2. 2
@JRHelmus / 35 yrs/ Father / Fiat X1-9 / Amersfoort
NL Executive board PDMA / Lateral thinker
@HvA – lecturer innovation management / Senior researcher e-mobility
@UvA CSL – PhD research on Agent based model for optimizing
EV charging infrastructure
3. The University of Applied Sciences Amsterdam
The UASA Urban Technology research program supports stakeholders within the
charging infrastructure ecosystem by developing and monitoring rollout strategies
Monitoring performance Predictive analytics Modelling & simulation
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
Total before
cleansing
Connection time
repair
Physicly impossible
charge sessions
Unknown data Double records Short time Double provider Net usable records
Causes of ~35% data removal per error type
source: website urban technology
From Helmus vd. Hoed, (2015)
4. The Netherlands is a frontrunner in E-mobility
• Forced by EU emission regulations and clean air policies.
• For example, Amsterdam aims to have an emission free city center in 2025
• Vision is that charging infrastructure might not be the main barrier to switch to EV from ICE
• Broader vision on sustanable energy transition in the netherlands (energie akkoord, 2015)
4
Main problem to solve: optimization of charging infrastructure usage and rollout
5. 5
As a master of integrated service engineering you might be interested in the
Product Development Management Association
7. Objectives for this lecture
After this lecture you will be able to:
Understand the basics of roadmapping
Understand the differences between the various ways of
roadmapping
develop a roadmap for product service
combinations
• different types of roadmaps
• Technology versus business roadmapping
• Technology roadmapping in short
• Traditional Business roadmapping
•Connection between technology and business roadmapping
•business roadmapping for Product-Service combinations
Structure of this lecture
12. What is roadmapping?
“What kind of activitiets
do we need to startup today
to soon have the availability of
Technology, knowledge and
Competences to create the
products and Services of
tommorrow?
13. There is a lot of buzz about the same concept
Identification, selection, acquisition, exploitation and protection
Technology roadmapping—A planning framework for evolution and revolution
Robert Phaal*, Clare J.P. Farrukh, David R. Probert
Technology forecasting and social change, 2004/vol 71 UK accepted 26 May 2003
14. PRODUCT LINE A
PRODUCT LINE B
PRODUCT LINE C
A1 A2 A3 A4
B1 B2 B3
C1 C2 C3
B4
TECHNOLOGIES
EXTERNAL
TECHNOLOGIES
technology bb
technology pp technology qq
technology aa
technology xx technology yy technology zz
INTERNAL
technology a1 technology a2
technology p1 technology p2 technology p3
YEAR 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Philips generic format
in different forms and shapes
Roadmappingbasics
15. yet in basis, there are only two kinds of roadmaps.
Technology Roadmapping (TRM)
• Initiated by government or branch
• Transcending companies
• Often for cluster/branch/sector
• Scope: 10-20 year
• Goals: identify need for research and
priorities for research
• No ownership
• Not confidential, often public
Business Roadmapping (BRM)
• Initiated by a company
• Company specific
• For a company, product of product
range
• Scope: approx 5 year
• Goals: develop a practical planning
for achieving the company's vision
• Company is owner
• Confidential
25. Technology Roadmapping often results in typical conjoint
roadmap based on scientific sources
Technology Roadmapping
26. Timing of technology research and development is crucial
for a company’s performance
Required time to implement
technology
5 - 10 year 3 - 5 year 1 - 2 year
Well
understoodprovenunproven
Uncertaintyof
technology
research
Future
Current projectsMissed
opportunity
problem
B
F
C
D
E
G
A
Innovation matrix for a specific technology
Technology Roadmapping
27. 28
Imagine you are the
CEO of the new motion
You would like to invest in
quick charging infrastructure
But there is no market standard
yet and there is not enough
money to make mistakes
Technology Roadmapping
28. 29
Imagine you are the
CEO of the new motion
You would like to invest in
quick charging infrastructure
But there is no market standard
yet and there is not enough
money to make mistakes
Technology Roadmapping
29. The Scurve model helps to gain insight in technology development
time
Technologiewaarde
Current
technolgy
New
technology
STAR
CASH
COW
QUESTION
MARK
DOG
DOG
Performance(e.g..%efficency/$)
Carefully choose one or more technology performance indicators
Ideal timing moment
for new technology
implementation
Technology Roadmapping
30. Functionality and performance determines the applicability of a
technology for your product/service
Example: proprerties, functionalities and performance indicators for 3D printing methods and other rapid
prototyping methods.
Technology Roadmapping
Which
technology
performance
indicators
would you
use?
31. Functionality and performance determines the applicability of a
technology for your product/service
Example: proprerties, functionalities and performance indicators for 3D printing methods and other rapid
prototyping methods.
Technology Roadmapping
32. Functionality and performance determines the applicability of a
technology for your product/service
Example: proprerties, functionalities and performance indicators for 3D printing methods and other rapid
prototyping methods.
Technology Roadmapping
33. Many research companies publish technology roadmaps or forecasts
Bottom up assessment to within value chain to create technology roadmap
Chipmachine producers Chip producers
Examples are: Accenture/ mcKinsey/ Batelle/ Rand
Purchases new technology equiptes machines
roadmaps nieuwe producten
Sales new technology
equipped machinery
Technology Roadmapping
34. Examples of public Dutch technology roadmaps
• Elektricity Technology Roadmap
(KEMA)
– Vision on electricity 2020
• “Catalysis, Key to sustainability”
– Sector roadmap up to 2010
• Nationale Toeleveren & Uitbesteden
Agenda (NEVAT)
– 4 sector roadmaps for:
• Electronics/mechatronics
• Automotive
• Plastics value chain
• Metal industry
TechnologyRoadmapping
Technology Roadmapping
35. traditional Business Roadmapping
The basics
The requirements
factor time in a roadmap
push versus pull
Roadmap input methods
relation with
Business Roadmapping
Part 2
Business or innovation
Roadmapping
36. vandaag
The basic idea of roadmapping is simple
time
Technology/
knowledge/
Competences
Product/
service
Business/
Market
Business Roadmapping
Today
“What kind of activitiets do we need to startup today to soon have the availability of Technology,
knowledge and Competences to create the products and Services of tommorrow?”
soon tommorrow
37. The requirements for successful roadmapping within an
organization are
• Being able to develop a vision on the future of the market and environment of the
organization
• Insight in the competences of the organization
• Insight in the portfolio of the organization
• Shared ambition for the future
• The desire to concretize the vision and strategy of the organization in a practical
integral plan
&
• The ambition and desire to execute this plan!
Business Roadmapping
38. `
tijd
Technologies/
knowledge/
Competences
Product/
service
Business/
Market
Time connects push versus pull strategies
• From where the organization stands now and came from
• From market demand to new technology development
• From an ambition or a vision on a future market
• Mind the short term and long term horizon (mc Kinsey - three horizons)
past futuretoday roadmap
Business Roadmapping
Mind the technology roadmap
39. Using pre-announcements can help to adjust the disciplines in the roadmap
- particularly production versus demand over time
42
http://mynokiablog.com/2011/10/01/rumours-nokia-windows-phone-
nokia-ace-to-have-4-3-amoled-1800mah-and-lte-4g-att-q1-2012-
searaysabre-specifications-inside/
‘‘formal, deliberate
communication before a
firm actually undertakes a
particular marketing action
such as a price change, a
new advertising campaign,
or a product line change’’.
Business Roadmapping
40. It makes it even be possible to finance the scale up process
43
• Recent well-known examples of NPP include Microsoft’s Windows
Vista, officially launched on November 30,2006,
• Apple’s iPhone, launched on June 29,2007,
• Apple’s iPad, launched on April 3, 2010.
• For example, Amazon.com accumulated 1.6 million prelaunch orders
for J.K.Rowling’s book ‘‘Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows’’ two
weeks before its launch date (July21,2007), making this book the most
preordered product ever for the online retailers.
Online prelaunch orders proved to be effective
and efficient in locking customers with the
preannounced products.
NPP becameincreasingly popular recently,
especially in thecompetitive high-
techindustries.
Examples
Business Roadmapping
41. Therefore an integral approach is needed to connect the dots in the
roadmap
• Different aspects and disciplines within the organisation (in layers and sublayers)
• Process indicators like : drivers, issues, indicators, milestones
• Relation between the layers and process indicators
tijd
Technologie/
Kennis/
Competenties
Product/
Dienst
Business/
Markt KNOW WHY
KNOW WHAT
KNOW HOW
KNOW WHEN
Business Roadmapping
42. At best the relationships between projects and layers are to be made explicit in
the roadmap
Productie
proces3
Markt
1
Product/
Service2
Business Roadmapping
43. 46
What kind of mistake did google made?
Business Roadmapping
44. Several methods can be used to achieve a future planning
Examples of methods
• SWOT-analysis
• portfolioanalysis
• competitor analysis
• market- en trendresearch
• technology assessment
• scenario-development
Hier zie je ook de rol van de
technology roadmap verschijnen
Possible
future
Mid term
future
Short term
future
Possible
future
Possible
future
Now
1.
2.
3.
4.
1. Trendanalysis
2. Scenario development
3. Backcasting
4. Roadmapping
5. Portfoliomanagement
5.
Business Roadmapping
45. iPad Mini kannibaliseert verkoop originele iPad
AMSTERDAM - De verkoop van de 9,7 inch iPad groeit niet meer. Sinds de
komst van de iPad Mini neemt de verkoop van het originele model in Japan
en de Verenigde Staten zelfs af.
48
http://www.nu.nl/gadgets/3190250/ipad-mini-kannibaliseert-verkoop-originele-ipad.html
Business Roadmapping
What would Apple do with their roadmap when introducing a
new product?
46. iPad Mini kannibaliseert verkoop originele iPad
AMSTERDAM - De verkoop van de 9,7 inch iPad groeit niet meer. Sinds de
komst van de iPad Mini neemt de verkoop van het originele model in Japan
en de Verenigde Staten zelfs af.
49
http://www.nu.nl/gadgets/3190250/ipad-mini-kannibaliseert-verkoop-originele-ipad.html
Business Roadmapping
What would Apple do with their roadmap when introducing a
new product?
47. A connection between the technology roadmap and business roadmap
can be made
Product-Technology
options evaluation
Roadmap
creation
Define
targets
Product-Market
analysis
Market
information
Technology
Assessment
Identification
of Technology
Project
proposals
Bron: EIRMA /Phaal et al.
53. Product service combination have a different cash flow pattern since
different cash flows can be generated from product/service side
56
PS Roadmapping
This generates a typical kind of freedom within the roadmap…
54. That is because P/S systems contain several typical elements
PS Roadmapping
55. Example:
58
What’s on this managers mind at the end of each year?
Harold Goddijn
What are the minimum
requirements for my product to be
delivered? And what can I deliver
later (after sales)?
PS Roadmapping
56. The minumum viable product is a guideline first product release and
follow up
http://www.userdrivendev.com/p/mvp-for-enterprise.html``
PS Roadmapping
58. To gain full advantage of this seperation the roadmap should be adjusted
time
Technology
(interface)
Service
Business/
Markt
Product
Knowledge/
competences
PS Roadmapping
59. Technology as an enabler
Technology directly enables the integration
of products and services, directly infused in
the process of integration.
Even the individual product or service is not
technology-embedded; the integration can
be realized by the technology.
Bron:CSI–Bobwilliams
Technology indirectly enables the integration
of products and services by being applied to
the both products and services and providing
the means for integration
PS Roadmapping
60. Technology mediates the product-
originated integration, particularly the
technology-based servitization
Bron:CSI–Bobwilliams
Technology mediates the service-originated
integration, firstly applied to the service
and the service is productized to provide
the more valuable information
Bron: www.evalan.com
Technology as an mediator
PS Roadmapping
61. Technology and products are independently
applied to the services, facilitating the
product–service integration.
Mostly happens in technology-based
maintenance service
Bron:CSI–Bobwilliams
Technology facilitates the integration
of products and services,
especially the integration toward
the product
Technology as a facilitator
www.plymovent.com
PS Roadmapping
62. Question: What kind of role would technology have in the
product/service system of Car2Go?
PS Roadmapping
66. QFD / linking grid is the proposed method to connect P/S/T within the
roadmap
Service features adjusted to
customer value drivers
Linking the features enables
best selection of technology
Intermediary step from service
to technology embedded service
PS Roadmapping
67. Example of QFD / linking grid
Score van concurrentie
Relatie van de eigenschappen
Value map en attributen tabel
klantwensen
Product eigenschappen
PS Roadmapping
68. Case 1: Service facilitator heat/cooling instalation in a plant
71
Imagine we are a development team of Cofely asked to develop a service
from the heating/cooling installation after purchasing it from the plant.
How would our roadmap be created?
PS Roadmapping
69. Case 2: productization of manual development
72
We are bound to create a tool that automatically develops manuals from
input by users.
How would our roadmap be created?
PS Roadmapping
70. Case 3: Servitization of ehealth product
73
We currently produce inhalers for asthma patients. We are able to add
technology to our product by implementing all kinds of sensors
(flow/temp/RH/volume) and develop a service for nurses/patients/family etc.
How would our roadmap be created?
PS Roadmapping
72. Homework assignment
1. Develop a future vision on a technology that will play an important role in
service development in the near future?
a) What kind of performance indicators are relevant for this technology?
b) When will this technology reach the cash cow phase in its life cycle?
2. Define the typical role of technology in the product service system that your
company will develop in the near future.
3. Now, develop a roadmap for the product service system of the previous
question that contains the specific roadmap adjustments based on the article
on of Geum et al. (2011).
Note: try to use the proposed methods displayed in Fig 6.
Please be sure to have read and fully understand the scientific articles related to
this lecture before answering the homework assignment questions:
PS Roadmapping
Other modalities such as 350 car sharing EV’s, 150 entrepreneurs, 170 Tesla taxi’s, ~100 Nissan Leaf taxi’s, 150 Nissan E-NV200 taxi’s, several last mile freight solutions
More than 32,500 monthly charging sessions by > 5,000 users of charging 323,922 kWh per month on in total ~ 2,000 charging stations all increasing monthly
What basis?—The selection of a generic strategic approach (e.g., cost leadership,
differentiation or focus)
Fig. 1. Technology management framework[12], showing technology management processes (identification,
selection, acquisition, exploitation and protection), business processes (strategy, innovation and operations),
highlighting the dialogue that is needed between the commercial and technological functions in the business to
support effective technology management.
Technology directly enables the integration
of products and services, directly infused in
the process of integration.
Dell customization
- Even the individual product or service is not
technology-embedded; the integration can
be realized by the technology
Technology directly enables the integration
of products and services, directly infused in
the process of integration.
Dell customization
- Even the individual product or service is not
technology-embedded; the integration can
be realized by the technology
1 The technology-based maintenance service includes informing of the product’s state, changing filter and disinfecting the internal and external parts, achieved by the information system to systematically manage the service.
2
The main advantage of suggested structure arguably lies in the strategic planning of product–
service integration, representing the technological role toward the effective integration. Especially, by emphasizing the role of technology, this structure is systematically organized to capture the full scale
of technology-originated product–service integration.
Firstly,Fig. 5(a) refers to the case of ‘‘technology as a direct enabler’’. Since the technology directly
enables integration of products and services, the product layer and the service layer are placed
adjacently, representing the close relations in integration opportunities. Here, the technology is
applied to the virtual and integrated features of product and services, fostering the integrativeprocess.
Since the technology is applied to the integrative features of products and services, sometimes a
virtual layer might be incorporated to represent the integrative opportunities of product–service
Integration
ig. 5(b) represents the case of ‘‘technology as an indirect enabler’’ where technology is individually
applied to the products and service, making the technology-based intermediates between products
and services. Therefore, the technology layer is located at the middle of two different domains:
product layer and service layer, acting as an interfacing point. Even it is not clearly mentioned that it is
a case of technology-enabled product–service integration, the literature has taken the form of
integrated roadmap with product layer and service layer (An et al., 2008; Abe et al., 2009).Abe et al.
(2009)illustrates the business model for impaired walking support system, considering the business
as a kind of service concept. Reflecting the scenarios for impaired walking support system, products
and services are identified and visually planned as a form of ‘‘integrated strategic roadmap (ISRM)’’.An
et al. (2008)provides the case example of mobile communication service as a form of product–service
integration, as it involves a device and a large array of applications and services. Even the technology is
not directly mentioned, this structure also locates the products and services at the same level
Fig. 5(c) shows the case of technology acting as a ‘‘servitization mediator’’. Since the technology-embeddedproduct provides the chance of servitization,mainevolutionpathexists fromtechnology to
product, and finally to service. Therefore, the hierarchy of integrated roadmap follows this
evolutionary state of product–service integration: technology-product–service.
Fig. 5(d)which is a case of ‘‘technology as a productizationmediator’’ provides the similar structure
with servitization mediator except the location of the product layer and service layer. Since this type
implies the technology-originatedproductizationcase, the technology layer affects to the service layer
first, and then, the service is evolved to the product. Relevant examples can be found in the previous
literature. Kameoka (2005)suggests a new type of strategic roadmap, adding a service layer on the
product layer. InNakamura et al. (2006), a strategic roadmap for the businesses using the electronic
tags is suggested with the market/customer, business/services, infrastructure, technologies, and
regulation layer. The infrastructure layer denotes the service infrastructure which involves not only
the hardware and software infrastructures but also the knowledge and functions required for
providing services.
Fig. 5(e) is a case of ‘‘technology as a product facilitator’’. In this type, technology and service are
applied directly to the product, making the product as more diversified and collaborative form of
integration. Thus, the service layer is located at the centre of the layers, enabling the product layer and
the technology layer be more effectively incorporated.
Similarly, the composition ofFig. 5(f), a service facilitator, is the same asFig. 5(e), except the layer
compositionof product and service. Even it is notmentioned as the exact term‘‘integration’’, there has
been relevant concepts with the product facilitator or the service facilitator, illustrated in several
roadmaps. Wells et al. (2004)suggested a roadmap for e-commerce to capture and share the
technology intelligence for products and services, using the technology layer, the access device layer,
and the mobile service layers as the core layers for e-commerce roadmap.