For the Dean's Mentoring Program Case Competition, our team devised a plan for Yum! Brands to expand to India. Specifically, we recommended that the company uses the Taco Bell brand to target college students outside of Tier 1 cities across the country.
2. How can we replicate
the huge success in
China?
Seamless
Cultural
Integration
Strong Supply
Chain
India
Tapping into key
population
areas
3. Our Recommendation
1. Expand the Taco Bell brand
2. Utilize Pizza Hut’s existing and expanding supply
chain to support new Taco Bell restaurants
3. Focus on colleges and universities as gateways
to non-metropolitan areas
4. The Taco Bell Advantage
• Accommodate
Vegetarian Population –
30%
• Easily Customizable
• Preference for Spicy
Foods
• Blends Western and
Indian Cultures easily
5. Example Menu Item - Chili Paneer
Quesadilla
• Flavorful, spicy, and vegetarian – The Perfect
Combination
• Draws Indian youth to Western ideas while keeping up
with Indian traditions
8. 2011 Population for Key States
State Metropolitan Population Non-metro Population
Andhra Pradesh 12,057,856 76,007,405
Bihar 2,046,652 101,757,985
Chandigarh 1,025,682 29,004
Chhattisgarh 2,186,632 23,353,564
Delhi 16,314,838 438,397
Gujarat 14,033,692 46,349,936
Haryana 1,404,653 23,948,428
Jammu and Kashmir 1,273,312 11,275,614
Jharkhand 3,659,170 29,307,068
Karnataka 8,499,399 52,631,305
Kerala 12,142,240 21,245,437
Madhya Pradesh 6,463,373 66,134,192
Maharashtra 29,935,411 82,437,561
Punjab 2,797,583 24,906,653
Rajasthan 5,212,530 63,408,482
Tamil Nadu 13,331,613 58,807,345
Uttar Pradesh 14,003,273 185,578,204
West Bengal 15,355,544 75,992,192
Grand Total 161,743,453 943,608,772
9. 2011 Population Comparison for Key States
161,743,453
(15%)
943,608,772
(85%)
Metropolitan Cities
Key States
10. Additional Considerations
No College Zone
State Capital Area (sq.km.) 2011 Population
Arunachal Pradesh Itanagar 83,743 1,382,611
Chhattisgarh Raipur 135,191 25,540,196
Jharkhand Ranchi 79,714 32,966,238
Manipur Imphal 22,327 2,721,756
Meghalaya Shillong 22,429 2,964,007
Nagaland Kohima 16,579 1,980,602
Total 359,983 67,555,410
Pizza Hut Supply Chain
Expansion Zone
State Capital Area (sq.km.) 2011 Population
Bihar Patna 94,163 103,804,637
Goa Panaji 3,702 1,457,723
Himachal Pradesh Simla 55,673 6,856,509
Mizoram Aizawl 21,081 1,091,014
Tamil Nadu Chennai 130,058 72,138,958
Tripura Agartala 10,486 3,671,032
Total 315,163 189,019,873
11. Specific Exhibits of Strategy
• Kurukshetra University (Kurukshetra, Haryana, India)
– University Population: 45,000
– Surrounding Population: 964,231
– Number of nearby Pizza Huts: 0
• Chaudhary Devi Lal University (Sirsa, Haryana, India)
– University Population: 15,000
– Surrounding Population: 160, 129
– Number of nearby Pizza Huts: 0
• Guru Jambheshwar University of Science and Technology (Hisar, Haryana,
India)
– University Population: 5,000
– Surrounding Population: 301,249
– Number of Nearby Pizza Huts: 0
12. Sales Mix
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Store Percentage
Store Mix (Percentage)
Taco Bell Pizza Huts KFC
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Number of Stores
Store Mix (Total)
Taco Bell Pizza Huts KFC
17. Taco Bell in
India as
vegetarian
market leader
Strong
Growth
Thinking
outside of
major cities
Utilizing Pizza
Hut’s existing
and growing
supply chain
Focus on
colleges and
universities
as market
drivers
18.
19. Appendix
• April, F. (2012, September 04). Mcdonald's goes vegetarian — in india. Retrieved from http://
www.npr.org/blogs/thesalt/2012/09/04/160543754/mcdonalds-goes-vegetarian-in-india
• Babatunde, J. (2012, May 25). Fison chairman decries low fish production in nigeria. Retrieved from
http://www.vanguardngr.com/2012/05/fison-chairman-decries-low-fish-production-in-nigeria/
• Douglas, K. (2012, September 08). Five trends driving nigeria’s investment allure. Retrieved from http://
www.howwemadeitinafrica.com/five-trends-driving-nigerias-investment-allure/20010/
• GasGasparro, A. (2011, Nov 23). Yum splits india into separate division, names new international CEO.Wall Street Journal (Online). Retrieved from
http://search.proquest.com/docview/905646284?accountid=14168
• Fisheries. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.nigeriamarkets.org/index.php?
option=com_content&view=article&id=123&Itemid=129
• India total disposable personal income . (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.tradingeconomics.com/india/
disposable-personal-income
• Kazmin, A. (2011). India's youth savour fast-food chains. FT.Com, Retrieved from
http://search.proquest.com/docview/857495357?accountid=14168
• Kentucky fried fish hits vietnam. (2004, January 27). Retrieved from http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/
business/3434001.stm
• KFC kentucky fried chicken in nigeria marketing essay. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.ukessays.com/
essays/marketing/kfc-kentucky-fried-chicken-in-nigeria-marketing-essay.php
• KFCc set to stretch competition in fast food business in nigeria. (2011, August 16). Retrieved from http://
businessdayonline.com/NG/index.php/branding/26023-
• KFC to open 20 restaurants in nigeria during 2011. (2010, December 10). Retrieved from http://
www.howwemadeitinafrica.com/kfc-to-open-20-restaurants-in-nigeria-during-2011/6232/
• Ma Maylie, D. (2012, Jan 10). Yum to add 100 KFC outlets in africa. Wall Street Journal (Online). R
trieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/914943583?accountid=14168
• RapRappeport, A. (2012). Yum to export chinese model to india. FT.Com, Retrieved from
http://search.proquest.com/docview/1018386124?accountid=14168
20. Stores and Sales Projections 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Comparable Stores (Operating for at least one year)
Pizza Huts 187 245 312 342 372 392 402
KFC 166 218 278 278 278 278 278
Taco Bell 2 2 3 31 69 117 175
Total 355 466 593 651 719 787 855
New Stores (Less than one year)
Pizza Huts 58 67 30 30 20 10 0
KFC 52 60 0 0 0 0 0
Taco Bell 1 1 28 38 48 58 70
Total 111 127 58 68 68 68 70
Total Number of Stores
Pizza Huts 245 312 342 372 392 402 402
KFC 218 278 278 278 278 278 278
Taco Bell 2 3 31 69 117 175 245
Grand Total 466 593 651 719 787 855 925
Percent of Stores Owned by Company
Pizza Huts 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
KFC 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%
Taco Bell 100% 100% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Franchised Stores
Pizza Huts 243 309 339 368 388 398 398
KFC 131 167 167 167 167 167 167
Taco Bell 0 0 29 66 111 166 233
Total 374 476 535 601 666 731 798
Company Owned Stores
Pizza Huts 2 3 3 4 4 4 4
KFC 87 111 111 111 111 111 111
Taco Bell 2 3 2 3 6 9 12
Total 92 117 116 118 121 124 127
Grand Total 466 593 651 719 787 855 925
Additional Stores for the Next Five Years
Franchised Company-Owned Total
Pizza Huts 89 1 90
KFC 0 0 0
Taco Bell 233 9 242
Sales Break-Down 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Company and Franchisee Sales
Sales by Company-Owned Stores 61 76 59 61 64 68 72
Sales by Fracnhised Stores (Before Royalty) 175 217 270 309 354 398 449
Total 236 293 329 370 418 466 521
Company Net Sales
Sales by Company-Owned Stores 61 76 59 61 64 68 72
Franchise and License Fees and Income 21 26 32 37 42 48 54
Total 82 102 91 98 107 115 126
21. Free Cash Flows to Firm 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Company Net Sales 82.0 102.0 91.0 98.0 106.7 115.3 125.7
COGS & Operating Expenses 82.0 103.0 76.2 75.8 76.4 76.6 77.5
EBITDA 0.0 -1.0 14.8 22.2 30.3 38.7 48.3
Add Depreciation and Amortization 5.0 6.0 8.0 8.8 9.7 10.6 11.5
Subtract Taxes 0.0 -0.3 4.4 6.7 9.1 11.6 14.5
Subtract Capital Expenditure 23.0 20.0 -0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Subtact Increase in Net Working Capital -0.5 -0.3 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2
Free Cash Flows to Firm -17.5 -14.4 18.5 23.9 30.4 37.1 44.6
Operating Assumptions 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Royalty as Percentage of Franchised Stores Sales 12%
Marginal Tax Rate 30%
Percent of Stores Owned by Company
Pizza Huts 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
KFC 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%
Taco Bell 100% 100% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Company and Franchise Sales Per Store 0.51 0.49 0.50 0.51 0.53 0.54 0.56
Growth -59.2% -2.5% 2.30% 1.96% 3.15% 2.59% 3.43%
COGS & Expenses as Percentage of Company-Owned Stores Sales 134% 136% 130% 124% 119% 113% 108%
D&A per Comparable Company-Owned Stores 1.41% 1.29% 1.35% 1.35% 1.35% 1.35% 1.35%
CapEx Per Additional Company-Owned Store 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26
Net Working Capital -1.35 -1.67 -1.49 -1.61 -1.75 -1.89 -2.06
Percentage of Sales -1.64% -1.64% -1.64% -1.64% -1.64% -1.64% -1.64%
Project Value
WACC 11.26%
Terminal Growth Rate 1.71%
Terminal Value 278.4
Present Value of FCFF
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 TV
16.6 19.3 22.0 24.2 26.1 163.3
Intial Investment at 2012 -85.0
Net Present Value of India Initiative 186.6
Good afternoon, and thank you for the opportunity to share our insights regarding the future of Yum! Brands. With over 1.4 million employees, and 36,000 restaurants in 117 countries, Yum! Brands is becoming the defining global company that feeds the world.
We plan to build Taco Bells near the existing Pizza Huts to take advantage of the established supply chain. As such, we will add Taco Bell stores until our total number of Taco Bell stores will be the same as our current number of Pizza Hut stores. Because we believe KFC growth potentials are not as optimal as those of Taco Bell, we will not add additional stores and maintain the current number. Pizza Huts has been doing well in India and already has an established and steady presence. Because of this, we will continue to add stores, but at a slowing pace. In our Five-Year Plan, we will quickly expand the number of Taco Bells through franchising new stores, decreasing our percentage of company-owned stores to 5%. We will have the option to buy back profitable franchised stores as in China after our FYP.
Total sales by company owned and franchised stores, with revenues broken down by the amount of royalty the Company receives.
From our projected net sales, expenses, capital expenditure, and change in net working capital, we calculated the Free Cash Flows to Firm. Based on a WACC of 13.26% and a terminal growth rate of 3.00%, we determined the present value of our India Initiative to be $234 million. Because of our positive net present value, the India Initiative should be adopted.