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8/24/2017
WESTMORELAND ENERGY INC.:
POWER PROJECT AT ZHANGZE, CHINA
Dhruv Manair- M1603
Vivek Kumar – M1617
SAPM 1
Summary:
• Westmoreland Energy Inc. (WEI) a subsidiary
of Westmoreland Coal was considering
whether to proceed for the power plant
project or not.
• Build Operate Transfer (BOT) project for 20yrs.
• IRR appeared to exceed the target.
• Project Developer (Dorothy Hampton), was
concerned about a variety of risks, and
appropriateness of the target and hurdle rate.
8/24/2017 SAPM 2
Financing of project:
• Total fund required : 3664 million CNY.
• Debt. : 2748 million CNY (75%)
• Equity : 916 million CNY (25%)
8/24/2017 SAPM 3
Chinese Portion
Local Debt. 54.2%
Local Equity 45.8%
WEI Portion
USD Debt. 85.13%
USD Equity 14.87%
Q.1 a) What is Westmoreland`s
investment opportunity here?
Shortage of power, Ministry of Electric power
support.
Transportation of raw material is negligible, set up
of plant near coal mines.
Arrangement of attractive debt financing and credit
enhancement, available to the project.
Leverage of debt to avoid dilution of the existing
equity.
8/24/2017 SAPM 4
b) Why is it proposed that Westmoreland
put up 40% of the equity for a 49% interest
in the future cash flows?
• Government of china would own about 60%
equity through Shanxi Provisional Electric
Power Company which increase the risk of
interruption in operation hence they offer
49% of interest in the future cash flow.
• This may consider as the consequences of an
interruption in the operations of the plant.
8/24/2017 SAPM 5
Q.2 What should be Westmoreland`s
ROR for the project?
• ROR = Rf + π + (βcountry * βfirm) (EMRP)= 12.11 %
Where,
Π= political risk premium
EMRP= Equity market risk premium
Rf = 8.22 % ( Exhibit 12)
Π = 1.55 (Exhibit 14)
Βfirm = 0.45 (Exhibit 13)
Βcountry = 1.08 (Exhibit 14)
EMRP= 5.5%
8/24/2017 SAPM 6
• Since the cash flow in exhibit 11 are given in
Chinese yuan, the U.S. dollar ROR must be
translated to a yuan ROR.
Local K = ((1+Home K) * (1+Local inflation rate)
/(1+Home inflation rate))-1
K= 20.89 %
8/24/2017 SAPM 7
Q.3 Should Dorothy Hampton consider
recommending a target ROR of 20%
for this project? Why, or why not?
IRR Sensitivity:
8/24/2017 SAPM 8
Opp. Hours IRR
7884 (90%) 34%
6500 (74%) 26%
6000 (68%) 23%
5500 20%
10 15 18 20
10 23% 27% 28% 29%
15 24% 28% 30% 31%
18 25% 29% 30% 31%
20 25% 29% 31% 32%
Term of USD Debt.
TermofCNYDebt.
Q.4 Will this project create value for
WEI? What are the key value driver
assumptions for this project?
• Yes definitely this project create value for WEI,
as china is one of the most growing country of
world.
• Key value driver:
– Demand risk (Take or pay contract)
– Mine mouth power plant
– High ownership interest of 49% by investing only
37-45%.
8/24/2017 SAPM 9
Q.5 Are there any qualitative concern
or risk that are not captured in the
valuation analysis?
• Higher inflation in china may lead to high rate
of coal but the charges of electricity can be
controlled by Govt. and cannot be increase by
more than 4%.
• The entire context of contractual obligation
was vastly different in China than developed
countries. (Page-5).
8/24/2017 SAPM 10
What should Hampton recommended
to WEI`s board of directors regarding
this project?
• Hampton should recommended to WEI`s
board to go for this project as the IRR in all
different scenario is higher than ROR.
• Also she suggest to start investment after the
Shanxi Provisional Electric Power Company.
• She can also suggest for the long period debt,
which further increase the IRR. And reduce
the risk.
8/24/2017 SAPM 11

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Westmoreland energy inc.

  • 1. 8/24/2017 WESTMORELAND ENERGY INC.: POWER PROJECT AT ZHANGZE, CHINA Dhruv Manair- M1603 Vivek Kumar – M1617 SAPM 1
  • 2. Summary: • Westmoreland Energy Inc. (WEI) a subsidiary of Westmoreland Coal was considering whether to proceed for the power plant project or not. • Build Operate Transfer (BOT) project for 20yrs. • IRR appeared to exceed the target. • Project Developer (Dorothy Hampton), was concerned about a variety of risks, and appropriateness of the target and hurdle rate. 8/24/2017 SAPM 2
  • 3. Financing of project: • Total fund required : 3664 million CNY. • Debt. : 2748 million CNY (75%) • Equity : 916 million CNY (25%) 8/24/2017 SAPM 3 Chinese Portion Local Debt. 54.2% Local Equity 45.8% WEI Portion USD Debt. 85.13% USD Equity 14.87%
  • 4. Q.1 a) What is Westmoreland`s investment opportunity here? Shortage of power, Ministry of Electric power support. Transportation of raw material is negligible, set up of plant near coal mines. Arrangement of attractive debt financing and credit enhancement, available to the project. Leverage of debt to avoid dilution of the existing equity. 8/24/2017 SAPM 4
  • 5. b) Why is it proposed that Westmoreland put up 40% of the equity for a 49% interest in the future cash flows? • Government of china would own about 60% equity through Shanxi Provisional Electric Power Company which increase the risk of interruption in operation hence they offer 49% of interest in the future cash flow. • This may consider as the consequences of an interruption in the operations of the plant. 8/24/2017 SAPM 5
  • 6. Q.2 What should be Westmoreland`s ROR for the project? • ROR = Rf + π + (βcountry * βfirm) (EMRP)= 12.11 % Where, Π= political risk premium EMRP= Equity market risk premium Rf = 8.22 % ( Exhibit 12) Π = 1.55 (Exhibit 14) Βfirm = 0.45 (Exhibit 13) Βcountry = 1.08 (Exhibit 14) EMRP= 5.5% 8/24/2017 SAPM 6
  • 7. • Since the cash flow in exhibit 11 are given in Chinese yuan, the U.S. dollar ROR must be translated to a yuan ROR. Local K = ((1+Home K) * (1+Local inflation rate) /(1+Home inflation rate))-1 K= 20.89 % 8/24/2017 SAPM 7
  • 8. Q.3 Should Dorothy Hampton consider recommending a target ROR of 20% for this project? Why, or why not? IRR Sensitivity: 8/24/2017 SAPM 8 Opp. Hours IRR 7884 (90%) 34% 6500 (74%) 26% 6000 (68%) 23% 5500 20% 10 15 18 20 10 23% 27% 28% 29% 15 24% 28% 30% 31% 18 25% 29% 30% 31% 20 25% 29% 31% 32% Term of USD Debt. TermofCNYDebt.
  • 9. Q.4 Will this project create value for WEI? What are the key value driver assumptions for this project? • Yes definitely this project create value for WEI, as china is one of the most growing country of world. • Key value driver: – Demand risk (Take or pay contract) – Mine mouth power plant – High ownership interest of 49% by investing only 37-45%. 8/24/2017 SAPM 9
  • 10. Q.5 Are there any qualitative concern or risk that are not captured in the valuation analysis? • Higher inflation in china may lead to high rate of coal but the charges of electricity can be controlled by Govt. and cannot be increase by more than 4%. • The entire context of contractual obligation was vastly different in China than developed countries. (Page-5). 8/24/2017 SAPM 10
  • 11. What should Hampton recommended to WEI`s board of directors regarding this project? • Hampton should recommended to WEI`s board to go for this project as the IRR in all different scenario is higher than ROR. • Also she suggest to start investment after the Shanxi Provisional Electric Power Company. • She can also suggest for the long period debt, which further increase the IRR. And reduce the risk. 8/24/2017 SAPM 11

Editor's Notes

  1.  hurdle rate is the minimum rate that a company expects to earn when investing in a project. Hence the hurdle rate is also referred to as the company's required rate of return or target rate. In order for a project to be accepted, its internal rate of return must equal or exceed the hurdle rate.
  2. Now as per the case the IRR on equity for WEI is about 23 %, Which is higher than ROR