      -2.82       the investor sentiments.
 Glodyne Tech        382.30      372.35      -2.60       The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 45.57
 EID Parry           199.45      195.00      -2.23       points, or 0.4%, to 13,124.62. The Nasdaq gained 1.17
 Religare Enter      390.35      382.30      -2.06       point, or 0.04%, to 3,075.32, led by Google Inc.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research              (research@keynotecapitals.net)           (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /                 Thursday                                    Friday                                  Monday                                   Tuesday

   Regions                       22/Mar                                   23/Mar                                    26/Mar                                   27/Mar

   India                                                     Forex Reserves Data

                                                             Weekly Supplement
                                                             of RBI



   US               Continuing Jobless                       New Home Sales                            Pending Home Sales                       S&P/Case-Shiller
                    Claims                                   (MoM) (Feb)                               Index                                    Home Price Indices
                                                                                                                                                (YoY)

                     Initial Jobless Claims                                                            Dallas Fed Mfg                           Consumer Confidence
                                                                                                       Survey

                    Fed's Bernanke                                                                                                              Richmond Fed
                    Speech                                                                                                                      Manufacturing Index




   Global           Germany's                                                                           UK's Nationwide                         UK's Gross Domestic
                    Purchasing Manager                                                                 Housing Prices n.s.a                     Product (QoQ) and
                    Index Manufacturing                                                                (YoY) and (MoM)                          (YoY)
                    and Services

                    Eurozone's                                                                         Germany's Gfk                            UK's Total Business
                    Purchasing Manager                                                                 Consumer Confidence                      Investment (YoY) and
                    Index Manufacturing                                                                Survey                                   (QoQ)
                    and Services

                    UK's Retail Sales                                                                  Germany's IFO -                          UK's CBI Distributive
                    (YoY) and (MoM)                                                                    Business Climate and                     Trades Survey -
                                                                                                       Current Assessment                       Realized (MoM)

                    Eurozone's Industrial
                    New Orders s.a.
                    (MoM) and (YoY)




                                               KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
           4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                   Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25                            •   www.keynotecapitals.com

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note march 22-'12

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Thursday, March 22, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Mar 20 Mar 21 Change (%) • Indian markets posted their second straight rise Sensex 17,316.18 17,601.71 1.65% yesterday, their best single-day percentage rise in CNX Nifty 5,274.85 5,364.95 1.71% nearly two weeks, led by export-focused software companies and financials on renewed growth hopes. BSE Mid-cap 6,335.90 6,459.33 1.95% Firm European markets, gain in US index futures and BSE IT 5,986.40 6,084.90 1.65% recent strong buying by foreign funds of Indian stocks BSE Banks 11,836.77 12,126.16 2.44% also aided sentiment. A favourable liquidity backdrop FII Activity (`Cr) fuelled by foreign fund flows ahead of fourth quarter earnings is expected to overcome fiscal and political Date Buy Sell Net concerns which have been a drag on local stocks in 20-Mar 2,121 1,926 196 recent past. All sectoral indices closed on positive note 19-Mar 2,378 2,192 186 with capital goods, real estate, bank and power stocks Total Mar 37,474 29,660 7815 were major gainers. Technology companies Tata 2012 YTD 170,531 126,419 44113 Consultancy Services and Infosys, which draw more MF Activity (`Cr) than 50% of revenue from the United States, gained 3.6% and 1.3% respectively, after a weaker rupee Date Buy Sell Net pushed buying in the sector. Software services firm 19-Mar 600 690 -89 Tech Mahindra rose 5.6% after its board approved 16-Mar 567 885 -318 merging Mahindra Satyam with itself. Mahindra Total Mar 6,365 7,359 -993 Satyam also ended up 4.7%. Cement stocks extended 2012 YTD 31,725 36,746 -5020 recent gains on reports cement firms have hiked prices by `7 to `10 per bag of 50 kilogram, effective Volume & Advances / Declines 17 March 2012, after the finance minister announced NSE BSE rationalization of excise duty on packaged cement. Trading Volume (Cr) 77.34 31.24 GVK Power & Infrastructure jumped 4.2% after its Turnover (`Cr) 13,199 3,302 Australia unit's chief executive said that the company was looking to sell its stakes in the Alpha coal project Advances 1,043 1,758 and related port and rail assets in Australia to help Declines 419 1,136 fund the $10bn cost of the projects. Unchanged 86 130 • Market breadth was positive at ~1.55x as investors Total 1,548 3,024 bought large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs Global Markets bought equity of `6.22bn while domestic institutions Index Latest Values Change (%) sold equity of `2.94sbn in cash segment. DJIA 13,124.62 -0.35% • Asian markets opened sharply positive but traded mix, NASDAQ 3,075.32 0.04% as China's weak HSBC PMI data pulled down the Nikkei * 10,126.71 0.40% Chinese shares while Japan's surprise trade surplus Hang Seng * 20,811.68 -0.22% helped Japanese shares. * as of 8.25AM IST • We expect a cautious opening for the Indian markets, following the mixed cues from the Asian markets. Currencies / Commodities Snapshot However, rising oil prices and the news that India is Latest Previous pushing its refiners to cut imports from Iran may Quote Close dampen sentiments. Indian Rupee per $ 50.62 50.66 Indian Rupee per € 66.95 66.94 Economic and Corporate Developments NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 106.58 107.27 • India will get a $240mn soft loan from the Asian Gold ($/oz) 1,648.00 1,650.00 Development Bank (ADB) for development of Silver ($/oz) 32.08 32.20 infrastructure projects in different states through public-private partnership (PPP). Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Reliance Power (R-Power) has got a stay from the Previous Current Change Delhi High Court against a notice for penalty of Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) `400Cr by the procurers of power from its TTK Prestige 2780.75 3188.25 14.65 Krishnapatnam ultra mega power project (UMPP) in HDIL 93.90 101.95 8.57 Andhra Pradesh. JUBL FOOD 1039.55 1122.80 8.01 • MMTC is expecting more than 30% growth in gold Godrej Inds 236.20 254.20 7.62 retail sales during this fiscal. Indiabulls Fin 225.15 242.00 7.48 • Coal India may divert fuel supply from PSUs, that (BSE Mid-Cap) have not commissioned their end-use plants, to power plants in case of any shortfall in fulfiling Previous Current Change Company Name commitment under the supply agreements from its Close(`) Price(`) (%) TTK Prestige 2780.75 3188.25 14.65 own production. Century Tex 312.90 346.75 10.82 • Engineering major Larsen & Toubro (L&T) is likely to MRF 9692.05 10579.05 9.15 have dropped its plan to come up with a 1600 mega HDIL 93.90 101.95 8.57 watt power plant in West Bengal due to land hurdles. BGR Energy 326.45 353.30 8.22 • A panel of secretaries today referred the issue of residual government stake sale in Balco and TOP LOSERS Hindustan Zinc to Vedanta Group to an empowered (BSE A-Group) group of ministers (EGoM), which will meet soon to take a decision. Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • The Unitech Group has agreed in principle to sell its Engineers India 271.05 266.85 -1.55 stake in Uninor to joint venture partner Telenor at a Muthoot Fin 164.15 162.30 -1.13 fair value. The proposal was made before the Hindalco Inds 138.65 137.25 -1.01 Company Law Board (CLB) by Unitech lawyers on Pipavav Defence 81.25 80.45 -0.98 Monday in a closed-door meeting, according to Oracle Fin 2613.15 2587.90 -0.97 people close to the development. (BSE Mid-Cap) US markets U.S. stocks closed mostly lower Wednesday with energy Previous Current Change Company Name shares hit by Baker Hughes Inc.’s weak forecast and Close(`) Price(`) (%) MVL 13.35 12.40 -7.12 Hewlett-Packard Co.’s restructuring plans pulled down Amtek India 106.20 103.20 -2.82 the investor sentiments. Glodyne Tech 382.30 372.35 -2.60 The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 45.57 EID Parry 199.45 195.00 -2.23 points, or 0.4%, to 13,124.62. The Nasdaq gained 1.17 Religare Enter 390.35 382.30 -2.06 point, or 0.04%, to 3,075.32, led by Google Inc. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Regions 22/Mar 23/Mar 26/Mar 27/Mar India Forex Reserves Data Weekly Supplement of RBI US Continuing Jobless New Home Sales Pending Home Sales S&P/Case-Shiller Claims (MoM) (Feb) Index Home Price Indices (YoY) Initial Jobless Claims Dallas Fed Mfg Consumer Confidence Survey Fed's Bernanke Richmond Fed Speech Manufacturing Index Global Germany's UK's Nationwide UK's Gross Domestic Purchasing Manager Housing Prices n.s.a Product (QoQ) and Index Manufacturing (YoY) and (MoM) (YoY) and Services Eurozone's Germany's Gfk UK's Total Business Purchasing Manager Consumer Confidence Investment (YoY) and Index Manufacturing Survey (QoQ) and Services UK's Retail Sales Germany's IFO - UK's CBI Distributive (YoY) and (MoM) Business Climate and Trades Survey - Current Assessment Realized (MoM) Eurozone's Industrial New Orders s.a. (MoM) and (YoY) KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.