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INDIA IS GROWING BUT NOT
DEVELOPING AS A NATION
 Tenth most Industrialized
country & the third largest
economy (PPP)
 Known strength in
software and
manufacturing
 GDP (2013): USD $4.99
trillion PPP) ~$1.67 trillion
at official exchange rate
 Exports USD 313 billion in
FY 2013-14
 Imports USD 467 billion in
FY 2013-14
 Inflation rate is 9.6% in FY
2013-14
 GDP real growth rate (2013-
14) 3.2 % vs 7.5% in 2010-
2011
 Industry production growth
now 8.5%
 Strong Equity Market.
Capitalization: ~$600 Bn
 Corporate earnings growth >
20% last three years.
 GDP composition by sector:
agriculture: 17%
industry: 25%
services: 56%
 Poverty rate: 29%;
Unemployment rate: 8.8%
India- Fact File
India: Fact File & Economic Outlook
India- Economic Outlook
Source: CIA, World factbook
GDP (US$bn)
India emerging as the third largest economy, 2050
BRIC Report
Backed by strong fundamentals – INDIA’s GDP & among Top 5 economies ( PPP )
SOURCE :
WWW.QUANT.
ASIA
India’s
GDP
Among the
top 5
economies
(PPP)
India Growth Story
The factors driving growth
• Population & demographic trends: India’s growth dividend
• Human capital
• Rising integration into global trade and investment
• Investment trends: huge potential in infrastructure
• Policy and institutional determinants of growth
• Vibrant and substantial domestic market
Is India developing as a nation???
India is growing however
Development is not there in terms of:
•Low agriculture growth
•Low quality employment growth
•Low human development
•Rural urban divides
•Gender and social inequalities
•Regional disparities
Future GDP Growth
•Currently a $1.67 trillion Economy
with a population of 1.27(2013) billion
•To sustain 9% growth & progress to a
double digit growth rate
inclusiveness of all members of
society is required.
•Recognition that inclusive growth
should be achieved to reduce
poverty & raise economic growth
India v/s INDIA
D
I
V
I
D
E
Elements of development as a Nation
Poverty Reduction &
increase in quality
and quantity of
employment
Reduction in
regional disparities
Agricultural
Development
Social Sector
Development
Protecting the
Environment
Five inter-related elements of Development
1. Poverty level more in few states - Bihar, Uttar Pradesh , MadhyaPradesh
,Orissa, Chhattisgarh & Jharkhand.
2. In state Like Maharastra , Gujarat ,Tamilnadu & Karantaka, AndhraPradesh 1/3
rd of Population living under poverty.
3. Concentrated among agricultural labourers, casual workers,Scheduled Castes
and Scheduled Tribes.
4. 70% of the poor are from rural areas.
Poverty
Source : www.equitymaster.com
• Nearly three-quarters of India’s families depend on rural incomes.
• The majority of India’s poor (some 770 million people or about 70 percent ) are
found in rural areas.
• India’s food security depends on producing cereal crops, as well as increasing its
production of fruits, vegetables and milk to meet the demands of a growing
population with rising incomes.
Ref : world bank
Issues and Priorities for Agriculture
Social Sector Development
 Malnutrition
 Lota Syndrome – Sanitation facility access
 Education & Skill
 Drinking Water Sources
 Human Development Index
 Healthcare
 Infant Mortality Rate
 Literacy
 Child labour
Regional Disparities
In general, richer states grew faster than the poorer state
Post-reform period Income inequality across the States increased & its worsening.
Benefits of economic growth have been largely confined to the better developed areas.
Paradoxically, it is the natural resource-rich areas which continue to lag behind
 Growth Rates have been lower in the poorer states.
Income : Per capita net state domestic product at current prices (2009-10) Highest Rs.77,878 in
Haryana, lowest Rs. 14,654 in Bihar , All-India Net National Income / capita- Rs. 44,345
Human Development Indicators - Female infant mortality rate -13(12) in Kerala to 72(70) in
Madhya Pradesh. Literacy rate varies from 47% in Bihar to 91 % in Kerala Source-Eco. survey 10-11
Causes Investment in physical and Technology Governance human capital 1/29/2012 29
CAUSES
Investment in
physical &
human capital
Technology Governance
Environmental Problems
It takes 1000 years for a plastic bag
to degraded : effects on ground
water & land quality
Energy generation : Mostly from coal
in India – Thermal Power
Floodwaters – Effect of climate
change ?
Deforestation : A Single tree will
absorb approx. one ton of CO2 in its
life time.
Manufacturing Industries : Steel ,
Cement , etc.
Rapid increase in vehicles using
fossil fuels.
CONCLUSION
 Development is not purely an economic phenomenon but rather a multi –
dimensional process involving reorganization and reorientation of the entire
economic and social system.
 Pollution control is fundamental and essential as to avoid long term damage to
the environment as a consequence of acid rain, green house effect and possible
Global Warming, and the threat to the ozone layer.
 The resources & the infrastructure will make it possible for the weakest Indians to
receive the benefits of economic growth.
 The Government, the public sector, private sector , NGOs , Media and civil
society has to play a active constructive role.
“ Let all people be happy,
Let all live with complete health,
Let all know what is good & what is not so good,
Let no body be subjected to troubles “
By : Aftab Siddique

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INDIA/india

  • 1. INDIA IS GROWING BUT NOT DEVELOPING AS A NATION
  • 2.  Tenth most Industrialized country & the third largest economy (PPP)  Known strength in software and manufacturing  GDP (2013): USD $4.99 trillion PPP) ~$1.67 trillion at official exchange rate  Exports USD 313 billion in FY 2013-14  Imports USD 467 billion in FY 2013-14  Inflation rate is 9.6% in FY 2013-14  GDP real growth rate (2013- 14) 3.2 % vs 7.5% in 2010- 2011  Industry production growth now 8.5%  Strong Equity Market. Capitalization: ~$600 Bn  Corporate earnings growth > 20% last three years.  GDP composition by sector: agriculture: 17% industry: 25% services: 56%  Poverty rate: 29%; Unemployment rate: 8.8% India- Fact File India: Fact File & Economic Outlook India- Economic Outlook Source: CIA, World factbook
  • 3. GDP (US$bn) India emerging as the third largest economy, 2050 BRIC Report
  • 4. Backed by strong fundamentals – INDIA’s GDP & among Top 5 economies ( PPP ) SOURCE : WWW.QUANT. ASIA India’s GDP Among the top 5 economies (PPP)
  • 5. India Growth Story The factors driving growth • Population & demographic trends: India’s growth dividend • Human capital • Rising integration into global trade and investment • Investment trends: huge potential in infrastructure • Policy and institutional determinants of growth • Vibrant and substantial domestic market
  • 6. Is India developing as a nation??? India is growing however Development is not there in terms of: •Low agriculture growth •Low quality employment growth •Low human development •Rural urban divides •Gender and social inequalities •Regional disparities Future GDP Growth •Currently a $1.67 trillion Economy with a population of 1.27(2013) billion •To sustain 9% growth & progress to a double digit growth rate inclusiveness of all members of society is required. •Recognition that inclusive growth should be achieved to reduce poverty & raise economic growth
  • 8. Elements of development as a Nation Poverty Reduction & increase in quality and quantity of employment Reduction in regional disparities Agricultural Development Social Sector Development Protecting the Environment Five inter-related elements of Development
  • 9. 1. Poverty level more in few states - Bihar, Uttar Pradesh , MadhyaPradesh ,Orissa, Chhattisgarh & Jharkhand. 2. In state Like Maharastra , Gujarat ,Tamilnadu & Karantaka, AndhraPradesh 1/3 rd of Population living under poverty. 3. Concentrated among agricultural labourers, casual workers,Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes. 4. 70% of the poor are from rural areas. Poverty Source : www.equitymaster.com
  • 10. • Nearly three-quarters of India’s families depend on rural incomes. • The majority of India’s poor (some 770 million people or about 70 percent ) are found in rural areas. • India’s food security depends on producing cereal crops, as well as increasing its production of fruits, vegetables and milk to meet the demands of a growing population with rising incomes. Ref : world bank Issues and Priorities for Agriculture
  • 11. Social Sector Development  Malnutrition  Lota Syndrome – Sanitation facility access  Education & Skill  Drinking Water Sources  Human Development Index  Healthcare  Infant Mortality Rate  Literacy  Child labour
  • 12. Regional Disparities In general, richer states grew faster than the poorer state Post-reform period Income inequality across the States increased & its worsening. Benefits of economic growth have been largely confined to the better developed areas. Paradoxically, it is the natural resource-rich areas which continue to lag behind  Growth Rates have been lower in the poorer states. Income : Per capita net state domestic product at current prices (2009-10) Highest Rs.77,878 in Haryana, lowest Rs. 14,654 in Bihar , All-India Net National Income / capita- Rs. 44,345 Human Development Indicators - Female infant mortality rate -13(12) in Kerala to 72(70) in Madhya Pradesh. Literacy rate varies from 47% in Bihar to 91 % in Kerala Source-Eco. survey 10-11 Causes Investment in physical and Technology Governance human capital 1/29/2012 29 CAUSES Investment in physical & human capital Technology Governance
  • 13. Environmental Problems It takes 1000 years for a plastic bag to degraded : effects on ground water & land quality Energy generation : Mostly from coal in India – Thermal Power Floodwaters – Effect of climate change ? Deforestation : A Single tree will absorb approx. one ton of CO2 in its life time. Manufacturing Industries : Steel , Cement , etc. Rapid increase in vehicles using fossil fuels.
  • 14. CONCLUSION  Development is not purely an economic phenomenon but rather a multi – dimensional process involving reorganization and reorientation of the entire economic and social system.  Pollution control is fundamental and essential as to avoid long term damage to the environment as a consequence of acid rain, green house effect and possible Global Warming, and the threat to the ozone layer.  The resources & the infrastructure will make it possible for the weakest Indians to receive the benefits of economic growth.  The Government, the public sector, private sector , NGOs , Media and civil society has to play a active constructive role.
  • 15. “ Let all people be happy, Let all live with complete health, Let all know what is good & what is not so good, Let no body be subjected to troubles “ By : Aftab Siddique