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TO ACCESS MORE INFORMATION ON THE IMPACT OF THE STAY-AT-HOMEECONOMYIN CHINA, PLEASECONTACT DX@DAXUECONSULTING.COM
dx@daxueconsulting.com +86 (21) 5386 0380
May. 2020
HONG KONG | BEIJING | SHANGHAI
www.daxueconsulting.com
1
COVID-19 STIMULATED THE STAY-AT-
HOME ECONOMY IN CHINA
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
Who we are
2
Covered Tier-1 cities
Covered Tier-2 cities
Covered Tier-3 (and below) cities
We are daxue consulting:
• A market research firm specializing on the Chinese
market since 2010
• With 3 offices in China: in Shanghai, Beijing and Hong
Kong
• Employing 40+ full-time consultants
• Full, complete, national coverage
• Efficient and reliable fieldwork execution across China
• Using our expertise to draw precise, reliable
recommendations
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Your Market Research Company in China
北京
BEIJING, CHINA
Room 726, Building 1, 40
Dongzhong Road,
Dongcheng District
上海
SHANGHAI, CHINA (Head Office)
Room 504, 768 Xietu Road,
Huangpu District
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The strengths of Daxue Consulting
6 crucial competitive advantages
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background, leveraging the best of
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dations
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& creative
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Our services
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Experienced in answering to a wide variety of strategic business questions
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Examples of references
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A recognized expertise on the Chinese market
Regularly featured and quoted in global publications
Daxue latest quotations in recent publications
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CONTENT OUTLINE
The rise of the Stay-at-home Economy in
China
1.
The 4 types of rising entertainment
platforms
3.
E-commerce and delivery to keep growth4.
5. Growth points of the Stay-at-home
Economy
08
17
22
38
40
Social media and news apps are more
embedded into Chinese daily lives
2.
8© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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The rise of the Stay-at-home
Economy in China
1
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What is the Stay-at-home Economy?
9
Industries that Stay-at-home Economy involves
The Stay-at-home Economy is series of consumption and commercial
activities carried out by people at home, such as online shopping,
entertainment, work, education and fitness.
Online shopping Online entertainment
Online educationRemote work
Delivery services
Telemedicine
Social media
Online fitness
宅经济
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Consumers of the Stay-at-home Economy: Zhai people (宅人群)
10
The expression of Zhai people (宅人群) refers to men and women who depend on the internet to meet their daily
needs without leaving their homes. They are usually keen on online videos, games and animation. During COVID-
19, most Chinese people lived the Zhai lifestyle. Thus, the Zhai economy has expanded.
Videos, movies, TV
and live-stream
Video and mobile
games
Social media
E-commerce and food
delivery apps
Online courses Novels and
comics
Hobbies of Zhai people
Background of Zhai people
“Zhai people” aka “宅男 and 宅女” (Zhai men and
zhai women) is originally a Japanese word “Otaku”
meaning “geeks”, now it is widely used to describe
people who don’t like outdoor activities. They
normally spend less than 3 hours outside and
around 8 hours on the internet every day.
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55.5% 44.5%
The gender distribution of Zhai people
(2019)
Zhai people (宅人群) demographics (1/2)
11
Source: GeTui Data (个推大数据), iimedia, HUAXI Securities
China’s progressive internet and technologies make it convenient to meet daily needs without leaving home. Thus the lockdown
during the COVID-19 epidemic intensified the trend.
Zhai men and women see different benefits of staying at home and have different hobbies. Brands and platforms that want to
expand business online need to have a deeper understanding of Zhai people’s desires.
The preferences of Zhai people by gender
Most of them like video and mobile games, internet
novels, videos about tech, TV dramas and shows,
Japanese and Chinese anime.
They are usually keen on online shopping, following
celebrities on social media, videos about fashion
and beauty, animation and TV shows.
宅男
宅女
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Zhai people (宅人群) demographics (2/2)
12
Source: GeTui Data, JiGuang Data, iimedia, HUAXI Securities
35.4%
41.4%
15.0%
4.0% 4.1%
18-24 years old 25-34 years old 35-44 years old Above 45 years old Other ages
The age distribution of Zhai people
(2019)
Most Zhai people are younger than 35 years old, however, the stay-at-home lifestyle is also spreading among older
generations because of the Coronavirus. Therefore, it’s possible that more people above 35 years old will join the group.
Zhai people under 30 are mainly from cities outside Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Guangzhou. It means stay-at-home
economy is expanding in lower tier cities, related industries also can have more consumers from those regions.
15% 29% 31% 26%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tier-1 cities New tier-1 cities Tier-2 cities Tier-3 cities
Geographical distribution of China’s Zhai people
under 30 years old
(2019)
New tier-1 cities= cities that do not equal the traditional first tier cities,
such as Shanghai but stand out beyond other Tier 2 cities.
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Fast developing internet is the foundation of the stay-at-home economy
13
Source: GSMA, CNNIC
VS. internet Users
Of Population61%
Population
1.4 Billion
internet Users
854 Million
Mobile internet users
910 Million
65%
99%
+1.6% of penetration rate
+0.4% of Urban users
2019 H1 vs. 2018 H2
2019 2019
China’s fast growing internet makes people can have many services without leaving their homes.
2019 H1
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Mobile internet is the engine of the Stay-at-home economy
14
Social, 33%
(e.g. WeChat, Weibo)
Short video, 11%
Online video, 8%
(e.g. iQiyi)
News, 9%
Online music, 3%
Gaming, 8%
Online shopping, 4%
Others, 24%
Time digital consumers spend on different channels
(2019)
Total time spent
online
(per user per day)
358
minutes
Social Apps
Content Apps
Other Apps
Source: McKinsey, China digital consumer trends in 2019
Digital consumers: people who use
mobile internet to look for and purchase
products, take advantage of the content
published online.
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Mobile payment enables stay-at-home consumption
15
Source: Walk The Chat, Ipsos
92% of people in China’s largest cities use WeChat Pay or Alipay as their main means of payment.
The wide use of mobile payment allows Chinese people to buy all daily necessities from home, which is another important
driver of the Stay-at-home Economy in China.
18.5%
42.6%
50.7%
74.6% 78.5% 83.0%
81.5%
57.4%
49.3%
25.4% 21.5% 17.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Market share of mobile vs non-mobile payments in China
(2013-2018)
Non-mobile
Mobile
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27
27.6 27.9
30.8
Dec-17 Dec-18 Jun-19 Mar-20
Average time spent on the Internet per week per Chinese netizen
(hours)
COVID-19 pushed Chinese activities further online (1/2)
16
Time spent online has steadily increased for several years, COVID-19 enhanced this trend. During the epidemic, Chinese reliance
on the internet increased and they were exposed to more diverse platforms.
Source: CNNIC (中国互联网信息中心)
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COVID-19 pushed Chinese activities further online (2/2)
17
Source: daxueconsulting.com, Qimai (七麦数据)
Remote work and study platforms:
The Tencent Meeting app was
downloaded 430,000 times a day, up
from 370 before the outbreak.
Online fitness classes:
KEEP fitness app registered a
185% increase in followers on the
live-streaming platform Douyin.
Online Shopping:
In February 2020, Taobao app had
720 million users in China,
increased by 33 million users
compared with December 2019.
Social media platforms: On Weibo,
some topics about COVID-19 reached
over 1 million reads per minute.
Mobile gaming:
Multiplayer online battle arena sector
is the most popular with the game
Honor of Kings reached more than
100 million daily active users.
COVID-19 made people stay at home at much as possible, which expedited the development of internet related business like
online entertainment and education.
18© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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Social media and news apps
are more embedded into
Chinese daily lives
2
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Social media has been an essential part of Chinese daily lives
19
36%
39%
50%
56%
78%
Tencent Weibo
Xiaohongshu
Baidu Tieba
Sina Weibo
WeChat
Most used social media platforms in China
(January 2020)
Source: Wearesocial – Hootsuite, Digital 2020 China
On average, every Chinese social media user has 9.3 social media accounts. 98% of Chinese netizens visited social media
platforms in January 2020. WeChat and Weibo are the most used social platforms.
(A large Chinese
network community)
9.3
Average social media
accounts per Chinese user
2 hours+
Average time per day spent using
social media in January 2020
100%
Of active social media users
have access via mobile
45%
Of users have used social media
platforms for work in January 2020
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COVID-19 drove the demand for news apps
20
Both time and active users of daily news apps has increased since December 2019.
Along with the development of COVID-19, users’ demand for news apps peaked in February when China entered the height of
the epidemic. Then, it had another growth in April when China’s market started to recover from the epidemic.
Source: Qianfan Analysys (易观千帆), Questmobile
17
19
Dec-19 Mar-20
Monthly average time spent on news apps per
user
(hours)
311
326
345
339
343
271
292
302
281
292
Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20
Monthly active users of top news apps
(million)
Toutiao Tencent news
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Social media also gained traction amid the epidemic
21
Outside of news apps, WeChat, Weibo, and short video apps became the main channels for Chinese to obtain relevant
information about COVID-19.
Information channels on social media are more likely to gain traffic in the future. 48% said they will continue to spend more time
in information acquisition after the outbreak.
It’s a social responsibility that a
media channel should have!
34.1%
36.1%
48%
62.3%
Short video apps Weibo WeChat News apps
What was the main channel of info acquisition
during the epidemic?
(Survey on 10,000 respondents)
Source: NetEase Positioning & CTR, Epidemic Consumer Behavior Attitude Impact and Trend
Survey on 10,000 respondents, Mainland China, February 20202.1 million 103,000 651,000
Everything about COVID-19
142,000
A Weibo video by a popular science KOL @回形针
PaperClip educating people about the Coronavirus went
viral
22© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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The 4 types of rising
entertainment platforms
3
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The mobile games market still has growing potential
23
113
159
2019 CNY official holiday 2020 CNY official holiday
Average time spent gaming per day per gamer
(minutes)
Source: Quest Mobile, Mob Tech
The revenue of mobile games had already been steadily increasing, and COVID-19 lead to an influx of new gamers.
Additionally, many long-time players spent more time gaming during the epidemic.
The large number of sales revenue shows the untapped potential of mobile games.
530
688
2019 CNY official holiday 2020 CNY official holiday
The revenue of mobile games in China
(million USD)
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What mobile games did people play during the epidemic?
24
Source: Mob Tech
Daily active users
exceeded 50 million
during the 2020 CNY. On
the first day of the new
year, the number reached
the peak of 54 million.
Honor of
King
Online chess and card
games were popular during
the epidemic.
People in northern China
prefer card games and
southerners like chess.
Online chess
and card
Werewolf (狼人杀) is a
popular board game in
China. Its active users
increased by 20% every
day during the 2020
CNY.
Werewolf
OPPO mini games
became the third most
popular game series
according to active users
during the 2020 CNY.
Mini games
The DAU of sandbox
grew by 6 million since
the 2019 CNY, to reach
76 million during the
2020 CNY.
Sandbox
games
Most of the top games have
some social or multiplayer
aspect.
Mini games are also popular
since they are less time
consuming and suitable for
stress release.
MAU= Monthly
active users
DAU= Daily
active users
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The explosive growth of the online video audience
25
Others
Related to
epidemic
Movies
69.8% 68.4% 63.8%
63.4% 55.8%
37.5% 29.7% 2.2%
What did Chinese people watch during COVID-19?
TV series Short videos
Variety shows
Documentaries Cartoons
Source: Mob Tech, iResaerch, Questmobile
725
726
729 728
727 726 725
726
754
Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20
The monthly active users of China’s online video
platforms
(million, 2019-2020)
The monthly active users of online video platforms had a large increase
during COVID-19. Some movies released on online video platforms rather
than cinema and they had a large number of views. Cinema is no longer
the only option for releasing films, online video platforms are challenging its
leading position.
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Short videos have new growing space
26
Source: Fastdata, Mob Tech, QuestMobile
Short videos have been one of the most important forms of entertainment in China during the past a few years. Now, short
video apps are a method for quick news and info about COVID-19, users can easily find thousands of videos about COVID-19
on short video apps.
The industry concentration of short videos is high. The top short video platforms reached many new users over 40 years old
because they could quickly get updates about COVID-19.
459
379
128
518
443
152
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Douyin Kuaishou Xigua
Monthly active users of short video platforms
(million, Dec. 2019 vs Mar. 2020)
Dec-19 Mar-20
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Video platforms will focus on user stickiness after COVID-19
27
During the epidemic
 People had more time to consistently watch
videos, movies and TV series during the
epidemic.
 Short videos attracted much traffic by offering
COVID-19 related content.
After the epidemic
 COVID-19 halted the shooting of many TV series,
movies and shows, which decreased high-quality
content. People will have higher demand for
higher quality and diverse media.
 Video platforms are working hard to buy more
high-quality video content to increase user
stickiness.
The developing trend of the video market after the epidemic
The traffic and paid users of online video platforms increased significantly during COVID-19.
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Epidemic related music gave music platforms more visibility
28
During the epidemic, music platforms offered songs and whole albums related to fighting against COVID-19, resulting in
increased online traffic.
By releasing these epidemic related songs, online music platforms received many new users during COVID-19. It’s possible
those new users will be paid users in the near future.
Source: Tencent Music Group
Songs related to the epidemic on KuWo
(An online music platform in China)
3.5 billion
Total exposure during the
epidemic
87.6 million +
Total number of plays
700 hours +
Total time of listening
462 musicians and singers
published epidemic related songs in Q1 2020
岁岁平安
Chris Lee/
Sean Xiao
山河无恙在我胸
KUN/ Tong Liya
你要相信这不是
最后一天
Chenyu Hua
同根
Ronghao Li
武汉伢
17 singers
from Wuhan
会好的
Lay Zhang
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Online concerts temporarily replaced offline concerts
29
Offline concerts were all canceled or postponed during COVID-19, however, online concerts offered extraordinary audio-visual
experience to fans and received large traffic.
Online concerts can effectively help online music platforms reach more new users, it can be expected that online concerts will
be one of the main ways for music platforms to gain traffic.
6 million
viewers
TME Live online concert “I’m A-Lin”
(11th Apr 2020)
TME Live online concert “Want to see you”
(15th Apr 2020)
6 million +
viewers
Source: Tencent Music Group, Weibo
20 million
views of its
Weibo topic
The No.1
Weibo hot
topic
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4.19
5.08
2019 CNY official hoilday 2020 CNY official holiday
Average hours spent on online reading per Chinese
reader
(Hours)
Online reading is more popular than ever
30
Source: iResearch, Mob Tech
5.7%
21.8%
21.8%
50.7%
Users’ frequency of reading online novels during the epidemic
(2020)
Less than once a week Once or twice a week
Three times or more a week Almost every day
More than 50% Chinese readers chose to read novels almost every day. The average daily online reading time increased by
20% during the epidemic.
Most new readers are those who did not have much free time to read before. Now they have formed the habit of reading online
and boosted the growth of the market.
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1.4%
1.4%
11.0%
29.1%
57.1%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Not sure
Won't read
Will seldom read
Yes, but won't last long
Yes and will keep reading for a
long time
Will you continue to read online after the epidemic?
(The survey of iResearch, 2020)
31
Will netizens continue their new online reading habit?
86.2% of people say they will continue to read after the epidemic, hence the online reading market will likely grow in the near future.
Source: iResearch
Others
Enjoy reading More free time To learn more
More free
books online
69.8% 55.2% 38.6%
17.3% 0.5%
Why read books online during the epidemic ?
(The survey of iResearch, 2020)
32© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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E-commerce and delivery to
keep growth
4
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3.9
5.1
7.2
8.9
10.6
39% 33% 39.2%
25.5%
18.1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
The size of China’s online retail market
(trillion RMB, 2015-2019)
Transaction value Growth rate
E-commerce plays an important role of Chinese people’s shopping
33
The matured e-commerce system provides more convenient conditions for Chinese consumers. But its growth rate has
declined, as the scale of users has gradually reached the ceiling of netizens and the cost of acquiring traffic is getting higher
and higher.
However, Chinese people’s purchasing decisions are heavily affected by KOLs and live-stream and some top short video
platforms (Kuaishou and Douyin) already entered the e-commerce market by live-stream + KOLs. They achieved very high
sales. Hence, "live-stream e-commerce" will become the next outlet in China’s e-commerce industry.
Source: CNNIC, ECRC
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14.1 17.9 17.4 17.3
89.2 87.2
91.1
93.2
50.3
61.5 55.1 53.5
Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20
Monthly active users of top grocery e-commerce apps
(million)
Hema Fresh JD daojia Dingdong Maicai
Grocery delivery stands out in the e-commerce market
34
Although January is a traditional low season for e-commerce platforms, the COVID-19 outbreak has accelerated the division of
the entire grocery e-commerce market. The elastic demand has declined significantly (luxury goods fell by 12.5%) while the
demand for fresh food (inelastic demand) increased, which drove the double-digit growth of fresh food e-commerce users and
sales.
In the long run, the main problems for fresh food e-commerce to further develop are high transportation and storage costs. Fresh
food is not easy to preserve and it’s price is usually high. Therefore, it’s essential for fresh food e-commerce companies to
optimize storage to lower costs.
Source:: Qianfan Analysys (易观千帆)
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Online grocery delivery user profile
35
< 18 years old
2%
18-24 years old
10%
25-34 years old
37%
35-44 years old
45%
> 45 years old
6%
Grocery app user age
distribution
(2020)
Grocery app user city level
distribution
(2020)
1st-tier
41%
2nd-tier
36%
3rd-tier
10%
4th-tier
11%
5th-tier
2%
Source: Mob Tech
Before COVID-19, those under 35 who live in tier-1 cities were the main consumers of grocery e-commerce. Now, fresh food e-
commerce has expand its business to 35-44 years olds who have family.
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The rise of contactless delivery service
36
Source: Qianfan Analysys (易观千帆)
JD’s contactless delivery
robot
Due to the epidemic, the express delivery industry suffered in January.
Therefore, contactless delivery service obtained more room for
development, such as self-service mailbox. China’s largest delivery
service provider CaiNiao (菜鸟available everywhere in China) started to
use the “contactless pickup" service to reduce personnel contact on 28th
January. Thus, consumers' demand for contactless delivery cabinets is
expected to be improved after experiencing the epidemic.
JD.COM has used an unmanned delivery robot for
contactless delivery in Wuhan, which promoted the
application of AI tech in daily life
Diverse and safe express delivery methods can
increase consumers' desire to shop online and hedge
part of the consumption crisis brought by the epidemic.
8.7 8.3
7.8
8.2
10.4
9.8
Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20
Monthly active users of Cainiao Guoguo App
(million)
Cainiao’s self-service
mailbox
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Online food delivery is essential in Chinese daily life
37
The epidemic further strengthened the food delivery market growth, which has been consistent for several years.
1
2
3
Online food ordering business drove the F&B market
during COVID-19
F&B suffered heavy losses during CNY2020
From January to February, the catering industry’s
revenue decreased by 43.1% y-o-y. More than 90% of
the Chinese restaurants had to close.
Contactless delivery reduced infection
Two online food ordering platforms Meituan and Ele.me
adapted their delivery services to reduce infection risks.
This includes taking the temperature of all the people
involved in the delivery process.
F&B turned to online business models
According to the survey of iiMedia, 78% of the restaurants
mainly sold online to ensure the continuity of their
operations during COVID-19. Among them, 70% said they
will remain online.
166.2
274.1
425.0
577.9
2016 2017 2018 2019
The market size of online food take-out
(2016-2019, RMB Billion)
Source: Analysys (易观), iResearch
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KOLs and live-stream further exploited the potential of online marketing
38
50%
32%
9%
9%
Will continue to watch for a
while
Will continue to watch, but may
not last long
Will watch occasionally
Not sure
Will you watch live-stream after the epidemic?
Source: Analysys (易观), iResearch
During the epidemic, live-stream and KOLs played even more important roles in online marketing. The top short video platforms made
full use of their huge traffic to work with top KOLs in live-stream marketing, they have achieved extraordinary results. Live-stream
marketing is becoming the most efficient online marketing tool in China
More than 80% of the audience indicated that they would continue to watch live-stream after the epidemic, which is consistent with the
characteristics of live-stream that can be watched without excessive concentration. Therefore, if live-stream platforms want to maintain
the user retention rate after COVID-19, customized recommendations are key.
10 million +
Live-stream viewers
5 million +
Total number of orders of
all live-stream shows
> 620 million RMB
Turnover of all live-stream
shows
Kuaishou Live-stream (Apr. 18, 2020)
39© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
Growth points of the Stay-
at-home Economy
5
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
The rise of online education makes taking class at home possible (1/2)
40
Source: Questmobile, CNNIC
138 155
201
232
423
Dec-2016 Dec-2017 Dec-2018 Jun-2019 Mar-2020
Total number of online education / training platforms
users
(million)
2.5
5.6
Mar-2019 Mar-2020
Time spent on online education apps per user
(hour)
During the epidemic, offline classes and training couldn’t work as usual, online education platforms reached more new users and
most users spent more time on those platforms. Most Chinese education enterprises are investing more on online learning and
the trend will continue for a while after COVID-19.
Except students, career people and recent grads are also important focuses of online education enterprises. Live-stream and
flexible courses schemes are popular among those people.
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
The rise of online education makes taking class at home possible (2/2)
41
Source: Questmobile, Zero2 IPO Research
Brands
Feb.2019 weekly
active users
Feb.2020 weekly
active users YOY growth
124,000 6,159,000 50 x
352,000 7,409,000 21 x
228,000 3,781,000 17 x
166,000 351,000 2 x
Xueersi
XDF
Yuanfudao
Zybang
User activity of China top online education apps
6%
7%
12%
17%
13%
17%
29%
25%
24.2%
20.8%
15.5%
13.2%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
After the 2020 CNY
Before the 2020 CNY
Tier-1 cities New tier-1 cities Tier-2 cities
Tier-3 cities Tier-4 cities Tier-5 cities
Geographical distribution of online education
new users
Top education enterprises used their reputation, resources and technology to attract large number of consumers during the
epidemic.
Many new users are students (primary to high school) from tier-2, 3 and 4 cities and were never exposed to online courses
before. COVID-19 pushed them into the online learning market and they became the new growth point the market. They are
highly dependent on a strict study schedule, so assistance learning services are necessary, such as question answering.
New tier-1 cities= cities that do not equal traditional first tier cities, such
as Shanghai but stand out beyond other traditional Tier 2 cities.
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
13.6
13.4
14.4
15.5
Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20
Monthly active users of PingAn Good Doctor (平安好医生) app
(million)
Telemedicine platforms are accelerating growth
42
Due to the epidemic, the number of users in the telemedicine field continues to rise. For telemedicine companies, they proved
to the whole society that their services are complementary to the physical medical system during the epidemic.
Top internet medical enterprises are outstanding in terms of patient coverage, doctor resource reserve, organization &
deployment capabilities, and background service operation capabilities. On the other hand, the contradiction between
supply and demand of medical resources in China continues to be prominent, and telemedicine treatment can
improve the efficiency of hospital operations.
PingAn Good Doctor: the wholly-
owned subsidiary of Ping An Group
and leader in telemedicine services.
Source: Qianfan Analysys (易观千帆)
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
13.7%
36.1%
22.4%
15.5%
12.3%
< 24 years old
24-30 years old
31-35 years old
36-40 years old
> 41 years old
8.5%
38.9%
21.4%
21.9%
9.3%
1st-tier cities
New 1st-tier
2nd-tier
3rd-tier
Others
Ping An Good Doctor users’ profile
43
City level distribution Age distribution
China’s leading telemedicine platform Ping An Good Doctor covers four major business segments: online medical consultation,
consumption medical care, health malls, health management and interaction. The number of users reached 5.67 million on February 5th,
with an increase of 8.4% before the 2020 Lunar new year.
Telemedicine apps and websites are no longer just patients from 1st-tier cities, people in 2nd and 3rd-tier cities are beginning to use
telemedicine platforms. People under 35 years old are the main users, but the middle-aged & elderly groups’ needs have not yet been
explored. Telemedicine companies should pay more attention to the convenience and operability of online consultation to seize this part of
consumers. In the long run, telemedicine platforms will benefit and accelerate due to China’s ageing population.
Source: www.analysys.cn
Source: Analysys (易观)
Note: the wholly-owned
subsidiary of Ping An
Group and leader in
telemedicine services.
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
Drivers for the development of telecommuting
44
COVID-19
The epidemic made telecommuting a
necessity no matter the distance from the
office. Once normalcy returns, white collar
workers will have the tools downloaded,
lowering the barrier to use them again.
The demand for working
across regions
More than 80% large and medium-size
enterprises in China set up offices in at
least two areas. They need telecommuting
to improve working efficiency and reduce
travel expense.
Industries like internet, IT and retail
have high demand for telecommuting.
Increasing demand in
some industries
Improvement of network
infrastructure
The number of internet
broadband access ports has been
increasing year by year.
Cable, WiFi and mobile network
technologies are mature and
widely used in China.
Big data and cloud computing
continue to develop
Faster data transmission is available
because of the rapid development of
big data and cloud computing. Both of
them are foundations of
telecommuting.
Source: Analysys (易观)
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
Telecommuting has been easy to implement for companies
45
Both the time spent on telecommuting platforms and monthly active users have greatly increased during COVID-19. After
COVID-19, many employees will be stable users of telecommuting platforms and telecommuting platforms providers can reach
more new users through them.
If telecommuting technologies develop further, it’s possible that people can work for companies in tier-1 cities while staying in
lower tier cities, which means the white-collar migrant population of big cities may fall steeply in the future.
0.23
4.93
03/2019 03/2020
Total time spent on telecommuting platforms
(billion hours, Mar 2019 vs Mar 2020)
Source: Quest mobile, HURUN REPORT
More than 1.8 million enterprises in China
used telecommuting platforms after the
CNY 2020.
1.8 million +
300 million +
More than 300 million workers chose to
work with telecommuting platforms during
the epidemic.
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
The fitness industry: from offline to online (1/2)
46
Online fitness courses on apps
Local authorities closed gyms across the country during COVID-19. Chinese looked for ways to stay in shape, while gyms also
wanted new profit sources. Thus, mobile fitness apps had a explosive growth during the epidemic.
Most users are willing to pay to stay in shape. Online fitness apps can develop more business other than fitness products such as
selling meal replacements.
The users of KEEP app peaked 34.3
million in April 2020.
190,000 people watched online courses of
Super Monkey** (a Chinese gym).
The average viewing of fitness courses of
Justin&Julie** was around 50,000.
**Super Monkey and Justin&Julie are both Chinese gyms.
14,481
16,151
44,228
49,377
12-2019 01-2020 02-2020 03-2020
Daily average downloads of KEEP APP
(Dec 2019 to Mar 2020)
KEEP: an online
fitness app
Source: Analysys (易观), Questmobile
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
The fitness industry: from offline to online (2/2)
47
13.83%
66.75%
17.47%
1.95%
Age distribution of participants on Weibo
18-19 20-21 22-23 24-30
70% participants
were women.
The topic of “at-home
workout” on Weibo had
340 million reads and 1.2
million discussions.
“At-home workout” activity on Weibo Celebrities in online fitness courses
30%
70%
Gender distribution of
participants on Weibo
Male Female
Source: Weibo, Mob tech
China’s celebrities also entered the market.
Douyin invited famous volleyball player Hui
Ruoqi and table tennis player Zhang Jike to
teach people exercise by live-stream.
By working with celebrities, online fitness
courses easily gained huge traffic. It will be a
new growth point for the online fitness market.
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
Personal finance apps attracted young consumers
48
During the epidemic, banks and other
financial institutions invested more on
online marketing. People’s financial
awareness is obviously strengthened.
Chines mainly use financial apps for
Deposit, money fund and financial products
launched by banks.
Online financial apps get much traffic
20-29 years olds
Show the most interest in internet financing
and they are more likely to trust and use online
financial apps.
Source: Baidu index
9%
56%
32%
3%
Age distribution of people who searched “internet
financing” on Baidu
(April 2020)
19 years old and younger
20-29 years old
30-39 years old
40-49 years old
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
To get weekly China
market insights,
follow our WeChat
account
https://www.linkedin.com/company/daxue-consulting
https://daxueconsulting.com/newsletter-2/
WeChat
LinkedIn
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49
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Stay-at-home Economy Report by daxue consulting

  • 1. TO ACCESS MORE INFORMATION ON THE IMPACT OF THE STAY-AT-HOMEECONOMYIN CHINA, PLEASECONTACT DX@DAXUECONSULTING.COM dx@daxueconsulting.com +86 (21) 5386 0380 May. 2020 HONG KONG | BEIJING | SHANGHAI www.daxueconsulting.com 1 COVID-19 STIMULATED THE STAY-AT- HOME ECONOMY IN CHINA
  • 2. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Who we are 2 Covered Tier-1 cities Covered Tier-2 cities Covered Tier-3 (and below) cities We are daxue consulting: • A market research firm specializing on the Chinese market since 2010 • With 3 offices in China: in Shanghai, Beijing and Hong Kong • Employing 40+ full-time consultants • Full, complete, national coverage • Efficient and reliable fieldwork execution across China • Using our expertise to draw precise, reliable recommendations • With key accounts from around the world Your Market Research Company in China 北京 BEIJING, CHINA Room 726, Building 1, 40 Dongzhong Road, Dongcheng District 上海 SHANGHAI, CHINA (Head Office) Room 504, 768 Xietu Road, Huangpu District
  • 3. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The strengths of Daxue Consulting 6 crucial competitive advantages  Our team has an international background, leveraging the best of both worlds  Teams are tailor-made depending on the projects  One client = one dedicated team  At all levels at daxue consulting, daxue is creating an environment where freedom and responsibility go together.  daxue consulting has a commitment to answer emails within a day. We are result-oriented and do not count our time to accomplish our tasks.  Regular reports with our clients in order to make sure we reach the goal expected from our clients.  Constant on the look for new research tools and methodologies  Our goal is to combine traditional methodologies with the latest tech tools  Our methodologies are rigorous and serious, taking information from the best practice in the world of consulting and research.  Demanding on the results, detail- oriented, respectful towards our commitments. 1. Localized & Creative 创造和本土 2. Responsive & Flexible 负责和灵活 5. Innovative 创新 6. Professional 专业  daxue consulting does not outsource its services. We manage our own assistants and use directly technological tools.  We have a deep understanding on the fieldwork and the context within which data was collected. 3. We manage from A to Z 内部  We care about results and design our research in order to be operational.  We are driven by metrics such as customer acquisition costs, business plan KPIs, P&L optimization. 4. Actionable recommendations 可行建议 Responsive Manage from A to Z Actionable recommen- dations Innovative Professional Rigorous & creative 3
  • 4. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Our services 4 Experienced in answering to a wide variety of strategic business questions MARKET RESEARCH 市场调研 MARKET ENTRY 市场准入 PARTNERSHIP SCREENING 合作伙伴筛选 REGULATORY FRAMEWORK 管理框架 CUSTOMER JOURNEY 消费者旅程 PRODUCT TESTING AND LOCALIZATION 产品测试和本地化 BUSINESS PLAN 商业计划 COMPETITOR BENCHMARKING 竞争者对标 DIGITAL STRATEGY 数字战略 MARKET POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT 市场潜力评估 MARKET SIZING 市场规模 OMNI-CHANNEL STRATEGY 全渠道策略 MARKET GAP IDENTIFICATION 市场缺口 GO-TO-MARKET STRATEGY 市场进入 VALUE PROPOSITION & USP DEFINITION 价值主张和销售主张
  • 5. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 350+ clients with 600+ projects for the past 7 years Examples of references 5
  • 6. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED A recognized expertise on the Chinese market Regularly featured and quoted in global publications Daxue latest quotations in recent publications 6
  • 7. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 7 CONTENT OUTLINE The rise of the Stay-at-home Economy in China 1. The 4 types of rising entertainment platforms 3. E-commerce and delivery to keep growth4. 5. Growth points of the Stay-at-home Economy 08 17 22 38 40 Social media and news apps are more embedded into Chinese daily lives 2.
  • 8. 8© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The rise of the Stay-at-home Economy in China 1
  • 9. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED What is the Stay-at-home Economy? 9 Industries that Stay-at-home Economy involves The Stay-at-home Economy is series of consumption and commercial activities carried out by people at home, such as online shopping, entertainment, work, education and fitness. Online shopping Online entertainment Online educationRemote work Delivery services Telemedicine Social media Online fitness 宅经济
  • 10. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Consumers of the Stay-at-home Economy: Zhai people (宅人群) 10 The expression of Zhai people (宅人群) refers to men and women who depend on the internet to meet their daily needs without leaving their homes. They are usually keen on online videos, games and animation. During COVID- 19, most Chinese people lived the Zhai lifestyle. Thus, the Zhai economy has expanded. Videos, movies, TV and live-stream Video and mobile games Social media E-commerce and food delivery apps Online courses Novels and comics Hobbies of Zhai people Background of Zhai people “Zhai people” aka “宅男 and 宅女” (Zhai men and zhai women) is originally a Japanese word “Otaku” meaning “geeks”, now it is widely used to describe people who don’t like outdoor activities. They normally spend less than 3 hours outside and around 8 hours on the internet every day.
  • 11. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 55.5% 44.5% The gender distribution of Zhai people (2019) Zhai people (宅人群) demographics (1/2) 11 Source: GeTui Data (个推大数据), iimedia, HUAXI Securities China’s progressive internet and technologies make it convenient to meet daily needs without leaving home. Thus the lockdown during the COVID-19 epidemic intensified the trend. Zhai men and women see different benefits of staying at home and have different hobbies. Brands and platforms that want to expand business online need to have a deeper understanding of Zhai people’s desires. The preferences of Zhai people by gender Most of them like video and mobile games, internet novels, videos about tech, TV dramas and shows, Japanese and Chinese anime. They are usually keen on online shopping, following celebrities on social media, videos about fashion and beauty, animation and TV shows. 宅男 宅女
  • 12. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Zhai people (宅人群) demographics (2/2) 12 Source: GeTui Data, JiGuang Data, iimedia, HUAXI Securities 35.4% 41.4% 15.0% 4.0% 4.1% 18-24 years old 25-34 years old 35-44 years old Above 45 years old Other ages The age distribution of Zhai people (2019) Most Zhai people are younger than 35 years old, however, the stay-at-home lifestyle is also spreading among older generations because of the Coronavirus. Therefore, it’s possible that more people above 35 years old will join the group. Zhai people under 30 are mainly from cities outside Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Guangzhou. It means stay-at-home economy is expanding in lower tier cities, related industries also can have more consumers from those regions. 15% 29% 31% 26% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Tier-1 cities New tier-1 cities Tier-2 cities Tier-3 cities Geographical distribution of China’s Zhai people under 30 years old (2019) New tier-1 cities= cities that do not equal the traditional first tier cities, such as Shanghai but stand out beyond other Tier 2 cities.
  • 13. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Fast developing internet is the foundation of the stay-at-home economy 13 Source: GSMA, CNNIC VS. internet Users Of Population61% Population 1.4 Billion internet Users 854 Million Mobile internet users 910 Million 65% 99% +1.6% of penetration rate +0.4% of Urban users 2019 H1 vs. 2018 H2 2019 2019 China’s fast growing internet makes people can have many services without leaving their homes. 2019 H1
  • 14. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Mobile internet is the engine of the Stay-at-home economy 14 Social, 33% (e.g. WeChat, Weibo) Short video, 11% Online video, 8% (e.g. iQiyi) News, 9% Online music, 3% Gaming, 8% Online shopping, 4% Others, 24% Time digital consumers spend on different channels (2019) Total time spent online (per user per day) 358 minutes Social Apps Content Apps Other Apps Source: McKinsey, China digital consumer trends in 2019 Digital consumers: people who use mobile internet to look for and purchase products, take advantage of the content published online.
  • 15. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Mobile payment enables stay-at-home consumption 15 Source: Walk The Chat, Ipsos 92% of people in China’s largest cities use WeChat Pay or Alipay as their main means of payment. The wide use of mobile payment allows Chinese people to buy all daily necessities from home, which is another important driver of the Stay-at-home Economy in China. 18.5% 42.6% 50.7% 74.6% 78.5% 83.0% 81.5% 57.4% 49.3% 25.4% 21.5% 17.0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Market share of mobile vs non-mobile payments in China (2013-2018) Non-mobile Mobile
  • 16. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 27 27.6 27.9 30.8 Dec-17 Dec-18 Jun-19 Mar-20 Average time spent on the Internet per week per Chinese netizen (hours) COVID-19 pushed Chinese activities further online (1/2) 16 Time spent online has steadily increased for several years, COVID-19 enhanced this trend. During the epidemic, Chinese reliance on the internet increased and they were exposed to more diverse platforms. Source: CNNIC (中国互联网信息中心)
  • 17. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED COVID-19 pushed Chinese activities further online (2/2) 17 Source: daxueconsulting.com, Qimai (七麦数据) Remote work and study platforms: The Tencent Meeting app was downloaded 430,000 times a day, up from 370 before the outbreak. Online fitness classes: KEEP fitness app registered a 185% increase in followers on the live-streaming platform Douyin. Online Shopping: In February 2020, Taobao app had 720 million users in China, increased by 33 million users compared with December 2019. Social media platforms: On Weibo, some topics about COVID-19 reached over 1 million reads per minute. Mobile gaming: Multiplayer online battle arena sector is the most popular with the game Honor of Kings reached more than 100 million daily active users. COVID-19 made people stay at home at much as possible, which expedited the development of internet related business like online entertainment and education.
  • 18. 18© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Social media and news apps are more embedded into Chinese daily lives 2
  • 19. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Social media has been an essential part of Chinese daily lives 19 36% 39% 50% 56% 78% Tencent Weibo Xiaohongshu Baidu Tieba Sina Weibo WeChat Most used social media platforms in China (January 2020) Source: Wearesocial – Hootsuite, Digital 2020 China On average, every Chinese social media user has 9.3 social media accounts. 98% of Chinese netizens visited social media platforms in January 2020. WeChat and Weibo are the most used social platforms. (A large Chinese network community) 9.3 Average social media accounts per Chinese user 2 hours+ Average time per day spent using social media in January 2020 100% Of active social media users have access via mobile 45% Of users have used social media platforms for work in January 2020
  • 20. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED COVID-19 drove the demand for news apps 20 Both time and active users of daily news apps has increased since December 2019. Along with the development of COVID-19, users’ demand for news apps peaked in February when China entered the height of the epidemic. Then, it had another growth in April when China’s market started to recover from the epidemic. Source: Qianfan Analysys (易观千帆), Questmobile 17 19 Dec-19 Mar-20 Monthly average time spent on news apps per user (hours) 311 326 345 339 343 271 292 302 281 292 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 Monthly active users of top news apps (million) Toutiao Tencent news
  • 21. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Social media also gained traction amid the epidemic 21 Outside of news apps, WeChat, Weibo, and short video apps became the main channels for Chinese to obtain relevant information about COVID-19. Information channels on social media are more likely to gain traffic in the future. 48% said they will continue to spend more time in information acquisition after the outbreak. It’s a social responsibility that a media channel should have! 34.1% 36.1% 48% 62.3% Short video apps Weibo WeChat News apps What was the main channel of info acquisition during the epidemic? (Survey on 10,000 respondents) Source: NetEase Positioning & CTR, Epidemic Consumer Behavior Attitude Impact and Trend Survey on 10,000 respondents, Mainland China, February 20202.1 million 103,000 651,000 Everything about COVID-19 142,000 A Weibo video by a popular science KOL @回形针 PaperClip educating people about the Coronavirus went viral
  • 22. 22© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The 4 types of rising entertainment platforms 3
  • 23. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The mobile games market still has growing potential 23 113 159 2019 CNY official holiday 2020 CNY official holiday Average time spent gaming per day per gamer (minutes) Source: Quest Mobile, Mob Tech The revenue of mobile games had already been steadily increasing, and COVID-19 lead to an influx of new gamers. Additionally, many long-time players spent more time gaming during the epidemic. The large number of sales revenue shows the untapped potential of mobile games. 530 688 2019 CNY official holiday 2020 CNY official holiday The revenue of mobile games in China (million USD)
  • 24. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED What mobile games did people play during the epidemic? 24 Source: Mob Tech Daily active users exceeded 50 million during the 2020 CNY. On the first day of the new year, the number reached the peak of 54 million. Honor of King Online chess and card games were popular during the epidemic. People in northern China prefer card games and southerners like chess. Online chess and card Werewolf (狼人杀) is a popular board game in China. Its active users increased by 20% every day during the 2020 CNY. Werewolf OPPO mini games became the third most popular game series according to active users during the 2020 CNY. Mini games The DAU of sandbox grew by 6 million since the 2019 CNY, to reach 76 million during the 2020 CNY. Sandbox games Most of the top games have some social or multiplayer aspect. Mini games are also popular since they are less time consuming and suitable for stress release. MAU= Monthly active users DAU= Daily active users
  • 25. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The explosive growth of the online video audience 25 Others Related to epidemic Movies 69.8% 68.4% 63.8% 63.4% 55.8% 37.5% 29.7% 2.2% What did Chinese people watch during COVID-19? TV series Short videos Variety shows Documentaries Cartoons Source: Mob Tech, iResaerch, Questmobile 725 726 729 728 727 726 725 726 754 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 The monthly active users of China’s online video platforms (million, 2019-2020) The monthly active users of online video platforms had a large increase during COVID-19. Some movies released on online video platforms rather than cinema and they had a large number of views. Cinema is no longer the only option for releasing films, online video platforms are challenging its leading position.
  • 26. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Short videos have new growing space 26 Source: Fastdata, Mob Tech, QuestMobile Short videos have been one of the most important forms of entertainment in China during the past a few years. Now, short video apps are a method for quick news and info about COVID-19, users can easily find thousands of videos about COVID-19 on short video apps. The industry concentration of short videos is high. The top short video platforms reached many new users over 40 years old because they could quickly get updates about COVID-19. 459 379 128 518 443 152 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Douyin Kuaishou Xigua Monthly active users of short video platforms (million, Dec. 2019 vs Mar. 2020) Dec-19 Mar-20
  • 27. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Video platforms will focus on user stickiness after COVID-19 27 During the epidemic  People had more time to consistently watch videos, movies and TV series during the epidemic.  Short videos attracted much traffic by offering COVID-19 related content. After the epidemic  COVID-19 halted the shooting of many TV series, movies and shows, which decreased high-quality content. People will have higher demand for higher quality and diverse media.  Video platforms are working hard to buy more high-quality video content to increase user stickiness. The developing trend of the video market after the epidemic The traffic and paid users of online video platforms increased significantly during COVID-19.
  • 28. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Epidemic related music gave music platforms more visibility 28 During the epidemic, music platforms offered songs and whole albums related to fighting against COVID-19, resulting in increased online traffic. By releasing these epidemic related songs, online music platforms received many new users during COVID-19. It’s possible those new users will be paid users in the near future. Source: Tencent Music Group Songs related to the epidemic on KuWo (An online music platform in China) 3.5 billion Total exposure during the epidemic 87.6 million + Total number of plays 700 hours + Total time of listening 462 musicians and singers published epidemic related songs in Q1 2020 岁岁平安 Chris Lee/ Sean Xiao 山河无恙在我胸 KUN/ Tong Liya 你要相信这不是 最后一天 Chenyu Hua 同根 Ronghao Li 武汉伢 17 singers from Wuhan 会好的 Lay Zhang
  • 29. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Online concerts temporarily replaced offline concerts 29 Offline concerts were all canceled or postponed during COVID-19, however, online concerts offered extraordinary audio-visual experience to fans and received large traffic. Online concerts can effectively help online music platforms reach more new users, it can be expected that online concerts will be one of the main ways for music platforms to gain traffic. 6 million viewers TME Live online concert “I’m A-Lin” (11th Apr 2020) TME Live online concert “Want to see you” (15th Apr 2020) 6 million + viewers Source: Tencent Music Group, Weibo 20 million views of its Weibo topic The No.1 Weibo hot topic
  • 30. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 4.19 5.08 2019 CNY official hoilday 2020 CNY official holiday Average hours spent on online reading per Chinese reader (Hours) Online reading is more popular than ever 30 Source: iResearch, Mob Tech 5.7% 21.8% 21.8% 50.7% Users’ frequency of reading online novels during the epidemic (2020) Less than once a week Once or twice a week Three times or more a week Almost every day More than 50% Chinese readers chose to read novels almost every day. The average daily online reading time increased by 20% during the epidemic. Most new readers are those who did not have much free time to read before. Now they have formed the habit of reading online and boosted the growth of the market.
  • 31. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 1.4% 1.4% 11.0% 29.1% 57.1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Not sure Won't read Will seldom read Yes, but won't last long Yes and will keep reading for a long time Will you continue to read online after the epidemic? (The survey of iResearch, 2020) 31 Will netizens continue their new online reading habit? 86.2% of people say they will continue to read after the epidemic, hence the online reading market will likely grow in the near future. Source: iResearch Others Enjoy reading More free time To learn more More free books online 69.8% 55.2% 38.6% 17.3% 0.5% Why read books online during the epidemic ? (The survey of iResearch, 2020)
  • 32. 32© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED E-commerce and delivery to keep growth 4
  • 33. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 3.9 5.1 7.2 8.9 10.6 39% 33% 39.2% 25.5% 18.1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 The size of China’s online retail market (trillion RMB, 2015-2019) Transaction value Growth rate E-commerce plays an important role of Chinese people’s shopping 33 The matured e-commerce system provides more convenient conditions for Chinese consumers. But its growth rate has declined, as the scale of users has gradually reached the ceiling of netizens and the cost of acquiring traffic is getting higher and higher. However, Chinese people’s purchasing decisions are heavily affected by KOLs and live-stream and some top short video platforms (Kuaishou and Douyin) already entered the e-commerce market by live-stream + KOLs. They achieved very high sales. Hence, "live-stream e-commerce" will become the next outlet in China’s e-commerce industry. Source: CNNIC, ECRC
  • 34. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 14.1 17.9 17.4 17.3 89.2 87.2 91.1 93.2 50.3 61.5 55.1 53.5 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 Monthly active users of top grocery e-commerce apps (million) Hema Fresh JD daojia Dingdong Maicai Grocery delivery stands out in the e-commerce market 34 Although January is a traditional low season for e-commerce platforms, the COVID-19 outbreak has accelerated the division of the entire grocery e-commerce market. The elastic demand has declined significantly (luxury goods fell by 12.5%) while the demand for fresh food (inelastic demand) increased, which drove the double-digit growth of fresh food e-commerce users and sales. In the long run, the main problems for fresh food e-commerce to further develop are high transportation and storage costs. Fresh food is not easy to preserve and it’s price is usually high. Therefore, it’s essential for fresh food e-commerce companies to optimize storage to lower costs. Source:: Qianfan Analysys (易观千帆)
  • 35. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Online grocery delivery user profile 35 < 18 years old 2% 18-24 years old 10% 25-34 years old 37% 35-44 years old 45% > 45 years old 6% Grocery app user age distribution (2020) Grocery app user city level distribution (2020) 1st-tier 41% 2nd-tier 36% 3rd-tier 10% 4th-tier 11% 5th-tier 2% Source: Mob Tech Before COVID-19, those under 35 who live in tier-1 cities were the main consumers of grocery e-commerce. Now, fresh food e- commerce has expand its business to 35-44 years olds who have family.
  • 36. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The rise of contactless delivery service 36 Source: Qianfan Analysys (易观千帆) JD’s contactless delivery robot Due to the epidemic, the express delivery industry suffered in January. Therefore, contactless delivery service obtained more room for development, such as self-service mailbox. China’s largest delivery service provider CaiNiao (菜鸟available everywhere in China) started to use the “contactless pickup" service to reduce personnel contact on 28th January. Thus, consumers' demand for contactless delivery cabinets is expected to be improved after experiencing the epidemic. JD.COM has used an unmanned delivery robot for contactless delivery in Wuhan, which promoted the application of AI tech in daily life Diverse and safe express delivery methods can increase consumers' desire to shop online and hedge part of the consumption crisis brought by the epidemic. 8.7 8.3 7.8 8.2 10.4 9.8 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 Monthly active users of Cainiao Guoguo App (million) Cainiao’s self-service mailbox
  • 37. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Online food delivery is essential in Chinese daily life 37 The epidemic further strengthened the food delivery market growth, which has been consistent for several years. 1 2 3 Online food ordering business drove the F&B market during COVID-19 F&B suffered heavy losses during CNY2020 From January to February, the catering industry’s revenue decreased by 43.1% y-o-y. More than 90% of the Chinese restaurants had to close. Contactless delivery reduced infection Two online food ordering platforms Meituan and Ele.me adapted their delivery services to reduce infection risks. This includes taking the temperature of all the people involved in the delivery process. F&B turned to online business models According to the survey of iiMedia, 78% of the restaurants mainly sold online to ensure the continuity of their operations during COVID-19. Among them, 70% said they will remain online. 166.2 274.1 425.0 577.9 2016 2017 2018 2019 The market size of online food take-out (2016-2019, RMB Billion) Source: Analysys (易观), iResearch
  • 38. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED KOLs and live-stream further exploited the potential of online marketing 38 50% 32% 9% 9% Will continue to watch for a while Will continue to watch, but may not last long Will watch occasionally Not sure Will you watch live-stream after the epidemic? Source: Analysys (易观), iResearch During the epidemic, live-stream and KOLs played even more important roles in online marketing. The top short video platforms made full use of their huge traffic to work with top KOLs in live-stream marketing, they have achieved extraordinary results. Live-stream marketing is becoming the most efficient online marketing tool in China More than 80% of the audience indicated that they would continue to watch live-stream after the epidemic, which is consistent with the characteristics of live-stream that can be watched without excessive concentration. Therefore, if live-stream platforms want to maintain the user retention rate after COVID-19, customized recommendations are key. 10 million + Live-stream viewers 5 million + Total number of orders of all live-stream shows > 620 million RMB Turnover of all live-stream shows Kuaishou Live-stream (Apr. 18, 2020)
  • 39. 39© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Growth points of the Stay- at-home Economy 5
  • 40. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The rise of online education makes taking class at home possible (1/2) 40 Source: Questmobile, CNNIC 138 155 201 232 423 Dec-2016 Dec-2017 Dec-2018 Jun-2019 Mar-2020 Total number of online education / training platforms users (million) 2.5 5.6 Mar-2019 Mar-2020 Time spent on online education apps per user (hour) During the epidemic, offline classes and training couldn’t work as usual, online education platforms reached more new users and most users spent more time on those platforms. Most Chinese education enterprises are investing more on online learning and the trend will continue for a while after COVID-19. Except students, career people and recent grads are also important focuses of online education enterprises. Live-stream and flexible courses schemes are popular among those people.
  • 41. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The rise of online education makes taking class at home possible (2/2) 41 Source: Questmobile, Zero2 IPO Research Brands Feb.2019 weekly active users Feb.2020 weekly active users YOY growth 124,000 6,159,000 50 x 352,000 7,409,000 21 x 228,000 3,781,000 17 x 166,000 351,000 2 x Xueersi XDF Yuanfudao Zybang User activity of China top online education apps 6% 7% 12% 17% 13% 17% 29% 25% 24.2% 20.8% 15.5% 13.2% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% After the 2020 CNY Before the 2020 CNY Tier-1 cities New tier-1 cities Tier-2 cities Tier-3 cities Tier-4 cities Tier-5 cities Geographical distribution of online education new users Top education enterprises used their reputation, resources and technology to attract large number of consumers during the epidemic. Many new users are students (primary to high school) from tier-2, 3 and 4 cities and were never exposed to online courses before. COVID-19 pushed them into the online learning market and they became the new growth point the market. They are highly dependent on a strict study schedule, so assistance learning services are necessary, such as question answering. New tier-1 cities= cities that do not equal traditional first tier cities, such as Shanghai but stand out beyond other traditional Tier 2 cities.
  • 42. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 13.6 13.4 14.4 15.5 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Monthly active users of PingAn Good Doctor (平安好医生) app (million) Telemedicine platforms are accelerating growth 42 Due to the epidemic, the number of users in the telemedicine field continues to rise. For telemedicine companies, they proved to the whole society that their services are complementary to the physical medical system during the epidemic. Top internet medical enterprises are outstanding in terms of patient coverage, doctor resource reserve, organization & deployment capabilities, and background service operation capabilities. On the other hand, the contradiction between supply and demand of medical resources in China continues to be prominent, and telemedicine treatment can improve the efficiency of hospital operations. PingAn Good Doctor: the wholly- owned subsidiary of Ping An Group and leader in telemedicine services. Source: Qianfan Analysys (易观千帆)
  • 43. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 13.7% 36.1% 22.4% 15.5% 12.3% < 24 years old 24-30 years old 31-35 years old 36-40 years old > 41 years old 8.5% 38.9% 21.4% 21.9% 9.3% 1st-tier cities New 1st-tier 2nd-tier 3rd-tier Others Ping An Good Doctor users’ profile 43 City level distribution Age distribution China’s leading telemedicine platform Ping An Good Doctor covers four major business segments: online medical consultation, consumption medical care, health malls, health management and interaction. The number of users reached 5.67 million on February 5th, with an increase of 8.4% before the 2020 Lunar new year. Telemedicine apps and websites are no longer just patients from 1st-tier cities, people in 2nd and 3rd-tier cities are beginning to use telemedicine platforms. People under 35 years old are the main users, but the middle-aged & elderly groups’ needs have not yet been explored. Telemedicine companies should pay more attention to the convenience and operability of online consultation to seize this part of consumers. In the long run, telemedicine platforms will benefit and accelerate due to China’s ageing population. Source: www.analysys.cn Source: Analysys (易观) Note: the wholly-owned subsidiary of Ping An Group and leader in telemedicine services.
  • 44. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Drivers for the development of telecommuting 44 COVID-19 The epidemic made telecommuting a necessity no matter the distance from the office. Once normalcy returns, white collar workers will have the tools downloaded, lowering the barrier to use them again. The demand for working across regions More than 80% large and medium-size enterprises in China set up offices in at least two areas. They need telecommuting to improve working efficiency and reduce travel expense. Industries like internet, IT and retail have high demand for telecommuting. Increasing demand in some industries Improvement of network infrastructure The number of internet broadband access ports has been increasing year by year. Cable, WiFi and mobile network technologies are mature and widely used in China. Big data and cloud computing continue to develop Faster data transmission is available because of the rapid development of big data and cloud computing. Both of them are foundations of telecommuting. Source: Analysys (易观)
  • 45. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Telecommuting has been easy to implement for companies 45 Both the time spent on telecommuting platforms and monthly active users have greatly increased during COVID-19. After COVID-19, many employees will be stable users of telecommuting platforms and telecommuting platforms providers can reach more new users through them. If telecommuting technologies develop further, it’s possible that people can work for companies in tier-1 cities while staying in lower tier cities, which means the white-collar migrant population of big cities may fall steeply in the future. 0.23 4.93 03/2019 03/2020 Total time spent on telecommuting platforms (billion hours, Mar 2019 vs Mar 2020) Source: Quest mobile, HURUN REPORT More than 1.8 million enterprises in China used telecommuting platforms after the CNY 2020. 1.8 million + 300 million + More than 300 million workers chose to work with telecommuting platforms during the epidemic.
  • 46. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The fitness industry: from offline to online (1/2) 46 Online fitness courses on apps Local authorities closed gyms across the country during COVID-19. Chinese looked for ways to stay in shape, while gyms also wanted new profit sources. Thus, mobile fitness apps had a explosive growth during the epidemic. Most users are willing to pay to stay in shape. Online fitness apps can develop more business other than fitness products such as selling meal replacements. The users of KEEP app peaked 34.3 million in April 2020. 190,000 people watched online courses of Super Monkey** (a Chinese gym). The average viewing of fitness courses of Justin&Julie** was around 50,000. **Super Monkey and Justin&Julie are both Chinese gyms. 14,481 16,151 44,228 49,377 12-2019 01-2020 02-2020 03-2020 Daily average downloads of KEEP APP (Dec 2019 to Mar 2020) KEEP: an online fitness app Source: Analysys (易观), Questmobile
  • 47. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The fitness industry: from offline to online (2/2) 47 13.83% 66.75% 17.47% 1.95% Age distribution of participants on Weibo 18-19 20-21 22-23 24-30 70% participants were women. The topic of “at-home workout” on Weibo had 340 million reads and 1.2 million discussions. “At-home workout” activity on Weibo Celebrities in online fitness courses 30% 70% Gender distribution of participants on Weibo Male Female Source: Weibo, Mob tech China’s celebrities also entered the market. Douyin invited famous volleyball player Hui Ruoqi and table tennis player Zhang Jike to teach people exercise by live-stream. By working with celebrities, online fitness courses easily gained huge traffic. It will be a new growth point for the online fitness market.
  • 48. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Personal finance apps attracted young consumers 48 During the epidemic, banks and other financial institutions invested more on online marketing. People’s financial awareness is obviously strengthened. Chines mainly use financial apps for Deposit, money fund and financial products launched by banks. Online financial apps get much traffic 20-29 years olds Show the most interest in internet financing and they are more likely to trust and use online financial apps. Source: Baidu index 9% 56% 32% 3% Age distribution of people who searched “internet financing” on Baidu (April 2020) 19 years old and younger 20-29 years old 30-39 years old 40-49 years old
  • 49. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED To get weekly China market insights, follow our WeChat account https://www.linkedin.com/company/daxue-consulting https://daxueconsulting.com/newsletter-2/ WeChat LinkedIn Newsletter 49 STAY UPDATED ON CHINA MARKET INSIGHTS