ITS 832Chapter 13Management of Complex Systems Towar.docx
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ITS 832 Chapter 13 Management of Complex Systems: Toward Agent-Based Gaming for Policy Information Technology in a Global Economy Professor Miguel Buleje Introduction • Simulating/Managing Social Complex Phenomena • Leadership and Management in Complex Systems • Serious Gaming • Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and Management • Single and Multiplayer Settings • Summary and conclusions Simulating and Managing Social Complex Phenomena • Study of how people interact • Scale prohibits experimentation with real populations • Agent-Base modeling (ABM) • Networked agents • Each agent is an individual • Interaction may modify agent behavior • Managing complex phenomena introduces complexity • Techniques to manage turbulent situations vary • Technique success depends on responding to agent behavior • Which may change based on interactions Leadership and Management in Complex Systems • Traditional leadership research • Generally focuses on single period in time • Doesn’t address dynamic relationships • Timing of leadership principle application matters • Primary leadership functions • Instructional and regulatory • Developmental • Simulations offer promise to help model leadership in complex systems Serious Gaming • Applying gaming techniques to real life situations • Flight simulators • Effective for evaluating complex environments • Player must interact with multiple actors and situations • Currently used for side range of training applications • Leadership use • Deterministic – limited scope • Agent Based Modeling (ABM)s in serious gaming can help understand more complex interactions Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and Management • Agent Based Modeling (ABM) games with autonomous Artificial Population • Test leadership style effectiveness • Explore which styles work best in different situations • Determine the best choice for a given scenario • Current state of the art is more conceptual • Advances needed in interfaces • Need to allow users to interact with simulation • Opportunity to keep players engaged Behavior Impacted by Multiple Factors Single and Multiplayer Games • AI may react poorly to management input • Simulating unexpected consequences of decisions • Overactive AI may degrade realism • Players can dynamically see how decisions affect others • Early simulations allow for only single players • Multiple real players adds more realistic interaction • Players replace some AI • Players interact with each other and AI Summary and Conclusions • Agent Based Modeling (ABM) - based gaming can measure behaviors of players • Supports experimentation in controlled environment • Study leaderships and management in complex systems • Focus • Interaction with leadership • Interaction with players as a result of leadership action ...
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ITS 832 CHAPTER 13MANAGEMENT OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS TOWARD AGEN.docx
ITS 832 CHAPTER 13
MANAGEMENT OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS: TOWARD AGENT-BASED GAMING FOR POLICY
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY IN A GLOBAL ECONOMY
DR. JORDON SHAW
INTRODUCTION
• Simulating/Managing Social Complex Phenomena
• Leadership and Management in Complex Systems
• Serious Gaming
• Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and Management
• Single and Multiplayer Settings
• Summary and conclusions
SIMULATING AND MANAGING SOCIAL COMPLEX
PHENOMENA
• Study of how people interact
• Scale prohibits experimentation with real populations
• Agent-Base modeling (ABM)
• Networked agents
• Each agent is an individual
• Interaction may modify agent behavior
• Managing complex phenomena introduces complexity
• Techniques to manage turbulent situations vary
• Technique success depends on responding to agent behavior
• Which may change based on interactions
LEADERSHIP AND MANAGEMENT IN COMPLEX
SYSTEMS
• Traditional leadership research
• Generally focuses on single period in time
• Doesn’t address dynamic relationships
• Timing of leadership principle application matters
• Primary leadership functions
• Instructional and regulatory
• Developmental
• Simulations offer promise to help model leadership in complex systems
SERIOUS GAMING
• Applying gaming techniques to real life situations
• Flight simulators
• Effective for evaluating complex environments
• Player must interact with multiple actors and situations
• Currently used for side range of training applications
• Leadership use
• Deterministic – limited scope
• ABMs in serious gaming can help understand more complex interactions
AGENT-BASED GAMES FOR TESTING LEADERSHIP
AND MANAGEMENT
• ABM games with autonomous AI population
• Test leadership style effectiveness
• Explore which styles work best in different situations
• Determine the best choice for a given scenario
• Current state of the art is more conceptual
• Advances needed in interfaces
• Need to allow users to interact with simulation
• Keep players engaged
BEHAVIOR IMPACTED BY MULTIPLE FACTORS
SINGLE AND MULTIPLAYER GAMES
• AI may react poorly to management input
• Simulating unexpected consequences of decisions
• Overactive AI may degrade realism
• Players can dynamically see how decisions affect others
• Early simulations allow for only single players
• Multiple real players adds more realistic interaction
• Players replace some AI
• Players interact with each other and AI
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
• ABM-based gaming can measure behaviors of players
• Supports experimentation in controlled environment
• Study leaderships and management in complex systems
• Focus
• Interaction with leadership
• Interaction with players as a result of leadership action
...
SWOT Analysis on Critical ThinkingStrengthWeaknessOpportunityThr.docx
SWOT Analysis on Critical Thinking
StrengthWeaknessOpportunityThreats
I want you to develop a SWOT Analysis on the ownership and use of a cellphone.
Strength - what are the strengths andbenefits of cellphone ownership and use.
Weakness - what are the weaknesses and downsides of cellphone ownership and use.
Opportunity -what opportunities do cellphone ownership and use present?
Threats - what threatsdo cellphone ownership and use present?
Use your personal thoughts and experiences to develop your arguments. If you reference another source, provide the proper APA format at the bottom of your paper.
ITS 832
Chapter 13
Management of Complex Systems:
Toward Agent-Based Gaming for Policy
Information Technology in a Global Economy
Professor Miguel Buleje
Introduction
• Simulating/Managing Social Complex Phenomena
• Leadership and Management in Complex Systems
• Serious Gaming
• Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and
Management
• Single and Multiplayer Settings
• Summary and conclusions
Simulating and Managing Social
Complex Phenomena
• Study of how people interact
• Scale prohibits experimentation with real populations
• Agent-Base modeling (ABM)
• Networked agents
• Each agent is an individual
• Interaction may modify agent behavior
• Managing complex phenomena introduces complexity
• Techniques to manage turbulent situations vary
• Technique success depends on responding to agent behavior
• Which may change based on interactions
Leadership and Management in
Complex Systems
• Traditional leadership research
• Generally focuses on single period in time
• Doesn’t address dynamic relationships
• Timing of leadership principle application matters
• Primary leadership functions
• Instructional and regulatory
• Developmental
• Simulations offer promise to help model leadership in
complex systems
Serious Gaming
• Applying gaming techniques to real life situations
• Flight simulators
• Effective for evaluating complex environments
• Player must interact with multiple actors and situations
• Currently used for side range of training applications
• Leadership use
• Deterministic – limited scope
• Agent Based Modeling (ABM)s in serious gaming can help
understand more complex interactions
Agent-Based Games for Testing
Leadership and Management
• Agent Based Modeling (ABM) games with
autonomous Artificial Population
• Test leadership style effectiveness
• Explore which styles work best in different situations
• Determine the best choice for a given scenario
• Current state of the art is more conceptual
• Advances needed in interfaces
• Need to allow users to interact with simulation
• Opportunity to keep players engaged
Behavior Impacted by Multiple Factors
Single and Multiplayer Games
• AI may react poorly to management input
• Simulating unexpected consequences of decisions
• Overactive AI may degrade realism
• Players can dynamically see how decisions affect others
• Early simu.
ITS 832CHAPTER 13Management of Complex Systems Tow.docx
ITS 832
CHAPTER 13
Management of Complex Systems:
Toward Agent-Based Gaming for Policy
Information Technology in a Global Economy
INTRODUCTION
• Simulating/Managing Social Complex Phenomena
• Leadership and Management in Complex Systems
• Serious Gaming
• Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and
Management
• Single and Multiplayer Settings
• Summary and conclusions
SIMULATING AND MANAGING SOCIAL
COMPLEX PHENOMENA
• Study of how people interact
• Scale prohibits experimentation with real populations
• Agent-Base modeling (ABM)
• Networked agents
• Each agent is an individual
• Interaction may modify agent behavior
• Managing complex phenomena introduces complexity
• Techniques to manage turbulent situations vary
• Technique success depends on responding to agent behavior
• Which may change based on interactions
LEADERSHIP AND MANAGEMENT IN
COMPLEX SYSTEMS
• Traditional leadership research
• Generally focuses on single period in time
• Doesn’t address dynamic relationships
• Timing of leadership principle application matters
• Primary leadership functions
• Instructional and regulatory
• Developmental
• Simulations offer promise to help model leadership in complex
systems
SERIOUS GAMING
• Applying gaming techniques to real life situations
• Flight simulators
• Effective for evaluating complex environments
• Player must interact with multiple actors and situations
• Currently used for side range of training applications
• Leadership use
• Deterministic – limited scope
• ABMs in serious gaming can help understand more complex
interactions
AGENT-BASED GAMES FOR TESTING
LEADERSHIP AND MANAGEMENT
• ABM games with autonomous AI population
• Test leadership style effectiveness
• Explore which styles work best in different situations
• Determine the best choice for a given scenario
• Current state of the art is more conceptual
• Advances needed in interfaces
• Need to allow users to interact with simulation
• Keep players engaged
BEHAVIOR IMPACTED BY MULTIPLE FACTORS
SINGLE AND MULTIPLAYER GAMES
• AI may react poorly to management input
• Simulating unexpected consequences of decisions
• Overactive AI may degrade realism
• Players can dynamically see how decisions affect others
• Early simulations allow for only single players
• Multiple real players adds more realistic interaction
• Players replace some AI
• Players interact with each other and AI
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
• ABM-based gaming can measure behaviors of players
• Supports experimentation in controlled environment
• Study leaderships and management in complex systems
• Focus
• Interaction with leadership
• Interaction with players as a result of leadership action
ITS 832
Chapter 15
Visual Decision Support for Policy Making:Advancing
Policy Analysis withVisualization
Information Technology in a Global Economy
Introduction
• Background
• Approach
• Case Studies
• Optimization
• Social Simulation ...
ITS 832Chapter 15Visual Decision Support.docx
This document discusses using information visualization and visual analytics to help evaluate model output from policy analysis. It presents an approach that characterizes different stakeholders and bridges knowledge gaps between them using visualization. Several case studies are described that use visualization for policy optimization, social simulation, and urban planning. The conclusion states that visualization can make complex model output more accessible and help define collaborations and identify hurdles in applying visualization to policy analysis.
Chapter 9 – Proofreading Exercise 1 2 3 4 .docx
This document discusses using agent-based modeling and simulation through serious games to study leadership and management in complex systems. It proposes developing games that allow players to take on leadership roles and test different styles as they interact with an autonomous artificial intelligence population. This could help evaluate which styles work best in different scenarios and determine the optimal choice. Both single-player and multiplayer settings are suggested to realistically simulate the dynamic relationships and consequences of decisions in complex environments. The goal is to provide an interactive way to experiment with and measure behaviors as players respond to complex situations and other actors.
ITS 832Chapter 13Management of Complex Systems Toward Age.docx
ITS 832
Chapter 13
Management of Complex Systems: Toward Agent-Based Gaming for Policy
Information Technology in a Global Economy
Professor Michael Solomon
1
Introduction
Simulating/Managing Social Complex Phenomena
Leadership and Management in Complex Systems
Serious Gaming
Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and Management
Single and Multiplayer Settings
Summary and conclusions
Simulating and Managing Social Complex Phenomena
Study of how people interact
Scale prohibits experimentation with real populations
Agent-Base modeling (ABM)
Networked agents
Each agent is an individual
Interaction may modify agent behavior
Managing complex phenomena introduces complexity
Techniques to manage turbulent situations vary
Technique success depends on responding to agent behavior
Which may change based on interactions
Leadership and Management in Complex Systems
Traditional leadership research
Generally focuses on single period in time
Doesn’t address dynamic relationships
Timing of leadership principle application matters
Primary leadership functions
Instructional and regulatory
Developmental
Simulations offer promise to help model leadership in complex systems
Serious Gaming
Applying gaming techniques to real life situations
Flight simulators
Effective for evaluating complex environments
Player must interact with multiple actors and situations
Currently used for side range of training applications
Leadership use
Deterministic – limited scope
ABMs in serious gaming can help understand more complex interactions
Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and Management
ABM games with autonomous AI population
Test leadership style effectiveness
Explore which styles work best in different situations
Determine the best choice for a given scenario
Current state of the art is more conceptual
Advances needed in interfaces
Need to allow users to interact with simulation
Keep players engaged
Behavior Impacted by Multiple Factors
How different factors influence one another and result in behavior (opportunity consumption),
which aggregates over all simulated consumers and results in macrolevel outcomes that set the
conditions for a next behavioral cycle. In the consumat approach, the agents have existence needs
(e.g., food, income), social needs (group belongingness and status), and identity needs (personal
preferences, taste). To select a behavior an agent can employ four different types of decisional
strategies, depending on its satisfaction and uncertainty.A satisfied and certain agent will repeat its
previous demand, which captures habitual behavior/routine maintenance. A satisfied but uncertain
agent will imitate the demand of a similar other in its network, which reflects normative compliance
(fashion). A dissatisfied and certain agent will evaluate all possible demands and select the
one providing the best outcomes (optimizing). And finally, a dissatisfied and uncertain agent will
inquire the demands other agents had and copy this de ...
Multi-agent actor-critic for mixed cooperative-competitive environmentsの紹介
This document proposes a multi-agent actor-critic method for mixed cooperative-competitive environments. The method extends traditional actor-critic by having the critic use extra information about other agents' policies while keeping the actor decentralized by using only local information. This allows agents to learn cooperative behaviors while still handling competitive scenarios. The method is evaluated on cooperative communication tasks where it successfully learns the desired policies, unlike traditional reinforcement learning approaches.
ITS 832Chapter 4Policy Making and Modeling in aComplex.docx
ITS 832
Chapter 4
Policy Making and Modeling in a
Complex World
Information Technology in a Global Economy
Professor Miguel Buleje
Introduction
• Policy Making and Modeling in a ComplexWorld
• Complexity
• Managing Complex Systems
• Modelling for Complex Systems
Complexity
• System composed of multiple interacting elements
• Possible behavioral states can combine in ways that are hard to
predict
• Many complex systems in the physical world
• Adaptive capacity of organisms allow for long-term
survival in complex systems
• Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS)
• Strong capacity to self-organize
Double Pendulum Example
Common Mistakes in Managing
Complex Systems
• Quantification
• Policy is biased towards Quantifiable Variables.
• Most often, monetary quantification.
• Most often, solution selected would be favorable to the optimal economic
outcome.
• Commonly overlooks important non-quantifiable aspects
• Compartmentalization
• Second response by policymakers in trying to simplify complex system.
• Attempts to simplify complex social systems
• Large systems are split into smaller systems
• High RISK to miss interactions between smaller systems
• Spillover effect
Complexity in Policy Making
• Common approaches
• Instrumental
• Choosing between a set of possible policies
• Evaluated based on past effectiveness
• Requires
• Large enough pool of available strategies
• Effective assessment of effectiveness
• Representational
• Little more complication approach
• Series of models
• Each is assessed on its ability to predict observed behavior
Instrumental Approach
Representational Approach
Agent-based Simulation Models
• Agent-based simulation is presenting an optimal approach to address
issue around complexity and policymaking.
• Agent base models:
• Represents individuals as separate computer models
• Each model captures the behavior by each individual
• Agents interact through a network
• Distributed nature allows for realistic interactions, and makes this an
attractive alternative.
• SIMSOC
• Simulated Society: use by universities and other groups to teach
social sciences.
• Large modeling projects repository, per inventory on the SIMSOC,
in our space of policy making.
Summary
• Complex systems are difficult to model
• Interactions can be unpredictable
• Common mistakes in modeling complex systems
• Quantification
• Compartmentalization
• Two common approaches to complex system modeling
• Instrumental
• Representational
• Agent-based modeling
.
Recommended
ITS 832 CHAPTER 13MANAGEMENT OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS TOWARD AGEN.docx
ITS 832 CHAPTER 13
MANAGEMENT OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS: TOWARD AGENT-BASED GAMING FOR POLICY
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY IN A GLOBAL ECONOMY
DR. JORDON SHAW
INTRODUCTION
• Simulating/Managing Social Complex Phenomena
• Leadership and Management in Complex Systems
• Serious Gaming
• Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and Management
• Single and Multiplayer Settings
• Summary and conclusions
SIMULATING AND MANAGING SOCIAL COMPLEX
PHENOMENA
• Study of how people interact
• Scale prohibits experimentation with real populations
• Agent-Base modeling (ABM)
• Networked agents
• Each agent is an individual
• Interaction may modify agent behavior
• Managing complex phenomena introduces complexity
• Techniques to manage turbulent situations vary
• Technique success depends on responding to agent behavior
• Which may change based on interactions
LEADERSHIP AND MANAGEMENT IN COMPLEX
SYSTEMS
• Traditional leadership research
• Generally focuses on single period in time
• Doesn’t address dynamic relationships
• Timing of leadership principle application matters
• Primary leadership functions
• Instructional and regulatory
• Developmental
• Simulations offer promise to help model leadership in complex systems
SERIOUS GAMING
• Applying gaming techniques to real life situations
• Flight simulators
• Effective for evaluating complex environments
• Player must interact with multiple actors and situations
• Currently used for side range of training applications
• Leadership use
• Deterministic – limited scope
• ABMs in serious gaming can help understand more complex interactions
AGENT-BASED GAMES FOR TESTING LEADERSHIP
AND MANAGEMENT
• ABM games with autonomous AI population
• Test leadership style effectiveness
• Explore which styles work best in different situations
• Determine the best choice for a given scenario
• Current state of the art is more conceptual
• Advances needed in interfaces
• Need to allow users to interact with simulation
• Keep players engaged
BEHAVIOR IMPACTED BY MULTIPLE FACTORS
SINGLE AND MULTIPLAYER GAMES
• AI may react poorly to management input
• Simulating unexpected consequences of decisions
• Overactive AI may degrade realism
• Players can dynamically see how decisions affect others
• Early simulations allow for only single players
• Multiple real players adds more realistic interaction
• Players replace some AI
• Players interact with each other and AI
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
• ABM-based gaming can measure behaviors of players
• Supports experimentation in controlled environment
• Study leaderships and management in complex systems
• Focus
• Interaction with leadership
• Interaction with players as a result of leadership action
...
SWOT Analysis on Critical ThinkingStrengthWeaknessOpportunityThr.docx
SWOT Analysis on Critical Thinking
StrengthWeaknessOpportunityThreats
I want you to develop a SWOT Analysis on the ownership and use of a cellphone.
Strength - what are the strengths andbenefits of cellphone ownership and use.
Weakness - what are the weaknesses and downsides of cellphone ownership and use.
Opportunity -what opportunities do cellphone ownership and use present?
Threats - what threatsdo cellphone ownership and use present?
Use your personal thoughts and experiences to develop your arguments. If you reference another source, provide the proper APA format at the bottom of your paper.
ITS 832
Chapter 13
Management of Complex Systems:
Toward Agent-Based Gaming for Policy
Information Technology in a Global Economy
Professor Miguel Buleje
Introduction
• Simulating/Managing Social Complex Phenomena
• Leadership and Management in Complex Systems
• Serious Gaming
• Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and
Management
• Single and Multiplayer Settings
• Summary and conclusions
Simulating and Managing Social
Complex Phenomena
• Study of how people interact
• Scale prohibits experimentation with real populations
• Agent-Base modeling (ABM)
• Networked agents
• Each agent is an individual
• Interaction may modify agent behavior
• Managing complex phenomena introduces complexity
• Techniques to manage turbulent situations vary
• Technique success depends on responding to agent behavior
• Which may change based on interactions
Leadership and Management in
Complex Systems
• Traditional leadership research
• Generally focuses on single period in time
• Doesn’t address dynamic relationships
• Timing of leadership principle application matters
• Primary leadership functions
• Instructional and regulatory
• Developmental
• Simulations offer promise to help model leadership in
complex systems
Serious Gaming
• Applying gaming techniques to real life situations
• Flight simulators
• Effective for evaluating complex environments
• Player must interact with multiple actors and situations
• Currently used for side range of training applications
• Leadership use
• Deterministic – limited scope
• Agent Based Modeling (ABM)s in serious gaming can help
understand more complex interactions
Agent-Based Games for Testing
Leadership and Management
• Agent Based Modeling (ABM) games with
autonomous Artificial Population
• Test leadership style effectiveness
• Explore which styles work best in different situations
• Determine the best choice for a given scenario
• Current state of the art is more conceptual
• Advances needed in interfaces
• Need to allow users to interact with simulation
• Opportunity to keep players engaged
Behavior Impacted by Multiple Factors
Single and Multiplayer Games
• AI may react poorly to management input
• Simulating unexpected consequences of decisions
• Overactive AI may degrade realism
• Players can dynamically see how decisions affect others
• Early simu.
ITS 832CHAPTER 13Management of Complex Systems Tow.docx
ITS 832
CHAPTER 13
Management of Complex Systems:
Toward Agent-Based Gaming for Policy
Information Technology in a Global Economy
INTRODUCTION
• Simulating/Managing Social Complex Phenomena
• Leadership and Management in Complex Systems
• Serious Gaming
• Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and
Management
• Single and Multiplayer Settings
• Summary and conclusions
SIMULATING AND MANAGING SOCIAL
COMPLEX PHENOMENA
• Study of how people interact
• Scale prohibits experimentation with real populations
• Agent-Base modeling (ABM)
• Networked agents
• Each agent is an individual
• Interaction may modify agent behavior
• Managing complex phenomena introduces complexity
• Techniques to manage turbulent situations vary
• Technique success depends on responding to agent behavior
• Which may change based on interactions
LEADERSHIP AND MANAGEMENT IN
COMPLEX SYSTEMS
• Traditional leadership research
• Generally focuses on single period in time
• Doesn’t address dynamic relationships
• Timing of leadership principle application matters
• Primary leadership functions
• Instructional and regulatory
• Developmental
• Simulations offer promise to help model leadership in complex
systems
SERIOUS GAMING
• Applying gaming techniques to real life situations
• Flight simulators
• Effective for evaluating complex environments
• Player must interact with multiple actors and situations
• Currently used for side range of training applications
• Leadership use
• Deterministic – limited scope
• ABMs in serious gaming can help understand more complex
interactions
AGENT-BASED GAMES FOR TESTING
LEADERSHIP AND MANAGEMENT
• ABM games with autonomous AI population
• Test leadership style effectiveness
• Explore which styles work best in different situations
• Determine the best choice for a given scenario
• Current state of the art is more conceptual
• Advances needed in interfaces
• Need to allow users to interact with simulation
• Keep players engaged
BEHAVIOR IMPACTED BY MULTIPLE FACTORS
SINGLE AND MULTIPLAYER GAMES
• AI may react poorly to management input
• Simulating unexpected consequences of decisions
• Overactive AI may degrade realism
• Players can dynamically see how decisions affect others
• Early simulations allow for only single players
• Multiple real players adds more realistic interaction
• Players replace some AI
• Players interact with each other and AI
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
• ABM-based gaming can measure behaviors of players
• Supports experimentation in controlled environment
• Study leaderships and management in complex systems
• Focus
• Interaction with leadership
• Interaction with players as a result of leadership action
ITS 832
Chapter 15
Visual Decision Support for Policy Making:Advancing
Policy Analysis withVisualization
Information Technology in a Global Economy
Introduction
• Background
• Approach
• Case Studies
• Optimization
• Social Simulation ...
ITS 832Chapter 15Visual Decision Support.docx
This document discusses using information visualization and visual analytics to help evaluate model output from policy analysis. It presents an approach that characterizes different stakeholders and bridges knowledge gaps between them using visualization. Several case studies are described that use visualization for policy optimization, social simulation, and urban planning. The conclusion states that visualization can make complex model output more accessible and help define collaborations and identify hurdles in applying visualization to policy analysis.
Chapter 9 – Proofreading Exercise 1 2 3 4 .docx
This document discusses using agent-based modeling and simulation through serious games to study leadership and management in complex systems. It proposes developing games that allow players to take on leadership roles and test different styles as they interact with an autonomous artificial intelligence population. This could help evaluate which styles work best in different scenarios and determine the optimal choice. Both single-player and multiplayer settings are suggested to realistically simulate the dynamic relationships and consequences of decisions in complex environments. The goal is to provide an interactive way to experiment with and measure behaviors as players respond to complex situations and other actors.
ITS 832Chapter 13Management of Complex Systems Toward Age.docx
ITS 832
Chapter 13
Management of Complex Systems: Toward Agent-Based Gaming for Policy
Information Technology in a Global Economy
Professor Michael Solomon
1
Introduction
Simulating/Managing Social Complex Phenomena
Leadership and Management in Complex Systems
Serious Gaming
Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and Management
Single and Multiplayer Settings
Summary and conclusions
Simulating and Managing Social Complex Phenomena
Study of how people interact
Scale prohibits experimentation with real populations
Agent-Base modeling (ABM)
Networked agents
Each agent is an individual
Interaction may modify agent behavior
Managing complex phenomena introduces complexity
Techniques to manage turbulent situations vary
Technique success depends on responding to agent behavior
Which may change based on interactions
Leadership and Management in Complex Systems
Traditional leadership research
Generally focuses on single period in time
Doesn’t address dynamic relationships
Timing of leadership principle application matters
Primary leadership functions
Instructional and regulatory
Developmental
Simulations offer promise to help model leadership in complex systems
Serious Gaming
Applying gaming techniques to real life situations
Flight simulators
Effective for evaluating complex environments
Player must interact with multiple actors and situations
Currently used for side range of training applications
Leadership use
Deterministic – limited scope
ABMs in serious gaming can help understand more complex interactions
Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and Management
ABM games with autonomous AI population
Test leadership style effectiveness
Explore which styles work best in different situations
Determine the best choice for a given scenario
Current state of the art is more conceptual
Advances needed in interfaces
Need to allow users to interact with simulation
Keep players engaged
Behavior Impacted by Multiple Factors
How different factors influence one another and result in behavior (opportunity consumption),
which aggregates over all simulated consumers and results in macrolevel outcomes that set the
conditions for a next behavioral cycle. In the consumat approach, the agents have existence needs
(e.g., food, income), social needs (group belongingness and status), and identity needs (personal
preferences, taste). To select a behavior an agent can employ four different types of decisional
strategies, depending on its satisfaction and uncertainty.A satisfied and certain agent will repeat its
previous demand, which captures habitual behavior/routine maintenance. A satisfied but uncertain
agent will imitate the demand of a similar other in its network, which reflects normative compliance
(fashion). A dissatisfied and certain agent will evaluate all possible demands and select the
one providing the best outcomes (optimizing). And finally, a dissatisfied and uncertain agent will
inquire the demands other agents had and copy this de ...
Multi-agent actor-critic for mixed cooperative-competitive environmentsの紹介
This document proposes a multi-agent actor-critic method for mixed cooperative-competitive environments. The method extends traditional actor-critic by having the critic use extra information about other agents' policies while keeping the actor decentralized by using only local information. This allows agents to learn cooperative behaviors while still handling competitive scenarios. The method is evaluated on cooperative communication tasks where it successfully learns the desired policies, unlike traditional reinforcement learning approaches.
ITS 832Chapter 4Policy Making and Modeling in aComplex.docx
ITS 832
Chapter 4
Policy Making and Modeling in a
Complex World
Information Technology in a Global Economy
Professor Miguel Buleje
Introduction
• Policy Making and Modeling in a ComplexWorld
• Complexity
• Managing Complex Systems
• Modelling for Complex Systems
Complexity
• System composed of multiple interacting elements
• Possible behavioral states can combine in ways that are hard to
predict
• Many complex systems in the physical world
• Adaptive capacity of organisms allow for long-term
survival in complex systems
• Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS)
• Strong capacity to self-organize
Double Pendulum Example
Common Mistakes in Managing
Complex Systems
• Quantification
• Policy is biased towards Quantifiable Variables.
• Most often, monetary quantification.
• Most often, solution selected would be favorable to the optimal economic
outcome.
• Commonly overlooks important non-quantifiable aspects
• Compartmentalization
• Second response by policymakers in trying to simplify complex system.
• Attempts to simplify complex social systems
• Large systems are split into smaller systems
• High RISK to miss interactions between smaller systems
• Spillover effect
Complexity in Policy Making
• Common approaches
• Instrumental
• Choosing between a set of possible policies
• Evaluated based on past effectiveness
• Requires
• Large enough pool of available strategies
• Effective assessment of effectiveness
• Representational
• Little more complication approach
• Series of models
• Each is assessed on its ability to predict observed behavior
Instrumental Approach
Representational Approach
Agent-based Simulation Models
• Agent-based simulation is presenting an optimal approach to address
issue around complexity and policymaking.
• Agent base models:
• Represents individuals as separate computer models
• Each model captures the behavior by each individual
• Agents interact through a network
• Distributed nature allows for realistic interactions, and makes this an
attractive alternative.
• SIMSOC
• Simulated Society: use by universities and other groups to teach
social sciences.
• Large modeling projects repository, per inventory on the SIMSOC,
in our space of policy making.
Summary
• Complex systems are difficult to model
• Interactions can be unpredictable
• Common mistakes in modeling complex systems
• Quantification
• Compartmentalization
• Two common approaches to complex system modeling
• Instrumental
• Representational
• Agent-based modeling
.
Wcss2012presentation
Yusuke Goto (Iwate Pref. Univ.), Yosuke Takizawa, Shingo Takahashi (Waseda Univ.)
Hybrid Approach of Agent-based and Gaming Simulations for Stakeholder Accreditation
The 4th World Congress on Social Simulation
September 6th, 2012 (Taipei, Taiwan)
ICS2208 Lecture4 Intelligent Interface Agents.pdf
This document provides an overview of intelligent user interfaces and interface agents. It discusses agent models and characteristics of agents in complex systems. Environment properties and task environments in AI that affect agent decision making are described. The document also covers intelligent agent models and examples. It discusses how interface agents learn and perceive their environment, including through machine learning algorithms. Challenges of using reinforcement learning for interface agents are also outlined.
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1000 words, 2 referencesBegin conducting research now on your .docx
1000 words, 2 references
Begin conducting research now on your company/client. After brainstorming on your company’s industry and after your preliminary research information-gathering techniques, create a research profile proposal to deliver to your company’s management that includes the following:
State the specific research goal for the proposal.
What is the company’s current business problem?
Who is the company’s competition?
Establish your population sample for researching customer attitudes and behaviors about the company and product.
Identify the steps in the research process.
.
1000 words only due by 5314 at 1200 estthis is a second part to.docx
1000 words only due by 5/3/14 at 12:00 est
this is a second part to this assignment due at a different time
Part 1
Your fast-food franchise has been cleared for business in all 4 countries (United Arab Emirates, Israel, Mexico, and China). You now have to start construction on your restaurants. The financing is coming from the United Arab Emirates, the materials are coming from Mexico and China, the engineering and technology are coming from Israel , and the labor will be hired locally within these countries by your management team from the United States. You invite all of the players to the headquarters in the United States for a big meeting to explain the project and get to know one another. The people seem to be staying with their own groups and not mingling.
What is the cultural phenomenon at play here (what is it called/ term)?
How do you explain the lack of intercultural communication and interaction?
What do you know about these cultures—specifically their economic, political, educational, and social systems—that could help you in getting them together?
What are some of the contrasting cultural values of these countries?
You are concerned about some of the language barriers as you start the meeting, particularly the fact that the United States is a low-context country, and some of the countries present are high-context countries. Furthermore, you only speak English, and you do not have an interpreter present.
How will this affect the presentation?
What are some of the issues you should be concerned about regarding verbal and nonverbal language for this group?
What strategy would you use to begin to have everyone develop a relationship with each other that will help ease future negotiations, development, and implementation?
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This document summarizes a course on intelligent interfaces and decision making. It discusses interface types, preferential choices versus decisions, goals and values in decision making, anticipating consequences of choices, reusing previous choices, and social influences on decision making. Key learning outcomes are listed, including explaining how preferential choices relate to other areas of human-computer interaction and synthesizing a framework for supporting user decision making. Guidelines for interaction design to support decision making are also outlined.
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1) Agency theory can help explain relationships within marketing organizations where one party (the principal) delegates work to another (the agent). This includes relationships with external agencies as well as internal employees.
2) Issues that can arise pre-contract include information asymmetry about an agent's abilities. Screening, signaling, and self-selection can help address these issues.
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2) Issues that can arise pre-contract include information asymmetry about an agent's abilities. Screening, signaling, and self-selection can help address these issues.
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10.2. When we use a paired-samples
t
test to compare the pret
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t and
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schoo
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th
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cher
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t
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______.
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c
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all
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Two boys were exploring the outdoors and found a small frog. The teacher recognized their high interest and determined that this was an appropriate topic for a study. Their experience in nature provided the interest and stimulus for a long-term project on frogs. The teacher demonstrated her belief that this study could not only include informational learning but also be enriched by the use of the arts. She didn't know a lot about frogs, so she joined the children in looking for information about them. Stories provided the content for the drama about frogs, and the music selection encouraged listening and moving to the “frog music.” A group mural was created through the collaboration of several children, who created visual representations of the frog's environment. Another group of children investigated building a habitat for the frog in their classroom aquarium. All of the children were involved in active learning and used methods that matched their interests. At the conclusion of the study, the children shared their learning by making a giant book about frogs, creating a song about frogs, and demonstrating the development of the frog aquarium that emulated its outdoor environment. Finally, they returned the frog to its home, which led to their understanding that it needed to live in its natural habitat.
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“Deer Among Cattle” (Dickey)
“Meditation at Oyster River” (Roethke)
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Link to textbook: http://books.google.com/books?id=zutRiJJMBQYC&printsec=frontcover#v=onepage&q&f=false
Article is attached
The overwhelming similarities between the articles are perception of identity through self-focus or self-identity through culture. Mulvaney tells us “truth is socially constructed through language and other symbol systems” (Mulvaney, 222). And as an example, it was just such self-focus that landed Galileo in jail by asserting that the universe was sun-centered as opposed to earth centered. The people of that time had socially constructed their own truths based on their perceptions of that time, although we now know that both were incorrect. It was from this perception of correctness that power was assumed and asserted by the majority, which in this case led to Galileo’s arrest (Mulvaney 2004).
Jandt touches on an interesting fact regarding existentialism, the idea of the “other” and the idea that both the observer and the observed are changed in the process. He states, “that the observer is not independent of the observed; the observed is in some sense “created” or changed or both by the act of observation” (Jandt, 212). It is from this dynamic that Jandt speaks of that we can see the formation of societal roles, i.e. the roles of those in positions of power and those in a subservient roles.
The interesting culmination of the information from all three articles is that the process is not a stagnant one, but rather one that can, and often times does change. Through introspective analysis, asking ourselves the question “Who am I?” we can embrace our cultural differences and through the acceptance of our individual qualities can take back some of the power that was perhaps lost (Jandt, 210). For example, take the labels “Feminist” and “Gay” along with “queer” and “Chicano,” which were certainly negative when created, have been transformed into positive labels embraced by those within each perspective community (Jandt 2004).
Works Cited
Jandt, Fred E., Dolores V. Tanno. "Decoding Domination, Encoding Self-Determination - Intercultural Comminication Research Process." In Intercultural Communication: A Global Reader, by Fred E. Jandt, 205 - 221. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, Inc., 2004.
Mulvaney, Becky Michelle. "Gender Differences in Communication - An Intercultural Experience." In Intercultural Communication - A Global Reader, by Fred E. Jandt, 221 - 229. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, Inc., 2004.
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100 word response to the followingBoth perspectives that we rea.docx
100 word response to the following:
Both perspectives that we read referenced Hofstede’s work. Merrit and Helmreich focused closely on Hofstede’s principles of individualism and power distance. They studied how American flight crews differed in these areas from Asian flight crews. The American flight crews proved to have much more individualism than the Asian, although power distance perceptions were mixed between pilots and flight attendants, with the flight attendants perceiving more power distance than the pilots (in Jandt, 2004). Aldridge also focused on individualism and power distance, with regards to the American culture. It is Aldridge’s thesis that it is the idea of the “natural rights of man” that underpins American culture (in Jandt, 2004, p.94). The natural rights of man are a value that is espoused by a culture with high individuality and low power distance. If man has natural rights, then he is an independent being, and in order to value all men, we must have a lower perception of the distance between those of high status and those with lower status.
I enjoyed both perspectives. I felt that the aviation study was very strong, as they were careful to make sure that they accounted for cultural differences in their measurements. I agree with the authors that although they confirmed some sociological theories and demonstrated that flight crews tend to follow their cultural norms, the study is likely skewed. In order to understand how different flight crews behave from standard Asian social norms, the surveys would have to be done from an Asian perspective and even then, there is not just one Asian culture, so that should be taken into account. We likely miss many of the subtle differences between Asian flight crews and their home culture, by not having a sensitive test to that culture.
My main complaint about Aldridge’s perspective is a lack of strong comparison to other cultures. I felt that the argument that American culture is strong based on our belief in natural human rights would have been better served by showing more comparison to other cultures that also espouse this value and/or to cultures that clearly do not. The comparison to Nazi culture was a start, but one that gets kind of old after a while, and is not a culture that is as current as I would prefer in a comparison.
Readings:
Texbook: Jandt, Fred E. (editor) Intercultural Communication: A Global Reader. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. 2004
“Human Factors on the Flight Deck: The Influence of National Culture,” Merritt and Helmreich, Jandt pages 13-27
“What is the Basis of American Culture,” Aldridge, Jandt pages 84-98
100 word response to the following
The perspectives learned this week relate to the evolution of human beings and their ability to evolve and survive. As it was state in Aldridge’s readings human beings have the capability to communicate and this ability makes them superior, than animals. All human beings came from the same land and eventually with th.
100 word response to the followingThe point that Penetito is tr.docx
100 word response to the following:
The point that Penetito is trying to make is that it is important for indigenous cultures to survive. He uses the case of the education of the Maori in New Zealand as an example to exhibit the declining influence of the culture because of the influence of the more dominant British culture. Penetito strengthens his argument by referencing problems that come with colonization and the negative on natives, most notably, the educational system. By attacking this one issue and using facts about the culture to enrich the discussion helps to focus his message that cultures being dominated is a bad thing. The Maori educational system has been moulded to fit the mainstream framework rather than a Maori one (Jandt, 2004, p. 173) and this creates many of the problems and contributes to the extinction of culture. He could use other examples of how colonizing countries leads to the destruction of less important areas of indigiounous cultures such as dress, language, or food in order to strengthen his arguments about the educational systems. The lack of attention in the educational field is having lasting effects on Maoris living in New Zealand and any more information he could use to support this would be important to know. Also examples of educational systems in other colonized countries, to compare and contrast them to New Zealand's would also help to influence readers. He references a report done by the Ministry of Maori Development which states that, "disparities between Maori and non-Maori in a variety of economic sectors such as employment and income" (Jandt, 2004, p. 181). The Maori are just an example of one culture that is fighting for survival out of many. The problem is that through colonization, diversity dwindles. Penetito's writing is valid for all endangered languages because all cultures can use it as a template and useful knowledge for preserving their cultures before they are completely gone.
Textbook: Jandt, F. (2004). Intercultural Communication:A Global Reader. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications Inc.
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100 word response to the following:
I would like to ask a provocative question, or two.
Given that all of the indigenous languages in the USA are on the brink of extinction, should there be federal funding to protect these languages and these cultures?
Along the same lines, what do you think of English-only initiatives? Do these aid or hurt American culture?
http://www.endangeredlanguages.com/
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100 word response to the folowingMust use Chicago style citing an.docx
The document discusses different perspectives on culture from authors Levi-Strauss and Hofstede. Levi-Strauss was interested in structuralism and the differences between cultures. He believed cultures should remain distinct from one another. Hofstede analyzed business cultures and categorized them into symbols, heroes, rituals, and values. He identified four dimensions of national cultural variation: power distance, individualism, masculinity, and uncertainty avoidance. When interacting with those from other cultures, it is important to understand these cultural dimensions and not force our own values, but rather be respectful of different perspectives and find common values to effectively communicate.
100 word response using textbook Getlein, Mark. Living with Art, 9t.docx
100 word response using textbook: Getlein, Mark. Living with Art, 9th Ed., New York: McGraw-Hill, 2010. Citing in MLA Format:
Between the Baroque and Rococo era, according to Getlein in Living with Art 2010, Rococo is a development and extension of the baroque style. Rococo is not only a play on the word baroque, but also French for rocks and shells. Rococo is known for its ornate style and several points of contrast. Baroque on the other hand was an art of cathedrals and palaces (Getlein p. 397). The Mirror Room of the Amailienburg in Nymphenburg is a great example of the Rococo style of art with its gentle pastels, overall intimacy, multiple mirrors and its illusion of the sky and with that baroque is large in scale and rococo is lighter. According to Getlein p. 398, Rococo architecture first originated in France but was soon exported, some examples of this type of art are found in Germany. Hall of mirrors on page 392 by Charles Le Brun is an example of baroque art, it is a more intense piece of work that is more vibrant and energetic vice the lighter decoration s used in The Mirror Room.
100 word response using textbook: Getlein, Mark. Living with Art, 9th Ed., New York: McGraw-Hill, 2010. Citing in MLA Format:
The Renaissance covered the period from 1400 to 1600, which brought numerous changes that included new techniques in art, the way art was viewed, and how people viewed themselves. The term renaissance means "rebirth" and it refers to the renewal of interest in Roman and Greek cultures. During the period scholars who called themselves humanists believed in the pursuit of knowledge and striving to reach their full creative and intellectual potential. This new way of thinking had many impacts for art during this period. Artists became interested in observing the natural world and studied new techniques on how to accurately depict it. Various techniques were developed such as the effect of light known as chiaroscuro; noting that distant objects appeared smaller than nearer ones they developed linear perspective; seeing how detail and colored blurred with distance, they developed atmospheric perspective. (Getlein page 361) The nude also reappeared in art, for the body was one of God's most noble creations; an example of this can be seen in figure 16.8 the statue of David, by the artist Michelangelo. (Getlein page 368) The primary difference between the Renaissance and the prior period of time was that artists were no longer viewed craftsmen, they were now recognized as intellectuals. (Getlein page 362)
The Northern Renaissance developed more gradually than in Italy. Northern artists did not live among the ruins of Rome nor did they share the Italians’ sense of a personal link to the creators of the Classical past; thus affecting the focus and characteristics between the two cultures. (Getlein page 374) Renaissance artists in northern Europe focused more on small details of the visible world, such as decoration or the outer appearanc.
100 word response to the following. Must cite properly in MLA.Un.docx
This document summarizes key differences between Egyptian and Islamic architecture and art. It notes that unlike Egyptians, Muslims did not create statues or idols in their mosques due to Islamic doctrine prohibiting images of animate beings. Instead, Islamic architecture used geometry and plants in designs like the Egyptian pyramids. Mosques featured grand designs incorporating textiles, brick, ceramics and calligraphy. A popular example is the Cordoba mosque in Spain, which utilized Roman and Byzantine architectural techniques like arches and domes. Overall, Islamic art and architecture focused more on imagination than depicting history visually like Egyptian art.
100 original, rubric, word count and required readings must be incl.docx
This document outlines the requirements for an assignment involving a strategy audit report and presentation for a company. It requires conducting an internal and external assessment of the company including analyzing its value proposition, market position, competitive advantage, external environment, internal environment, SWOT analysis, and balanced scorecard. The strategy audit report must identify 5-7 strategic issues, provide recommendations in areas like products, structure, culture, and performance measures, and explain how the recommendations will help achieve the company's strategy and vision. It includes appendices with previously completed analyses. The assignment aims to integrate all coursework into a comprehensive strategy audit for a company.
100 or more wordsFor this Discussion imagine that you are speaki.docx
Play is important for children to learn and develop. Through play, children learn skills like problem solving, motor skills, social skills, and cognitive development. Parents and childcare professionals can encourage play by providing toys and opportunities for pretend play, outdoor active play, and creative arts to support children's learning and development.
10. (TCOs 1 and 10) Apple, Inc. a cash basis S corporation in Or.docx
10.
(TCOs 1 and 10) Apple, Inc. a cash basis S corporation in Orange, Texas, formerly was a C corporation. Apple has the following assets and liabilities on January 1, 2010, the date the S election is made:
Adjusted Basis
Fair Market Value
Cash
$200,000
$200,000
Accounts receivable
-0-
$105,000
Equipment
$110,000
$100,000
Land
$1,800,000
$2,500,000
Accounts payable
-0-
$110,000
During 2010, Apple collects the accounts receivable and pays the accounts payable. The land is sold for $3 million, and taxable income for the year is $590,000. What is Apple's built-in gains tax?
(Points : 5)
.
10-12 slides with Notes APA Style ReferecesThe prosecutor is getti.docx
10-12 slides with Notes APA Style Refereces
The prosecutor is getting feedback from local law enforcement officers explaining that they are discouraged from making arrests in cases of domestic violence and child abuse. They claim that they have been either not making arrests in domestic violence situations or arresting both parties when they go out on a call. It seems that abused women often go back to the abusers, and children who get removed from the homes where they have been abused often return after removal. These occurrences have been especially demoralizing to law enforcement.
One of your jobs in working as a victim witness assistant is to help educate law enforcement on the nature and behaviors involved in domestic violence and child abuse. The prosecutor’s office has decided that you should present each of these topics for the next training session:
Topic 1: Domestic violence:
Your goal is to educate law enforcement to use best practices in the investigation of domestic abuse cases. Include the following topics:
How to approach a domestic violence situation when responding to an emergency call
when the parties should be separated
how to interview parties
what information needs to be in the report and why
how best to help a victim
what laws protect victims, including the use of protection orders
why victims return to abusers
length of time it may take to stay away from their abusers
Arrests
the legal standard needed to make an arrest in a domestic violence case
What evidence should be collected at the arrest?
Are dual arrests effective law enforcement?
how to assist domestic violence victims
reluctant victims
help for victims
Topic 2: Child Abuse:
Your goal will be to educate law enforcement about the dynamics of abuse and neglect cases. Include the following topics:
signs of child abuse and categories (physical, sexual, emotional)
difference between abuse and neglect
legal description of neglect
use of guardian
ad litems
the legal standards that must be met in removal from the home
termination of parental rights
requirements of Indian Child Welfare Act (ICWA)
role of court-appointed special advocates (CASA) in child abuse and neglect cases
role of social services in abuse and neglect cases
For more information on creating PowerPoint Presentations, please visit the Microsoft Office Applications Lab.
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10-12 page paer onDiscuss the advantages and problems with trailer.docx
10-12 page paer on
Discuss the advantages and problems with trailers for temporary housing, the issues for FEMA, and recommendations for improvements to the housing program. Discuss how Public Assistance was used in New York for Hurricane Sandy recovery, and why this was so different than previous housing policies.
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10. Assume that you are responsible for decontaminating materials in.docx
10. Assume that you are responsible for decontaminating materials in a large hospital.
How would you sterilize each of the following? Briefly justify your answers.
a. A mattress used by a patient with bubonic plague
b. Intravenous glucose-saline solutions
c. Used disposable syringe
d. Tissues taken from patients
.
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- 1. ITS 832 Chapter 13 Management of Complex Systems: Toward Agent-Based Gaming for Policy Information Technology in a Global Economy Professor Miguel Buleje Introduction • Simulating/Managing Social Complex Phenomena • Leadership and Management in Complex Systems • Serious Gaming • Agent-Based Games for Testing Leadership and Management • Single and Multiplayer Settings • Summary and conclusions Simulating and Managing Social Complex Phenomena
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