Actionable Intelligence: Finding Insights and OpportunitiesPatrick Fuller, Managing Account DirectorCharlie Vanek, Sr. Director, Product Marketing
Intelligence, Intuition and InformationYou Are Here2Source: Opte.org
The Information Universe Is ExplodingThe digital universe is ~ 800 Exabytes and growing at over 60% CAGR30,000PC memory (Kb) – 1990sK20,000,000Skype users online at peak timesM400,000,000Total number of Facebook usersM10,000,000,000Daily financial market price movementsB15,000,000,000,000,000New data bytes created every dayP100,000,000,000,000,000,000Google's cluster of addressable storageE3Source: EMC, IDC, Gartner
The Information Universe Is ExplodingExabyte: 2 x 1018
More People Sending Us Information2006Respondents Who Receive > 50 E-mails per Day2010120%100%According to Contact Networks, the average number of e-mail contacts more than doubled from 2007 to 20095Source: Thomson Reuters Professional Information Survey 2010
More Information from More SourcesThe number of “mainstream” communication media employed by professionals increased from 4 to 7 in just five yearsCommunication Media Employed by Professionals6Source: Thomson Reuters Professional Information Survey 2010
Respondents Who Spent / Spend > 3 Hours per Day Reading Newspapers / Journals / Publications60%20062010100%Respondents Who Read > 3 Publications per Day85%125%More Time Consuming Information7Source: Thomson Reuters Professional Information Survey 2010
Professionals Are Overwhelmed8
Intuition vs. Analytical ReasoningIntuition-based decision makingAnalytical reasoning decision makingIntuitionInformationFast - quick, snap shot judgments
Fragile - subject to psychological biases
Subconscious, not auditable, hard to justify, inconsistent
Allows for accurate judgments backed up by data
Time consuming, expensive
Risk of not “seeing the forest for the trees”9
Intuition vs. Analytical ReasoningIntelligent Information decision makingIntuition-based decision makingAnalytical reasoning decision makingIntuitionInformationKnowledge to ActKnowledge Fast - quick, snap shot judgments
Fragile - subject to psychological biases
Subconscious, not auditable, hard to justify, inconsistent
Allows for accurate judgments backed up by data
Time consuming, expensive
Risk of not “seeing the forest for the trees”to ActChanneledChanneledKnowledge to ActConnectedContextualizedContextualizedConnectedTrustedTrusted10
What We Need Is Better, Not More InformationKnowledge to ActKnowledge to ActChanneledChanneledKnowledge to ActConnectedContextualizedContextualizedConnectedTrustedTrustedTHE TRADING EXPERIMENTIndividuals were presented with information and had to decide whether to buy or short a stock
Group 1 received unintelligent information – less trustworthy, unconnected, non-contextual information which was not channeled for human consumption
Group 2 received intelligent information which abides by the Hierarchy of Information Needs – trustworthy, connected, contextualized, and channeled to the task at hand
10% more people in Group 2 made the correct decision
On average, Group 2 achieved 40% higher net economic return
Subjects in Group 1 were twice as variable (less consistent) in their decision making11
Intelligence, Intuition and InformationIntuitionInformation12
Intelligence, Intuition and InformationWhat We Need Is Better, Not More Information13
InsightDefinition of INSIGHTMerriam Webster First known use – 13th Centurythe power or act of seeing into a situationthe act or result of apprehending the inner nature of things or of seeing intuitively INSIGHT can also refer to other matters in psychology. Problem Solving behavior requiring insight is the subject of Insight Phenomenology.An insight is derived from a rule which links cause with effect. The mind is a model of the universe built up from insights, and thoughts from the mind fall into two categories:Analysis of past experience with the purpose of gaining insight for use within this model at a later date; Simulations of future scenarios using existing insights in the mind model in order to predict outcomes.
“With my mind on my money, and my money on my mind”MARKET GROWTH
Revenue Growth: AmLaw 2002003$49,981,000,0002010$81,895,500,000Growth64%2003 - 2010 Growth: AmLaw 200550% $1B+ Firms51% PPEP33% RPL10% Equity Partners22% Total Lawyers
AmLaw Top 50:  Percentage of Total AmLaw 200 Market
“Efficiency is doing things right;  Effectiveness is doing the right things.”Peter DruckerSURVEY RESULTS
RFP Increase: Past 18 Months
RFP: Complexity & Time To Complete
Marketing & Business Development Departments
Access To Financial Software
"Genius is seeing what everyone else sees and thinking what no-one else has thought.“Albert Szent-Gyorgyi  (1893 – 1986) Hungarian Chemist, discovered the Citric Acid Cycle and Vitamin CMARKET INSIGHT
Insight: Representation Patterns
Insight: Scenario Planning – Mergers (SWA – AT)
Insight:  Scenario Planning  (TBA In– SWA ATH)Passenger Air CarriersSouthwest / AirTran
Insight: Threat Assessment
Insight:  Threat Assessment – Work By Office
Insight:  Is The Client Buying on Price?
“Success has a way of seducing smart people into thinking they cannot lose.”Bill GatesINSIGHT: COMPETITIVE & FINANCIAL INTELLIGENCE
A Few Examples of CI / FI UsesCross SellingWhich clients typically hire firms for multiple areas of representation?What types of work?  Growth trend?  Our Experience?Which markets?  Competitive Landscape?  Profitable?Client VisitsMarket Share & other firms retained for similar work? Potential for cross selling?Hiring new counsel / replacing existing counsel in any areas?  Sending out new RFP’s?What are the rates and demand by timekeeper in other markets, by practice area – both existing representation & potential growth areasOpportunity Assessment / Prioritization
“Informed decision-making comes from a long tradition of guessing and then blaming others for inadequate results.”Scott AdamsINSIGHT: PRIORITIZATION
Scenario: Opportunity PrioritizationSCENARIO:  The firm is evaluating a few potential opportunities,  which may be the best opportunity?Our firm has 450 Attorneys, offices in Chi, SF, LA, Dallas, DC, NYCWhich opportunities present the best opportunity for profitability?Some steps used in the analysis:Who do we know?What’s our experience?How profitable might it be?What is the landscape of the market demand, rates, realization?Who is our competition, both real and perceived?
Candidate 1:  BP
Candidate 2:  UAR / CO
Candidate 3:  MedtronicReceived RFP for IP LitigationNew GC, Cameron Findlay, hired in 2009Findlay was GC at Aon Corporation in Chicago (2003 - 2009)Former Partner at Sidley (1993 – 2001)Potential to follow a similar path as former Sara Lee GC Rick Palmore?
Medtronic: Who Do We Know?

Actionable Intelligence: Finding Insights & Opportunities

  • 1.
    Actionable Intelligence: FindingInsights and OpportunitiesPatrick Fuller, Managing Account DirectorCharlie Vanek, Sr. Director, Product Marketing
  • 2.
    Intelligence, Intuition andInformationYou Are Here2Source: Opte.org
  • 3.
    The Information UniverseIs ExplodingThe digital universe is ~ 800 Exabytes and growing at over 60% CAGR30,000PC memory (Kb) – 1990sK20,000,000Skype users online at peak timesM400,000,000Total number of Facebook usersM10,000,000,000Daily financial market price movementsB15,000,000,000,000,000New data bytes created every dayP100,000,000,000,000,000,000Google's cluster of addressable storageE3Source: EMC, IDC, Gartner
  • 4.
    The Information UniverseIs ExplodingExabyte: 2 x 1018
  • 5.
    More People SendingUs Information2006Respondents Who Receive > 50 E-mails per Day2010120%100%According to Contact Networks, the average number of e-mail contacts more than doubled from 2007 to 20095Source: Thomson Reuters Professional Information Survey 2010
  • 6.
    More Information fromMore SourcesThe number of “mainstream” communication media employed by professionals increased from 4 to 7 in just five yearsCommunication Media Employed by Professionals6Source: Thomson Reuters Professional Information Survey 2010
  • 7.
    Respondents Who Spent/ Spend > 3 Hours per Day Reading Newspapers / Journals / Publications60%20062010100%Respondents Who Read > 3 Publications per Day85%125%More Time Consuming Information7Source: Thomson Reuters Professional Information Survey 2010
  • 8.
  • 9.
    Intuition vs. AnalyticalReasoningIntuition-based decision makingAnalytical reasoning decision makingIntuitionInformationFast - quick, snap shot judgments
  • 10.
    Fragile - subjectto psychological biases
  • 11.
    Subconscious, not auditable,hard to justify, inconsistent
  • 12.
    Allows for accuratejudgments backed up by data
  • 13.
  • 14.
    Risk of not“seeing the forest for the trees”9
  • 15.
    Intuition vs. AnalyticalReasoningIntelligent Information decision makingIntuition-based decision makingAnalytical reasoning decision makingIntuitionInformationKnowledge to ActKnowledge Fast - quick, snap shot judgments
  • 16.
    Fragile - subjectto psychological biases
  • 17.
    Subconscious, not auditable,hard to justify, inconsistent
  • 18.
    Allows for accuratejudgments backed up by data
  • 19.
  • 20.
    Risk of not“seeing the forest for the trees”to ActChanneledChanneledKnowledge to ActConnectedContextualizedContextualizedConnectedTrustedTrusted10
  • 21.
    What We NeedIs Better, Not More InformationKnowledge to ActKnowledge to ActChanneledChanneledKnowledge to ActConnectedContextualizedContextualizedConnectedTrustedTrustedTHE TRADING EXPERIMENTIndividuals were presented with information and had to decide whether to buy or short a stock
  • 22.
    Group 1 receivedunintelligent information – less trustworthy, unconnected, non-contextual information which was not channeled for human consumption
  • 23.
    Group 2 receivedintelligent information which abides by the Hierarchy of Information Needs – trustworthy, connected, contextualized, and channeled to the task at hand
  • 24.
    10% more peoplein Group 2 made the correct decision
  • 25.
    On average, Group2 achieved 40% higher net economic return
  • 26.
    Subjects in Group1 were twice as variable (less consistent) in their decision making11
  • 27.
    Intelligence, Intuition andInformationIntuitionInformation12
  • 28.
    Intelligence, Intuition andInformationWhat We Need Is Better, Not More Information13
  • 29.
    InsightDefinition of INSIGHTMerriamWebster First known use – 13th Centurythe power or act of seeing into a situationthe act or result of apprehending the inner nature of things or of seeing intuitively INSIGHT can also refer to other matters in psychology. Problem Solving behavior requiring insight is the subject of Insight Phenomenology.An insight is derived from a rule which links cause with effect. The mind is a model of the universe built up from insights, and thoughts from the mind fall into two categories:Analysis of past experience with the purpose of gaining insight for use within this model at a later date; Simulations of future scenarios using existing insights in the mind model in order to predict outcomes.
  • 30.
    “With my mindon my money, and my money on my mind”MARKET GROWTH
  • 31.
    Revenue Growth: AmLaw2002003$49,981,000,0002010$81,895,500,000Growth64%2003 - 2010 Growth: AmLaw 200550% $1B+ Firms51% PPEP33% RPL10% Equity Partners22% Total Lawyers
  • 32.
    AmLaw Top 50: Percentage of Total AmLaw 200 Market
  • 33.
    “Efficiency is doingthings right; Effectiveness is doing the right things.”Peter DruckerSURVEY RESULTS
  • 34.
  • 35.
    RFP: Complexity &Time To Complete
  • 36.
    Marketing & BusinessDevelopment Departments
  • 37.
  • 38.
    "Genius is seeingwhat everyone else sees and thinking what no-one else has thought.“Albert Szent-Gyorgyi (1893 – 1986) Hungarian Chemist, discovered the Citric Acid Cycle and Vitamin CMARKET INSIGHT
  • 39.
  • 40.
    Insight: Scenario Planning– Mergers (SWA – AT)
  • 41.
    Insight: ScenarioPlanning (TBA In– SWA ATH)Passenger Air CarriersSouthwest / AirTran
  • 42.
  • 43.
    Insight: ThreatAssessment – Work By Office
  • 44.
    Insight: IsThe Client Buying on Price?
  • 45.
    “Success has away of seducing smart people into thinking they cannot lose.”Bill GatesINSIGHT: COMPETITIVE & FINANCIAL INTELLIGENCE
  • 46.
    A Few Examplesof CI / FI UsesCross SellingWhich clients typically hire firms for multiple areas of representation?What types of work? Growth trend? Our Experience?Which markets? Competitive Landscape? Profitable?Client VisitsMarket Share & other firms retained for similar work? Potential for cross selling?Hiring new counsel / replacing existing counsel in any areas? Sending out new RFP’s?What are the rates and demand by timekeeper in other markets, by practice area – both existing representation & potential growth areasOpportunity Assessment / Prioritization
  • 47.
    “Informed decision-making comesfrom a long tradition of guessing and then blaming others for inadequate results.”Scott AdamsINSIGHT: PRIORITIZATION
  • 48.
    Scenario: Opportunity PrioritizationSCENARIO: The firm is evaluating a few potential opportunities, which may be the best opportunity?Our firm has 450 Attorneys, offices in Chi, SF, LA, Dallas, DC, NYCWhich opportunities present the best opportunity for profitability?Some steps used in the analysis:Who do we know?What’s our experience?How profitable might it be?What is the landscape of the market demand, rates, realization?Who is our competition, both real and perceived?
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51.
    Candidate 3: MedtronicReceived RFP for IP LitigationNew GC, Cameron Findlay, hired in 2009Findlay was GC at Aon Corporation in Chicago (2003 - 2009)Former Partner at Sidley (1993 – 2001)Potential to follow a similar path as former Sara Lee GC Rick Palmore?
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55.
  • 56.
    Medtronic: IP LitRepresentation (SF, Dallas)
  • 57.
    Aon: Representation inSF, Dallas State, Fed Courts
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60.
    Medtronic: IP LitigationBy Size90% of Medtronic’s IP Lit is handled by firms of 40 or more; 65% by 100 or more.Overall, 86% of all litigation is handled by firms of 40 or more, and 40% is handled by firms of 500 or more attorneys.
  • 61.
    Additional ConsiderationsOne ofMedtronic’s greatest needs is IP Lit, something Aon didn’t haveHas retained a Dallas-based litigation boutique for IP Litigation in Texas, and retained an AmLaw 50 firm based in Dallas for IP Transactions.Is there a pattern of Aon retaining certain firms in specific markets? Medtronic?Which firms did Aon historically retain in certain jurisdictions, and for what practice areas?How often did Aon change outside counsel? Is there a pattern? How often does Medtronic appear to change outside counsel?
  • 62.
    Medtronic / Aon:Additional InsightMedtronic’s primary outside counsel had intermittent patterns of picking up work in additional areas of representation.As for Aon, there is a history of firms handling more than one area of work.With Mr. Findlay now at Medtronic, is possible that Medtronic will now begin retaining firms for more than one primary area of representation? If so, it will dramatically increase the competitive landscape for the IP Litigation, but also offers additional opportunities for client development.
  • 63.
    Patent Lit: CollectedRates & Demand
  • 64.
    Medtronic: Final Thoughts Howshould we construct our team and pitch based in part on what we’ve been able to determine?
  • 65.
    Intuition vs. AnalyticalReasoningIntelligent Information decision makingIntuition-based decision makingAnalytical reasoning decision makingIntuitionInformationKnowledge to ActKnowledge Fast - quick, snap shot judgments
  • 66.
    Fragile - subjectto psychological biases
  • 67.
    Subconscious, not auditable,hard to justify, inconsistent
  • 68.
    Allows for accuratejudgments backed up by data
  • 69.
  • 70.
    Risk of not“seeing the forest for the trees”to ActChanneledChanneledKnowledge to ActConnectedContextualizedContextualizedConnectedTrustedTrusted51

Editor's Notes

  • #12 This is explained by the fact that, when given unintelligent information, the majority of test subjects (2/3) resorted to using intuition to make their decisions, while those given intelligent information were able to optimally use both intuition and analytical reasoningProfessionals given unintelligent information were also twice as variable (less consistent) in their decision making than those who were presented with intelligent information
  • #17 2010 pop in then 64% pop in
  • #18 Pop each stuff in…
  • #19 One at a time for these as well
  • #29 New openings, mergers, etc…..can even see out of which offices the work is being handled – how embedded is the client? Handling deals and IP as well? Also, mention cross selling myths vs. reality
  • #33 Competitive landscape – size of firms in markets, etc.