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Innovation portfolio forecasting

Lecturer:   drs. Ir. J.R. Helmus
Imagi
 ne
You were a famous CEO
For instance Victor Muller
See; https://www.mentimeter.com/p/3983dde320cd
And you’re about to make a bid for Saab
You only have one hour
to walk through the
factory and
ask anyone
Anything…
And you are wondering
where you could make a
difference by your control
See; https://www.mentimeter.com/p/8ed37c385406
And suddenly you’re standing head to head
with the innovation manager..
How long would it take to innovate a car
 from sketch to full scale production?
See https://www.mentimeter.com/p/159a815e2d68
Therefore timing of the innovation process and
          development is crucial for a company’s performance
Innovation matrix for a specific technology
                                  A
                      unproven




                                                                                F
                                 research                                           problem
                                               B
Uncertainty of
 technology


                    proven




                                                             Future


                                                     G           C
                                                                                     D
                 understood




                                                                                                 E
                    Well




                                   Missed                                   Current projects
                                 opportunity


                                 5 - 10 year                3 - 5 year              1 - 2 year

                                                   Required time to implement
                                                           technology
Victor Muller could
not influence the ongoing sales of the at
that time current models


Probably not influence the innovation
process of the upcoming Saab models for
probably the next year(s)


but he could speed up current innovation
processes while adding future technologies
to gain mid term advantage while lasting
through the current hard time
To develop the Saab 9-3 Phoenix …




                                                                19
www.saabsunited.com/2013/02/the-story-of-the-9-3-phoenix.html
Innovations with a
long lead time (>3 years) need to be based on
state of art technologies available that time.
If you base your future products on today’s
technology you will loose your competitive advantage
11-4-2013




Jurjen Helmus
@JRHelmus
J.R.Helmus@hva.nl
0645464751

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