SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 38
Download to read offline
M O N G O L I A I N V E S T M E N T O U T L O O K
Securities
December 2011
COAL MONGOLIA
By Oscar Mendoza, COO Frontier Securities
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
About Frontier Securities
1P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Mongolia’s local investment bank with a global outreach
Frontier Securities is the first local Mongolian Securities firm with a global network and international expertise. Established by
Masa Igata in 2007, Frontier has been given full-service securities related license by the Financial Regulatory Commission (FRC)
of Mongolia. Since its establishment, Frontier‟s primary area of focus has been the cross-border investment banking business.
As a member of the Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE), Frontier has a wide network of investor contacts in Japan, Hong
Kong, China, Singapore, United Kingdom and Germany among other Asian and European countries. Frontier‟s team in
Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia supports Mongolian companies in their fund raising efforts and strives to open the doors of Mongolia to
foreign investors.
Recognized as Mongolia‟s leading research and sales house, Frontier is well known for its innovative and independent research.
Various global media outlets such as Bloomberg, Reuters, Finance Asia, The Economist and The Wall Street Journal frequently
seek the opinions of Frontier‟s top-ranked research team.
Global client base
25%
20%
15%
10%
10%
5%
5%
3%
7%
Others
Full-suite IB products offerings Annual conference
DCM & ECM
capital raising
M&A
Corporate
Restructuring
Private Equity
Financial
Advisory
Frontier has been organizing annual
conferences focusing on capital
raising and investment opportunity in
Mongolia since its establishment in
2007. Our pre-conference and post-
conference mining tours receive
favorable responses from attending
international investors. In addition, our
Expert Series, a publication of annual
conference summary, is also
distributed through international news
outlets for investor‟s reference, helping
them make informed investment
decision on Mongolian related assets.
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Executive Summary
2
 Attention to Mongolia‟s “growth story” and its investment potentials has never been higher. Amid the
ongoing financial turmoil and unprecedented volatility that put all market participants in stalemate, above-
average market returns became a distant past, and asset managers, institutional investors, and
investment bankers, alike, begin to question – “where could be the next „hot‟ investment destination?”
 Whereas financial markets around the world patiently await some miracle economic rebounds, market
sentiment declines, and investor confidence continues to hit a new low. Mongolia, on the other
hand, represents a different investment story.
 According to the World Bank‟s Quarterly Economic Update, Mongolia‟s GDP impressively grew at 17.3%
in Q2, and 20.8% in Q3 on a year-on-year basis. The year-end GDP growth is likely to reach 15%, if not
more, up from modest 6.4% in 2010. Given this growth momentum, IMF estimated that by
2012, Mongolia‟s GDP will top US$11.2 bn, and per capital GDP will reach US$3,931
 Driven primarily by mining boom and tremendous infrastructure spending in the recent years, its currently
US$6 billion economy is still relatively small in size and scope, but is expected to be the fastest-growing
economy in the world in the next 5 years.
 Elsewhere, growth and investment opportunity is obscure, whereas in Mongolia, the opportunity is
unquestionably everywhere. Although there are prevalent risks (e.g. liquidity, exchange rate, market and
political risks) associated with this overheating economy, the rising domestic demand, upward trend in
consumption and favorable economic outlook justify every investment decision to be made in this
resources-rich country.
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Agenda
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
The mining industry and major mining projects 10
Page
3
Mongolia’s economic outlook 3
Discover Mongolia‟s investment opportunities 16
Investment projects 35
 Country profile, growth prospect and GDP breakdown
 Exports statistics
 Implication of inflation and currency
 Political risk
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Mongolia: country profile1
4
Young, democratic and resources-rich country sandwiched by Russia and China
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Territory: 19th largest country - 1,565,000 km2
Population: 135th in the world
3.1 millions (July 2011 est.)
1.8 people/km2 on average
180 people/km2 in the capital, Ulaanbaatar city
Terrain: Vast semi-desert and desert plains, grassy
steppe, mountains in west and southwest; Gobi Desert
in south-central
Landlocked; strategic location between China and
Russia
Political structure: Parliamentary democracy from
1991, 2 large parties (MPP and Democratic Party)
Current Prime Minister: S. Batbold (MPP),
2008 election results: MPP 46, DP 27, others 3
Current President: Ts. Elbegdorj (nominated from DP)
in office since 2008
Next Elections: June 2012
Main Religions: Buddhist (90%), Muslim
(5%), Shamanist and Christian (5%)
Life expectancy: Men – 66 years old, Women – 71
Literacy rate: 97.8%
Currency: Tögrög (1,315₮ = US$1 as of Nov
18th, 2011)
Inflation: 11.9% (as of Sept 2011)
GDP*: US$6.24 bn (2010, IMF)
Growth rate: 20.8% yoy (Q3:2011)
Per capita GDP*: $2,267 (2010, IMF)
No capital controls, free press and internet
Source: 1) Unless stated otherwise, all economic figures are obtained from the World Bank‟s Mongolia Quarterly Update (October 2011)
Note: “GDP” and “Per capita GDP” statistics are in current prices
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Mongolia’s GDP surged 20.8% yoy in Q3:2011, and robust growth is
expected to continue
5
With OT and TT operating at full capacity, Mongolia is the fasting-growing economy in the next 5 years
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Source: IMF estimates (September 2011)
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
9 000
10 000
%MNT bn 1990 – 2016F real GDP (constant price of 2005) and GDP growth
GDP (MNT bn) % GDP growth
2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F
Mongolia %
GDP Growth
8.9% -1.3% 6.4% 11.5% 11.8% 19.3% 14.8% 9.3% 15.6%
Inception of Oyu
Tolgoi
Tavan Tolgoi at
full capacity
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
GDP breakdown by sector: 2009 vs 2010
6
While mining sector is the main driving force, emerging opportunities in other sectors exist
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Source: National Statistics Office (NSO) – Macroeconomic Statistical Indicators
Note: * Exchange rate attributes to discrepancy in GDP figures (US$ = 1,300 MNT).
 Mining sector contributes to nearly 20% of the country’s GDP composition
 Non-mining sectors, especially services industry, are also gaining momentum in the recent years
906
989
327
121
20
66
333
421
34
166
164
369
51
68
206
240
95
21
19
455
0 500 1 000 1 500
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
Mining and quarrying
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas, steam and air…
Water supply; sewerage, waste…
Construction
Wholesale and retail trade;…
Transportation and storage
Accommodation and food…
Information and communication
Financial and insurance activities
Real estate activities
Professional, scientific and…
Administrative and support…
Public administration and…
Education
Human health and social work…
Arts, entertainment and recreation
Other service activities
Net taxes on products
US$ mm
2009 GDP by sectors at current prices
US$5,070 mm*
1 010
1 385
410
153
25
82
458
517
42
201
122
394
54
77
232
266
107
24
21
771
0 500 1 000 1 500
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
Mining and quarrying
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas, steam and air…
Water supply; sewerage, waste…
Construction
Wholesale and retail trade;…
Transportation and storage
Accommodation and food…
Information and communication
Financial and insurance activities
Real estate activities
Professional, scientific and…
Administrative and support…
Public administration and…
Education
Human health and social work…
Arts, entertainment and recreation
Other service activities
Net taxes on products
US$ mm
2010 GDP by sectors at current prices
US$6,350 mm*
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Mongolian exports resume its upward trend after 2009 recession
7
Resources-driven economy of Mongolia is vulnerable to commodity prices volatility
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Source: National Development and Innovations Committee (NDIC) & National Statistics Office (NSO) – Sept 2011 Bulletin
1%
4%
26%
11%
51%
1%
2%
4%
US$3,190 mm in Mineral Exports (2011 I-X)
Refined copper &
Copper alloys
Zinc
Copper
Iron
Bituminous coal
Molybdenium
Fluor spar
Gold
1%
5%
35%
11%
35%
2%
3%
8%
US$1,837 mm in Mineral Exports (2010 I-X)
Refined copper &
Copper alloys
Zinc
Copper
Iron
Bituminous coal
Molybdenium
Fluor spar
Gold
127
1394
68 14767
2466
83 14259
3430
78 76
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
UK China Russia Canada
US$ mm
Mongolia’s major exports destinations
2009 2010 2011 (I-X)
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
US$ mm
Mining equipment and fuel imports contribute
to the surge in Mongolia’s trade deficit
Exports Imports
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Inflation and currency outlooks
8
Annualized inflation is 10.8% with upside risk
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Source: 1) IMF estimates (September 2011)
2) Bank of Mongolia, Exchange Rates Statistics
 Generalized wage and price pressures from a booming
economy, expansion in fiscal expenditures, and large
government cash handout contribute to rising inflation.
 Given the overheating economy (20%+ GDP
growth), rising policy rate measure (currently at 12.5%)
is implemented to curb price increases.
 Yet, inflation is expected to reach 13% by 2011 year-
end. Double-digit inflation is likely to prevail at least until
2013.
 BOM combats against inflationary pressure by
tightening monetary policy to ensure economic stability.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% Percentage change in average consumer prices
(2005 – 2016F)1
Annualized
inflation
1 000
1 100
1 200
1 300
1 400
1 500
1 600
1 700
2.1.2006 2.1.2007 2.1.2008 2.1.2009 2.1.2010 2.1.2011
MNT per US$ MNT vs USD (2006 – 2011)2
MNT vs
US$
MNT – 13% appreciation against US$ in 2010, the world’s second best performing currency
Upward trend in inflation
Capital inflows and exports drive MNT
 Rising domestic consumption and demand for raw
materials from industrialized countries contribute to MNT
appreciation
 In 2010, coal exports increased 2.3 times to 16.6
mm tons, and iron exports increased 2.2 times to
3.5 mm tons.
 Further mild appreciation or FX stability is expected due
to large capital inflows for major mining projects.
 With continued high real GDP growth, the real exchange
rate will have to adjust, either through nominal
appreciation or through inflation.
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Understand Mongolia’s political risk
9
Lucrative opportunities can be undermined by political uncertainty
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Updates on
Mongolia’s politics
Political
uncertainty is not
uncommon in
emerging
marketplace
 Since late September 2011, political pressure and hostile political climate became imminent
in the Mongolian government due to opposing views regarding foreign participation in OT IA.
 A “highly organized” attack by anti-coalition government, in view of the upcoming election
context, aimed to destabilize the long-standing political status quo and discredit the Coalition
government. The anti-coalition MPs orchestrated nationalistic sentiment on the highly sensitive
issue of OT project to the public, in hope for gaining more votes in the election.
 Given this vivid dynamics of Mongolian politics, minor revisions on terms and conditions of
OT and TT IAs can be expected along the way. The coalition government is, however, facing a
challenging task and dilemma in this political game.
 Anti-OT IA, anti Coalition government MPs, in mid October, submitted to the Secretary of
Administrative Office a resignation petition to the PM, alleging the government‟s failure to
implement the parliament resolution regarding OT IA.
 Regardless of anti coalition political force that elaborated a high-profile attack on the coalition
government, the authority suggested that by laws, it is impossible to have only the PM resign.
Thus, this political move is not likely to take any substantial effect on the government front.
Implication for
investors
 Ultimately, the government needs to devise a solution that satisfies all parties, while concurrently
pursuing multi-facet objectives – restoring investor confidence, wining the public opinions
in the next election, and ensuring the continuity of rigorous economic growth.
 Political shock undeniably casted a shadow and negative sentiment on the Mongolia
market, but the real economic engine is not much hindered. The rising political risk premium is
not meant to discourage foreign investment; however, investors should be more careful
about the investment timing. Political uncertainty involving OT, TT controversies is surely soon
to be stabilized
The bottom line
 The take-away lesson is, like in many other marketplaces, political risk is not avoidable, but
certainly manageable. The best investment timing is early 2012, when the political risk is
fully factored in and discounted. Choose the right timing, choose the right
portfolio, Mongolian investment definitely yields rewarding return.
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Agenda
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
The mining industry and major mining projects 10
Page
10
Mongolia‟s economic outlook 3
Discover Mongolia‟s investment opportunities 16
Investment projects 35
 Mining sector: the driving force behind Mongolia‟s growth
 Forefront on Oyu Tolgoi and Tavan Tolgoi
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
It is not possible to think of Mongolia without thinking about coal mining
11P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Key estimates
 Mongolia‟s total inferred coal resources as predicted around 152 bn tons ranking top 15 globally
 The preliminary and detailed exploration activities resulted in about 23 bn tons of coal reserves
 The proved coal reserves are 12.2 bn tons including 2 bn tons of coking coal and 10.1bn tons of
thermal coal
Source: World Bank and National Statistics Office (NSO)
16,6
20
35
55
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2010 2011F 2015F 2020F
mtpa
Coal export projection
91 113 161
306
502
895
1 048 1 035 1 005
1 407
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
US$ mm
Growth of mining GDP
CAGR = 35.6%
Major deposits in Gobi region
 Tavan Tolgoi 6.4 bn tons
 Thermal coal 4.6 bn tons
 Coking coal 1.8 bn tons
 Ukhaa Khudag (MMC)
 499.9 mm tons of measured resources
 286 mm tons proven and probably reserves
 Nariin suhait (MAK)
 identified 250 mn tons of bituminous
 Ovoot Tolgoi (SouthGobi)
 Extension of Nariin Suhait
 Indicated reserve 150 mn tons
Highlights: Mongolian coal reserves
 Coal: 9thlargest in the world with 20 billion tons of coal, 7
– 8 billions tons of which is high CV thermal and coking
coal with values in excess of US$100/ton
 100 billion tons of lignite which could be readily exported
as power (US$500 bn)
 2010 coal exports 16.6 mtpa worth US$877 mm
 2011 YTD 11.7 mt worth US$1.16 bn
 2011F by Frontier Securities 20 mtpa worth US$1.97 bn
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Mineral assets’ geographical locations: an ultimate blessing
12P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Mining sector is the driving force of resources-rich Mongolia
Coking coal Bituminous coal Sub-bituminous coal Lignite
Most developments located hereMost mining developments are located in South Gobi area
Source: The Mineral Resources Authority of Mongolia (MRAM)
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Major coal mining projects in Mongolia
13P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Khushuut
Resource: 149.2 mt
2011 mining plan:
0.5mt
Ownership: MonEnCo
Zeegt, Shine Jinst
Resource: 93+ 229 mt
Ownership: Gobi coal
& Energy
Ovoot Tolgoi, Soumber
Reserve: 114mt
Resource: 360 mt
2011 mining plan: 4 mt
Ownership:
SouthGobiSands
Nariin Sukhait
Resource: 220 mt
2011 mining plan: 9 mt
Ownership: MAC and
MAC/QH
Baruun Naran
Resource: 253 mt
2011 mining plan: 1mt
Ownership: QGX
Ukhaa Khudag
Reserve: 288 mt
Resource: 578 mt
2011 mining plan: 7mt
Ownership: Energy Res
CHPP: 5 mt 2Q.2011, 5 mt 3Q.2011
Small TT
Resource: 20 mt
2011 mining plan: 3 mt
Ownership: TT JSC
Big TT
Resource: 6.4 bt
2011 mining plan: 1 mt
Ownership: Erdenes MGL
Ovoot
Resource: 330.7 mt
Ownership: Aspire Min
Ulaan Ovoo, Chandgana
Resource: 209 mt + 1.2 bt
2012 mining plan: 1 mt
Ownership: Prophecy Coal
Shivee Ovoo
Resource: 2.8 bt
Ownership: Shine
Shivee, Shivee
Ovoo, Erdenes MGL
Baganuur
Resource: 600 mt
Ownership: State owned co.
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Tavan Tolgoi
14P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
The world’s second largest coalfield is set to be privatized by Q1: 2012
Total reserve: 6.4 billion tons
Full capacity: expected to be reached by 2016
Estimated CapEx: US$2.4 billion
 New workplaces, railroad, power supply
Current ownership: 100% Govt (SOE Erdenes TT)
2 blocks with separate governance structures
 Western block: license owned by
Erdenes, production rights and development
costs to bidders
 2 preliminary winners: China's Shenhua
(40%), Peabody Energy (24%) and a Russian-
Mongolian consortium (36%) (as of November
2011, the final decision is still pending at
GOM).
 Eastern block: owned and operated by Erdenes
MGL through contract mining firms
ETT IPO is expected to launch by Q1: 2012
Global coordinator: Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank
Joint bookrunner: Macquarie, BNP Paribas
Erdenes TT‟s Easter block ownership rights:
- 51% owned by Mongolian Government
- 10% of shares to the Mongolian citizens
- 10% own by national enterprises
- 29% to IPO on foreign exchange
Thermal
coal
2.4 bt
Amenable
to coke
production
2.2 bt
Self-coking
coal
1.8 bt
Source: Sum of various companies‟ projections
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Coal Production Projection
Others TT
Breakdown of TT coal reserves
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Coal Production Projection
Others TT
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Oyu Tolgoi (66% owned by Ivanhoe Mines)
15P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Source: Ivanhoe Mines IDP-10 & Frontier Securities‟s projections
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1
1,2
Ounces(Millions)
OT Gold Production Projection
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Lbs.(Millions)
OT Copper Production Projection
Total Reserve: 81 billion lbs. of copper, 46 million oz of gold
Expected production: 2013
Projected investment: US$4.6 billion in pre-production capital
NPV at today’s metal prices: US$15 billion
Benefits/contribution to Mongolian economy:
 average 34% increase in real GDP over 30 years
 average 71.6% increase in export
 average 10.3% increase in employment
 up to 48 thousand new workplaces over the project life
time
Oyu Tolgoi Investment Agreement
(In full legal effect since March 2010)
 Integrated Development Plan is released
 Stabilized custom regime
 Abolishment of Windfall tax
 Government ownership 34%
 Private investment in auto roads
 Loss rollover period of 4-8 years
 Stabilized tax regime
 95% Mongolian employees
OT has the mineral resources to become one of the world’s top 3 copper-gold producers
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Agenda
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
The mining industry and major mining projects 10
Page
16
Mongolia‟s economic outlook 3
Discover Mongolia’s investment opportunities 16
Conclusion 35
 Overview of Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE)
 Recent developments of the MSE: LSE partnership and SML
 MSE‟s investment idea: Case study of Remicon JSC
 Beyond the MSE: Foreign-listed equities with Mongolian assets
 Opportunities in non-mining sectors
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
MSE: the world’s best performing stock market in 2010
17P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
5-year trend of MSE performance is promising1
5-year Compounded Annual Growth Rate = 63.6%
138% gain in 2010
Source: 1) http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/MSETOP:IND/chart (accessed November 20th, 2011)
87%
136%
446%
-28%
21%
128%
116%
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
MSE Market Cap
Market Cap (billion MNT)
% Change (from Previous period)
MSE still encounters a number of obstacles
that undermine investor confidence and
further expansion, including
 Lack of liquidity
 Under-developed legal and technology
infrastructure
 Weak corporate governance
 Misuse of insider information
 Inadequate transparency
 Regulatory uncertainty
Despite impressive growth, key challenges to development lie ahead
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
336 MSE-listed companies account for slightly over US$1 billion in
market cap
18P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Source: Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE)
Well- diversified portfolio of MSE TOP-101
19,1
19,4
30,6
33,8
50,7
101,5
179,7
245,8
249,7
457,1
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Mogoin Gol
Aduunchuluun
Gobi
BDSec
Mongolian Telecom
Sharyn Gol
APU
Shivee Ovoo
Baganuur
Tavan Tolgoi
US$ mm
MSE TOP-10 market capitalization
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
MSE reforms in strategic partnership with London Stock Exchange
19P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Source: NDIC, Eurasia Capital, Research Note (January 19, 2011)
Under the agreement LSE will collaborate with the SPC in a number of areas, including:
 LSE has appointed a management team at the MSE to oversee its development and privatization.
 LSE‟s Millennium IT, the leading global exchange technology provider, will provide trading, surveillance
and post trading infrastructure to the MSE.
 Using the LSE Academy, both parties will conduct a comprehensive training program on capital
markets infrastructure and legislative framework for MSE officers, clients and officers of the Mongolia
Financial Regulatory Commission.
 LSE will advise the MSE on the modernization of market rules, procedures, structure and operation at
the MSE.
 LSE will provide assistance in the broadening of tradable asset classes at the MSE, to derivatives and
ETFs.
 LSE will work to implement an international standard Mongolian market index.
Win-win partnership
World-class trading
and surveillance
infrastructure
Better distribution
channel for
Mongolian issuers
and international
investors
Leverage on
experienced
management
capability
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Implication of MSE-LSE partnership: international IPOs and dual listing of
Mongolian SOE privatizations
20P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Source: Citigroup (Framework) & NDIC (Masterplan: Action Plans)
 National Program of
Corporate Governance
 Amendments to the Company
Law
 Integrate mandatory
permits, and reduce number of
permits
 Protect Investors
 New Banking Law
 Government actions to bailout
strategic banks
 Deposit guarantee
 Freedom of Expression exists
 Media are independent, but
controlled by private interests
Successful
Privatization
Environment
 Stock Market Law
 Independent Information
Database
 Stock Market privatization
plan
 Government Bonds to be sold
in international markets
 Master plan to develop border
port
 Foreign Trade Clearance
FrameworksTransparencyMarketEfficiency
Well-resourced and
Independent Media
Competitive Independent, &
Transparent Banking System
Efficient & Transparent Legal
Framework
Effective Standards of
Corporate Governance
Efficient Stock Exchanges Competitive Capital & Output
Markets
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
The latest Securities Market Law’s (SML) review is aimed to tackle various
challenges hindering the development of MSE
21P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Source: Mongolian Stock Exchange (September 5, 2011)
Government of Mongolia, MSE and FRC implement a number of reform measures to nurture a sustainable
development of the country’s capital market.
Latest SML’s
reform
Improved Listing Rules:
More clarified terms and
definitions:
More strict requirements and
emphasis on disclosure and
transparency:
Promoted market activities
and transactions:
- Incorporated parts of Official Listing
Rules from UK‟s Financial Services
Act;
- Set up listing and prospectus
requirements;
- Clarified where a prospectus is
needed, and where it is not
- Adoption of international
standard, where feasible;
- More clarified definitions of various
Securities Market terms
- More descriptive Broker, Dealer and
Underwriter responsibilities;
- Introduced the concept of Beneficial
Ownership, Trustees and Custodians;
- Clearer definition of the law‟s
objectives
- Amended statements that would
have placed excessive liability on
Professionals;
- Removed text that are unnecessarily
too prescriptive and onerous;
- Added definitions and procedures
related to Depository Receipts
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Our MSE’s top stock pick: Remicon JSC
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
22
REMICON JSC
 Founded in January 2008 as a
subsidiary of HERA HOLDING
 Listed on MSE in May 2008
 In early 2011, RMC joined the
MSE TOP 20 index
 One of the largest concrete
producers in Mongolia
 Stock performance: 126% gain
YTD
 EPS: 240 MNT (2011A), 301 MNT
(2012F), 594 MNT (2013F)
Snapshot
Ownership Structure
Financial Highlights*
 Share price: 192 MNT (as of
Dec 6, 2011)
 Historical high: 195 MNT
 52-wk range: 50 – 163 MNT
 YTD performance: 104.2%
 Mkt cap: US$9.2 mm
(11.6 MNT bn)
 Avg daily turnover: US$6,852
 Free float: 16%
 Gross margin (2012F): 45%
 EBITDA margin (2011A): 24%
Note: * Unless indicated otherwise, US$1 = 1,240 MNT throughout this presentation
P.Byambasuren
3% Frontier
12%
Hera Holding
6%
Gaul
11%
Remicon JSC
21%
Kh.Gankhuyag
24%
D.Saranchuluun
7%
Other
shareholder
16%
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Remicon JSC, market leader in the cement industry
23P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Post-FPO production prospect
 The investment will be used for new cement plant:
 The plant will be located in the Dornogovi province
which is 350 km east from Ulaanbaatar.
 Capacity is maximum 900 ton cement a day.;
 Production will start in 2012 with 75 %of the total
capacity.;
 Further production capacity will be enhanced and
in 2016 the plant will be in full capacity;
 Plant will be in operation 7 months a year.
A top cement manufacturer offers US$10 mm FPO for
cement plant construction
 Will be the largest supplier of concrete/cement in
Mongolia in 2011;
 Listed in 2008 with current US$8 mm market cap, and
net income will be close to US$1 mm by end of 2011;
 Production has increased more than 12 times since
2009 to date;
 The Mongolian construction industry is growing
rapidly, and the demand of concrete is high;
 The FPO prospectus will be submitted to the FRC by
end of July 2011;
Company overview Cement market
111,9
140,8
179,8
269,3
110,8
166
222,9
396,3
214,8
303,3
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Дотоод ИмпортDomestic Imported
Use of proceeds
Cement production vs imports (’000 tons)
14%
10%
64%
4%
0.2%
7.8%
Purcahse of land and
limestone deposit
Building
Machinery &
equipment
Vehicles
Office furniture
Working capital
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Follow-on Public Offering of Remicon
24
FPO overview
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Securities type: Common stock
Nominal value: 100 MNT
Offering price: 190 – 238 MNT
Total number:
39,460,000 shares (with 15% Over-
allotment Options)
Total capital raised:
7,497,400,000 - 9,391,480,000 MNT
(approx. US$6.0 - US$7.6 mm)
Use of proceeds:
Construction of a new cement
manufacturing plant
Placement:
Private placement and book-building
for institutional investors
Underwriter: Frontier Securities
Registration and
settlement:
Mongolian Securities Clearing House
and Central Depository
Executive summary FPO timeline
Total number of
shares
outstanding
Number of
existing shares
New issues
through FPO
 118,139,464 shares (100%)
 39,460,000 shares
(33.4%)
 78,679,464 shares
(66.6%)
Change in
shareholding
structure
August 2011
October 2011
September 2011
November 2011
 Prospectus submission
 Regulatory approval
 Shareholder meeting within 30 days
following the announcement
 Issue Opening and Closing dates in
early October
 Determination of Offer price
 FPO report submission to MSE and
PRC
 Announcement of RMC shareholder
meeting
 MSE registration procedure
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
The financials justify investment rationale
25P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Cash flow from operating
activities
2013-2017 Euro,
1750₮
Dollar,
1200₮2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total
Total Revenue 14,175,000 17,350,200 17,697,204 18,051,148 18,412,171 85,685,723 48,963 71,404
Returns of goods sold 70,875 86,751 88,486 90,255 92,060 428,428 244 357
VАТ(10%) 1,288,636 1,577,290 1,608,836 1,641,013 1,673,833 7,789,611 4,451 6,491
Net Revenue (1-2-3) 12,815,488 15,686,158 15,999,881 16,319,878 16,646,276 77,467,683 44,267 64,556
Cost of goods sold 7,494,920 8,448,079 8,658,174 8,778,394 9,095,556 42,475,125 24,271 35,395
Gross profit (4-5) 5,320,568 7,238,078 7,341,706 7,541,484 7,550,719 34,992,557 19,995 29,160
Total operating expenses 1,121,450 1,125,189 1,146,563 1,150,549 1,155,137 5,698,891 3,256 4,749
Operating income (6-7) 4,199,117 6,112,889 6,195,142 6,390,935 6,395,581 29,293,666 16,739 24,411
Income before taxes 3,319,677 5,233,448 5,315,702 5,511,494 5,516,141 24,896,463 14,226 20,747
Income taxes, 10% 331,967 523,344 531,570 551,149 551,614 2,489,646 1.422 2,074
Net income 2,987,709 4,710,103 4,784,131 4,960,345 4,964,526 22,406,817 12,803 18,672
Growing
productivity
Lowing cost
Improving margin
2013 – 2017 Valuation
FPO
US$71.4 in revenue
US$18.7 in net profit
2.03 year payback period
2013 – 2017 cash flow projection
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Investment opportunities beyond the MSE
26P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Foreign-listed equities with Mongolian assets and operations
Company Market Market Cap (US$)*
Ivanhoe Mines TSX/ NYSE 14.1 bn (NYSE)
Centerra Gold Inc. TSX / Frankfurt 4.7 bn (TSX)
Mongolian Mining Corp HKEx 3.0 bn
SouthGobi Energy Resources TSX/ HKEx 1.3 bn (HKEx)
Mongolia Energy Corp. HKEx 0.7 bn
Petro Matad LSX 63 mm
Prophecy Coal Corp TSX 137 mm
Mongolia Growth Group CNSX 10 mm
Some of the world‟s largest mining
companies own strategic assets in
Mongolia. This investment inflow
represents a tremendous growth for
the overall economy, and wealth of the
nation. The next slides highlight
mining majors that Frontier has
established relationship with.
Note: Market cap data as of November 21, 2011
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Foreign-listed equity: Prophecy Coal Corporation
27P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Subsidiary status of NKL leads to
mispricing of PCY.
 PCY has market cap (as of
September 7, 2011) of C$131.3 mm,
and owns 43.7% of Prophecy
Platinum Corp (TSX-V: NKL),
 NKL’s recent groundbreaking gain
(5d, 36.9%, 1m, +92.26%, 3m,
+419%) is due to its discovery of 1.04
mm oz PGM+Gold1 INDICATED and
10.97 mm oz PGM+Gold INFERRED
for the Wellgreen Project, Canada
PCY and NKL
Note: 1) “PGM+Gold” refers to platinum group metals and gold
Undervaluation
C$131.3 mm Mongolian assets of PCY
are valued as low as C$25 mm.
 NKL‟s market cap is C$242.9 mm (as
of September 7, 2011).
 If PCY‟s market cap is deducted by its
43.7% ownership of NKL, it thus can
be concluded that all Mongolian
assets of PCY are valued at only
C$25 mm i.e. C$131.3 mm subtracted
by 43.7% of C$242.9 mm.
 This analysis implies that PCY is
tremendously UNDERVALUED.
Strong BUY
recommendation
PCY undervalued with respect to
rising market cap of NKL, mispricing
since July 2011 onwards – PCY
+12.11% vs NKL +419.08%
 Other development updates on PCY‟s
business fundamentals include coal
sales agreements 92,000 tons with
Mongolian and Russian buyers, as
well as progress on establishment of
Ulaan Ovoo deposit
NKL’s Wellgreen announcement
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Foreign-listed equity: Ivanhoe Mines
28P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. is a mining company focused on the
development of its discoveries in the Asia-Pacific
Region.
Core assets are composed of:
 66% interest in the Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold mine
development project in Southern Mongolia;
 57% interest in Mongolian coal miner SouthGobi
Resources (SGQ: TSX, 1878:HK);
 50% interest in Altynalmas Gold Ltd. to develop the
Kyzyl Gold Project in Kazakhstan;
 62% interest in Ivanhoe Australia (IVA:ASX, TSX).
Key developments on the Oyu Tolgoi deposit:
 30-year investment agreement signed with government: will insure
stabilized tax rates and regulatory provisions for the construction
and operation of the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold mining complex;
 Oyu Tolgoi to contain approximately 81 billion pounds of copper
and 46 million ounces of gold in measured, indicated and inferred
resources;
 $2bn invested over the last 4 years & $4.5bn budgeted over the
next 3 years for completion of first phase;
 Production to be ramped up to 450,000t of copper and 330,000
ounces of gold annually within 5 years from the expected initial
production date in 2013.
42%
16%
6%
5%2%
2%
27%
Shareholders' structure
Rio Tinto Plc
Friedland
Fidelity
Caisse De Depot Et
Placement Du Quebec
Goldman Sachs
Artio Global
Management, LLC
Others
Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/IVN:CN/chart
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Foreign-listed equity: SouthGobi Resources
29P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
SouthGobi Resources is a premium coal
production and development company focused
on exploration and development of its
Permian-age metallurgical and thermal coal
deposits in Mongolia's South Gobi Region to
supply a wide range of coal products to
markets in Asia.
SouthGobi owns three significant coal projects
in Mongolia: a producing mine, the Ovoot
Tolgoi Mine; and two development projects, the
Soumber Deposit and the Ovoot Tolgoi
Underground Deposit. In addition, SouthGobi
holds mineral exploration licenses in Mongolia.
Key data on the Oyoot Khural basin:
• *Permian-age coal bearing basin only 40 km from
China
• *Rail infrastructure and coal loader constructed by
Chinese to access
SouthGobi's leadership in the Ovoot Khural Basin:
• *Substantially covered by SouthGobi's exclusive
mining and exploration licences
• *89% of SouthGobi's resources located there
• *Operating infrastructure in place
57%
14%
29%
Shareholder structure as of May 1st, 2011
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd
China Investment Corp
Other public float
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Foreign-listed equity: Mongolian Mining Corporation
30P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
MMC is the first Mongolian company which
has carried out a global equity offering at Hong
Kong Stock Exchange with a total of 719.42
million shares at range of HK$ 10.92 per share
on February 8th , 2011.
.
• The company currently has 499.9 million tonnes of
measured and indicated resources and 286 million
tonnes of proven and probable reserves measured by
JORC standards. MMC received 30 years of mining
rights for the UHG deposit and MV11952 license
covers 2960 hectares, which could also be extended
twice every twenty years.
• MMC‟s Ukhaa Khudag (UHG) open pit coking coal
mine is located 240km away from the Mongolia-
Chinese border at Gashuun Sukhait where it will
further transport coking coal to high end users of
China at a comparably lower price.
• Company highlights fact that it is a low cost
producer.
Projected Production
46%
12%
5%
3%
8%
6%
20%
Corporate Structure of MMC
MCS Mining Group Limited
Petrovis Resources Inc.
Shunkhlai Mining LLC
EBRD
Kerry Mining
Ancora Investment No 2
Limited
Public
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Various types of investment assets in frontier market
31P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Investment
opportunities
in Mongolia
DCM
ECM
JVs /
Strategic
Investment
Private
Equity
Mongolia-based assets across different key industries provide investment products for different capital
requirement, investment mandates and risk / return profiles.
Mongolia’s investment opportunities
 Unprecedented economic growth with
vast natural resources
 Access to a wide range of investment
products
 Diversification and risk mitigation
 Developing legal and financial
infrastructure (i.e. capital markets)
 Prevailing growth opportunity in other
sectors
 Investor-friendly environment
 Flexible arrangement (in case of JV, PE
and strategic investment)
Mongolia-based assets represent future growth and attractive investment return
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Government policies support and justify “hot” investment opportunities
in non-mining businesses
32P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Favorable policies for non-mining
The government wants to ensure that other backbone industries are developing
Policy-making and
implementation by
the Government
 The economy does not over-rely
on mining to prevent “resources
course.” “Extractive economy” is not
sustainable, as resources will be
eventually depleted.
 Development of financial and
legal frameworks continues – for
example. MSE reform, revision of
Securities Markets Law etc.
 Liberalization policies promoting
fair competition and
transparency, favorable regulatory
landscape, tax benefits and other
incentives are put in place to
encourage investment..
 Infrastructure improvement (e.g.
transportation, utilities, telecommunic
ations etc.) is facilitated by
participation from private sector, for
example, via PPP platform.
Investment justification
“Hot”
investment
opportunities in
non-mining
sectors
Growing
population and
consumption
needs
Higher living
standard, prom
ising economic
growth
More
purchasing
power /
disposable
income
Favorable
external
factors (low
competition,
supporting gov
policies etc.)
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Opportunities beyond the mining sector, changing momentum in the
GDP composition
33P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
555
1 217
1 057
317
812
1 918
2 461
911
0 1 000 2 000 3 000
Agriculture
Industry, Co
nstruction
Services
Net taxes on
product
US$ mm
GDP growth by sector – 2006 vs 2011F
2011F
2006
Percentage growth
(2006 vs 2011F)
Agriculture 46.3%
Industry, Construction 57.6%
Services 132.8%
Net taxes on products 187.9%
Source: National Statistics Office (NSO) – Sept 2011 Bulletin,
Rapid growth in mining results in consumption needs and development in non-mining industries
Growth in
mining
Development needs
of non-mining
industries
Rising consumption
needs
Non-mining
investment
opportunities
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
 Establishment of industrial
“cluster zones,” encompassing
various industries –
manufacturing, mining, metallur
gy, power/energy, petrochemical
, research & development etc.
in one strategic location
 US$10 bn is needed for the
facility construction and
infrastructure development
 US$2.5 bn is needed for
construction of rail transport
infrastructure to seaports
 US$7.3 bn is required for a
complete infrastructure
development of TT mind
site, including power
generating, energy
supplies, property development
etc
Development of non-mining sectors and emerging opportunities outside mining
34
Case study 1: Tavan Tolgoi mining site
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Case study 2: Sainshand industrial complex
HOT investment
opportunities in
non-mining
 More purchasing power,
disposable income, better
living standard
 Growing domestic industries
 Retail, manufacturing,
healthcare, real estate,
education, infrastructure, hospi
tality etc.
Rising consumption
needs
Development of non-
mining industries
 Non-mining investment
potential is real and
realizable
Fast-growing
mining
sector
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Agenda
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
The mining industry and major mining projects 10
Page
35
Mongolia‟s economic outlook 3
Discover Mongolia‟s investment opportunities 16
Investment projects 35
 Examples of investment ideas
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
In Mongolia, investment opportunities lie in a broad range of asset class
36P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Asset description Investment type Industry Investment description
APIP
Project-based
investment
Real estate, cement,
finance and natural
resources
Diversified investment opportunities
FeOre IPO on ASX Mining (Iron)
AU$35 mm at 25 cent per share,
representing, 19.4% of the company
Lucky Strike
Equity (TSX-V: LKY,
OTCQX: LKYSF,
Frankfurt: LR2)
Coal mining Equity investment
Remicon JSC Equity (MSE: RMC) Cement manufacturing
US$ 6.0 mm – 7.6 mm investment
in FPO
Prophecy Coal Equity (TSX-V: PCY) Coal mining
Equity investment in Prophecy and
its subsidiaries (PCY / NKL)
Gobi Coal Pre-IPO financing Coal mining
US$ 20 mm – 30 mm in private
placement
YokozunaNET PE Internet provider US$ 3 mm in private placement
Mongolia Growth Group Equity (CNSX: YAK)
Insurance, asset
management, real
estate
Mongolia-focused property
development and diversified
financial services investment
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
Disclaimer
P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L
Information in this presentation does not constitute invitation or application or investment advice or service provision
for sale and purchase of any stock, future, option or other financial product by Frontier Securities and its related
company. This presentation is not the recommendation to make a specific trade and guarantee for a specific product
whether it is appropriate or adequate for buyers. Also, although this presentation is prepared from the various
information sources we deem reliable, we shall not guarantee their accuracies and rightness. Moreover, past
performances do not suggest or guarantee for the future results. Thus, the Company shall not take responsibility for
the loss out of the decision based on its content. When making a contract on trades using the information in this
presentation, please consult with your business advisor, lawyer, tax & accounting advisor about investment product
prices, compatibility, value or other items beforehand. Information and services in this presentation and its provision or
usage shall not contradict to the applied laws and work guidelines or regulations of self regulating organization or shall
not be provided in the legal frame which does not admit such information and its provision; in the legal frame natural
person or legal body shall not use those information and service. Some of the products and services in this
presentation may not be applied for all the legal frames or not all customers may not use. Also, the Company may
change or delete information or others items in this presentation without previous notice.
Contact:
Frontier Securities
Email: STAFF@frontier.mn
Tel: +976-70119999
Address: #705, Blue Sky Tower
Peace Avenue 17, 1st khoroo
Sukhbaatar, District,
Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
MONGOLIAINVESTMENTSUMMIT2011

More Related Content

What's hot

The positive impact of fdi in many sectors of the economy that Kosovo but not...
The positive impact of fdi in many sectors of the economy that Kosovo but not...The positive impact of fdi in many sectors of the economy that Kosovo but not...
The positive impact of fdi in many sectors of the economy that Kosovo but not...nakije.kida
 
OECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentation
OECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentationOECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentation
OECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentationOECD, Economics Department
 
Chinese Economic Slowdown
Chinese Economic SlowdownChinese Economic Slowdown
Chinese Economic SlowdownAnurag Gupta
 
Cardiac arrest or dizzy spell why is world trade so weak what can policy do a...
Cardiac arrest or dizzy spell why is world trade so weak what can policy do a...Cardiac arrest or dizzy spell why is world trade so weak what can policy do a...
Cardiac arrest or dizzy spell why is world trade so weak what can policy do a...OECD, Economics Department
 
China slowdown impact on key economies
China slowdown impact on key economiesChina slowdown impact on key economies
China slowdown impact on key economiesAranca
 
Session 2 tanaka trade and investment in cambodia
Session 2 tanaka trade and investment in cambodiaSession 2 tanaka trade and investment in cambodia
Session 2 tanaka trade and investment in cambodiantuperc
 
Impact of Chinese slowdown on India and the World
Impact of Chinese slowdown on India and the WorldImpact of Chinese slowdown on India and the World
Impact of Chinese slowdown on India and the WorldPriyanka Banerjee
 
EIBTM 2013 Trends Watch Report by Rob Davidson
EIBTM 2013 Trends Watch Report by Rob DavidsonEIBTM 2013 Trends Watch Report by Rob Davidson
EIBTM 2013 Trends Watch Report by Rob DavidsonRaúl Sánchez Tarí
 
Dr. Alejandro Diaz Bautista Conference FDI Mexico United States September 2009
Dr. Alejandro Diaz Bautista Conference FDI Mexico United States September 2009Dr. Alejandro Diaz Bautista Conference FDI Mexico United States September 2009
Dr. Alejandro Diaz Bautista Conference FDI Mexico United States September 2009Economist
 
Investment attraction and innovation policy, combine to create a favorable bu...
Investment attraction and innovation policy, combine to create a favorable bu...Investment attraction and innovation policy, combine to create a favorable bu...
Investment attraction and innovation policy, combine to create a favorable bu...cgrowth
 
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
ECC142 Project Report - UK exports - Oliver Wright B219609
ECC142 Project Report - UK exports - Oliver Wright B219609ECC142 Project Report - UK exports - Oliver Wright B219609
ECC142 Project Report - UK exports - Oliver Wright B219609Oliver Wright
 
Winter is coming (1) (2)
Winter is coming (1) (2)Winter is coming (1) (2)
Winter is coming (1) (2)Davin Appanah
 
Diaz bautistacrecimientocomerciotlcan2010
Diaz bautistacrecimientocomerciotlcan2010Diaz bautistacrecimientocomerciotlcan2010
Diaz bautistacrecimientocomerciotlcan2010Alex AG
 

What's hot (17)

The positive impact of fdi in many sectors of the economy that Kosovo but not...
The positive impact of fdi in many sectors of the economy that Kosovo but not...The positive impact of fdi in many sectors of the economy that Kosovo but not...
The positive impact of fdi in many sectors of the economy that Kosovo but not...
 
OECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentation
OECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentationOECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentation
OECD Global Interim Economic Outlook February 2016 presentation
 
Chinese Economic Slowdown
Chinese Economic SlowdownChinese Economic Slowdown
Chinese Economic Slowdown
 
Cardiac arrest or dizzy spell why is world trade so weak what can policy do a...
Cardiac arrest or dizzy spell why is world trade so weak what can policy do a...Cardiac arrest or dizzy spell why is world trade so weak what can policy do a...
Cardiac arrest or dizzy spell why is world trade so weak what can policy do a...
 
China slowdown impact on key economies
China slowdown impact on key economiesChina slowdown impact on key economies
China slowdown impact on key economies
 
Putting the-euro-area-on-a-road-to-recovery
Putting the-euro-area-on-a-road-to-recoveryPutting the-euro-area-on-a-road-to-recovery
Putting the-euro-area-on-a-road-to-recovery
 
Session 2 tanaka trade and investment in cambodia
Session 2 tanaka trade and investment in cambodiaSession 2 tanaka trade and investment in cambodia
Session 2 tanaka trade and investment in cambodia
 
Impact of Chinese slowdown on India and the World
Impact of Chinese slowdown on India and the WorldImpact of Chinese slowdown on India and the World
Impact of Chinese slowdown on India and the World
 
Trade & development report 2013overview en
Trade & development report 2013overview enTrade & development report 2013overview en
Trade & development report 2013overview en
 
CASE Network Studies and Analyses 205 - Moldova in 1995 - 1999: Macroeconomic...
CASE Network Studies and Analyses 205 - Moldova in 1995 - 1999: Macroeconomic...CASE Network Studies and Analyses 205 - Moldova in 1995 - 1999: Macroeconomic...
CASE Network Studies and Analyses 205 - Moldova in 1995 - 1999: Macroeconomic...
 
EIBTM 2013 Trends Watch Report by Rob Davidson
EIBTM 2013 Trends Watch Report by Rob DavidsonEIBTM 2013 Trends Watch Report by Rob Davidson
EIBTM 2013 Trends Watch Report by Rob Davidson
 
Dr. Alejandro Diaz Bautista Conference FDI Mexico United States September 2009
Dr. Alejandro Diaz Bautista Conference FDI Mexico United States September 2009Dr. Alejandro Diaz Bautista Conference FDI Mexico United States September 2009
Dr. Alejandro Diaz Bautista Conference FDI Mexico United States September 2009
 
Investment attraction and innovation policy, combine to create a favorable bu...
Investment attraction and innovation policy, combine to create a favorable bu...Investment attraction and innovation policy, combine to create a favorable bu...
Investment attraction and innovation policy, combine to create a favorable bu...
 
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...
02.05.2014 To what extent has Mongolia retained its previously high levels of...
 
ECC142 Project Report - UK exports - Oliver Wright B219609
ECC142 Project Report - UK exports - Oliver Wright B219609ECC142 Project Report - UK exports - Oliver Wright B219609
ECC142 Project Report - UK exports - Oliver Wright B219609
 
Winter is coming (1) (2)
Winter is coming (1) (2)Winter is coming (1) (2)
Winter is coming (1) (2)
 
Diaz bautistacrecimientocomerciotlcan2010
Diaz bautistacrecimientocomerciotlcan2010Diaz bautistacrecimientocomerciotlcan2010
Diaz bautistacrecimientocomerciotlcan2010
 

Viewers also liked

23.04.2015, English language institute program update, Enkhtsetseg Ganbold
23.04.2015, English language institute program update, Enkhtsetseg Ganbold23.04.2015, English language institute program update, Enkhtsetseg Ganbold
23.04.2015, English language institute program update, Enkhtsetseg GanboldThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
Procurement Article
Procurement ArticleProcurement Article
Procurement ArticleJohn Baglivi
 
The Beginners Guide to Peach
The Beginners Guide to PeachThe Beginners Guide to Peach
The Beginners Guide to PeachSaba Sedighi
 
08.05.2013 Draft National Policy of Minerals Development, Bayar B. & Algaa O.
08.05.2013 Draft National Policy of Minerals Development, Bayar B. & Algaa O.08.05.2013 Draft National Policy of Minerals Development, Bayar B. & Algaa O.
08.05.2013 Draft National Policy of Minerals Development, Bayar B. & Algaa O.The Business Council of Mongolia
 
17.04.2013 Developing Mongolia’s capital markets how will the role of the gov...
17.04.2013 Developing Mongolia’s capital markets how will the role of the gov...17.04.2013 Developing Mongolia’s capital markets how will the role of the gov...
17.04.2013 Developing Mongolia’s capital markets how will the role of the gov...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
23.07.2012 Preliminary estimates of the staggering costs of inefficient trade...
23.07.2012 Preliminary estimates of the staggering costs of inefficient trade...23.07.2012 Preliminary estimates of the staggering costs of inefficient trade...
23.07.2012 Preliminary estimates of the staggering costs of inefficient trade...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
How to Lead the People Side of Your Business
How to Lead the People Side of Your BusinessHow to Lead the People Side of Your Business
How to Lead the People Side of Your BusinessTodd Averett
 
03.11.2011 Cluster development in Mongolian mining sector, Mr Jim Dwyer
03.11.2011 Cluster development in Mongolian mining sector, Mr Jim Dwyer03.11.2011 Cluster development in Mongolian mining sector, Mr Jim Dwyer
03.11.2011 Cluster development in Mongolian mining sector, Mr Jim DwyerThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
08.09.2011 Business risks in mining & metals 2011/12, Uyanga Mandal
08.09.2011 Business risks in mining & metals 2011/12, Uyanga Mandal08.09.2011 Business risks in mining & metals 2011/12, Uyanga Mandal
08.09.2011 Business risks in mining & metals 2011/12, Uyanga MandalThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
Réactif et interactif Conception Web
Réactif et interactif Conception WebRéactif et interactif Conception Web
Réactif et interactif Conception WebStabl Web
 
19.11.2013 Outlining government policies and long term plans for Mongolia’s m...
19.11.2013 Outlining government policies and long term plans for Mongolia’s m...19.11.2013 Outlining government policies and long term plans for Mongolia’s m...
19.11.2013 Outlining government policies and long term plans for Mongolia’s m...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
02.05.2014 Spotlight presentations a chance to showcase your services and pr...
02.05.2014 Spotlight presentations  a chance to showcase your services and pr...02.05.2014 Spotlight presentations  a chance to showcase your services and pr...
02.05.2014 Spotlight presentations a chance to showcase your services and pr...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
11.16-17.2015, PRESENTATION, The new equilibrium- reforms to sustainable grow...
11.16-17.2015, PRESENTATION, The new equilibrium- reforms to sustainable grow...11.16-17.2015, PRESENTATION, The new equilibrium- reforms to sustainable grow...
11.16-17.2015, PRESENTATION, The new equilibrium- reforms to sustainable grow...The Business Council of Mongolia
 

Viewers also liked (19)

23.04.2015, English language institute program update, Enkhtsetseg Ganbold
23.04.2015, English language institute program update, Enkhtsetseg Ganbold23.04.2015, English language institute program update, Enkhtsetseg Ganbold
23.04.2015, English language institute program update, Enkhtsetseg Ganbold
 
Procurement Article
Procurement ArticleProcurement Article
Procurement Article
 
The Beginners Guide to Peach
The Beginners Guide to PeachThe Beginners Guide to Peach
The Beginners Guide to Peach
 
AUG_SEPT Connect
AUG_SEPT ConnectAUG_SEPT Connect
AUG_SEPT Connect
 
gardnerlionnurse9
gardnerlionnurse9gardnerlionnurse9
gardnerlionnurse9
 
08.05.2013 Draft National Policy of Minerals Development, Bayar B. & Algaa O.
08.05.2013 Draft National Policy of Minerals Development, Bayar B. & Algaa O.08.05.2013 Draft National Policy of Minerals Development, Bayar B. & Algaa O.
08.05.2013 Draft National Policy of Minerals Development, Bayar B. & Algaa O.
 
17.04.2013 Developing Mongolia’s capital markets how will the role of the gov...
17.04.2013 Developing Mongolia’s capital markets how will the role of the gov...17.04.2013 Developing Mongolia’s capital markets how will the role of the gov...
17.04.2013 Developing Mongolia’s capital markets how will the role of the gov...
 
30.10.2012 The Selenge Iron Ore project, Robert Wrixon
30.10.2012 The Selenge Iron Ore project, Robert Wrixon30.10.2012 The Selenge Iron Ore project, Robert Wrixon
30.10.2012 The Selenge Iron Ore project, Robert Wrixon
 
23.07.2012 Preliminary estimates of the staggering costs of inefficient trade...
23.07.2012 Preliminary estimates of the staggering costs of inefficient trade...23.07.2012 Preliminary estimates of the staggering costs of inefficient trade...
23.07.2012 Preliminary estimates of the staggering costs of inefficient trade...
 
How to Lead the People Side of Your Business
How to Lead the People Side of Your BusinessHow to Lead the People Side of Your Business
How to Lead the People Side of Your Business
 
03.11.2011 Cluster development in Mongolian mining sector, Mr Jim Dwyer
03.11.2011 Cluster development in Mongolian mining sector, Mr Jim Dwyer03.11.2011 Cluster development in Mongolian mining sector, Mr Jim Dwyer
03.11.2011 Cluster development in Mongolian mining sector, Mr Jim Dwyer
 
08.09.2011 Business risks in mining & metals 2011/12, Uyanga Mandal
08.09.2011 Business risks in mining & metals 2011/12, Uyanga Mandal08.09.2011 Business risks in mining & metals 2011/12, Uyanga Mandal
08.09.2011 Business risks in mining & metals 2011/12, Uyanga Mandal
 
Réactif et interactif Conception Web
Réactif et interactif Conception WebRéactif et interactif Conception Web
Réactif et interactif Conception Web
 
19.11.2013 Outlining government policies and long term plans for Mongolia’s m...
19.11.2013 Outlining government policies and long term plans for Mongolia’s m...19.11.2013 Outlining government policies and long term plans for Mongolia’s m...
19.11.2013 Outlining government policies and long term plans for Mongolia’s m...
 
02.05.2014 Spotlight presentations a chance to showcase your services and pr...
02.05.2014 Spotlight presentations  a chance to showcase your services and pr...02.05.2014 Spotlight presentations  a chance to showcase your services and pr...
02.05.2014 Spotlight presentations a chance to showcase your services and pr...
 
05.03.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 108
05.03.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 10805.03.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 108
05.03.2010, NEWSWIRE, Issue 108
 
10.02.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 208
10.02.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 20810.02.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 208
10.02.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 208
 
11.16-17.2015, PRESENTATION, The new equilibrium- reforms to sustainable grow...
11.16-17.2015, PRESENTATION, The new equilibrium- reforms to sustainable grow...11.16-17.2015, PRESENTATION, The new equilibrium- reforms to sustainable grow...
11.16-17.2015, PRESENTATION, The new equilibrium- reforms to sustainable grow...
 
Samir Mekhtiyev VM
Samir Mekhtiyev VMSamir Mekhtiyev VM
Samir Mekhtiyev VM
 

Similar to 09.02.2012 Mongolia investment outlook, Oscar Mendoza

Rescap research a fundamental driven view of mongolia
Rescap research a fundamental driven view of mongoliaRescap research a fundamental driven view of mongolia
Rescap research a fundamental driven view of mongoliaMr Nyak
 
A fundamental perspective on the Mongolian togrog (MNT
A fundamental perspective on the Mongolian togrog (MNTA fundamental perspective on the Mongolian togrog (MNT
A fundamental perspective on the Mongolian togrog (MNTMr Nyak
 
09.2012, REPORT, COORDINATION OF FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICIES IN MONGOLIA IN ...
09.2012, REPORT, COORDINATION OF FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICIES IN MONGOLIA IN ...09.2012, REPORT, COORDINATION OF FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICIES IN MONGOLIA IN ...
09.2012, REPORT, COORDINATION OF FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICIES IN MONGOLIA IN ...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
01.05.2014 Examining how Mongolian banks and financial institutions are deali...
01.05.2014 Examining how Mongolian banks and financial institutions are deali...01.05.2014 Examining how Mongolian banks and financial institutions are deali...
01.05.2014 Examining how Mongolian banks and financial institutions are deali...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
The Next 11 Financial Markets and South Korea
The Next 11 Financial Markets and South KoreaThe Next 11 Financial Markets and South Korea
The Next 11 Financial Markets and South KoreaMuhammed Saad
 
2013, PRESENTATION, Developing Mongolia’s capital markets How will the role o...
2013, PRESENTATION, Developing Mongolia’s capital markets How will the role o...2013, PRESENTATION, Developing Mongolia’s capital markets How will the role o...
2013, PRESENTATION, Developing Mongolia’s capital markets How will the role o...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
Kosovo Overview FDI and Environment
Kosovo Overview FDI and EnvironmentKosovo Overview FDI and Environment
Kosovo Overview FDI and Environmentnakije.kida
 
FDI fluctuations followed by GDP fluctuations in Kosovo and favoring particul...
FDI fluctuations followed by GDP fluctuations in Kosovo and favoring particul...FDI fluctuations followed by GDP fluctuations in Kosovo and favoring particul...
FDI fluctuations followed by GDP fluctuations in Kosovo and favoring particul...nakije.kida
 
The 2011 Mongolian Real Estate Report
The 2011 Mongolian Real Estate ReportThe 2011 Mongolian Real Estate Report
The 2011 Mongolian Real Estate ReportMr Nyak
 
30.10.2012 Mongolia's Macro Economic Outlook: Challenges and Opportunities, B...
30.10.2012 Mongolia's Macro Economic Outlook: Challenges and Opportunities, B...30.10.2012 Mongolia's Macro Economic Outlook: Challenges and Opportunities, B...
30.10.2012 Mongolia's Macro Economic Outlook: Challenges and Opportunities, B...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, Mongolia's macro-economic outlook Challenges and...
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, Mongolia's macro-economic outlook Challenges and...10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, Mongolia's macro-economic outlook Challenges and...
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, Mongolia's macro-economic outlook Challenges and...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
Colombia Presentation July 2011
Colombia Presentation July 2011Colombia Presentation July 2011
Colombia Presentation July 2011ProColombia
 
Colombia Presentation July 2011
Colombia Presentation July 2011Colombia Presentation July 2011
Colombia Presentation July 2011ProColombia
 
Global Strategy Report A new world order
Global Strategy Report A new world orderGlobal Strategy Report A new world order
Global Strategy Report A new world orderAjibola Alfred
 
07.2013, REPORT, Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Mongolia, Internationa...
07.2013, REPORT, Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Mongolia, Internationa...07.2013, REPORT, Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Mongolia, Internationa...
07.2013, REPORT, Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Mongolia, Internationa...The Business Council of Mongolia
 
19.04.2013 The current flow of investment into Mongolia, S. Bold
19.04.2013 The current flow of investment into Mongolia, S. Bold19.04.2013 The current flow of investment into Mongolia, S. Bold
19.04.2013 The current flow of investment into Mongolia, S. BoldThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
ICT Country Report Mongolia -8th-Nov-2012
ICT Country Report Mongolia -8th-Nov-2012ICT Country Report Mongolia -8th-Nov-2012
ICT Country Report Mongolia -8th-Nov-2012Tumennast Erdenebold
 

Similar to 09.02.2012 Mongolia investment outlook, Oscar Mendoza (20)

Rescap research a fundamental driven view of mongolia
Rescap research a fundamental driven view of mongoliaRescap research a fundamental driven view of mongolia
Rescap research a fundamental driven view of mongolia
 
A fundamental perspective on the Mongolian togrog (MNT
A fundamental perspective on the Mongolian togrog (MNTA fundamental perspective on the Mongolian togrog (MNT
A fundamental perspective on the Mongolian togrog (MNT
 
3841580.ppt
3841580.ppt3841580.ppt
3841580.ppt
 
09.2012, REPORT, COORDINATION OF FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICIES IN MONGOLIA IN ...
09.2012, REPORT, COORDINATION OF FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICIES IN MONGOLIA IN ...09.2012, REPORT, COORDINATION OF FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICIES IN MONGOLIA IN ...
09.2012, REPORT, COORDINATION OF FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICIES IN MONGOLIA IN ...
 
01.05.2014 Examining how Mongolian banks and financial institutions are deali...
01.05.2014 Examining how Mongolian banks and financial institutions are deali...01.05.2014 Examining how Mongolian banks and financial institutions are deali...
01.05.2014 Examining how Mongolian banks and financial institutions are deali...
 
The Next 11 Financial Markets and South Korea
The Next 11 Financial Markets and South KoreaThe Next 11 Financial Markets and South Korea
The Next 11 Financial Markets and South Korea
 
2013, PRESENTATION, Developing Mongolia’s capital markets How will the role o...
2013, PRESENTATION, Developing Mongolia’s capital markets How will the role o...2013, PRESENTATION, Developing Mongolia’s capital markets How will the role o...
2013, PRESENTATION, Developing Mongolia’s capital markets How will the role o...
 
Kosovo Overview FDI and Environment
Kosovo Overview FDI and EnvironmentKosovo Overview FDI and Environment
Kosovo Overview FDI and Environment
 
FDI fluctuations followed by GDP fluctuations in Kosovo and favoring particul...
FDI fluctuations followed by GDP fluctuations in Kosovo and favoring particul...FDI fluctuations followed by GDP fluctuations in Kosovo and favoring particul...
FDI fluctuations followed by GDP fluctuations in Kosovo and favoring particul...
 
27.04.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 219
27.04.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 21927.04.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 219
27.04.2012, NEWSWIRE, Issue 219
 
The 2011 Mongolian Real Estate Report
The 2011 Mongolian Real Estate ReportThe 2011 Mongolian Real Estate Report
The 2011 Mongolian Real Estate Report
 
30.10.2012 Mongolia's Macro Economic Outlook: Challenges and Opportunities, B...
30.10.2012 Mongolia's Macro Economic Outlook: Challenges and Opportunities, B...30.10.2012 Mongolia's Macro Economic Outlook: Challenges and Opportunities, B...
30.10.2012 Mongolia's Macro Economic Outlook: Challenges and Opportunities, B...
 
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, Mongolia's macro-economic outlook Challenges and...
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, Mongolia's macro-economic outlook Challenges and...10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, Mongolia's macro-economic outlook Challenges and...
10.29-31.2012, PRESENTATION, Mongolia's macro-economic outlook Challenges and...
 
Colombia Presentation July 2011
Colombia Presentation July 2011Colombia Presentation July 2011
Colombia Presentation July 2011
 
Colombia Presentation July 2011
Colombia Presentation July 2011Colombia Presentation July 2011
Colombia Presentation July 2011
 
Mint state
Mint stateMint state
Mint state
 
Global Strategy Report A new world order
Global Strategy Report A new world orderGlobal Strategy Report A new world order
Global Strategy Report A new world order
 
07.2013, REPORT, Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Mongolia, Internationa...
07.2013, REPORT, Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Mongolia, Internationa...07.2013, REPORT, Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Mongolia, Internationa...
07.2013, REPORT, Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Mongolia, Internationa...
 
19.04.2013 The current flow of investment into Mongolia, S. Bold
19.04.2013 The current flow of investment into Mongolia, S. Bold19.04.2013 The current flow of investment into Mongolia, S. Bold
19.04.2013 The current flow of investment into Mongolia, S. Bold
 
ICT Country Report Mongolia -8th-Nov-2012
ICT Country Report Mongolia -8th-Nov-2012ICT Country Report Mongolia -8th-Nov-2012
ICT Country Report Mongolia -8th-Nov-2012
 

More from The Business Council of Mongolia

N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12
N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12
N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12The Business Council of Mongolia
 

More from The Business Council of Mongolia (20)

Three Camel Lodge 3 days itinerary
Three Camel Lodge 3 days itineraryThree Camel Lodge 3 days itinerary
Three Camel Lodge 3 days itinerary
 
Three Camel Lodge 4 days itinerary
Three Camel Lodge 4 days itineraryThree Camel Lodge 4 days itinerary
Three Camel Lodge 4 days itinerary
 
BCM Macroeconomic Updates January 2020
BCM Macroeconomic Updates January 2020BCM Macroeconomic Updates January 2020
BCM Macroeconomic Updates January 2020
 
Digital Enterprise 2019
Digital Enterprise 2019Digital Enterprise 2019
Digital Enterprise 2019
 
Faro Foundation presentation
Faro Foundation presentationFaro Foundation presentation
Faro Foundation presentation
 
Business Council of Mongolia presentation
Business Council of Mongolia presentationBusiness Council of Mongolia presentation
Business Council of Mongolia presentation
 
National Development Association of Mongolia presentation
National Development Association of Mongolia presentationNational Development Association of Mongolia presentation
National Development Association of Mongolia presentation
 
Gobi Green Energy Gankhuyag
Gobi Green Energy GankhuyagGobi Green Energy Gankhuyag
Gobi Green Energy Gankhuyag
 
Ch.Anar Competitiveness of the fintech sector
Ch.Anar Competitiveness of the fintech sectorCh.Anar Competitiveness of the fintech sector
Ch.Anar Competitiveness of the fintech sector
 
A.Bilguun Competitiveness of Mongolia's resource sector
A.Bilguun Competitiveness of Mongolia's resource sectorA.Bilguun Competitiveness of Mongolia's resource sector
A.Bilguun Competitiveness of Mongolia's resource sector
 
B.Lakshmi EPCRC Competitiveness of Mongolia
B.Lakshmi EPCRC Competitiveness of MongoliaB.Lakshmi EPCRC Competitiveness of Mongolia
B.Lakshmi EPCRC Competitiveness of Mongolia
 
Munkhzorig - Digital Transformation
Munkhzorig - Digital TransformationMunkhzorig - Digital Transformation
Munkhzorig - Digital Transformation
 
Tseesuren - Data is the Key for Innovation
Tseesuren - Data is the Key for InnovationTseesuren - Data is the Key for Innovation
Tseesuren - Data is the Key for Innovation
 
System analysis study on the Constitution of Mongolia
System analysis study on the Constitution of MongoliaSystem analysis study on the Constitution of Mongolia
System analysis study on the Constitution of Mongolia
 
Kincora Copper March 2019
Kincora Copper March 2019Kincora Copper March 2019
Kincora Copper March 2019
 
Erdenes Mongol presentation
Erdenes Mongol presentationErdenes Mongol presentation
Erdenes Mongol presentation
 
Tatsuya Hamada presentation
Tatsuya Hamada presentationTatsuya Hamada presentation
Tatsuya Hamada presentation
 
BCM Monthly Meeting BCM updates January 30, 2019
BCM Monthly Meeting BCM updates January 30, 2019BCM Monthly Meeting BCM updates January 30, 2019
BCM Monthly Meeting BCM updates January 30, 2019
 
N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12
N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12
N. Chimguundari economic corridor and investment research center Nov 12
 
Procurement mca-compact-ii-presentation-bcm
Procurement mca-compact-ii-presentation-bcmProcurement mca-compact-ii-presentation-bcm
Procurement mca-compact-ii-presentation-bcm
 

Recently uploaded

Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdfCatalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdfOrient Homes
 
NewBase 22 April 2024 Energy News issue - 1718 by Khaled Al Awadi (AutoRe...
NewBase  22 April  2024  Energy News issue - 1718 by Khaled Al Awadi  (AutoRe...NewBase  22 April  2024  Energy News issue - 1718 by Khaled Al Awadi  (AutoRe...
NewBase 22 April 2024 Energy News issue - 1718 by Khaled Al Awadi (AutoRe...Khaled Al Awadi
 
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDF
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDFCATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDF
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDFOrient Homes
 
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdfrishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdfmuskan1121w
 
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024christinemoorman
 
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service DewasVip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewasmakika9823
 
BEST Call Girls In Greater Noida ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Greater Noida ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,BEST Call Girls In Greater Noida ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Greater Noida ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,noida100girls
 
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝soniya singh
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...lizamodels9
 
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,noida100girls
 
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | Delhi
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | DelhiFULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | Delhi
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | DelhiMalviyaNagarCallGirl
 
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Hauz Khas 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Hauz Khas 🔝 Delhi NCR(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Hauz Khas 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Hauz Khas 🔝 Delhi NCRsoniya singh
 
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.Aaiza Hassan
 
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurVIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurSuhani Kapoor
 
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptx
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptxNon Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptx
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptxAbhayThakur200703
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...lizamodels9
 
A.I. Bot Summit 3 Opening Keynote - Perry Belcher
A.I. Bot Summit 3 Opening Keynote - Perry BelcherA.I. Bot Summit 3 Opening Keynote - Perry Belcher
A.I. Bot Summit 3 Opening Keynote - Perry BelcherPerry Belcher
 
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitProgress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitHolger Mueller
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdfCatalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdf
 
NewBase 22 April 2024 Energy News issue - 1718 by Khaled Al Awadi (AutoRe...
NewBase  22 April  2024  Energy News issue - 1718 by Khaled Al Awadi  (AutoRe...NewBase  22 April  2024  Energy News issue - 1718 by Khaled Al Awadi  (AutoRe...
NewBase 22 April 2024 Energy News issue - 1718 by Khaled Al Awadi (AutoRe...
 
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDF
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDFCATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDF
CATALOG cáp điện Goldcup (bảng giá) 1.4.2024.PDF
 
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdfrishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
 
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
 
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service DewasVip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
 
BEST Call Girls In Greater Noida ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Greater Noida ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,BEST Call Girls In Greater Noida ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Greater Noida ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
 
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
 
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In BELLMONT HOTEL ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
 
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | Delhi
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | DelhiFULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | Delhi
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Chhatarpur | Delhi
 
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Hauz Khas 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Hauz Khas 🔝 Delhi NCR(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Hauz Khas 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Hauz Khas 🔝 Delhi NCR
 
Enjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCR
Enjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCREnjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCR
Enjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCR
 
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
 
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurVIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
 
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptx
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptxNon Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptx
Non Text Magic Studio Magic Design for Presentations L&P.pptx
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
 
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
 
A.I. Bot Summit 3 Opening Keynote - Perry Belcher
A.I. Bot Summit 3 Opening Keynote - Perry BelcherA.I. Bot Summit 3 Opening Keynote - Perry Belcher
A.I. Bot Summit 3 Opening Keynote - Perry Belcher
 
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitProgress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
 

09.02.2012 Mongolia investment outlook, Oscar Mendoza

  • 1. M O N G O L I A I N V E S T M E N T O U T L O O K Securities December 2011 COAL MONGOLIA By Oscar Mendoza, COO Frontier Securities MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 2. About Frontier Securities 1P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Mongolia’s local investment bank with a global outreach Frontier Securities is the first local Mongolian Securities firm with a global network and international expertise. Established by Masa Igata in 2007, Frontier has been given full-service securities related license by the Financial Regulatory Commission (FRC) of Mongolia. Since its establishment, Frontier‟s primary area of focus has been the cross-border investment banking business. As a member of the Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE), Frontier has a wide network of investor contacts in Japan, Hong Kong, China, Singapore, United Kingdom and Germany among other Asian and European countries. Frontier‟s team in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia supports Mongolian companies in their fund raising efforts and strives to open the doors of Mongolia to foreign investors. Recognized as Mongolia‟s leading research and sales house, Frontier is well known for its innovative and independent research. Various global media outlets such as Bloomberg, Reuters, Finance Asia, The Economist and The Wall Street Journal frequently seek the opinions of Frontier‟s top-ranked research team. Global client base 25% 20% 15% 10% 10% 5% 5% 3% 7% Others Full-suite IB products offerings Annual conference DCM & ECM capital raising M&A Corporate Restructuring Private Equity Financial Advisory Frontier has been organizing annual conferences focusing on capital raising and investment opportunity in Mongolia since its establishment in 2007. Our pre-conference and post- conference mining tours receive favorable responses from attending international investors. In addition, our Expert Series, a publication of annual conference summary, is also distributed through international news outlets for investor‟s reference, helping them make informed investment decision on Mongolian related assets. MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 3. Executive Summary 2  Attention to Mongolia‟s “growth story” and its investment potentials has never been higher. Amid the ongoing financial turmoil and unprecedented volatility that put all market participants in stalemate, above- average market returns became a distant past, and asset managers, institutional investors, and investment bankers, alike, begin to question – “where could be the next „hot‟ investment destination?”  Whereas financial markets around the world patiently await some miracle economic rebounds, market sentiment declines, and investor confidence continues to hit a new low. Mongolia, on the other hand, represents a different investment story.  According to the World Bank‟s Quarterly Economic Update, Mongolia‟s GDP impressively grew at 17.3% in Q2, and 20.8% in Q3 on a year-on-year basis. The year-end GDP growth is likely to reach 15%, if not more, up from modest 6.4% in 2010. Given this growth momentum, IMF estimated that by 2012, Mongolia‟s GDP will top US$11.2 bn, and per capital GDP will reach US$3,931  Driven primarily by mining boom and tremendous infrastructure spending in the recent years, its currently US$6 billion economy is still relatively small in size and scope, but is expected to be the fastest-growing economy in the world in the next 5 years.  Elsewhere, growth and investment opportunity is obscure, whereas in Mongolia, the opportunity is unquestionably everywhere. Although there are prevalent risks (e.g. liquidity, exchange rate, market and political risks) associated with this overheating economy, the rising domestic demand, upward trend in consumption and favorable economic outlook justify every investment decision to be made in this resources-rich country. P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 4. Agenda P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L The mining industry and major mining projects 10 Page 3 Mongolia’s economic outlook 3 Discover Mongolia‟s investment opportunities 16 Investment projects 35  Country profile, growth prospect and GDP breakdown  Exports statistics  Implication of inflation and currency  Political risk MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 5. Mongolia: country profile1 4 Young, democratic and resources-rich country sandwiched by Russia and China P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Territory: 19th largest country - 1,565,000 km2 Population: 135th in the world 3.1 millions (July 2011 est.) 1.8 people/km2 on average 180 people/km2 in the capital, Ulaanbaatar city Terrain: Vast semi-desert and desert plains, grassy steppe, mountains in west and southwest; Gobi Desert in south-central Landlocked; strategic location between China and Russia Political structure: Parliamentary democracy from 1991, 2 large parties (MPP and Democratic Party) Current Prime Minister: S. Batbold (MPP), 2008 election results: MPP 46, DP 27, others 3 Current President: Ts. Elbegdorj (nominated from DP) in office since 2008 Next Elections: June 2012 Main Religions: Buddhist (90%), Muslim (5%), Shamanist and Christian (5%) Life expectancy: Men – 66 years old, Women – 71 Literacy rate: 97.8% Currency: Tögrög (1,315₮ = US$1 as of Nov 18th, 2011) Inflation: 11.9% (as of Sept 2011) GDP*: US$6.24 bn (2010, IMF) Growth rate: 20.8% yoy (Q3:2011) Per capita GDP*: $2,267 (2010, IMF) No capital controls, free press and internet Source: 1) Unless stated otherwise, all economic figures are obtained from the World Bank‟s Mongolia Quarterly Update (October 2011) Note: “GDP” and “Per capita GDP” statistics are in current prices MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 6. Mongolia’s GDP surged 20.8% yoy in Q3:2011, and robust growth is expected to continue 5 With OT and TT operating at full capacity, Mongolia is the fasting-growing economy in the next 5 years P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Source: IMF estimates (September 2011) -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000 9 000 10 000 %MNT bn 1990 – 2016F real GDP (constant price of 2005) and GDP growth GDP (MNT bn) % GDP growth 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F Mongolia % GDP Growth 8.9% -1.3% 6.4% 11.5% 11.8% 19.3% 14.8% 9.3% 15.6% Inception of Oyu Tolgoi Tavan Tolgoi at full capacity MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 7. GDP breakdown by sector: 2009 vs 2010 6 While mining sector is the main driving force, emerging opportunities in other sectors exist P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Source: National Statistics Office (NSO) – Macroeconomic Statistical Indicators Note: * Exchange rate attributes to discrepancy in GDP figures (US$ = 1,300 MNT).  Mining sector contributes to nearly 20% of the country’s GDP composition  Non-mining sectors, especially services industry, are also gaining momentum in the recent years 906 989 327 121 20 66 333 421 34 166 164 369 51 68 206 240 95 21 19 455 0 500 1 000 1 500 Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas, steam and air… Water supply; sewerage, waste… Construction Wholesale and retail trade;… Transportation and storage Accommodation and food… Information and communication Financial and insurance activities Real estate activities Professional, scientific and… Administrative and support… Public administration and… Education Human health and social work… Arts, entertainment and recreation Other service activities Net taxes on products US$ mm 2009 GDP by sectors at current prices US$5,070 mm* 1 010 1 385 410 153 25 82 458 517 42 201 122 394 54 77 232 266 107 24 21 771 0 500 1 000 1 500 Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas, steam and air… Water supply; sewerage, waste… Construction Wholesale and retail trade;… Transportation and storage Accommodation and food… Information and communication Financial and insurance activities Real estate activities Professional, scientific and… Administrative and support… Public administration and… Education Human health and social work… Arts, entertainment and recreation Other service activities Net taxes on products US$ mm 2010 GDP by sectors at current prices US$6,350 mm* MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 8. Mongolian exports resume its upward trend after 2009 recession 7 Resources-driven economy of Mongolia is vulnerable to commodity prices volatility P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Source: National Development and Innovations Committee (NDIC) & National Statistics Office (NSO) – Sept 2011 Bulletin 1% 4% 26% 11% 51% 1% 2% 4% US$3,190 mm in Mineral Exports (2011 I-X) Refined copper & Copper alloys Zinc Copper Iron Bituminous coal Molybdenium Fluor spar Gold 1% 5% 35% 11% 35% 2% 3% 8% US$1,837 mm in Mineral Exports (2010 I-X) Refined copper & Copper alloys Zinc Copper Iron Bituminous coal Molybdenium Fluor spar Gold 127 1394 68 14767 2466 83 14259 3430 78 76 0 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 4 000 UK China Russia Canada US$ mm Mongolia’s major exports destinations 2009 2010 2011 (I-X) 0 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 US$ mm Mining equipment and fuel imports contribute to the surge in Mongolia’s trade deficit Exports Imports MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 9. Inflation and currency outlooks 8 Annualized inflation is 10.8% with upside risk P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Source: 1) IMF estimates (September 2011) 2) Bank of Mongolia, Exchange Rates Statistics  Generalized wage and price pressures from a booming economy, expansion in fiscal expenditures, and large government cash handout contribute to rising inflation.  Given the overheating economy (20%+ GDP growth), rising policy rate measure (currently at 12.5%) is implemented to curb price increases.  Yet, inflation is expected to reach 13% by 2011 year- end. Double-digit inflation is likely to prevail at least until 2013.  BOM combats against inflationary pressure by tightening monetary policy to ensure economic stability. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 % Percentage change in average consumer prices (2005 – 2016F)1 Annualized inflation 1 000 1 100 1 200 1 300 1 400 1 500 1 600 1 700 2.1.2006 2.1.2007 2.1.2008 2.1.2009 2.1.2010 2.1.2011 MNT per US$ MNT vs USD (2006 – 2011)2 MNT vs US$ MNT – 13% appreciation against US$ in 2010, the world’s second best performing currency Upward trend in inflation Capital inflows and exports drive MNT  Rising domestic consumption and demand for raw materials from industrialized countries contribute to MNT appreciation  In 2010, coal exports increased 2.3 times to 16.6 mm tons, and iron exports increased 2.2 times to 3.5 mm tons.  Further mild appreciation or FX stability is expected due to large capital inflows for major mining projects.  With continued high real GDP growth, the real exchange rate will have to adjust, either through nominal appreciation or through inflation. MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 10. Understand Mongolia’s political risk 9 Lucrative opportunities can be undermined by political uncertainty P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Updates on Mongolia’s politics Political uncertainty is not uncommon in emerging marketplace  Since late September 2011, political pressure and hostile political climate became imminent in the Mongolian government due to opposing views regarding foreign participation in OT IA.  A “highly organized” attack by anti-coalition government, in view of the upcoming election context, aimed to destabilize the long-standing political status quo and discredit the Coalition government. The anti-coalition MPs orchestrated nationalistic sentiment on the highly sensitive issue of OT project to the public, in hope for gaining more votes in the election.  Given this vivid dynamics of Mongolian politics, minor revisions on terms and conditions of OT and TT IAs can be expected along the way. The coalition government is, however, facing a challenging task and dilemma in this political game.  Anti-OT IA, anti Coalition government MPs, in mid October, submitted to the Secretary of Administrative Office a resignation petition to the PM, alleging the government‟s failure to implement the parliament resolution regarding OT IA.  Regardless of anti coalition political force that elaborated a high-profile attack on the coalition government, the authority suggested that by laws, it is impossible to have only the PM resign. Thus, this political move is not likely to take any substantial effect on the government front. Implication for investors  Ultimately, the government needs to devise a solution that satisfies all parties, while concurrently pursuing multi-facet objectives – restoring investor confidence, wining the public opinions in the next election, and ensuring the continuity of rigorous economic growth.  Political shock undeniably casted a shadow and negative sentiment on the Mongolia market, but the real economic engine is not much hindered. The rising political risk premium is not meant to discourage foreign investment; however, investors should be more careful about the investment timing. Political uncertainty involving OT, TT controversies is surely soon to be stabilized The bottom line  The take-away lesson is, like in many other marketplaces, political risk is not avoidable, but certainly manageable. The best investment timing is early 2012, when the political risk is fully factored in and discounted. Choose the right timing, choose the right portfolio, Mongolian investment definitely yields rewarding return. MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 11. Agenda P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L The mining industry and major mining projects 10 Page 10 Mongolia‟s economic outlook 3 Discover Mongolia‟s investment opportunities 16 Investment projects 35  Mining sector: the driving force behind Mongolia‟s growth  Forefront on Oyu Tolgoi and Tavan Tolgoi MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 12. It is not possible to think of Mongolia without thinking about coal mining 11P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Key estimates  Mongolia‟s total inferred coal resources as predicted around 152 bn tons ranking top 15 globally  The preliminary and detailed exploration activities resulted in about 23 bn tons of coal reserves  The proved coal reserves are 12.2 bn tons including 2 bn tons of coking coal and 10.1bn tons of thermal coal Source: World Bank and National Statistics Office (NSO) 16,6 20 35 55 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2010 2011F 2015F 2020F mtpa Coal export projection 91 113 161 306 502 895 1 048 1 035 1 005 1 407 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 US$ mm Growth of mining GDP CAGR = 35.6% Major deposits in Gobi region  Tavan Tolgoi 6.4 bn tons  Thermal coal 4.6 bn tons  Coking coal 1.8 bn tons  Ukhaa Khudag (MMC)  499.9 mm tons of measured resources  286 mm tons proven and probably reserves  Nariin suhait (MAK)  identified 250 mn tons of bituminous  Ovoot Tolgoi (SouthGobi)  Extension of Nariin Suhait  Indicated reserve 150 mn tons Highlights: Mongolian coal reserves  Coal: 9thlargest in the world with 20 billion tons of coal, 7 – 8 billions tons of which is high CV thermal and coking coal with values in excess of US$100/ton  100 billion tons of lignite which could be readily exported as power (US$500 bn)  2010 coal exports 16.6 mtpa worth US$877 mm  2011 YTD 11.7 mt worth US$1.16 bn  2011F by Frontier Securities 20 mtpa worth US$1.97 bn MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 13. Mineral assets’ geographical locations: an ultimate blessing 12P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Mining sector is the driving force of resources-rich Mongolia Coking coal Bituminous coal Sub-bituminous coal Lignite Most developments located hereMost mining developments are located in South Gobi area Source: The Mineral Resources Authority of Mongolia (MRAM) MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 14. Major coal mining projects in Mongolia 13P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Khushuut Resource: 149.2 mt 2011 mining plan: 0.5mt Ownership: MonEnCo Zeegt, Shine Jinst Resource: 93+ 229 mt Ownership: Gobi coal & Energy Ovoot Tolgoi, Soumber Reserve: 114mt Resource: 360 mt 2011 mining plan: 4 mt Ownership: SouthGobiSands Nariin Sukhait Resource: 220 mt 2011 mining plan: 9 mt Ownership: MAC and MAC/QH Baruun Naran Resource: 253 mt 2011 mining plan: 1mt Ownership: QGX Ukhaa Khudag Reserve: 288 mt Resource: 578 mt 2011 mining plan: 7mt Ownership: Energy Res CHPP: 5 mt 2Q.2011, 5 mt 3Q.2011 Small TT Resource: 20 mt 2011 mining plan: 3 mt Ownership: TT JSC Big TT Resource: 6.4 bt 2011 mining plan: 1 mt Ownership: Erdenes MGL Ovoot Resource: 330.7 mt Ownership: Aspire Min Ulaan Ovoo, Chandgana Resource: 209 mt + 1.2 bt 2012 mining plan: 1 mt Ownership: Prophecy Coal Shivee Ovoo Resource: 2.8 bt Ownership: Shine Shivee, Shivee Ovoo, Erdenes MGL Baganuur Resource: 600 mt Ownership: State owned co. MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 15. Tavan Tolgoi 14P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L The world’s second largest coalfield is set to be privatized by Q1: 2012 Total reserve: 6.4 billion tons Full capacity: expected to be reached by 2016 Estimated CapEx: US$2.4 billion  New workplaces, railroad, power supply Current ownership: 100% Govt (SOE Erdenes TT) 2 blocks with separate governance structures  Western block: license owned by Erdenes, production rights and development costs to bidders  2 preliminary winners: China's Shenhua (40%), Peabody Energy (24%) and a Russian- Mongolian consortium (36%) (as of November 2011, the final decision is still pending at GOM).  Eastern block: owned and operated by Erdenes MGL through contract mining firms ETT IPO is expected to launch by Q1: 2012 Global coordinator: Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank Joint bookrunner: Macquarie, BNP Paribas Erdenes TT‟s Easter block ownership rights: - 51% owned by Mongolian Government - 10% of shares to the Mongolian citizens - 10% own by national enterprises - 29% to IPO on foreign exchange Thermal coal 2.4 bt Amenable to coke production 2.2 bt Self-coking coal 1.8 bt Source: Sum of various companies‟ projections 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Coal Production Projection Others TT Breakdown of TT coal reserves 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Coal Production Projection Others TT MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 16. Oyu Tolgoi (66% owned by Ivanhoe Mines) 15P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Source: Ivanhoe Mines IDP-10 & Frontier Securities‟s projections 0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1 1,2 Ounces(Millions) OT Gold Production Projection 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Lbs.(Millions) OT Copper Production Projection Total Reserve: 81 billion lbs. of copper, 46 million oz of gold Expected production: 2013 Projected investment: US$4.6 billion in pre-production capital NPV at today’s metal prices: US$15 billion Benefits/contribution to Mongolian economy:  average 34% increase in real GDP over 30 years  average 71.6% increase in export  average 10.3% increase in employment  up to 48 thousand new workplaces over the project life time Oyu Tolgoi Investment Agreement (In full legal effect since March 2010)  Integrated Development Plan is released  Stabilized custom regime  Abolishment of Windfall tax  Government ownership 34%  Private investment in auto roads  Loss rollover period of 4-8 years  Stabilized tax regime  95% Mongolian employees OT has the mineral resources to become one of the world’s top 3 copper-gold producers MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 17. Agenda P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L The mining industry and major mining projects 10 Page 16 Mongolia‟s economic outlook 3 Discover Mongolia’s investment opportunities 16 Conclusion 35  Overview of Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE)  Recent developments of the MSE: LSE partnership and SML  MSE‟s investment idea: Case study of Remicon JSC  Beyond the MSE: Foreign-listed equities with Mongolian assets  Opportunities in non-mining sectors MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 18. MSE: the world’s best performing stock market in 2010 17P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L 5-year trend of MSE performance is promising1 5-year Compounded Annual Growth Rate = 63.6% 138% gain in 2010 Source: 1) http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/MSETOP:IND/chart (accessed November 20th, 2011) 87% 136% 446% -28% 21% 128% 116% -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 MSE Market Cap Market Cap (billion MNT) % Change (from Previous period) MSE still encounters a number of obstacles that undermine investor confidence and further expansion, including  Lack of liquidity  Under-developed legal and technology infrastructure  Weak corporate governance  Misuse of insider information  Inadequate transparency  Regulatory uncertainty Despite impressive growth, key challenges to development lie ahead MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 19. 336 MSE-listed companies account for slightly over US$1 billion in market cap 18P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Source: Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE) Well- diversified portfolio of MSE TOP-101 19,1 19,4 30,6 33,8 50,7 101,5 179,7 245,8 249,7 457,1 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Mogoin Gol Aduunchuluun Gobi BDSec Mongolian Telecom Sharyn Gol APU Shivee Ovoo Baganuur Tavan Tolgoi US$ mm MSE TOP-10 market capitalization MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 20. MSE reforms in strategic partnership with London Stock Exchange 19P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Source: NDIC, Eurasia Capital, Research Note (January 19, 2011) Under the agreement LSE will collaborate with the SPC in a number of areas, including:  LSE has appointed a management team at the MSE to oversee its development and privatization.  LSE‟s Millennium IT, the leading global exchange technology provider, will provide trading, surveillance and post trading infrastructure to the MSE.  Using the LSE Academy, both parties will conduct a comprehensive training program on capital markets infrastructure and legislative framework for MSE officers, clients and officers of the Mongolia Financial Regulatory Commission.  LSE will advise the MSE on the modernization of market rules, procedures, structure and operation at the MSE.  LSE will provide assistance in the broadening of tradable asset classes at the MSE, to derivatives and ETFs.  LSE will work to implement an international standard Mongolian market index. Win-win partnership World-class trading and surveillance infrastructure Better distribution channel for Mongolian issuers and international investors Leverage on experienced management capability MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 21. Implication of MSE-LSE partnership: international IPOs and dual listing of Mongolian SOE privatizations 20P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Source: Citigroup (Framework) & NDIC (Masterplan: Action Plans)  National Program of Corporate Governance  Amendments to the Company Law  Integrate mandatory permits, and reduce number of permits  Protect Investors  New Banking Law  Government actions to bailout strategic banks  Deposit guarantee  Freedom of Expression exists  Media are independent, but controlled by private interests Successful Privatization Environment  Stock Market Law  Independent Information Database  Stock Market privatization plan  Government Bonds to be sold in international markets  Master plan to develop border port  Foreign Trade Clearance FrameworksTransparencyMarketEfficiency Well-resourced and Independent Media Competitive Independent, & Transparent Banking System Efficient & Transparent Legal Framework Effective Standards of Corporate Governance Efficient Stock Exchanges Competitive Capital & Output Markets MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 22. The latest Securities Market Law’s (SML) review is aimed to tackle various challenges hindering the development of MSE 21P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Source: Mongolian Stock Exchange (September 5, 2011) Government of Mongolia, MSE and FRC implement a number of reform measures to nurture a sustainable development of the country’s capital market. Latest SML’s reform Improved Listing Rules: More clarified terms and definitions: More strict requirements and emphasis on disclosure and transparency: Promoted market activities and transactions: - Incorporated parts of Official Listing Rules from UK‟s Financial Services Act; - Set up listing and prospectus requirements; - Clarified where a prospectus is needed, and where it is not - Adoption of international standard, where feasible; - More clarified definitions of various Securities Market terms - More descriptive Broker, Dealer and Underwriter responsibilities; - Introduced the concept of Beneficial Ownership, Trustees and Custodians; - Clearer definition of the law‟s objectives - Amended statements that would have placed excessive liability on Professionals; - Removed text that are unnecessarily too prescriptive and onerous; - Added definitions and procedures related to Depository Receipts MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 23. Our MSE’s top stock pick: Remicon JSC P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L 22 REMICON JSC  Founded in January 2008 as a subsidiary of HERA HOLDING  Listed on MSE in May 2008  In early 2011, RMC joined the MSE TOP 20 index  One of the largest concrete producers in Mongolia  Stock performance: 126% gain YTD  EPS: 240 MNT (2011A), 301 MNT (2012F), 594 MNT (2013F) Snapshot Ownership Structure Financial Highlights*  Share price: 192 MNT (as of Dec 6, 2011)  Historical high: 195 MNT  52-wk range: 50 – 163 MNT  YTD performance: 104.2%  Mkt cap: US$9.2 mm (11.6 MNT bn)  Avg daily turnover: US$6,852  Free float: 16%  Gross margin (2012F): 45%  EBITDA margin (2011A): 24% Note: * Unless indicated otherwise, US$1 = 1,240 MNT throughout this presentation P.Byambasuren 3% Frontier 12% Hera Holding 6% Gaul 11% Remicon JSC 21% Kh.Gankhuyag 24% D.Saranchuluun 7% Other shareholder 16% MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 24. Remicon JSC, market leader in the cement industry 23P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Post-FPO production prospect  The investment will be used for new cement plant:  The plant will be located in the Dornogovi province which is 350 km east from Ulaanbaatar.  Capacity is maximum 900 ton cement a day.;  Production will start in 2012 with 75 %of the total capacity.;  Further production capacity will be enhanced and in 2016 the plant will be in full capacity;  Plant will be in operation 7 months a year. A top cement manufacturer offers US$10 mm FPO for cement plant construction  Will be the largest supplier of concrete/cement in Mongolia in 2011;  Listed in 2008 with current US$8 mm market cap, and net income will be close to US$1 mm by end of 2011;  Production has increased more than 12 times since 2009 to date;  The Mongolian construction industry is growing rapidly, and the demand of concrete is high;  The FPO prospectus will be submitted to the FRC by end of July 2011; Company overview Cement market 111,9 140,8 179,8 269,3 110,8 166 222,9 396,3 214,8 303,3 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Дотоод ИмпортDomestic Imported Use of proceeds Cement production vs imports (’000 tons) 14% 10% 64% 4% 0.2% 7.8% Purcahse of land and limestone deposit Building Machinery & equipment Vehicles Office furniture Working capital MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 25. Follow-on Public Offering of Remicon 24 FPO overview P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Securities type: Common stock Nominal value: 100 MNT Offering price: 190 – 238 MNT Total number: 39,460,000 shares (with 15% Over- allotment Options) Total capital raised: 7,497,400,000 - 9,391,480,000 MNT (approx. US$6.0 - US$7.6 mm) Use of proceeds: Construction of a new cement manufacturing plant Placement: Private placement and book-building for institutional investors Underwriter: Frontier Securities Registration and settlement: Mongolian Securities Clearing House and Central Depository Executive summary FPO timeline Total number of shares outstanding Number of existing shares New issues through FPO  118,139,464 shares (100%)  39,460,000 shares (33.4%)  78,679,464 shares (66.6%) Change in shareholding structure August 2011 October 2011 September 2011 November 2011  Prospectus submission  Regulatory approval  Shareholder meeting within 30 days following the announcement  Issue Opening and Closing dates in early October  Determination of Offer price  FPO report submission to MSE and PRC  Announcement of RMC shareholder meeting  MSE registration procedure MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 26. The financials justify investment rationale 25P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Cash flow from operating activities 2013-2017 Euro, 1750₮ Dollar, 1200₮2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total Total Revenue 14,175,000 17,350,200 17,697,204 18,051,148 18,412,171 85,685,723 48,963 71,404 Returns of goods sold 70,875 86,751 88,486 90,255 92,060 428,428 244 357 VАТ(10%) 1,288,636 1,577,290 1,608,836 1,641,013 1,673,833 7,789,611 4,451 6,491 Net Revenue (1-2-3) 12,815,488 15,686,158 15,999,881 16,319,878 16,646,276 77,467,683 44,267 64,556 Cost of goods sold 7,494,920 8,448,079 8,658,174 8,778,394 9,095,556 42,475,125 24,271 35,395 Gross profit (4-5) 5,320,568 7,238,078 7,341,706 7,541,484 7,550,719 34,992,557 19,995 29,160 Total operating expenses 1,121,450 1,125,189 1,146,563 1,150,549 1,155,137 5,698,891 3,256 4,749 Operating income (6-7) 4,199,117 6,112,889 6,195,142 6,390,935 6,395,581 29,293,666 16,739 24,411 Income before taxes 3,319,677 5,233,448 5,315,702 5,511,494 5,516,141 24,896,463 14,226 20,747 Income taxes, 10% 331,967 523,344 531,570 551,149 551,614 2,489,646 1.422 2,074 Net income 2,987,709 4,710,103 4,784,131 4,960,345 4,964,526 22,406,817 12,803 18,672 Growing productivity Lowing cost Improving margin 2013 – 2017 Valuation FPO US$71.4 in revenue US$18.7 in net profit 2.03 year payback period 2013 – 2017 cash flow projection MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 27. Investment opportunities beyond the MSE 26P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Foreign-listed equities with Mongolian assets and operations Company Market Market Cap (US$)* Ivanhoe Mines TSX/ NYSE 14.1 bn (NYSE) Centerra Gold Inc. TSX / Frankfurt 4.7 bn (TSX) Mongolian Mining Corp HKEx 3.0 bn SouthGobi Energy Resources TSX/ HKEx 1.3 bn (HKEx) Mongolia Energy Corp. HKEx 0.7 bn Petro Matad LSX 63 mm Prophecy Coal Corp TSX 137 mm Mongolia Growth Group CNSX 10 mm Some of the world‟s largest mining companies own strategic assets in Mongolia. This investment inflow represents a tremendous growth for the overall economy, and wealth of the nation. The next slides highlight mining majors that Frontier has established relationship with. Note: Market cap data as of November 21, 2011 MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 28. Foreign-listed equity: Prophecy Coal Corporation 27P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Subsidiary status of NKL leads to mispricing of PCY.  PCY has market cap (as of September 7, 2011) of C$131.3 mm, and owns 43.7% of Prophecy Platinum Corp (TSX-V: NKL),  NKL’s recent groundbreaking gain (5d, 36.9%, 1m, +92.26%, 3m, +419%) is due to its discovery of 1.04 mm oz PGM+Gold1 INDICATED and 10.97 mm oz PGM+Gold INFERRED for the Wellgreen Project, Canada PCY and NKL Note: 1) “PGM+Gold” refers to platinum group metals and gold Undervaluation C$131.3 mm Mongolian assets of PCY are valued as low as C$25 mm.  NKL‟s market cap is C$242.9 mm (as of September 7, 2011).  If PCY‟s market cap is deducted by its 43.7% ownership of NKL, it thus can be concluded that all Mongolian assets of PCY are valued at only C$25 mm i.e. C$131.3 mm subtracted by 43.7% of C$242.9 mm.  This analysis implies that PCY is tremendously UNDERVALUED. Strong BUY recommendation PCY undervalued with respect to rising market cap of NKL, mispricing since July 2011 onwards – PCY +12.11% vs NKL +419.08%  Other development updates on PCY‟s business fundamentals include coal sales agreements 92,000 tons with Mongolian and Russian buyers, as well as progress on establishment of Ulaan Ovoo deposit NKL’s Wellgreen announcement MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 29. Foreign-listed equity: Ivanhoe Mines 28P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. is a mining company focused on the development of its discoveries in the Asia-Pacific Region. Core assets are composed of:  66% interest in the Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold mine development project in Southern Mongolia;  57% interest in Mongolian coal miner SouthGobi Resources (SGQ: TSX, 1878:HK);  50% interest in Altynalmas Gold Ltd. to develop the Kyzyl Gold Project in Kazakhstan;  62% interest in Ivanhoe Australia (IVA:ASX, TSX). Key developments on the Oyu Tolgoi deposit:  30-year investment agreement signed with government: will insure stabilized tax rates and regulatory provisions for the construction and operation of the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold mining complex;  Oyu Tolgoi to contain approximately 81 billion pounds of copper and 46 million ounces of gold in measured, indicated and inferred resources;  $2bn invested over the last 4 years & $4.5bn budgeted over the next 3 years for completion of first phase;  Production to be ramped up to 450,000t of copper and 330,000 ounces of gold annually within 5 years from the expected initial production date in 2013. 42% 16% 6% 5%2% 2% 27% Shareholders' structure Rio Tinto Plc Friedland Fidelity Caisse De Depot Et Placement Du Quebec Goldman Sachs Artio Global Management, LLC Others Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/IVN:CN/chart MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 30. Foreign-listed equity: SouthGobi Resources 29P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L SouthGobi Resources is a premium coal production and development company focused on exploration and development of its Permian-age metallurgical and thermal coal deposits in Mongolia's South Gobi Region to supply a wide range of coal products to markets in Asia. SouthGobi owns three significant coal projects in Mongolia: a producing mine, the Ovoot Tolgoi Mine; and two development projects, the Soumber Deposit and the Ovoot Tolgoi Underground Deposit. In addition, SouthGobi holds mineral exploration licenses in Mongolia. Key data on the Oyoot Khural basin: • *Permian-age coal bearing basin only 40 km from China • *Rail infrastructure and coal loader constructed by Chinese to access SouthGobi's leadership in the Ovoot Khural Basin: • *Substantially covered by SouthGobi's exclusive mining and exploration licences • *89% of SouthGobi's resources located there • *Operating infrastructure in place 57% 14% 29% Shareholder structure as of May 1st, 2011 Ivanhoe Mines Ltd China Investment Corp Other public float MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 31. Foreign-listed equity: Mongolian Mining Corporation 30P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L MMC is the first Mongolian company which has carried out a global equity offering at Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a total of 719.42 million shares at range of HK$ 10.92 per share on February 8th , 2011. . • The company currently has 499.9 million tonnes of measured and indicated resources and 286 million tonnes of proven and probable reserves measured by JORC standards. MMC received 30 years of mining rights for the UHG deposit and MV11952 license covers 2960 hectares, which could also be extended twice every twenty years. • MMC‟s Ukhaa Khudag (UHG) open pit coking coal mine is located 240km away from the Mongolia- Chinese border at Gashuun Sukhait where it will further transport coking coal to high end users of China at a comparably lower price. • Company highlights fact that it is a low cost producer. Projected Production 46% 12% 5% 3% 8% 6% 20% Corporate Structure of MMC MCS Mining Group Limited Petrovis Resources Inc. Shunkhlai Mining LLC EBRD Kerry Mining Ancora Investment No 2 Limited Public MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 32. Various types of investment assets in frontier market 31P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Investment opportunities in Mongolia DCM ECM JVs / Strategic Investment Private Equity Mongolia-based assets across different key industries provide investment products for different capital requirement, investment mandates and risk / return profiles. Mongolia’s investment opportunities  Unprecedented economic growth with vast natural resources  Access to a wide range of investment products  Diversification and risk mitigation  Developing legal and financial infrastructure (i.e. capital markets)  Prevailing growth opportunity in other sectors  Investor-friendly environment  Flexible arrangement (in case of JV, PE and strategic investment) Mongolia-based assets represent future growth and attractive investment return MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 33. Government policies support and justify “hot” investment opportunities in non-mining businesses 32P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Favorable policies for non-mining The government wants to ensure that other backbone industries are developing Policy-making and implementation by the Government  The economy does not over-rely on mining to prevent “resources course.” “Extractive economy” is not sustainable, as resources will be eventually depleted.  Development of financial and legal frameworks continues – for example. MSE reform, revision of Securities Markets Law etc.  Liberalization policies promoting fair competition and transparency, favorable regulatory landscape, tax benefits and other incentives are put in place to encourage investment..  Infrastructure improvement (e.g. transportation, utilities, telecommunic ations etc.) is facilitated by participation from private sector, for example, via PPP platform. Investment justification “Hot” investment opportunities in non-mining sectors Growing population and consumption needs Higher living standard, prom ising economic growth More purchasing power / disposable income Favorable external factors (low competition, supporting gov policies etc.) MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 34. Opportunities beyond the mining sector, changing momentum in the GDP composition 33P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L 555 1 217 1 057 317 812 1 918 2 461 911 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 Agriculture Industry, Co nstruction Services Net taxes on product US$ mm GDP growth by sector – 2006 vs 2011F 2011F 2006 Percentage growth (2006 vs 2011F) Agriculture 46.3% Industry, Construction 57.6% Services 132.8% Net taxes on products 187.9% Source: National Statistics Office (NSO) – Sept 2011 Bulletin, Rapid growth in mining results in consumption needs and development in non-mining industries Growth in mining Development needs of non-mining industries Rising consumption needs Non-mining investment opportunities MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 35.  Establishment of industrial “cluster zones,” encompassing various industries – manufacturing, mining, metallur gy, power/energy, petrochemical , research & development etc. in one strategic location  US$10 bn is needed for the facility construction and infrastructure development  US$2.5 bn is needed for construction of rail transport infrastructure to seaports  US$7.3 bn is required for a complete infrastructure development of TT mind site, including power generating, energy supplies, property development etc Development of non-mining sectors and emerging opportunities outside mining 34 Case study 1: Tavan Tolgoi mining site P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Case study 2: Sainshand industrial complex HOT investment opportunities in non-mining  More purchasing power, disposable income, better living standard  Growing domestic industries  Retail, manufacturing, healthcare, real estate, education, infrastructure, hospi tality etc. Rising consumption needs Development of non- mining industries  Non-mining investment potential is real and realizable Fast-growing mining sector MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 36. Agenda P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L The mining industry and major mining projects 10 Page 35 Mongolia‟s economic outlook 3 Discover Mongolia‟s investment opportunities 16 Investment projects 35  Examples of investment ideas MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 37. In Mongolia, investment opportunities lie in a broad range of asset class 36P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Asset description Investment type Industry Investment description APIP Project-based investment Real estate, cement, finance and natural resources Diversified investment opportunities FeOre IPO on ASX Mining (Iron) AU$35 mm at 25 cent per share, representing, 19.4% of the company Lucky Strike Equity (TSX-V: LKY, OTCQX: LKYSF, Frankfurt: LR2) Coal mining Equity investment Remicon JSC Equity (MSE: RMC) Cement manufacturing US$ 6.0 mm – 7.6 mm investment in FPO Prophecy Coal Equity (TSX-V: PCY) Coal mining Equity investment in Prophecy and its subsidiaries (PCY / NKL) Gobi Coal Pre-IPO financing Coal mining US$ 20 mm – 30 mm in private placement YokozunaNET PE Internet provider US$ 3 mm in private placement Mongolia Growth Group Equity (CNSX: YAK) Insurance, asset management, real estate Mongolia-focused property development and diversified financial services investment MONGOLIAINVESTMENTOUTLOOK
  • 38. Disclaimer P R E S E N T A T I O N M A T E R I A L Information in this presentation does not constitute invitation or application or investment advice or service provision for sale and purchase of any stock, future, option or other financial product by Frontier Securities and its related company. This presentation is not the recommendation to make a specific trade and guarantee for a specific product whether it is appropriate or adequate for buyers. Also, although this presentation is prepared from the various information sources we deem reliable, we shall not guarantee their accuracies and rightness. Moreover, past performances do not suggest or guarantee for the future results. Thus, the Company shall not take responsibility for the loss out of the decision based on its content. When making a contract on trades using the information in this presentation, please consult with your business advisor, lawyer, tax & accounting advisor about investment product prices, compatibility, value or other items beforehand. Information and services in this presentation and its provision or usage shall not contradict to the applied laws and work guidelines or regulations of self regulating organization or shall not be provided in the legal frame which does not admit such information and its provision; in the legal frame natural person or legal body shall not use those information and service. Some of the products and services in this presentation may not be applied for all the legal frames or not all customers may not use. Also, the Company may change or delete information or others items in this presentation without previous notice. Contact: Frontier Securities Email: STAFF@frontier.mn Tel: +976-70119999 Address: #705, Blue Sky Tower Peace Avenue 17, 1st khoroo Sukhbaatar, District, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia MONGOLIAINVESTMENTSUMMIT2011