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Dragon Sourcing
Your Tailored Approach to Emerging Markets
www.dragonsourcing.com
Study on Sourcing Opportunities in
Brazil
Jan, 2020
Table of Contents
2© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
− Executive Summary
− Brazil – Macro Economics
− Ores, Slag and Ash
− Oil seed, Oleagic fruits, grain, seed, fruit, etc.
− Mineral fuels, Oils, distillation products, etc.
− Meat
− Vehicles other than railway, tramway
− Machinery, nuclear reactors, boilers, etc.
− Sugars and sugar confectionery
− Iron and Steel
Executive Summary – Top Export Categories (1/2)
3© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Category HS Code Top Products
Export Value
(2018) in
USD Billion
Top Export Destinations
Import Duty
into US
Import Duty
into EU
Approx.
Suppliers
Mining HS 26 series Iron Ore 23.6
China, Japan, Netherlands,
Germany, Korea
Nil Nil
Oil seeds HS 12 series
Soybean Oilseed
33.5
China, Spain, Netherlands,
Thailand, Taipei
Nil Nil
Cotton Oilseed
Mineral fuels HS 27 series
Crude Oil
29.6
China, USA, Netherlands,
India, Chile
Nil Nil
Natural Gas
Meat HS 02 series
Pork
13.2
China, Russia, Saudi Arabia,
Venezuela, Japan
0 to 4.4
cents/kg
0% to 12.8%
Chicken
Automotive HS 87 series
Cars
12.6
Argentina, Mexico, Chile,
Peru, USA
Nil 16%
Commercial Vehicles
Industrial
Machinery
HS 84 series Tractors 14.7
USA, Argentina, Mexico,
Netherlands, Germany
0%-6.7% 0%-5.7%
Sugar HS 17 series Raw Sugar 6.6
China, UAE, Algeria,
Bangladesh, Russia
0 to 35.74
cents/kg
98.00 EUR /
1000 kg +
1.372 EUR /
10 000
kg/polar
Iron and
Steel
products
HS 72 series Crude Steel 13.4
USA, Netherlands, Argentina,
China, Japan
Nil 1.70%
Legend More than 100 suppliers Between 50- 100 suppliers Less than 50 suppliers
BRAZIL - MACRO ECONOMICS
Sourcing Opportunities in Brazil
4© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
– Brazil is the is the largest country in both South America and the Latin American region.
+ Population: 209.3. million (2017)
+ Surface area ~8,515,767 km2
+ Coastline about ~7,491 km
+ World’s 9th largest by nominal GDP
Population (2010) Area (km2)
São Paulo 12.18 million 1,523
Rio de Janeiro 6.8 million 1,182.3
Growth Value (2013)
Gross Domestic Product
(2018)
1.1% USD 1.8 trillion
5
Brazil Overview
Source: worldbank.org
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Brazil – Trade Agreements
6
▪ India - MERCOSUR Preferential Trade Agreement: Aims to expand and strengthen the bilateral trade relations between
MERCOSUR (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay) and India and promote the growth of International trade by granting
reciprocal fixed tariff preferences with the final objective of creating a free trade area between the MERCOSUR and India. Major
sectors covered under the India - MERCOSUR Preferential Trade Agreement are: meat, chemicals, leather products, iron and steel
products, machinery items and electrical machinery.
▪ Free Trade Agreement MERCOSUR – Egypt: In 2010, MERCOSUR (Southern Common Market) signs a Free Trade Agreement
with the Arab Republic of Egypt. Top trade partners of Egypt within Latin America are Brazil and Argentina. Main objectives include:
increase and improve their economic cooperation to raise the living standards of their populations; eliminate difficulties and
restrictions on International trade in products, including agricultural products; promote, through the growth of reciprocal trade, the
development of their economic relations; provide fair conditions of International trade competition; create conditions for further
encouragement of Foreign direct investment particularly for the development of joint investments; and, promote international trade
and cooperation between them in other country markets. The agreement will allow preferential treatment for Egyptian products
entering the markets of Latin America and will reduce the cost of Egyptian imports for key items including sugar, meat and soy oil.
▪ Free Trade Agreement MERCOSUR – Israel: The objectives of the Trade Agreement include: eliminate barriers to International
trade, and facilitate the movement of export products between Southern Common Market and Israel; promote conditions of fair
competition in the free trade area; increase substantially Foreign direct investment opportunities; create efficient procedures for the
implementation, application and accordance with this Free Trade Agreement MERCOSUR - Israel, and its joint administration; and
set up a framework for further bilateral and multilateral cooperation to expand and improve the benefits of the Free Trade Agreement
MERCOSUR - Israel.
▪ European Union - MERCOSUR Agreement: The European Union was the 1st biggest trade partner of MERCOSUR (21% of total
trade of MERCOSUR (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay)). The agreement will cover not just goods, but issues such as
services, investment government procurement or trade and sustainable development. It also aims at ensuring adequate protection of
intellectual property rights and geographical indications, effective competition policies.
Source: en.reingex.com, dw.de
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
MINING ORES (HS 26 SERIES)
7© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Mining Ores – Market Trends
8
▪ The country has rich reserves of important metals such as bauxite
(Aluminum), iron ore, niobium and nickel. Brazil is also a leading producer
of precious metals such as gold
▪ Brazil's mining wealth has fueled its economy from colonial times. Its
diverse mineral deposits are among the very richest in the world, earning it
around $30 billion annually in exports
▪ It is the major player in the export of Niobium, Iron Ore, Manganese,
Tantalite, Graphite, Bauxite and Ornamental Rocks. It imports Copper,
Diatomite, Phosphate and Zinc.
▪ The current financial conditions in Brazil are favorable for mineral exports.
Brazil has a wide range of geological environment and approximately half
of the region has Precambrian terranes. The younger sediments have
deposits of coal while continental sediments (Parana and Parnaiba
basins) have deposits of uranium and barite. The cratonic areas have
sedimentary rocks for deposits of iron, manganese, gold, silver and other
base metals. There are massive iron ore reserves found in Carajás and
Quadrilátero Ferrífero, which cover parts of an Archaean craton.
The diversity of geological environments gives Brazil the biggest mineral
potential in the world
▪ Many leading global mining groups have invested in Brazil’s mining
industry. CVRD is investing approximate $1.5 billion in seven projects in
Brazil to increase its iron ore production capacity
▪ The factors that are advantageous for investors to set up in the steel
industry in Brazil are:
▪ Abundance of raw material such as iron ore, and non-renewable
energy such as charcoal and coke, that is required for steel production.
▪ Labor in Brazil is cheap in comparison to OECD (Organization for
Economic Co-operation and Development) countries.
▪ Availability of advanced technology in steel production.
Source: International Trade Centre
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
28,402,213
16,693,435
15,816,099
22,397,927
23,663,011
12,400,000
14,400,000
16,400,000
18,400,000
20,400,000
22,400,000
24,400,000
26,400,000
28,400,000
30,400,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
HS 26 Ores & Slags from Brazil in USD 1000s
20,215,662
2,640,445
406,306
267,396
35,193
22,879
Iron ore
Copper ore
Manganese ore
Aluminium ore
Niobium, tantalum, vanadium or…
Tin ores and concentrates
Top Products under HS 26 exported from Brazil in
2018 in USD 1000s and in %
Mining Ores – Suppliers in Brazil
9
▪ There are more than 300 active mines in Brazil, ranging from tiny operations up to major ones. Minas Gerais hosts the very biggest
producers
▪ About 8,870 companies compete in the mining industry in Brazil but the main companies that dominate the country are; Vale which
comprises almost 80% of the total mining sales. Its main minerals are iron ore, nickel, manganese, copper, coal, cobalt, and
fertilizers; Camaro, a company which is half-owned by Vale and the other half is owned by BHP Billiton. Its main minerals are iron
pellets, and; Namisa, which also produces iron ores. It is a company owned 60% by CSN and 40% by a Japanese consortium..
Source: International Trade Centre, mining-technology.com, platts.com
Supplier Locations
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
11,904,490 , 50%
1,179,029 , 5%
1,104,606 , 5%
989,397 , 4%
776,007 , 3%
632,655 , 3%
492,355 , 2%
468,711
, 2%
458,581 , 2%
443,779
, 2%
434,841
, 2%
4,778,562 , 20%
Top Importing Countries of HS 26 in USD 1000s and in % in 2018
China, HK & Taipei
Japan
Malaysia
Netherlands
Korea, Republic of
Germany
Oman
Spain
Argentina
Egypt
France
Rest of the World
OIL SEEDS (HS 12 SERIES)
10© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Oil seeds – Market Trends
11
Source: International Trade Centre
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
23,500,132
21,207,738
19,557,938
26,008,460
33,517,529
16,000,000
18,000,000
20,000,000
22,000,000
24,000,000
26,000,000
28,000,000
30,000,000
32,000,000
34,000,000
36,000,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Brazil- Export of HS 12 Oilseeds in USD 1000s in 2018
33,190,826
230,778
69,117
Soya beans
Peanuts
Seeds, fruits and spores, for sowing
(excluding leguminous vegetables)
Top Export Products under HS 12 Series in USD 1000s in
2018
▪ Soybean is the main crop in Brazil, both in scale and in value.
Nonetheless, the beginning was very humble. Soybean was a
minor crop until the 1960s, when it was restricted to the South
Region (subtropical), from where it expanded to the Midwest
Region (tropical) in the 1980s. That was possible thanks to the
development of cultivars well adapted to low latitude conditions
of the Region
▪ The USDA forecasts Soybean production for 2019-20 at 124
million tons as planted area expands by 2.5% to 37 million
hectares and yields return to average due to improved weather
▪ Due to the trade war with the US, China- World’s largest
consumer of Soybeans has increased imports from Brazil
which has created record productions and expansions in the
country
▪ To help reduce transportation costs, Brazil over the past 10
years has expanded access to ports in the northern half of the
country. Exports from those ports doubled between 2011 and
2018, and Brazil is making additional investments to further
increase access and shipping capacity from its northern ports
▪ The newly signed US-China trade deal sets the US and Brazil
in competition to export soybeans to China. Brazil historically
has exported about 60% of its soybean production. If that
percentage holds up again this year, there could be little room
for China to substantially increase its purchases of US
soybeans, as stipulated under the “phase one” trade deal the
two countries signed
Oil seeds – Suppliers in Brazil
12
▪ Brazil’s Agriculture Research Corporation (Embrapa), Brazilian Association for Non-GE Producers (ABRANGE), and Mato Grosso
Soybean Producer’s Association (Aprosoja) launched “Free Soy” (“Soja Livre”) to pursue development of commercially competitive
non-GE varieties to aid Brazil’s continuing role as the main supplier of these products
▪ Farmers have emerged as a powerful political force bent on keeping Brazil's countryside open for business. Lawmakers in the
country's largely rural, pro-agriculture voting bloc, who comprise more than 40 percent of the nation's congress, have led a rollback of
environmental laws in recent years
Source: International Trade Centre, gain.fas.usda.gov
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Supplier Locations
27,343,324 ,
82%
747,240
, 2%
563,887 , 2%
527,581 , 2%
521,745 , 2%
511,283 , 1%
467,321 , 1% 2,702,356 , 8%
Top Importers of HS 12 Series from Brazil in 2018 in USD
1000s and in %
China
Spain
Netherlands
Russian Federation
Turkey
Iran
Thailand
Rest of the World
MINERAL FUELS (HS 27 SERIES)
13© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Mineral fuels – Market Trends
14
▪ Brazil is one of the largest fuel users in the world and, in the last
10 years, the growth rate of domestic fuel consumption was
higher than its GDP growth. To meet this demand, the country
has an improved infrastructure in refining, imports, production,
specification, movement and supply to population of oil
products, natural gas and biofuels
▪ More than 90% of Brazil's oil production is offshore in very deep
water and consists of mostly heavy grades.
▪ Along with the potential to significantly increase oil production in
the country, the pre-salt areas are estimated to contain sizable
natural gas reserves as well.
▪ Brazil continues diversifying its energy matrix and remains one
of the most interesting countries in terms of investment in
renewables, deforestation goals and emissions reduction
Biodiesel has been compulsorily mixed with diesel fuel since
2008. In 2017, the percentage of mandatory blending of
biodiesel in the diesel fuel sold in the country increased to 8%.
CNPE (National Energetic Policy Council) approved the
increase to 10% as of March, 2018
▪ And Ethanol has been part of the vehicular fuel mix since the
1970s and currently represents 27% of the gasoline blend sold
to consumers in addition to being sold as hydrous ethanol to
meet the demand of flexible-fuel vehicles
▪ Coal is the most widespread fossil fuel in Brazil after oil and
gas, and it covers 5.7% of the energy matrix. Brazilian mineral
coal reserves (approximately 32 billion tons) are located in the
south of the country, in the states of Rio Grande do Sul, Santa
Catarina and Paraná.
Source: ITC
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
25,202,959
16,553,500
11,581,278
21,222,938
29,670,809
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Brazil- Export of HS 27 Series- Mineral Fuels in USD
1000s in 2018
29,594,633
45,460
11,814
9,849
Petroleum oils
Oils and other products of the
distillation of high temperature coal…
Petroleum jelly, paraffin wax, micro-
crystalline petroleum wax, slack wax,…
Tar distilled from coal
Top Export Products under HS 27 Series in USD 1000s in
2018
Mineral fuels – Suppliers in Brazil
15
▪ About 18% of the total exports of mineral fuels is sent to ship stores and bunkers across different regions. State-controlled Petrobras is the
dominant participant in Brazil's oil sector, holding important positions in upstream, midstream, and downstream activities
▪ There are 125,799 active agents in the sector of fuels and oil products supply. These agents can be divided into: (a) suppliers – including
producers of oil products, biofuels and lubricants, and importers and exporters of oil and oil products; (b) distributors of liquid fuels, LPG,
solvents, asphalts and aviation fuels; (c) dealers, retailers of liquid fuels, LPG, aviation fuels, transporter-dealer-retailer; (d) points of supply
for consumers and industrial consumers of solvents
Source: International Trade Centre, eia.gov
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Supplier Locations
14,729,525 ,
50%
3,907,406 ,
13%2,090,464 , 7%
2,070,195 , 7%
1,263,512 , 4%
1,195,062 , 4%
1,141,617
, 4%
702,458 , 2%
2,570,570 , 9%
Top Importers of HS 27 Series from Brazil in 2018 in USD
1000s and in %
China, HK, Taipei
United States of America
Spain
Chile
Uruguay
Singapore
India
Netherlands
Rest of the World
MEAT (HS 02 SERIES)
16© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Meat – Market Trends
17
Source: International Trade Centre
© 2015 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
15,417,191
13,077,586
12,655,793
13,953,388
13,292,305
12,000,000
12,500,000
13,000,000
13,500,000
14,000,000
14,500,000
15,000,000
15,500,000
16,000,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Brazil- Export of HS 02- Meat, frozen or fresh in USD
1000s
4,523,509
4,362,492
1,522,261
1,032,403
Frozen bovine meat
Chicken, frozen
Chicken, cut and frozen
Pork Meat
Top Export Products under HS 02 in USD 1000s in 2018
▪ Brazil has the world's second-largest cattle herd—232 million
heads and its production is largely based on grass
▪ Over 80 percent of Brazilian animals consist of Zebu herds, and
over 90 percent of them are Nelore. This breed has a high
resistance to heat, which allows it to live in tropical countries.
Taurine breeds are also very common, since these animals
have excellent finishing of fat and a reproductive life which
starts early, allowing farmers to expand herds at quick paces
▪ Increased beef demand worldwide has stimulated increased
production and productivity gains. In 2018, Brazil reached its
highest level of beef production at 9.9 million metric tons
▪ In 2018, Brazil was the world’s largest exporter of beef,
providing close to 20 percent of total global beef exports,
outpacing India, the second-largest exporter
▪ China and Hong Kong continued to dominate as the top two
destinations for Brazil’s beef exports, accounting for 44 percent
of Brazil’s total beef shipments in 2018. This has been
estimated to have increased significantly in 2019 due to the on-
going US-China trade war
▪ However, as demand for beef has grown around the globe,
Brazilian farmers have set fires to clear the forest, making way
for pasture over the past many decades. Today, nearly 50% of
Brazilian livestock are raised in fields that used to be rainforest
▪ The Brazilian Association of Animal Protein (ABPA) said fresh
and processed exports of Chicken was 2.433m tons in 2019, up
5.8% year-on-year. In value terms, the sector’s sales rose
10.8% in 2019 with total revenue of US$4bn compared to
$3.675bn in the same period in 2018
Meat – Suppliers in Brazil
18
▪ Chinese Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has approved 89 meat processing plants in Brazil for exports to China
▪ The other meat produced in Brazil- Pork. The country is the fourth largest producer of pig meat in the world with 3.3 million tons
produced annually. From this total, 600 thousand tons are exported to 70 countries.
Source: International Trade Centre, animalfrontiers.org, brazilianbeef.org.br, apps.fas.usda.gov, thebrazilbusiness.com
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Supplier Locations
35%
7%
5%
5%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
22%
Top Importers of HS 02 Series from Brazil in 2018 in USD
1000s
China
Saudi Arabia
Japan
United Arab Emirates
Chile
Egypt
Netherlands
Singapore
Iran
South Africa
South Korea
Mexico
Kuwait
Italy
Rest of the World
AUTOMOTIVE (HS 87 SERIES)
19© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Automotive – Market Trends
20
Source: International Trade Centre
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
9,808,166 9,604,507
10,971,033
14,724,004
12,652,789
8,500,000
9,500,000
10,500,000
11,500,000
12,500,000
13,500,000
14,500,000
15,500,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Brazil- Export of Automobile and Products in USD
1000s in 2018
5,141,234
2,272,712
2,214,057
1,468,919
Automobiles
Goods and Passenger Carriers
Parts and accessories formotor vehicles
Tractors & Farm Equipment
Top Export Products under HS 87 Series
in USD 1000s in 2018
▪ The Automotive Market in Brazil grew up 25% in 2019 from the
year 2016 negative growth with sales of over 2.66 million units
▪ The Brazilian automotive industry generated almost 60 billion U.S.
dollars in revenue in 2017. The country is anticipated to be among
the top-ten countries with the biggest online automotive aftermarket
and part sales globally, being forecast to reach a share of 4.5% of
this segment by 2022
▪ The Brazilian government has pumped in an investment of $4
Billion and also formulated favorable trade and investment policies
to encourage private investments, and it has also made provisions
to give the investors exemption from custom duties and other taxes
on purchase of certain capital goods and infrastructure
▪ Brazil is a major base of operations for Fiat Chrysler Automobiles
NV, Volkswagen AG , General Motors Co and Ford Motor Co
▪ All the Brazilian automotive manufacturers are subsidiaries of
foreign companies and, because of this, most of the product
development takes place in its headquarters and only a few stages
of development occur in its Brazilian subsidiaries that support the
creation of local knowledge in R&D
▪ In 2012, the government introduced its 'INNOVAR' program to
boost the production of fuel-efficient vehicles and motivate
international vehicle manufacturers to invest in the country
▪ After the 'INNOVAR' program expired, the government instituted
ROTA 2030 with the intention of focusing on energy efficiency and
sustainability with an objective to progress innovation in areas such
as research and development, vehicle safety, and logistics among
others. This program was especially meant to push the industry to
accelerate its development in the production of hybrid and electric
vehicles
Automotive – Suppliers in Brazil
21
▪ Brazil sells about 85% of production to the domestic market, and the rest goes to neighboring Argentina, a regional trade partner.
▪ The country had reached an agreement with Mexico on the free trade of light vehicles, subject to a 40 percent regional content
requirement, paving the way for more open commerce between Latin America's two biggest economies.
Source: International Trade Centre
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Supplier Locations
6,682,538 , 53%
1,231,854 , 10%
685,694 , 5%
531,540
, 4%
463,891 , 4%
434,774 , 3%
369,165 , 3%
342,104 , 3%
326,639 , 2%
243,974 , 2%
131,145 , 1%
115,597 , 1% 100,302 , 1%
993,569 , 8%
Top Importers of HS 87 Series from Brazil in 2018 in USD
1000s and in %
Argentina
Chile
Mexico
Peru
Colombia
United States of America
Russian Federation
Uruguay
Paraguay
South Africa
Nigeria
Bolivia
Germany
Rest of the World
INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY (HS 84
SERIES)
22© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Industrial Machinery – Market Trends
23
Source: International Trade Centre
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
12,727,864
11,361,268
11,647,181
13,848,545
14,791,209
11,000,000
11,500,000
12,000,000
12,500,000
13,000,000
13,500,000
14,000,000
14,500,000
15,000,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Brazil Export of HS 84 Series- Industry Machinery in USD 1000s in
2018
3,449,696
2,582,111
1,408,679
803,059
633,452
567,300
567,061
426,373
421,074
Turbojets & turbopropellers
Self-propelled bulldozers, mechanical…
Parts for internal combustion piston engine
Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances for…
Air or vacuum pumps
Transmission shafts
Spark-ignition reciprocating or rotary…
Pumps for liquids
Harvesting machinery- straw or fodder…
Top Export Products under HS 84 Series in USD 1000s in 2018
▪ This sector was severely impacted by the
economic downturn in 2015-17 due to decrease
in investments driven by high interest rates and
cut in government spending due to austerity
measures. Exports decreased 11.2% in 2019 to
$736 mil and this is attributed partly to the
recession in Argentina
▪ However, the sector picked up some growth in
2019, especially in the agricultural machinery
subsector. Agriculture produce, especially
Soybeans have seen an increase in prices and
thereby boosting the sub-sector
▪ Oil and gas machinery equipment have been
still affected by lower investment of the energy
sector due to the high costs for exploration of
Brazils´ pre-salt oil fields
▪ The domestic industry of machinery and
equipment is primarily concentrated in the State
of São Paulo. According to the Brazilian Institute
of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), the State
accounts for 53.81% of the value of industrial
transformation (VTI) in the sector in Brazil
▪ Aircraft parts and equipment industry is
anticipated to continue the small growth since
2019. Worldwide trend of airlines has been to
replace larger aircrafts with smaller jets such as
Embraer, a Brazilian company. Pratt & Whitney
has set up a new engine overhaul center in Rio
Horizonte, which is also anticipated to bolster
the growth of this sub-sector
Industrial Machinery – Suppliers in Brazil
24
Source: International Trade Centre,
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Supplier Locations
4,800,188 , 32%
1,273,352
, 9%
1,159,972 , 8%872,327 , 6%
730,155 , 5%446,120 , 3%
411,288 , 3%
399,264
, 3%
316,959 , 2%
312,214 , 2%
282,553 , 2%
273,588 , 2%
229,852 , 1%
221,526 , 1%
3,061,851 , 21%
Top Importers of HS 84 Series (Industrial Machinery) from
Brazil in 2018 in USD 1000s and in %
United States of America
Argentina
Mexico
Germany
Netherlands
Paraguay
Colombia
Chile
Singapore
United Kingdom
Ireland
China
Peru
Italy
Rest of the World
▪ Investments in Brazil's industrial machinery and equipment sector are set to increase 30% in 2019, but the figure is expected to
remain below the average for recent years. According to analysts, micro and small companies are forecast to increase investments
by 48.7% in 2019-20, while medium-sized producers are expected to raise their investments by 50.3%.
SUGAR (HS 17 SERIES)
25© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Sugar – Market Trends
26
▪ Sugar cane can be processed to make both sugar and
ethanol. Mills which do this use common plant and
equipment. In Brazil, sugar and ethanol are particularly
integrated - sugar production is between 41% and 48% of
total cane cultivation
▪ As the leading global producer and exporter of sugar and
ethanol, Brazil is the marginal supplier and principal price
setter for the world market. This position has been
created by substantial industry expansion driven partly by
the country’s abundant natural resources, but also
through government support and market intervention
▪ The sugar and ethanol industries are particularly closely
integrated and commercially interdependent. This means
that any support offered to one activity can benefit the
other. Both products are manufactured from sugar cane
▪ Brazil’s 2019/20 sugarcane crush is estimated at 627
mmt, a relatively similar output compared to the 2018/19
crop (620 mmt)
▪ Brazil has supported its ethanol industry over many years
in a variety of ways, including incentivizing sales to the
domestic car fleet, substantial mandatory ethanol
blending in gasoline, fuel price setting, supporting the
development of flex-fuel vehicles and banning the
purchase of diesel cars
▪ Brazilian sugar exports in the 2019/20 season hit a 12-
year low due to depressed global sugar prices. The
country instead produced highest ever volume of ethanol,
at 34.2 billion liters, as mills favor the fuel over sugar in
their production strategies and ratchet up competition
with increasing corn-based ethanol outputSource: International Trade Centre,
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
9,616,253
7,781,310
10,585,665
11,566,378
6,672,492
6,500,000
7,500,000
8,500,000
9,500,000
10,500,000
11,500,000
12,500,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Brazil- Export of HS 17 Series- Sugars in USD 1000s in 2018
6,525,778
131,846
14,804
Cane or beet sugar
Sugar confectionery
Other sugars, incl. chemically pure
lactose, maltose, glucose and fructose
Top Export Products under HS 17 Series in USD 1000s in
2018
Sugar – Suppliers in Brazil
27
▪ Brazil’s center south region is the main sugar crop growing region.
▪ Brazil is the single most important influence on the world sugar market and the government policies in both sugar and ethanol have a
substantial effect on world market levels
Source: International Trade Centre, confectionerynews.com
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Supplier Locations
676,968 ,
10%
543,275
, 8%
532,613 , 8%
484,674 , 7%
421,645 , 6%
387,345 , 6%
335,231 , 5%
312,748 , 5%
305,572 , 5%
2,672,425 , 40%
Top Importers of HS 17 Series from Brazil in 2018 in USD
1000s and in %
Algeria
India
Bangladesh
United Arab Emirates
Saudi Arabia
Nigeria
Iraq
Canada
Malaysia
Rest of the World
IRON AND STEEL PRODUCTS (HS
72 SERIES)
28© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Iron and steel products – Market Trends
29
▪ Brazil is one of the major producers of steel in the world
and ranks 11th in world exports. The Brazilian steel
market heads into 2020 in a bullish mood, with the long-
awaited recovery in demand from the construction
industry seen as the driver of domestic steel
consumption
▪ Brazilian crude steel production in 2019 fell 8.2%,
totaling 32.5 million mt
▪ The sector is expected to recover part of this retraction
with a 5.3% increase in production to 34.2 million mt
according to national steel association Aco Brasil
▪ World's largest iron ore mine, Carajas Mine is located in
the Northern Brazil.
▪ Steel end-user markets in 2020 is forecast at 8.4%
(Infrastructure), 7.56% (Construction), 6.34%
(Automotive), 5.7% (Oil & Gas)
▪ The governments of China and Brazil signed several
partnership deals, including one for a 3 million-tpy steel
facility in Maranhão state. This is in line with Chinese
tactic of accessing local markets through captive
investments in steel plants
▪ Some of the advantages of Brazilian steel industry are
that the costs of production for steel in Brazil are highly
competitive. The steel production cost in Brazil is less
mainly because of the close proximity between the
mines and the steel plants
Source: International Trade Centre
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
11,839,994
10,666,904
9,153,302
12,255,826
13,479,825
9,000,000
10,000,000
11,000,000
12,000,000
13,000,000
14,000,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Brazil Export of HS 72 & 73 Series- Iron & Steel in USD 1000s
in 2018
3,866,896
2,977,086
1,177,958
1,284,474
750,526
588,771
870211
804,745
Semi-finished products of iron or non-…
Ferro-alloys
Steel, alloy, other than stainless, in ingots…
Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy…
Pig iron and spiegeleisen
Bars and rods, of iron or non-alloy steel
Tubes, pipes, screws, nuts, couplings,…
Tubes and pipes
Top Export Products under HS 72 & 73 Series in USD 1000s in
2018
Iron and steel products – Suppliers in Brazil
30
▪ Brazil comprise 14 private companies, controlled by eleven business groups and operating 29 mills in 10 states.
▪ More and more steel manufacturers have integrated mining into the value chain to protect their margins.
Source: International Trade Centre
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
Supplier Locations
4,021,357 , 34%
934,450
, 8%
738,453 , 6%557,175 , 5%
514,004 , 4%
347,988 , 3%
333,225 , 3%
291,639 , 3%
287,076
, 2%
275,046
, 2%
3,504,462 , 30%
Top Importers of HS 72 Series (Iron and Steel) from Brazil
in 2018 in USD 1000s and in %
United States of America
China
Netherlands
Argentina
Turkey
Canada
South Korea
Germany
Japan
Mexico
Rest of the World
Dragon Sourcing Contact Information
31
EUROPEAN Offices
Dragon Sourcing Paris
50 rue Marcel Dassault
92100 Boulogne-Billancourt, France
Tel::+33 (0)1 46 10 36 70
Fax: +33 (0)1 46 10 41 14
Email: contact.europe@dragonsourcing.com
Dragon Sourcing London
Communications House,
26 York Street,
London, W1U 6PZ, UK
Tel:+44 (0)844 736 1432
Fax: +44 (0)844 736 1430
Email: contact.uk@dragonsourcing.com
Dragon Sourcing Munich
Georgenstrasse 81,
80798 Munich, Germany
Tel:+49 (0)89 23 515 721
Email: contact.germany@dragonsourcing.com
Dragon Sourcing Turkey
Deluxia Palace, Barbaros Mh. Sümbül Sk.
No: 5 A-Blok Ataşehir – Istanbul, Turkey
Tel: +91 0554 754 51 07
Email: contact.turkey@dragonsourcing.com
NORTH AMERICAN Office
Dragon Sourcing Houston
4532 Plantation Colony Dr
Missouri City, TX 77459
Phone: 832- 406-0281
Email: contact.us@dragonsourcing.com
LATIN AMERICAN Offices
Dragon Sourcing Brazil
Vinte e Nove de Janeiro, 17 Vila Jequitibás
13026-300 Campinas, Sao Paulo Brazil
Mobile:+ 55 (19)8246-2655
Email: contact.brazil@dragonsourcing.com
Dragon Sourcing Mexico
Guadalajara, Mexico
Phone:+1 (520) 463-5426
Email: contact.mexico@dragonsourcing.com
ASIAN Offices
Dragon Sourcing Shanghai
Suite 1502-1503, Jin Tian Di International Mansion
998, Renmin Road – Shanghai, 200021, P.R.China
Tel: +86 21 61 41 39 55
Fax: +86 21 61 41 39 66
Email: contact.asia@dragonsourcing.com
Dragon Sourcing Hong Kong
7/F Hong Kong Trade Centre
161-7 Des Voeux Rd Central, Hong Kong SAR
Tel:+852 91 80 40 57
Fax: +852 25 80 24 26
Email: contact.asia@dragonsourcing.com
Dragon Sourcing Vietnam
C1A Cu Xa Tan Cang, Dien Bien Phu Street,
Ward 25, Binh Thanh District, HCM City, Vietnam
Tel:+84 8 35129390
Fax: +84 8 35129391
Email: contact.asia@dragonsourcing.com
Dragon Sourcing Israel
C 101 Regency Gardens, 1 Ramat Yam Street
Herzlia Pituach 46851, Israel
Mobile:+972 54 420 34 80
Fax: +972 9 955 71 60
Email: contact.israel@dragonsourcing.com
Dragon Sourcing India
601 – A – Mota Mahal
Lokhandwalla Complex, Andheri (West)
Mumbai 400053 – India
Mobile:+ 91 9867602535
Email: contact.india@dragonsourcing.com
AUSTRALIAN Offices
Dragon Sourcing Australia
Level 4, 51 Queen St, Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia
Tel: 1300 293 816
Mobile:+61 407 585 185
Email: contact.australia@dragonsourcing.com
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
The Analysis and Statements in this Report represent the considered views of Dragon Sourcing Ltd (DSL). The
Report includes ‘forward looking statements’ and opinions based on the analyst’s current analysis and judgment
of the Industry. Although DSL believes the outcomes expressed in such ‘forward looking’ statements are based
on reasonable assumptions, such statements are not a guarantee of future performance and actual results or
developments may differ materially from those in forward- looking statements. Factors that could cause actual
results to differ materially from those in forward- looking statements include the general economic,
environmental, market, business or government conditions. While DSL has made every reasonable effort to
ensure the veracity of the information presented, it cannot expressly guarantee the accuracy and reliability of the
estimates, forecasts and conclusions.
No part of this report may be distributed, copied or reused without prior written permission from Dragon
Sourcing Ltd. Please contact the author should you have any questions.
Bharath Sugumar
Email: bharath.sugumar@dragonsourcing.com
Phone: +1 832 406 0281
32
Disclaimer
© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.

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Study on Sourcing Opportunities in Brazil

  • 1. Dragon Sourcing Your Tailored Approach to Emerging Markets www.dragonsourcing.com Study on Sourcing Opportunities in Brazil Jan, 2020
  • 2. Table of Contents 2© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. − Executive Summary − Brazil – Macro Economics − Ores, Slag and Ash − Oil seed, Oleagic fruits, grain, seed, fruit, etc. − Mineral fuels, Oils, distillation products, etc. − Meat − Vehicles other than railway, tramway − Machinery, nuclear reactors, boilers, etc. − Sugars and sugar confectionery − Iron and Steel
  • 3. Executive Summary – Top Export Categories (1/2) 3© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. Category HS Code Top Products Export Value (2018) in USD Billion Top Export Destinations Import Duty into US Import Duty into EU Approx. Suppliers Mining HS 26 series Iron Ore 23.6 China, Japan, Netherlands, Germany, Korea Nil Nil Oil seeds HS 12 series Soybean Oilseed 33.5 China, Spain, Netherlands, Thailand, Taipei Nil Nil Cotton Oilseed Mineral fuels HS 27 series Crude Oil 29.6 China, USA, Netherlands, India, Chile Nil Nil Natural Gas Meat HS 02 series Pork 13.2 China, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, Japan 0 to 4.4 cents/kg 0% to 12.8% Chicken Automotive HS 87 series Cars 12.6 Argentina, Mexico, Chile, Peru, USA Nil 16% Commercial Vehicles Industrial Machinery HS 84 series Tractors 14.7 USA, Argentina, Mexico, Netherlands, Germany 0%-6.7% 0%-5.7% Sugar HS 17 series Raw Sugar 6.6 China, UAE, Algeria, Bangladesh, Russia 0 to 35.74 cents/kg 98.00 EUR / 1000 kg + 1.372 EUR / 10 000 kg/polar Iron and Steel products HS 72 series Crude Steel 13.4 USA, Netherlands, Argentina, China, Japan Nil 1.70% Legend More than 100 suppliers Between 50- 100 suppliers Less than 50 suppliers
  • 4. BRAZIL - MACRO ECONOMICS Sourcing Opportunities in Brazil 4© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
  • 5. – Brazil is the is the largest country in both South America and the Latin American region. + Population: 209.3. million (2017) + Surface area ~8,515,767 km2 + Coastline about ~7,491 km + World’s 9th largest by nominal GDP Population (2010) Area (km2) São Paulo 12.18 million 1,523 Rio de Janeiro 6.8 million 1,182.3 Growth Value (2013) Gross Domestic Product (2018) 1.1% USD 1.8 trillion 5 Brazil Overview Source: worldbank.org © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
  • 6. Brazil – Trade Agreements 6 ▪ India - MERCOSUR Preferential Trade Agreement: Aims to expand and strengthen the bilateral trade relations between MERCOSUR (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay) and India and promote the growth of International trade by granting reciprocal fixed tariff preferences with the final objective of creating a free trade area between the MERCOSUR and India. Major sectors covered under the India - MERCOSUR Preferential Trade Agreement are: meat, chemicals, leather products, iron and steel products, machinery items and electrical machinery. ▪ Free Trade Agreement MERCOSUR – Egypt: In 2010, MERCOSUR (Southern Common Market) signs a Free Trade Agreement with the Arab Republic of Egypt. Top trade partners of Egypt within Latin America are Brazil and Argentina. Main objectives include: increase and improve their economic cooperation to raise the living standards of their populations; eliminate difficulties and restrictions on International trade in products, including agricultural products; promote, through the growth of reciprocal trade, the development of their economic relations; provide fair conditions of International trade competition; create conditions for further encouragement of Foreign direct investment particularly for the development of joint investments; and, promote international trade and cooperation between them in other country markets. The agreement will allow preferential treatment for Egyptian products entering the markets of Latin America and will reduce the cost of Egyptian imports for key items including sugar, meat and soy oil. ▪ Free Trade Agreement MERCOSUR – Israel: The objectives of the Trade Agreement include: eliminate barriers to International trade, and facilitate the movement of export products between Southern Common Market and Israel; promote conditions of fair competition in the free trade area; increase substantially Foreign direct investment opportunities; create efficient procedures for the implementation, application and accordance with this Free Trade Agreement MERCOSUR - Israel, and its joint administration; and set up a framework for further bilateral and multilateral cooperation to expand and improve the benefits of the Free Trade Agreement MERCOSUR - Israel. ▪ European Union - MERCOSUR Agreement: The European Union was the 1st biggest trade partner of MERCOSUR (21% of total trade of MERCOSUR (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay)). The agreement will cover not just goods, but issues such as services, investment government procurement or trade and sustainable development. It also aims at ensuring adequate protection of intellectual property rights and geographical indications, effective competition policies. Source: en.reingex.com, dw.de © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
  • 7. MINING ORES (HS 26 SERIES) 7© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
  • 8. Mining Ores – Market Trends 8 ▪ The country has rich reserves of important metals such as bauxite (Aluminum), iron ore, niobium and nickel. Brazil is also a leading producer of precious metals such as gold ▪ Brazil's mining wealth has fueled its economy from colonial times. Its diverse mineral deposits are among the very richest in the world, earning it around $30 billion annually in exports ▪ It is the major player in the export of Niobium, Iron Ore, Manganese, Tantalite, Graphite, Bauxite and Ornamental Rocks. It imports Copper, Diatomite, Phosphate and Zinc. ▪ The current financial conditions in Brazil are favorable for mineral exports. Brazil has a wide range of geological environment and approximately half of the region has Precambrian terranes. The younger sediments have deposits of coal while continental sediments (Parana and Parnaiba basins) have deposits of uranium and barite. The cratonic areas have sedimentary rocks for deposits of iron, manganese, gold, silver and other base metals. There are massive iron ore reserves found in Carajás and Quadrilátero Ferrífero, which cover parts of an Archaean craton. The diversity of geological environments gives Brazil the biggest mineral potential in the world ▪ Many leading global mining groups have invested in Brazil’s mining industry. CVRD is investing approximate $1.5 billion in seven projects in Brazil to increase its iron ore production capacity ▪ The factors that are advantageous for investors to set up in the steel industry in Brazil are: ▪ Abundance of raw material such as iron ore, and non-renewable energy such as charcoal and coke, that is required for steel production. ▪ Labor in Brazil is cheap in comparison to OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries. ▪ Availability of advanced technology in steel production. Source: International Trade Centre © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. 28,402,213 16,693,435 15,816,099 22,397,927 23,663,011 12,400,000 14,400,000 16,400,000 18,400,000 20,400,000 22,400,000 24,400,000 26,400,000 28,400,000 30,400,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 HS 26 Ores & Slags from Brazil in USD 1000s 20,215,662 2,640,445 406,306 267,396 35,193 22,879 Iron ore Copper ore Manganese ore Aluminium ore Niobium, tantalum, vanadium or… Tin ores and concentrates Top Products under HS 26 exported from Brazil in 2018 in USD 1000s and in %
  • 9. Mining Ores – Suppliers in Brazil 9 ▪ There are more than 300 active mines in Brazil, ranging from tiny operations up to major ones. Minas Gerais hosts the very biggest producers ▪ About 8,870 companies compete in the mining industry in Brazil but the main companies that dominate the country are; Vale which comprises almost 80% of the total mining sales. Its main minerals are iron ore, nickel, manganese, copper, coal, cobalt, and fertilizers; Camaro, a company which is half-owned by Vale and the other half is owned by BHP Billiton. Its main minerals are iron pellets, and; Namisa, which also produces iron ores. It is a company owned 60% by CSN and 40% by a Japanese consortium.. Source: International Trade Centre, mining-technology.com, platts.com Supplier Locations © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. 11,904,490 , 50% 1,179,029 , 5% 1,104,606 , 5% 989,397 , 4% 776,007 , 3% 632,655 , 3% 492,355 , 2% 468,711 , 2% 458,581 , 2% 443,779 , 2% 434,841 , 2% 4,778,562 , 20% Top Importing Countries of HS 26 in USD 1000s and in % in 2018 China, HK & Taipei Japan Malaysia Netherlands Korea, Republic of Germany Oman Spain Argentina Egypt France Rest of the World
  • 10. OIL SEEDS (HS 12 SERIES) 10© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
  • 11. Oil seeds – Market Trends 11 Source: International Trade Centre © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. 23,500,132 21,207,738 19,557,938 26,008,460 33,517,529 16,000,000 18,000,000 20,000,000 22,000,000 24,000,000 26,000,000 28,000,000 30,000,000 32,000,000 34,000,000 36,000,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Brazil- Export of HS 12 Oilseeds in USD 1000s in 2018 33,190,826 230,778 69,117 Soya beans Peanuts Seeds, fruits and spores, for sowing (excluding leguminous vegetables) Top Export Products under HS 12 Series in USD 1000s in 2018 ▪ Soybean is the main crop in Brazil, both in scale and in value. Nonetheless, the beginning was very humble. Soybean was a minor crop until the 1960s, when it was restricted to the South Region (subtropical), from where it expanded to the Midwest Region (tropical) in the 1980s. That was possible thanks to the development of cultivars well adapted to low latitude conditions of the Region ▪ The USDA forecasts Soybean production for 2019-20 at 124 million tons as planted area expands by 2.5% to 37 million hectares and yields return to average due to improved weather ▪ Due to the trade war with the US, China- World’s largest consumer of Soybeans has increased imports from Brazil which has created record productions and expansions in the country ▪ To help reduce transportation costs, Brazil over the past 10 years has expanded access to ports in the northern half of the country. Exports from those ports doubled between 2011 and 2018, and Brazil is making additional investments to further increase access and shipping capacity from its northern ports ▪ The newly signed US-China trade deal sets the US and Brazil in competition to export soybeans to China. Brazil historically has exported about 60% of its soybean production. If that percentage holds up again this year, there could be little room for China to substantially increase its purchases of US soybeans, as stipulated under the “phase one” trade deal the two countries signed
  • 12. Oil seeds – Suppliers in Brazil 12 ▪ Brazil’s Agriculture Research Corporation (Embrapa), Brazilian Association for Non-GE Producers (ABRANGE), and Mato Grosso Soybean Producer’s Association (Aprosoja) launched “Free Soy” (“Soja Livre”) to pursue development of commercially competitive non-GE varieties to aid Brazil’s continuing role as the main supplier of these products ▪ Farmers have emerged as a powerful political force bent on keeping Brazil's countryside open for business. Lawmakers in the country's largely rural, pro-agriculture voting bloc, who comprise more than 40 percent of the nation's congress, have led a rollback of environmental laws in recent years Source: International Trade Centre, gain.fas.usda.gov © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. Supplier Locations 27,343,324 , 82% 747,240 , 2% 563,887 , 2% 527,581 , 2% 521,745 , 2% 511,283 , 1% 467,321 , 1% 2,702,356 , 8% Top Importers of HS 12 Series from Brazil in 2018 in USD 1000s and in % China Spain Netherlands Russian Federation Turkey Iran Thailand Rest of the World
  • 13. MINERAL FUELS (HS 27 SERIES) 13© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
  • 14. Mineral fuels – Market Trends 14 ▪ Brazil is one of the largest fuel users in the world and, in the last 10 years, the growth rate of domestic fuel consumption was higher than its GDP growth. To meet this demand, the country has an improved infrastructure in refining, imports, production, specification, movement and supply to population of oil products, natural gas and biofuels ▪ More than 90% of Brazil's oil production is offshore in very deep water and consists of mostly heavy grades. ▪ Along with the potential to significantly increase oil production in the country, the pre-salt areas are estimated to contain sizable natural gas reserves as well. ▪ Brazil continues diversifying its energy matrix and remains one of the most interesting countries in terms of investment in renewables, deforestation goals and emissions reduction Biodiesel has been compulsorily mixed with diesel fuel since 2008. In 2017, the percentage of mandatory blending of biodiesel in the diesel fuel sold in the country increased to 8%. CNPE (National Energetic Policy Council) approved the increase to 10% as of March, 2018 ▪ And Ethanol has been part of the vehicular fuel mix since the 1970s and currently represents 27% of the gasoline blend sold to consumers in addition to being sold as hydrous ethanol to meet the demand of flexible-fuel vehicles ▪ Coal is the most widespread fossil fuel in Brazil after oil and gas, and it covers 5.7% of the energy matrix. Brazilian mineral coal reserves (approximately 32 billion tons) are located in the south of the country, in the states of Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina and Paraná. Source: ITC © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. 25,202,959 16,553,500 11,581,278 21,222,938 29,670,809 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 35,000,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Brazil- Export of HS 27 Series- Mineral Fuels in USD 1000s in 2018 29,594,633 45,460 11,814 9,849 Petroleum oils Oils and other products of the distillation of high temperature coal… Petroleum jelly, paraffin wax, micro- crystalline petroleum wax, slack wax,… Tar distilled from coal Top Export Products under HS 27 Series in USD 1000s in 2018
  • 15. Mineral fuels – Suppliers in Brazil 15 ▪ About 18% of the total exports of mineral fuels is sent to ship stores and bunkers across different regions. State-controlled Petrobras is the dominant participant in Brazil's oil sector, holding important positions in upstream, midstream, and downstream activities ▪ There are 125,799 active agents in the sector of fuels and oil products supply. These agents can be divided into: (a) suppliers – including producers of oil products, biofuels and lubricants, and importers and exporters of oil and oil products; (b) distributors of liquid fuels, LPG, solvents, asphalts and aviation fuels; (c) dealers, retailers of liquid fuels, LPG, aviation fuels, transporter-dealer-retailer; (d) points of supply for consumers and industrial consumers of solvents Source: International Trade Centre, eia.gov © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. Supplier Locations 14,729,525 , 50% 3,907,406 , 13%2,090,464 , 7% 2,070,195 , 7% 1,263,512 , 4% 1,195,062 , 4% 1,141,617 , 4% 702,458 , 2% 2,570,570 , 9% Top Importers of HS 27 Series from Brazil in 2018 in USD 1000s and in % China, HK, Taipei United States of America Spain Chile Uruguay Singapore India Netherlands Rest of the World
  • 16. MEAT (HS 02 SERIES) 16© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
  • 17. Meat – Market Trends 17 Source: International Trade Centre © 2015 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. 15,417,191 13,077,586 12,655,793 13,953,388 13,292,305 12,000,000 12,500,000 13,000,000 13,500,000 14,000,000 14,500,000 15,000,000 15,500,000 16,000,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Brazil- Export of HS 02- Meat, frozen or fresh in USD 1000s 4,523,509 4,362,492 1,522,261 1,032,403 Frozen bovine meat Chicken, frozen Chicken, cut and frozen Pork Meat Top Export Products under HS 02 in USD 1000s in 2018 ▪ Brazil has the world's second-largest cattle herd—232 million heads and its production is largely based on grass ▪ Over 80 percent of Brazilian animals consist of Zebu herds, and over 90 percent of them are Nelore. This breed has a high resistance to heat, which allows it to live in tropical countries. Taurine breeds are also very common, since these animals have excellent finishing of fat and a reproductive life which starts early, allowing farmers to expand herds at quick paces ▪ Increased beef demand worldwide has stimulated increased production and productivity gains. In 2018, Brazil reached its highest level of beef production at 9.9 million metric tons ▪ In 2018, Brazil was the world’s largest exporter of beef, providing close to 20 percent of total global beef exports, outpacing India, the second-largest exporter ▪ China and Hong Kong continued to dominate as the top two destinations for Brazil’s beef exports, accounting for 44 percent of Brazil’s total beef shipments in 2018. This has been estimated to have increased significantly in 2019 due to the on- going US-China trade war ▪ However, as demand for beef has grown around the globe, Brazilian farmers have set fires to clear the forest, making way for pasture over the past many decades. Today, nearly 50% of Brazilian livestock are raised in fields that used to be rainforest ▪ The Brazilian Association of Animal Protein (ABPA) said fresh and processed exports of Chicken was 2.433m tons in 2019, up 5.8% year-on-year. In value terms, the sector’s sales rose 10.8% in 2019 with total revenue of US$4bn compared to $3.675bn in the same period in 2018
  • 18. Meat – Suppliers in Brazil 18 ▪ Chinese Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has approved 89 meat processing plants in Brazil for exports to China ▪ The other meat produced in Brazil- Pork. The country is the fourth largest producer of pig meat in the world with 3.3 million tons produced annually. From this total, 600 thousand tons are exported to 70 countries. Source: International Trade Centre, animalfrontiers.org, brazilianbeef.org.br, apps.fas.usda.gov, thebrazilbusiness.com © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. Supplier Locations 35% 7% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 22% Top Importers of HS 02 Series from Brazil in 2018 in USD 1000s China Saudi Arabia Japan United Arab Emirates Chile Egypt Netherlands Singapore Iran South Africa South Korea Mexico Kuwait Italy Rest of the World
  • 19. AUTOMOTIVE (HS 87 SERIES) 19© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
  • 20. Automotive – Market Trends 20 Source: International Trade Centre © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. 9,808,166 9,604,507 10,971,033 14,724,004 12,652,789 8,500,000 9,500,000 10,500,000 11,500,000 12,500,000 13,500,000 14,500,000 15,500,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Brazil- Export of Automobile and Products in USD 1000s in 2018 5,141,234 2,272,712 2,214,057 1,468,919 Automobiles Goods and Passenger Carriers Parts and accessories formotor vehicles Tractors & Farm Equipment Top Export Products under HS 87 Series in USD 1000s in 2018 ▪ The Automotive Market in Brazil grew up 25% in 2019 from the year 2016 negative growth with sales of over 2.66 million units ▪ The Brazilian automotive industry generated almost 60 billion U.S. dollars in revenue in 2017. The country is anticipated to be among the top-ten countries with the biggest online automotive aftermarket and part sales globally, being forecast to reach a share of 4.5% of this segment by 2022 ▪ The Brazilian government has pumped in an investment of $4 Billion and also formulated favorable trade and investment policies to encourage private investments, and it has also made provisions to give the investors exemption from custom duties and other taxes on purchase of certain capital goods and infrastructure ▪ Brazil is a major base of operations for Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV, Volkswagen AG , General Motors Co and Ford Motor Co ▪ All the Brazilian automotive manufacturers are subsidiaries of foreign companies and, because of this, most of the product development takes place in its headquarters and only a few stages of development occur in its Brazilian subsidiaries that support the creation of local knowledge in R&D ▪ In 2012, the government introduced its 'INNOVAR' program to boost the production of fuel-efficient vehicles and motivate international vehicle manufacturers to invest in the country ▪ After the 'INNOVAR' program expired, the government instituted ROTA 2030 with the intention of focusing on energy efficiency and sustainability with an objective to progress innovation in areas such as research and development, vehicle safety, and logistics among others. This program was especially meant to push the industry to accelerate its development in the production of hybrid and electric vehicles
  • 21. Automotive – Suppliers in Brazil 21 ▪ Brazil sells about 85% of production to the domestic market, and the rest goes to neighboring Argentina, a regional trade partner. ▪ The country had reached an agreement with Mexico on the free trade of light vehicles, subject to a 40 percent regional content requirement, paving the way for more open commerce between Latin America's two biggest economies. Source: International Trade Centre © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. Supplier Locations 6,682,538 , 53% 1,231,854 , 10% 685,694 , 5% 531,540 , 4% 463,891 , 4% 434,774 , 3% 369,165 , 3% 342,104 , 3% 326,639 , 2% 243,974 , 2% 131,145 , 1% 115,597 , 1% 100,302 , 1% 993,569 , 8% Top Importers of HS 87 Series from Brazil in 2018 in USD 1000s and in % Argentina Chile Mexico Peru Colombia United States of America Russian Federation Uruguay Paraguay South Africa Nigeria Bolivia Germany Rest of the World
  • 22. INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY (HS 84 SERIES) 22© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
  • 23. Industrial Machinery – Market Trends 23 Source: International Trade Centre © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. 12,727,864 11,361,268 11,647,181 13,848,545 14,791,209 11,000,000 11,500,000 12,000,000 12,500,000 13,000,000 13,500,000 14,000,000 14,500,000 15,000,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Brazil Export of HS 84 Series- Industry Machinery in USD 1000s in 2018 3,449,696 2,582,111 1,408,679 803,059 633,452 567,300 567,061 426,373 421,074 Turbojets & turbopropellers Self-propelled bulldozers, mechanical… Parts for internal combustion piston engine Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances for… Air or vacuum pumps Transmission shafts Spark-ignition reciprocating or rotary… Pumps for liquids Harvesting machinery- straw or fodder… Top Export Products under HS 84 Series in USD 1000s in 2018 ▪ This sector was severely impacted by the economic downturn in 2015-17 due to decrease in investments driven by high interest rates and cut in government spending due to austerity measures. Exports decreased 11.2% in 2019 to $736 mil and this is attributed partly to the recession in Argentina ▪ However, the sector picked up some growth in 2019, especially in the agricultural machinery subsector. Agriculture produce, especially Soybeans have seen an increase in prices and thereby boosting the sub-sector ▪ Oil and gas machinery equipment have been still affected by lower investment of the energy sector due to the high costs for exploration of Brazils´ pre-salt oil fields ▪ The domestic industry of machinery and equipment is primarily concentrated in the State of São Paulo. According to the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), the State accounts for 53.81% of the value of industrial transformation (VTI) in the sector in Brazil ▪ Aircraft parts and equipment industry is anticipated to continue the small growth since 2019. Worldwide trend of airlines has been to replace larger aircrafts with smaller jets such as Embraer, a Brazilian company. Pratt & Whitney has set up a new engine overhaul center in Rio Horizonte, which is also anticipated to bolster the growth of this sub-sector
  • 24. Industrial Machinery – Suppliers in Brazil 24 Source: International Trade Centre, © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. Supplier Locations 4,800,188 , 32% 1,273,352 , 9% 1,159,972 , 8%872,327 , 6% 730,155 , 5%446,120 , 3% 411,288 , 3% 399,264 , 3% 316,959 , 2% 312,214 , 2% 282,553 , 2% 273,588 , 2% 229,852 , 1% 221,526 , 1% 3,061,851 , 21% Top Importers of HS 84 Series (Industrial Machinery) from Brazil in 2018 in USD 1000s and in % United States of America Argentina Mexico Germany Netherlands Paraguay Colombia Chile Singapore United Kingdom Ireland China Peru Italy Rest of the World ▪ Investments in Brazil's industrial machinery and equipment sector are set to increase 30% in 2019, but the figure is expected to remain below the average for recent years. According to analysts, micro and small companies are forecast to increase investments by 48.7% in 2019-20, while medium-sized producers are expected to raise their investments by 50.3%.
  • 25. SUGAR (HS 17 SERIES) 25© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
  • 26. Sugar – Market Trends 26 ▪ Sugar cane can be processed to make both sugar and ethanol. Mills which do this use common plant and equipment. In Brazil, sugar and ethanol are particularly integrated - sugar production is between 41% and 48% of total cane cultivation ▪ As the leading global producer and exporter of sugar and ethanol, Brazil is the marginal supplier and principal price setter for the world market. This position has been created by substantial industry expansion driven partly by the country’s abundant natural resources, but also through government support and market intervention ▪ The sugar and ethanol industries are particularly closely integrated and commercially interdependent. This means that any support offered to one activity can benefit the other. Both products are manufactured from sugar cane ▪ Brazil’s 2019/20 sugarcane crush is estimated at 627 mmt, a relatively similar output compared to the 2018/19 crop (620 mmt) ▪ Brazil has supported its ethanol industry over many years in a variety of ways, including incentivizing sales to the domestic car fleet, substantial mandatory ethanol blending in gasoline, fuel price setting, supporting the development of flex-fuel vehicles and banning the purchase of diesel cars ▪ Brazilian sugar exports in the 2019/20 season hit a 12- year low due to depressed global sugar prices. The country instead produced highest ever volume of ethanol, at 34.2 billion liters, as mills favor the fuel over sugar in their production strategies and ratchet up competition with increasing corn-based ethanol outputSource: International Trade Centre, © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. 9,616,253 7,781,310 10,585,665 11,566,378 6,672,492 6,500,000 7,500,000 8,500,000 9,500,000 10,500,000 11,500,000 12,500,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Brazil- Export of HS 17 Series- Sugars in USD 1000s in 2018 6,525,778 131,846 14,804 Cane or beet sugar Sugar confectionery Other sugars, incl. chemically pure lactose, maltose, glucose and fructose Top Export Products under HS 17 Series in USD 1000s in 2018
  • 27. Sugar – Suppliers in Brazil 27 ▪ Brazil’s center south region is the main sugar crop growing region. ▪ Brazil is the single most important influence on the world sugar market and the government policies in both sugar and ethanol have a substantial effect on world market levels Source: International Trade Centre, confectionerynews.com © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. Supplier Locations 676,968 , 10% 543,275 , 8% 532,613 , 8% 484,674 , 7% 421,645 , 6% 387,345 , 6% 335,231 , 5% 312,748 , 5% 305,572 , 5% 2,672,425 , 40% Top Importers of HS 17 Series from Brazil in 2018 in USD 1000s and in % Algeria India Bangladesh United Arab Emirates Saudi Arabia Nigeria Iraq Canada Malaysia Rest of the World
  • 28. IRON AND STEEL PRODUCTS (HS 72 SERIES) 28© 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.
  • 29. Iron and steel products – Market Trends 29 ▪ Brazil is one of the major producers of steel in the world and ranks 11th in world exports. The Brazilian steel market heads into 2020 in a bullish mood, with the long- awaited recovery in demand from the construction industry seen as the driver of domestic steel consumption ▪ Brazilian crude steel production in 2019 fell 8.2%, totaling 32.5 million mt ▪ The sector is expected to recover part of this retraction with a 5.3% increase in production to 34.2 million mt according to national steel association Aco Brasil ▪ World's largest iron ore mine, Carajas Mine is located in the Northern Brazil. ▪ Steel end-user markets in 2020 is forecast at 8.4% (Infrastructure), 7.56% (Construction), 6.34% (Automotive), 5.7% (Oil & Gas) ▪ The governments of China and Brazil signed several partnership deals, including one for a 3 million-tpy steel facility in Maranhão state. This is in line with Chinese tactic of accessing local markets through captive investments in steel plants ▪ Some of the advantages of Brazilian steel industry are that the costs of production for steel in Brazil are highly competitive. The steel production cost in Brazil is less mainly because of the close proximity between the mines and the steel plants Source: International Trade Centre © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. 11,839,994 10,666,904 9,153,302 12,255,826 13,479,825 9,000,000 10,000,000 11,000,000 12,000,000 13,000,000 14,000,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Brazil Export of HS 72 & 73 Series- Iron & Steel in USD 1000s in 2018 3,866,896 2,977,086 1,177,958 1,284,474 750,526 588,771 870211 804,745 Semi-finished products of iron or non-… Ferro-alloys Steel, alloy, other than stainless, in ingots… Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy… Pig iron and spiegeleisen Bars and rods, of iron or non-alloy steel Tubes, pipes, screws, nuts, couplings,… Tubes and pipes Top Export Products under HS 72 & 73 Series in USD 1000s in 2018
  • 30. Iron and steel products – Suppliers in Brazil 30 ▪ Brazil comprise 14 private companies, controlled by eleven business groups and operating 29 mills in 10 states. ▪ More and more steel manufacturers have integrated mining into the value chain to protect their margins. Source: International Trade Centre © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved. Supplier Locations 4,021,357 , 34% 934,450 , 8% 738,453 , 6%557,175 , 5% 514,004 , 4% 347,988 , 3% 333,225 , 3% 291,639 , 3% 287,076 , 2% 275,046 , 2% 3,504,462 , 30% Top Importers of HS 72 Series (Iron and Steel) from Brazil in 2018 in USD 1000s and in % United States of America China Netherlands Argentina Turkey Canada South Korea Germany Japan Mexico Rest of the World
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  • 32. The Analysis and Statements in this Report represent the considered views of Dragon Sourcing Ltd (DSL). The Report includes ‘forward looking statements’ and opinions based on the analyst’s current analysis and judgment of the Industry. Although DSL believes the outcomes expressed in such ‘forward looking’ statements are based on reasonable assumptions, such statements are not a guarantee of future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those in forward- looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in forward- looking statements include the general economic, environmental, market, business or government conditions. While DSL has made every reasonable effort to ensure the veracity of the information presented, it cannot expressly guarantee the accuracy and reliability of the estimates, forecasts and conclusions. No part of this report may be distributed, copied or reused without prior written permission from Dragon Sourcing Ltd. Please contact the author should you have any questions. Bharath Sugumar Email: bharath.sugumar@dragonsourcing.com Phone: +1 832 406 0281 32 Disclaimer © 2020 Dragon Sourcing. All rights reserved.