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Trends in the World Traditional &
Renewable Heating Markets
Krystyna Dawson
Heating & Renewables
Manager
BSRIA WMI
Mostra,...
2
Excellence in Market Intelligence
Agenda
Energy supply to Europe – uncertainty rising again
Efficiency and Control on th...
3
Excellence in Market Intelligence
Energy supply to Europe
3
First Ukrainian crisis - January 2009
Souce: bbc news
Recent...
4
Excellence in Market Intelligence
Share of RES & Fracking
4
France Italy Spain PolandGermany UK Belgium
Share of RES
in ...
5
Excellence in Market Intelligence
ErP - Impact on products
Increase in Combined and Hybrid systemsEco Design
A +++ ≥150%...
6
Excellence in Market Intelligence
Combining systems
Product label
High efficiency
gas boiler
Solar thermal
system (VT)
T...
7
Excellence in Market Intelligence
Technology shift
Domestic gas & oil boiler sales, 2012 - 2017
Outside the EU market
12...
8Excellence in Market Intelligence
Water Heating Europe
8
Water Heating market,
by type of provision, 2013
Water Heating m...
9
Excellence in Market Intelligence
European Solar thermal Market
2012 - 2017
‘000 m2
9
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,40...
10
Excellence in Market Intelligence
European Heat Pump market
2012 – 2017
CAGR
2012 – 2017
Cylinder-
integrated WH:
17%
S...
11
Excellence in Market Intelligence
How competitive are renewables
in Europe
11
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
GCB GCB+Co...
12
Excellence in Market Intelligence
World Heating Market Value
by region, 2012
North America
Radiators
0%
UFH
7%
WH
74%
C...
13
Excellence in Market Intelligence
World Heating hot and cold spots, 2013
Warm spots ≥10-20%
Cold spots <0%
Hot spots ≥2...
14
Excellence in Market Intelligence
World Water Heating market,
by technology
14
EIWH
36%
ESWH
36%
GIWH
20%
GSWH
8% OSWH
...
15
Excellence in Market Intelligence
World Renewable Market Value
by region, 2012
* Europe HP, ST & HRV includes 13 countr...
16
Excellence in Market Intelligence
World hydronic Heat Pump Market
by value, 2012
16
Regional market, share by valueTop ...
17
Excellence in Market Intelligence
World Heat pump
Major players
17
Top 10 players by value 2012, US$ million
Panasonic,...
18
Excellence in Market Intelligence
World Solar Thermal Market
by value, 2012
18
6,125
1,341.6
575.6 211.3 38.5
Asia Paci...
19
Excellence in Market Intelligence
European heating controls
19
‘000 units
Traditional heating controls sales (DE, F, UK...
20Excellence in Market Intelligence
Thank you
Contact:
Krystyna Dawson
Senior Manager – Heating & Renewables
BSRIA Worldwi...
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Heating and renewable trends edited - MCE 2014

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Trends in the world traditional & renewable heating markets presented at MCE Milan 2014
Covers energy supply to Europe, World Heating and Renewables market

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Heating and renewable trends edited - MCE 2014

  1. 1. Trends in the World Traditional & Renewable Heating Markets Krystyna Dawson Heating & Renewables Manager BSRIA WMI Mostra, March 2014
  2. 2. 2 Excellence in Market Intelligence Agenda Energy supply to Europe – uncertainty rising again Efficiency and Control on the top of the agenda – ErP and its impacts Space and water heating in Europe How competitive are renewables in Europe 2020 outlook for main EU heating markets World heating – hot and cold spots World Renewables markets Future prospects for European heating controls 2
  3. 3. 3 Excellence in Market Intelligence Energy supply to Europe 3 First Ukrainian crisis - January 2009 Souce: bbc news Recent events are again threatening the stability of supply Targets for increased share of RES in electricity production have been set US and Europe discovered the shale gas and fracking
  4. 4. 4 Excellence in Market Intelligence Share of RES & Fracking 4 France Italy Spain PolandGermany UK Belgium Share of RES in electricity generation 2012:17% 2020: 27% 2012: 11% 2020: 38 % 2012: 11% 2020: 31% 2012: 20% 2020: 26% 2012: 27% 2020: 36% 2012:10% 2020: 19% 2012: 8% 2020: 21% Substantial amounts available Permits issued Lots of uncertainty about environmental impact and economic viability Ambitious targets, High cost Energy Efficiency, Management, Control, at the top of the agenda.
  5. 5. 5 Excellence in Market Intelligence ErP - Impact on products Increase in Combined and Hybrid systemsEco Design A +++ ≥150% A ++ ≥125% A + ≥98% A ≥90% B ≥82% C ≥75% D ≥36% E ≥34% Cogeneration Gas HP Condensing boilers Non- condensing boilers Ground /Water to water HP Air to water HP From 26/9/2015 products with Label D to G are no longer allowed to be sold Hybrid Heat Pumps Combined CB + ST system + enhanced Controls Fuel cell Labels mandatory from Sep. 2015 5
  6. 6. 6 Excellence in Market Intelligence Combining systems Product label High efficiency gas boiler Solar thermal system (VT) Temperature controls System label example: 89% 6% 4% + + System efficiency 99% A + ≥98% System label Separate labelling for Space Heating and SHW. 6
  7. 7. 7 Excellence in Market Intelligence Technology shift Domestic gas & oil boiler sales, 2012 - 2017 Outside the EU market 12% 15% 88% 85% 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 2012 2017 Inside the EU market‘000 units ‘000 units 70% 85% 30% 15% 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 2012 2017 non-condensing condensing 7
  8. 8. 8Excellence in Market Intelligence Water Heating Europe 8 Water Heating market, by type of provision, 2013 Water Heating market by type of provision, 2010 • Combi boilers have been the most popular product. • The share of ST systems has fallen. Based on BSRIA market analysis for 19 European countries Electric storage 41% Gas storage 1% Electric inst 8% Gas inst 10% Combi boilers 35% ST systems 5% SHWHP 0% ST Water Heaters 3% SHW HP 1% Combi boilers 41% Electric storage 38% Gas storage 1% Electric instantaneous 8% Gas instantaneous 8%
  9. 9. 9 Excellence in Market Intelligence European Solar thermal Market 2012 - 2017 ‘000 m2 9 - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 2012 2013 2017 2012 – 2.8 mln m2 2017 – 3.2 mln m2 CAGR 2.2%
  10. 10. 10 Excellence in Market Intelligence European Heat Pump market 2012 – 2017 CAGR 2012 – 2017 Cylinder- integrated WH: 17% Split: 14% Exhaust-air: 1% Monobloc: 5% Ground / Water: 1% 2013 Ground/Water sales: 64,200 Split: 84,300 Monobloc: 78,800 Cylinder-integrated WH: 156,300 Exhaust air: 13,800 Based on data for: Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Switzerland, UK 10 Split: 153,700 Monobloc: 73,200 - 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 Cylinder integrated HPWH Split A/W Monoblock A/W Exhaust air HP Ground source HP 2012 2013 2017 units
  11. 11. 11 Excellence in Market Intelligence How competitive are renewables in Europe 11 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 GCB GCB+Combi ST HP HP + Combi ST Hybrid HP Fuel cell Operating cost, € per year, 2013 (existing dwellings) - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 GCB GCB+Combi ST HP HP + Combi ST Hybrid HP Fuel cell Germany UK Lifetime cost, € per year, 2013 (existing dwellings)
  12. 12. 12 Excellence in Market Intelligence World Heating Market Value by region, 2012 North America Radiators 0% UFH 7% WH 74% CB 5% DB** 14% Total: US$ 5,658 million Radiators 1% UFH 6% WH 79% CB 2% DB 12% Japan Total: US$ 5,214 million Radiators 23% UFH 11% WH 23% CB 4% DB 39% Europe* Total: US$ 18,897 million • Europe includes 25 countries: Austria, Belgium , France, Germany , Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway , Spain, Sweden, Switzerland , Turkey, United Kingdom, Belarus, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Ukraine ** Domestic boilers in NA doe not include furnaces. Population (million inhabitants) USA + Canada Europe Japan China 352 778 127 1,360 12 China Total: US$ 7,100 million Radiators 20% UFH 19% WH 47% CB 5% DB 9%
  13. 13. 13 Excellence in Market Intelligence World Heating hot and cold spots, 2013 Warm spots ≥10-20% Cold spots <0% Hot spots ≥20% Cool spots ≥0-10% 2012/2011 value growth Belgium Russia China North America Turkey Netherlands Sweden Spain Japan France Germany Italy Norway South Korea Products included: Domestic boilers, commercial boilers, traditional water heaters, radiators & wet underfloor heating. UK 13 Poland Iran
  14. 14. 14 Excellence in Market Intelligence World Water Heating market, by technology 14 EIWH 36% ESWH 36% GIWH 20% GSWH 8% OSWH 0% Global market: 89.8 million units 2012 Sales volume per technology 0 5000 10000 15000 China North America Russia France Italy 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 China Japan Russia North America Spain 0200040006000 North America China Italy France Germany 02004006008001000 China Germany Russia North America Turkey Top5GIWHmarketTop5ESWHmarket Top5EIWHmarketTop5GSWHmarket
  15. 15. 15 Excellence in Market Intelligence World Renewable Market Value by region, 2012 * Europe HP, ST & HRV includes 13 countries: Austria, Belgium , France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland , Turkey, United Kingdom,, Czech Republic, Poland. Europe CHP / FC & Gas HP includes: France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Poland 15 Europe* Total: US$ 4,604 mln El. Hydronic HP 10% ST systems 13% Gas HP 0% CHP/ Fuel Cells 21% Heat recovery 56% El. HP 44.7% Solar Thermal s 27.6% Gas HP) 1.1% CHP/ Fuel Cells.5% Heat recovery 21.1% USA Total: US$ 343.0 mln El. Hydronic HP 75% ST systems 2% Gas HP 0% CHP/ Fuel Cells 22% Heat recovery 1% Japan Total: US$ 3,207 mln El. Hydronic HP 11% ST systems 45% Gas HP 0% CHP/ Fuel Cells 43% Heat recovery 1% China Total: US$ 10,116 mln
  16. 16. 16 Excellence in Market Intelligence World hydronic Heat Pump Market by value, 2012 16 Regional market, share by valueTop 10 ranking by country, US$ mln 105.9 107.9 116.9 136.9 196.1 277 362.6 662.9 1177.6 2,398 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Finland Italy Australia Austria Switzerland Sweden France Germany China Japan Total market: US$ 6,022 million 38.0% 61.3% 0.7% Europe Asia Pacific Americas
  17. 17. 17 Excellence in Market Intelligence World Heat pump Major players 17 Top 10 players by value 2012, US$ million Panasonic, 796 Mitsubishi Electric, 656.1 Daikin, 644.3 Corona, 359.2 Nibe 275.1 Bosch Thermotechnik, 218.4 Midea, 213.4 Stiebel Eltron, 151.8 Glen Dimplex, 133.9 Viessmann, 102.5 1 2 3
  18. 18. 18 Excellence in Market Intelligence World Solar Thermal Market by value, 2012 18 6,125 1,341.6 575.6 211.3 38.5 Asia Pacific Europe Americas India Africa Regional market, share by value 59.2 73.8 89.1 120.8 181.6 204.1 329.2 456.3 668.2 5,720.2 Japan Mexico Italy Poland Turkey India Australia Brazil Germany China Top 10 ranking by country, US$ mln Total market: 8,292 million US$
  19. 19. 19 Excellence in Market Intelligence European heating controls 19 ‘000 units Traditional heating controls sales (DE, F, UK), 2012 / 2020 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 2012 2020 TRV other valves dampers/actuators system controls Room Thermostats 22% growth 72% 94% 81% 28% 6% 19% - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 France UK Germany Smart home controls* Traditional heating controls Traditional & smart home controls market, 2012 € million
  20. 20. 20Excellence in Market Intelligence Thank you Contact: Krystyna Dawson Senior Manager – Heating & Renewables BSRIA Worldwide Market Intelligence Direct: +44 (0)1344 465 638; Mob: +44 (0)7990 595836 Email: krystyna.dawson@bsria.co.uk
  • MarkHansen6

    Jul. 25, 2014
  • TonySonthisawadht

    Jun. 14, 2014

Trends in the world traditional & renewable heating markets presented at MCE Milan 2014 Covers energy supply to Europe, World Heating and Renewables market

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