Thesis Proposal presentation

1. WWEELLCCOOMMEE TTOO
TTOODDAAYY''SS PPRREESSEENNTTAATTIIOONN
CCEERREEMMOONNYY

2. Impact of AILA on Family Structure of
Southern Part of Bangladesh
Tuhin Kumar Jodder
ID No.: MSS-101638

3. STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
Bangladesh is one of the most densely populated and
disaster prone country.
Cyclone AILA hit on the coastal areas of Bangladesh
and eastern part of the West Bengal province of
neighbouring country India on the mid-day of May
25, 2009.
The wind speed of AILA not too higher in comparison
to cyclone SIDR of 2007. The water of AILA was 10-12
feet higher than normal height.
Approximately 352 Unions and 62 Upazilas in 14
Districts have been affected. Death toll was counted as
179 along with almost more than 8000 missing.

4. Around 250,000 houses were fully damaged and
around 400,000 houses were partially damaged and
over 1 million livestock were killed.
After 2 years later, the affects of AILA is not lessen. Now
water flow and damages of riverside embankment also
creates problem.
Family life, economy, livestock, infrastructures,
croplands, shrimp farms and environment of the
community as a whole are suffers problems. Therefore,
their family structure and life is so vulnerable.
This study mainly attempt to analyze the effect on
family structure due to AILA and many others side of
their livelihood problems on the southern coastal area.

5. RATIONALE OF THE STUDY
Bangladesh is the most disaster prone area.
There have various type of study complete on
disaster and livelihood pattern
Only a little level of study on family structure.

6. OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
1. To know the pre and post family structure of
AILA affected period.
2. To know the livelihood status of the respondents.
3. To identify the GoB and NGO’s role in AILA
management
HYPOTHESIS OF THE STUDY
• Family structure divested due to cyclone AILA.

7. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
Problem in Water,
Health & Nutrition
Problem in Water,
Health & Nutrition
Decreases Family
Decreases Family
Income
Income
Increases Drop-out
Increases Drop-out
Children
Children
RRaaisiseess C Chhilidld L Laabboorr
Breakup
Family Ties
Breakup
Family Ties
Family
Family
Displacement
Displacement
IInnddeeppeennddeennt tV Vaarriaiabblele
CCyycclolonnee A AILILAA
IInnteterrmmeeddiaiatete V Vaarriaiabbleless
Losses of Family
Resources and
Production Sector
Losses of Family
Resources and
Production Sector
Losses of Economy and
Losses of Economy and
Infrastructure
Infrastructure
Problem in Livelihood
Problem in Livelihood
Pattern
Pattern
DDeeppeennddeennt tV Vaarriaiabblele
CChhaannggeess F Faammiliyly S Strturucctuturere

8. DEFINITION OF THE CONCEPTS
Family: Family, basic social group united through
bonds of kinship or marriage, present in all societies.
Family Structure: Family structure means the
composition and membership of the family and the
organization and patterning of relationships among
individual family members.
Family Ties: Ties are to make a connection or link
between people or things.
Family Dependency: Family dependency denote
dependence or trust in family member.
Household: People who live together in a single home
are denote the household.

9. AILA: AILA (RSMC Designation: BOB02, JTWC
designation: 02B, also known as severe cyclonic storm
AILA) was the second tropical cyclone to form within the
northern Indian Ocean during 2009
The Southern Part of Bangladesh: The southern
part of Bangladesh is situated in the central portion of
Ganges delta with many part of Meghna riverbank also
situated between the inhabited portion and the bay of
Bangle.
Disaster: Disaster means damaging or destructive
events that causes serious loss, destruction, hardship,
unhappiness or death. Here we study about natural
disaster.

10. METHODOLOGY
Study Design: Households survey and
questionnaire technique.
Study Area: Jhaliakhali village under the
Kamarkhola Union of Dacope Upazila, Khulna
district.
Unit of Analysis: Member of the household.
Population of the Study: Total Households of
Jhaliakhali village

11. • Sampling Procedure and Sample Size
Determination: By using sample size calculator software
here we also determine our sample. Here confidence interval,
confidence level and population is need to determine sample.
Source: Sample size calculator, (http://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm)
Here,
Total
union
Total
village
Total
households or
family
Sample
households or
family
Confidence
level
Level of
significance
01 09 332 178 95% 5%

12. Sources of Data:
1. Primary sources, like household survey
2. Secondary sources, like various types of relevant
documents, journals and project paper
• Techniques of Data Collection: Questionnaire
method.
• Development of Study Instrument:
Interview schedule
• Field Work: Household survey and field observation.

13. Analysis and Interpretation of Data:
1. Statistical presentation: Frequency distribution,
percentage, cross tabulation, pie diagrams and bar
diagram etc.
2. Software: Statistical Package for Social Science-
(SPSS) 16, Microsoft Excel, Geographical Information
System-(GIS), Sample size calculator (web based), end
note etc.

14. CONCLUSION
Their agricultural activity is hampering due to natural
disaster in terms of inundation, overflow of water,
cyclone, drought etc.
When inundation of seawater occurs in the coastal area, it
damages water embankment and creates water logging
problem there.
They became dependent, and all of these are greatly
affects on their family structure.

18. LITERATURE REVIEW
Basar, M. A. (2009) This study was to analyze, the
reasons of ongoing changes of livelihood patterns of these
communities and to examine the strength of government
policies against environmental exploitation.
Kumar, B. G. et al (2009) Specifically, the paper has
examined, (i) socio-economic profile of the tsunami-affected
farmers (ii) changes in crop profile, cropping
pattern and employment pattern in different seasons, (iii)
changes in livestock holdings of farmers, (iv) changes in
freshwater fisheries cultivation practices, and (v)
constraints in crop, livestock and aquaculture farming at
the field level.

19. Mallick et al (2010) in his report find out the socio-economic
and environmental scenario of the affected
people and their present livelihood condition .
Roy, K. et al (2009) in his report state the output of
the assessment study in AILA (25 May 2009) affected
areas in Bangladesh with focus on Khulna District.
Paul R. A. (2008) mainly focuses on the changes the
family structure, also influences by divorce, non-marital
births, non-marital cohabitation, cultural change,
implications for children, implications for adults and
implications for U.S. society. After AILA influence, many
family also divested and that is type of difficulties
emerged.

20. Sampling Procedure and Sample Size Determination:
* p * (1- p) * N
2
According to Kothari
n z
2 2
e N - +
z
( 1) * p * (1- p)
=
Here,
n= size of sample,
z=the value of standard variate at a given confidence level and to be
worked out from Normal curve area table and it is 1.96 for the 95%
confidence level
p=sample proportion of success which is 0.05 (assumed)
e= acceptable errors, which is 0.05
N=size of population (total numbers of households), which is 332.
178.35
2
(1.96) * 0.5(1- 0.5) *332
2 2
(0.05) * (332 1) (1.96) * 0.5(1- 0.5)
=
- +
n =
So, our sample size is 178.35 or 178.

21. REFERENCE
Ahmad, M. (2003) Coastal Livelihoods: an introductory
analysis. Dhaka, Program Development Office for
Integrated Coastal Zone Management (PDO-ICZM)
Basar, M. A. (2009) Climate Change, Loss of Livelihood and
the Absence of Sustainable Livelihood Approach: A Case
Study of Shymnagar, Bangladesh. Lund University.
Banglapedia (2010)
Coastal Development Partnership (2008)
Haque, S. A. (2006) Salinity Problems and Crop Production in
Coastal Regions of Bangladesh
Khan, B. A. (1990) Social Structure: A Theoretical and
Methodological Justify. Centre for Bangladesh Studies,
Dhaka.

22. Kothary, C. R. (2006) Research Methodology, Methods and
Techniques. New Delhi.
Kumar, B. G. et al. (2009) Socio-economic Impact Assessment
of
Livelihood Security in Agriculture, Animal Husbandry and
Aquaculture on the Tsunami-hit Lands of Andaman.
Agricultural Economics Research Review.
Mallick et al. (2010) Living with Cyclone AILA. Coastal
Research Foundation, Khulna, Bangladesh.
Mosby's Dictionary (2009)

23. Microsoft Encarta Dictionary (2009). Microsoft Corporation.
Paul, R. A. (2008) Recent Changes in Family Structure:
Implications for Children, Adults, and Society. Pennsylvania
State University, USA.
Roy, K. et al (2009) Cyclone AILA, Initial Assessment, Report
With focus on Khulna District”, Unnayan Onneshan-The
Innovators, Khulna. Bangladesh.
Sample Size Calculator - Confidence Level, Confidence Interval,
Sample. http://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm
Siwar, C. et al (2006) Impact of Tsunami on Fishing, Aquaculture
and Coastal Communities in Malaysia. UKM Bangi.