Japan’s Three
Territorial Issues
       May 15, 2012
     Kazuhiko Togo
 Kyoto Sangyo University
Northern Territories: Past
Historical memory: Summer 1945
Cold War: 51 San Francisco; 56 Joint
Declaration; 60 Gromyko statement
Post-Cold War: 25 years of negotiations
             KE talk   HStransfer KEdecide

   91 Ka.-Go. OK       NO           ------
   93 Tok.D. OK        OK indirect ------
   01 Irkutsk OK       OK           start
Northern Territories: Present
2006 Russian decisions:
Resume talks + Invest to the islands
2009 “unlawful occupation”
 2010 Medvedev’s visit to Kunashiri
2012: Putin reelected as president
March 1 Press interview
May 7 Inauguration
Northern Territories: Future
How should we evaluate Putin?
Probably last stage negotiations are
opened for the foreseeable future
Economic cooperation projects
Starting from Irkutsk  Anything but
“four islands en bloc (ikkatsu)”
Half to one year negotiations period
Who are the negotiators?
Senkaku: Past
1895~1971 Japanese sovereignty, no
objection from China or Taiwan
1971: Taiwan and china claim (Oil 1968)
72 Zhou “not now”; 78 Deng “next
generation”  tacit agreement to shelve
90 China’s territorial water law
97 Fishery agreement
02 GOJ lease 04 seven activists landing
Senkaku: Present
2008 Research vessels for 9 hours sailing
2010.9.7 Collision of fishery vessels to coast
guards
“core interests” : key strategic location
between Taiwan and Okinawa, which is on
the first islands chain
Possibility to explode as historical memory
issue: outside Ryuukyu’s 36 islands; 1885
GOJ’s hesitancy; precursor to Taiwan
Senkaku: Future
Prepare : dynamic defense position
and strengthening of southern
deployment of MSDF from December
2010
Talk: Gromyko’s humiliation not
needed
What to aim? From minimal control to
peaceful coexistence, eventually to
joint economic activities
Takeshima: Past
1905 Shimane ownership
1910 Korea’s annexation
51 San Francisco (IL Japan stronger)
1954 Korea’s Takeshima occupation
1965 Normalization talk
Historical memory: precursor to the
annexation + identity emotionalism
1998 Fishery agreement
Takeshima: Present

2005 Shimane Prefecture’s
“Takeshima Day”  diplomatic war
2006 sea bed map incident
2008 textbook and naming issue
2011 three parliamentarians’ visa
refused
Takeshima: Future
Talk: sovereignty, track II more
realistic
2011 Ikeuchi and Kim talk
Confidence building measure:
governments’ imitative needed;
Japan-Russia experience to borrow
June 2009 SAIS Conference

Public Lecture PPT (5.15.2012) Japan’s three territorial issues

  • 1.
    Japan’s Three Territorial Issues May 15, 2012 Kazuhiko Togo Kyoto Sangyo University
  • 3.
    Northern Territories: Past Historicalmemory: Summer 1945 Cold War: 51 San Francisco; 56 Joint Declaration; 60 Gromyko statement Post-Cold War: 25 years of negotiations KE talk HStransfer KEdecide 91 Ka.-Go. OK NO ------ 93 Tok.D. OK OK indirect ------ 01 Irkutsk OK OK start
  • 4.
    Northern Territories: Present 2006Russian decisions: Resume talks + Invest to the islands 2009 “unlawful occupation”  2010 Medvedev’s visit to Kunashiri 2012: Putin reelected as president March 1 Press interview May 7 Inauguration
  • 5.
    Northern Territories: Future Howshould we evaluate Putin? Probably last stage negotiations are opened for the foreseeable future Economic cooperation projects Starting from Irkutsk  Anything but “four islands en bloc (ikkatsu)” Half to one year negotiations period Who are the negotiators?
  • 7.
    Senkaku: Past 1895~1971 Japanesesovereignty, no objection from China or Taiwan 1971: Taiwan and china claim (Oil 1968) 72 Zhou “not now”; 78 Deng “next generation”  tacit agreement to shelve 90 China’s territorial water law 97 Fishery agreement 02 GOJ lease 04 seven activists landing
  • 8.
    Senkaku: Present 2008 Researchvessels for 9 hours sailing 2010.9.7 Collision of fishery vessels to coast guards “core interests” : key strategic location between Taiwan and Okinawa, which is on the first islands chain Possibility to explode as historical memory issue: outside Ryuukyu’s 36 islands; 1885 GOJ’s hesitancy; precursor to Taiwan
  • 9.
    Senkaku: Future Prepare :dynamic defense position and strengthening of southern deployment of MSDF from December 2010 Talk: Gromyko’s humiliation not needed What to aim? From minimal control to peaceful coexistence, eventually to joint economic activities
  • 11.
    Takeshima: Past 1905 Shimaneownership 1910 Korea’s annexation 51 San Francisco (IL Japan stronger) 1954 Korea’s Takeshima occupation 1965 Normalization talk Historical memory: precursor to the annexation + identity emotionalism 1998 Fishery agreement
  • 12.
    Takeshima: Present 2005 ShimanePrefecture’s “Takeshima Day”  diplomatic war 2006 sea bed map incident 2008 textbook and naming issue 2011 three parliamentarians’ visa refused
  • 13.
    Takeshima: Future Talk: sovereignty,track II more realistic 2011 Ikeuchi and Kim talk Confidence building measure: governments’ imitative needed; Japan-Russia experience to borrow June 2009 SAIS Conference