Trends in World Heating Markets and Renewable Growth
•
3 likes•3,494 views
The document summarizes trends in the global traditional and renewable heating markets. Some key points: - Europe dominated the world heating market in 2012 but growth is now slower, while markets like China and Russia are growing faster. - Boiler markets are growing and shifting to high-efficiency condensing boilers in Europe, but less so outside Europe. Efficiency standards like ErP are also driving greater efficiency. - Heat pumps are emerging as the main renewable technology and their use is expected to grow substantially in regions like China, Europe and North America by 2020.
Recommended
Recommended
More Related Content
What's hot
What's hot (17)
Similar to Trends in World Heating Markets and Renewable Growth
Similar to Trends in World Heating Markets and Renewable Growth (20)
More from BSRIA
More from BSRIA (20)
Recently uploaded
Recently uploaded (20)
Trends in World Heating Markets and Renewable Growth
- 1. Trends in the World Traditional & Renewable Heating Markets Andrew Giles China Refrigeration Show April 10th 2014
- 2. 2 Excellence in Market Intelligence Agenda Heating dominated by Europe but it is now a cold spot Boiler markets growing and moving into condensing inside Europe, but not outside Efficiency and Control on the top of the agenda – ErP and its impacts Sanitary hot water heat pumps set to grow in China and USA & growth expected in Europe Many new solution enter the market = Heat pump main renewable winner Top 20 hvac manufacturers remain specialised by tehnology 2
- 3. 3 Excellence in Market Intelligence World Heating Market Value by region, 2012 North America Radiators 0% UFH 7% WH 74% CB 5% DB** 14% Total: US$ 5,658 million Radiators 1% UFH 6% WH 79% CB 2% DB 12% Japan Total: US$ 5,214 million Radiators 23% UFH 11% WH 23% CB 4% DB 39% Europe* Total: US$ 18,897 million •Europe includes 25 countries: Austria, Belgium , France, Germany , Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway , Spain, Sweden, Switzerland , Turkey, United Kingdom, Belarus, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Ukraine ** Domestic boilers in NA doe not include furnaces. Population (million inhabitants) USA + Canada Europe Japan China 352 778 127 1,360 3 China Total: US$ 7,100 million Radiators 20% UFH 19% WH 47% CB 5% DB 9%
- 4. 4 Excellence in Market Intelligence World Heating hot and cold spots, 2013 Warm spots ≥10-20% Cold spots <0% Hot spots ≥20% Cool spots ≥0-10% 2012/2011 value growth Belgium Russia China North America Turkey Netherlands Sweden Spain Japan France Germany Italy Norway South Korea Products included: Domestic boilers, commercial boilers, traditional water heaters, radiators & wet underfloor heating. UK 4 Poland Iran
- 5. 5 Excellence in Market Intelligence Domestic boilers - main EU heating markets Total domestic boiler sales, 2012 - 2017 - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2012 2013 2017 Sales will pick up in most European markets ‘000 units 5
- 6. 6 Excellence in Market Intelligence Technology shift Domestic gas & oil boiler sales, 2012 - 2017 Outside the EU market 12% 15% 88% 85% 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 2012 2017 Inside the EU market ‘000 units ‘000 units 70% 85% 30% 15% 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 2012 2017 non-condensing condensing 6
- 7. 7 Excellence in Market Intelligence ErP - Impact on products Increase in Combined and Hybrid systems Eco Design A +++ ≥150% A ++ ≥125% A + ≥98% A ≥90% B ≥82% C ≥75% D ≥36% E ≥34% Cogeneration Gas HP Condensing boilers Non- condensing boilers Ground /Water to water HP Air to water HP From 26/9/2015 products with Label D to G are no longer allowed to be sold Hybrid Heat Pumps Combined CB + ST system + enhanced Controls Fuel cell Labels mandatory from Sep. 2015 7
- 8. 8 Excellence in Market Intelligence Combining systems Product label High efficiency gas boiler Solar thermal system (VT) Temperature controls System label example: 89% 6% 4% + + System efficiency 99% A + ≥98% System label Separate labelling for Space Heating and SHW. 8
- 9. 9 Excellence in Market Intelligence World Heat Pump 2020 Outlook 9 22% 17% 10% 19% 7% 15% 4% 6% 18% 18% 7% 1% 51% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 2012 2020 CAGR 2012-2020 27% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% China - 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 Sales volume per country with CAGR 2012 - 2020 growth units growth units
- 10. 10 Excellence in Market Intelligence European Heat Pump market 2012 – 2017 CAGR 2012 – 2017 Cylinder- integrated WH: 17% Split: 14% Exhaust-air: 1% Monobloc: 5% Ground / Water: 1% 2013 Ground/Water sales: 64,200 Split: 84,300 Monobloc: 78,800 Cylinder-integrated WH: 156,300 Exhaust air: 13,800 Based on data for: Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Switzerland, UK 10 Split: 153,700 Monobloc: 73,200 - 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 Cylinder integrated HPWH Split A/W Monoblock A/W Exhaust air HP Ground source HP 2012 2013 2017 units
- 11. 11 Excellence in Market Intelligence Up until 2020 11 Products / technologies reaching the market dfe 2009/10 – 10 2012 2015 2017 2020 2019 Launch FC (Japan) Resid. Gas HP Resid.FC in Europe Solar cooling Energy Storage Systems Smart Grid + Energy Homes HEMS CO2 VRF CO2 HP Micro-CHP ICE/ Stirling Smart Meters 2000 – 2008 Expansion of electric HP and Solar Thermals S y s t e m I n t e g r a t i o n Hybrid HP
- 12. 12 Excellence in Market Intelligence European heating controls 12 ‘000 units Traditional heating controls sales (DE, F, UK), 2012 / 2020 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 2012 2020 TRV other valves dampers/actuators system controls Room Thermostats 22% growth 72% 94% 81% 28% 6% 19% - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 France UK Germany Smart home controls* Traditional heating controls Traditional & smart home controls market, 2012 € million
- 13. 13 Excellence in Market Intelligence How competitive are renewables in Europe 13 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 GCB GCB+Combi ST HP HP + Combi ST Hybrid HP Fuel cell Operating cost, € per year, 2013 (existing dwellings) - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 GCB GCB+Combi ST HP HP + Combi ST Hybrid HP Fuel cell Germany UK Lifetime cost, € per year, 2013 (existing dwellings)
- 14. 14 Excellence in Market Intelligence About BSRIA Worldwide Market Intelligence A globally recognised source of strategic market intelligence and consultancy in the building and construction industry. 14 Air conditioning Heating Renewable Energy Smart Technology IT